JLBC - Monthly Fiscal Highlights 1716 W. Adams Phoenix, AZ 85007 Phone: (602) 926-5491 Fax: (602) 926-5416 www.azleg.gov/jlbc.htm “October marked the 3rd consecutive month of yearover-year growth in General Fund revenue collections.” November 2010 Summary October marked the third consecutive month of year-over-year growth in General Fund revenue collections. General Fund revenues totaled $565.1 million. Excluding the temporary 1-cent sales tax, these collections were 4.8% above last year. October effectively marked the first time that base sales tax revenues showed positive yearover-year growth since December 2007. This growth was largely the result of increased retail sales. Because consumer spending accounts for almost 70% of Arizona’s economy, sales will need to show even further strength in order for economic conditions to improve considerably. While revenues are beginning to grow, they lagged the forecast by $(12.5) in October. For the 4 months year-to-date, revenues are $(41.2) million below forecast. Projected FY 2011 Shortfall The JLBC Staff has previously estimated that the FY 2011 General Fund revenue shortfall could be up to $(825) million. This high-end estimate assumed that the Early Childhood and Land Conservation Fund transfers totaling $469 million would not be approved in the November General Election. With the actual defeat of the 2 propositions, the $(825) million estimate still applies. Two other factors contribute to the General Fund shortfall: revenue collections and federal Medicaid matching funds both being lower than expected. Recent data suggests that these 2 shortfalls may not be as great as originally projected, but more monthly data is needed to confirm these trends. Please see November 19th Revenue and Budget Update for JLBC Staff's latest presentation on the overall budget picture. In comparison, October General Fund spending was $547.4 million, or slightly below the $565.1 million in revenue collections. The spending level was $(552.4) million below last year. The decrease was largely due to the K-12 school district payment being deferred in FY 2011, along with one-time spending in FY 2010. Fiscal year-to-date, General Fund revenues of $2.7 billion have been offset by $4.0 billion in spending. Due to positive cash flow in October, the state's operating fund balance improved slightly to $474.2 million at the end of October. The state pays its bills out of the operating fund balance, which consists of General Fund monies and certain dedicated funds. Table of Contents This report has been prepared for the Arizona Legislature by the Joint Legislative Budget Committee Staff on November 29, 2010. Summary Summary of Recent Agency Reports • Projected FY 2011 Shortfall ................................1 • ADOA – Motor Vehicle Fleet............................. 7 October Revenues..................................................2 • ADE – K-12 Aggregate Expenditure Limit ....... 7 Economic Indicators ..............................................4 • DEQ – WQARF Report ........................................ 7 • Comm. on Indian Affairs – Town Hall Fund..... 7 October Spending.................................................. 7 2 JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – NOVEMBER 2010 October Revenues Table 1 October Year-to-Date “October is effectively the first month since December 2007 to show positive year-over-year [sales tax] General Fund Revenues ($ in Millions) FY 2011 Difference From Difference Collections Budget Forecast From FY 2010 $ 565.1 $ (12.5) $ 109.6 $ 2,674.2 $ (41.2) $ 415.6 Sales Tax collections were $348.5 million in October. Excluding the $66.3 million from the temporary 1-cent increase, collections were $282.2 million, or 1.5% above October 2009. October is effectively the first month since December 2007 to show positive year-overyear growth. Sales tax revenues increased in April and June 2010, but only due to one-time