INSIDE:

J U L Y

2 0 0 5

•

S U M M E R

Real Estate Boom
Turbo-Charges the
Economy
By Marshall J. Vest
Forecasting Project Director
June 1, 2005

Our view of Arizona’s economy

Forecast Tables – pg. 5
Arizona Indian Tribes and Their Contribution
to the State’s Economy – pg. 6
Arizona has an Estimated 500,000
Undocumented Population – pg. 8
Arizona Economic Indicators – pg. 9

I S S U E

As it turns out, the jobless recovery was a “non story” in Arizona. Revisions released during the
annual re-benchmarking process found an additional 28,500 new jobs statewide for calendar year
2004 (on an annual average basis). This represents the largest revision since 1996. So, rather than
creating a stodgy 64,600 new jobs as initially reported, the job gain was a solid 87,800 (December
2004 vs. December 2003). Moreover, job creation was accelerating as the year came to an end, so
that by March, the 12-month gain exceeded 91,400. That’s roughly the same pace that Arizona experienced during the late 1990’s investment boom!
Nearly one-third of the newly-counted jobs were in retail trade (8,100). Professional and business
services accounted for 5,000, and educational & health services for 1,900. Although more jobs were
found, they were predominately in population-serving sectors, which means that growth continues to
elude export-based/high tech sectors. Manufacturing is now growing, but not by much (900 jobs
during the past twelve months) and the information sector continues to decline (down 2,800 jobs).
Comparing Tucson and Phoenix sector-by-sector, we find a big difference in leisure & hospitality.
Metro Tucson was much harder hit during the recession (losing 8% of its employees in this sector) and
slower to recover (only now getting back to pre-recession staffing levels). Metro Phoenix, by comparison, has nearly 12% more workers than at the beginning of 2000 (Exhibit 1).
The opposite is true for both manufacturing and information sectors, where metro Tucson has fared
much better. Modest gains in both metros can be expected for manufacturing going forward, but
recovery for information will be delayed a while longer.

brightened considerably since the last
EXHIBIT 1
Separate Paths to Recovery

forecast update. Revisions to employment estimates now show that Arizona is
creating jobs at a rapid pace, and that
the “jobless recovery” was really a
measurement issue rather than a lack of
job creation. Additionally, consumers
continue to spend robustly, and a boom
in housing markets is turbo-charging the
economy. As a result, we’ve raised our
forecast for this year and next. Even so,
the economy is likely past the point
where growth is accelerating and we
expect growth to slow in coming months
as housing softens and consumers spend
a little less freely.

www.ebr.eller.arizona.edu

Leisure & Hospitality Employment

Index

Seasonally Adjusted

Consumer Finances (and Spending)
Remain Healthy
How can consumers continue to fuel this
expansion with their free-wheeling spending?
They certainly face a multitude of challenges:
higher prices for many items (especially gasoline),
higher interest (and mortgage) rates, heavy debt,
and low savings rates. Yet consumer confidence
has held up well, with readings just below 100 as
measured by the Conference Board and Phoenixbased Behavior Research Center.
The reason is that the overall financial condition
of consumers remains excellent. Household net
worth nationwide is at a record level: since the
recession ended some three years ago, household
liabilities have risen by $2.7 trillion, but household
assets (which include the values of homes, stocks,
bonds, and pension funds) have soared by $10
trillion! Delinquency rates on consumer loans
have trended lower and the percentage of
mortgages past due now stands at the lowest
level in ten years.
Moreover, job growth is strong and wages are
rising at the fastest pace in five years. In Arizona,
job growth exceeds 4% and private sector wages
are rising at a 4.3% rate so far this year.
With current income growing at the strongest
pace since the investment boom of the late 1990s
and with net worth at record levels, consumers
have the ability to continue spending freely.
Those who have trouble keeping up can tap a multitude of credit sources available to them. For
some, use of interest only mortgages, no money
down, no interest for several months, etc, is a time
bomb that will eventually boost bankruptcies. For
now, bankruptcy statistics are headed downward.
On a rolling 12-month basis, retail sales in
Arizona is growing at nearly a 9% rate, the fastest
in five years (Exhibit 2). Restaurant & bar sales
are even stronger, growing at 9.5% pace.
Gasoline sales over the same period are up 17%,
due to higher prices at the pump.

EXHIBIT 2
Consumers Are Not Done Yet
Sales Growth, Arizona

% change year ago

Current Dollars

Real Estate and the “B” Word
Red hot real estate markets are turbo-charging the Arizona economy. Although the construction
industry normally comprises 6-7% of nonfarm jobs in Arizona, this industry has provided 16.8% of net
new jobs over the past four years and 18.0% during 2004. Low interest rates, demand for second
homes and retirement homes on the part of aging baby-boomers, and demand from immigrants have
been the key factors. More recently, investor interest in real estate has provided additional demand
and an “urgency” in the market not seen since the late 1970’s.
Is the market experiencing a bubble—or a just a boom? What’s the difference? Well, it’s a bubble
if prices get bid up higher than can be justified by economic fundamentals and then fall after the
boom ends.
We won’t have the answer to that for a while longer since bubbles are impossible to see until after
they burst—and prices continue to move up. According to OFHEO, the regulatory agency for Freddie
Mac and Fannie Mae, home prices increased 11.2% nationwide over the year ending in the fourth
quarter. In Arizona, prices increased by 14.5% during the year (15.3% in Flagstaff, 14.2% in Phoenix,
and 12.4% in Tucson). That placed Arizona in 10th place, with Nevada (32.4%), Hawaii (24.6%), and
California (23.4%) at the top of the list. Other top-10 states were Florida, and states that share a
border with Washington, D.C.

Arizona's economy is in a full-fledged boom, similar to the
high-tech led boom of the late 1990's.
2.

EXHIBIT 3
Has Homebuilding Peaked in Metro Phoenix?
Single Family Building Permits (000s)
Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate

Interestingly, the OFHEO data show a rapid deceleration in most states during the fourth quarter.
Nationwide, prices increased at an annual rate of 6.8% compared to 19.2% annual rate during the 3rd
quarter. Could this be signaling the end of the boom?
A second indicator (this time for Arizona) also begs that same question. Single family building permits statewide moved lower in early 2005. Even more intriguing is that the decline is centered in the
metro Phoenix market, where permits have fallen from a 58,000 unit annual pace in SeptemberOctober of 2004 to under 50,000 in March. By contrast, metro Tucson permits continue to climb
toward 11,000 (Exhibit 3).
Is housing beginning to cool? Have investors abandoned Phoenix in search of new “undiscovered”
markets? Will the boom turn into a bust? Will housing prices fall?

Housing Affordability Headed South
The surge in prices, along with higher interest rates, has seriously eroded housing affordability in
recent months. Many buyers have been forced to lower their expectations and many with lower
incomes have been priced out of the market.
The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) recently resumed publication of their Housing

Opportunity Index (HOI), which compares
affordability in some 159 metro areas across the
country. Using data for last year’s fourth quarter,
the most affordably market was Lima, OH where
median housing prices are only $84,000. The least
is Los Angeles-Long Beach where only 5.2% of
homes are affordable by a median income family
(median housing price is $415,000).
Metro Phoenix, where a family with median
income of $58,600 could afford 63.7% of homes
for sale, ranked 82nd. The Tucson market was
less affordable, primarily due to lower incomes,
and Yuma was the most affordable of the three
Arizona metros (Exhibit 4). HOI was down from
the prior quarter in both Phoenix (from 67.5) and
Tucson (63.8).
An even better measure is published by the
Arizona Real Estate Center at Arizona State
University. Here, the affordability index compares
the median income with the median housing price
for the metro Phoenix area. An index of 120
means that the family has 120% of the income
needed to buy the median priced home.

The surge in prices, along with
higher interest rates, has seriously
eroded housing affordability in
recent months. Many buyers have
been forced to lower their
expectations and many with lower
incomes have been priced out of
the market.

It's still too early to tell if the
real estate boom will turn into a bubble.
3.

Affordability peaked in the first quarter of 2003
and plunged last spring as prices began to take off.
As of the first quarter, affordability for resale
homes stands at its lowest level in 15 years (for
new homes, it’s the lowest in 10 years). See
Exhibit 5.
It’s still too early to tell if the boom will turn
into a bubble, or to declare an end to the housing
boom. But the market will slow soon. Fortunately,
the slowdown should be relatively mild compared
to past downturns. Since the early 1970’s, housing
prices nationwide have fallen only twice, and both
were during a recession. In the current
environment, the fundamentals (an expanding
economy and demographics) for housing remain
positive and argue against a catastrophic drop in
demand. And prices are likely to stabilize rather
than decline as urgency evaporates. Housing will
soon relinquish its role as the economy’s
turbocharger, and may even become a modest
drag on overall growth.

EXHIBIT 4
Housing Opportunity Index 4th Quarter 2004
Source: National Association of Home Builders

Phoenix-Mesa
Tucson
Yuma
◆
❋
●

HOI◆

INCOME❋

PRICE●

NATIONAL RANK

63.7
61.2
72.5

58.6
50.4
39.8

183
165
108

82
91
50

share of homes affordable for a family with median income, percent
2004 median family income ($000s), source: HUD
median sales price ($000s)
Source: www.nahb.org/hoi

EXHIBIT 5
Housing Affordability Plunges

The Outlook

Housing Affordability Index, Metro Phoenix

In other news, Arizona escaped the recent
round of BRAC (Base Realignment and Closure)
without serious harm. The state is slated to lose a
modest 550 jobs, primarily due to realignment at
Luke AFB and Fort Huachuca. The biggest
disappointment was that no new missions were
transferred in. Arizona still could capture new
missions in coming months.
Arizona’s economy will continue to expand, just
at a slower pace that’s more in line with trend
growth (see forecast tables page 5). Look for
125,000 new jobs to be created this year, then
closer to 90,000 next year. Retail sales will slow
from an 8.3% gain this year to near six percent
next year. Population growth will exceed 200,000
each year. These huge numbers reflect trend
growth for Arizona. ■

Index

Source: Arizona Real Estate Center, ASU

The economy is likely past the point where growth is accelerating.
Expect a slowing to "trend" growth.
4.

