JLBC - Monthly Fiscal Highlights 1716 W. Adams Phoenix, AZ 85007 Phone: (602) 926-5491 Fax: (602) 926-5416 www.azleg.gov/jlbc.htm “Year-to-date, revenues are 4.4% higher than last year and are $15.7 million March 2013 Summary February General Fund revenue collections totaled $339.6 million. Base revenues, which exclude one-time adjustments, were 17.4% above the prior year. Total February General Fund collections were $14.1 million above the Baseline forecast. Yearto-date, revenues are 4.4% higher than last year and are $15.7 million above the Baseline forecast. The 17.4% growth rate overstates real economic activity. February revenue collections are significantly affected by the processing of individual income tax refunds, which can make the year-over-year comparison misleading. In comparison to revenue of $339.6 million, February 2013 General Fund spending was $360.3 million, or $(21.9) million below last year. February refund checks tend to offset any withholding and payments. The net collection amount is usually small and subject to significant variation. In February 2013, individual income tax collections were actually a negative $(46.5) million as refunds were greater than collections. In comparison, February 2012's net loss was ($72.6) million. This $26.1 million, or 36%, gain between February 2012 and 2013 may solely reflect timing in the processing of refunds. The actual trend in taxpayer liability will require additional months of income tax data. Fiscal year-to-date, General Fund revenues of $5.7 billion have been offset by $6.5 billion in General Fund spending. While February income tax data is difficult to interpret, the sales tax posted a strong gain. Sales tax revenues were up 7.4% from February of last year. As noted in Table 2, there were also relatively high growth rates in all of the largest sales tax categories. February expenditures were lower than last year primarily due to decreased K-12 Education spending resulting from the timing of school district payments and land trust disbursements over the last 2 years. The state’s fiscal health can also be measured by the operating fund balance. The state pays its bills out of the operating fund balance, which consists of the General Fund and certain dedicated funds. As of mid-March 2013, the operating balance is $1.8 billion. above the Baseline Table of Contents forecast.” Summary.................................................................. 1 February Revenues ................................................ 2 Economic Indicators.............................................. 4 Summary of Recent Agency Reports • ADOA/Treasurer – Report on GF Balance ..... 7 This report has been prepared for the Arizona Legislature by the Joint Legislative Budget Committee Staff on March 20, 2013. • Governor’s Council – Annual Report .............. 7 • JLBC Staff – Report on Credit Card Transactions ........................................................ 7 • Department of Public Safety – Quarterly Report on GIITEM Fund ...................................... 7 • DOR – Report on Temporary Collectors ........ 7 • Universities – Report on Research Infrastructure Income ........................................ 8 February Spending................................................. 8 Tracking Arizona’s Recovery.............Appendix A 2 JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – MARCH 2013 February Revenues Table 1 February Year-to-Date General Fund Revenues ($ in Millions) FY 2013 Collections $ 339.6 $ 5,749.0 Sales Tax collections of $386.6 million were 7.4% above February 2012 and $16.2 million above the Baseline forecast for the month. Year-to-date, sales tax collections are 4.8% above the prior year and are $17.4 million above forecast. “February retail… increased by 10.2%...