technical adjustments. While positive, collections lagged projections. Including the 1-cent increase, collections were $(14.2) million below the forecast. The year-todate loss is $(88.8) million. Table 2 displays the October growth rates for the largest categories Table 2 Sales Tax Growth Rates Compared to Prior Year growth.” Retail Contracting Utilities Use Restaurant & Bar October 4.8% (9.0)% 3.9% (15.7)% 2.0% YTD (0.3)% (19.3)% 0.2% (3.2)% 2.1% Retail and contracting together account for about 60% of all sales tax revenues. Retail collections increased 4.8% compared to October of last year, the largest increase since May 2007. While contracting had another month of decline, a (9.0)% decrease compared to October of last year, it was the first month since December 2007 that the decline has been in the single digits. Individual Income Tax net revenues were $203.8 million in October, or 19.5% above the prior year. Collections were $10.7 million above the forecast. Year-to-date, revenues have grown 9.1% and are $31.8 million above forecast through October. As indicated in Table 3 below, withholding tax payments increased by 7.3% in October, making 7 of the past 8 months positive. This increase continues to be difficult to interpret due to changes in the state withholding system. (See the August MFH for additional information.) Given the relatively flat growth in wages and salaries, however, it is increasingly likely that taxpayers are over-withholding and some of those gains will result in higher refunds in April. Table 3 Individual Income Tax Growth Rates Compared to Prior Year Withholding Estimated + Final Payments Refunds October 7.3% (3.6)% YTD 4.3% (0.3)% (15.3)% (20.1)% Corporate Income Tax net collections were $19.9 million in October, or 5.6% above the prior year. Collections were $(3.8) million below the forecast. Year-to-date through October, revenues are up 42.1% and are $26.9 million above forecast. October is typically a low collection month for the corporate income tax. The Lottery Commission reports that October ticket sales were $43.4 million, which is $2.7 million, or 6.6%, above sales in the prior year. Year-to-date, ticket sales are $169.5 million, which is $2.3 million above last year’s sales. The General Fund share of sales has increased significantly more than sales, however, due to changes in the distribution formula. Non-General Fund Tobacco Tax revenues were $25.9 million in October. Collections were down (8.3)% compared to the prior year, and were $(0.1) million below the budget estimate for the month. Year-to-date collections are down (1.8)% and are $0.6 million above the budget estimate. Less than 10% of tobacco taxes are deposited directly into the General Fund. The remainder primarily goes to AHCCCS and the Department 3 JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – NOVEMBER 2010 October Revenues (Continued) collections of $96.9 million in October were down $(0.8) million or (0.8)% compared to October of last year. Year-to-date, revenues have grown 1.3%. of Health Services to defray the General Fund cost of operating those Programs, along with funding the Early Childhood Development and Health Board. Highway User Revenue Fund (HURF) revenues consist of gasoline and use fuel (diesel) tax, motor carrier fees (commercial carriers), vehicle license tax and registration fees, and various other fees. HURF Table 4 General Fund Revenue: Change from Previous Year and Enacted Budget Forecast October 2010 Current Month FY 2011 YTD (Four Months) Change From Actual October 2009 October 2010 Amount Change from Actual Forecast Percent Amount Percent October 2009 October 2010 Amount Forecast Percent Amount Percent Taxes Sales and Use w/o 1¢ * Income - Individual - Corporate $282,177,988 $4,267,340 203,824,200 33,295,655 19.5 1.5 % ($7,295,692) 10,723,349 (2.5) % 5.6 $1,123,820,436 985,743,799 82,314,029 9.1 31,795,631 3.3 19,860,400 1,048,427 5.6 (3,837,000) (16.2) 