CITIZENS FINANCIAL CONDITION REPORT MARICOPA COUNTY FISCAL YEAR 2010 Financial Highlights Our Fiscal Year (FY) 2010 Citizens Financial Condition Report highlights the financial strength of the County‟s General Fund within the context of severe financial challenges currently facing the national and local economies. Report highlights include: FY 2010 total revenues fell below FY 2006 levels. Maricopa County Internal Audit 301 W. Jefferson, Suite 660 Phoenix, AZ 85003 (602) 506-1585 www.maricopa.gov/internal_audit Conservative fiscal policies have guided spending and ensured expenditures did not exceed revenues. The General Fund unreserved fund balance remained healthy. Key County financial indicators compared very favorably to national benchmarks. County net assets, an indicator of long term financial health, continued to increase. In This Issue Funding for the County‟s primary employee retirement plan decreased slightly. Message From County Auditor...... 2 Maricopa County Basics ............... 3 Economic Outlook ......................... 4 General Fund Key Indicators ........ 5 Liquidity & Long Term Debt .......... 6 Revenues & Expenditures ............. 7 Revenues—Budget to Actual ........ 9 Property Taxes .............................. 10 About the Financial Condition Report The FY 2010 edition of the Maricopa County Citizens Financial Condition Report is based primarily on the County‟s FY 2010 Comprehensive Annual Financial Report issued December 2010 by the Department of Finance. This work provides information, trends, and comparisons on County financial topics including: Cash & Investments ...................... 11 Revenues and Expenditures Net Assets ...................................... 12 Cash and Investments Retirement Plans (ASRS) ............. 13 Long Term Debt and Liquidity Population and Unemployment ... 15 Methodology & Sources .............. 16 PAFR Award ................................. 17 MESSAGE FROM THE COUNTY AUDITOR January 28, 2011 Andrew Kunasek, Chairman, Board of Supervisors Fulton Brock, Supervisor, District I Don Stapley, Supervisor, District II Max Wilson, Supervisor, District IV Mary Rose Wilcox, Supervisor, District V We have completed the Fiscal Year (FY) 2010 edition of the Maricopa County Financial Condition Report based primarily on the County‟s FY 2010 Comprehensive Annual Financial Report issued in December 2010. This work, which is part of our Board-approved audit plan, provides important information on current and historical County financial trends. For FY 2010, we again highlight the financial strength of the County‟s General Fund. While national and local economies encountered severe financial challenges, the County (due to conservative fiscal policies) acted to maintain expenditures below falling revenues. The General Fund unreserved fund balance continued to grow. Expenditures per capita and long-term debt levels decreased. Key financial indicators compare very favorably to national benchmarks. In addition, we provide updated information on the County‟s primary pension plan. Public pension funds are experiencing severe fiscal challenges due to recent investment losses, high benefit payments, actuarial methods used in longevity projections, and insufficient employee and employer contribution rates. We would like to commend the Board of Supervisors and County leadership for the conservative fiscal policies that have led to the strong financial condition highlighted throughout this report. Sincerely, Ross L. Tate County Auditor The County Auditor reports directly to the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors, with an advisory reporting relationship to the Citizen‟s Audit Advisory Committee. The Mission of the Internal Audit Department is to provide objective information on the County‟s system of internal controls to the Board of Supervisors so they can make informed decision and protect the interests of the County Citizens Project Team Members Eve Murillo, CPA, MBA, CFE, ITIL, Deputy County Auditor Stella Fusaro, CIA, CGAP, CFE, CLEA, Audit Supervisor Scott Jarrett, CIA, CGAP, ITIL, CLEA, Associate Auditor Toni Sage, MBA, CLEA, Associate Auditor Maricopa County Internal Audit 2 FY 2010 Citizens Financial Condition Report MARICOPA COUNTY BASICS Maricopa County Maricopa County is located in the south-central area of the State of Arizona. Approximately 60% of the state‟s total population resides within the County, which includes the cities of Phoenix, Mesa, Tempe, Glendale, and Scottsdale. State of Arizona Maricopa County operates under a five member elected Board of Supervisors representing five