(which) marks the highest growth rate compared to the prior year in 20 months (since June 2011).” Table 2 displays the February growth rates for the largest categories. Table 2 Sales Tax Growth Rates Compared to Prior Year Retail Contracting Utilities Use Restaurant & Bar February 10.2% 5.6% 6.9% 8.2% 4.9% YTD 6.4% 2.8% 3.3% (1.6)% 6.4% Retail and contracting together account for almost 60% of all sales tax revenues. February retail, which reflects January sales, increased by 10.2%. The February increase marks the highest growth rate compared to the prior year in 20 months (since June 2011). The increase brings the growth in retail collections for the fiscal year up to 6.4%. Contracting collections have been much more volatile than retail. The February increase of 5.6% brings the year-to-date increase to a modest 2.8%. Individual Income Tax net revenues were $(46.5) million in February, which was $26.1 million more than the prior year. Collections were $(4.0) million below the Baseline forecast. Year-todate, revenues have grown 8.4% and are $10.6 million above forecast. As indicated in Table 3, withholding was down (4.2)% in February. The February decrease brings withholding tax collections for the fiscal year to 3.7% over the prior year. This amount is $5.1 million above the Baseline forecast. Difference From Baseline Forecast $ 14.1 $ 15.7 Difference From FY 2012 $ 31.8 $ 19.4 Total estimated and final payments of $17.0 million were (13.6)% below last year, and were $(4.8) million below forecast. Year-to-date, payments are $(8.9) million below the forecast. Refunds of $(338.5) million were $(40.9) million less than last year’s amount. Year-to-date, refunds are $14.0 million below forecast. Table 3 Individual Income Tax Growth Rates Compared to Prior Year Withholding Estimated + Final Payments Refunds February (4.2)% (13.6)% (10.8)% YTD 3.7% 1.9% (15.4)% Corporate Income Tax net collections were $12.9 million in February, which is $0.6 million greater than the prior year’s net collections of $12.3 million. Collections for the month were $1.0 million above the forecast. Year- to-date, collections are down (10.5)% and are $(9.8) million below forecast. The Lottery Commission reports that February ticket sales were $55.8 million, which is $(5.0) million, or (8.2)%, less than sales in the prior year. Year-to-date ticket sales are $435.6 million, which is 7.2% above last year’s sales. While yearto-date sales have increased, net General Fund revenues actually declined due to an increase in the payment of debt service for the Lottery Revenue Bonds issued in FY 2010. Non-General Fund Highway User Revenue Fund (HURF) revenues consist of gasoline and use fuel (diesel) tax, motor carrier fees (commercial carriers), vehicle license tax and registration fees, and various other fees. HURF collections of $104.0 million in February were down $(4.1) million, or (3.8)%, compared to February of last year. Year-todate revenues are (0.3)% below collections in the prior year. 3 JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – MARCH 2013 February Revenues (Continued) Table 4 General Fund Revenue: Change from Previous Year and January Baseline Forecast February 2013 Current Month FY 2013 YTD (Eight Months) Change From Actual February 2012 February 2013 Amount Change from Actual Baseline Forecast Percent Amount Percent February 2012 February 2013 Amount Baseline Forecast Percent Amount Percent Taxes Sales and Use - Base* - 1¢ Increase* Income - Individual - Corporate Property Luxury - Tobacco - Liquor Insurance Premium Estate Other Taxes $308,634,610 $20,854,976 $2,527,799,598 $108,914,884 77,970,099 5,881,940 8.2 5,918,761 8.2 636,921,336 35,869,858 6.0 9,575,843 1.5 (46,521,112) 26,122,384 36.0 (3,970,620) 9.3 2,252,222,207 175,240,548 8.4 10,574,630 0.5 592,360 4.8 1,013,574 8.5 (190,902) (41.5) 12,939,514 268,608 1,954,075 $10,231,531 (456,392) 3.4 % 4.5 % $7,832,673 0.3 % 329,075,981 (38,474,216) (10.5) (9,799,880) (2.9) (63.0) 8,466,703 (2,000,538) (19.1) (968,579) (10.3) (5.1) (4.2) 0 0.0 16,493,221 (1,645,296) (9.1) (886,322) 2,652,087 1,047,461 65.3 0 0.0 20,744,196 1,190,118 6.1 (806,669) (3.7) 4,035,695 975,679 31.9 1,035,695 34.5 152,874,548 (9,927,765) (6.1) (5,610,966) (3.5) -- 0 (200,825) (100.0) (70.2) 346,678 (15,966) (4.4) 0 29,804 (85,187) 7.2 % 0 (7,601) -(20.3) $13,702,353 3.9 % $5,944,944,468 $268,950,802 4.7 % 0 (93,769) -(21.3) $361,963,380 $55,191,110 Lottery 4,991,580 126,140 2.6 991,580 24.8 26,609,920 (8,211,260) (23.6) 561,720 2.2 License, Fees and Permits 1,712,201 87,319 5.4 312,201 22.3 19,648,309 1,446,136 7.9 992,246 5.3 (1,552) (41.9) (78.5) 4,906,667 2,801,685 133.1 4,874,022 6.8 19,158,506 801,497 4.4 487,014 2.6 (70.7) 17,801,888 (22.4) (759,270) (4.1) -- 0 (26.3) 7,888,622 Sub-Total Taxes 18.0 % 0 (70,196) $9,816,961 0.2 % Other Revenue Interest Sales and Services Other Miscellaneous Disproportionate Share Transfers and Reimbursements Sub-Total Other Revenue TOTAL BASE REVENUE 2,152 9,610,099 586,308 647,591 7.2 (176,554) (23.1) 0 0 368,704 267,505 -264.3 (7,848) 610,099 (1,413,692) 0 (131,296) $17,271,044 $950,449 5.8 % $361,044 2.1 % $96,013,912 $379,234,424 $56,141,559 17.4 % $14,063,397 3.9 % $6,040,958,379 (5,126,538) 0 (4,325,729) ($12,614,209) $256,336,592 -(35.4) 0 (268,589) -- -(3.3) (11.6) % $5,887,143 6.5 % 4.4 % $15,704,104 0.3 % Other Adjustments Urban Revenue Sharing Budget Plan Transfers Sub-Total Other Adjustments TOTAL GENERAL FUND REVENUE (42,798,670) (7,430,050) 21.0 0 0.0 (342,389,360) (59,440,400) 21.0 0 3,194,598 (16,937,906) (84.1) 0 0.0 50,425,927 (164,644,386) (76.6) 0 0.0 (39,604,072) (24,367,956) 159.9 % 0 0.0 % (291,963,433) (236,952,214) 430.7 % 0 0.0 % 10.3 % $14,063,397 4.3 % $5,748,994,947 0.3 % $15,704,104 0.3 % (4.4) % $796,056,284 $339,630,352 $31,773,603 $19,384,379 0.0 Non-General Funds Highway User Revenue Fund $103,970,781 ($4,119,867) (3.8) % ($4,768,411) ($2,778,604) (0.3) % ($7,571,613) * Total February collections including the temporary 1¢ increase approved by the voters in May 2010 were $386.6 million. This amount is $26.7 million, or 7.4%, above February 2012 and $16.2 million, or 4.4%, above forecast. (0.9) % 4 JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – MARCH 2013 Recent Economic Indicators NATIONAL According to the U.S. Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis, the U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) increased at a revised annual rate of 0.1% in the fourth quarter of 2012. This deceleration from third quarter growth of 3.1% was largely due to fluctuations in inventory investment and federal defense spending. Consumer spending and business fixed investment increased, compared to the third quarter. “[The] U.S. Consumer Confidence Index grew 19.2% in February, following three months of decreases.” The Conference Board’s U.S. Consumer Confidence Index grew 19.2% in February, following three months of decreases. February’s reading represents the largest monthly increase since November 2011, though it does not fully reflect recent impacts of the sequester and gas prices on confidence. The index decreased (2.8)% from the reading in February 2012. The Conference Board’s U.S. Leading Economic Index increased by 0.2% in January and 2.1% above the measure in January 2012. This modest monthly improvement was primarily the result of increases to several financial market sub-indices. Gains were partially offset by reduced consumer expectations and new manufacturing orders. Consumer prices, as measured by the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), were unchanged in January and grew by 1.6 % above the prior year. For a second month in a row, declining gas prices offset inflation in other product categories. During January, a 0.3% increase in core inflation (all prices except for food and energy) was offset by a (3.0)% decrease in gas prices. ARIZONA Housing The number of Maricopa County pending foreclosures decreased from 11,124 in January to 10,596 in February. The February total is significantly below the peak in December 2009 (51,466). See Appendix A – Tracking Arizona’s Recovery. The total housing inventory in the Greater Phoenix area decreased from 23,736 in February 2012 to 21,718 in February 2013, a (8.5)% decrease. This continues the decline in inventory that started in January 2011. As the supply of housing has declined, the price has increased. In the Metropolitan Phoenix area, the median price of a single family home was $163,000 in January. This represents a (0.6) decrease from December, and a 35.3% increase from January of last year. Another measure of the health of the Arizona real estate market is permitting activity. For the 3-month period through January, a total of 1,152 single-family building permits had been issued statewide, a 41.3% increase from last year. While permitting activity has seen gains, the current level of permitting remains far below a more normal 3-month average