F O R E C A S T
Arizona
Personal Income ($ mill)
percent change
Wage per Employee
percent change
Aggregate Retail Sales ($ mill)*
percent change
Population (000s, mid-year)
percent change
Residential Permits
percent change
Non Farm Employment (000s)
percent change
Goods-Producing
percent change
Service-Providing
percent change
Trade, Trans., & Utilities
percent change
Prof. & Business Services
percent change
Leisure & Hospitality
percent change
Government
percent change
Phoenix-Mesa Metro Area
Personal Income ($ mill)
percent change
Wage per Employee
percent change
Aggregate Retail Sales ($ mill)*
percent change
Population (000s, mid-year)
percent change
Residential Permits
percent change
Non Farm Employment (000s)
percent change
Goods-Producing
percent change
Service-Providing
percent change
Trade, Trans., & Utilities
percent change
Prof. & Business Services
percent change
Leisure & Hospitality
percent change
Government
percent change
Tucson Metro Area
Personal Income ($ mill)
percent change
Wage per Employee
percent change
Aggregate Retail Sales ($ mill)*
percent change
Population (000s, mid-year)
percent change
Residential Permits
percent change
Non Farm Employment (000s)
percent change
Goods-Producing
percent change
Service-Providing
percent change
Trade, Trans., & Utilities
percent change
Prof. & Business Services
percent change
Leisure & Hospitality
percent change
Government
percent change

T A B L E S

2004
161,326
7.3
37,816
3.8
66,027
9.7
5,832.2
3.6
85,728
21.4
2,379.4
3.6
377.2
4.9
2,002.3
3.4
462.0
3.6
334.4
4.4
242.9
4.1
400.6
1.8

2005
176,204
9.2
39,456
4.3
72,269
9.5
6,035.2
3.5
83,802
-2.2
2,504.4
5.3
399.3
5.9
2,105.3
5.1
485.6
5.1
366.5
9.6
253.2
4.2
413.9
3.3

2006
190,891
8.3
41,290
4.6
76,352
5.7
6,236.2
3.3
76,919
-8.2
2,596.2
3.7
410.1
2.7
2,186.3
3.8
503.9
3.8
386.9
5.6
261.4
3.2
426.2
3.0

2007
204,550
7.2
43,255
4.8
80,141
5.0
6,428.9
3.1
69,682
-9.4
2,662.0
2.5
415.8
1.4
2,246.4
2.7
515.8
2.4
398.2
2.9
267.9
2.5
434.8
2.0

2008
219,728
7.4
45,312
4.8
84,291
5.2
6,616.2
2.9
67,678
-2.9
2,726.7
2.4
420.5
1.1
2,306.5
2.7
527.9
2.4
409.5
2.9
275.2
2.7
442.4
1.7

2009
236,984
7.9
47,473
4.8
89,363
6.0
6,808.3
2.9
68,382
1.0
2,802.5
2.8
426.6
1.5
2,376.1
3.0
543.4
2.9
425.0
3.8
283.3
2.9
451.0
1.9

2010
255,836
8.0
49,648
4.6
94,952
6.3
7,008.1
2.9
69,622
1.8
2,883.4
2.9
434.9
1.9
2,448.7
3.1
559.9
3.0
441.1
3.8
290.9
2.7
462.0
2.4

113,541
6.8
43,617
3.4
45,372
10.0
3,742.5
4.0
64,229
17.1
1,680.0
3.7
271.4
3.5
1,408.7
3.8
340.7
3.6
269.7
4.3
162.7
4.3
221.8
2.4

124,458
9.6
45,583
4.5
49,807
9.8
3,897.2
4.1
64,116
-0.2
1,777.4
5.8
290.1
6.9
1,487.2
5.6
358.2
5.1
294.2
9.1
170.7
4.9
230.1
3.7

135,569
8.9
47,840
5.0
52,363
5.1
4,037.2
3.6
55,909
-12.8
1,850.6
4.1
298.0
2.7
1,552.6
4.4
371.8
3.8
315.3
7.2
176.9
3.6
237.0
3.0

145,653
7.4
50,288
5.1
54,989
5.0
4,160.3
3.0
49,183
-12.0
1,897.3
2.5
298.4
0.1
1,599.0
3.0
381.6
2.6
326.6
3.6
181.4
2.5
241.5
1.9

157,126
7.9
52,965
5.3
58,328
6.1
4,285.6
3.0
50,065
1.8
1,944.0
2.5
301.0
0.9
1,643.0
2.8
391.8
2.7
334.2
2.3
187.3
3.3
245.8
1.8

170,151
8.3
55,711
5.2
62,256
6.7
4,418.4
3.1
53,014
5.9
2,001.9
3.0
308.4
2.5
1,693.5
3.1
403.8
3.1
344.5
3.1
193.8
3.5
250.8
2.0

184,224
8.3
58,484
5.0
66,294
6.5
4,556.1
3.1
55,003
3.8
2,064.3
3.1
317.2
2.8
1,747.1
3.2
416.3
3.1
356.9
3.6
199.6
3.0
257.2
2.5

24,484
6.1
36,319
3.0
9,902
7.4
931.2
2.2
10410
25.3
359.1
3.1
54.1
2.5
305.0
3.2
57.8
5.1
42.6
3.2
38.9
4.5
79.4
0.9

26,312
7.5
37,699
3.8
10,661
7.7
957.0
2.8
10573
1.6
374.5
4.3
56.5
4.4
318.0
4.3
60.5
4.5
44.8
5.3
41.4
6.6
80.8
1.8

28,474
8.2
39,409
4.5
11,276
5.8
981.9
2.6
10063
-4.8
387.2
3.4
58.6
3.7
328.7
3.4
62.3
3.1
48.4
8.1
42.9
3.6
82.0
1.5

30,409
6.8
41,144
4.4
11,780
4.5
1004.4
2.3
9052
-10.1
395.8
2.2
59.4
1.5
336.3
2.3
63.5
1.9
50.9
5.1
43.9
2.3
83.0
1.2

32,533
7.0
42,957
4.4
12,356
4.9
1026.2
2.2
8835
-2.4
403.6
2.0
59.7
0.5
343.8
2.2
64.7
1.9
52.9
4.0
44.9
2.3
84.0
1.3

34,825
7.0
44,794
4.3
12,972
5.0
1048.3
2.2
8912
0.9
411.7
2.0
60.2
0.7
351.5
2.2
66.0
2.0
54.9
3.8
46.0
2.4
85.2
1.3

37,233
6.9
46,633
4.1
13,606
4.9
1070.2
2.1
8858
-0.6
419.6
1.9
60.9
1.2
358.7
2.0
67.2
1.9
56.8
3.4
46.9
2.0
86.3
1.3

* Aggregate Retail Sales includes retail, food, restaurant & bars and gasoline sales.
Source: Economic and Business Research Center, Eller College of Management, The University of Arizona
www.ebr.eller.arizona.edu

5.

Arizona Indian
Tribes and Their
Contribution to the
State’s Economy
By Tanis J. Salant, D.P.A.
Research Associate
The economic outlook for Arizona’s economy is
bright: 2004 was the best year for business conditions in 10 years.1 Arizona was among the first
states to recover job losses from the 2001 recession and the state continues to add jobs. Healthy
consumer spending, record-high housing markets,
and continued low inflation, among other factors,
contribute to a healthy picture.
One sector of Arizona’s economy with surging
revenues is often overlooked—the economies of
Arizona Indian tribes. This article takes a snapshot
of Arizona’s 21 federally-recognized (i.e.,
sovereign) tribes and their contribution to state
and local revenues.
Since the U.S. Congress approved the Indian
Gaming Regulatory Act in 1988, Indian tribes
have grossed hundreds of millions of dollars in
gaming revenues. A recent newspaper account
reported that tribal gaming across the country
generated $18.5 billion in gross revenues in 2004.
Gaming tribes also made $100 million in
charitable contributions to various organizations
the same year.2 Revenues of Arizona gaming tribes
are part of those statistics. Moreover, Arizona
tribes recently renegotiated their 1992
agreements to include statutory contributions to
state and local government.

Indian Gaming Revenues: 2004
U.S. Gross Revenues: $18.5 billion
U.S. Charitable Contributions: $100 million
Arizona Gross Revenues: $1.35 billion

Long before they began operating full service
casinos with live tables and shows, Arizona Indian
tribes—and their members and others who live on
the reservations—have by necessity spent their
incomes and revenues off reservation. Their
contribution to Arizona’s economy has burgeoned
since then. Fifteen tribes now operate 22 casinos
in state. In fiscal year 2004 gross gaming revenues
totaled $1,349,801,856, as reported by the
Arizona Department of Gaming.3 Additionally,
gaming tribes must now contribute a portion of
their gross revenues to various agencies and
programs (“tribal-shared revenues”). The statutory
distribution formula (A.R.S. 5-601.02 [H]) and
Section 12 of the Tribal-State Compacts require
tribes to share from 1 percent to 8 percent of
gross revenues, depending on the amount of gross
revenues. Twelve percent of shared revenues go to
counties, cities and towns ($2.6 million in 2004);
9 percent (capped at $8 million) to the Arizona
Department of Gaming; 2 percent to problem
gaming programs ($433,000 in 2004), and the
remainder ($39 million in 2004) to school
districts, the state Trauma Emergency Services
Fund, the Tourism Fund, and the Wildlife
Conservation Fund. The Tohono O’odham Nation
provides an example of tribal-shared revenues for
2004; The Nation shared $366,346 with Pinal
County, Casa Grande, Eloy, Coolidge and Gila
Bend.4 It voluntarily gave the city of Tucson
$646,292, the United Community Health Center
$125,509, Pima County $50,000 to purchase car
seats, and $175,000 to assist American Indians
living in the urban area.5 The six non-gaming
tribes also benefit indirectly from gaming: they
receive an allotment of slot machines which they
can sell to gaming tribes.
Most gaming tribes also voluntarily share
wealth with off-reservation charities and other
sponsored events, such as United Way, the Susan
G. Komen Race for the Cure, and the YWCA.
Additionally, such relatively new wealth enables
tribes to invest in new tribal enterprises (e.g., sand
and rock companies, hotels, and golf courses),
purchase land and businesses off reservation, set
up full service fire, police, and other basic service
departments, and expend millions off reservation
to supply their enterprises and operations. Studies
have also documented the off-reservation spending habits of reservation residents, in part to
enlighten county and city voters that Indians do