districts divided geographically and by population to include a mix of urban and rural constituencies. Maricopa County Board of Supervisors Fulton Brock District Don Stapley District Andrew Kunasek District Max Wilson District Mary Rose Wilcox District 1 2 3 4 5 Financial (Source: Maricopa County FY10 CAFR) Population (Source: Maricopa County CAFR & U.S. Census Bureau) As of June 30, 2010, the elected County Treasurer held $3.7 billion in cash and investments on behalf of the County, special districts, and school districts. Maricopa County is home to 4 million people, the 4th largest population in the nation after Los Angeles County (CA), Cook County (Chicago, IL), and Harris County (Houston, TX). The County received $1.8 billion in revenue during FY 2010. The County‟s population grew by 950,964 from July 2000 to July 2009, the biggest population increase in the nation (2010 data unavailable). The unreserved General Fund balance exceeded $489 million in FY 2010, up $79 million from the previous year. Size (Source: Maricopa County FY10 CAFR & FY10 Adopted Budget) At 9,224 square miles, Maricopa County is larger than several states, including Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Rhode Island, as well as the District of Colombia. History (Source: Maricopa County website) Established in 1871, Maricopa was the fifth county to be formed in what was then the Arizona Territory. Maricopa County Internal Audit 3 FY 2010 Citizens Financial Condition Report ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Revenue Sources Continued to Decrease $900 Since FY 2007, three of the four major County revenue sources (state shared sales, vehicle license, and jail excise taxes) have experienced significant declines. Shown below are dollar and percentage declines since FY 2007. (in millions) $779 $748 $145 $138 $600 $153 $647 $618 $117 $107 $135 $125 $149 $481 $461 $300 $395 $386 $- Jail Excise: $ 38 million 26% Vehicle License: $ 29 million 19% State Shared Sales: $ 94 million 20% Total decline: FY07 FY08 FY09 $161 million FY10 SOURCE: “Tax Revenues by Source” (Statistical Section Maricopa County CAFRs) Assessed value in billions With the current decline in Maricopa County housing values, property tax revenues could also see declines starting in FY 2011 if tax rates are not increased. Property Tax Revenues May Decline Gen. property tax in millions Property tax revenues continued to increase during the current recession, offsetting the other revenue declines shown above. However, there is a two year lag between the time property values are assessed and when the County Assessor‟s valuations are used to set the tax rate. Assessed Value Budget Estimates FY11 FY12 FY13 SOURCE: “Tax Revenues by Source” (Statistical Section Maricopa County CAFRs) & OMB Budget Documents Staffing Levels Decrease County Population Staffing (In millions) (In thousands) 4.2 4.0 million 15 4.0 3.8 14 3.6 13,647 thousand 3.4 13 Conservative budget strategies kept the County financially healthy despite Arizona‟s economic turmoil. To offset revenue declines, the County: Capital Outlay Slowed (In millions) $300 $301 $279 $220 Maintained a hiring freeze and reduced staffing (left) $200 Canceled or delayed most capital improvements (right) $100 $212 3.2 3.0 $- 12 FY08 FY09 FY07 FY10 FY09 FY10 SOURCE: Maricopa County CAFRs SOURCE: Maricopa County CAFRs & U.S. Census Bureau Reports Maricopa County Internal Audit FY08 4 FY 2010 Citizens Financial Condition Report GENERAL FUND KEY INDICATORS Unreserved General Fund Balance Increased $600 (in millions) $540 $500 $512 The Unreserved General Fund Balance $489 $445 $428 $410 $400 $289 $300 $200 $316 $249 $157 $100 $- SOURCE: “Governmental Funds Balance Sheet” (Maricopa County CAFRs) The Unreserved General Fund Balance represents funds available to meet current and future financial needs. A significant portion is designated for various purposes including covering the self-insured benefit program and smoothing fluctuations in tax collection cycles. During FY 2010 the unreserved fund balance increased nearly $79 million (19%). The increase is due to general fund revenues exceeding expenditures. Expenditure reductions can be attributed to budget balancing initiatives and receiving $78 million in Federal Medical Assistance Percentages stimulus monies that reduced some health, welfare, and sanitation expenses. Conservative budget strategies and revenue estimates have resulted in a healthy fund balance. However, weaknesses in the local economy may reduce the fund balance if revenues continue to decrease. General Fund Balance as a Percent of Revenues For over