of 3,000 to 4,000 permits. See Appendix A – Tracking Arizona’s Recovery. The multi-family housing sector has also seen gains, with the 3-month period ending in January resulting in a total of 723 multi-family building permits being issued in the state. However, this figure remains well below the peak of activity in April 2007. Employment As a result of the annual benchmarking revision of establishment survey data, the Department of Administration (DOA) reported in March that Arizona nonfarm employment growth in 2011 and 2012 was marginally higher than previous estimates had indicated. By incorporating more comprehensive data based on unemployment insurance records, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) determined that the state added on average 5,925 and 4,325 more jobs per month in 2011 and 2012, respectively, than previously reported. On an average annual basis, the job growth in 2011, as well as 2012, was 0.2% higher than previously estimated. The latest estimate of nonfarm employment showed that the state shed (45,500) jobs in January over December in the prior year. Job losses typically occur in January when the holiday season comes to an end. The average job reduction for the month of January in the prior 10 years was (58,600). Compared to January 2012, nonfarm employment is up by 2.0%, or 47,700 jobs. The household survey data used to estimate the state’s unemployment rate was also revised in March. The historical revision, which covered the period from 2008 to 2012 5 JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – MARCH 2013 Recent Economic Indicators was relatively small. The state’s jobless rate increased from 7.9% in December to 8.0% in January, which was 0.1% higher than the national average. State Agency Data “Compared to the same month last year, SNAP participation was down by (2.0)%.” At the beginning of March, total AHCCCS caseloads equaled 1.26 million members, a (0.1)% decrease from the prior month. Overall, AHCCCS caseloads are currently (3.1)% below March 2012 levels. The traditional acute care AHCCCS population, which consists primarily of lower income children and their parents, stayed flat since last month and decreased (1.0)% from a year ago. The total population in this program is almost 900,000. The childless adult program has not allowed new participants since July 2011. This population has declined (142,837) since then to 81,655. As a whole, the Proposition 204 program has declined (1.0)% compared to the prior month, and (21.5)% from the prior year. KidsCare I provides coverage for 7,694 children with incomes above those in the traditional population. Its enrollment has declined since a freeze was implemented in January 2010. Enrollment declined (2.4)% compared to the prior month and (33.9)% from the prior year. Beginning on May 1, 2012, AHCCCS began a new program, entitled KidsCare II, which provides coverage for children up to 175% of the Federal Poverty Level. The state match is provided by voluntary payments from political subdivisions. As of the beginning of March, 28,273 children were enrolled in KidsCare II. There were 38,587 TANF recipients in the state in January, a monthly caseload decrease of (6.3)%. Year-over-year, the number of TANF recipients has declined by (2.9)%. The statutory lifetime limit on cash assistance is 24 months. The appropriation for TANF cash assistance in the FY 2013 budget funds a caseload of approximately 36,200 recipients in FY 2013. The Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), formerly known as Food Stamps, provides assistance to low-income households to purchase food. In January, there were a total 1.1 million food stamp recipients in the state, a (1.4)% decrease over the prior month. Compared to the same month last year, SNAP participation was down by (2.0)%. (Continued) The 3-month average count of the Department of Corrections (ADC) inmate population decreased to 40,045 inmates in February 2013. Relative to the prior 3-month period, the population has decreased by (30) inmates. Compared to a year ago, the population has increased by 144 inmates. 