P S T • (A s f CRIME IN ARIZONA 1982 ARIZONA DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY PLANNING AND RESEARCH DIVISION STATISTICAL ANALYSIS CENTER RALPH T. MILSTEAD, CX)LONEL DIRECTOR JOHN VIVIAN, PH.D. PROJECT COORDINATOR JOAN KOELSCH RESEARCH ASSISTANT DATA PROVIDED BY: UNIFORM CRIME REPORTING UNIT ARIZONA CRIMINAL JUSTICE INFORMATION SYSTEM DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY The preparation of this report has been financed by United States Department of Justice grants: 82-BJ-CX-0011 and 82-BJ-CX-K039. xL°3143 37 3nRs 1e/o2:11411n_ro., ARIZONA OEPAPITIVIENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY 11110 NORTH 20H1 AVENUE P. O. BOX 13138 PHOENIX, ARIZONA WOOS ISOM 2E24011 BRUCE MINIM GOVIERNOPI RALPH T. MILITRIAD ONINIOTOR FCBENCRD The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) reports (August, 1982) that Arizona has the fourth highest total crime rate in the Nation, that we are in the top ten percent in terms of property crime, and that our violent crime rate places us in the top one-third. Even though there have been slight decreases in Arizona's reported crime, our perpetually high level translates to a continuing need for dedicated law enforcement. I am proud to present the seventh annual Crime in Arizona as an aid to the State's law enforcement community. This report presents vital data on criminal activity in our state. It has been modified this year to include new analyses which will further our understanding of crime. Perhaps more important is the fact that the report is available earlier this year, so we can inform legislators and public officials of crime trends in time for them to take action. Those of us in law enforcement realize that the Uniform Crime Reporting System is a national voluntary effort to collect and disseminate information on crime. To this end, local police departments and sheriff's offices incur the preponderance of costs associated with this program, and this publication would not be possible without their efforts. Recognizing that we are all faced with personnel shortages, I wish to personally thank those who continue to commit resources to contribute to this worthwhile effort. Ralph T. lstead, Colonel Director IN MEMORIAM TO THOSE OFFICERS WHO LOST THEIR LIVES IN THE PERFORMANCE OF THEIR DUTY Phoenix Police Department Ignacio Conchos John Davis July 1, 1982 August 6, 1982 Coconino County Sheriff's Office John Jamison Reserve Officer Sept. 6, 1982 TABLE OF CONTENTS PPLE I. nartccucriai Foreword Dedication Table of Contents II. THE ARIZONA UNIFORM CRIME REPORTING SYSTEM III. UNIFORM CRIME REPORTING SUMMARY DATA 2 3 4 5 16 A. State Crime Summary 1. Offenses 2. Arrests 3. Law Enforcement Officers Killed and Assaulted 17 B. Crime Trend Analysis 1. Introduction 2. Reported Crime 3. Crime Rates 4. Summary and Conclusions 21 A. B. C. D. E. F. G. H. Murder and Nonnegligent Manslaughter Rape Robbery Aggravated Assault Burglary Larceny-Theft Motor Vehicle Theft Arson V. INDEX CRIME PROJECrIMTS VI. PART I AND PART II ARREST DATA VII. LAW ENFORCEMENT EMPLOYEE DATA VIII. ASSAULTS ON POLICE IX. APPENDICES 33 Ei,igg o 8tg IV. PART I INDEX CHIMES 75 80 89 92 96 The Arizona Uniform Crime Reporting System The Committee on Uniform Crime Records of the International Association of Chiefs of Police (IACP) was established in 1927 to initiate a national program for collecting crime information. In 1930, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) received a Congressional mandate to collect and disseminate national crime information and assumed responsibility for the Uniform Crime Reporting Program (UCR). The IACP has been joined by the National Sheriff's Association, and together they serve the UCR in an advisory capacity. The Department of Public Safety first began receiving voluntary crime information from Arizona law enforcement agencies in January of 1975. Agencies submitted their crime data directly to the FBI prior to this date. The Statistical Analysis Center (SAC) has been analyzing UCR data since 1975 and it was formally given the responsibility of producing this publication in 1982. The purpose of this report is to identify and describe the nature of reported crime in Arizona. It is designed to meet the needs of four different audiences. First, the citizens of Arizona need accurate, understandable information on crime; a social problem consistently revealed by national surveys to generate significant public concern. Second, law enforcement and other criminal justice professionals need data on the extent of reported crime to better deploy manpower, and to aid in their fiscal planning. Third, legislators require current, detailed crime data in order to formulate effective, relevant legislation. Finally, university researchers and agency planners also require crime data to conduct research into the causes and consequences of crime. Uniform Crime Reports were submitted by 88 out of 93 of the eligible Arizona law enforcement agencies in 1982.1 Each agency compiled monthly reports and then submitted the data to DPS. The Arizona UCR guide and FBI handbooks were supplied to all contributors to aid in their data collection and reporting 6 efforts. These manuals outline reporting procedures in detail, and are complete with examples and illustrations. DPS personnel provided instruction and clarification upon request. Each agency was also supplied with twelve sets of monthly report forms, which were used by the agencies to submit their data. The UCR program divides crimes into two major classifications: Part I and Part II offenses. The first four Part I offenses are considered violent crimes, while the latter four are property crimes. Part I crimes are ranked from one to eight according to their relative seriousness. PART I OFFENSES PART II OFFENSES 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. Criminal Homicide Forcible Rape Robbery Aggravated Assault Burglary Larcency-Theft Motor Vehicle Theft Arson Simple Assaults Forgery and Counterfeiting Fraud EMbezzlement Buying, Receiving or Possessing Stolen Property Vandalism Carrying or Possessing Stolen Property Prostitution Sex Offenses (except rape and prostitution) Narcotic Drug Violations Gambling Offenses Against Family and Children Driving Under the Influence (DWI) Liquor Violations Drunkenness2 Disorderly COnduct Vagrancy All Other Non-Traffic Offenses Suspicion2 Juvenile Curfew and Loitering Law Violations Juvenile Runaways All UCR offenses are classified on the basis of law enforcement officer investigation. Offense classifications are not based on the findings of a court, coroner, jury or decision of a prosecutor. Moreover, these UCR classifications are not always identical to the criminal offense definitions contained in the Arizona criminal code. 7 Offense and arrest data are collected and tabulated for all Part I crimes and simple assault. Only arrests are counted for Part II offenses. The method of counting varies with the type of crime committed, and the number of offenders does not necessarily determine the number of offenses. For murder, nonnegligent manslaughter, negligent manslaughter, rape, aggravated and simple assault, one offense is counted for each victim regardless of the number of offenders. For robbery and larceny-theft, one offense is counted for each distinct operation which is separate in time and place. The number of victims in any one operation does not necessarily determine the number of offenses. For burglary, one offense is counted for each structure which is illegally entered. However, when the structure is an apartment house, business or office building in which units are leased for a period of time, one offense is counted for each unit burglarized. For motor vehicle theft, one offense is counted for each vehicle stolen. For multiple offenses that occur in one crime incident, ONLY THE MOST SERIOUS OFFENSE IS COUNTED. In cases when an arson occurs, along with other Part I crimes, all crimes are reported. Attempts to commit any of the above are also counted as offenses, except in the case of attempts to kill and assaults to kill, which are counted as aggravated assaults. An offense is considered CLEARED when either one offender is arrested for that crime, or it is cleared through exceptional means.3 Clearances are defined as either adult or juvenile. A juvenile clearance is counted only when juveniles were exclusively involved. If the arrest of both adults and juveniles resulted in a clearance, then it is counted as an adult clearance. The figures for value of property stolen, and recovered, report the value at each point in time. Although property can increase in value over time, it is more likely that stolen property will be recovered in a damaged condition. Thus, recovery value does not necessarily represent a "clearance rate" for stolen property, and it cannot be used to determine effectiveness in recovering stolen 8 goods. Since stolen and recovered property figures indicate thefts and recoveries in the current year, it is important to note that recovered property may have been stolen in a previous year. In addition, the type and value of stolen or recovered property is reported only for Part I offenses and does not include such Part II offenses as fraud, forgery or embezzlement. Arrest information is collected for all Part I and Part II offenses according to the age, sex, race and ethnic origin of the offender. Arrest figures cannot be directly related to the number of crimes cleared because arrest totals count only the offenses for which an arrest or exceptional clearance have occurred. In addition, it is not possible to correlate the race, sex or age categories of the arrest data because this information is collected independently. The UCR program provides an important source of criminal justice information. Nevertheless, UCR data are frequently misused. The UCR program produces two important indicators of criminal activity: offenses reported to police and the arrest/clearance data. The UCR program does not provide complete data on all crime occurring in Arizona. In fact, it is difficult if not impossible to measure crime directly. Instead, we must rely on indirect measures like UCR. The Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS) of the U.S. Department of Justice has developed a complementary measure of crime that can be used to augment UCR data. BJS contracts with the Census Bureau to conduct the annual National Crime Survey ((), in which a sample of Americans are contacted to determine their personal experience as victims of crime. Table 1 presents data from the National Crime Surveys of 1977 through 1980. The surveys reveal that except for motor vehicle theft, aggravated assault and robbery, fewer than one-half of the crimes committed are actually reported to police agencies. While there are differences across the various crime categories (e.g., crimes of violence tend to be reported more often than crimes of theft) the annual variation within each 9 category is small. In other words, the percentage of crimes reported to police stays relatively constant over time. Definitional differences make it difficult to compare UCR and NCS data.4 However, there are significant similarities in the way each program defines and records rape and aggravated assault offenses. Table 2 displays a comparison between the rape and aggravated assault crime rates reported by the two programs. This comparison lends further support to the notion that the UCR program captures only a fraction of the crimes that actually occur. For some crimes, the actual crime rate may be double or even triple that reported by the UCR program. This discrepancy does not necessarily invalidate UCR data. But it should inspire caution among UCR data users. Moreover, this discrepancy does reveal one of the difficulties of law enforcement. Arizona police departments are frequently charged with responding to crimes that are not fully reported by citizens. Neighborhood block watch, along with other public crime prevention and detection programs, help police agencies fight crime and they also may help narrow the gap between actual and reported UCR crime rates. 