179,400,160 53,144,755 42.1 26,873,560 17.6 Property 2,642,220 1,081,948 69.3 1,442,220 120.2 2,139,858 Luxury - Tobacco 1,164,165 (1,016,259) (46.6) (1,447,835) (55.4) 8,041,290 - Liquor Insurance Premium Estate Other Taxes 315,341 (1.8) % 17.3 (1,134,873) (12.4) (39,381) (0.5) ($58,491,313) 689,858 (654,540) (7.4) (122,514) (5.2) (241,109) (9.8) 8,236,460 (950,975) (32.9) (1,363,804) (41.3) 136,662,722 3,946,812 3.0 8,562,722 -- 437,372 143,266 48.7 437,372 56,334 0 (40,260) -- 0 (41.7) 3,834 $37,563,362 7.9 % ($2,016,037) Lottery 4,328,655 1,287,955 42.4 (871,345) License, Fees and Permits 2,356,795 361,706 18.1 56,795 435,874 503,201 7.3 (0.4) % 219,566 (1,346) (0.6) 5.1 % 47.6 (24.3) 2,228,891 0 (4.9) % (2,586,710) 1,936,196 $513,890,394 Sub-Total Taxes ($20,151,147) 9,566 $2,444,701,663 $118,537,456 $6,636,146 (16.8) 12,956,264 3,709,364 40.1 2.5 9,347,246 519,000 5.9 847,246 -- 1,677,001 567,852 51.2 1,677,001 6.7 -4.6 0.3 % Other Revenue Interest -- 435,874 (2,643,736) (16.9) 10.0 -- Sales and Services 1,428,623 (785,966) (35.5) (871,377) (37.9) 6,167,810 (3,677,507) (37.4) (3,332,191) (35.1) Other Miscellaneous 1,978,230 (5,140,263) (72.2) (121,770) (5.8) 10,391,501 (6,587,727) (38.8) (8,508,499) (45.0) -- 0 (2,212,898) (92.2) 4,041,201 (56.1) % (3,584,721) (25.1) % 44,581,023 4.8 % ($5,600,758) (1.1) % $2,489,282,686 Disproportionate Share Transfers and Reimbursements Sub-Total Other Revenue TOTAL BASE REVENUE 0 187,102 10,715,279 $524,605,673 0 (9,898,107) (13,671,474) $23,891,888 -(98.1) 0 0 -- 0 (74.2) (17,068,630) (27.7) % (17,518,977) (28.2) % 4.2 % ($10,882,831) (0.4) % $101,468,826 (5,558,799) -- (11,599,613) (57.9) Other Adjustments Urban Revenue Sharing 1¢ TPT Increase* Budget Plan Transfers Sub-Total Other Adjustments TOTAL GENERAL FUND REVENUE (39,500,543) 12,886,509 -- (0) 66,278,389 66,278,389 -- (6,909,580) 91.4 0 0.0 (158,002,173) 51,546,036 -- (0) (9.4) 261,254,573 261,254,573 -- (30,308,159) 1.7 0 0.0 (10.4) 13,687,094 6,534,611 0.0 81,667,800 1,326,357 40,464,940 85,699,509 -- % (6,909,580) (14.6) % 184,920,200 314,126,966 -- % (30,308,159) (14.1) % 0.0 $565,070,613 $109,591,397 24.1 % ($12,510,338) (2.2) % $2,674,202,886 $415,595,792 18.4 % ($41,190,991) (1.5) % Non-General Funds Highway User Revenue Fund $96,885,000 ($760,000) (0.8) % ($2,225,000) (2.2) % $394,298,000 $5,062,000 1.3 % ($777,000) (0.2) % Tobacco Tax (All Funds Total) $25,883,310 ($2,337,392) (8.3) % ($58,534) (0.2) % $108,269,923 ($1,991,914) (1.8) % $564,960 0.5 % __________ * Sales and Use line excludes revenue from the temporary 1¢ increase approved by the voter in May 2010. That revenue is shown under One-Time Revenues. Total October collections including the 1¢ increase were $348.5 million. This amount is $70.5 million, or 25.4%, above October 2009 and $(14.2) million, or (3.9)%, below forecast. Year to date, total collections including the 1¢ increase were $1,385.1 million. This amount is $241.1 million, or 21.1%, above October 2009 and $(88.8) million, or (6.0)%, below forecast. 4 JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – NOVEMBER 2010 Economic Indicators NATIONAL “According to the Arizona Department of Commerce, the state had a net gain of 27,400 nonfarm jobs in October. This was a 1.1% increase over the prior month and the best performance for the month of October since 2004." According to the U.S. Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), the second estimate of the U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the third quarter of 2010 was revised up from 2.0% to 2.5%. The upward revision was primarily due to higher personal consumption expenditures than previously estimated. The Conference Board’s U.S. Index of Leading Economic Indicators rose 0.5% in October, following another 0.5% gain in the previous month. Increasing stock prices, expanding money supply, and a favorable interest-rate spread outweighed the negative contributions from worsening vendor performance and decreased manufacturers’ new orders for nondefense capital goods. Apart from June 2010, the forward-looking index has advanced in each of the last 19 months, suggesting that the economic recovery has some momentum. Consumer prices, as measured by the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), increased by 0.2% in October. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, gasoline accounted for 90% of the overall price increase in October. The core CPI, which exclude food and energy prices, was flat for the third consecutive month. Year over year, the index was up by 0.6%, the lowest such increase in more than 50 years. The Federal Reserve Bank’s recent decision to purchase $600 billion in government securities through June 2011 was in part designed to prevent deflationary price expectations from forming. The Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA) reported that Semiconductor Billings (3-month moving average) in the U.S. were $4.86 billion in September, a 0.5% gain over the prior month and a year-over-year increase of 39.5%. According to SIA, the strong growth in semiconductor sales in the third quarter of 2010 was due to healthy demand for consumer and industrial electronic products. In a recent forecast released by SIA, the trade association indicated that semiconductor sales are expected to grow more moderately in 2011 and 2012. ARIZONA Employment According to the Arizona Department of Commerce, the state had a net gain of 27,400 nonfarm jobs in October. This was a 1.1% increase over the prior month and the best performance for the month of October since 2004. October also marked the third consecutive month with a year-over-year growth in nonfarm employment. Over the last 12 months, the state has added 24,400 jobs (a net gain of 1%). However, since the beginning of the recession in December 2007, the state has seen its workforce shrink by (10.4)%, or (281,200) jobs. See Tracking Arizona’s Recovery, for additional historical information. The construction sector added 5,100 jobs in October, the largest monthly gain since April 2005. October also marked the first year-overyear increase (1,700 jobs or 1.4%) in construction employment since December 2006. With 121,100 construction workers on payrolls in October, the state was nonetheless more than 50% off peak employment in June 2006. October also marked the first month since December 2006 that the goods-producing sector as a whole (which includes construction, manufacturing, and mining) expanded when compared to the same month in the prior year. By way of comparison, the private serviceproviding sector began such a turnaround already in April this year. All but 3 of the 10 industry sectors that comprise private sector employment (information, financial activities and other services) have yet to experience positive yearover-year job growth. Government employment (federal, state, and local), which typically lags private sector employment growth, is down by (2.0)% over the last 12 months. The state’s unemployment rate fell from 9.7% to 9.5% in October, the first decline since April this year. Compared to October 2009, the jobless rate is up by 0.2%. While the unemployment rate has yet to reach the peak of the 1981-82 recession (11.6%), it has stayed above the 9% mark for a longer period this time around. During the severe recession of the early 1980s, the state’s jobless rate was 9% or higher for 17 consecutive months. By way of comparison, 5 JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – NOVEMBER 2010 Economic Indicators as of October 2010, the unemployment rate has already been at that level for 19 straight months. foreclosure notices and pending foreclosures continue their decline from recent highs, they continue to be a major influence on existing home sales and the respective prices.” Currently, monthly initial claims range from 25,000 to 30,000 compared