6 JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – MARCH 2013 Recent Economic Indicators (Continued) Table 5 ECONOMIC INDICATORS Indicator Arizona - Unemployment Rate (SA) - Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims - Unemployment Insurance Recipients - Non-Farm Employment - Total Manufacturing Construction - Average Weekly Hours, Manufacturing - Contracting Tax Receipts (3-month average) - Retail Sales Tax Receipts (3-month average) - Residential Building Permits (3-month moving average) Single-family Multi-unit - Greater Phoenix Home Sales Single-Family Townhouse/Condominium - Greater Phoenix Median Home Price Single-Family Townhouse/Condominium - Greater Phoenix S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index (Jan. 2000 = 100) - Foreclosure Activity, Maricopa County Pending Foreclosures (Active Notices) - Greater Phoenix Total Housing Inventory, (ARMLS) - Phoenix Sky Harbor Air Passengers - Revenue Per Available Hotel Room - Arizona Average Natural Gas Price ($ per thousand cubic feet) - Arizona Consumer Confidence Index (1985 = 100) - Arizona Coincident Index (July 1992 = 100) - Arizona Leading Index -- 6 month projected growth rate - Arizona Personal Income - Arizona Population - AHCCCS Recipients Acute Care Traditional Prop 204 Childless Adults Other Prop 204 Kids Care Kids Care II Long-Term Care – Elderly & DD Emergency Services - TANF Recipients - SNAP (Food Stamps) Recipients - ADC Inmate Growth (3-month average) - Probation Caseload Non-Maricopa Maricopa County United States - Gross Domestic Product (Chained 2005 dollars, SAAR) - Consumer Confidence Index (1985 = 100) - Leading Indicators Index (2004 = 100) - U.S. Semiconductor Billings (3-month moving average) - Consumer Price Index, SA (1982-84 = 100) *Adjusted for 1¢ sales tax Change From Prior Period Change From Prior Year Time Period Current Value January January January January January October December Nov-Jan Nov-Jan 8.0% 24,929 38,966 2.47 million 154,800 116,700 40.7 $36.1 million $169.6 million 0.1 % 36.0% 2.3% (1.8)% (1.3)% (1.0)% 0.7% (0.2)% 13.2% (0.6)% (7.2)% (30.9)% 2.0% 1.4% 7.3% (2.6)% 4.6%* 7.5%* Nov-Jan Nov-Jan 1,152 723 (0.2)% 1.4% 41.3% 129.9% January January 6,939 1,100 (12.8)% (7.3)% (12.5)% (9.8)% January January December $163,000 $101,500 125.33 (0.6)% 1.6% 0.9% 35.3% 45.0% 23.0% February February December January December 10,596 21,718 3.39 million $58.15 $4.80 (4.7)% (1.7)% (0.6)% 45.3% (12.2)% (40.6)% (8.5)% 0.0% 5.0% (4.2)% 4th Quarter 2012 December Oct-Dec 3rd Quarter 2012 July 1, 2012 March January January Dec-Feb 71.3 181.23 2.5% $236.8 billion 6.55 million 1,263,560 881,399 81,655 147,608 7,694 28,273 53,204 63,727 38,587 1,108,674 40,045 3.9% 0.1% (0.3)% 0.6% N/A (0.1)% 0.0% (3.0)% 0.1% (2.4)% 3.7% (0.1)% 1.2% (6.3)% (1.4)% (30) inmates 24.0% 2.6% (0.2)% 4.2% 1.3% (3.1)% (1.0)% (3.9)% (33.9)% 2.3% 10.7% (3.1)% (2.9)% (2.0)% 144 inmates January January 17,872 25,073 (111) (208) (545) (557) 4th Quarter 2012 (2nd Estimate) February January Nov-Jan January $13.7 trillion 0.1% 1.6% 69.6 94.1 $4.77 billion 231.2 19.2% 0.2% (3.5)% 0.0% (2.8)% 2.1% 10.5% 1.6% 7 JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – MARCH 2013 Summary of Recent Agency Reports ADOA/Treasurer – Report on Reconciliation of General Fund Balance for FY 2012 – Pursuant to A.R.S. § 41-172A and A.R.S. § 35-131F the Office of the State Treasurer and the Arizona Department of Administration (ADOA) are required to submit reports reconciling any difference between agencies in the year-end General Fund balance. ADOA and the Treasurer currently report FY 2012 year-end General Fund balances (including dedicated subaccounts and excluding claims payable) of $523.5 million and $522.6 million, respectively. The difference leaves an unreconciled General Fund balance of $918,000. ADOA and the Treasurer report that they will continue to try to isolate the source of the difference. (Eric Billings) Governor’s Council on Workforce Policy – Report on 2012 Annual Report – Pursuant to A.R.S. § 41-1542, the Governor’s Council on Workforce Policy (GCWP) submitted its annual report on workforce development. The total workforce spending from state, federal, and local sources for FY 2011 was $396.9 million. Of this total, the Department of Economic Security accounted for $203.5 million, Department of Education for $13.0 million, Arizona Commerce