10 TABLE 1 PERCENT OF NATIONAL VICPIMIZATIONS REPCRTED TO PCLICE PERSONAL CRIMES Crime of Violence Rape Robbery Assault Aggravated Simple Crimes of Theft Personal Larceny with contact Personal Larceny without contact 1977 1978 1979 1980* 46% 44% 45% 47% 58 55 43 51 39 49 50 43 53 37 50 55 42 51 37 41 57 45 54 40 25 25 24 27 37 34 36 36 24 24 24 27 49 25 68 47 24 66 48 25 68 51 27 69 RCUSERCID CRIMES Household Burglary Household Larceny Motor Vehicle Theft *In 1980 the NCS switched tram a door-to-door to a phone survey format. Some of the variation may be due to this changed format. it TABLE 2 COMPARISON OF NATIONAL UCR AND NCS* CRIME HATES (100,000 persons) 1977 1978 1979 1980 UCR 29 31 34 36 NCS 90 100 110 90 UCR 241 256 279 291 NCS 1,000 970 990 920 RAPE** AGGRAVATED ASSAULT *NCS reports data on victims that are twelve or older, while UCR data are for all reported crimes. **The UCR program defines females as the only possible rape victims, while the NCS rape definition includes both males and females as potential victims. 12 Sections III and V of this report will contain analyses of Arizona crime trends. Agencies reporting UCR data have been assigned to four different groups for analytical purposes. Offense data will be combined for Group I (counties with population of 100,000 or more), Group II (counties with populations between 75,000 and 100,000), Group III (counties with populations between 50,000 and 75,000) and Group IV (counties with less than 50,000 population). 13 GROUP I (MARICOPA AND PIMA COUNTIES) Arizona State University Police Department Avondale Police Department Buckeye Police Department Chandler Police Department El Mirage Police Department Gilbert Police Department Glendale Police Department Goodyear Police Department Marana Police Department Maricopa County Sheriff's Office Mesa Police Department Oro Valley Police Department Paradise Valley Police Department Peoria Police Department Phoenix Police Department • Pima Community College Pima County Sheriff's Office Pima Police Department South Tucson Police Department Surprise Police Department Tempe Police Department Tolleson Police Department Tucson Police Department University of Arizona Police Department Wickenburg Police Department Youngtown Police Department GROUP II (CCCHISE, COCONINO, PINAL AND YUMA COUNTIES) Apache Junction Police Department Arizona Western College Police Department Benson Police Department Bisbee Police Department Casa Grande Police Department Central Arizona College Police Department Cochise County Sheriff's Office Coconino County Sheriff's Office Coolidge Police Department Douglas Police Department Eloy Police Department Flagstaff Police Department Florence Police Department Fredonia Police Department Huachucua City Police Department Kearny Police Department Mammoth Police Department Northern Arizona University Police Department Page Police Department Parker Police Department Pinal County Sheriff's Office San Luis Police Department Sierra Vista Police Department Somerton Police Department Superior Police Department Tombstone Police Department Willcox Police Department Williams Police Department Yuma County Sheriff's Office Yuma Police Department 14 GROUP III (APACHE, MOHAVE, NAVAJO AND YAVAPAX COUNTIES) Apache County Sheriff's Office Clarkdale Police Department Cottonwood Police Department Eagar Police Department Holbrook Police Department Jerome Police Department Kingman Police Department Lake Havasu Police Department Mohave County Sheriff's Office Prescott Police Department Prescott Valley Police Department St. Johns Police Department Show Low Police Department Snowflake Police Department Springerville Police Department Taylor Police Department Winslow Police Department Yavapai Community College Yavapai County Sheriff's Office Navajo County Sheriff's Office GROUP IV (GILA, GRAHAM, GREEN EE AM) SANTA CRUZ CCONTIES) Clifton Police Department Duncan POlice Department Eastern Arizona College Police Department Gila County Sheriff's Office Globe Police Department Graham County Sheriff's Office Greenlee County Sheriff's Office Miami Police Department Nogales Police Department Patagonia Police Department Payson Police Department Safford Police Department Thatcher Police Department Santa Cruz County Sheriff's Office 15 A. STATE CRIME SUMMARY 1. OFFENSES * There were 201,524 Crime Index Offenses reported, a decrease of 5 percent since 1981. Of these offenses, 20 percent were cleared, an increase of 1 percent over 1981. * The crime rate for the State of Arizona was established at 69.8 offenses for every 1,000 inhabitants. * A total of 14,675 violent crimes were reported to law enforcement agencies, a decrease of 9 percent since 1981. * A total of 186,849 property crimes, exclusive of arson, were reported statewide, a decrease of 5 percent since 1981. * The value of property stolen amounted to $118,140,343. Property recovered amounted to $27,247,133 for a recovery rate of 23 percent which remains unchanged since 1981. * Law enforcement agencies reported 233 murders, an increase of 3 percent over 1981. Handguns were used in approximately 35 percent of all murders. * The volume of reported rapes increased by 2 percent over 1981. * Reported robberies decreased 9 percent since 1981, and represents 31 percent of the violent crime index. * The volume of aggravated assaults decreased 10 percent since 1981 and represents 60 percent of the violent crime index. Hands, fists, feet, etc. continue to be the most frequently used weapon 28 percent of the time. * Reported burglary offenses decreased by 7 percent since 1981. Residential burglaries accounted for 71 percent of all burglaries with a reported dollar loss of 33 million. * 123,039 larceny-theft offenses accounted for 66 percent of the property crimes and 61 percent of the state crime index. * The volume of motor vehicle thefts decreased by 9 percent since 1981. Of the 10,452 reported vehicles stolen, 66 percent were recovered. 17 2. ARRESTS * During 1982, there were 157,586 persons arrested for all criminal acts. * Adults accounted for 82 percent of all violent crime arrests. * Juveniles accounted for 41 percent of all property crime arrests and 22 percent of all arrests made during 1982. 3. LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICERS KILLED IN) ASSAULTED • There were 3 Arizona law enforcement officers killed in the line of duty during 1982. • There were 1,028 Assaults on Police Officers reported of which 96 percent were cleared. 18 TABLE 1 INDEX CRIME COMPARISON : OFFENSES CRIME 1981 1982 PERCENT CHANGE MURDER RAPE ROBBERY AGG ASSAULT BURGLARY LARCENY-THEFT MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT 227 1,064 4,960 9,830 57,655 127,469 11,451 233 1,082 4,516 8,844 53,358 123,039 10,452 +3 +2 -9 -10 -7 -3 -9 TOTAL 212,656 201,524 -5 ARSON 1,791 1,658 -7 TOTAL 214,447 203,182 -5 TABLE 2 INDEX CRIME COMPARISON: CLEARANCES CRIME 1981 1982 PERCENT CHANGE MURDER RAPE ROBBERY AGG ASSAULT BURGLARY LARCENY-THEFT MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT 159 440 1,235 5,888 7,139 23,395 1,903 144 376 1,272 4,972 6,823 24,608 1,872 -9 -14 +3 -16 -4 +5 -2 TOTAL 40,159 40,067 -.2 ARSON 379 302 -20 TOTAL 40,538 40,369 -.4 19 CRIME CLOCK 1982 one MURDER every 38 hours one RAPE EVERY 8 hours one ROBBERY every 2 hours one GRAVATED ASSAULT every 59 minutes one CRIME INDEX OFFENSE every 3 minutes one BURGLARY every 10 minutes one LARCENY-THEFT every 4 minutes one PROPERTY CRIME every 3 minutes one MOTCR VSi a MEW every 50 minutes one ARSON every 5 hours The crime clock should be viewed with extreme care. Being the most aggregate representation of UCR data, it is designed to convey the annual reported crime experience by showing the relative frequency of occurrence of the Index Offenses. This mode of display should not be taken to imply a regularity in the commission of the Part I offenses; rather, it represents the annual ratio of crime to fixed time intervals. 20 B. CRIME TREND ANALYSIS 1. INTRODUCTION This section is designed to present a dynamic view of crime. While the rest of the report analyzes 1982 data, or compares 1982 to 1981 data, this section will take a historical view and provide answers to basic questions on crime trends. Monthly UCR data from 1976 through 1981 were analyzed to discern these trends. 1976 was chosen as the staring point because it was the first year that a large number of police agencies submitted UCR data to the Department of Public Safety.1 2. REPORTED CRIME Section II of this report divided the 14 Arizona counties2 into four groups based on their population: I (Maricopa and Pima), II (Cochise, Coconino, Pinal and Yuma), III (Apache, Navajo, Mohave and Yavapai) and IV (Gila, Graham, Greenlee and Santa Cruz). When comparing these groups to aggregate totals it was found that Group I counties had high correlations with statewide crime trends for a net six year increase of 18%. Indeed, Maricopa and Pima counties regularly accounted for 85% of Arizona's reported crime. Except for 1981, Group II counties had alternating increases and decreases in reported crime. 1979 had the biggest increase (+12%), and it was followed by decreases in 1980 (-6%) and 1981 (-4%), for a net increase of 16%. Group III differed from all other groups in that it had uninterrupted annual increases totaling 77%. Gimp IV had large increases in 1978 (+23%) and 1980 (+12%), and a slight decrease in 1981. The least populated Arizona counties had a net increase in reported crime of 45%. Figure A depicts the variation in TOTAL INDEX CRIME. Except for a slight decrease in 1977, there were steady increases in reported crime through 1980 (+25%), with a decline posted in 1981 (-4%). On the average, there were 53 new crimes reported every month from 1976 through 1981. Figure A shows the apparent seasonal nature of Arizona's crime in that March and August regularly have the highest amount of reported crime. 21 FIGURE A. UCR INDEX CRIMES 1976-1981 STATEWIDE AND COUNTY CROUPS 20000 18000— t 16000-7 ti II • i N. I I i Itt U 11 14000-: I '■ i t % t t E ' 11 1111 1,r it /11: v 9 "'• • 0 12000F 141 o 10000-a E X rt 0 F 8000-: F E N E 6000-: S • 4000-: ■ 2000-; ...... • 1•11 la a Imo ••• • • a...a"... • •ir • • 1••■ 46..1 •••• r a, 0..N# • f 0... ......0.• aa. .01•1•• ••■•••• 0 • ow ••••, -1•••••••••••m• •••• ......11MM OD ) • 1976 • • or 111.M.• ol• ••••• •••■■ •1k •••• ••••• 1••••• aro. ."•■• ••••• V 1977 •••••• ••••••••••'. **ma., 40 noon ir 1978 1979 1980 1981 MONTHS LEGEND: GROUP ■ ••111•101•••••••• •••••• •11111•M 4=11•■ WIN OMNI OW. GROUP I GROUP III STATE TOTAL 22 .•/•••■• •■•■■•• GROUP II GROUP IV 1982 PROPERTY CRIME (excluding arson) regularly accounted for over 90% of the total crime index. Property crime reports increased by 22% through 1980 and then decreased by 4% in 1981. Figure B displays the annual variation in Arizona's reported property crime. There were an average of 45 new property crime reports every month. March was regularly a high point for property crime, and June was frequently the low point. More than 84% of the property crime reports came from Maricopa and Pima counties. LARCENY-THEFT made up over 60% of Arizona's reported property crime. Figure B shows the monthly variation in this crime. Larceny-theft reports slightly decreased in 1977, and had a net 1976 to 1980 increase of 27%. Larceny-theft reports dropped by 4% in 1981. From 1976 through 1981 there were an average of 35 newly reported larceny-thefts every month. March had the highest reported to police agencies in Maricopa and Pima counties. Group III led the other in rate of increase in reported larceny-thefts. BURGLARY accounted for approximately 30% of all property crimes. Figure B reveals the burglary trend. Burglary reports tapered-off in 1978 (-8%), 1979 (less than 1%) and 1981 (-1%). However, a 20% increase in 1980 produced a net 1976 through 1980 burglary report increase of 10%. 85% of all burglary reports came from police agencies in Maricopa and Pima counties. On average, there were five newly reported burglaries every month. MOTOR VEHICIA THEFT accounted for approximately 6% of Arizona's property crime. Figure B displays the monthly data. Motor vehicle theft reports steadily increased from 1976 through 1980 (+36%). There was then an 11% reduction in 1981. On average, there were 2.6 new motor vehicle theft reports every month between 1976 and 1981. March, July and October regularly posted a high number of motor vehicle thefts. More than 84% of the motor vehicle theft reports came from police agencies in Maricopa and Pima counties. 