ten years, Maricopa County‟s General Fund has maintained a healthy fund balance in relation to revenues, and surpassed the national benchmark average (see page 16 for a list of benchmark counties). This graph reflects the availability of financial reserves to meet unforeseen needs. Credit rating agencies review the health of a government‟s unreserved fund balance when assessing credit worthiness. Maricopa County‟s high percentage of unreserved General Fund balance, when compared to revenues, could lower the County‟s cost of borrowing money. Fund Balance Compares Well to Benchmarks 50% 45% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 22% 20% 15% 14% 16% 10% 5% The General Fund is the primary operating fund used to account for all financial resources not required to be accounted for in other funds. Maricopa County Internal Audit Maricopa County Avg of 10 Benchmark Counties SOURCE: “Balance Sheet and Statement of Revenues, Expenditures, and Changes in Fund Balances Governmental Funds” (Maricopa & Benchmark County CAFRs) 5 FY 2010 Citizens Financial Condition Report LIQUIDITY & LONG TERM DEBT Liquidity Continued to Increase General Fund Liquidity Ratio 19.3 20.0 15.0 14.3 10.0 5.0 1.7 2.6 The liquidity ratio is a measure of the County‟s ability to pay current obligations, comparing assets to liabilities. Maricopa County continues to significantly outperform the national benchmark average with a liquidity ratio of almost 19-to-1. This means that $19.30 is available in cash for every $1 in current liabilities. 0.0 Maricopa Avg of 10 Benchmark Counties SOURCE: Audit Analysis of “Governmental Funds Balance Sheet” (Maricopa & Benchmark CAFRs) Long Term Debt Maricopa County has extremely low debt levels compared to the national benchmark average. The County‟s low debt is the result of a conservative “pay-as-you-go” policy. In FY 2010, the County‟s longterm debt was less than $90 per person. Long Term Debt Per Person Is Low Compared to Benchmarks $1,500 $1,352 $1,200 $900 $754 $656 $590 $600 $343 $415 $760 $776 $667 $472 $300 $85 $0 SOURCE: Maricopa County LTD for Governmental Activities “Note 13— Long Term Liabilities,” Benchmark CAFRs & Internal Audit Analysis Maricopa County Internal Audit 6 FY 2010 Citizens Financial Condition Report REVENUES & EXPENDITURES Sources of County Funds (in millions) Intergovernmental (State Shared Sales Tax, Vehicle License Tax, Grants) County Generated Taxes (Property Tax, Jail Excise Tax, & other small tax sources) The majority of the County‟s Governmental Fund revenues come from intergovernmental sources (44%) and taxes (40%). $773 $717 Intergovernmental revenues are funds received from federal, state, and other local government sources in the form of shared revenues, grants, and payments Fines, Forfeits, in lieu of taxes. County-generated tax revenues such as property, jail excise, and other small tax sources, accounted for 40% of the County‟s total governmental revenue. 44% 40% 10% & Special Assessments $40 (2%) Licenses & Permits $38 (2%) $35 (2%) Miscellaneous $177 Charges for Service SOURCE: “Statement of Revenues, Expenditures, & Changes in Fund Balances Governmental Funds” (Maricopa County FY10 CAFR) Expenditures Cut to Match Revenues (in millions) Revenues Expenditures $2,015 $2,000 $1,873 $1,853 $1,919 $1,841 $1,819 $1,815 $1,646 $1,781 $1,687 $1,500 $1,000 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 In FY 2010, Governmental revenues decreased by $39 million to $1.78 billion, dropping below FY 2006 amounts. This was due to a decrease in jail excise taxes of $10 million, reduced distributions from the State of Arizona for vehicle license and shared sales taxes of $10 million and $9 million, and decreases in various other revenue sources. However, additional property taxes of $40 million helped offset some revenue decreases. To match revenue decreases, the County reduced expenditures by more than $128 million (more detail on page 8). SOURCE: “Statement of Revenues, Expenditures, & Changes in Fund Balances Governmental Funds” (Maricopa County CAFRs) Uses of County Funds (in millions) Highway & Streets Nearly 70% of FY 2010 Governmental Fund expenditures were for public safety (49%) and health and welfare (19%), with the remaining amount for general government (12%), capital outlay (13%), highways (3%), and other uses (4%). General government consists of a broad range of legally mandated services including elections, property assessment, revenue and expenditure accountability, and legal representation for the County. $53, 3% General Govt. Other Public Safety $61, 4% $825 49% 12% 13% 19% $209 Capital Outlay $212 Health, Welfare, & Sanitation $327 SOURCE: “Statement of Revenues, Expenditures, & Changes in Fund Balances Governmental Funds” (Maricopa County FY10 CAFR) Maricopa County Internal Audit 7 FY 2010 Citizens Financial Condition Report REVENUE & EXPENDITURES Most County Expenditures Decreased (FY 2008—FY 2010) (in millions) $900 FY08 FY09 FY10 $600 $300 $0 Public Safety Health, Welfare and Sanitation Capital Outlay General Government Highway & Streets Other SOURCE: “Statement of Revenues, Expenditures, and Changes in Fund Balances Governmental Funds” (Maricopa County CAFRs) Changes in Expenditures by Category Since FY 2008, Governmental Fund expenditures decreased by $154 million (8%). Significant decreases occurred in capital outlay (decreasing $67 million or 24%), and health, welfare, and sanitation (decreasing $52 million or 14%). The capital outlay decreases were due to the completion of several capital projects and to a capital purchasing freeze. Decreases in health, welfare, and sanitation resulted from receiving $78.1 million in Federal Medical Assistance Percentages (FMAP) stimulus funds which reduced the County‟s contributions to Arizona‟s Long Term Care System (ALTCS) and Medicaid program (AHCCCS). The future of FMAP stimulus funds is uncertain which may cause County health, welfare, and sanitation expenditures to increase. Increases in general government are due to $9 million in American Recovery and Reinvestment Act related expenditures, $19 million for anticipated legal claims, and a $19 million payment to help the State as part of its 2010 budget- balancing initiatives. Expenditures Per Person Decreased Expenditures Per Person (adjusted for inflation) $1,074 $1,026 $1,000 For FY 2010, Maricopa County‟s $419 expenditures per person were $44 dollars, or 9%, below the County‟s eight-year average of $463 per person. $600 $483 $419 $200 FY03 Similar to the national benchmarks, Maricopa County governmental expenditures per person remained consistent over the past eight years. FY04 FY05 FY06 Benchmark Average FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 Maricopa County SOURCE: Audit Analysis of “Changes in Fund Balances, Governmental Funds” & “Population statistics” ( Statistical Section Maricopa County & Benchmark CAFRs) Maricopa County Internal Audit 8 Governmental Funds are comprised of the general, special revenue (legally restricted for specified purposes), debt service and capital project funds. FY 2010 Citizens Financial Condition Report REVENUES—BUDGET TO ACTUAL Sales Taxes Exceed Budget Estimates $65 State Share Sales Tax—Budget Variance $50 (in millions) $45 $22 $25 $23 $18 $6 $5 -$15 $(5) FY 2010 actual sales tax revenues exceeded budgeted amounts by nearly $18 million. This was most likely due to a conservative budget projection for a 19.7% decrease. The average increase over the previous ten years was 3.9%. $(11) $(16) -$35 $(36) -$55 $(64) -$75 Sales tax revenues can be difficult to predict, as they are subject to volatile economic forces. SOURCE: “Tax Revenues by Source” (Statistical Section Maricopa County CAFRs) & Adopted Budgets Vehicle License Taxes Fall Short of Budget $15 $10 $6 $7 $6 $5 Vehicle License Tax—Budget Variance $13 (in millions) $5 $2 $(.07) $(4) $0 $(2) -$5 -$10 $(12) -$15 SOURCE: “Tax Revenues by Source” (Statistical Section Maricopa County CAFRs) & Adopted Budgets $15 Property Taxes Exceed Budget Estimates (in millions) $10 $5 $10 $7 $11 $9 $8 $5 $0 $(.6) $(.6) -$5 -$10 $(3) $(8) Vehicle License Tax (VLT) revenues can be difficult to predict since citizens can pay the tax for one or two years. VLT revenues have suffered as a result of the economic downturn. In FY 2010, actual VLT revenues fell short of the original budget by nearly $2 million, or 1.6%, despite the conservative projection of a 14% decrease from FY 2009 totals. The average increase over the previous ten years was 5.1%. Property Tax—Budget Variance Property tax revenues are typically more predictable, and are therefore easier to budget, than state-shared sales and vehicle license taxes. In FY 2010, property tax collections fell short of budget by nearly $1 million. However, revenues from tax penalties and interest exceeded budget by more than $8 million, resulting in total property tax revenues exceeding budget. SOURCE: “Tax Revenues by Source” (Statistical Section Maricopa County CAFRs) & Adopted Budgets Maricopa County Internal Audit 9 FY 2010 Citizens Financial Condition Report PROPERTY TAXES Property taxes are major source of revenue for local governments in Maricopa County. The total FY 2010 allocation of property taxes for Maricopa