Authority for $2.9 million, and Community Colleges for $177.5 million. Excluding the community colleges, the largest programs in FY 2011 include Unemployment Insurance ($58.7 million), Vocational Rehabilitation ($51.8 million), the Workforce Investment Act program ($50.5 million), and the Jobs program, which provides employment and training services to Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) recipients ($15.9 million). (Eric Billings) JLBC Staff – FY 2012 Reports on Credit Card Transactions – A.R.S. § 35-142 requires agencies that accept credit cards to annually report the number and dollar amount of those transactions, compared to the number and dollar amount of all transactions. Statute also requires information on the total dollar amounts of any discount, processing, or convenience fees paid. Lastly, each agency must issue a cost benefit report when its percentage of electronic transactions exceeds 30%. Credit card transaction volumes vary widely among the various agencies. The total number of transactions processed by these agencies was 2.4 million, of which electronic transactions totaled 674,970. The total dollar amount of all transactions was $641.9 million. Electronic transactions accounted for $130.6 million of that total. The amount paid in discount fees was $1.1 million, in processing fees was $336,800, and in other fees was $700. The total amount of any convenience fee charged, deducted, or paid for the transaction totaled $404,500. Discount fees totaled 0.87% of the amount of electronic transactions, processing fees totaled 0.26%, and convenience fees totaled 0.31%. (Krista MacGahan) Department of Public Safety – Quarterly Report on the GIITEM Fund – Pursuant to A.R.S. § 41-1724, the Department of Public Safety (DPS) is required to report quarterly on Gang and Immigration Intelligence Team Enforcement Mission (GIITEM) Fund expenditures. During the second quarter of FY 2013, DPS expended $658,600 in GIITEM Immigration Enforcement Grant monies bringing the year-to-date total to $1.4 million. Year-todate, DPS has expended $1.3 million for a grant to the Maricopa County Sheriff’s Office from the FY 2013 nonlapsing $2.6 million appropriation for local law enforcement grants. Included in this amount is $650,900 in second quarter spending. Per statute, Maricopa County receives $1.6 million annually. Pinal County also is statutorily required to receive $500,000 annually, but those monies have not been distributed yet. The remaining $137,000 in total year-to-date expenditures was funded from the FY 2011 non-lapsing $2.6 million appropriation and was utilized to fund border detectives and detention liaison officers. Included in this amount is $7,700 in second quarter spending. There remains a balance of $158,700 in the FY 2011, $190,400 in the FY 2012, and $1.3 million in the FY 2013 appropriations available for use. Additionally, the GIITEM Border Security and Law Enforcement Subaccount received $551,141 in criminal fine and fee revenues in the second quarter of FY 2013, for a total of $1.1 million year-to-date. DPS expended $389,800 in the second quarter and $465,000 year-todate from the Subaccount for border detectives, detention liaison officers, and a grant to the Pima County Sheriff’s Office. (Eric Billings) Department of Revenue – Report on Temporary Collectors – A FY 2013 General Appropriation Act footnote requires the Department of Revenue (DOR) to report on the results of temporary collectors. Beginning in FY 2010, DOR was appropriated $3 million from the General Fund annually for temporary collectors to assist in the collection of already established debt. DOR reports that through December 2012, 47 temporary collectors have been hired and trained at a cost of $1.2 million. Through December, DOR estimated that these temporary collectors have generated approximately $39.4 million in total funds, which resulted in $26.4 million in additional revenue to the General Fund. The collectors were originally estimated to generate a total of $33.9 million in additional General Fund revenue in FY 2013. (Eric Billings) 8 JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – MARCH 2013 Summary of Recent Agency Reports Universities – Report on University Research