23 FIGURE B. UCR PROPERTY CRIMES 1976-1981 STATEWIDE 12000 11000 10000 N 9000 E 8000 0 F 7000 P R 0 6000 E R T 5000 0 F 4000 E N 3000 S 2000 1000 0 ... 1976 • 1977 1978 1979 1980 MONTHS I mg laroonfilthofta per month. • in hargieries per month, + - motor vehicle theta per month 24 • • 1981 1982 VIOLENT CRIME generally accounted for 10% of all reported Arizona crimes. There was a large, steady increase (+73%) in violent crime through 1980 (see Figure C). Violent crime then fell by 9% in 1981. There was an average increase of eight new violent crimes reported by police every month. Approximately 80% of Arizona's violent crimes occur in Maricopa and Pima counties. ASSAULT accounted for 62% of all reported violent crime. Assaults steadily increased (see Figure C) through 1980 (+69%), and then decreased in 1981 (-10%). The overall average was five new assault reports every month from 1976 to 1981. Peak crime months were the same for both assault and violent crime. YEAR PEAK MONTH 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 August November October September August July Approximately 75% of all reported assaults occurred in Maricopa and Pima counties, however, that percentage increased every year. ROBBERY accounted for approximately 30% of all violent crimes. Robbery reports increased every year through 1980 (+80%), and then decreased by 6% in 1981 (see Figure C). There was an average of three new robberies reported every month. December and January regularly experienced high levels of reported robberies. Ninety percent of all robberies occurred in Maricopa and Pima counties. RAPE accounted for 7% of all violent crimes. Rape rose every year through 1980 for a net increase of 83%. Rape reports fell by 13% in 1981. Rape reports increased at an average rate of one additional report every two months (see Figure C). 1978 posted a 33% increase in reported rapes—the highest increase for any one year. There was a seasonal pattern to rape reports, with the summer months of June, July and August regularly having the highest nuMbers. 84% of Arizona's rapes occurred in Maricopa and Pima counties. 25 FIGURE C. UCR VIOLENT CRIMES 1976-1981 STATE WIDE 1100: ■ 1000- 900N U M e E R 0 F j 8001 I 7001 j V I 0 L E N T 600- 0 F F E N S E S 4004 500, 300:: 200- 100- 01976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 MONTHS • at assaults p.r month, I = robborior per month, + = rapes per month, 0 sa homicides per month 26 1982 MURDERS accounted for only 2% of all violent crimes. Unlike most other index crimes, murders did not steadily increase (see Figure C). Instead, there were two years (1977 and 1980) which had 24% increases, interspersed between years (1978 and 1981) when murder reports shrank by 1% and 19% respectively. Approximately 75% of all murders were reported to police agencies in Maricopa and Pima counties. 3. CRIME RATES This section will analyze Arizona crime trends by dividing crimes reported to police by population. This will produce crime rates, or crimes reported per 100,000 population. This is a valid statistic for inter-group comparisons. There are important differences in attitudes, demographics and police reporting practices, however, which complicate efforts to make group comparisons. Nevertheless, combining all of the police reports in each county, and then aggregating them further into the four county groupings, means that crime reporting differences become dilluted enough to permit general comparisons. Arizona's population steadily increased from 2,241,500 in 1976, to 2,843,600 at the end of 1981. This steady increase has implications for crime rate computations, in that a crime rate decrease may indicate either a reduction in reported crime, or it may indicate that population increases outpaced increases in reported crime. On the other hand, crime rate increases imply that either increases in reported crime outpaced population increases, or that population actually decreased. Since all of the county groupings had population increases the last explanation can be ignored. Group III counties had the highest population increase of 30%, followed by Group I (28%) and Group II (23%). Group IV had the lowest increase of 17%. The TOTAL INDEX CRIME RATE decreased by 2% during this time period (see Table 3). The more populated counties (I and II) experienced slight decreases, while the less populated counties (III and IV) had significant increases (42% and 24%). Trends apparent in property crime rates largely explain this distinction. 27 TABLE 3 PERCENT CHANGE IN CRIME RATE*: BY COUNTY GROUPS STATE GROUP GROUP GROUP GROUP I II III IV 1976 to 1977 1977 to 1978 1978 to 1979 1979 to 1980 1980 to 1981 1976 to 1981 -5 -7 +4 +1 +2 -5 -6 -9 +8 +20 +3 +3 +6 0 -2 +12 +13 +2 +24 +9 -6 -7 -6 +4 -5 -2 -5 -2 +42 +24 PROPERTY CRIME RATES decreased in Arizona and also within the two more populated county groupings (see Table 4). The less populated groups, however, recorded large increases of 40% and 28%. Property crime rates increased every year in Group III. TABLE 4 PERCENT CHANGE IN PROPERTY CRIME BATE*: BY COUNTY GROUPS 1976 to 1977 STATE GROUP GROUP GROUP GROUP I II III TV -5 -7 +4 +1 +1 1977 to 1978 1978 to 1979 1979 to 1980 1980 to 1981 1976 to 1981 -6 -7 +2 +2 +7 +1 -2 +11 +12 +2 +23 +10 -5 -6 -5 +5 -4 +1 +1 +4 +40 +28 -8 +10 +17 *Average annual crime rates were computed using monthly data. LARCENY=MPT RATES fell by 4% in Maricopa and Pima counties, while in the rest of the state they rose. Groups III and IV had the greatest increases of 38% and 33% respectively. The statistical predominance of Pima and Maricopa counties, however, meant that aggregate larceny-theft rates would decrease. Except for 1980, Arizona's BURGLARY RATES dropped every year for a total decrease of 12%. Burglary rates fell in Group I (-15%) and Group II counties (-4%). The less populated counties, however, had net increases of 19% and 17% respectively. 28 MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT RATES declined statewide (-1%) and in Groups I (-2%) and II (-25%). Group III had rate increases every year except 1981, for a total net increase of 70%. Group IV also had a motor vehicle theft rate increase of 17%. Arizona's VIOLENT CRIME RATE increased by 28% from 1976 to 1981 (see Table 5). Most of this growth was due to a 37% surge in violent crimes reported by police agencies in Maricopa and Pima counties. In fact, these two Arizona counties reported violent crime rate increases for every year except 1981. Group IV posted the single largest increase in violent crime (45%), almost all of which occurred in 1978. Statewide ROBBERY RATES jumped by 39%, and led all other crime categories in percentage increase. All four county groups posted increases in robbery rates, with the least populated counties showing large increases. Indeed, from 1979 to 1980, Group IV robbery rates jumped 83%. Group III's robbery rate increased by 52% betwen 1976 and 1981, followed by Group I (39%), Group II (20%), and Group IV (11%). Arizona's RAPE RATES increased every year except 1981 for a net increase of 29%. Rape rate increases were restricted to the more populated counties, however, rape rates fell by 38% and 60% in Groups III and IV. All of the groups had rape rate increases in 1980, and then decreases in 1981. ASSAULT had the third highest crime rate increase of 24%. Groups I and IV had the largest assault rate increases of 24% and 61% respectively, while Groups II and III showed reductions of 21% and 4%. Maricopa and Pima counties posted increases in assault rates for every year except 1981. Group III had decreases for every year except 1980. All of the groups had assault rate decreases in 1981. HOMICIDE RATES increased statewide by 6% fran 1976 to 1981. Groups I and IV both had approximately a 16% increase in homicide rates, while II (-17%) and III (-54%) had decreases. 29 TABLE 5 PERCENT CHANGE IN VIOLENT CRIME RATE*: BY COUNTY GROUPS L976 to 1977 1977 to 1978 1978 to 1979 1979 to 1980 1980 to 1981 1976 to 1981 STATE +4 +7 +7 +18 -11 +28 GROUP I +6 +10 +9 +20 -10 +37 GROUP II +1 -7 0 +9 -15 -12 GROUP III +2 -7 -10 +35 -14 +3 GROUP IV +7 +49 +7 -7 -8 +45 *Average annual crime rates were computed using monthly data. TABLE 6 SELECTED ARIZONA CRIME RASES 1976 to 1981 1976 to 1980 1980 to 1981 +4% -61 V1CLENT CRIME Homicide Rape Robbery Assault +44% +37% +50% +50% +41% -11% -22% -14% -8% -12% PROPERTY CRIME Burglary Larceny-Theft Motor Vehicle Theft +1% -9% +641 +13% -5% -3% -8% -13% TOTAL INDEX 30 4. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS A review of monthly UCR data from 1976 through 1981 reveals some basic facts about crime in Arizona. 1. Arizona has experienced fairly well-patterned increases in total index, violent, and property crime reports. Violent crime reports increased faster (58%) than property crime (19%) for combined increases in crime reports of 20%. 2. Arizona's total index crime rate dropped between 1976 and 1981. This drop was largely due to the rapid growth in the state's population, and a 4% reduction in the property crime rate. The violent crime rate, however, increased by 28%, and this was due to large violent crime increases in Maricopa and Pima counties. 3. 1981 may have been a turning point for Arizona's crime problem. Except for slight burglary and larceny-theft decreases in 1978, all other crimes generally increased through 1980, and then decreased in 1981. 4. Violent crime rates were more volatile than property crime rates, in that the former rapidly increased through 1980 and then decreased at double the rate of property crime. While the cause(s) of this decrease may be unclear, the effects are not (see Table 6). 5. There are important differences between crime trends in Arizona's counties. Except for rape rates, the more populated counties had crime rate decreases, while the less populated counties recorded crime rate increases. Indeed, the more populated counties recorded drops in total index crime, property crime, burglary and motor vehicle theft rates. Meanwhile, these same crime rates increased in the less populated counties. This distinction between rising crime rates in the less populated counties and dropping crime rates in the more populated counties is partially blurred by the following. a. Robbery rates increased in all county groups. 31 b. The less populated counties had rape rate decreases, while in the more populated counties, rape rates increased. c. The most (I) and least (IV) populated counties had large increases in violent crime rates. 6. Maricopa and Pima counties generally parallelled the statewide crime trends discussed above (1,2, and 3). Since 75% or more of all crime reports were filed by police agencies in these two counties, aggregate state crime data were largely dependent upon them. 7. Group II counties (Coconino, Cochise, Final, and Yuma) stood out from the others insofar as their crime reports did not increase as much as might be expected.3 The number of motor vehicle theft reports submitted by these four counties decreased over the last six years—the only significant decrease among all of the crime categories. Furthermore, property crime in general, and larceny-theft reports in particular were less than would be expected based on their populations. Indeed, total index, violent and property crime rates dropped in these four counties. 8. Group III counties (Apache, Mohave, Navajo, and Yavapai) experienced large increases in total index, property and violent crime rates. Property crime rate increases were especially large in this group. Indeed, property crime reports and rates did not peak in 1980 for this group as it did for all of the others. The only decreases were in assault and rape rates. 9. Group IV counties (Gila, Graham, Greenlee, and Santa Cruz) had the sparsest population, and relatively low population increases, yet very high increases in crime reports and crime rates. In fact, there was a 45% increase in index crime reports, and a 65% increase in violent and a 44% increase in property crime reports. Moveover, index crime rates increased by 24%. Most of the 23% rise in property crime can be attributed to a 33% rise in larceny-thefts. Assault rates also jumped by 61%, and did a lot to cause the violent crime rate to increase by 45%. Rape rates represented the only Group IV crime rate decrease. TOTAL INDEX CRIME * TREND BY MONTH 1982 18000: 17000: 1600015000: 14000-7_ 13000: . 