contribute to local and state taxes, although not
on the reservation. In 1994, for example, Coconino
County commissioned a study to determine the
contribution of Navajo Nation (Western Agency
only) residents to local taxes. Based on a finding of
$5 million, the county board of supervisors appropriated $1 million in general funds to spend on the
reservation for county infrastructure.6 Gaming revenues and tribal spending clearly play a significant
role in Arizona’s economy.
Arizona has a comparatively large number of
tribal governments, tribal populations, tribal lands,
and tribal political representation. With 547 federally-recognized tribes in the United States (half in
Alaska and over 200 in California), the average
number of tribes per state is about 11. Arizona’s
tribes number 21, situated on 20 reservations.
(The Quechan and Fort Mojave tribes are headquartered in California, the tiny San Juan Southern
Paiute tribe lives on the Navajo Reservation, and
New Mexico’s Zuni Pueblo has a small contingent
near St Johns.) Tribes control 19.8 million acres of
reservation land (26 percent of the state) and several thousand more acres off reservation—some of
it held in trust status and thus non-taxable.
Enrolled members make up about 5 percent of the
state’s population.
Arizona also has the largest tribe in the country
in terms of both land area and population. The
Navajo Nation spreads across six counties in three
states, with headquarters in Window Rock,
Arizona. It has the most complex political system
of any tribe and also elects tribal members to the
Arizona Legislature, three county governments,
and K-12 school boards located on the
reservation.7 Navajos are also employed in county
offices located on the reservation or they
commute to county jobs in the three county seats.
Moreover, tribes without populations large enough
to get members elected to off-reservation political
offices now spend gaming profits to support
candidates and influence issues at all levels of
government (except municipal). Tribes also enter
into various intergovernmental agreements with
local governments for the delivery of services. A
tribe will hire, say, a county public works
department to grade roads. Cross-deputization
with law enforcement agencies is the most
common type of agreement.
Tribal operations can impact local economies. In
the realm of economic development and local

Arizona's 21 tribes control 26 percent of total acreage
and comprise 5 percent of the state's population.
6.

taxes the tri-city region of Prescott, Prescott
Valley, and Chino Valley has experienced competition from the Yavapai-Prescott Tribe’s retail center
located just outside Prescott boundaries.8 Though
the tribe is small—117 enrolled members residing
on 2.2 square miles—the center redirected $3 million to $4 million in tax revenues away from the
tri-city region in 2003. Such competition has
necessitated serious effort on the part of municipal officials to interact with various tribes, with
and without success. The Tonto Apache Tribe, contiguous to the town of Payson, has also developed
commercial enterprises capable of competing with
existing businesses in town, and the Fort
McDowell tribe developed an off-reservation
shopping mall on land it owns.
Tribes have been able to purchase valuable land
off reservation. Although putting private land into
trust status is a lengthy process that is not always
pursued, doing so gives the tribe jurisdiction to
develop it as it wishes, including building casinos.
The Hopi, for instance, purchased several
thousand acres of ranch land in Navajo County.
Yet, while the purchase was still in escrow, the
Hopi chairman visited the Navajo County Board
of Supervisors and other local government
officials to give assurance that the tribe would
maintain those lands as ranches and keep them on
the tax rolls.
Tribes are also participating more in local
issues of a regional scope. The Tohono O’odham
and Pascua Yaqui tribes in Pima County have
statutory representation on the county’s newlyauthorized regional transportation authority
and will cast votes on both a regional transportation plan and whether to seek a sales tax to
finance it. These few examples underscore ways
that Arizona Indian tribes—as sovereign
governments located within 12 of the state’s 15
counties—play an important role in the state’s
economy and governance.
The following table gives a snapshot of
Arizona’s tribes. It presents each tribe by name,
2000 census population, reservation area in
square miles, governing body, and the presence of
casinos (gaming revenues disaggregated by tribe
are not available).9 All tribes (except the Navajo
Nation) have constitutions, and all tribes have
codes in which the structure of government and
system of political representation are set forth.
Tribal governing bodies are elected by popular

TABLE 1: ARIZONA TRIBES AT A GLANCE
NAME

POPULATION
(enrolled members
of reservation)

Ak-Chin
652
Cocopah
519
Colorado River
2,253
Fort McDowell
755
Fort Mohave
360 (AZ)
Quechan
9 (AZ)
Gila River
10,353
Havasupai
453
Hopi
6,573
Hualapai
1,253
Kaibab-Paiute
131
Navajo
100,382 (AZ)
Pascua Yaqui
3,003
Salt River Pima-Maricopa 3,366
San Carlos Apache
8,921
San Juan Southern Paiute
254
Tohono O’odham
9,718
Tonto Apache
115
White Mountain Apache
11,702
Yavapai-Apache
650
Yavapai-Prescott
117

AREA
(square miles)

GOVERNING BODY/ GAMING
NAME OF EXECUTIVE

34
9.4
353
39
37 (AZ, NV, CA)
68 (AZ, CA)
581
294
2,439
1,551
189
23,086 (AZ, NM, UT)
1.4
87
2,854
0
4,451
.13
2,602
1
2.2

Council-4/Chairman
Yes
Council-6/Chairman
Yes
Council-9/Chairman
Yes
Council-7/President
Yes
Council-8/Chairman
Yes
Council-6/President
Yes
Council-21/Governor
Yes
Council-6/Chairman
No
Council-20/Chairman
No
Council-7/Chairman
No
Council-6/Chairman
No
Council-89/President Pending
Council-11/Chairman
Yes
Council-7/President
Yes
Council-9/Chairman
Yes
Council-8/Chairman
No
Council-22/Chairman
Yes
Council-5/Chairman
Yes
Council-5/Chairman
Yes
Council-9/Chairman
Yes
Board-5/President
Yes

Source: Arizona Commission on Indian Affairs

vote, with the term of office four years and on a
staggered basis. Additionally, most tribes in
Arizona have a well-defined administrative branch
with professional managers and finance directors,
as well as typical departments such as economic
development, public works, and human resources.
Some have combined two or more small tribes
into one sovereign entity. Seven tribes hold district
elections, and the presiding officer is often elected
at large, though not always with full executive
powers; some sit as voting council members.
Most tribes do not separate the executive from
the legislative branch, but the larger tribes have
not only an executive branch but also an independent judiciary. The presiding officer is typically
called chairman, president, or governor. Length of
terms are from two to four years, and the legislative body, usually called a council, is elected by
district in larger tribes and at-large in the others.

Reservations divided into districts also elect local
district officials—a system of local government of
sorts. Further, many tribes levy their own taxes,
usually a sales and/or bed tax on non-reservation
residents. They also charge extraction fees to private companies that mine on reservations.
The Navajo Nation is one of six tribes that do
not have gaming enterprises (three of the other
five started casinos that eventually folded). Two
referenda on gaming have been defeated by
voters, but with the certain loss of millions of
dollars in revenue at the end of 2005 when the
Black Mesa Mine closes, two Navajo chapters (i.e.,
local governments) in Arizona and three in New
Mexico have been granted permission to have
casinos. The president of Arizona’s Leupp Chapter
in Coconino County estimates that its proposed
casino would bring in $30 million to $50 million
in just the first year of operation.10

Arizona's Indian tribes play an important role
in the state's economy and governance.
7.

Summary

Endnotes

Economists and forecasters often overlook the
economic activity of Arizona Indian tribes. In 2004
gross tribal gaming revenues amounted to $1.34
billion. State statutes and gaming compacts
require that tribes contribute a percentage of
gross earnings based on a sliding scale (e.g., 1
percent of the first $25 million, etc.). The annual
contribution—tribal-shared revenues—is
distributed to counties, cities and towns, the
Arizona Department of Gaming, problem gaming
programs, and various other agencies, including
$21.8 million to the Instructional Improvement
Fund. Moreover, Arizona tribes voluntarily
contribute to community charities and political
campaigns. They also vie for—and win—elective
office in state, county, and regional entities. The
participation of Indian tribes in Arizona economic
life is significant and merits awareness on the part
of Arizonans.

1. Vest, Marshall J. “2005-2006 Economic Outlook.”
Arizona’s Economy. Tucson: The University of Arizona,
Eller College of Management, Economic and Business
Research Center, January 2005.

Tanis Salant founded The University of
Arizona’s Institute for Local Government in
1988 and served as director until her
retirement in 2005. Her research interests
include county-tribal relations, county and
city charter government, municipal

2. Benge, George, “Casinos a big boost to reservation
lifestyles,” Tucson Citizen, March 9, 2005, 4B.
3. “O’Odham Nation to distribute $366,346 in Ariz.,”
Tucson Citizen, April 15, 2005, 3D.
4. Arizona Department of Gaming web site,
www.azgaming.gov.
5. Burchell, Joe, “Tribe’s gaming lifts local programs,
Arizona Daily Star, March 16, 2005, B1.
6. Salant, Tanis J. “An Examination of Tax Revenues
Generated by the Navajo Nation in Coconino County,
Arizona.” Tucson: Office of Community and Public
Service, The University of Arizona, 1994.
7. Salant, Tanis J. and Carol L. Whittaker, County-Tribal
Relations: Six Southwestern Counties and the Navajo
Nation. Tucson: Department of Community Affairs and
Economic Development, The University of Arizona,
1997.
8. Salant, Tanis J. “The Compound State:
Intergovernmental Relations in Arizona.” Pieces of
Power: Governance in Arizona. Phoenix: Arizona
Academy, 2001.
9. Various tribal constitutions. Tucson: University of
Arizona Law Library.

incorporation, and the public costs of
criminal illegal immigration. She teaches for
the School of Public Administration and
Policy and researches special topics for the

10. Arizona Commission of Indian Affairs. 2003-2004
Arizona Tribal-State Resource Directory. Phoenix,
Arizona: Arizona Commission of Indian Affairs, 2003.
Web site: www.indianaffairs.state.az.us

Economic and Business Research Center.
11. “New casino is proposed for area of Navajo land,”
Arizona Daily Star, March 14, 2005, B2.