County, school districts, cities, and towns was $4.6 billion. Use of Property Tax Dollars Cities/Towns/Special Districts Maricopa County $864 Million $588 Million 19% See below for how the typical Maricopa County property tax dollar is spent: 13% 68% Schools & Education $3,135 Million SOURCE: Department of Finance Property Tax Levy Reports Tax Rates Reduced as Assessed Values Rise The Maricopa County Board of Supervisors has lowered property tax rates every year since FY 2004. Even with lower tax rates, increases in assessed property values resulted in property taxes remaining a reliable source of revenue during the economic downturn. However, as shown on page four, assessed values are projected to decline, placing downward pressure on future property tax revenues. Schools $ 0.68 Cities and Towns $ 0.14 County $ 0.13 Special Districts $ 0.05 Total $ 1.00 Assessed Property Values (in billions) County Direct Property Tax Rate $60 $60 2.0% $58 $40 1.47% 1.5% $30 $20 1.16% $- 1.0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 SOURCE: “Assessed Value & Estimated Market Value of Taxable Property” (Statistical Section Maricopa County CAFRs) Property Tax Delinquency Rate Increased 5% Unpaid property taxes for Maricopa County reached their highest level since 1995 when the delinquency rate was 4.6%. Maricopa County‟s FY 2010 delinquency rate of 4.34% surpassed the benchmark average of 3.75%. 4% 3% 2% 1% Uncollected property taxes negatively impacted the County‟s operating revenues; over $25 million in levied property taxes were not collected in FY 2010. 0% 4.47% 4.34% 3.64% 3.75% 2.61% 3.19% 2.37% Maricopa County Delinquency Rate Benchmark Average SOURCE: “Property Tax Levies and Collections” (Statistical Section Maricopa County & Benchmark CAFRs) Maricopa County Internal Audit 10 FY 2010 Citizens Financial Condition Report CASH & INVESTMENTS Cash and Investments Increased Slightly Cash and Investments (in billions) $4.0 $3.9 $3.7 $3.0 $3.6 $3.7 FY09 FY10 $3.1 $2.7 $2.0 $2.2 The County Treasurer pools deposits for the County, school districts, and special districts. Total cash and investments held by the Treasurer increased slightly to $3.7 billion in FY 2010. $1.0 $FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 SOURCE: “Note 6—Deposit and Investments” (Maricopa County CAFRs) Investment Strategy and Returns Investment Returns Continued to Fall 8% Cash is invested under a strategy giving highest priority to: 6.17% 6% 4.69% Safety of principal 4.45% Sufficient liquidity to meet County needs 4% 4.08% 2.60% 2% 1.71% Return on investment 3.13% 3.00% 2.42% Investment returns fell to 1.18% in FY 2010 due to poor bond market earnings. Bonds are one of the County‟s primary investments. 1.18% 0% FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 SOURCE: Maricopa County Treasurer Non-County Funds Fund Ownership County General Fund $425 Million $2.2 Billion 12% Non-County Funds: Arizona statutes require community colleges, school districts, and other local governments to deposit certain public monies with the County Treasurer. These deposits represent 58% of the total funds held with the Treasurer. 58% 30% County Funds: $1.5 billion, or 42% of the $3.7 billion held by the Treasurer as of June 30, 2010, were County funds. $1.1 Billion SOURCE: “Balance Sheet”, “Note 6—Deposit and Investments” (Maricopa County FY10 CAFR), & Internal Audit Analysis Maricopa County Internal Audit 11 Other County Funds FY 2010 Citizens Financial Condition Report NET ASSETS As of June 30 2010, the County‟s assets exceeded liabilities by more than $4.3 billion (net assets). The increase in total net assets over time indicates the County‟s financial condition improved. Total net assets increased 43% from FY 2005 to FY 2010. Total Net Assets Continued to Increase $4 (in billions) $4.3 $3.3 $3 $3.6 $3.8 $4.0 $3.0 $2 $1 $0 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 SOURCE: “Statement of Net Assets” (Maricopa County CAFRs) Net Asset Composition Net assets have three components: (1) Investments in capital assets, net of related debt (such as land, building, machinery, and equipment) (2) Restricted net assets (assets that are subject to external restrictions on how they may be used) (3) Unrestricted net assets (assets not subject to external restrictions on how they may be used) Over 66% of County FY 2010 net assets are invested in capital assets (net of related debt), 14% are restricted (primarily for public safety and highways and streets functions), and 20% are unrestricted (can be used to meet the County‟s ongoing obligations). Composition of Net Assets Restricted (in