to a range of 15,000 to 20,000 during the pre-recession years of 2005 to 2007. Claims peaked in April 2009 when more than 41,000 individuals filed for initial jobless benefits. See Tracking Arizona’s Recovery, for additional historical information. The average weekly hours of production workers in manufacturing industries is a leading indicator since “factory hours” tend to lead the business cycle as employers usually adjust work hours before increasing or decreasing the size of their workforce. According to the Arizona Department of Commerce, preliminary data indicates that the average work week in October was 40.2 hours, a (0.2)% decrease over the prior month, but a 3.9% improvement since October 2009. As shown in the graph below, the average work week for production workers has steadily trended up since it reached its trough in August 2009. While businesses remain cautious to add new employees to their payrolls, this trend is a positive sign that more hiring will follow in the coming months. Average Weekly Hours of Production Workers 42.0 41.5 Average Work Week “While The state’s unemployed filed a total of 26,397 initial claims for unemployment insurance in October, a 12% increase over the prior month. The increase, which was primarily attributable to seasonal factors, was less than the 10-year pre-recession average of 16.5%. Compared to the same month in the prior year, first-time claims in October were down by (15.6)%, the 12th consecutive month with year-over-year declines. 41.0 40.5 40.0 39.5 39.0 38.5 38.0 37.5 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 (Continued) Housing In October, the number of new Maricopa County foreclosure notices declined (5.6)% from September levels to 7,078. The level of notices has fallen (33.8)% from its peak of 10,689 in March 2009. The number of Maricopa County pending foreclosures increased slightly in October. Despite the increase, the October total of 41,579 is (19.2)% below the peak in December 2009 (51,466). See Tracking Arizona’s Recovery, for additional historical information. While foreclosure notices and pending foreclosures continue their decline from recent highs, they continue to be a major influence on existing home sales and the respective prices. In the Metropolitan Phoenix area in October, there were a total of 8,075 existing single-family home sales that resulted in a median resale home price of $138,600. Relative to the prior year, the number of sales and prices are down (18.9)% and (3.2)% respectively. Of the existing sales, 41.9%, or 3,380 were foreclosures. State Agency Data In November, the AHCCCS caseload was 1.36 million members, a 1.0% increase over the prior month. The AHCCCS population is 0.2% above November 2009 levels. The FY 2011 budget funded a projected November 2010 caseload of 1.40 million members. There were 44,353 TANF recipients in the state in October, a monthly caseload increase of 5.6%. Year-over-year, the number of TANF recipients has declined by (49.4)%. This decline is the result of changes to the statutory lifetime limit a person may receive cash assistance. (See the September MFH for additional information). The FY 2011 budget assumed caseloads of approximately 70,000 in FY 2011. The Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), formerly known as Food Stamps, provides assistance to low-income households to purchase food. In October, there were a total of 1.1 million food stamp recipients in the state, a 1.0% increase over the prior month. Compared to the same month last year, food stamp participation was up by 8.5%. The number of food stamp recipients began increasing steadily in July 2007, after several years in the 550,000 to 575,000 range. 