Related articles by author on EBR website:
• Grading Arizona Government’s Performance
• Professional Public Management: A Competitive
and Critical Factor in Arizona’s Economy ■

Arizona has an
Estimated 500,000
Undocumented
Population
By Alberta Charney, Ph.D.
Senior Research Economist
April 4, 2005
In a recent report published by the Pew Hispanic
Center, researcher Jeffrey Passel estimates the size
and characteristics of the undocumented population in the United States.
According to Passel, the number of undocumented residents in the U.S. reached 10.3 million
in March 2004. More than half of these (57%) are
undocumented Mexicans. The study also estimates
that 80 to 85 percent of all migration from Mexico
has been undocumented in recent years.
Two methodologies were used to estimate the
number of undocumented residents, depending on
the state. For the U.S., California, New York, Texas,
Florida, Illinois and New Jersey, states with historically large undocumented resident populations,
the “residual method” was used. In this method,
undocumented migrants are estimated as the difference between the total foreign-born population
and the legal foreign-born population. Estimates
of the total foreign-population are based on the
March 2004 Current Population Survey, with
adjustments for misreporting of place of birth and
application of correction factors derived from
official 2000 estimates of the census undercount.
The methodology for estimating undocumented
residents for the remaining 44 states and the
District of Columbia was a “synthetic method.” In
this method, the ratio of undocumented residents
to the total foreign-born population for the entire
group of 45 regions was applied to the total
foreign-born population in each of the 45 states
(including DC).
The largest undocumented migrant population
over the 2002-2004 period were in California (2.4
mil), Texas (1.4 mil), Florida (850,000), New York
(650,000), Arizona (500,000), Illinois (400,000),
New Jersey (350,000), and North Carolina
(300,000). All remaining states and the District of
Columbia have an estimated 3.15 million undocumented migrant persons.
For the complete study, go to: http://pewhispanic.org/reports/report.php?ReportID=44 ■

80-85 percent of migration from Mexico
has been undocumented in recent years.
8.

A R I Z O N A E C O N O M I C
I N D I C A T O R S

APACHE COUNTY
Civilian Labor Force, ADES
Employment
Unemployment
Unemployment Rate (%)
Employees on Nonagricultural Payrolls, ADES
Total
Total Private
Goods-Producing
Service-Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Other Private Service-Providing
Government
Federal Government
State and Local Government
Sales ($000s) ADOR
Gross Retail
Retail
Restaurants & Bars
Gasoline, EBR
Gallons (000s) ADOT
Contracting
Hotel/Motel
New Housing Units Authorized, Census C-40
Total Units
Single Family Units
NAVAJO COUNTY
Civilian Labor Force, ADES
Employment
Unemployment
Unemployment Rate (%)
Employees on Nonagricultural Payrolls, ADES
Total
Total Private
Goods-Producing
Mining and Construction
Manufacturing
Service-Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Professional and Business Services
Educational and Health Services
Leisure and Hospitality
Other Services
Government
Federal Government
State and Local Government
Sales ($000s) ADOR
Gross Retail
Retail
Restaurants & Bars
Gasoline, EBR
Gallons (000s) ADOT
Contracting
Hotel/Motel
New Housing Units Authorized, Census C-40
Total Units
Single Family Units

% change versus year ago
for most recent:
month
12-months

DEC
2004

JAN
2005

FEB
2005

MAR
2005

APR
2005

21,975
19,650
2,325
10.6

20,075
17,975
2,100
10.5

20,125
17,975
2,150
10.7

20,150
17,950
2,200
10.9

20,350
18,150
2,200
10.8

-0.6
0.1
-6.4
-5.8

-0.6
0.4
-7.3
-6.7

20,100
6,450
675
19,425
2,025
3,750
13,650
3,075
10,575

19,300
6,400
600
18,700
1,825
3,975
12,900
3,100
9,800

19,550
6,350
550
19,000
1,825
3,975
13,200
3,100
10,100

19,800
6,550
650
19,150
1,850
4,050
13,250
3,100
10,150

19,975
6,675
650
19,325
1,850
4,175
13,300
3,125
10,175

2.0
2.7
-7.1
2.4
-1.3
6.4
1.7
3.3
1.2

0.8
-0.7
-14.2
1.4
-0.7
2.0
1.6
2.8
1.2

11,947
6,248
836
4,862
2,567
6,987
878

9,314
4,101
579
4,634
2,570
5,128
640

9,678
4,743
752
4,183
2,134
6,447
765

12,346
5,425
785
6,136
2,569
6,865
985

...
...
...
...
...
...
...

7.8
-1.6
17.7
16.4
-4.9
37.1
40.3

10.2
4.5
12.9
15.8
0.0
-18.9
7.6

3
3

Note: Apache County is not required to report monthly in 2005

36,850
34,050
2,800
7.6

37,025
33,975
3,050
8.2

36,850
33,750
3,100
8.4

36,575
33,400
3,175
8.7

37,025
33,975
3,050
8.2

-2.1
-2.0
-3.2
-1.1

-2.1
-1.8
-5.1
-3.1

28,425
17,600
3,225
2,350
875
25,200
5,450
625
550
1,125
3,150
2,675
800
10,825
1,600
9,225

28,025
17,325
3,100
2,225
875
24,925
5,350
625
550
1,150
3,150
2,650
750
10,700
1,425
9,275

28,175
17,300
3,075
2,225
850
25,100
5,350
625
550
1,175
3,150
2,625
750
10,875
1,425
9,450

28,275
17,475
3,100
2,250
850
25,175
5,375
625
550
1,175
3,175
2,700
775
10,800
1,450
9,350

28,675
17,875
3,175
2,300
875
25,500
5,475
625
525
1,200
3,175
2,925
775
10,800
1,475
9,325

-0.5
1.6
-0.8
-1.1
0.0
-0.5
1.4
0.0
-8.7
11.6
3.3
1.7
0.0
-3.8
-10.6
-2.6

-1.1
0.0
-1.1
-4.0
8.0
-1.1
-0.3
3.7
-22.3
11.5
2.6
1.7
-5.5
-2.9
-4.8
-2.6

79,178
62,644
6,054
10,480
5,533
12,446
1,884

64,615
49,916
5,313
9,386
5,205
12,739
1,418

62,040
47,229
5,484
9,326
4,758
12,716
1,992

72,114
52,402
5,737
13,975
5,850
12,444
2,007

...
...
...
...
...
...
...

7.7
5.0
0.2
23.5
0.9
42.4
4.2

9.2
8.7
2.8
15.4
-0.7
17.7
-0.5

48
48

22
22

12
12

47
47

50
50

13.6
13.6

22.4
14.5

See sources and abbreviations at the bottom of page 16. • For additional detail and history, subscribe to Arizona Economic Indicators Data Book.
www.ebr.eller.arizona.edu

9.

A R I Z O N A E C O N O M I C
I N D I C A T O R S

GRAHAM COUNTY
Civilian Labor Force, ADES
Employment
Unemployment
Unemployment Rate (%)
Employees on Nonagricultural Payrolls, ADES
Total
Total Private
Goods-Producing
Service-Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Other Private Service-Providing
Government
Federal Government
State and Local Government
Sales ($000s) ADOR
Gross Retail
Retail
Restaurants & Bars
Gasoline, EBR
Gallons (000s) ADOT
Contracting

COCONINO COUNTY
Civilian Labor Force, ADES
Employment
Unemployment
Unemployment Rate (%)
Employees on Nonagricultural Payrolls, ADES
Total
Total Private
Goods-Producing
Mining and Construction
Manufacturing
Service-Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Professional and Business Services
Educational and Health Services
Leisure and Hospitality
Other Services
Government
Federal Government
State and Local Government
Sales ($000s) ADOR
Gross Retail
Retail
Restaurants & Bars
Gasoline, EBR
Gallons (000s) ADOT
Contracting
Hotel/Motel
New Housing Units Authorized, Census C-40
Total Units
Single Family Units

JAN
2005

FEB
2005

MAR
2005

APR
2005

12,700
11,975
725
5.7

12,650
11,900
750
5.9

12,650
11,900
750
5.9

12,625
11,825
800
6.3

12,750
11,925
825
6.5

4.1
4.4
0.0
-3.9

2.6
3.4
-7.8
-10.2

7,850
4,450
550
7,300
1,425
2,475
3,400
300
3,100

7,700
4,400
550
7,150
1,400
2,450
3,300
300
3,000

7,850
4,425
525
7,325
1,400
2,500
3,425
300
3,125

7,850
4,475
550
7,300
1,400
2,525
3,375
300
3,075

7,825
4,425
550
7,275
1,400
2,475
3,400
300
3,100

6.5
-1.7
0.0
7.0
-1.8
-2.0
19.3
-7.7
22.8

6.8
-0.8
1.2
7.3
-2.3
-0.4
19.7
-1.9
22.6

19,771
16,187
1,682
1,902
1,004
2,245

15,204
12,035
1,413
1,756
974
1,680

15,883
12,364
1,636
1,883
961
2,023

18,390
14,518
1,574
2,298
962
2,576

...
...
...
...
...
...

21.6
21.4
11.4
31.5
7.5
2.1

9.2
7.3
6.1
26.3
9.0
-13.9

67,400
64,100
3,300
4.9

67,300
63,600
3,700
5.5

67,500
64,000
3,500
5.2

67,300
63,800
3,500
5.2

67,900
64,500
3,400
5.0

2.0
2.4
-5.6
-7.4

2.9
3.5
-7.8
-10.4

61,000
42,200
7,100
3,600
3,500
53,900
9,500
500
1,600
3,300
6,900
11,500
1,800
18,800
3,100
15,700

59,900
41,500
7,200
3,600
3,600
52,700
9,100
500
1,500
3,300
6,900
11,200
1,800
18,400
3,000
15,400

60,900
41,900
7,200
3,600
3,600
53,700
9,200
500
1,600
3,300
6,900
11,400
1,800
19,000
2,900
16,100

61,600
42,600
7,300
3,700
3,600
54,300
9,100
500
1,600
3,500
7,000
11,800
1,800
19,000
3,000
16,000

62,300
43,700
7,500
3,800
3,700
54,800
9,400
500
1,600
3,500
7,000
12,400
1,800
18,600
3,000
15,600

4.9
7.1
19.0
15.2
23.3
3.2
2.2
0.0
0.0
2.9
4.5
9.7
0.0
0.0
-6.3
1.3

4.5
6.5
16.9
18.5
15.3
3.1
1.1
9.1
0.0
6.8
1.1
9.5
5.7
0.4
-4.0
1.3

126,561
91,594
20,439
14,528
7,670
25,568
9,988

90,649
61,335
15,713
13,602
7,543
15,901
6,536

98,780
66,495
18,536
13,749
7,015
17,424
7,818

122,397
77,069
23,664
21,664
9,068
22,779
14,829

...
...
...
...
...
...
...

6.6
2.5
10.9
18.6
-3.1
9.9
13.3

6.8
4.9
6.7
16.1
0.4
-6.5
8.4

68
68

38
33

47
47

54
54

50
48

-39.8
-42.2

-39.4
-18.0

See sources and abbreviations at the bottom of page 16. • For additional detail and history, subscribe to Arizona Economic Indicators Data Book.
10.

