JLBC - Monthly Fiscal Highlights

February 2015

Summary
1716 W. Adams
Phoenix, AZ 85007
Phone:
(602) 926-5491
Fax:
(602) 926-5416

January General Fund revenues totaled
$854.0 million, which is an increase of 4.1%
above January 2014. This moderate growth was
driven by a 9.1% increase in Retail Sales Tax
collections during the holiday season. Low gas
prices may have spurred consumers to increase
their December retail spending.
Beginning with the February report, the Monthly
Fiscal Highlights compares actual revenue
collections to the Baseline consensus forecast
published last month. The Baseline forecast is
based on estimates presented at the January
Finance Advisory Committee meeting.

www.azleg.gov/jlbc.htm

“Year-to-date,
base General
Fund revenues
are 4.6%
above the
prior year.”

Year-to-date, base General Fund revenues are
4.6% above the prior year and are $10.1 million
above the Baseline forecast. These amounts
exclude Urban Revenue Sharing and one-time
adjustments.
In comparison to revenue of $854.0 million,
January 2015 spending was $683.4 million which
is an increase of $69.7 million from the prior year.
Fiscal year-to-date, General Fund revenues of
$5.21 billion have been offset by $6.51 billion of
expenditures.
The state’s fiscal health can also be measured
by the operating fund balance. The state pays
its bills out of the operating fund balance, which
consists of the General Fund and certain
dedicated funds. The operating balance as of
mid-February 2015 is $1.9 billion. In addition, the
state’s Budget Stabilization Fund has a balance
of $456.2 million.

State Appropriations Limit Report
JLBC Staff is required to annually report by
February 15 on how state spending compares
to the constitutional appropriations limit. The
Arizona Constitution limits the appropriation of
certain state revenues to no more than 7.41%
of Arizona personal income. Total FY 2015
state appropriations (both General and Other
Funds) are $15.11 billion, or 5.81% of personal
income. Under the JLBC Baseline, projected
FY 2016 spending is $15.22 billion, which would
be 5.56% of personal income.
Truth in Taxation (TNT Report
JLBC Staff recently reported the new Truth in
Taxation (TNT) rates for FY 2015, as required by
A.R.S. § 41-1276. Due to the growth in values
for new properties being slightly higher than
expected, the cost of the FY 2016 K-12 Basic
State Aid formula will be $(1.5) million less than
the JLBC Baseline.
The purpose of TNT is to offset the annual
change in the value of existing property
statewide with a proportional Qualifying Tax
Rate and State Equalization Tax Rate changes.
Because the higher than expected property
value growth is offset by lower than expected
TNT rates, these revisions will have a minimal
impact in terms of existing properties.

Table of Contents
Summary
• State Appropriations Limit Report ....................1
• Truth in Taxation (TNT) Report ............................1

January Revenues ..................................................2
This report has been
prepared for the Arizona
Legislature by the Joint
Legislative Budget
Committee Staff on
February 20, 2015.

Monthly Indicators ..................................................4
Summary of Recent Agency Reports
• ADOA – Report on Debt Repayment ..............7
• DCS – Auditor General Recommendations ... 7

• DCS – Hotline Wait Times Report ..................... 8
• Governor – Council on Workforce Policy ...... 8
• DHS – Arnold v Sarn Report .............................. 8
• Ombudsman – Annual Report ......................... 8
• DPS – GIITEM Quarterly Report ......................... 9
• SFB – Report on Funding Estimates ................. 9
• Sec. of State – Election Systems Report .......... 9
• ABOR – Credit Hours/Student Counts ............. 9

• DCS/ECDHB – Joint Report on Funding ...........7

January Spending ................................................ 10

• DCS – Foster Care Medicaid ............................7

Tracking Arizona’s Recovery ............. Appendix A

2

JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – FEBRUARY 2015

January Revenues
Table 1

January
Year-to-Date

General Fund Revenues ($ in Millions)
FY 2015
Collections
$ 854.0
$ 5,214.3

Sales Tax collections of $399.9 million were 8.8% above
January of last year and $17.5 million above the forecast for
the month. Due to technical adjustments, the underlying
January sales tax growth is 5.8%. Year-to-date, collections
are up by 4.3%.
The January growth was driven by a 9.1% increase in retail
collections, which make up roughly half of overall sales tax
revenues. The 9.1% growth exceeded most analysts’
predictions for holiday sales. Consumers may have
channeled some of their savings from the recent gas price
decline into additional retail purchases. Assuming gas
prices remain low during 2015, retail sales will bear
watching in the months to come to determine if the shift in
consumer buying habits is sustained.
Individual Income Tax net revenues were $433.3 million in
January, which was (0.2)%, or $(1.0) million less than the prior
year. Collections were $(12.9) million below the forecast for
the month. Year-to-date, revenue has grown 2.6% over the
prior year.
As indicated in Table 2, withholding decreased (3.3)% in
January. The January collections bring withholding tax
collections for the fiscal year to a sluggish 1.9% over the
prior year. This amount is $(22.5) million below the Baseline
forecast.
January estimated and final payments were 6.8% above
last year, and were $7.4 million above the forecast. Yearto-date, payments have grown 5.7% over the prior year.
In the past, strong growth of payments in both December
and January has often been followed by strong payment
growth during April tax filing. The total of December and
January payments were 11.5%, or $21.0 million, above
payments during the same months of FY 2014, suggesting
that payment growth may continue in April.
January refunds were (72.4)% below last year and $2.2
million less than the forecast. Year-to-date, refunds have
grown $(1.9) million over the prior year.