6 JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – NOVEMBER 2010 Economic Indicators (Continued) The 3-month average count of the Department of Correction’s (ADC) inmate population fell to 40,281 inmates between August and October 2010. Relative to the prior month and a year ago, the population has declined by (30) and (373) inmates, respectively. Table 5 ECONOMIC INDICATORS Indicator Arizona - Unemployment Rate - Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims - Unemployment Insurance Claimants - Non-Farm Employment - Total Manufacturing Construction - Average Weekly Hours, Manufacturing - Contracting Tax Receipts (3-month average) - Retail Sales Tax Receipts (3-month average) - Residential Building Permits (3-month moving average) Single-unit Multi-unit - Greater Phoenix Existing Home Sales Single-Family Townhouse/Condominium - Greater Phoenix Median Home Sales Price Single-Family Townhouse/Condominium - Foreclosure Activity, Maricopa County Foreclosure Notices (Notice of Trustee’s Sales Recorded) Pending Foreclosures (Active Notices) Greater Phoenix S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index (Jan. 2000 = 100) - Arizona Months Supply of Housing, (ARMLS) - Phoenix Sky Harbor Air Passengers - Arizona Average Natural Gas Price ($ per thousand cubic feet) - Arizona Consumer Confidence Index (1985 = 100) - Arizona Coincident Index (July 1992 = 100) - Arizona Personal Income - Arizona Population - AHCCCS Recipients - TANF Recipients - SNAP (Food Stamps) Recipients - ADC Inmate Growth (3-month average) - Probation Caseload (Adult/Juvenile) Non-Maricopa Maricopa County United States - Gross Domestic Product (Chained 2005 dollars, SAAR) - Consumer Confidence Index (1985 = 100) - Leading Indicators Index (2004 = 100) - U.S. Semiconductor Billings (3-month moving average) - Consumer Price Index, SA (1982-84 = 100) Change From Prior Period Change From Prior Year Time Period Current Value October October August October October October October Aug-Oct Aug-Oct 9.5% 26,397 86,789 2.43 million 147,700 121,100 40.2 $31.0 million $126.3 million (0.2)% 12.0% 0.2% 1.1% 0.1% 4.4% (0.2)% (1.6)% (0.3)% 0.2% (15.6)% (26.0)% 1.0% (0.9)% 1.4% 3.9% (16.2)% (0.1)% Aug-Oct Aug-Oct 792 164 (6.0)% 15.3% (29.3)% 255.8% October October 8,075 1,215 (10.3)% (10.7)% (18.9)% (12.6)% October October $138,600 $85,000 1.2% (1.9)% (3.2)% (15.0)% October October August 7,078 41,579 108.84 (5.6)% 1.3% (1.3)% (9.7)% (17.2)% 0.4% October September August 6.9 months 2.91 million $6.14 4th Quarter 2010 September 2nd Quarter 2010 July 1, 2009 October October October Aug-Oct 56.3 199.12 $223.6 billion 6.60 million 1,357,243 44,353 1,096,046 40,281 14.7% 0.1% 1.3% N/A 1.0% 5.6% 1.0% (30) inmates N/A 0.8% 1.7% 1.5% 0.2% (49.4)% 8.5% (373) inmates September September 19,628 26,674 (11) (262) (296) (2,595) 3rd Quarter 2010 (Second Estimate) October October Jul-Sep October $13.3 trillion 2.5% 3.2% 50.2 110.4 $4.86 billion 218.9 3.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 3.1% 6.3% 39.5% 1.2% 0.2 months (6.4)% (2.4)% 2.0 months 2.5% (1.6)% 7 JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – NOVEMBER 2010 Summary of Recent Agency Reports Arizona Department of Administration – Motor Vehicle Fleet – Pursuant to A.R.S. § 41-803R, the Arizona Department of Administration reported on the FY 2010 year-end inventory of stateowned alternative fuel vehicles. Of the 11,842 state vehicles, 4,625, or 39.1% are subject to the alternative fuel vehicle requirements. Of the 4,625 state vehicles subject to the alternative fuel vehicle requirements, 3,038, or 65.7% are alternative fuel vehicles. This percentage remained unchanged from the prior year and exceeds the 40% target established by statute. Statute also requires 90% of the state vehicles in Maricopa County to be capable of using alternative fuels. The state reports that 83.4% of its Maricopa County vehicles are alternative fuel vehicles. This is an increase of 1.8% from the prior year. Notwithstanding the quantity of vehicles capable of using alternative fuel, only 4.1% of the fuel budget was for alternative fuels. (Juan Beltran) Arizona Department of Education – Report on