12000: 11000: N U M e loom-1 E R 9000: 8000: 7000: 6000: 5000: 4000: 2000: i I I I I I I I I I I JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV OEC MONTH = total index crime reports + = total index crime arrests I = total index crime clearances • excludes areOrl 34 INDEX CRIME* COMPARISON BLOCK CHART OF NUMBER OFFENSES CLEARANCES 1973 1979 1930 1931 YEAR • excludes arson 35 195Z VIOLENT CRIME TREND BY MONTH 1982 gm 1400- 1300- 1200- 1100- 900-I . N U M 800E E R 400- 300- 200JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC MONTH • = violent crime reports + = violent crime arrests I = violent crime clearances 36 VIOLENT CRIME COMPARISON BLOCK CHART OF NUMBER OFFENSES 1975 1975 199U YEAR 37 1951 1982 PROPERTY CRIME* TREND BY MONTH 1982 18000— 17000216000-: Isom: •■ NI = 14000 13000.: 12000:- 1 1 ocm-: N U M 100008 E R 9000— 8000-1M 7000:: 60007: 5000-::. 4000-:. MI AAINh..._ 3000:-", --colliglir "11 . smo-- il• —444.4110111111r A liir 2000:: JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC MONTH = property crime reports + = property crime arrests I = property crime ciearances * excludes ar3071. 38 PROPERTY CRIME* COMPARISON BLOCK CHART OF NUMBER OFFENSES CLEARANCES 1975 1979 1980 1931 YEAR • excludes arson 39 1932 MURDER AND NONNEGLIGENT MANSLAUGHTER DEFINITION & PROFILE The willful nonnegligent killing of one person by another. Excludes attempts or assault to kill (classified as aggravated assault), suicide and accidental deaths. Murder, the most serious index offense, increased by 3% in 1982 fram the previous year. The 233 murders represented 2% of all violent crimes reported, and less than 1% of the total crime index. The largest number of murders reported in one month was 25 in January and Saturday was the most frequent day of the week for murder with a total of 47. Firearms were used in 52% of the murders. 66% of the firearms used were handguns. 27% of the murder victims were acquaintances of their killers, 22% were strangers, 18% were family members, 3% were either a boyfriend or a girlfriend, and 31% had an unknown relationship. Adults, 18 years of age and older, accounted for 87 percent of the victims. Males were the most frequent victims and offenders in murder cases. Indeed, 75% of the murder victims, and 81% of those arrested for murder were male. 81% of the murder victims were white, and 83% of those arrested for murder were also white. The murder clearance rate of 62% was the highest of all index crimes. MURDER COMPARISON OFFENSES 1978 1919 1950 YEAR 40 1981 1982 MURDER TREND BY MONTH 1982 26 24 22 20 18 N U M 16 B E R 14 12 10 6 I !III! T T JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV OEC MONTH • la murder reports + a murder arrests murder clearances 41 MULDER VICTIM HY AGE, SEX, RACE AND FITINIC ORIGIN SEX MALE FEMALE RACE ETHNIC ORIGIN HISPANIC NON HISPANIC AGE NUMBER DISTRIBUTION Infant 1 4 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1-4 9 7 2 6 3 0 0 2 5-9 7 4 3 1 7 4 3 5 2 0 0 1 6 10-14 3 1 2 1 3 0 0 0 1 2 15-19 16 7 8 8 0 1 0 6 10 20-24 42 18 33 9 15 36 3 3 0 12 25-29 32 14 22 10 21 6 5 0 5 30 27 30-34 26 11 24 2 5 2 0 5 35-39 16 7 12 4 19 13 1 2 0 5 21 11 40-44 22 9 19 3 19 3 0 0 6 16 45-49 13 11 5 2 0 0 3 0 8 9 5 5 11 11 2 0 4 6 3 9 0 0 3 1 60-64 9 7 0 0 10 8 8 3 5 2 7 0 0 0 4 65-69 2 1 2 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 70-74 4 2 1 3 3 0 1 0 75 & Over 9 4 4 5 4 8 0 0 3 9 2 2 2 4 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 3 175 58 188 31 14 0 55 178 50-54 55-59 Unknown '1UTALS 233 Distribution ADULT JUVENILE UNKNCUN 100% 100% 204 87% 25 11% 4 2% 75% 25% WHITE 80% BLACK 13% INDIAN 6% ASIAN 23% 2 77% MURDER BY TYPE OF WEAPON USED MURDERS WEAPON HANDGUN •SI 14. 41 • P 1 P• 1 WP•V 1 14. .." . •"•4 1 WNWI O P •944. P4. 4 P• • •W•W•1 P• ■••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••4 ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• o••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••4 ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• „tip,• ,111••et • •• • 4 11, ,•4 •e lat ,•„•, ►,•, ,•„•„*J•R Aelt, • 81 RIFLE/SHOTGUN e•welreir■■ .■ nrer ••••••• • •••••••• •• • ••••••••••• 0•••••••••■ .1.4.41.44,41,A,a.e.41,46 23 UNKNOWN FIREARM • -•••-•-•-••••-• ••••••••• ••••• •••• ••••• ••• •••••••• ,4■All■ ••••••• •••••■■ •■ 18 SHARP OBJECT ■;*;•;*, "•"*;"weee•'*'*;"vg.;•;*;*;•;•;•; • ••• • • • • • ••• • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • ••• • • • •• • •• ****.•V Vttiett.W 4.Vtt.•4444: 1 '4r 1.-4 ib-■-Arth.-4 ir •-•-•-• *-4-4 SS BLUNT OBJECT vily•-•Av•Av•Ar•Al •••••••••• •••••• 41 •••• •• • • • • •41 •• • •• • •• ••• •,••••• ••• ••• 24 PERSONAL WEAPON •••• •• ►10•••• 4 •••••• OTHER WEAPONS W4 •• • • • • • •∎ • ❖ • ■ • •• •• •• •• • • ••• •• •• •• •• •• •••• •••••••••• .0***V•*•v$4 •••••• 14 „40,, •'*Virc"* 18 1 1 v 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 MURDERS 43 MUREER COMPARISON BY MONIS 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 JANUARY 11 21 33 30 25 FEBRUARY 13 19 22 15 18 MARCH 17 13 17 23 13 APRIL 15 9 27 17 23 MAY 15 18 21 20 17 JUNE 24 18 20 17 16 JULY 23 22 21 21 18 AUGUST 30 22 25 19 16 SEPTEMBER 18 23 22 20 24 DER 13 22 21 12 24 NOVEMBER 17 11 22 19 18 MOWER 24 20 25 14 21 220 218 276 227 TOTALS 44 233 VICTIM/PERPETRATOR RELATIONSHIP SUM OF VICTIMS GROUPED BY MURDERER ACQUAINTANCE STRANGER 51 BOY/GIRLFRIEND 7 FAMILY MEMBER 41 1111111r 11 11111111111111111 UNKNOWN 72 45 RAPE DEFINITION & PROFILE The carnal knowledge of a female through the use of force or threat of force. Assaults to commit forcible rape are also included; however, statutory rape (without force) is not counted in this category. 1,082 rapes were reported to the police, which represents 7% of all violent crimes, and less than 1% of the total crime index. Reported rapes increased by 2% from 1981 to 1982. 76% (820) were forcible, and 24% (262) were attempted rapes. August had the highest number of forcible rapes (127), followed by July (120), and June (110). 376 rapes (forcible plus attempted) were cleared in 1982, down 6% from 1981. 92% (347) of the rape clearances involved adult offenders, and 8% (29) involved juveniles. RAPE COMPARISON OFFENSES CLEARANCES 1-975 1979 1980YEAR 46 1981 1982 ATTEMPTED RAPE COMPARISON BLOCK CHART OF NUMBER OFFENSES CLEARANCES 1414 1979 194U 1941 YEAR 47 1942 FORCIBLE RAPE TREND BY MONTH 1982 140— 130: 120: IN 90 130' N U M 70B E R 60: so= 40: 30: 20— 10: 0-: JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC MONTH • = forcibie rape reports + = forcible rape arrests = forcible rape clearances 48 ROBBERY DEFINITION & PROFILE The taking or attempting to take anything of value from the care, custody, or control of a person by force or threat of force and/or by putting the victim in fear. In 1982, there were 4,516 robberies reported in Arizona. The total represented a 9% decrease in robberies committed since 1981. Robberies accounted for 31% of all violent crimes reported to police, and 2% of the total state crime index. $3.3 million worth of objects were stolen in 1982, 51% less than the $6.8 million reported in 1981. The highest robbery loss, $966,849, occurred in residences. January had the highest number of robberies (430), followed by August with 427 offenses. 81% of the robberies involved firearms or strong-arm tactics. 1,272 robberies were cleared in 1982, an increase of 3% above 1981. Adults accounted for 87% of all robbery clearances, down 3% from the previous year. ROBBERY COMPARISON OFFENSES 1272 1973 19711 199U YEAR 49 32 ROBBERY TREND BY MONTH 1982 300— N 270: N : U M 2408 E R 210— 180; 150— 120— 90— 60— 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ~1 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC MONTH • = robbery reports + = robbery arrests I = robbery clearances 50 ROBBERY BY I IH AND WEAPON USED WEAPCti Ibtal Firearm 1,830 Dist Jan Feb W Mar Apr 4a2 Jun Jul. Aug Sep Oct ?kw Dec 4WD 201 168 186 137 136 120 146 142 157 140 143 154 Knife or Cutting Instrument 543 12 47 50 54 50 50 49 35 54 47 32 32 43 Other Dangerous Weapon 312 7 25 28 20 25 27 23 21 41 31 27 23 21 Strong-Arm 1.831 40 157 132 154 125 155 144 171 190 169 172 118 144 TOTALS 4,516 100 430 378 414 337 368 336 373 427 404 371 316 362 Distribution 100% 9% 8% 9% 7% 8% 7% 8% 9% 9% 8% EMERY BY LOCATICN AI) VALUE AVERAGE DOLLAR DISTRIBUTION TUTAL LOLLAR VALUES 43% 23 $ 863,938 806,843 $ 440.11 NUMBER OF LOCATION Highway Commercial House Gas or Service Station Convenience Store Residence Bank Miscellaneous IUTALS OF 1,963 1,032 230 383 5 8 83,797 96,664 478 108 11 2 966,849 322 4,516 7 100% VALUE STOLEN 781.82 364.33 282,801 238,305 252.39 2,022.70 2,618.53 740.08 $3,339,197 $ 739.41 7% 8% AGGRAVATED ASSAULT DEFINITION & PROFILE The unlawful attack by one person upon another for the purpose of inflicting severe bodily injury. It is usually accompanied by the use of a weapon, or other means, which is likely to produce death, or serious bodily harm. Law enforcement agencies reported a total of 8,844 aggravated assaults, 10% less than in 1981. Aggravated assault represented 60% of violent crimes and 4% of the state crime index. The largest number of aggravated assaults for one month occurred during August (889), with the next highest month being July with 869. Assaults were cleared 56% of the time. Adults accounted for 88% of the clearances, and juveniles 12%. ASSAULT BY WEAPON USED NUMBER OF OFFENSES WEAPON 2,205 1,839 2,324 2,476 8,844 Firearm Knife or Cutting Instrument Other Dangerous Weapon Hands, Fists, Feet, etc. TOTALS DISTRIBUTION 25% 21% 26% 28% 100% AGGRAVATED ASSAULT COMPARISON OFFENSES 8844 9830 10884 8864 7869 CLEARANCES 4685 5176 6528 YEAR 52 5888 4972 AGGRAVATED ASSAULT TREND BY MONTH 1982 900UU • m 800= 700- 600.6 .. 500= N U : 11 '3 E 400R 300J 200= 0-: w I r 1- I I I 1 I I I JAN FE8 MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC MONTH • ia aggravated assault reports + at aggravated assault arrests I im aggravated assault clearances 53 BURGLARY DEFINITION & PROFILE The unlawful entry of a "structure" to commit a felony or theft. The use of force to gain entry is not required to classify the crime as a burglary. Structures are defined to include but are not limited to houses, apartments, public buildings, offices, barns and cabins. There were a total of 53,358 burglaries during 1982, a 7% decrease since 1981. 28% of the property crimes, and 26% of the total crime index were burglaries. The greatest number of burglaries occurred in August (4,907) while the fewest were reported in November (4,014). $46 million worth of property was lost through burglaries in 1982, down from $55.1 the million reported in 1981. The combined value of residential burglaries was more than double the value of items stolen from non-residences. There were 6,823 burglary clearances in 1982, a 1% increase since 1981. Burglary arrests also increased by 6% since 1981. Adult offenders comprised 65% of the burglary clearances, and 55% of those arrested for burglary. BURGLARY COMPARISON OFFENSES CLEARANCES YEAR 54 AM, BURGLARY TREND BY MONTH 1982 5000: 4000: 3500 3000-; 1 i N U M 2500-1 . B E R ..• 2000-: 1500-: . . 1000-: . :■ 500- .1001'--"iimulm0F" -4°"- Npr- 41-- : a( -r'I I I I 1 1 I T 1 i JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC MONTH burglary riports + gi burglary arrests Im burglary atearancaa • al 55 • BURGLARY BY MONTH AND MEANS OF ENTRY Total Dist Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Unlawful Entry No Force 38,121 71% 3,284 3,070 3,486 3,181 3,049 2,833 3,433 3,441 3,072 2,983 2,907 3,382 Forcible Entry 11,025 21% 954 909 966 857 931 922 925 1,113 936 879 796 807 4,212 8% 307 334 326 358 327 347 436 362 381 311 370 Attempted Forcible Entry TOTALS 53,358 353 100% 4,545 4,313 4,808 4,396 4,307 4,102 4,794 4,907 4,370 4,243 4,014 4,559 VALIJE OF OBJECTS BURGLARIZED LOCATION Residence Total Night (6 p.m.-6 a.m.) Day (6 a.m.-6 p.m.) Unknown Non-Residence Total Night (6 p.m.-6 a.m.) Day (6 a.m.-6 p.m.) Unknown TOTALS VALUE STOLEN $33,424,170 10,930,403 11,130,396 11,363,371 12,602,831 5,653,236 1,050,671 5,898,924 $46,027,001 1 BURGLARY BY LOCATION TIME REPORTS 13000 rereee 1■•••• •••11 ► •••• ■•••• •••• ■•••11 •••• ■•• •4 ••••11 ■••• •••• ■ •••••• ■•••411 •••• •• •• •••• •••4 ■• ••• 11,•••• •••■11 1■ •••41 P. •1 •••• I,• •••4 ••• '• • • ••••4 )•••41 •••• •••••• ••• ■•••41 1■•••• •41 ••••4 •• ■ ••••• •• ■ ••••• ••4 •• 4 •••• •• ■•••41 •••• ■•••11 •••• •••11 11■•••• ■ •••••••• ■•••11 •••• ■ •• 4 ••• • • 11•••••••• 11••••• ••• 11■••••• ••4 1■••••• ••4 ■ •••••••• 11■••• ••••4 1■•••••••4 11■•••• •••■11 ,•••••••• 0• ••• • •••41 1••• •••• ,•••••••• 11.