Difference From
Budget Forecast
$ 10.1
$ 10.1

Difference
From FY 2014
$ 33.9
$ 128.8

Table 2
Individual Income Tax Growth Rates
Compared to Prior Year
Withholding
Estimated +
Final Payments
Refunds

January
(3.3)%

YTD
1.9%

6.8%
(72.4)%

5.7%
1.4%

Corporate Income Tax net collections were $20.2 million
in January, which was 24.1%, or $3.9 million more than
January 2014. Collections for the month were $5.3 million
above the budgeted forecast. Year-to-date, net
collections are up 21.6% compared to the prior year.
While Corporate Income Tax collections have grown
significantly so far during FY 2015, these gains follow
unexpected losses seen during FY 2014, when Corporate
Income Tax collections fell by (13.1)%
Insurance Premium Tax collections were $33.9 million in
January, which was 53.1%, or $11.7 million above the prior
year. Collections for January were $4.4 million above
forecast.
The Lottery Commission reports that January ticket sales
were $70.6 million, which is $10.6 million, or 17.6%, above
sales in the prior year. Year-to-date ticket sales are
$409.3 million, which is (0.1)% below last year’s sales. In
terms of General Fund collections, year-to-date lottery
revenues have decreased by (39.5)% compared to the
prior year and are $(5.0) million below the Baseline
forecast.
Highway User Revenue Fund (HURF) collections of $110.2
million in January were up $9.0 million, or 8.8% compared
to January of last year. Collections for the month were
$0.9 million above forecast. Year-to-date collections are
3.7% above FY 2014.

3
Table 3

General Fund Revenue:
Change from Previous Year and Budget Forecast
January 2015
Current Month

FY 2015 YTD (Seven Months)

Change From
Actual

January 2014

January 2015

Amount

Change from
Budget Forecast

Percent

Amount

Actual

Percent

January 2014

January 2015

Amount

Budget Forecast

Percent

Amount

Percent

Taxes
Sales and Use
Income - Individual

$399,861,665

$100,243,107

4.3 %

$17,547,899
(12,911,730)

0.7 %

2,414,648,073

60,723,492

2.6

35.4

325,686,764

57,763,331

21.6

5,277,387

1.6

Property

2,249,299

1,335,582

146.2

1,749,299

349.9

20,911,208

10,254,062

96.2

1,749,299

9.1

Luxury - Tobacco

2,142,130

(535,126)

(20.0)

148,058

7.4

14,044,947

(1,541,030)

(9.9)

148,058

1.1

3,633,393

(845,818)

(18.9)

(153,005)

(4.0)

19,360,536

(531,672)

(2.7)

(153,005)

(0.8)

14.9

175,941,412

22,553,936

14.7

3,313,746

1,628,918

96.7

$5,427,182,141

$249,480,969

Sub-Total Taxes

33,853,685

11,745,595

53.1

485,090

88,129

22.2

$895,727,427

$46,980,554

5.5 %

4,400,808
(149,910)
$15,908,806

(2.9)

$2,453,275,455

5,277,387

Other Taxes

(12,911,730)

4.6 %

24.1

Insurance Premium

(0.2)

$17,547,899

3,917,559

- Liquor

(977,642)

8.8 %

20,199,440

- Corporate

433,302,725

$32,252,275

(23.6)
1.8 %

4.8 %

4,400,808
(149,910)
$15,908,806

(0.5)

2.6
(4.3)
0.3 %

Other Revenue
Lottery
License, Fees and Permits
Interest

0

(11,434,750) (100.0)

(5,000,000) (100.0)

3,572,380

977,500

37.7

572,380

1,842

319

21.0

1,842

19.1
--

15,326,600

(9,991,750)

(39.5)

19,104,885

1,791,663

10.3

(5,000,000)
572,380

(24.6)
3.1

19,170

5,806

43.4

1,842

10.6

Sales and Services

1,102,369

(421,631)

(27.7)

(897,631)

(44.9)

9,568,225

226,668

2.4

(897,631)

(8.6)

Other Miscellaneous

1,202,956

(240,675)

(16.7)

(797,044)

(39.9)

14,944,078

4,453,177

42.4

(797,044)

(5.1)

--

0

0

Disproportionate Share
Transfers and Reimbursements
Sub-Total Other Revenue
TOTAL BASE REVENUE

0

0

3,105,530

2,753,161

$8,985,077
$904,712,504

($8,366,076)
$38,614,478

-781.3
(48.2) %
4.5 %

0
355,530
($5,764,923)
$10,143,883

12.9

28,946,931

(5,704,606)

(39.1) %

$87,909,890

($9,219,041)

1.1 %

$5,515,092,031

$240,261,928

--

0

(16.5)

355,530

(9.5) %
4.6 %

($5,764,923)
$10,143,883

-1.2
(6.2) %
0.2 %

Other Adjustments
Urban Revenue Sharing

0

0.0

One-Time Transfers

0

(5,001) (100.0)

0

--

53,900,000

(77,646,149)

(59.0)

0

0.0

Sales Tax - 1¢ Increase

0

(687,602) (100.0)

0

--

541,615

(6,038,504)

(91.8)

0

0.0

10.3 %

0

0.0 %

58.9 %

0

0.0 %

Sub-Total Other Adjustments
TOTAL GENERAL FUND REVENUE

(50,744,642)

(50,744,642)

(4,035,312)

(4,727,915)

8.6

0

0.0

(355,212,496)

(300,770,881)

(27,757,953)

(111,442,606)

8.5

$853,967,862

$33,886,563

4.1 %

$10,143,883

1.2 %

$5,214,321,150

$128,819,322

2.5 %

$10,143,883

0.2 %

$110,248,700

$8,955,566

8.8 %

$919,208

0.8 %

$734,276,902

$26,287,554

3.7 %

$6,117,272

0.8 %

Non-General Funds
Highway User Revenue Fund

4

JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – FEBRUARY 2015

Monthly Indicators
NATIONAL
According to the U.S. Department of Commerce Bureau
of Economic Analysis, the U.S. Real Gross Domestic
Product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.6% in the
4th quarter of 2014. This advance estimate is a notable
deceleration from the 5.0% growth during the 3rd
quarter. The decrease relative to third quarter growth
was primarily due to an increase in imports and a
decrease in federal defense spending. Positive
contributions came primarily from consumer spending,
inventory and fixed investment, exports, and state and
local spending. Consumer spending grew at 4.3% during
the quarter, which is the highest quarterly rate since
2006.
The Conference Board’s U.S. Consumer Confidence
Index increased by 10.5% in January to its highest level
since August 2007. The index now stands 29.6% above its
January 2014 level. The January increase was broadbased, including improved outlooks on the present and
near future economy. Economists think lower gas prices
and positive employment reports continue to increase
optimism.
The Conference Board’s U.S. Leading Economic Index
increased by 0.5% in December and 6.4% since
December 2013. This month marked the 11th
consecutive period in which the index grew or remained
unchanged. Of the index’s 10 components, 8 improved,
1 was flat and 1 decreased. Movement in interest rates
and initial unemployment claims were the largest
positive contributors to the index while building permits
acted as a drag.
According to the U.S. Department of Commerce Bureau
of Economic Analysis, the U.S. Personal Consumption
Expenditure Price Index (PCEPI) decreased by (0.2)% in
December from the prior month—the second
consecutive monthly decrease. The index’s annual
growth has fallen to 0.7%, down from annual growth of
1.7% in May and well below the Federal Reserve Bank’s
2% annual inflation target.
ARIZONA
The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s coincident
index gauges current economic activity in each state.
The index combines 4 indicators: employment, average
hours worked in manufacturing, unemployment rate, and
inflation-adjusted wages.
Arizona’s coincident index increased by 2.8% compared
to December 2013. Over the same time period, the U.S.