K-12 Aggregate Expenditure Limit – Pursuant to A.R.S. 15-911B, the State Board of Education reported on November 1, 2010 that currently budgeted expenditures for all school districts collectively statewide for FY 2011 are $(637,026,500) below the Constitution’s aggregate expenditure limitation (AEL). The AEL limits growth in statewide K-12 expenditures to the combined rate of growth for enrollment and inflation, with certain exceptions. (Steve Schimpp) Department of Environmental Quality – Report on Water Quality Assurance Revolving Fund for FY 2010 – Pursuant to a General Appropriation Act footnote, the Department of Environmental Quality (DEQ) is required to report annually by September 1 to the Joint Legislative Budget Committee (JLBC) on the progress of activities in the Water Quality Assurance Revolving Fund (WQARF) Program. The WQARF Program is similar to the federal Superfund program in that it is designed to monitor, contain, and remediate contaminated groundwater at specified sites. Based on the report, FY 2010 expenditures were $7,258,200. Unexpended funds at the end of FY 2010 totaled $5,060,200. The WQARF Program maintains a list of contaminated sites, called the Registry. According to the report, as of December 31, 2006 there were 36 sites on the WQARF Registry. Sites on the registry have not changed since 2004. The report contained no information regarding the expected duration or total remediation costs for these sites. In response to lowered funding, DEQ issued stop work directives to WQARF contractors on January 30, 2009 for all site activities not related to the operation and maintenance of soil and groundwater treatment systems. In FY 2011, program expenditures for 22 sites that remain active are projected to be $5,500,000. The program showed decreases in groundwater treated, and volatile organic compounds removed, due to the increased difficulty of removing the contamination from the soil over time. (James Alcantar) Arizona Commission of Indian Affairs – Report on Uses of Monies in the Arizona Indian Town Hall Fund – Pursuant to A.R.S. § 41-545, the Arizona Commission of Indian Affairs is providing the annual Indian Town Hall Fund expenditure report for FY 2010. New fund revenues totaled $5,000. For FY 2010, the commission had $4,930 in disbursements. (Bob Hull) October Spending FY 2011 Spending October 2010 spending of $547.4 million was $(552.4) million lower than October 2009. • In October, the Arizona Department of Education spending was $(416.0) million lower than the prior year. October expenditures were lower in part due to ADE not making a monthly payment to • school districts in October which was made in the prior year. While most of the rolledover payments were at the end of the year in FY 2010, they are being spread more throughout the year in FY 2011. In addition, FY 2010 included one-time spending related to the use of district cash balances. University spending was $64.1 million in October, or $(18.5) million lower than the prior year. • The decreased expenditure amount reflects a rollover of the monthly payment, which is spread out over the course of the fiscal year. Department of Health Services (DHS) spending was $52.7 million in October, or $(67.9) less than the prior year. The lower expenditure amount reflects a transfer to AHCCCS for DHS Medicaid expenditures. 