% change versus year ago
for most recent:
month
12-months

DEC
2004

A R I Z O N A E C O N O M I C
I N D I C A T O R S

GREENLEE COUNTY
Civilian Labor Force, ADES
Employment
Unemployment
Unemployment Rate (%)
Employees on Nonagricultural Payrolls, ADES
Total
Total Private
Goods-Producing
Service-Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Other Private Service-Providing
Government
Federal Government
State and Local Government
Sales ($000s) ADOR
Gross Retail
Retail
Restaurants & Bars
Gasoline, EBR
Gallons (000s) ADOT
Contracting
Hotel/Motel*

% change versus year ago
for most recent:
month
12-months

DEC
2004

JAN
2005

FEB
2005

MAR
2005

APR
2005

3,600
3,450
150
4.2

3,625
3,425
200
5.5

3,625
3,425
200
5.5

3,600
3,400
200
5.6

3,625
3,425
200
5.5

3.6
3.8
0.0
-3.4

1.7
3.4
-20.7
-22.0

3,625
3,100
2,575
1,050
225
300
525
50
475

3,600
3,075
2,550
1,050
225
300
525
50
475

3,600
3,100
2,575
1,025
225
300
500
25
475

3,650
3,125
2,600
1,050
225
300
525
50
475

3,650
3,125
2,600
1,050
250
275
525
50
475

5.8
7.8
9.5
-2.3
11.1
-8.3
-4.5
0.0
-5.0

3.5
4.4
6.9
-3.8
-0.9
-10.1
-1.2
9.5
-2.1

8,616
7,866
247
503
265
286
256

7,761
7,130
181
450
250
-2,084
511

8,343
7,627
196
519
265
270
364

9,313
8,405
236
672
281
320
240

...
...
...
...
...
...
...

28.5
27.9
0.7
53.3
25.3
-79.3
-35.8

30.7
31.7
-0.3
32.6
14.5
-43.5
7.7

88,400
85,200
3,200
3.6

88,500
85,100
3,400
3.8

88,600
85,100
3,500
4.0

88,100
84,500
3,600
4.1

89,500
85,800
3,700
4.1

3.0
3.1
0.0
-2.9

4.0
4.7
-10.5
-13.9

57,500
46,600
10,800
7,500
3,300
46,700
11,500
700
1,900
4,100
8,300
7,400
1,900
10,900
1,300
9,600

56,500
46,000
10,500
7,200
3,300
46,000
11,600
700
1,900
4,000
8,300
7,200
1,800
10,500
1,300
9,200

57,100
46,000
10,500
7,200
3,300
46,600
11,500
700
1,900
4,000
8,300
7,300
1,800
11,100
1,200
9,900

57,800
46,800
10,700
7,400
3,300
47,100
11,600
700
1,900
4,200
8,400
7,500
1,800
11,000
1,200
9,800

58,500
47,400
10,800
7,500
3,300
47,700
11,500
700
1,900
4,200
8,500
8,000
1,800
11,100
1,300
9,800

4.8
5.3
2.9
4.2
0.0
5.3
9.5
0.0
0.0
5.0
4.9
6.7
0.0
2.8
8.3
2.1

5.6
6.4
9.6
12.4
3.9
4.7
8.9
3.7
1.3
4.6
2.5
7.1
-0.5
2.4
2.7
2.3

176,457
143,324
19,959
13,174
6,955
57,219
5,241

126,180
97,902
16,157
12,121
6,722
43,635
4,156

140,056
109,079
18,930
12,047
6,147
46,014
5,656

161,868
122,361
20,767
18,740
7,844
58,286
8,893

...
...
...
...
...
...
...

13.3
13.0
9.9
19.6
-2.3
32.9
22.9

10.1
10.9
1.8
15.4
-0.2
16.8
0.3

273
268

251
247

236
227

308
297

308
304

24.2
35.1

24.1
25.2

* Includes Graham County data.
YAVAPAI COUNTY
Civilian Labor Force, ADES
Employment
Unemployment
Unemployment Rate (%)
Employees on Nonagricultural Payrolls, ADES
Total
Total Private
Goods-Producing
Mining and Construction
Manufacturing
Service-Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Professional and Business Services
Educational and Health Services
Leisure and Hospitality
Other Services
Government
Federal Government
State and Local Government
Sales ($000s) ADOR
Gross Retail
Retail
Restaurants & Bars
Gasoline, EBR
Gallons (000s) ADOT
Contracting
Hotel/Motel
New Housing Units Authorized, Census C-40
Total Units
Single Family Units

See sources and abbreviations at the bottom of page 16. • For additional detail and history, subscribe to Arizona Economic Indicators Data Book.
www.ebr.eller.arizona.edu

11.

A R I Z O N A E C O N O M I C
I N D I C A T O R S

GILA COUNTY
Civilian Labor Force, ADES
Employment
Unemployment
Unemployment Rate (%)
Employees on Nonagricultural Payrolls, ADES
Total
Total Private
Goods-Producing
Service-Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Other Private Service-Providing
Government
Federal Government
State and Local Government
Sales ($000s) ADOR
Gross Retail
Retail
Restaurants & Bars
Gasoline, EBR
Gallons (000s) ADOT
Contracting
Hotel/Motel
MOHAVE COUNTY
Civilian Labor Force, ADES
Employment
Unemployment
Unemployment Rate (%)
Employees on Nonagricultural Payrolls, ADES
Total
Total Private
Goods-Producing
Mining and Construction
Manufacturing
Service-Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Professional and Business Services
Educational and Health Services
Leisure and Hospitality
Other Services
Government
Federal Government
State and Local Government
Sales ($000s) ADOR
Gross Retail
Retail
Restaurants & Bars
Gasoline, EBR
Gallons (000s) ADOT
Contracting
Hotel/Motel
New Housing Units Authorized, Census C-40
Total Units
Single Family Units

JAN
2005

FEB
2005

MAR
2005

APR
2005

19,900
18,750
1,150
5.8

20,050
18,850
1,200
6.0

19,875
18,650
1,225
6.2

19,875
18,625
1,250
6.3

20,175
18,925
1,250
6.2

-2.8
-2.4
-7.4
-4.8

-2.4
-1.6
-12.9
-10.8

13,400
8,650
2,000
11,400
2,100
4,550
4,750
450
4,300

13,325
8,575
1,975
11,350
2,100
4,500
4,750
450
4,300

13,325
8,575
1,975
11,350
2,100
4,500
4,750
450
4,300

13,525
8,725
2,000
11,525
2,200
4,525
4,800
450
4,350

13,725
8,850
2,050
11,675
2,250
4,550
4,875
475
4,400

-1.1
-0.3
0.0
-1.3
4.7
-2.7
-2.5
-5.0
-2.2

-1.0
-0.2
-1.4
-1.0
1.8
-0.6
-2.5
-6.2
-2.1

34,408
25,242
4,276
4,890
2,582
9,863
680

24,566
16,936
3,609
4,021
2,230
6,118
719

26,379
18,509
3,808
4,062
2,072
10,577
843

32,184
21,063
4,100
7,021
2,939
5,791
910

...
...
...
...
...
...
...

10.7
6.8
-7.0
42.2
16.2
-32.1
-0.0

6.2
2.5
3.6
25.2
8.4
-0.3
3.3

83,475
80,600
2,875
3.4

84,625
81,425
3,200
3.8

84,225
80,950
3,275
3.9

85,400
81,975
3,425
4.0

86,475
83,050
3,425
4.0

3.8
4.1
-3.5
-7.1

3.1
3.8
-12.2
-14.8

50,100
42,650
9,800
6,075
3,725
40,300
11,600
800
2,025
3,800
6,450
5,950
2,225
7,450
525
6,925

50,025
42,600
9,925
6,175
3,750
40,100
11,275
775
2,025
3,875
6,575
5,925
2,225
7,425
500
6,925

50,300
42,775
9,875
6,125
3,750
40,425
11,350
775
2,075
3,750
6,675
6,025
2,250
7,525
525
7,000

50,950
43,325
9,975
6,250
3,725
40,975
11,375
775
2,100
3,850
6,625
6,350
2,275
7,625
525
7,100

51,400
43,850
10,150
6,350
3,800
41,250
11,525
775
2,175
3,925
6,600
6,425
2,275
7,550
525
7,025

3.9
6.0
3.0
0.8
7.0
4.2
8.2
-6.1
11.5
11.3
6.5
5.3
0.0
-6.5
0.0
-7.0

3.6
5.0
4.8
2.8
8.2
3.3
5.7
-5.1
7.1
6.6
6.7
3.9
0.3
-3.7
1.6
-4.1

168,579
133,560
16,168
18,852
9,953
53,101
2,356

133,424
103,027
14,623
15,774
8,748
40,361
2,506

142,285
109,583
15,959
16,743
8,542
47,040
3,104

170,860
125,923
17,924
27,013
11,307
58,954
4,740

...
...
...
...
...
...
...

15.4
11.4
19.6
35.2
10.5
44.3
20.5

14.3
12.2
12.9
28.6
11.3
49.0
11.6

310
304

308
285

335
297

371
360

385
371

30.5
33.9

19.4
24.9

See sources and abbreviations at the bottom of page 16. • For additional detail and history, subscribe to Arizona Economic Indicators Data Book.
12.