•••••••• Ir•••411 •••• 1■••••••••4 .•••••••1 •••• P ••••••• • •••• t••••• 1.••• ••••4 *•••• •••• II•••••••4 1■ •••4 ••• 11■••••• •••• •••4 IP•••• ■ •••••••• 11.•••• •••1 0.•••• •••• ■•••4 ••••. i • •••+•• 11•••11 •••• II••• ••••4 ■ ••••••4 11 44•••• •4 • 10•••4 12000 11000 -.: 10000 9000 • 8000 - Are.N 7000 • 6000 Awn 4 4 • 5000 4000 3000 2000 • v• IP 4ree • •••44 ••••••••• • •••41 ••4 •••• ■ ••••4 ••••••• ■ ••• • •4 IPP•••4 DAY 1141+414 $1, •••4 410 40.41 *4 ■••• ••404/4 ••4 OP•*•** P4.044 40P••••••4 ■ ■•••4 Ir•*•*•*••4 • 411** W***4 4.404/ 1■*•••4 AP** * bi• 411 4 ►*40** ,•4140 *IP** '4141404 **IP* #.41.0.#4 4P+414,* 0.41 ••■•4 g,• ** * *11!4 41■ 0.41•41.4 0410* ,41411•4 ••• 46,••• , 4 '414.414 11.41•04 ***O. ■••••4 4,411* 11••4. •11 41 41*** '41 , 4.41, 4 ••••4 •••46•••11 1 *404* P•411414 **II* 041.••4 '4,4114,4 40*** ■••04 4#4141. *** 0 **46.4 * ■• 04 0 4#46 10 4 114,4041 •••• ■•••4 **IP* 0,04, 4 1.41.41•4 4146-6* 0404104 re•V•w41 1144••••*. 11••••4 •••• ■•••4 •••• ■•••■ 1.••• •••• •••••••• ■ •••• ■•••4 lo•••••••4 1• .•• ■ ••••• •••• ■•••■ •••• ••••1 OP••••• ••4 •••••••• ■ • . •••• ••••• • •••4 1■• ••• •••4 ••••••• ■ • ••• 11• • •• •••• ■•••4 •••• •••• ■•••4 1046i#4 04,4, 4644 lo•00.4 ■•••11 •••••••4 ■ •••• ■•••4 •••••• ■ •4 •••• ■•••4 ••••• ■••4 •••• ■•••4 •••• I,•••• 0•••41 NIGHT UNKNOWN DAY NON-RESIDENCE ----I wire 1,••• •• ••• ■ •••• •••4 1.•• •4 •••• ■•••41 1•••• , 0140404 •••• ■•4 ••• ••• 11.44••••. •••• P• •••• ••4 i•••4 •••• •••41 •••• P•••11 •••• OM. •••• ■ ••••4 ••• • • •11 •• • •11 IP••• •••• PM. •••• ■ ••• 41 •• •••• 1■•• • ••11 11•••41 •••• 11•• •••••4 ■•••11 1■..041 4■ 41104$ 1?411,41 • 46 P•40414 41.4.** k41,*** 4 414. • ,4#0"041 10.*** .011-040411 *-41.4,46 11-4141-4P4 .■*** 41111, 41O.4 •41.4141 P414,410 0.4.** *0.4 ! 44** 44+4.1 40•0.41,*414 0.41 04 # 4■ 0. k.041.*4 46*** 4.41.00. 0040.1.4 046** 1104,04 P*41.4, #00 4,4 -041.4141. 4b4 141 • 11**,04 1-0•114 *46** 41. .0•4■ 1414111414 *4 0.40. 41. .0*41,0*4 114, O. *** 0.41411 414 4■ 41k** ■• ••4 *0* 414'4. 0.04 ** 41 •41. 4■ 41.* #41 0.11 , 41 4,4 **AIR* 104*41.*411*4 * 0.4, 40414 400-041 ■401 1004 0. .04 *0. 1.41.40 41P*• 0 0.4141•4 00**4 ■•40•4 1,***it, 4•4004 1.41**4 004604 41■•41.** ■ 41# 40•.4 0414! 41141•4,4 P.0411.41 ► **9.40 '4,411414 11**II* 0•41.4 lik ••• 11 ** * 4 .0 41-4, 411 P***4 4 - 414 . .4.1 •••• ■•••4 ••• • •4 11•••1 ••• 11■•• ••• ••• • ■ ••••• •4 ••••• ■••• 11••• • •••4 ■•••41 1■••• ••••• •••• ■•••4I ••• ■ ••••• ••••• 11••• ❖ I. 1 4IA :44:1 ••••41 •••• ■•••4 •••• )•••4 •••4 Ir•••• •••4 ••• 111 ••41 111••• • • .•• ••• 4•41 *•••41 •••• ••••11 tr•••••••4 Ir• •••• ••• •••• )••• ■I •••• 1.•• •••••••• ■ •••• P•••4 11• •••• ••4 ••••••• ■ •• •• 11•••• ,•44, • 4 ■•••4 •••• ■•••4 •••• ■•••4 •••• ■•••11 • •• i ••• •• ••••• ■••4 •••••• ■ •4 •••• ■•••4 •••• ■•••4 •••• ■•••4 •••• 0•••4 •••• ■•••4 ••••• ■••4 •••• ■•••4 •••• ■•••4 ••• • Ib • • • 4 •••• ■ •••• ••111 P••••• +••. •••• ■•••4 •••• ■•••1 •••• ■•••11 • ••••• h411.••••••• • • ■ •••• ■•••4 1■•• • •••• 41 ■ ••••••••• •••• ■•••4I •• • 1■••• • •••4 •••• 41 11• 1■• •••••• • •41 1••• • •• ••1 • • •••• 1■ •• •••• ■•••4 •• 0••411 • 411 NIGHT UNKNOWN TIME E---- RESIDENCE ------I 57 LOCATION LARCENY-THEFT DEFINITION & PROFILE The unlawful taking, carrying, leading or riding away of property from the possession or constructive possession of another. This excludes embezzlement, fraudulent conversion of entrusted property, conversion of goods lawfully possessed by bailees, lodgers, or finders of lost property, counterfeiting, obtaining money by false pretense, larceny by check, larceny by bailee and check fraud. There were 123,039 larceny-thefts reported in 1982, a 3% decrease since 1981. Larceny-theft accounted for 66% of the property crimes, and 61% of the state crime index. The greatest number of larceny-thefts occurred during March (11,328), while June (9,470) had the fewest. Theft of vehicle parts and accessories was the single largest larceny-theft category. Shoplifting had the second highest amount and pocket-picking recorded the least. There were 4,430 fewer larceny-thefts in 1982 than in 1981, yielding a decrease in value lost by larceny-thefts of $16 million. The greatest number of larceny-thefts involved property under $50, while the greatest property loss ($28 million) occurred in larceny-thefts over $200. The larceny-theft clearance rate (20%) increased by 2% over the 1981 rate. Adults accounted for 70% of the clearances, and juveniles 30%. There were 1,763 more larceny arrests in 1982 than in 1981, an increase of 8%. LARCENY-THEFT COMPARISON OFFENSES CLEARANCES YEAR 58 LARCENY-THEFT TREND BY MONTH 1982 sow; eon.: 7000- N U 11 6000- E I 50002. 4000- 3000- 2000 ■ 1000""'' • ■ 11 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 F JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV OEC MONTH • mg larcenv-theft reports + is renw-titsit arrests kirceenv-thoft clearances 59 LARCENY-THEFT BY VALDE OF PROPERTY STOLEN AMOUNT PERCENT OF TOTAL $28,167,460 84 4,331,047 13 886,603 3 From Motor Vehicle 7,034,379 21 From Buildings 6,602,193 20 Vehicle Parts, Access. 4,440,727 13 Bicycles 2,645,053 8 Shoplifting 789,308 2 Coin-Operated Machines 115,330 .3 Pocket-Picking 101,931 .3 Purse Snatching 95,454 .3 11,557,155 35 TYPE $200 and Over $50 to $200 Under $50 All Other 60 LARCENY-THEFT BY VALUE AND WW1111 Total Dist Jan Feb Mar Apr May _ __ Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Over $200 33,930 28% 2,631 2,720 3,048 2,949 2,782 2,603 2,790 3,177 2,843 2,845 2,682 2,860 $50 to $200 38,242 31% 3,066 2,994 3,473 3,225 3,042 3,103 3,075 3,602 3,262 3,344 2,947 3,109 Under $50 50,867 41% 4,314 4,406 4,807 4,329 4,133 3,764 3,802 4,270 4,195 4,393 4,078 4,376 TOTALS 123,039. 100% 10,011 10,120 11,328 10,503 9,957 9,470 9,667 11,049 10,300 10,582 9,707 10,345 LARCENY-TBEETT BY TYPE AND NIONTH Classification Total Dist Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Pocket Picking 412 3% 40 29 30 33 32 27 42 32 29 36 40 42 Purse Snatching 705 6 68 68 63 56 39 46 52 54 52 64 63 80 Shoplifting 24,600 20 2,132 2,218 2,433 2,111 2,060 1,897 1,753 1,905 1,875 2,001 2,039 2,176 From Motor Vehicle 17,012 14 1,424 1,496 1,577 1,466 1,325 1,254 1,362 1,494 1,370 1,387 1,356 1,501 Motor Vehicle Parts/Access 26,203 21 2,062 2,132 2,376 2,115 1,947 1,898 2,085 2,406 2,323 2,344 2,194 2,321 Bicycles 16,801 14 1,252 1,248 1,524 1,414 1,307 1,518 1,451 1,739 1,511 1,543 1,226 1,068 Fran Buildings 15,133 12 1,347 1,321 1,412 1,343 1,317 1,073 1,167 1,379 1,240 1,272 1,064 1,198 From Coin Operated Machines 1,135 1 All Other 21,038 17 TOTALS 93 89 118 133 110 78 97 73 83 89 90 82 1,593 1,519 1)795 1,832 1,820 1,679 1,658 1,967 1,817 1,846 1,635 1,877 123,039 100% 10,011 10,120 11,328 10,503 9,957 9,470 9,667 11,049 10,300 10,582 9,707 10,345 MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT DEFINITION & PROFILE The unlawful taking, stealing or attempting to steal a motor vehicle. This excludes the temporary use of a vehicle by a person who has lawful access to it. Arizona law enforcement agencies reported 10,452 motor vehicle thefts in 1982, a 9% decrease since 1981. Motor vehicle thefts accounted for 6% of the property crimes, and 5% of the state crime index. March had the largest total of reported vehicle thefts (960) , and June had the lowest (749). Of the Arizona motor vehicles stolen, 66% (6,894) were recovered. Motor vehicle thefts accounted for a reported dollar loss of $35,324,164. Of that amount, $19,538,245 was recovered and is lower than the value stolen partly because of items missing or damaged. Motor vehicle theft clearances increased 2% in 1982 from 1981. Of the 1,872 clearances, adults accounted for 72% and Juveniles 28%. There were 304 fewer persons arrested for motor vehicle theft in 1982 than in 1981. MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT COMPARISON RECOVERIES OFFENSES CLEARANCES 1W76 1876 T88Q 1961 YEAR 63 Ian MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT TREND BY MONTH 1982 600= = .4 N U M B E R .... 500-ml al ■I 400-: m• 300= 0' I I I I I I I I I I I JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV OEC MONTH * = motor vehicle theft reports + = motor vehicle theft arrests X• = motor vehicle theft clearances 64 1C/ICR VEHICLE RBONERY INFORMATION Situation Tbtal Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Stolen Locally Recovered Locally 3,895 263 302 309 300 301 294 324 327 352 305 444 374 Stolen Locally Recovered by Other Agencies in State 1,306 92 90 90 108 113 96 118 144 93 106 123 133 348 21 31 22 31 20 23 24 33 37 23 43 40 Total Locally Stolen 5,549 376 423 421 439 434 413 466 504 482 434 610 547 Stolen Out of lbwn, In State, Recovered Locally 1,345 129 106 90 124 127 87 108 130 111 91 112 130 660 71 66 54 47 64 56 48 66 46 42 46 54 Tatal Recovered/Stolen Out of Mown or State 2,005 200 172 144 171 191 143 156 196 157 133 158 184 MD►PALS 7,554 576 585 565 610 625 586 622 700 639 887 768 731 Stolen Locally Recovered by Other Agencies Out-of-State Stolen Out of State Recovered Locally STOLEN VEEIICLES BY TYPE Number Stolen Distribution Automobiles 5,074 48% Trucks & Buses 2,438 23 Motorcycles 2,460 23 480 5 Type Other Vehicles TOTALS 10,452 100% The odds of having a motor vehicle stolen in Arizona declined from one chance out of 191 in 1981, to one chance out of 213 in 1982. This is the second year in a row in which there was a reduction in the odds of having a motor vehicle stolen. 66 ARSON DEFINITION & PROFILE Arson is the willful or malicious burning of a dwelling house, public building, motor vehicle, aircraft or personal property of another. Attempts to burn are also coded as arson; intent to defraud is unnecessary. There were 1,658 arsons reported to police agencies in 1982, a decrease of 133 offenses, or 7%. Structural arson accounted for 900 offenses, or 54% of the total. Arson of mobile units accounted for 485 offenses, or 24, and arson of other objects accounted for 273 offenses, or 16% of the total. The value of property damaged by arson decreased $4.4 million or 28% from 1981. Arsons were cleared 18% of the time, down 3% from 1981. There were 78 more persons arrested for arson in 1982 than in 1981, an increase of 22%. Juveniles accounted for 33%, and adults 67% of the arson arrests. ARSON COMPARISON OFFENSES CLEARANCES IV75/ 193U 1851 YEAR 67 YVII7 ARSON TREND BY MONTH 1982 225..e N U M B E R .6 75-- OZ' T 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC MONTH * = arson reports + = arson arrests .7f re- arson clearances 68 ARSE! BY PED'ERIY CLASSIFICATION AND VALUE Property Classification Number of Offenses NUmber of Clearances Estimated Value of Property Damage Structural 900 177 $10,607,280 Mobile 485 52 921,598 Other 273 73 34,587 1,658 302 $11,563,465 Tbtals 69 ARSON OFFENSES BY PROPERTY TYPE BY MONTH Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Value of Property Damage 72 70 60 82 66 122 '10,607.280 35 37 32 24 31 26 54 $4,065,580 10 10 12 9 9 3 2 17 '460.162 8 4 4 5 4 0 2 3 4 '59,865 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 0 1 0 '2,183.450 14 10 15 14 13 11 11 8 11 5 20 '3.343.992 4 5 17 7 5 12 4 6 13 34 28 21 '442,151 50 3 14 5 2 1 4 2 6 5 1 1 6 '52,080 TOTAL MOBILE 485 37 20 51 38 47 48 42 38 37 32 42 55 *921,598 Motor Vehicles: Automobiles, Trucks, Buses, Motorcycles, etc.: UCR Definition 445 34 18 47 35 44 43 39 37 31 27 40 50 '659,328 TOTAL Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. TOTAL STRUCTURE 900 63 72 78 78 60 79 Single Occupancy Residential: Houses, Townhouses, Duplexes, etc. 394 38 23 29 41 24 Other Residential: Apartments, Hotels, Motels, Dormitories, Boarding Houses, etc. 105 7 13 9 4 Storage Barns, Garages. Warehouses. etc. 44 2 3 5 Industrial/Manufacturing 11 1 0 Other Commercial: Stores, Restaurants, Offices, etc. 140 8 Community/Public: Churches, Jails, Schools, Colleges, Hospitals, etc. 156 PROPERTY CLASSIFICATION All Other Structures: Monuments, Buildings Under Construction, etc. Jul. . Other Mobile Property: Trailers. Recreational Vehicles, Airplanes, Boats, etc. 40 3 2 4 3 3 3 3 1 8 5 2 5 '262,270 TOTAL OTHER Crops, Timber, Fences. Signs, etc. 273 20 15 25 27 25 34 27 26 14 15 14 31 '34.587 1,658 120 107 152 143 