Infrastructure Income – Pursuant to A.R.S. § 15-1670, Arizona State University (ASU), Northern Arizona University (NAU), and the University of Arizona (UA) are required to submit an annual report on the amount of the previous year’s income from licensure and royalty payments, the sale or transfer of intellectual property developed by the university, and to deposit a portion of that income into the state General Fund. ASU and NAU reported that no (Continued) deposits were made in FY 2012, as they believe that their income is net of expenses instead of gross income. UA did not supply a report for FY 2012. ASU and NAU reported no net income from licensure and royalty payments, or the sale or transfer of intellectual property in FY 2012. In terms of FY 2012 gross income, ASU reported $1.7 million of licensing and royalty revenues and NAU reported $22,300 of licensing and royalty revenues. (Marge Zylla) February Spending February 2013 General Fund spending of $360.3 million was $(21.9) million lower than February 2012. Year-todate, spending is $6.5 billion, or $154.6 million above last year. Table 6 General Fund Spending ($ in Millions) Agency AHCCCS Corrections Economic Security Education Health Services Public Safety School Facilities Board Universities Leaseback Debt Service Other Total Budget Stabilization Fund Deposit Grand Total Feb 13 Change from Feb 12 109.3 71.2 1.3 92.9 13.0 1.5 0.1 (6.0) 4.4 (5.9) (24.6) 3.0 0.0 0.0 43.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 28.0 360.3 6.7 (21.9) 0.0 360.3 0.0 (21.9) Year to Date YTD Change from FY 12 906.6 601.5 525.9 2,589.8 523.6 20.2 172.4 (157.1) (8.6) 35.1 (8.3) 70.6 (18.3) 8.9 544.4 84.1 (11.1) 35.1 347.7 6,316.2 8.3 (45.4) 200.0 200.0 6,516.2 154.6 9 JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – MARCH 2013 Table 7 General Fund Spending ($ in Thousands) Agency Department of Administration ADOA Sale/Leaseback Debt Service Office of Administrative Hearings Department of Agriculture AHCCCS Arts, AZ Commission on the Attorney General AZ Capital Post Conviction Public Defender State Board of Charter Schools AZ Commerce Authority Community Colleges Corporation Commission Department of Corrections AZ State Schools for the Deaf & Blind Department of Economic Security Department of Education DEMA DEQ – WQARF Office of Equal Opportunity State Board of Equalization Board of Executive Clemency Department of Financial Institutions Department of Fire, Life, Bldg Safety Office of the State Forester Arizona Geological Survey Government Information Tech. Governor/OSPB Department of Health Services Arizona Historical Society Prescott Historical Society of AZ Independent Redistricting Comm. Commission on Indian Affairs Department of Insurance Judiciary Supreme/Superior Court Court of Appeals Department of Juvenile Corrections February 13 4,726.6 52.0 484.4 109,325.4 1,538.8 0.3 Change from February 12 4,116.2 (10.9) 322.5 (6,045.8) 390.4 (54.1) Year-to-Date 20,349.8 84,119.8 583.8 5,022.4 906,557.5 14,403.9 4.4 YTD Change from FY 12 9,040.6 35,069.1 27.5 21.5 (157,069.5) (10.4) 3,053.9 (405.3) 50.5 2,625.0 45.0 71,220.1 2,141.0 1,255.3 92,931.9 338.8 17.5 60.2 214.0 148.2 202.6 45.7 685.4 13,027.3 207.6 64.7 31.4 3.3 335.7 (0.2) 8.5 4,436.0 620.3 (5,973.0) (24,643.4) (90.0) (11.9) (2.6) 8.9 39.7 34.6 15.3 (5.0) (8.3) 2,996.6 17.4 17.5 (449.8) (0.1) (7.8) 508.0 21,000.0 48,144.5 377.6 601,450.8 15,540.9 525,934.1 2,589,753.6 5,399.4 7,000.0 55.5 376.7 525.9 1,817.3 1,231.2 3,981.1 633.8 5,781.8 523,587.2 2,191.8 456.5 1,091.5 33.7 3,238.5 14.2 (4,041.6) 23.3 (8,581.0) 1,275.0 35,080.3 (8,260.3) 866.0 (61.0) (32.4) (15.6) 11.2 (9.5) 568.2 42.9 3.1 1,449.4 70,599.1 (33.5) (19.7) (1,950.6) 2.4 (271.7) 2,480.2 1,020.0 3,001.2 275.1 24.2 (84.5) 57,491.6 8,910.3 27,305.4 458.5 (280.2) (4,374.3) 10 JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – MARCH 2013 Agency State Land Department Law Enforcement Merit System Legislature Auditor General House of Representatives Joint Legislative Budget Comm. Legislative Council Senate Mine Inspector Nav. Streams & Adjudication Pioneers’ Home Comm. for Postsecondary Ed. Department of Public Safety Arizona Department of Racing Radiation Regulatory Agency Real Estate Department Department of Revenue