% change versus year ago
for most recent:
month
12-months

DEC
2004

A R I Z O N A E C O N O M I C
I N D I C A T O R S

LA PAZ COUNTY
Civilian Labor Force, ADES
Employment
Unemployment
Unemployment Rate (%)
Employees on Nonagricultural Payrolls, ADES
Total
Total Private
Goods-Producing
Service-Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Other Private Service-Providing
Government
Federal Government
State and Local Government
Sales ($000s) ADOR
Gross Retail
Retail
Restaurants & Bars
Gasoline, EBR
Gallons (000s) ADOT
Contracting
Hotel/Motel
YUMA METROPOLITAN REGION
Civilian Labor Force, ADES
Employment
Unemployment
Unemployment Rate (%)
Employees on Nonagricultural Payrolls, ADES
Total
Total Private
Goods-Producing
Mining and Construction
Manufacturing
Service-Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Professional and Business Services
Educational and Health Services
Leisure and Hospitality
Other Services
Government
Federal Government
State and Local Government
Sales ($000s) ADOR
Gross Retail
Retail
Restaurants & Bars
Gasoline, EBR
Gallons (000s) ADOT
Contracting
Hotel/Motel
New Housing Units Authorized, Census C-40
Total Units
Single Family Units

% change versus year ago
for most recent:
month
12-months

DEC
2004

JAN
2005

FEB
2005

MAR
2005

APR
2005

7,125
6,675
450
6.3

7,300
6,825
475
6.5

7,275
6,800
475
6.5

7,500
7,000
500
6.7

7,550
7,050
500
6.6

3.4
3.7
0.0
-3.3

-0.7
-0.3
-6.8
-6.1

5,150
2,850
350
4,800
1,275
1,225
2,300
225
2,075

5,250
2,975
350
4,900
1,300
1,325
2,275
200
2,075

5,275
3,025
350
4,925
1,325
1,350
2,250
200
2,050

5,350
3,100
400
4,950
1,300
1,400
2,250
200
2,050

5,300
3,075
450
4,850
1,325
1,300
2,225
200
2,025

1.9
7.0
5.9
1.6
3.9
10.6
-4.3
0.0
-4.7

2.9
6.2
4.0
2.8
3.5
9.8
-1.0
3.2
-1.4

19,033
11,456
2,362
5,215
2,753
1,562
407

24,730
16,904
2,356
5,470
3,033
1,432
299

24,876
15,558
2,800
6,518
3,326
1,325
817

23,689
11,506
4,366
7,817
3,272
1,229
527

...
...
...
...
...
...
...

25.1
6.1
77.3
38.8
13.4
-69.7
9.2

16.9
12.3
8.9
29.6
12.0
-17.6
4.5

75,000
66,700
8,300
11.1

73,800
66,500
7,300
9.9

73,800
66,600
7,200
9.8

76,000
68,100
7,900
10.4

77,400
65,700
11,700
15.1

9.5
10.8
2.6
-6.3

2.7
4.6
-6.5
-9.0

54,000
39,400
8,100
4,800
3,300
45,900
11,900
1,200
1,400
3,400
6,300
5,400
1,700
14,600
2,900
11,700

53,500
39,300
8,000
4,700
3,300
45,500
11,900
1,200
1,400
3,300
6,400
5,400
1,700
14,200
2,900
11,300

54,400
39,500
8,100
4,800
3,300
46,300
11,900
1,200
1,400
3,300
6,400
5,500
1,700
14,900
2,900
12,000

54,900
40,000
8,100
4,900
3,200
46,800
12,000
1,200
1,500
3,400
6,500
5,600
1,700
14,900
3,000
11,900

52,200
37,400
7,300
5,000
2,300
44,900
10,400
1,200
1,500
3,400
6,400
5,500
1,700
14,800
3,000
11,800

10.8
11.6
12.3
22.0
-4.2
10.6
15.6
9.1
7.1
3.0
10.3
12.2
13.3
8.8
3.4
10.3

8.4
8.3
15.6
22.5
5.6
7.2
10.7
6.9
4.3
-8.9
9.0
7.2
7.8
8.7
3.6
10.1

169,186
134,462
16,051
18,673
9,858
32,410
2,887

134,774
104,096
14,139
16,539
9,172
31,418
3,579

146,184
111,468
17,570
17,147
8,749
37,864
4,842

161,689
121,142
16,603
23,943
10,022
39,148
4,339

...
...
...
...
...
...
...

19.9
17.5
14.6
38.4
13.1
30.4
18.0

13.8
13.1
11.6
20.2
3.7
33.7
6.2

169
169

148
146

141
141

159
159

219
214

-25.3
-27.0

2.2
-4.9

See sources and abbreviations at the bottom of page 16. • For additional detail and history, subscribe to Arizona Economic Indicators Data Book.
www.ebr.eller.arizona.edu

13.

A R I Z O N A E C O N O M I C
I N D I C A T O R S

SANTA CRUZ COUNTY
Civilian Labor Force, ADES
Employment
Unemployment
Unemployment Rate (%)
Employees on Nonagricultural Payrolls, ADES
Total
Total Private
Goods-Producing
Service-Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Other Private Service-Providing
Government
Federal Government
State and Local Government
Sales ($000s) ADOR
Gross Retail
Retail
Restaurants & Bars
Gasoline, EBR
Gallons (000s) ADOT
Contracting
Hotel/Motel
New Housing Units Authorized, Census C-40
Total Units
Single Family Units
COCHISE COUNTY
Civilian Labor Force, ADES
Employment
Unemployment
Unemployment Rate (%)
Employees on Nonagricultural Payrolls, ADES
Total
Total Private
Goods-Producing
Mining and Construction
Manufacturing
Service-Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Professional and Business Services
Educational and Health Services
Leisure and Hospitality
Other Services
Government
Federal Government
State and Local Government
Sales ($000) ADOR
Gross Retail
Retail
Restaurants & Bars
Gasoline, EBR
Gallons (000s) ADOT
Contracting
Hotel/Motel
New Housing Units Authorized, Census C-40
Total Units
Single Family Units

JAN
2005

FEB
2005

MAR
2005

APR
2005

16,050
14,850
1,200
7.5

16,125
15,000
1,125
7.0

16,025
14,900
1,125
7.0

15,825
14,675
1,150
7.3

15,825
14,700
1,125
7.1

1.4
2.4
-10.0
-11.3

1.2
1.9
-5.2
-6.3

13,050
9,775
1,025
12,025
5,475
3,275
3,275
1,150
2,125

13,025
9,775
1,025
12,000
5,475
3,275
3,250
1,125
2,125

13,100
9,800
1,025
12,075
5,450
3,325
3,300
1,175
2,125

13,075
9,800
1,025
12,050
5,425
3,350
3,275
1,150
2,125

13,025
9,725
1,025
12,000
5,350
3,350
3,300
1,175
2,125

4.2
7.2
2.5
4.3
10.3
3.9
-3.6
0.0
-5.6

3.1
4.9
-7.9
4.2
6.0
7.8
-1.7
2.9
-4.1

52,364
41,856
3,900
6,608
3,489
-1,744
801

30,499
22,866
2,955
4,678
2,594
4,925
1,107

34,084
25,673
3,456
4,955
2,528
5,374
1,563

40,849
30,345
3,650
6,854
2,869
5,410
1,397

...
...
...
...
...
...
...

18.8
15.7
33.5
25.9
2.9
16.6
79.0

9.3
8.2
6.8
17.2
0.9
-13.4
28.1

58
58

35
35

38
38

59
59

53
50

47.2
38.9

21.4
21.5

55,450
53,150
2,300
4.1

55,575
53,100
2,475
4.5

55,425
52,825
2,600
4.7

55,150
52,450
2,700
4.9

55,425
52,700
2,725
4.9

2.1
2.3
-1.8
-3.8

1.7
2.4
-11.3
-12.8

36,300
24,475
3,625
2,800
825
32,675
6,725
525
900
3,600
3,875
4,100
1,125
11,825
4,825
7,000

35,825
24,175
3,575
2,750
825
32,250
6,475
525
925
3,575
3,875
4,125
1,100
11,650
4,775
6,875

36,075
24,200
3,600
2,775
20,600
6,450
925
3,575
3,850
4,175
1,100
11,875
4,800
7,075
4,800
7,075

36,300
24,525
3,725
2,900
20,800
6,350
900
3,800
3,900
4,200
1,125
11,775
4,825
6,950
4,825
6,950

36,300
24,550
3,775
2,975
800
32,525
6,225
525
900
3,850
3,975
4,200
1,100
11,750
4,850
6,900

4.0
5.6
12.7
19.0
-5.9
3.1
1.6
0.0
0.0
9.2
6.7
4.3
2.3
0.9
2.1
0.0

3.6
3.9
8.7
10.2
402.8
-10.9
-12.2
119.1
55.3
1.9
-7.0
38.3
57.6
-4.1
3.2
2.8

98,305
77,122
9,335
11,848
6,255
23,658
2,315

65,032
46,233
8,144
10,655
5,909
13,425
2,407

74,902
54,327
9,458
11,116
5,671
15,748
3,332

86,990
65,904
9,480
11,606
4,858
19,480
3,585

...
...
...
...
...
...
...

7.9
9.4
-4.5
10.6
-9.7
10.7
1.1

6.5
0.6
14.4
43.3
24.4
-0.6
8.3

76
76

70
70

79
79

180
180

125
125

38.9
50.6

43.5
43.7

See sources and abbreviations at the bottom of page 16. • For additional detail and history, subscribe to Arizona Economic Indicators Data Book.
14.

% change versus year ago
for most recent:
month
12-months

DEC
2004

A R I Z O N A E C O N O M I C
I N D I C A T O R S

TUCSON METROPOLITAN REGION (PIMA)
Civilian Labor Force (000s) ADES
Employment
Unemployment
Unemployment Rate, Seas. Adj. (%)
Employees on Nonagricultural Payrolls (000s) ADES
Total
Natural Resources and Mining
Construction
Manufacturing
Computer and Electronic Prod.
Aerospace Products and Parts
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transp., Warehousing, and Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Professional and Business Services
Educational and Health Services
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Accommodation
Food Svcs and Drinking Places
Other Services
Federal Government
State and Local Government
State and Local Government Education
Sales ($000s) ADOR
Aggregate Retail Sales
Retail
Food, EBR
Restaurants & Bars
Gasoline, EBR
Contracting
Hotel/Motel
New Housing Units Authorized, Census C-40 adjusted by EBR
Total Units
Single Family Units
2-5-plus Unit Structures
Housing Sales and Prices, TAR
Total Sales ($000s)
Total Units
Average Price ($)
Tucson International Airport, TAA
Total Passengers
Total Aircraft Movements

JAN
2005

FEB
2005

MAR
2005

APR
2005

449.8
432.4
17.4
4.1

447.4
429.0
18.4
3.8

448.5
429.9
18.6
4.1

444.5
425.1
19.4
4.3

447.9
428.2
19.7
4.7

1.1
1.3
-2.5
-2.1

2.1
2.8
-11.5
-13.0

371.6
1.4
24.9
28.3
4.9
11.1
8.4
45.1
8.6
7.4
17.8
42.3
49.3
5.1
8.1
27.0
15.0
10.1
72.8
48.8

363.8
1.4
24.8
28.3
4.9
11.0
8.2
41.9
8.4
7.3
17.7
42.1
49.3
5.2
8.2
26.7
14.6
10.1
69.6
45.5

368.7
1.5
24.8
28.4
4.9
11.3
8.3
41.9
8.4
7.3
17.9
42.5
49.3
5.4
8.3
27.1
14.8
10.1
72.7
48.4

371.1
1.5
25.6
28.3
4.9
11.1
8.4
42.1
8.4
7.2
17.9
43.2
49.3
5.6
8.3
27.4
14.9
10.2
72.8
48.3

373.1
1.5
25.8
28.1
4.8
11.0
8.4
42.2
8.4
7.2
18.2
43.7
49.6
5.6
8.3
27.6
15.1
10.2
73.2
48.4

3.5
15.4
9.3
-0.7
-4.0
-2.7
3.7
3.4
2.4
-4.0
11.0
2.3
5.3
1.8
10.7
3.4
1.3
5.2
1.2
1.5

3.3
15.2
6.0
-0.4
-4.3
-2.0
10.8
4.5
4.3
-1.5
8.3
2.4
5.0
1.3
6.0
3.7
1.7
3.8
0.9
1.5

1,063,179
769,887
118,262
109,727
65,303
177,892
22,429

804,156
522,489
120,255
102,764
58,648
141,368
32,424

849,662
555,063
121,397
111,176
62,027
145,529
43,208

950,443
620,271
122,211
119,506
88,455
170,903
45,611

...
...
...
...
...
...
...