132 159 141 134 111 129 122 208 '11,563,465 TOTALS . VALUE OF PROPERTY LOSS BY INDEX CRIME OFFENSE STATE TOTALS NUMBER OF OFFENSES OFFENSE DIST MUrder Rape Robbery Aggravated Assault Burglary Larceny-Theft Motor Vehicle Theft 233 1,082 4,516 8,844 53,358 123,039 10,452 4% 26% 61% 5% TOTALS 201,524 100% TYPik. CUrrency and Notes Jewelry &Precious Metals Clothing and Furs Locally Stolen Motor Vehicles Office Equipment TVs, Radios, Cameras, etc. Consumable Goods Livestock Miscellaneous Ibtals $ DIST AVERAGE VALUE 15,687 49,184 3,339,197 0 0 3% $ 67.33 45.46 739.41 46,027,001 39% 862.61 33,385,110 35,324,164 28% 271.34 30% 3,379.66 $118,140,343 100% $586.23 AND VALUE OF PT PERT' STOLEN AND RECOVERED STATE TOTALS Type of Property Firearms Household Goods .1% .5% 2% VALUE OF PROPERTY STOLEN Value Stolen $ 7,448,154 19,922,831 2,007,223 36,720,344 6% 17% 2% 31% 1,493,488 13,580,618 2,819,053 3,572,153 989,555 700,986 28,8851938 $118,140,343 1% 11% 2% 3% 71 Value Recovered Dist Percent Reouvered 356,158 5% 1,715,204 328,137 19,538,245 118,321 1,007,662 9% 16% 207,444 179,135 7% 5% 104,280 85,307 10% $ 53% 8% 7% 1% 1% 24% 3,607,240 12% 12% 100% $27,247,133 23% INDEX CRIMES BY COUNTY INDEX OFFENSES CRIMINAL HOMICIDE Murder and Nonnegligent Manslaughter Apache Gila Cochise Coconino Graham Greenlee Maricopa Mohave Navajo Pima Pinal Santa Cruz Yavapai Yuma 1 0 9 4 1 0 135 2 3 53 13 4 2 8 FORCIBLE RAPE Rape By Force Attempts to Commit 8 14 11 3 24 18 4 4 2 1 1 0 9 7 2 312 230 82 32 30 2 2 1 1 11 10 1 19 13 0 638 482 156 9 9 6 0 0 0 ROBBERY Firearm Knife or Cutting Instrument Other Dangerous Weapon Strong-Arm (Hands. Fists, Feet, Etc.) 4 1 22 9 5 2 6 80 28 8 4 40 6 3 2 1 1 2 0 0 2 0 2 3,084 1,295 344 186 1,259 33 20 3 0 10 24 6 5 0 13 1.062 403 147 105 407 85 25 7 7 46 7 1 1 1 4 31 14 3 1 13 73 26 19 4 24 ASSAULT Firearm Knife or Cutting Instrument Other Dangerous Weapon Hands, Fists, Feet, Etc. Aggravated 32 2 1 > 248 29 34 54 131 55 6 13 6 30 74 13 12 4,734 1,277 1.017 1,470 970 259 37 31 39 152 16 15 17 36 2,170 603 525 490 552 518 111 79 125 203 57 5 43 12 3 1 2 6 84 24 184 32 28 45 79 7 41 115 27 14 9 65 302 44 65 49 144 BURGLARY Forcible Entry Unlawful Entry - No Force Attempted Forcible Entry 126 74 49 3 873 623 226 24 948 541 301 106 254 147 100 7 116 61 49 6 41 31 10 0 33,181 24,212 6,558 2.411 797 485 275 37 657 476 130 51 . 12,454 8,818 2,388 1,248 1,560 1.112 352 96 562 462 15 85 865 563 259 43 924 516 313 95 LARCENY-THEFT 272 1,910 3,202 694 479 72 75,894 2,140 1,635 27,803 3,441 478 1,657 3,362 MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT Autos Trucks and Buses Motorcycles Other Vehicles 19 13 5 1 0 152 45 66 35 6 176 92 50 20 14 33 15 13 4 1 19 10 4 2 3 3 1 0 2 0 6,802 3,382 1,482 1,618 320 257 115 67 39 36 94 44 34 11 5 2,218 1,048 543 595 32 216 114 26 58 18 59 16 27 15 1 120 57 35 19 9 284 122 86 41 35 SUBTOTAL 460 3,155 4,687 1,050 '694 130 124,468 3,492 2,506 46,072 5,865 1,169 2,801 4,970 ARSON 4 14 27 7 0 0 848 44 9 632 33 4 7 29 TOTALS 464 3,169 4,714 1,057 894 130 125,316 3.541 2,515 46,704 5,898 1,173 2,808 4.999 4 2 0 0 3 5 ' 1 2 6 0 0 4 6 VALUE, IN DOLLARS, OF PROPERTY STOLEN BY CRIME BY COUNTY INDEX OFFENSES Apache Cochise Coconino 0 0 5.250 HOMICIDE , 0 0 FORCIBLE RAPE Graham Greenlee kilaricopa Mohave Navajo 0 • - -. 0 0 37 0 0 0 0 Gila 0 Pima Pined Santa Cruz Veva,* Yuma 0 3.400 0 0 7,000 50 — 0 36.193 0 5 12,911 25 0 0 16.316 4,478 5,239 80 1,917 171 3,873 60 130,750 2,337 675 0 4 23.860 100.000 3.874 471,062 168.124 61.021 3,915 2,436 196,103 21.224 16239 71,202 64.700 3.458 3,751 061 742 0 3.690 2.762 0 0 0 670 0 1.342 550 46,673 27.863 373 0 13.927 670 3.922 118 26,456 14.576 400 0 677 667 0 0 0 210 0 0 2.421,240 459,763 724,068 72,500 72.969 738,494 146.006 205,422 f ROBBERY Highway Commercial House Gas Of Service Station Convenience Store Residence Bank Miscellaneous 862 0 0 507 0 20 0 335 BURGLARY Residence Night, 6 PM - 6 AM Day. 6 AM - 6 PM Unknown Non-Residence Night, 6 PM - 6 AM Day. 6 AM - 6 PM Unknown 92,473 66,252 6,720 10,855 48,677 28.221 14.323 1,505 . 10.393 LARCENY-THEFT $200 and Over $50 to $200 Under $50 Pocket-Picking Purse Snatching Shoplifting From Motor Vehicle Motor Vehicle Parts and Access_ Bicycles From Buildings Coin-Operated Machines All Other 108.353 108,016 0 160 128 1.931 1 0 98 35,147 14,616 9,784 9,734 701 1.162 1.954 6.905 T 911 440 0 0 0 3 0 469 526 0 0 0 126 o 2.838 2.906 1.483 2.060 346 641,705 348,258 188.567 80,241 79,450 293.447 125.743 17,832 149.872 842,440 659,692 . 162,400 53,991 443.301 182.748 80,676 13,772 68,300 163.011 105.204 35,912 3,802 65,690 57.807 . 34,899 120 22,788 57,862 26,181 15,195 4,633 8,353 31.481 18.302 6,454 6,725 18,002 11,430 2.587 2,026 8.837 4,572 1,705 625 2,042 29.905.386 21.673,224 5,706,769 7,209,208 8.755247 8232.142 3,206,176 472,430 4,553,536 820,572 444.875 125,069 57,206 262.598 375,097 175,589 118,363 91.745 320,346 204.596 43.723 31.943 128,930 115,750 79.423 2,906 33.421 10,501,160 8,374,640 4.014,995 3,410,612 949.033 2,126,520 1,417,911 342,651 365,958 925.341 559.833 191,348 124.121 244.3134 365,506 166,5641 10,416 188.4613 417.922 286,536 231.633 41.708 13.195 131,386 117,612 12.799 975 612.414 398.861 152.786 38.809 207.296 213,553 131.855 13,750 67,948 710,587 264.588 50.719 61.439 152.430 445.999 62,456 36.788 326.755 114,138 105.270 7,313 1,553 350 270 447 31,728 5.899 469.860 386,799 70,316 12,745 415 4,062 6.768 55,175 48,940 964.614 868,063 96.834 19.717 6,391 606 13,118 248,611 119.098 187,643 160,114 23,789 3.740 223 430 1.316 31,583 21,126 160,343 139,569 18,063 2,711 150 704 1.756 12,305 4,264 17.720 13.261 4,134 325 0 0 98 4,044 793 21,092,694 18,011,305 2,545,049 536,343 59.391 55,765 563.273 3,806.680 2,951.701 780,409 705,522 63,025 11,862 1,799 3,249 8,924 136.021 70,845 397,539 328.012 59,488 10,039 2.476 6.307 4,092 83.006 23,203 7,109.073 5.745,066 1,135,861 228.148 22.541 17,549 143,535 2.109.436 909,351 385.866 742.490 122.986 20,410 7,340 5,078 17.193 136.544 138.302 152.259 130.587 18.624 3.048 0 483 7.971 61.801 18.571 407.143 346,755 49.742 10,646 35 86 6.229 86.221 27,642. 425,791 484.641 115.826 25.318 820 861 14,570 251.244 100.992 1,428 35,511 115 38,956 128.166 915 40,759 176.818 2,146 6.886 59,059 230 9,161 85,570 0 1,070 1,745 0 1,746,045 4,419,496 80,937 23,685 166,993 18.763 19,537 130.928 1.716 638,962 1.071.642 26,321 45,942 122,921 1.666 7,021 26,411 308 9.125 119.283 601 71.848 38,388 186,443 377.267 68,790 66,433 9,970 7.425,644 352,130 120.274 2.171.736 410,896 29.695 177.913 123,574 45,015 530,373 784,736 83,806 45,450 3,900 23,327.032 1,315,951 321,5e1 6.446,501 730210 483,543 334.919 871,365 1.750,291 2.652,187 435.173 263,961 38.499 76,782.582 2,933.248 1,056,486 1,401,149 2.241,249 MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT , fi TOTAL STOLEN • 2227 252.486 - - 1,170,201 24.540,707 2.622,124 _ 58.476 3,406 TYPE AND VALUE, IN DOLLARS, OF PROPERTY STOLEN AND RECOVERED BY COUNTY Apache Cochise Coconino Gila Graham Greenlee Maricopa Mohave Navajo Pima Penal Santa Cruz Yavapai Yuma Currency, Notes, Etc.' Jewelry/Precious Metals Clothing and Furs 10,726 13,584 1,288 100,058 130,023 14,471 436,577 271,991 64.516 33,007 66,986 7.132 13,395 32,906 6,543 5,241 940 82 4.113,216 13,771,685 1,359,816 228,310 399,719 26,120 232,323 114,323 16,390 1,746,942 4,184,188 369,531 148,094 183,944 34.502 104,744 140,167 33,826 161.526 158,626 46,393 113,995 451,749 26,613 Locally Stolen Vehicles Office Equipment Stereos/TV's/Cameras 50,565 57 12,169 837,323 40,619 127,310 772,738 13,254 191,108 83,608 3,917 41,766 45,510 627 30,876 3,900 0 5,711 24,135,230 1.307,752 1,100,453 4,890 9,040,143 162,551 331,831 16.253 85,783 6,816,999 264,778 3,213,690 818.417 15,854 232,091 483,543 14,709 96,300 357,555 5,713 133,257 875.373 12.364 207,863 Firearms Household Goods Consumable Goods 3,712 35,830 3,159 51,076 27,408 19,324 63,905 79,107 21,842 20,180 9,980 8,899 33,795 1,365 2,292 1,850 3,707 1,643 1,636,387 1.960,106 626,137 57,253 133,353 32,949 28,570 48,002 16.010 635,446 1,079,382 153,199 124,137 64,057 54,925 30,475 12.279 6,688 70,205 80,152 25,117 62,062 37,425 17,371 Livestock Miscellaneous 0 121,396 5,722 596,957 33,794 703,355 1,200 158,498 510 96,162 0 15,425 87,183 18,952,206 9,354 570,997 4.743 275,973 490,483 5,586,069 65.517 878,586 0 133,755 1,740 360,865 740 435,694 TOTAL STOLEN 252,486 1,750,291 2,652,187 435,173 263,981 38,499 76,782,562 2,933,248 1,056,486 1.401,149 2,241,249 Currency, Notes, Etc. Jewelry/Precious Metals Clothing and Furs 1,113 4,585 58 8,743 11,327 2.496 59,539 74,318 36,868 3,032 15.470 2,588 1,810 5,790 915 36 100 0 147,187 1,019,905 204,635 33,143 48,818 2,251 34,560 64,499 2,639 30,102 394,591 50,548 9,175 16,331 5,079 6,409 5.594 9.246 9.835 39.395 7,671 11,474 14,481 3,143 Locally Stolen Vehicles Office Equipment Stereos/TV's/Cameras 35,765 7 1,014 290,285 229 20,386 487,797 6,926 14,970 65,820 702 3,204 35,000 125 4,465 3,400 5,800 189 11,847,894 67.500 626,521 917,357 1,506 133,110 274,134 9.617 10,651 4,076,368 10.964 107,978 447,672 7,091 22,044 198,506 665 8.371 267.600 1,687 29,258 590,647 5.502 25.501 Firearms Household Goods Consumable Goods 242 2,139 643 13,299 6,575 1,361 11,473 10,116 4,702 3,250 1,135 2,633 1,674 390 610 300 1,000 80 103.397 103,525 61,251 4,893. 9,098 3.019 4,284 3,855 2,124 11,698 26,037 17.274 20,367 2,487 4,003 1,350 624 513 23,329 7.338 2,046 7,888 4,816 4.021 Livestock Miscellaneous 0 10,847 2.400 92,516 8 225,258 0 25,793 10 11,620 0 906 30,090 2,471,960 200 114,537 3,440 29,887 42,154 334,344 6,215 148,602 0 40,594 250 ) 44,724 540 55,652 TOTAL RECOVERED 56,413 449,617 931,975 123.627 62,409 11,811 5,102,058 689,066 271,872 433,133 723,665 STOLEN 1,170,201 24,540,707 2,622,124 RECOVERED 16,683,865 1,267,932 439,690 1 Index Crime Projections Crime forecasts can be a useful aid to decision making. Indeed, legislators and criminal justice administrators can use projections to allocate resources and establish current and future priorities. Crime forecasting can also be used to evaluate crime deterrence programs and the impact of new policies. The crime forecasts presented here were developed using the Box-Jenkins method. This method employs a three-stage statistical process known as Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA).1 ARIMA is regarded by many researchers as one of the best methods to use for short-term crime forecasting. An ARIMA model uses all of the information from the time series data, including such things as trend and seasonality. Table 1 presents the monthly forecasts of reported crime, along with the appropriate confidence intervals. Figures 1 and 2 are pictorial representations of forecasted crime, and crime rates. Forecasted crime rates are a function of two time series projections: index crime and population estimates. Seasonality is apparent in Arizona's UCR data, especially in reported burglaries, larceny-thefts and aggravated assaults. Trends are depicted in these figures by the dotted lines, and should be viewed as the estimated level of the overall series, and not the actual projections. Crime rate projections (see Figure 2) are pictured as decreasing faster than reported crime projections (see Figure 1) because of the expected slower growth in Arizona's population. The decline in the numerator (reported crime) when combined with smaller increases in the denominator (population) yields a more striking decline in crime rates than is apparent in the reported crime projections. 76 TABLE 1 TIME SERIES FORECAST OF u 111)EX CRIME IN ARIZONA FORECASTS STANDARD ERROR PLUS/MINUS 1983 January February March April May June July August September October November December 16336 15781 17054 15574 15228 14627 16224 17388 15670 16097 15139 16391 483 683 837 966 1080 1183 1278 1366 1449 1528 1602 1673 1984 January February March April May June July August September October November December 15933 15191 16501 15269 15097 14454 16051 17215 15497 15924 14966 16217 1819 1955 2081 2200 2313 2421 2484 2546 260/ 2666 2723 2780 1985 January February March April May June July August September October November December 15759 15018 16328 15095 14923 14280 15878 17041 15323 15750 14792 16044 2890 2996 3098 3197 3292 3386 3444 3502 3559 3615 3669 3724 FORECAST OF ARIZONA INDEX CRIME 20500. 