coincident index increased by 3.5%. Currently, Arizona’s
rate of annual coincident index growth is 32nd in the
nation. Last year at this time, Arizona’s rate was 33rd
highest among states. See Appendix A – Tracking
Arizona’s Recovery for additional historical information.
Housing
The total housing inventory in the Greater Phoenix area
is (4.8)% smaller than January of last year. Although this
is an improvement, inventory levels still suggest a
somewhat slow resale market. This is further evidenced
by homes being listed longer before selling. In January
2014, homes were on the market an average of 79
days. In January 2015, homes were on the market an
average of 96 days.
The median price of a single family home was $210,500
in January, a 3.2% increase from December. The price
is 9.9% higher than January of last year.
Single family housing construction continues to
weaken, while multi-family construction continues to
expand. Arizona’s 12-month total of single-family
building permits is 17,555, or (3.2)% less than a year
ago. The comparable single-family permit growth rate
for the entire U.S. is 0.7% above last year. See Appendix
A – Tracking Arizona’s Recovery for historical information.
In contrast, the 12-month total of multi-family building
permits has increased significantly since last year.
Arizona’s total of 10,308 multi-family building permits is
87.7% above 2013. Arizona’s rate of increase is greater
than the comparable multi-family permit growth for the
U.S. as a whole which is 8.1% above 2013.
Employment
Due to the annual revision of employment date (also
known as “benchmarking”), January’s employment
and unemployment figures will not be released until the
second week of March. For this reason, this month’s
issue of Monthly Fiscal Highlights does not include these
employment statistics.
In December, the Average Weekly Hours worked by
individuals in Arizona’s private sector was 34.7 hours.
This workload is (1.4)% below the December 2013 level.
The Average Hourly Earnings received by these private
sector workers was $22.50, which is (3.4)% below the
average in December 2013. The average hourly
earnings nationwide in January 2015 were 2.2% above
the average from a year prior.

5

JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – FEBRUARY 2015

Monthly Indicators (Continued)
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics releases estimates
quarterly for a broader measure of labor underutilization
called the total unemployment rate. Besides the
“regularly” unemployed, the measure also includes
persons who are available to work but stopped looking for
a job (“discouraged workers”), and persons who had to
settle for part-time employment (“underemployed
workers”). The Arizona rate stood at 14.7% for the fourth
quarter of 2014, which is down (0.4)% from the prior
quarter and (1.3)% from the prior year. The state’s total
unemployment rate reading of 14.7% was the third highest
of any state. The national average for the measure was
12.0% during the quarter.
State Agency Data
At the beginning of February 2015, the total AHCCCS
caseload was 1.6 million members. Since the federal
health care expansion in January 2014, the overall
AHCCCS population has grown by 322,000 members. The
enacted budget assumed the AHCCCS population would
grow by 375,000 members through February 2015.
Total monthly enrollment decreased (0.9)% in February.
New enrollment following the January 1, 2014 expansion
of coverage appears to have slowed significantly or even
decreased. This may partly be due to a change in the
length of eligibility redetermination.
The overall decrease in February was largely due to
enrollment of the Traditional AHCCCS population of lower
income children and their parents. Enrollment in this
population fell (11,000) in February to a level of 950,800
members (versus a budgeted caseload of 1,023,600). The
February level represents a decrease of (1.2)% since last
month and an 8.4% increase since last year. This
population accounts for much of the enrollment shortfall
from forecast.
In January 2014, the state started accepting new
enrollment to the Proposition 204 childless adults program.
In February 2015, the childless adult population
decreased by (3,400), or (1.2)%. Since January 2014, the
childless adult population has increased by 208,000 to
reach a level of 275,700. This is compared to a budgeted
level of 239,600 for February. The state share of the
Proposition 204 cost is paid through a hospital assessment
and not the General Fund.
The state also opted to expand adult Medicaid coverage
to 133% of FPL. The 100% - 133% enrollment increased by
1,000 in February and now totals 37,400 individuals
enrolled since January 2014 (versus a budgeted caseload
of 58,300). The federal government is currently paying
100% of this cost.

Arizona Department of Corrections reported a (0.3)%
decrease in the inmate population at the end of
January 2015. The total inmate population was 42,070.
Since January 2014, the inmate population has
increased 1.7%.
The Department of Economic Security (DES) reported
that there were 28,489 TANF recipients in the state in
December, representing a (2.5)% decrease in monthly
caseloads from November. The year-over-year number
of TANF recipients has declined by (14.5)%. The
statutory lifetime limit on cash assistance is 24 months.
The Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP),
formerly known as Food Stamps, provides assistance to
low-income households to purchase food. This
December, there were 1.0 million food stamp recipients
in the state, representing a 1.0% decrease from
November caseloads. Compared to November of last
year, food stamp participation declined by (2.4)%.