8.2
4.6
10.1
11.2
32.2
10.5
21.0

7.0
5.3
7.2
10.8
16.6
10.2
10.1

748
709
39

720
675
44

835
770
65

1,185
1,044
141

1,083
953
130

40.7
37.3
72.2

25.3
19.2
104.7

273,531
1,283
213,196

249,161
1,086
229,430

314,570
1,343
234,230

363,510
1,525
238,367

367,270
1,489
246,656

18.1
-1.1
19.4

34.6
16.0
16.7

332,506
20,128

314,756
19,983

333,817
20,689

400,962
24,539

355,826
24,091

4.6
13.4

8.0
4.9

I
2004

II
2004

III
2004

IV
2004

I
2005

922.9
1.3
3.2
1.9
3.7

928.4
1.3
3.2
1.9
4.3

934.5
1.3
3.2
1.9
4.8

940.9
1.3
3.3
2.0
5.1

947.3
1.3
3.3
2.0
5.1

2.6
0.1
1.4
2.3
37.0

2.4
3.3
2.4
1.9
33.1

23,833
16,420
1,865
112
4,770
4,396
25,825

24,248
16,717
1,904
114
4,855
4,467
26,117

24,691
17,044
1,945
116
4,937
4,538
26,420

25,162
17,406
1,986
119
5,012
4,611
26,741

25,626
17,764
2,026
122
5,084
4,683
27,051

7.5
8.2
8.7
8.7
6.6
6.5
4.7

6.6
6.8
7.9
7.0
6.2
6.5
4.1

TUCSON METROPOLITAN REGION (PIMA COUNTY) - QUARTERLY DATA

Demographics & Vital Statistics (000s, seas adj) ADHS & EBR
Population
Natural Increase
Births
Deaths
Net Migration
Personal Income by Source ($mil, SAAR) EBR
Total Personal Income
Earnings by Place of Work
Less: Contributions for Social Insurance
Plus: Adjustment for Residence
Plus: Dividends, Interest & Rents
Plus: Transfer Payments
Per Capita Personal Income ($, SAAR) EBR

% change versus year ago
for most recent:
month
12-months

DEC
2004

% change versus year ago
for most recent:
quarter
4-quarters

www.ebr.eller.arizona.edu

15.

A R I Z O N A E C O N O M I C
I N D I C A T O R S

PHOENIX-MESA METROPOLITAN REGION (MARICOPA AND PINAL)
Civilian Labor Force (000s) ADES
Employment
Unemployment
Unemployment Rate, Seas. Adj. (%)
Employees on Nonagricultural Payrolls (000s) ADES
Total
Natural Resources and Mining
Construction
Durable Goods
Fabricated Metal Products
Computer and Electronic Prod.
Aerospace Products and Parts
Non-Durable Goods
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Utilities
Transportation and Warehousing
Information
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate, Rental, and Leasing
Professional and Business Services
Educational Services
Health Care and Social Assistance
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Accommodation
Food Svcs and Drinking Places
Other Services
Federal Government
State and Local Government
State and Local Government Education
Sales ($000s) ADOR
Aggregate Retail Sales
Retail
Food, EBR
Restaurants & Bars
Gasoline, EBR
Contracting
Hotel/Motel
New Housing Units Authorized, Census C-40
Total Units
Single Family Units
2-4 Unit Structures
5-plus Unit Structures
Housing Sales and Prices, ARMLS
Total Sales ($000s)
Total Units
Average Price ($)
Phoenix Skyharbor International Airport, PSIA
Total Passengers
Total Aircraft Movements

DEC
2004

JAN
2005

1,861.6
1,791.9
69.7
4.0

% change versus year ago
for most recent:
month
12-months

FEB
2005

MAR
2005

APR
2005

1,859.6
1,785.2
74.4
3.7

1,859.9
1,785.4
74.5
4.0

1,868.5
1,790.2
78.3
4.2

1,883.3
1,804.3
79.0
4.4

2.6
2.9
-4.1
-6.4

2.4
3.3
-14.2
-15.7

1,728.6
2.2
147.1
103.2
13.5
37.9
15.0
27.0
79.2
217.6
7.9
52.8
34.4
105.0
35.0
279.3
29.7
147.5
21.6
27.5
115.2
64.9
22.7
208.8
110.4

1,699.4
2.2
145.1
103.0
13.4
37.5
15.0
26.8
78.8
210.8
7.9
52.5
34.4
103.7
34.3
272.4
29.6
148.3
21.6
28.0
113.9
63.7
22.0
200.4
101.2

1,716.7
2.2
146.6
103.1
13.5
37.5
15.1
26.9
79.0
208.1
7.9
52.7
34.0
105.1
34.4
276.1
30.2
148.9
22.3
28.1
116.0
64.0
22.0
211.5
112.1

1,728.7
2.2
150.2
103.1
13.5
37.6
15.2
27.1
79.0
208.7
7.8
52.9
34.3
105.5
34.6
278.1
30.4
149.8
22.8
27.9
118.2
64.6
22.1
209.4
110.6

1,736.8
2.3
152.6
103.3
13.5
37.7
15.2
27.2
79.0
209.0
7.8
52.9
34.0
106.3
34.8
280.3
31.3
150.2
22.8
28.4
118.1
63.8
22.0
210.7
110.6

3.8
15.0
12.1
-0.3
3.1
-2.6
5.6
0.7
0.8
5.6
-1.3
1.1
-7.9
2.5
2.1
4.0
13.0
4.3
4.1
2.9
3.8
0.5
1.9
3.3
4.1

3.8
9.8
9.7
0.0
4.3
-2.0
2.7
-0.0
1.6
5.2
0.0
2.3
-5.3
2.2
3.1
5.3
13.6
4.2
2.7
2.4
3.6
1.4
1.8
3.1
3.2

4,813,432
3,529,332
515,343
501,753
267,003
1,086,602
91,273

3,730,809
2,473,882
537,173
475,801
243,953
816,186
129,578

3,873,612
2,564,622
542,270
516,102
250,618
888,434
160,359

4,486,082
3,055,311
545,906
524,756
360,109
1,090,141
217,012

...
...
...
...
...
...
...

12.0
11.7
12.9
4.0
27.2
30.8
31.3

9.9
9.2
9.3
9.3
18.7
22.4
9.5

5,284
3,958
110
1,216

4,313
3,726
82
505

4,366
3,960
48
358

5,017
4,474
158
385

6,078
4,644
44
1,390

-6.2
-4.3
-82.7
1.3

9.2
13.5
-5.5
-16.9

1,808,665
7,554
239,431

1,633,450
6,301
259,237

1,871,129
7,424
252,038

2,611,405
9,508
274,653

2,592,396
9,123
284,160

44.6
7.9
34.0

40.3
23.5
13.3

3,347,436
47,110

3,154,466
46,062

3,038,182
42,702

3,799,760
48,686

...
...

6.2
5.3

5.6
1.2

SOURCES AND ABBREVIATIONS:
ADES: Arizona Department of Economic Security
ADHS: Arizona Department of Health Services
ADOR: Arizona Department of Revenue
ADOT: Arizona Department of Transportation
ARMLS: Arizona Regional Multiple Listing Service
ASPB: Arizona State Parks Board
BEA: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce

16.

BLS: Bureau of Labor Statistics,
U.S. Department of Labor
Census C-40: Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department
of Commerce
EBR: Economic & Business Research Program,
The University of Arizona
NPS: National Park Service, U.S. Department of the Interior

PSIA: Phoenix Skyharbor International Airport
SAAR: Seasonally adjusted at annual rates
TAA: Tucson Airport Authority
TAR: Tucson Association of Realtors
U.S. Bankruptcy Court: District of Arizona
USBCBP: U.S. Bureau of Customs and Border
Protection, U.S. Department of Homeland Security

A R I Z O N A E C O N O M I C
I N D I C A T O R S
I
2004

II
2004

PHOENIX-MESA METROPOLITAN REGION (MARICOPA AND PINAL COUNTY) - QUARTERLY DATA
Demographics & Vital Statistics (000s, seas adj) ADHS & EBR
Population
3,686.8
3,724.6
Natural Increase
9.2
9.2
Births
15.5
15.5
Deaths
6.2
6.3
Net Migration
26.9
28.5
Personal Income by Source ($mil, SAAR) EBR
Total Personal Income
109,775
112,119
Earnings by Place of Work
87,716
89,654
Less: Contributions for Social Insurance
9,673
9,917
Plus: Adjustment for Residence
-47
-46
Plus: Dividends, Interest & Rents
17,572
17,920
Plus: Transfer Payments
14,207
14,508
Per Capita Personal Income ($, SAAR) EBR
29,775
30,103
ARIZONA - QUARTERLY DATA
Demographics & Vital Statistics (000s, seas adj) ADHS & EBR
Population
Natural Increase
Births
Deaths
Net Migration
Personal Income Derivation ($mil, SAAR) BEA & EBR
Total Personal Income
Earnings by Place of Work
Less: Contributions for Social Insurance
Plus: Adjustment for Residence
Plus: Dividends, Interest & Rents
Plus: Transfer Payments
Components of Earnings ($mil, SAAR) BEA & EBR
Wages and Salaries
Other Labor Income EBR
Proprietor’s Income
Farm
Nonfarm
Per Capita Personal Income ($, SAAR) EBR
Average Wage Per Employee, Annual Rate ($) EBR