19500- N moo: E 18000R 0 F 17500: R E P 1700 0 R T E 1650 0 ------------------------- 0 F 1600 E N 8 1550 8 1500 1450 1400 1350 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 MONTHS foressurte sore right of the vertices& broken, line * irnoraithe 1983 1984 1985 1986 FORECAST OF ARIZONA INDEX CRIME RATE 700. P • 87 0 R T E 85 0 C R 112S. I • n E 000:. ER 6761 0 o sot): o o SUN 4 11170 1977 1070 1979 11100 111111 MONTHS formossfa see tight . . 1 OM 'w1 r Ole4it Brehm aim 1088 1984 1986 1986 4- PERSONS ARRESTED The UCR program requires that an arrest be countedl each time a person is taken into custody, summoned or cited. Caution should be exercised when comparing arrests to offense data because several persons could be arrested for the same crime or the arrest of one person may clear several crimes. A juvenile "arrest" is the police processing of a minor who has committed a crime, and is then taken into custody or cited and released. If an adult would be arrested for the same offense, then that juvenile custody is considered an arrest. Police-juvenile contacts are not counted as arrests when no crime has been committed, or in instances when a juvenile is taken into protective custody. PROFILE Arizona police officers arrested 157,586 persons in 1982. This is 4,837 or 3 percent more than in 1981. There were 39,899 persons arrested for Part I offenses. This is an increase of 5 percent over the 37,818 persons arrested in 1981. Adults accounted for 78 percent of the 1982 arrests and juveniles accounted for 22 percent. 132,020 males (84 percent) and 25,566 (16 percent) females were arrested. Of the 35,234 juveniles arrested, 20,560 or 58 percent, were less than 16 years old. This is a 6 percent increase over 1981. Whites accounted for 85 percent of the arrests, Indians and Blacks each accounted for 7 percent. 21 percent of those arrested were Hispanics and 79 percent were non-Hispanics. 81 PERCENTAGE OF ARRESTS BY TYPE OF OFFENDER CRIME OFFENDER AGG ASSAULT ADULT PERCENT W.IL• -Va:•WA:•WAWA■••■■■■■,40 •■ r• OVA 1 r•leWA• 0"■10 JUVENILE ARSON BURGLARY ADULT ROBBERY TOTALS •••••••••••••• •• •••••••••• •••• ••••••• •• ••••• •• 4 ••••••■ •••••411 ■ •■ •■ •■ • 61 ADULT •••••••••••••••••• •••• •• ••••••••••••• ••••••••••••• ■•Al tat kt JUVENILE •••••••••••• • •4 •.4&41. • ••• • • • .• ••• *40. .41_•41.••46 49 •••-•-•-•-•'•-•-•-•-•'•'•'••• ••••••••••••••1 •••••••••••• ••••• a■■■ • • ■• ■• ■• ■.. tfa...■V 58 99 4•••••••••• ••••••••••4 ••••••••••• ••••••••••■ •• ■ •- ■■■■ •■• ■■ ••■ 4111 42 39 • 51 eire'"weee"'"4" 4111, 4011, 4111411 4.111 4. 1/41•114111:0*** ADULT ••• ••• ••411 • •_•••• • • • • •••••• • •••• •• ••• ••• 49 JUVENILE 41.-411-•-•"•"•-•-•"•-41-41"4.4V ••••••••••••4 • ••••••••••••• 51 ADULT isuirevii ree • vri4.1 Pee Pei rorripi re •••••••••••• • • • • • ••••••• • •• • • • •••• ••• • • ••••••• 91 JUVENILE RAPE 11■ 11■■ ••••••• •••••• ❖ • -•••-•"•-(r•-•-•-41 •••••••••4 •••••••••• JUVENILE MURDER 18 • •• •• •• •• _•_ 41.• JUVENILE LARCENY-THEFT ADULT M V THEFT 82 WAILI • 4 9 ADULT • ve•W4r4r4rrir•''•W•ve•v•w•"414V41eirlr•we ••••••••••••••••••••••4 ••••••••••••••••••••••• ..4.41.4*,,•.*:•,*,*„•••■•■••,•,•..*„*„*„.410,•,*,•..4 90 JUVENILE •• • • 10 4• 40, 1•4 "MeiIn rire I WWI ri reI 1141141 ADULT •• ••••••••••• ••••• ••••••••••• ••• ••••• •••• 79 JUVENILE 41e4r4r•ve 41• •• •• •• •• .,•••■•.•■• 21 ADULT JUVENILE eve ereireroveirevrie 4111**11. 41■• •••••• •••• • ••• •••• •••• _.•_•-•.•-•••..41.•.•.•_••••• 60 eilreirriVOWC417 •••••••••• •••••••••• 40 20 40 1 1 60 80 '"I' 100 PERCENT M.■11• • =I 111•1111. 82 ARREST BY OFFENSE, RACE & ETHNIC ORIGIN Number of Arrests [Merlbutton Murder and nonnegligent manslaughter 151 .1% 5 Manslaughter by negligence 42 .03% Forcible rape 293 Robbery Aggravated assault OFFENSE Rate Per 100,000 Population ' White Black Indian Asian Hispanic Not Hispanic 128 19 6 0 37 114 1 35 8 1 0 9 .2% 10 223 56 14 0 87 33 206 1,388 .9% 48 907 394 4,298 3% 149 3,515 527 PART 1 . . 82 5 302 1,086 244 12 1,203 3,095 Burglary 7,802 5% 270 6,837 881 269 15 1,952 5,850 Larceny-theft 24,280 15% 841 20,267 2,144 1,743 126 4,891 19,389 Motor vehicle theft 1,208 1% 42 1,085 64 59 0 222 986 Arson SUBTOTAL 437 .3% 15 407 22 7 1 85 352 39.899 25% 1,382 33,202 4.113 2.425 159 8,788 31,111 5,410 3% 187 4,565 517 304 24 1,348 4,062 758 .5% 26 584 153 19 2 96 682 1,031 .6% 36 895 107 22 7 80 951 27 175 653 PART II Other assaults, simple Forgery and counterfeiting Fraud 7 185 13 2 2 30 744 33 0 208 135 3,484 84 225 197 8 823 3.089 1% 59 ......_ 1,431 218 53 5 483 1,224 1,600 1% 55 1,037 488 60 15 130 1,470 Sex Offenses, (except forcible rape and prostitution) 2,154 1% 75 1,747 162 242 3 313 1,841 Drug abuse violations 10,416 7% 403 9,349 795 255 17 1,997 8.419 Gambling 176 .1% 8 139 36 1 0 81 95 Offenses against family and children 364 .2% 13 310 21 31 2 63 301 37,590 24% 1,302 33,976 815 2,737 62 7,033 30,557 27 2,233 10,487 Embezzlement 202 .1% Stolen property; buying, receiving, possessing 861 .5% Vandalism 3,912 2% Weapons; carrying, possessing, etc. 1,707 Prostitution and commercial vice Driving under the influence _ - . Liquor laws 12,720 8% 441 10,466 457 1,770 Disorderly conduct 9,240 6% 320 7,410 703 1,102 25 2,360 6,880 47 22 1 73 291 2.083 2,109 364 .2% 13 294 25,441 16% 881 21,205 Curlew and loitering laws (juveniles) 1,199 1% 41 1,112 45 41 1 Runaways (juveniles) 2,542 2% 88 2,409 78 49 6 327 2,215 93,424 Vagrancy All other offenses (except traffic) SUBTOTAL TOTALS 117,687 157,586 75% 100% . Distribution - 44 6.276 312 19,165 887 4,078 101,343 7,046 9,049 249 24,263 5,460 134,545 11,159 11,474 408 33,051 124.535 .3% 21% 79% 85% 83 7% 7% ARREST COMPARISON BY OFFENSE, BY SEX & BY AGE GROUP JUVENILE ADULT FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE OFFENSE 1980 1981 1982 s 1980 1981 1982 1980 1981 1982 13 1 0 0 1980 1981 1982 Murder and nonnegligent manslaughter 159 127 110 12 16 28 9 10 Manslaughter by negligence 26 36 38 1 5 4 9 2 2 0 0 1 0 29 1 0 33 32 18 PART I Forcible rape Robbery 368 305 260 1 0 4 53 54 1,065 995 992 108 116 107 344 311 271 102 261 64 120 271 292 7,415 2,769 2.814 2.813 581 96 60 60 Aggravated assault 3,022 3,027 3.174 280 334 353 764 838 651 Burglary 2,874 3,308 3,731 193 216 288 3,237 3,561 3.491 Larceny-theft 7,941 9,127 10,206 2.501 3.514 3,848 6,797 7,082 757 634 189 163 148 30 15 4,730 12.169 12,435 12,579 3.294 3,258 445 430 1,007 1,038 894 298 252 236 Motor vehicle theft 716 752 525 45 66 82 Arson 110 182 229 22 19 38 SUBTOTAL 16,281 17,839 19,283 3,183 4,084 3,850 434 4,288 i 24 3.327 PART II Other assaults, simple Forgery and counterfeiting 3,480 ' - 314 314 438 112 144 226 67 59 60 23 28 34 903 919 671 281 317 291 81 79 56 27 36 13 148 * Stolen property; buying, 591 receiving, possessing 151 136 44 38 43 29 10 12 7 4 11 551 505 60 61 57 256 299 262 32 43 17 136 100 180 Fraud Embezzlement 1.949 143 176 224 1.689 1,431 1.559 1,278 120 124 127 341 342 286 30 21 16 441 612 857 1,006 955 14 10 12 37 34 21 1.497 1.889 1,782 178 212 167 250 215 191 11 15 14 5.580 7.118 7,286 859 1,080 1.094 1,309 1.850 1,675 272 Gambling 45 102 161 6 12 10 0 5 5 0 0 0 Offenses against family and children 173 236 291 51 97 73 1 1 0 0 0 0 3,170 3,725 4.062 462 51 60 55 Vandalism 1.608 1.806 Weapons; carrying, possessing, etc. 1,216 1,326 399 Sex Offenses, (except forcible rape and prostitution) Drug abuse violations Prostitution and commercial vice , Driving under the influence 30,766 34,216 33,011 Liquor laws 4,370 6,571 7,482 587 918 Disorderly conduct 7,888 7,842 6,920 1,307 1,450 39 31 Vagrancy All other offenses (except traffic) 323 258 296 , , 527 . 488 2.266 2.473 3.049 596 742 961 1,201 1,178 899 938 222 209 181 48 52 29 18 2 5 2 3.001 842 809 965 ' . 16,899 18,961 1,626 2.115 2,494 2.934 2,729 Curfew and loitering laws (juveniles) 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,391 1,177 945 Runaways (Juveniles) 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,144 1,011 1,084 1.393 73.153 84.522 86.649 9,862 12,011 12,710 14.556 13,939 14,529 89,434 102,381 104,912 13,015 _ 16,297 17,440 28,725 26.374 27,108 TOTALS 84 361 1,206 14,114 SUBTOTAL 323 396 404 254 1.314 1,458 4.379 4.459 4.799 7.673 7,717 8.126 JUVENILE MALE ARRESTS TOTAL AGE UNDER 10 10-12 13-14 15 16 17 JUVENILE PART I Murder and Nonnegligent Manslaughter Manslaughter By Negligence Forcible Rape Robbery Aggravated Assault Burglary Larceny-Theft Motor Vehicle Theft Arson 0 0 0 2 17 119 392 3 33 1 0 0 16 40 436 1,156 30 23 1 0 6 56 107 866 2,032 118 39 0 0 4 34 108 702 1,185 138 18 4 0 7 69 166 662 1,331 143 21 7 2 12 94 213 706 1,319 129 12 13 2 29 271 651 3,491 7,415 561 146 PART I SUBTOTAL 566 1,702 3,225 2,189 2, 403 2,494 12,579 PART II Other Assaults — Simple Forgery and Counterfeiting Fraud Embezzlement Stolen Property Vandalism Weapons — Carrying, Possessing Prostitution and Comm. Vice Sex Offenses 35 0 1 1 3 152 2 0 5 97 3 2 0 20 . 314 20 2 17 196 7 12 0 60 398 55 2 44 146 13 8 2 57 179 43 2 40 198 14 16 1 65 266 61 3 36 222 23 17 8 77 250 105 3 49 894 60 56 12 282 1.559 286 12 191 DRUGS. SALE OR MFG. Opium, Cocaine. Derivatives Marijuana Synthetic Narcotics Other Dangerous Nonnarcotics 0 0 0 2 0 5 1 8 1 43 7 14 6 52 3 10 1 97 3 6 4 121 10 9 12 318 24 49 DRUGS, POSSESSION Opium, Cocaine, Derivatives Marijuana Synthetic Narcotics Other Dangerous Nonnarcotics 0 2 1 0 3 23 8 4 9 162 7 13 8 219 12 7 17 283 5 19 19 426 6 19 56 1,115 39 62 All Gambling Offenses Against Family and Children Driving Under the Influence Liquor Laws Disorderly Conduct Vagrancy All Other, Except Traffic Curfew and Loitering Runaways 0 0 0 2 22 1 70 3 23 0 0 0 17 47 2 255 43 118 1 0 8 171 155 10 616 189 335 1 0 21 413 186 2 568 227 227 1 0 112 941 229 1 685 235 212 2 0 321 1,505 299 2 807 248 171 5 0 462 3,049 938 18 3,001 945 1,084 PART II SUBTOTAL 325 1,007 2,515 2,452 3,507 4,723 14,529 TOTALS 891 2,709 5,740 4,641 5,910 7,217 27.108 OFFENSE CLASSIFICATION . , ' JUVENILE FEMALE ARRESTS AGE TOTAL UNDER 10 10-12 13-14 15 16 17 PART I Murder and Nonnegligent Manslaughter Manslaughter By Negligence Forcible Rape Robbery Aggravated Assault Burglary Larceny-Theft Motor Vehicle Theft Arson 0 0 0 1 3 6 92 0 5 0 0 0 0 7 40 442 a 2 0 0 0 6 36 97 816 18 9 0 0 0 4 23 54 513 13 3 0 0 0 4 26 51 523 15 5 0 0 0 3 25 42 425 8 0 PART I SUBTOTAL 111 497 982 610 824 503 PART II Other Assaults — Simple Forgery and Counterfeiting Fraud Embezzlement Stolen Property Vandalism Weapons — Carrying. Possessing Prostitution and Comm. Vice Sex Offenses 3 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 0 31 2 0 4 84 3 3 3 3 51 6 Q 2 43 8 1 0 4 31 3 3 0 r 2 C.) N V g(4, 42 15 6 8 6 25 3 11 7 236 34 13 11 17 teo 18 21 14 DRUGS. SALE OR MFG. Opium, Cocaine. Derivatives Marijuana Synthetic Narcotics Other Dangerous Nonnarcotics 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 5 0 5 0 9 o 0 2 12 1 3 0 18 2 2 3 46 4 11 DRUGS, POSSESSION Opium, Cocaine, Derivatives Marijuana Synthetic Narcotics Other Dangerous Nonnarcotics 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 3 54 8 4 4 49 4 4 3 70 1 5 7 67 2 3 17 249 15 18 All Gambling Offenses Against Family and Children Driving Under the Influence Liquor Laws Disorderly Conduct Vagrancy All Other, Except Traffic Curfew and Loitering Runaways 0 0 1 2 0 0 12 0 10 0 0 0 11 21 0' 54 4 78 0 0 2 135 55 2 244 91 514 0 0 4 218 48 0 201 57 367 0 0 10 301 30 0 230 65 309 0 0 36 314 29 0 224 37 180 0 0 55 961 181 2 965 254 1.458 OFFENSE CLASSIFICATION .- ' . i • • f _ _ JUVENILE 0 0 0 18 120 292 2.813 so 24 . 