6

JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – FEBRUARY 2015
Table 4

MONTHLY INDICATORS

Indicator
Arizona
Employment
- Regular Unemployment Rate
- Total Unemployment Rate (discouraged/underemployed)
- Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims
- Unemployment Insurance Recipients
- Non-Farm Employment - Total
Manufacturing
Construction
- Average Weekly Hours, Private Sector
- Average Hourly Earnings, Private Sector
Sales
- Retail Taxable Sales
Motor Vehicles/Misc. Auto
Furniture/Home Furnishings
Building Material/Lawn & Garden
Building
- Residential Building Permits (12-month avg)
Single-family
Multi-family
- Maricopa County/Other, Home Sales (ARMLS)
Single-Family (Pending Sales)
- Maricopa County/Other, Median Home Price (ARMLS)
Single-Family (Pending Sales)
- Phoenix S&P/C Home Price Index (2000 = 100)
- Maricopa Pending Foreclosures
- Greater Phoenix Total Housing Inventory, (ARMLS)
Tourism
- Phoenix Sky Harbor Air Passengers
- National Park Visitors
- State Park Visitors
- Revenue Per Available Hotel Room
General Measures
- Arizona Consumer Confidence Index (1985 = 100)
- Arizona Coincident Index (July 1992 = 100)
- Arizona Leading Index -- 6 month projected growth
- Arizona Personal Income
- Arizona Population
- State Debt Rating
Standards & Poor’s/Moody’s
Outlook
Agency Measures
- AHCCCS Recipients
Acute Care Traditional
Prop 204 Childless Adults
Other Prop 204
Adult Expansion
Kids Care I
Kids Care II
Long-Term Care – Elderly & DD
Emergency Services
- Department of Child Safety (DCS)
Annual Reports of Child Maltreatment (12-month total)
DCS Out-of-Home Children
Filled Caseworkers (1406 Budgeted)
- ADC Inmate Growth
- Department of Economic Security
- TANF Recipients
- SNAP (Food Stamps) Recipients
- Judiciary Probation Caseload
Non-Maricopa
Maricopa County
United States
- Gross Domestic Product
(Chained 2009 dollars, SAAR)
- Consumer Confidence Index (1985 = 100)
- Leading Indicators Index (2010 = 100)
- Consumer Price Index, SA (1982-84 = 100)
- Personal Consumption Price Index (2009 = 100)

Change
From
Prior Period

Time Period

Current
Value

December
4th Q 2014
December
December
December
December
December
December
December

6.7%
14.7%
17,142
30,402
2.64 million
154,500
119,800
34.7
$22.50

December
December
December

$872.2 million
$351.9 million
$323.8 million

December
December

17,555
10,308

0.6%
0.8%

January

4,404

23.5%

(8.5)%

January

$210,500

3.2%

9.9%

November
January
January

147.67
5,675
27,106

0.2%
(1.5)%
8.7%

December
December
December
December

3.75 million
605,350
117,575
$49.38

1st Q 2015
December
December
3rd Q 2014
July 2014

(0.1)%
(0.4)%
6.9%
(2.0)%
0.5%
(0.4)%
(0.2)%
(0.3)%
(1.4)%

Change From
Prior Year

(0.9)%
(1.3)%
(7.6)%
(12.7)%
2.5%
(0.4)%
(3.5)%
(1.4)%
(3.4)%

2.8%
13.7%
(2.9)%

9.6%
(34.9)%
(27.5)%
(18.5)%

8.7%
8.4%
7.0%
(3.2)%
87.7%

1.9%
(31.6)%
(4.8)%
6.3%
20.5%
9.2%
(11.5)%

79.1
191.31
3.5%
$256.4 billion
6.73 million

N/A
0.3%
(0.2)%
1.3%
N/A

14.8%
2.8%
0.4%
4.0%
1.5%

AA- / Aa3
Positive

N/A
N/A

N/A
N/A

February

1,579,976
950,805
275,743
164,971
37,369
1,665
0
56,512
92,911

(0.9)%
(1.2)%
(1.2)%
(0.1)%
2.7%
(11.1%)
0.0%
0.0%
0.2%

23.8%
8.4%
109.5%
15.1%
(27.3)%
(100.0)%
3.4%
44.7%

October
October
December
January

48,003
17,184
1,397
42,070

1.3%
1.1%
(11)
(0.3)%

10.4%
13.4%
157
1.7%

December
December

28,489
1,039,515

(2.5)%
(1.0)%

(14.5)%
(2.4)%

November
November

17,976
26,258

Dec 09/July 10

Nov 13

4
158

441
1,444

4th Q, 2014

$16.3 trillion

2.5%

2.6%

January
December
December
December

102.9
121.1
236.1
108.7

10.5%
0.5%
(0.4)%
(0.2)%

29.6%
6.4%
0.7%
0.7%

7

JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – FEBRUARY 2015

Summary of Recent Agency Reports
Arizona Department of Administration – Report on
Repayment of State Debt and Obligations – Pursuant
to A.R.S. § 41-726, the Department of Administration is
required to report on the amount of potential savings
if the state repays the balance of any outstanding
long-term General Fund financing obligations, under
the following repayment scenarios: $50 million, $100
million, $150 million, and $200 million. Under the 4
repayment scenarios, ADOA reported the following
net lifetime savings in debt service payments:
•
$50 million repayment – $24.2 million
•
$100 million repayment – $47.7 million
•
$150 million repayment – $70.4 million
•
$200 million repayment – $92.6 million
(Josh Hope)

common concern, specifically the level of coordination
among DCS, ECDHB, and community groups to
promote the well-being of children and families that are
identified in reports of abuse or neglect. Below is a
summary of the major efforts listed in the report:
•

•

Department of Child Safety - Report on
Implementation of Auditor General
Recommendations - Laws 2013, 1st Special Session,
Chapter 10 instructed the Auditor General to submit a
report addressing expenditures for the recruitment,
retention, training, licensing and tracking of foster
care families. The Auditor General recommended in
October 2013 that the program use performance
measure data to monitor and assess contractor
performance, building greater incentives into
contracts that focus on critical goals such as the
retention of foster parents. The agency agreed to
implement these recommendations.

•

Subsequent to the Auditor General’s
recommendation and pursuant to a footnote in Laws
2014, 2nd Special Session, Chapter 2, the Department
of Child Safety (DCS) is reporting on its progress in
implementing the Auditor General’s
recommendations to improve performance-based
contracting for foster home-related services. DCS
reports that its new foster home recruitment-related
services contract will include incentives to achieve
DCS goals and the capability to monitor contractor
performance.