8 JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – NOVEMBER 2010 Table 6 Agency Department of Administration Department of Admin Sale/Leaseback D/S Office of Administrative Hearings Department of Agriculture AHCCCS Arizona Commission on the Arts Attorney General AZ Capital Post Conviction Public Defender State Board of Charter Schools Board of Chiropractic Examiners Department of Commerce Community Colleges Corporation Commission Department of Corrections AZ Criminal Justice Commission AZ State Schools for the Deaf & Blind Department of Economic Security Department of Education DEMA Department. of Environmental Quality DEQ – WQARF Office of Equal Opportunity State Board of Equalization Board of Executive Clemency Department of Financial Institutions Department of Fire, Life, Bldg Safety Office of the State Forrester Board of Funeral Directors Arizona Geological Survey Government Information Tech. Governor Gov. - OSPB Department of Health Services Arizona Historical Society Prescott Historical Society of AZ Independent Redistricting Comm. Commission on Indian Affairs Department of Insurance Judiciary Supreme Court Superior Court Court of Appeals Department of Juvenile Corrections State Land Department Law Enforcement Merit System General Fund Spending ($ in Thousands) Change from October 10 October 09 933.0 (605.6) 137.7 (51.0) 492.0 (1,148.3) 91,297.7 (23,103.5) 71.4 (44.7) 4,541.5 3,035.4 52.8 32.7 Year-to-Date 10,343.1 52,066.9 418.0 4,212.7 521,944.5 277.7 8,099.7 219.4 YTD Change from FY 10 2,764.7 52,066.9 (47.5) (153.1) 4,672.9 7.9 (904.0) (6.8) 140.4 68.3 33,106.6 40.0 83,294.1 3,467.6 71,918.1 93,449.2 749.6 31.1 71.6 47.4 153.2 381.0 480.5 132.1 56.9 1,039.0 288.1 52,707.3 456.5 96.2 2.6 353.4 27.0 (119.4) (5.2) (6,768.7) (602.1) (8,378.3) (415,965.8) (607.1) (960.6) (4.1) (38.8) (15.6) (475.0) (290.9) 480.5 27.0 46.9 (181.8) 203.2 (67,883.0) 134.0 25.1 (0.7) (15.3) 359.5 2,411.7 66,213.2 219.6 300,626.8 9,046.3 423,665.0 1,694,641.5 4,008.6 0.6 7,000.0 89.9 211.7 428.2 1,283.2 1,215.5 1,201.6 230.7 206.1 3,396.5 839.7 175,926.3 3,863.1 216.8 14.2 2,676.2 17.2 (148.0) 1,876.7 29.1 17,577.4 4.6 (213.1) 14,696.2 101,980.2 698.5 (2,208.4) 6.7 (78.6) (74.6) (284.4) 20.1 1,201.6 (100.0) (123.1) 18.8 484.3 339.4 (97,609.9) 1,637.1 (15.2) (24.8) 2.7 (66.5) (107.5) 17,504.1 1,528.3 3,574.2 356.1 5.1 (2,007.2) (861.1) 85.5 (10,043.6) (1,332.0) (6.0) 12,319.5 34,919.7 6,725.4 24,538.2 1,124.4 30.0 3,092.1 (3,450.1) 1,688.1 (5,215.9) (5,314.0) (1.7) 9 JLBC – MONTHLY FISCAL HIGHLIGHTS – NOVEMBER 2010 Agency Legislature Auditor General House of Representatives Joint Legislative Budget Comm. Legislative Council Senate Department of Liquor Licenses Board of Medical Student Loans Mine Inspector Department of Mines & Mineral Resources Nav. Streams & Adjudication OSHA Board of Osteopathic Examiners Arizona State Parks Board Board of Pharmacy Pioneers’ Home Board of Psychologist Examiners Comm. for Postsecondary Ed. Department of Public Safety Arizona Department of Racing Radiation Regulatory Agency Arizona Rangers Pension Real Estate Department Department of Revenue School Facilities Board Secretary of State Tax Appeals Board Office of Tourism Department of Transportation State Treasurer Universities Board of Regents Arizona State University Northern Arizona University University of Arizona Veterinary Medical Examiners Board Department of Veteran Services Department of Water Resources Department of Weights & Measures Other Grand Total October 10 Change from October 09 1,136.0 2,405.8 122.3 288.3 476.0 17.0 69.0 17.2 22.5 76.8 2,077.0 151.0 229.4 1.2 131.3 7,091.9 65.1 2,430.6 15.4 3.8 - (67.7) 1,432.5 (65.4) (421.3) (68.6) (122.1) 17.0 (34.9) (148.1) 2.1 (4.0) 200.0 76.8 (223.7) 6,688.0 (273.1) (155.7) (854.6) 528.4 (28.3) 1,717.0 (16.9) (18.3) (638.4) 4,375.5 29,018.9 8,551.9 22,135.0 2,811.8 296.9 244.3 186.7 547,366.1 (1,210.5) (7,832.8) (2,629.4) (6,815.7) 2,237.4 (2,515.5) 11.1 (3,772.2) (552,424.6) Year-to-Date YTD Change from FY 10 7,261.1 5,056.3 922.7 2,120.5 3,591.6 208.7 482.1 725.7 78.7 20,000.0 357.8 157.7 26,358.1 2,771.7 626.3 4.7 1,479.4 18,412.8 32,950.5 8,383.4 113.3 15.9 - 1,042.4 (33.5) (51.8) (274.6) (15.7) (659.9) (174.4) (79.5) 389.9 4.0 (4.0) (100.0) (1,900.3) 357.8 (300.0) (648.4) (11,956.4) (362.1) (172.4) 0.1 (191.8) 1,355.2 (49,068.4) 5,243.1 (2.5) (200.0) (16.8) (1,399.8) 10,148.4 192,181.1 64,701.2 167,469.2 4,745.7 1,951.4 473.5 307.0 3,951,288.4 (274.7) 13,947.8 4,735.0 12,205.3 (250.0) 2,335.6 (4,824.0) (69.0) (18,528.1) 38,901.7