3.327 PART II SUBTOTAL 37 235 1,278 1.054 1,151 1,044 4,799 TOTALS 148 732 2,260 1,684 1.775 1.547 8,126 ADULT MALE ARRESTS TOTAL AGE 19 20 21 22 23 24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 6 4 20 111 189 687 1,067 76 14 7 8 20 84 214 463 910 67 12 9 1 12 85 192 408 770 38 14 4 1 15 70 180 307 663 47 10 8 4 15 87 185 242 591 35 15 5 4 18 63 167 193 475 26 13 2 3 19 49 161 172 428 31 18 20 3 65 199 677 590 1.649 89 44 18 2 33 109 439 326 1,132 41 36 8 4 17 62 299 173 737 27 17 7 2 11 45 167 88 481 22 10 7 0 6 11 137 38 346 12 12 4 0 5 10 77 33 288 5 7 2 2 3 5 39 9 199 4 3 2 0 2 0 29 • 0 175 4 2 1 0 1 2 22 2 295 1 2 110 36 260 992 3,174 3,731 10,206 525 229 2,174 1,783 1,529 1,297 1,182 962 883 3.336 2.138 1,344 833 569 429 266 214 326 19,263 PART II Other Assaults - Simple Forgery and Counterfeiting Fraud Embezzlement Stolen Property Vandalism Weapons - Carrying, Possessing Prostitution and Comm. Vice Sex Offenses 187 25 36 7 62 188 108 15 74 219 45 20 4 43 179 85 30 80 195 25 34 7 46 171 82 30 90 210 35 36 6 26 127 86 37 68 190 25 30 12 35 128 72 36 76 211 21 42 14 29 105 86 30 67 196 29 31 8 22 116 57 26 77 831 87 126 20 80 361 267 139 336 571 57 98 22 56 257 152 122 268 389 40 84 11 38 130 99 46 194 277 27 59 9 21 56 72 35 145 150 6 21 4 19 63 48 20 103 111 9 23 8 13 25 30 23 76 44 3 15 2 8 23 11 16 54 32 1 10 1 5 10 14 4 40 37 3 6 1 2 10 9 3 34 3,850 438 671 136 505 1,949 1.278 612 1,782 DRUGS. SALE OR MFG. Opium, Cocaine, Derivatives Marijuana Synthetic Narcotics Other Dangerous Nonnarcotics 6 59 1 7 7 73 2 5 17 76 4 11 24 89 6 3 10 62 2 11 26 69 3 6 12 59 7 6 66 194 24 21 .55 116 16 11 34 41 2 8 17 15 8 0 9 9 1 2 2 4 1 2 0 2 0 2 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 287 870 78 95 DRUGS, POSSESSION Opium, Cocaine, Derivatives Marijuana Synthetic Narcotics Other Dangerous Nonnarcotics 14 522 6 33 15 591 7 19 18 525 3 31 23 483 9 32 28 416 9 27 12 356 2 16 21 351 9 21 74 1.110 38 73 38 532 13 47 17 208 5 14 8 68 5 6 5 41 2 1 7 14 2 6 2 10 1 0 2 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 284 5.235 111 326 13 20 1.482 585 499 16 1,371 8 18 1,547 443 413 22 1,346 9 22 1,650 356 444 24 1,201 7 7 18 14 1,730 1,686 274 312 406 407 12 25 1,162 ' 1,122 9 15 1,801 214 364 11 989 34 53 6,806 923 1,356 56 . 3.742 21 40 4,753 617 900 30 2,306 14 28 3,510 483 554 23 1,498 12 19 2,384 393 406 21 996 9 15 1.703 298 257 14 685 9 5 1.265 317 227 21 637 1 8 931 190 151 e 373 0 3 584 120 100 2 246 0 3 500 64 64 3 161 161 291 33,011 7.482 6.920 296 18.981 5,410 5,160 5,006 4,816 4,251 16,817 11,098 7,470 3,485 2,837 1,853 1,181 906 85,649 4.054 3,266 2,119 1,395 1,232 104,912 PART I Murder & Nonneg. Manslaughter Manslaughter by Negligence Forcible Rape Robbery Aggravated Assault Burglary Larceny-Theft Motor Vehicle Theft Arson PART I SUBTOTAL All Gambling 8 Offenses Against Family & Children 12 Driving Under the Influence 879 1,893 Liquor Laws Disorderly Conduct 372 Vagrancy 10 All Other, Except Traffic 1,146 PART II SUBTOTAL 5,670 4,630 5,059 ! TOTALS 7,844 7,193 6,689 6,303 5,998 5,592 5,134 20,153 13,234 8,814 i 5.892 I : 60-64 65-Over ADULTS 18 OFFENSE CLASSIFICATION I i . ADULT FEMALE ARRESTS TOTAL AGE OFFENSE CLASSIFICATION 19 20 21 22 1 0 0 9 19 26 229 3 2 PART I SUBTOTAL 412 350 PART II Other Assaults — Simple Forgery and Counterfeiting Fraud Embezzlement Stolen Property Vandalism Weapons — Carrying, Possessing Prostitution and Comm. Vice Sex Offenses 21 21 11 5 8 14 6 63 11 DRUGS, SALE OR MFG. Opium, Cocaine, Derivatives Marijuana Synthetic Narcotics Other Dangerous Nonnarcotics 3634 2 0 0 5 18 11 159 4 0 6 0 2 24 80 61 582 13 a 3 2 0 11 47 32 427 6 5 2 2 0 7 40 23 307 0 2 45-49 50-54 7 0 0 3 28 17 236 9 e 1 0 0 1 16 7 187 0 2 0 0 0 1 10 1 132 0 3 50-59 90-64 - • ADULTS 0 0 0 0 1 1 168 0 1 28 4 4 107 353 298 3.846 62 36 26 32 232 5 2 12 12 199 2 0 288 306 238 165 199 764 533 389 306 214 147 113 113 171 4.730 30 10 10 2 5 12 11 88 12 25 23 15 2 2 10 15 80 12 24 16 a 3 4 11 7 104 12 29 13 10 6 1 14 10 121 16 17 16 13 3 5 15 a 70 10 23 7 13 4 2 13 7 83 10 87 55 84 4 I 45 26 237 12 58 26 58 a a 20 11 61 19 30 17 22 3 9 24 9 22 14 40 12 20 3 4 15 5 18 1 16 4 15 0 1 8 5 5 2 11 2 7 0 0 5 2 1 2 a 2 2 0 0 5 2 1 1 3 0 3 0 0 0 1 1 1 430 226 291 43 57 224 127 955 167 1 12 1 1 5 17 1 1 5 12 2 1 4 4 2 1 2 14 2 3 3 6 1 0 8 10 0 1 18 32 5 2 21 a 2 2 5 9 0 1 1 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 76 127 16 13 DRUGS, POSSESSION Opium. Cocaine, Derivatives Marijuana Synthetic Narcotics Other Dangerous Nonnarcotics 1 70 1 5 3 78 4 10 4 79 1 6 7 70 2 7 6 57 1 7 3 49 2 9 3 37 1 5 16 170 10 17 a 64 3 4 1 23 1 2 1 11 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 53 709 26 74 All Gambling Offenses Against Family & Children Driving Under the Influence Liquor Laws Disorderly Conduct Vagrancy All Other, Except Traffic 1 3 95 356 58 3 188 0 ! 2 184 99 83 2 177 0 7 205 72 79 5 197 1 10 197 89 79 1 166 0 1 232 62 54 9 165 0 3 195 54 58 5 154 0 6 180 39 64 7 148 5 15 851 152 255 11 506 1 12 599 103 154 1 301 0 a 402 78 100 3 156 0 2 359 56 89 0 141 1 3 211 27 50 0 78 1 1 169 18 37 0 51 0 0 94 13 15 0 34 0 0 53 6 10 1 19 0 0 36 4 10 0 11 10 73 4,082 1.208 1.201 46 2.494 962 846 866 811 834 699 673 2,667 1.558 937 782 436 306 178 101 63 12.710 1,153 1,119 1,072 884 872 3.421 2,091 1,326 1,066 650 455 291 214 234 17,440 PART II SUBTOTAL TOTALS - 1,374 1 1,196 11 • ' 1 1 , 3 0 1 25-29 2 0 0 0 13 13 140 2 1 • 0 0 0 24 1 000 C000. 1 0 1 5 23 30 279 5 3 35-39 _ 40.44 23 9 MEM 0 0 0 12 14 33 343 6 4 . 0 - 0 PART I Murder a Nonnag. Manslaughter Manslaughter by Negligence Forcible Rape Robbery Aggravated Assault Burglary Larceny-Theft Motor Vehicle Than Arson 18 1 NUMBER OF FULL TIME LAW ENFORCEMENT EMPLOYEES BY AGENCY AS OF OCTOBER 31, 1982 _ DEPARTMENT EMPLOYEES RATE POPULATION PER 1000 POP. TOTAL . SWORN MALE FEMALE CIVILIAN MALE FEMALE Apache County S.O. Apache Junction P.D. Avondale P.D. Bisbee P.D. Buckeye P.D. 47,345 11,197 8,750 7,257 4,075 .53 2.59 2.51 3.17 3.68 25 29 22 23 15 15 22 16 15 10 1 0 0 2 0 4 1 1 1 1 5 6 5 5 4 Casa Grande P.D. Chandler P.D. Cochise County S.O. 15,847 36.820 31,928 3.22 2.58 3.38 51 95 108 35 54 62 1 3 1 2 13 17 13 25 28 Coconino County S.O. Coolidge P.D. Cottonwood P.D. Douglas P.D. Duncan P.D. 36,540 7,132 4,855 13,127 710 2.52 3.37 3.91 3.12 1,41 92 24 19 41 1 65 17 13 30 1 7 0 0 1 0 4 1 0 2 0 16 6 6 8 0 Edgar P.D. El Mirage P.D. Eloy P.D. Flagstaff P.D. Florence P.D. 3,015 5,080 6,404 37,635 3,594 2.32 3.15 3.75 2,10 3.62 7 16 24 79 13 5 11 13 57 8 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 4 3 3 Fredonia P.D. Gila County S.O. Gilbert P.D. Glendale P.D. 1,200 21,637 6,730 105,230 1.67 3.05 1.78 1.72 2 66 12 181 1 34 11 139 1 0 0 5 0 11 0 17 2 3 6 19 1 - • 0 21 1 20 Globe P.D. Goodyear P.D. Graham County S.O. Greenlee County S.O. Hayden/Winkelman P.D. 6,895 3,905 11,199 7,094 1,257 3.34 2.82 1.34 2.40 5.57 23 11 15 17 7 18 6 9 10 6 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 4 6 0 4 4 1 1 1 Holbrook P.D. Huachuca City P.D. Jerome P.D. Kearny P.D. Kingman P.D. 5,900 1,788 430 2,650 9,425 3.56 4.52 6.98 3.77 4.35 21 8 3 10 41 15 4 3 5 25 1 0 0 1 3 0 2 0 0 1 5 2 0 4 12 Lake Havasu City P.D. Mammoth P.D. Marana M.O. Maricopa County S.O. Mesa P.D. 16,195 1,921 1,945 178,705 166,200 2.35 2.60 4.63 5.08 2.16 38 5 0 907 359 30 3 3 349 238 2 0 1 13 8 0 0 1 355 39 6 2 4 190 74 Miami P.D. Mohave County S.O. Navajo County S.O. Nogales P.D. Oro Valley P.D. Page P.D. 2,777 31,480 46,420 17,449 1,570 5,510 4.68 3.78 1.29 2.12 3.18 3.09 13 119 60 37 5 17 10 68 33 33 5 11 0 5 1 1 0 2 1 18 7 0 0 1 2 28 19 3 0 3 - NUMBER OF FULL TIME LAW ENFORCEMENT EMPLOYEES BY AGENCY AS OF OCTOBER 31, 1982 EMPLOYEES RATE SWORN PER 1000 POP. TOTAL MALE Paradise Valley P.D. Parker P.D. Patagonia P.D. Payson P.D. Peoria P.D. 12,175 2.580 1.048 5.834 14,800 2.05 6.20 1.91 3.37 2.43 25 18 2 19 38 18 11 2 12 25 Phoenix P.D. Pima P.D. Pima County S.O. Pinal County S.O. Prescott P.O. Prescott Valley P.D. 823.000 1.858 203.362 41,889 21,275 2.805 2.81 1_21 2.70 3.79 2.35 1.78 2,315 2 550 158 50 5 Safford P.O. St. Johns P.D. San Luis P.D. Santa Cruz County S.O. Scottsdale, P.D. Show Low P.O. 7.541 3,845 1,980 3,503 96,825 4,865 1.86 1.37 4.04 7.99 1.99 3.86 14 5 8 28 193 18 Sierra Vista P.D. Snowflake P.D. Somerton P.D. South Tucson P.D. Springarville P.D. 26,223 3.710 5.990 6.623 1,695 1.26 1.35 1.84 4.38 3.54 33 5 11 29 6 Superior P.D. Surprise P.D. Taylor P.D. Tempe P.O. Thatcher P.D. 4,566 4.066 2.015 125,500 3.502 3.72 1.97 .50 1.90 1.43 Tolleson M.O. Tombstone P.D. Tucson P.O. Wickenburg P.D. Wilicox P.D. Williams P.D. 4,720 1.712 354,400 3,920 3.379 2.415 8,090 41,180 2,300 44,985 FEMALE MALE FEMALE 0 0 0 0 3 3 1 0 2 2 4 4 0 5 6 1,553 2 270 93 36 5 88 0 21 7 1 0 223 0 135 28 3 0 471 0 124 30 10 0 13 4 6 15 121 11 0 0 0 0 5 1 0 0 0 9 25 0 1 1 2 4 42 6 22 3 a 18 5 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 2 5 0 7 0 3 6 1 17 6 1 239 5 12 8 1 186 5 0 001.,- 0 POPULATION DEPARTMENT CIVILIAN 0 0 0 26 0 5 0 0 40 0 2.75 2.34 2.09 3.06 3.86 4.55 13 4 739 12 13 11 9 3 519 11 7 7 0 1 38 0 1 0 1 0 46 1 0 1 3 0 136 0 5 3 2.72 2.45 5.86 2.22 22 101 13 100 16 54 7 78 0 6 1 3 0 21 3 3 6 20 2 16 7.612 4,700 232 1.074 1.548 1,504 59 6 6 906 34 5 6 28 3 0 0 304 14 1 0 266 8 0 0 1 22 74 5 1 16 28 5 0 2 2 0 0 0 28 0 0 4 16 0 E .. - : ' . Winslow P.D. Yavapai County S.O. Youngtown P.D. Yuma P.D. . SUBTOTAL ., AGENCIES WITH NO MEASURABLE POPULATION Arizona Department of Public Safety Arizona State University Arizona Western College Central Arizona College Eastern Arizona College Pima Community College University of Arizona Yavapal Community College . . SUBTOTAL 1.677 1.001 TOTALS 9.289 5,7E1 , 35 347 294 267 1,421 1,640 ... Includes Indians living within rho county boundary. Most Indian tribes provide taw enforcement for thaw reservation. 91 POLICE OFFICERS ASSAULTED There were 1,028 assaults on police officers in 1982. This is a 13% drop since 1981. Disturbance calls (family quarrels, fights, etc.) generated the largest number (313) of assaults. Almost two-thirds (65 percent) of the assaults occurred between 8 p.m. and 4 a.m. 77% of the assaults involved per- sonal weapons (hands, fists, feet, etc.). 286 or 28% of the assaults produced personal injuries to the officers. Three Arizona police officers were killed in the line of duty in 1982. 93 OFFICERS ASSAULTED BY MONTH 1981 AND 1982 NUMBER 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC MONTH * is 1981. +- 1982 94 OFFICERS ASSAULTED BY ACTIVITY Type of Weapon Type of Assignment Detective Spec. Assign. One Man Veh. ACTIVITY Responding to "disturbance" calls (Family quarrels. man with gun, etc.) Burglaries in progress or pursuing burglary suspects Firearms Other Dang. Weapon Hands, Fists Feet Totals Two Man Vehicle Alone Assisted Alone Assisted Alone Assisted 35 16 21 241 313 76 50 160 1 13 0 13 300 0 4 3 8 1 0 4 3 0 0 0 6 1 , Robberies in progress or pursuing robbery suspects Police Assaults Cleared Other Knife/ Cut. Inst. 1 6 0 0 4 10 2 1 2 0 5 0 0 10 Attempting other arrests 10 4 31 144 189 31 38 110 2 2 3 3 182 .Civil disorder (Riot, mass disobedience) 0 1 18 12 31 0 0 27 0 1 0 3 31 Handling, transporting, custody of prisoners 0 0 10 151 161 20 50 42 1 7 7 34 159 Investigating suspicious persons or circumstances 14 4 12 77 107 28 36 30 3 5 0 5 101 1 0 2 4 7 0 4 1 0 1 1 0 7 Mentally deranged 1 0 0 6 7 1 3 3 0 0 0 0 7 Traffic pursuits and stops 2 1 11 84 98 9 61 27 0 0 0 1 94 All other 10 6 15 66 97 9 37 . 29 3 3 6 10 88 TOTALS 80 32 124 792 1.028 177 280 435 13 37 17 69 985 1 Ambush — No warning i i Personal Injury 14 6 59 207 286 No Personal Injury 66 25 68 585 742 • Arizona Counties 97 NOTES SECTION II 1. Yuma County Sheriff's Office, Benson, Clifton, Clarkdale and Northern Arizona University Police Departments were unable to supply UCR data to DPS in 1982. These five agencies serve approximately 1.5% of Arizona's population. 2. These offenses are not reported in Arizona. 3. Clearances by exceptional means include instances when the offender: commits suicide, makes a dying declaration; confesses while in custody or serving time for another crime; is prosecuted in another jurisdiction for the same offense; is a juvenile who is handled by notifying the parents. Clearances are also coded for crimes in which the victim refuses to prosecute or another jurisdiction refuses to extradite the offender. 4. U.S. Department of Justice, Bureau of Justice Statistics, Bureau of Justice Statistics Bulletin, Measuring Crime, (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, February 1981.) SECTION III 1. Arson data were first reported in 1979, and because of incomplete records, were excluded from analysis. 2. Since La Paz County came into existence on January 1, 1983, no crime data were collected in 1982. 3. This expectation is based on the high correlations between population and reported crime. Group II counties have relatively high populations for Arizona and they did have a 23% population increase. Nevertheless, crime reports and rates did not keep pace with population. SECTION V 1. For more information on this method see: Richard McCleary and Richard Hay, Jr., Applied Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences, (Beverly Hills: Sage publications, 1980). SECTION VI 1. Arrests do not include traffic violators with the exception of DWI arrests. 98