•

In October 2014, the Auditor General supported DCS’
progress, stating that 6 of the 7 Auditor General
recommendations had been or were in the process of
being implemented. DCS, however, had yet to
document its compliance with the Auditor General’s
recommendation that DCS continue to contact other
states about their experiences developing
performance-based contracting for foster care
services. (Ben Beutler)
Department of Child Safety - DCS/ECDHB Joint Report
- The FY 2015 Health and Welfare Budget
Reconciliation Bill requires the Department of Child
Safety (DCS) and the Early Childhood Development
and Health Board (ECDHB) to report on their
collaborative efforts to address child welfare issues of

•

•

Child Care Funding: ECDHB anticipates providing
$34.0 million of matching dollars to draw down
about $37.0 million of matching federal monies in
federal fiscal year (FFY) 2015. The $34.0 million
would provide child care scholarships to children.
ECDHB helps about 19,000 children annually with
child care and preschool scholarships.
Court Teams Program: The focus of this program is
to improve how the courts, child welfare, and child
serving organizations work together to protect
infants in the child welfare system from further harm.
ECDHB Child Welfare Policy: In cases where a
family is receiving ECDHB-funded services and
subsequently becomes involved with the child
welfare system, the ECDHB grantee will work with
DCS caseworkers to reassess the family situation.
The “Who Do You Trust With Your Child?”
Campaign: This child abuse prevention and
awareness campaign helps parents choose a safe
caregiver and prevent child maltreatment.
Healthy Families Arizona: This is a home visitation
program that is designed to strengthen families
during the first 5 years of a child’s life. DCS and
ECDHB are working together to identify additional
funding sources for the expansion of the program.
Birth to 5 Helpline: Staffed by nurses and early
childhood development experts, the helpline
answers parenting questions from caregivers with a
child 5 or younger. (Ben Beutler)

Department of Child Safety - Quarterly Report on Foster
Care Medicaid - Pursuant to Laws 2013, Chapter 220,
the Department of Child Safety (DCS) is required to
report on foster care and Medicaid eligibility. This is the
final report.
During the 2nd quarter of FY 2015, DCS reports the
following trends on foster care and Medicaid eligibility:
1.
2.

3.

There were 15,745 children eligible for Medicaid in
foster care at the end of the 2nd quarter, up from
15,555 at the end of the 1st quarter of FY 2015.
The percentage of foster care children eligible for
Medicaid declined from 97% at the end of the 1st
quarter of FY 2015 to 95% at the end of the 2nd
quarter of FY 2015.
The amount of non-Medicaid behavioral health
group home expenditures used by DCS to
supplement Medicaid behavioral health
placement services was $1.5 million in the 2nd
quarter of FY 2015 compared to $2.6 million in the
1st quarter of FY 2015.

8

JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – FEBRUARY 2015

Summary of Recent Agency Reports (Continued)
4.

The amount of non-Medicaid behavioral health
evaluation/counseling expenditures used by DCS
to supplement Medicaid behavioral health
services declined from $190,400 in the 1st quarter
of FY 2015 to $66,400 in the 2nd quarter of FY 2015.
(Ben Beutler)

Department of Child Safety – Report on Hotline Wait
Times – A footnote in Laws 2014, 2nd Special Session,
Chapter 2 requires the Department of Child Safety
(DCS) to report to the Legislature on hotline wait times
and the abandoned call rate. The average wait time
decreased from 5 minutes in December 2013 to 30
seconds in December 2014. The department reported
that the median wait time was 0 seconds from May
2014 onward but did not track that information prior to
that date. The abandoned call rate also decreased
in 2014, going from 22% in December 2013 to 2% in
December 2014. The department received nearly
153,000 calls in 2014. The department attributes its
improvement in hotline wait times and abandoned
calls to a telephony system upgrade in 2014 and other
process improvements. (Ben Beutler)
Governor’s Council on Workforce Policy – 2014 Annual
Report – Pursuant to A.R.S. § 41-1542, the Governor’s
Council on Workforce Policy (GCWP) submitted its
annual report on workforce development. The total
workforce spending from state, federal, and local
sources for FY 2014 was $422.9 million. Of this total, the
Department of Economic Security accounted for
$208.0 million, Department of Education for $15.8
million, Arizona Commerce Authority for $5.3 million,
and Community Colleges for $193.8 million.
Excluding the community colleges, the largest
programs in FY 2014 included Vocational
Rehabilitation ($84.8 million), the Workforce
Investment Act program ($46.4 million),
Unemployment Insurance ($36.7 million), and the Jobs
program, which provides employment and training
services to Temporary Assistance for Needy Families
(TANF) recipients ($15.9 million). (Eric Billings)
Department of Health Services – Report on Arnold v.
Sarn – Pursuant to a FY 2015 General Appropriation
Act footnote, the Department of Health Services (DHS)
has submitted the first and second quarter report on
implementing the Arnold v. Sarn joint agreement.
The state has been a longstanding defendant in the
Arnold v. Sarn litigation concerning the level of
services provided to the Seriously Mentally Ill (SMI)
population. In January 2014, both parties filed a joint
agreement with the court to terminate the lawsuit.
The agreement, which received court approval in
February 2014, requires expansion of certain services
by June 2016 and continued monitoring of service
capacity and quality.

Assertive Community Treatment (ACT): The joint
agreement requires DHS to establish 8 new ACT
teams. ACT teams include more than 10 specialized
health care professionals that provide services, such
as substance abuse treatment and supported
employment, which are tailored to the client’s needs.
DHS added 1 team in both the first and second
quarters and plans to add 2 teams later in FY 2015.
DHS states that cost per team is approximately $1.5
million. In total, the cost to establish all 8 teams is
projected to be $11.6 million ($8.7 million General
Fund and $2.9 million Federal Funds).
Peer Support: The joint agreement requires DHS to
provide peer support services to an additional 1,500
SMI clients. Peer support services are delivered in
individual and group settings by individuals who have
personal experience with mental illness, substance
abuse or dependence, and recovery. DHS added 50
clients in the first quarter and 125 clients in the second
quarter. DHS states that the cost per client is
approximately $1,100. In total, the cost to serve 1,500
SMI clients is projected to be $1.6 million ($1.2 million
General Fund and $411,000 Federal Funds).
Supported Employment: The joint agreement requires
DHS to provide supported employment services to an
additional 750 SMI clients. Supported employment
services include assistance in attaining employment,
job coaching, transportation, assistive technology,
specialized job training and individually tailored
supervision. DHS added 19 clients in the first quarter
and 48 clients in the second quarter. DHS states that
the cost per client is approximately $1,600. In total,
the cost to serve 750 SMI clients is projected to be $1.2
million ($922,500 General Fund and $307,500 Federal
Funds).
Supported Housing: The joint agreement requires DHS
to provide supported housing services to an additional
1,200 SMI clients. Supported housing is permanent
housing with support services. DHS states that the cost
per client is approximately $26,300. DHS added 100
clients in the first quarter and 100 clients in the second
quarter. In total, the cost to serve 1,200 SMI clients is
projected to be $31.5 million ($26.8 million General
Fund and $4.7 million Federal Funds). (Matt Gress)
Ombudsman-Citizens Aide Office – Annual Report –
Pursuant to A.R.S. § 41-1376, the ombudsman-citizens
aide is to submit an annual written report by January 1
summarizing their activities during the previous fiscal
year, and semiannually present this report before
Legislative Council. The ombudsman-citizens aide
issued an annual report for CY 2013 on May 23, 2014.
The CY 2013 annual report includes the ombudsman’s
mission statement, and cites examples of cases in the
office’s 3 focus areas of administrative actions of state