% change versus year ago
for most recent:
quarter
4-quarters

III
2004

IV
2004

I
2005

3,762.8
9.2
15.6
6.4
29.0

3,801.0
9.3
15.7
6.5
28.9

3,839.4
9.3
15.8
6.5
29.1

4.1
1.1
2.4
4.3
8.4

4.0
1.7
2.3
3.3
17.4

114,709
91,852
10,177
-45
18,264
14,815
30,485

117,562
94,355
10,451
-44
18,576
15,126
30,929

120,364
96,826
10,720
-44
18,867
15,435
31,349

9.6
10.4
10.8
5.2
7.4
8.6
5.3

7.8
8.2
9.2
0.1
5.9
8.3
3.6

5,756.3
12.6
23.2
10.6
38.0

5,806.9
12.3
22.9
10.6
38.2

5,857.5
12.5
23.3
10.7
38.1

5,908.6
13.8
23.6
9.8
37.8

5,959.7
12.8
23.3
10.5
37.7

3.5
1.6
0.5
-0.8
-0.7

3.5
6.4
1.6
-3.9
6.5

156,124
119,962
13,383
588
24,690
24,268

159,072
122,377
13,636
600
24,945
24,788

162,227
125,332
13,955
616
25,041
25,197

167,882
128,461
14,295
632
27,502
25,583

170,384
132,041
14,859
651
26,226
26,327

9.1
10.1
11.0
10.7
6.2
8.5

8.0
8.7
9.7
8.8
5.8
7.8

87,154
18,944
13,764
400
13,364
27,122
36,590

88,715
19,319
14,361
415
13,946
27,394
37,051

91,060
19,783
14,641
438
14,203
27,696
37,230

93,050
20,313
...
...
...
28,413
...

95,435
20,970
...
...
...
28,590
...

9.5
10.7
8.8
-15.9
9.8
5.4
3.6

8.2
9.9
10.7
27.4
10.2
4.3
3.9

DEC
2004

JAN
2005

FEB
2005

MAR
2005

APR
2005

805,259
60,415
254,324
490,520
186,656
36,285
140,861
9,510

761,303
56,147
173,514
531,642
243,150
47,110
176,376
19,664

868,546
70,245
234,089
564,212
299,213
58,027
218,397
22,789

1,390,477
143,595
517,851
729,031
489,771
75,090
366,497
48,184

1,557,381
149,206
552,562
855,613
347,987
64,318
247,811
35,858

-8.6
-8.6
-0.2
-13.3
44.0
78.1
45.7
0.8

-2.8
-4.5
1.5
-4.9
5.2
6.5
5.5
2.0

701,001
1,945,437
909,527

641,084
1,760,805
903,760

na
na
868,398

na
na
922,793

...
...
...

-8.4
-11.8
1.4

-4.1
-1.3
1.4

190.3
186.0

190.7
186.3

191.8
187.3

193.3
188.6

194.6
190.2

3.5
3.7

3.1
3.1

TRAVEL AND TOURISM - MONTHLY DATA

Visits to Parks & Other Recreational Areas, NPS & ASPB
Northern Arizona
Historical
Scenic
Water Based Recreation
Southern Arizona
Historical
Scenic
Water Based Recreation
International Border Crossings, USBCBP
U.S. Citizens
Aliens
Vehicles
MEASURES OF INFLATION AND PRICES - MONTHLY DATA
Consumer Price Index (1982-1984=100) BLS
U.S. - All Urban
U.S. - Wage Earners

% change versus year ago
for most recent:
month
12-months

See sources and abbreviations at the bottom of page 16. • For additional detail and history, subscribe to Arizona Economic Indicators Data Book.
www.ebr.eller.arizona.edu

17.

A R I Z O N A E C O N O M I C
I N D I C A T O R S

ARIZONA MONTHLY DATA
Civilian Labor Force (000s) ADES
Employment
Unemployment
Unemployment Rate, Seas. Adj. (%)
Employees on Nonagricultural Payrolls (000s) ADES
Total
Natural Resources and Mining
Construction
Durable Goods Manufacturing
Fabricated Metal Products
Computer and Electronic Prod.
Aerospace Products and Parts
Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Utilities
Transportation and Warehousing
Information
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate, Rental, and Leasing
Professional and Business Services
Educational Services
Health Care and Social Assistance
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Accommodation
Food Svcs and Drinking Places
Other Services
Federal Government
State and Local Government
State and Local Government Education
Hours Worked Per Week, Manufacturing, ADES
Average Hourly Earnings ($) ADES
Construction
Manufacturing
Trade, Transportation, Utilities
Retail Trade
Wholesale Trade
Sales ($000s) ADOR
Aggregate Retail Sales
Retail
Food, EBR
Restaurants & Bars
Gasoline, EBR
Gallons (000s) ADOT
Utilities
Communications
Amusements
Rentals - Personal Property
Contracting
Mining - Metal, Oil & Gas
Hotel/Motel
New Housing Units Authorized, Census C-40
Total Units
Single Family Units
2-4 Unit Structures
5-plus Unit Structures
Bankruptcy Filings, U.S. Bankruptcy Court
Total
Chapter 7
Chapter 11
Chapter 13

JAN
2005

FEB
2005

MAR
2005

APR
2005

2,797.4
2,681.9
115.5
4.5

2,793.7
2,671.9
121.8
4.2

2,794.5
2,672.2
122.3
4.4

2,801.2
2,673.0
128.2
4.7

2,825.0
2,692.4
132.6
5.0

2.4
2.7
-3.4
-3.8

2.3
3.1
-12.4
-13.5

2,451.0
8.8
198.7
141.5
17.6
43.4
26.4
34.9
97.1
313.6
11.3
66.8
46.4
120.2
46.3
343.8
40.4
226.8
31.2
45.0
170.3
90.1
51.7
366.1
201.7
42.0

2,407.3
8.8
196.1
141.4
17.4
43.4
26.4
34.6
96.6
302.9
11.4
66.1
46.1
118.8
45.3
336.3
40.2
227.8
31.4
45.2
168.0
88.6
50.6
351.1
186.7
41.3

2,437.0
8.9
198.3
141.7
17.5
43.3
26.7
34.7
96.9
299.6
11.4
66.2
45.7
120.3
45.4
341.4
41.2
228.5
32.6
45.6
170.7
88.9
50.7
368.3
203.1
41.3

2,451.5
9.0
202.9
141.8
17.6
43.3
26.7
34.8
96.9
300.3
11.4
66.3
46.0
120.9
45.7
344.5
41.3
229.5
33.4
46.0
173.8
89.8
51.0
366.2
201.1
41.5

2,463.0
9.1
206.4
142.0
17.6
43.4
26.7
34.0
95.7
300.9
11.5
66.4
45.7
121.9
45.9
347.7
42.1
230.4
33.8
46.9
174.3
89.2
51.2
367.9
200.9
40.9

3.8
11.0
11.1
1.0
3.5
-1.8
1.9
-0.6
1.3
5.9
0.0
0.3
-6.7
2.4
1.5
4.3
10.8
4.6
8.0
4.7
3.4
0.6
0.8
2.9
4.0
2.8

3.8
8.6
9.1
1.2
4.2
-1.7
0.3
-1.0
2.7
5.3
0.4
1.6
-4.5
2.0
3.3
4.9
11.0
4.4
4.9
3.6
3.7
1.3
1.0
2.8
3.4
0.9

15.59
14.22
14.32
11.68
17.98

15.35
14.41
14.72
11.94
18.42

15.55
14.54
14.83
12.08
18.67

15.58
14.43
14.70
12.05
18.59

15.57
14.80
14.73
12.12
18.82

2.2
3.6
5.7
4.8
3.2

0.8
-0.4
6.0
2.3
5.3

6,989,260
5,050,779
781,850
712,790
443,841
234,328
526,748
238,267
74,341
289,549
1,488,096
98,898
141,396

5,400,114
3,538,852
795,830
663,748
401,685
222,762
542,399
243,321
73,045
251,268
1,132,232
79,547
185,880

5,646,479
3,702,339
803,382
725,864
414,895
211,681
486,130
216,407
84,286
273,608
1,236,786
94,455
234,663

6,489,854
4,331,646
808,769
753,137
596,303
249,603
468,466
253,662
96,616
299,845
1,494,326
91,320
305,076

...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...

11.3
10.5
10.2
6.2
27.8
4.4
4.8
4.8
-8.8
-0.4
27.0
22.0
27.4

9.5
8.6
8.7
9.3
19.4
3.2
6.8
-0.2
2.6
1.8
19.6
88.4
9.0

6,986
5,643
121
1,222

5,915
5,286
115
514

6,152
5,626
79
447

7,445
6,733
200
512

8,361
6,821
82
1,458

0.9
3.7
-75.2
5.3

13.5
16.3
-12.4
-10.4

2,175
1,714
9
452

1,977
1,503
19
455

2,016
1,645
6
365

3,191
2,770
11
410

3,408
2,982
14
412

18.6
24.9
0.0
-12.9

-2.2
0.2
-33.6
-11.5

See sources and abbreviations at the bottom of page 16. • For additional detail and history, subscribe to Arizona Economic Indicators Data Book.
18.

% change versus year ago
for most recent:
month
12-months

DEC
2004

A R I Z O N A E C O N O M I C
I N D I C A T O R S

MEASURES OF INFLATION AND PRICES -QUARTERLY DATA
Consumer Price index (1982-84=100) BLS
Western Region (U.S.)
U.S. - All Urban Consumers
U.S. - Urban Wage Earners
Price Indexes (1996=100) BEA
Gross Domestic Product
Personal Consumption Expenditures

% change versus year ago
for most recent:
quarter
4-quarters

I
2004

II
2004

III
2004

IV
2004

I
2005

190.8
186.3
181.9

193.0
188.9
184.5

193.2
189.6
185.1

194.8
190.7
186.4

195.8
191.9
187.4

2.6
3.0
3.0

2.6
3.0
3.0

107.3
106.9

108.2
107.7

108.6
108.0

109.2
108.7

109.9
109.3

2.4
2.3

2.3
2.3

See sources and abbreviations at the bottom of page 16. • For additional detail and history, subscribe to Arizona Economic Indicators Data Book.

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