School Facilities Board Secretary of State Tax Appeals Board OOffice of Tourism Department of Transportation Universities Board of Regents Arizona State University Northern Arizona University University of Arizona Department of Veteran Services Department of Water Resources Department of Weights & Measures Other Total Budget Stabilization Fund Deposit Grand Total February 13 Change from February 12 Year-to-Date YTD Change from FY 12 71.9 5.0 50.5 0.2 703.8 43.6 (18.3) 5.8 1,423.8 1,101.0 195.9 356.9 702.7 49.2 9.0 39.6 610.3 1,528.9 50.3 148.8 2,504.0 104.1 703.3 17.4 254.2 0.6 94.2 99.0 21.6 34.6 (5.2) (22.0) 2.2 (21.3) 610.3 14.1 (33.3) 6.4 (13.8) 112.8 38.7 23.5 1.3 254.2 (7.0) 11,327.2 7,432.5 1,252.5 5,049.3 5,073.2 730.7 80.1 657.4 1,396.7 20,222.5 1,874.1 1,020.7 1,522.2 27,196.3 172,437.9 12,822.7 175.8 3,293.9 19.4 (377.8) (648.6) (76.8) 1,460.4 (494.6) (9.7) (23.5) (910.8) (0.1) (18,267.9) (860.2) (12.3) (105.4) (5,563.8) 8,851.5 6,378.1 (4.6) 3,293.9 (12.4) 3,828.9 17,381.2 5,924.2 15,870.8 340.4 766.0 94.3 (2,460.3) 360,272.8 360,272.8 3,801.6 (1,788.1) (507.4) (1,001.8) (298.5) 249.0 12.3 (4.0) (21,927.2) (21,927.2) 30,945.0 229,625.1 77,888.4 205,895.8 3,605.8 6,027.6 897.9 2,151.7 6,316,230.2 200,000.0 6,516,230.2 15,210.8 (14,305.2) (4,059.4) (8,014.6) (2,027.3) 2,698.6 188.3 152.2 (45,384.3) 200,000.0 154,615.7 Tracking Arizona’ Arizona’s Recovery Total Non‐ Non‐Farm Employment 2,800 March 2013 Appendix A 2,700 Thousands of Jobs Slide: 2……Total Non‐Farm Employment 3……Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance 4……State Sales Tax Collections – Retail Category 5……State Sales Tax Collections – Contracting Category 6……Single Family Building Permits 7……Maricopa County Pending Foreclosures 8……Coincident Index 2,600 2,500 2,400 2,300 2,200 2001 1 JLBC Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance 2005 2006 2008 2010 2011 JAN JULY JUL JAN JUL JAN JUL 2009 JAN JUL 2007 JAN JUL JAN JUL JAN JUL JAN JUL JAN JUL JUL JAN 2004 2012 2 Not seasonally adjusted State Sales Tax Collections – Retail Category $225 40,000 $200 35,000 $ in Millions 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 $175 $150 $125 2007 Not seasonally adjusted Jan‐13 Oct‐12 Jul‐12 Apr 12 Jan 12 Oct 11 Apr 11 July 11 Jan 11 Oct 10 July 10 Jan 10 Apr 10 Oct 09 July 09 Jan 09 Apr 09 Oct 08 July 08 Jan 08 Apr 08 Oct 07 Apr 07 July 07 JAN JULY JUL 2011 JAN JUL 2010 JAN JUL 2009 JAN JUL 2008 JAN JUL JAN JUL 2006 JAN JUL 2005 JAN JUL 2004 JAN JUL 2003 JAN JUL 2002 JAN JUL JAN JAN 2001 Jan 07 $100 5,000 Oct 06 10,000 July 06 Total Monthly Claims for UI Benefits 2003 JLBC 45,000 JLBC 2002 JAN JUL JAN JAN 2,100 2012 3 JLBC Excludes temporary 1 ¢ sales tax 4 State Sales Tax Collections – Contracting Category Single Family Building Permits 100,000 $100 Single Family Building Permits 90,000 $ in Millions $75 $50 $25 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 Jan‐13 JLBC 5 2003 2004 JLBC 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 JAN JULY JUL JAN JUL JAN JUL JAN JUL JAN JUL JAN JUL JAN JUL 2005 JAN JUL JAN JUL JAN JUL 2002 2012 6 12‐Month Moving Sum Maricopa County Pending Foreclosures Economic Activity Index 210 60,000 200 Coincident Index Value 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 190 180 170 160 150 2003 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2011 An initial notice of trustee sale has been recorded but final sale has not yet occurred 2012 7 JLBC 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011 JULY JUL JAN JUL JAN JAN JUL JUL 2008 JAN JAN JUL JAN JUL JAN JUL JAN JUL JAN JUL JAN JUL JUL 2001 JAN JAN JAN JULY JAN JUL JUL 2010 JAN JAN JUL JAN JUL JUL 2007 JAN JAN JUL JAN JUL JAN JUL JAN JUL JUL 2002 JAN 140 JAN 0 JLBC JAN JUL 2001 Excludes temporary 1 ¢ sales tax JAN 0 JAN Jul‐12 Oct‐12 Jan 12 Apr 12 Oct 11 July 11 Jan 11 Apr 11 Oct 10 July 10 Jan 10 Apr 10 Oct 09 July 09 Jan 09 Apr 09 Oct 08 July 08 Jan 08 Apr 08 Oct 07 July 07 Jan 07 Apr 07 Oct 06 July 06 10,000 $0 2012 Source: Coincident Index – Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. Combines four state‐level indicators (employment, average hours worked in manufacturing, the unemployment rate, and wage and salary disbursements) to summarize current economic conditions. 8