9

JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – FEBRUARY 2015

Summary of Recent Agency Reports (Continued)
agencies, Child Protective Services (CPS, now known
as Department of Child Safety), and public access
cases. There were 4,853 total cases in CY 2013
including 3,387 involving coaching, 1,255 needing
assistance, and 211 requesting investigations. Of the
211 total requests for investigation, 185 were
completed, 8 are ongoing, and the Ombudsman
declined to investigate 18.

Chandler USD. SFB estimates that land costs and site
conditions for both projects in total would be $3.4
million. To date, SFB has only approved a project for
the Benson USD. After this report was submitted, SFB
further revised their enrollment projections and
awarded 17,190 square feet of additional K-4 space
to Benson USD at a cost of $3.4 million, including land
and site conditions.

The ombudsman-citizens aide also issued a semiannual report for January – June 2014 on December
22, 2014, which follows the same format as the annual
report. There were 2,769 total cases including 1,888
involving coaching, 769 needing assistance, and 112
requesting investigations in the first 6 months of CY
2014. (Bob Hull)

In FY 2017, SFB estimates a total funding requirement
of $63.2 million for New School Construction for 7
districts. The 7 districts are: Agua Fria Union, Chandler
Unified, Laveen Elementary, Litchfield Elementary,
Pima Unified, Thatcher Unified, and Tolleson Union.
The projects would cost $59.8 million to fund 400,110
square feet of additional space. SFB estimates that
land costs and site conditions for these 7 projects in
total would be $3.4 million.

Department of Public Safety – Quarterly Report on the
GIITEM Fund – Pursuant to A.R.S. § 41-1724, the
Department of Public Safety (DPS) is required to report
quarterly on Gang and Immigration Intelligence Team
Enforcement Mission (GIITEM) Fund expenditures. In FY
2015, the GIITEM Fund was appropriated $2.6 million in
General Fund monies for grants to local law
enforcement agencies to help with border security.
During the second quarter of FY 2015 DPS distributed
$1.6 million to the Maricopa County Sheriff and
$500,000 to the Pinal County Sheriff as required by
A.R.S. § 41-1724 C, bringing the year-to-date total to
$2.1 million.
Additionally, the GIITEM Border Security and Law
Enforcement Subaccount received $536,700 in
criminal fine and fee revenues in the second quarter
of FY 2015, bringing the year-to-date total to $1.1
million. DPS expended $988,000 in the second quarter
bringing the year-to-date total to $1.1 million. The
monies were granted to 15 local law enforcement
agencies and the Arizona Department of Corrections
for border security purposes. (Eric Billings)
School Facilities Board – Report on Funding Estimates –
Pursuant to A.R.S. § 15-2002, the School Facilities Board
(SFB) is required to report by December 1 on the
estimated amounts necessary in FY 2016 and FY 2017
for the Emergency Deficiencies Correction and New
School Facilities Programs.
In both FY 2016 and FY 2017, SFB estimates no funds
will be available for the Emergency Deficiencies
Correction Program.
In FY 2016, SFB estimates a total funding requirement
of $25.0 million for New School Construction for 2
districts. The first project would cost $590,000 and
would fund 4,320 square feet of additional K-4 space
in the Benson Unified School District (USD). The second
project would cost $21.0 million and would fund
125,750 square feet of additional 9-12 space in the

SFB estimates that the Lease-to-Own Debt Service will
be $172.4 million and $172.3 million in FY 2016 and FY
2017, respectively.
SFB did not request to transfer any monies from the
New School Facilities Fund to the Emergency
Deficiencies Correction Fund in FY 2016 or FY 2017,
due to the lack of excess monies in the New School
Facilities Fund. (Josh Hope)
Secretary of State - Report on the Election Systems
Improvement Fund – Pursuant to a General
Appropriation Act footnote and A.R.S. § 41-129C, the
Secretary of State submitted a report on the
expenditures from the Election Systems Improvement
Fund to implement the Help America Vote Act. The
expenditures in FY 2014 were $3.5 million and are
projected to be $2.5 million in FY 2015 and FY 2016.
The Secretary of State reports that FY 2014
expenditures were used as follows: 54% for voter
registration, 13% on voter accessibility, 7% for
administration, 1% for poll workers, 24% on voter
education, and 1% for telecommunication and
training. A similar distribution is expected to continue
for FY 2015 and FY 2016. (Krista MacGahan)
Arizona Board of Regents – Report on Credit Hour
Threshold FTE Student Counts – Pursuant to A.R.S. § 151626, the Arizona Board of Regents (ABOR) is required
to report by October 15 on the number of students
that met or exceeded the undergraduate credit hour
threshold. ABOR reports that students exceeded the
145 credit hour threshold by a cumulative 319.2 fulltime equivalent (FTE) students in the fall 2014 semester.
This represents a decrease of (35.8) FTE from the fall
2013 semester figure of 355 FTE. (Micaela Larkin)

10

JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – FEBRUARY 2015

January Spending
January 2015 General Fund spending of $683.4 million
was $69.7 million greater than January 2014. Year-todate, spending is $6.51 billion, or $425.7 million above
last year. (See Tables 5 & 6).
•

•

Year-to-date, the Department of Education has
spent $134.3 million more than the prior year.

Year-to-date, Department of Health Services
spending has increased by $61.7 million
compared to the prior year. This increase is in
part due to the restoration of childless adult
Medicaid coverage, which is entirely paid for
with General Fund monies in the Department of
Health Services.

Table 5
General Fund Spending ($ in Millions)
Change From

YTD Change

Jan 15

Jan 14

Year-to-Date

from FY 14

AHCCCS

114.0

11.9

814.5

26.4

Corrections

78.7

(2.6)

569.2

18.4

Agency

1.2

1.2

79.9

79.9

Economic Security

Child Safety

107.4

37.8

627.3

47.5

Education

244.9

27.9

2,646.0

134.3

Health Serv ices

15.8

5.3

532.7

61.7

Public Safety

14.7

12.2

53.1

33.2

School Facilities Board

0.1

(30.5)

156.1

(32.1)

Univ ersities

51.9

3.1

541.1

23.1

Leaseback Debt Serv ice

0.0

0.0

84.1

0.0

Other

54.7

3.4

401.6

33.3

Total

683.4

69.7

6,505.6

425.7

11

JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – FEBRUARY 2015

Table 6

General Fund Spending
($ in Thousands)
Agency
Dept. of Admin./Automation Projects Fund
ADOA – Sale/Leaseback Debt Service
Office of Administrative Hearings
Commission of African-American Affairs
Department of Agriculture
AHCCCS
Attorney General
State Board of Charter Schools
Department of Child Safety
AZ Commerce Authority
Community Colleges
Corporation Commission
Department of Corrections
County Funding
AZ State Schools for the Deaf & Blind
Dept. of Econ. Security
Department of Education
DEMA
DEQ – WQARF
Office of Equal Opportunity
State Board of Equalization
Board of Executive Clemency
Department of Financial Institutions
Department of Fire, Bldg and Life Safety
State Forester
Arizona Geological Survey
Governor/OSPB
Department of Health Services
Arizona Historical Society
Prescott Historical Society of AZ
Independent Redistricting Comm.
Commission of Indian Affairs
Department of Insurance
Judiciary
Supreme/Superior Court
Court of Appeals
Department of Juvenile Corrections

Jan 15
819.1
89.3
1.4
448.8
114,024.2
2,742.1
58.4
1,211.3
2,625.0
16,858.5
52.2
78,731.8
1,886.1
107,359.5
244,881.6
2,439.4
13.3
24.9
62.0
227.4
181.1
280.9
118.4
753.6
15,758.9
231.2
66.4
96.4
10.5
472.5

Change from
Jan 14
(88.6)
19.2
1.4
(325.7)
11,920.1
1,076.8
(28.7)
1,211.3
729.5
16.3
(2,637.8)
(38.5)
37,814.1
27,888.7
1,851.8
(14.5)
(14.1)
0.6
10.8
54.9
24.0
68.1
271.1
5,257.1
0.9
17.1
40.7
6.5
79.4

Year-to-Date
40,281.1
84,123.7
536.7
1.4
4,727.3
814,485.9
12,809.7
515.4
79,898.1
18,525.0
53,225.8
353.2
569,217.6
7,650.5
13,272.1
627,318.6
2,645,986.4
5,439.3
7,000.0
87.6
346.7
556.9
1,779.3
1,257.0
2,042.1
594.1
6,548.7
532,716.8
2,033.1
411.8
647.0
39.8
3,191.3

YTD Change
from FY 14
14,856.6
3.9
18.3
1.4
(349.1)
26,420.7
606.9
(3.9)
79,898.1
150.0
4,164.8
72.8
18,416.7
500.0
(218.1)
47,472.1
134,294.2
1,388.3
(38.2)
(20.6)
76.6
78.6
77.4
192.2
188.0
718.0
61,712.8
49.1
1.5
(213.2)
6.2
9.1

10,425.1
1,098.0
3,234.5

(66.4)
(87.9)
341.7

57,229.1
8,141.6
23,302.6

710.4
21.6
641.8

12

JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – FEBRUARY 2015

Table 6 (Continued)

Agency
State Land Department
Legislature
Auditor General
House of Representatives
Joint Legislative Budget Comm.
Legislative Council
Senate
Mine Inspector
Nav. Streams & Adjudication
Occupational Safety and Health Review
Phoenix Convention Center
Pioneers’ Home
Comm. for Postsecondary Ed.
Department of Public Safety
Public Safety Personnel Retirement System
Arizona Department of Racing
Radiation Regulatory Agency
Real Estate Department
Department of Revenue
School Facilities Board
Secretary of State
Tax Appeals Board
Office of Tourism
Universities
Board of Regents
Arizona State University
Northern Arizona University
University of Arizona
Department of Veteran Services
Department of Water Resources
Water Infrastructure Finance Authority
Department of Weights & Measures
Other - JP Salaries Distribution
Other
Total

Jan 15
868.7

Change from
Jan 14
85.4

Year-to-Date
7,275.3

YTD Change
from FY 14
463.2

1,554.1
1,202.1
174.1
589.9
661.1
77.7
9.7
185.8
698.4
14,740.4
80.0
225.3
154.6
(738.6)
102.1
727.4
18.1
1,420.7

66.6
160.5
(17.4)
25.6
(87.0)
(5.3)
0.5
(182.1)
610.4
12,154.0
(5.1)
(3.8)
(46.2)
(1,947.5)
(30,528.8)
92.2
0.3
894.7

11,718.2
7,301.2
1,299.7
5,620.5
4,685.8
685.8
99.2
0.9
20,449.0
1,018.0
1,396.8
53,093.9
6,000.0
1,869.6
975.6
1,521.9
29,231.5
156,077.4
8,220.3
164.6
8,393.3

719.4
344.3
112.1
1,384.1
0.4
(15.0)
30.3
(1.4)
(161.3)
610.4
33,231.8
1,000.0
(5.3)
(1.1)
0.3
(1,518.6)
(32,113.3)
884.8
2.3
4,941.5

6,343.8
21,559.2
7,315.5
16,666.4
345.1
995.1
113.2
34.5
683,408.1

322.5
1,918.8
753.0
70.0
(69.7)
109.6
10.7
(154.3)
34.5
69,660.6

22,282.3
241,489.8
81,703.5
195,594.5
2,665.5
6,230.1
1,000.0
785.7
421.4
38.5
6,505,603.4

3,882.8
13,431.4
5,271.1
490.1
(344.0)
204.3
1,000.0
91.1
(104.8)
38.0
425,715.7

JLBC
3

JLBC
Not seasonally adjusted

Jul 12
Jul 13
Jul 14

Jan 14

Jul 11
Jul 12

Jul 14

Jan 14

Jul 13

Jan 13

Jul 03

Jul 14

Jan 14

Jul 13

Jan 13

Jul 12

Jan 12

Jul 11

Jan 11

Jul 10

Jan 10

Jul 09

Jan 09

Jul 08

Jan 08

Jul 07

Jan 07

Jul 06

Jan 06

Jul 05

Jan 05

Jul 04

Jan 04

2,200

Jan 12

Jul 02
Jan 03

2,300

Jan 13

35,000

Jul 11

Jul 01
Jan 02

2,400

Jan 12

Jan 11

Jul 10

Jan 10

Jul 09

Jan 09

Jul 08

Jan 08

Jul 07

Jan 07

Jul 06

Jan 06

Jul 05

Jan 05

Jul 04

Jan 04

Jul 03

Jan 03

Jul 02

Jan 02

8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
-2%
-4%
-6%
-8%
-10%

Jan 11

Jul 10

Jan 10

Jul 09

Jan 09

Jul 08

Jan 08

Jul 07

Jan 07

Jul 06

Jan 06

Jul 05

Jan 05

(3.4)% Y/Y Growth
(December 2014)

Jul 04

$19

Jan 04

$20

Jul 03

$23

Jan 03

$25

Jul 02

JLBC

Jan 02

1
Jul 01

Slide:
Thousands of Jobs

February 2015
Appendix A

Jan 01

Jan 01

2……Total Non-Farm Employment
3……Average Hourly Earnings – Private Sector
4……Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance
5……State Sales Tax Collections – Retail Category
6……State Sales Tax Collections – Contracting
Category
7……Residential Building Permits
8……Economic Activity Index
Year Over Year Growth (%)

Tracking Arizona’s Recovery

Jul 01

$22.50 / Hour
(December 2014)

Total Monthly Claims for UI Benefits

Jul 14

Jan 14

Jul 13

$ / Hour

JLBC

Jan 01

Jul 14

Jan 14

12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
-2%
-4%
-6%

Jul 13

Jan 13

Jul 12

Jan 12

July 11

Jan 11

July 10

Jan 10

July 09

Jan 09

July 08

Jan 08

July 07

Jan 07

$21

Jan 13

Jul 12

Jan 12

July 11

Jan 11

July 10

Jan 10

July 09

Jan 09

July 08

Jan 08

July 07

Jan 07

Year Over Year Growth (%)

Total Non-Farm Employment

2,800

2,700

2,600

2,500

$22.73 / Hour
(Octoberjobs
2014)
2,639,900
(December 2014)

2,100

2.5% Y/Y Growth
(December 2014)

2

Average Hourly Earnings – Private Sector

$24

Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance

$22

45,000

40,000

30,000

17,142 Claims
(December 2014)

25,000

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

4

State Sales Tax Collections – Contracting Category

State Sales Tax Collections – Retail Category

$100
$225
$75

$42.8 million
(January 2015)

$ in Millions

$175

$150

$25

$227.7 million
(January 2015)

Jul 14

Jan 15

Jul 13

Jan 14

Jul 12

Jan 13

Jan 12

Jan 11

July 11

Jan 10

July 10

Jan 09

July 09

Jan 08

Jan 07

July 08

Jan 15

Jul 14

Jan 14

Jul 13

Jan 13

Jul 12

Jan 12

Jan 11

July 11

Jan 10

July 10

Jan 09

Jan 08

July 09

JLBC

July 07

July 06

7.4% Y/Y Growth
(January 2015)
July 08

Jul 14

Jul 13

Jan 13

Jul 12

Jan 12

Jan 11

July 11

Jan 10

July 10

Jan 09

July 09

Jan 08

July 08

July 07

Jan 07

Jan 15

5

* January 2014 estimate adjusted downward by $30 million to reflect onetime category shift.

Excludes temporary 1 ¢ sales tax

40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
-40%
-50%

July 07

Year Over Year Growth (%)

Jul 14

Jan 15

Jul 13

$0

9.1% Y/Y Growth
(January 2015)
* Jan 14

JLBC

* Jan 14

Jul 12

Jan 13

Jan 12

Jan 11

July 11

Jan 10

July 10

Jan 09

July 09

Jan 08

July 08

Jan 07

July 07

20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
July 06

Year Over Year Growth (%)

July 06

$100

Jan 07

$125

$50

July 06

$ in Millions

$200

6

Excludes temporary 1 ¢ sales tax

Economic Activity Index

Residential Building Permits
100,000

210

191.3 Index Value
(December 2014)

200

80,000
70,000
60,000

Single Family Unit - 17,555 Permits
Multi-Family Unit - 10,308 Permits
(Dec. 2014)

50,000
40,000
30,000

Coincident Index Value

Building Permits

90,000

190
180
170
160

20,000
150

10,000

7

JLBC

Source: Coincident Index – Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. Combines four state-level indicators
(employment, average hours worked in manufacturing, the unemployment rate, and wage and salary
disbursements) to summarize current economic conditions.

Jul 14

Jul 13

Jan 14

Jan 13

Jul 12

Jan 12

Jul 11

Jan 11

Jul 10

Jul 09

Jan 10

Jul 08

Jan 09

Jan 08

Jul 07

Jul 06

Jan 07

Jan 06

Jul 05

Jul 04

Jan 05

Jul 03

Jan 04

Jan 03

Jul 02

Jan 02

Jan 01

Jul 14

Jul 13

Jan 14

Jul 12

Jan 13

Jul 11

Jan 12

Jan 11

Jul 10

Jul 09

Jan 10

Jul 08

12-Month Moving Sum

Jan 09

Jan 08

Jul 07

Jul 06

Jan 07

Jan 06

Jul 05

Jul 04

Jan 05

Jul 03

Jan 04

Jan 03

Jul 02

Jan 02

Jul 01

Jan 01

JLBC

Jul 01

140

0

8