millions) $601.2 Million 14% Invested in Capital Assets $2,851.1 Million 66% 20% Unrestricted $848.6 Million SOURCE: “Statement of Net Assets” (Maricopa County FY10 CAFR) Maricopa County Internal Audit 12 FY 2010 Citizens Financial Condition Report RETIREMENT PLANS The County contributes to four retirement plans, as noted in the FY 2010 CAFR (page 64). Because 69% of County employees (8,707 out of 12,655) contribute to the Arizona State Retirement System (ASRS), these pages focus on ASRS. Funded Status Defined The most recognized measure of a retirement plan‟s health is its funding ratio, derived by dividing the actuarial value of plan net assets by the present value of accrued liabilities (projected future retirement payments). A pension plan whose assets equal its liabilities is 100% funded, or fully funded. A plan with assets that are less than its liabilities is considered to be underfunded. The dollar difference between plan assets and accrued liabilities is the unfunded actuarial accrued liability (UAAL), which is a common measure of a pension plan‟s financial condition. Methods used to value assets and liabilities can be complex and vary from plan to plan, making direct comparisons among plans difficult. This report shows the funding ratios based on the actuarial value of assets. The amount of accrued liabilities depends on the assumptions and cost method. Actual calculations are very technical in nature and are outside the scope of this report. It is noted, however, that ASRS discounts future benefits at 8.0% per year. Retirement Funding Status Retirement Funding Ratio Weakens Based on FY 2010 ASRS actuary reports, the UAAL grew over $1.4 billion, or 18.3%, to $8.7 billion, as of June 30, 2010. 130.0% This increase was largely due to delayed recognition of losses that occurred in FYs 2002, 2003, 2008 and 2009. As a result, the funded status of the total plan decreased from 79.3% in FY 2009 to 76.7% in FY 2010. According to a 2008 U.S. Government Accountability Office report on government pension plans, many experts believe an 80% funding ratio is sufficient. SURPLUS: FY00 $3.6 Billion DEFICIT: FY 2010 - 8.7 Billion 120% 120.0% 110.0% 100.0% 90.0% FULLY FUNDED (above the line) UNDERFUNDED (below the line) 79% 77% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% SOURCE: ASRS CAFRs and annual actuarial reports Retirement Contributions to ASRS Have Decreased $50 (In Millions) Millions $43 $46 $42 $40 $32 $30 $30 $39 $26 $11 County pension plan contributions to ASRS decreased 5.8% from FY 2009 to FY 2010. The decrease is attributed to fewer plan participants. From FY 2009 to FY 2010, the number of participants decreased 3.1% from 8,983 to 8,707 due to a FY 2009 reduction in force and hiring freeze. $20 $11 County Contributions $12 $10 $FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 SOURCE: ASRS CAFRs Maricopa County Internal Audit 13 FY 2010 Citizens Financial Condition Report RETIREMENT PLANS Employee Contributions U.S. Contribution Rate Comparison According to the Government Accountability Office, government employees generally make contributions to fund pension benefits, unlike private sector employees. 10% 8% 5% 6% The Center for Retirement Research at Boston College said, unlike “the private sector, public sector defined benefit plans are not financed entirely by the employer. Public plans tend to rely more heavily on employee contributions, invest slightly more aggressively, and be about as well funded as their private sector counterparts.” 8% 7% 4% 2% 0% 0% Public Sector Employer Private Sector Employee SOURCE: Center for Retirement Research at Boston College, 2008 Ways to Make A Retirement Fund Sustainable The Government Finance Officer‟s Association (GFOA) recommends the following practices be avoided to limit the risk of under funding pension plans and imposing burdens on future stakeholders. ASRS PENSION REPORT CARD Practices that could undermine a pension plan’s sustainability Practice to be Avoided ASRS Practice Status Delaying or Skipping payments State law requires annual contributions PASS Spiking Pension Payouts ASRS limits methods used to spike payments PASS Early Retirements Retirement eligibility age increased for new members PASS No Employee Contributions Employees pay 50%, currently 9.85% of their pay, which will rise to 10.75% on July 1, 2011. PASS Unfunded Cost of Living Adjustments Adjustments are only paid if there are “Excess Investment Earnings,” the last was in 2005 and none are planned PASS Unrealistic Investment Assumptions Investment assumptions are actuarially determined PASS Deferred Retirement Option Plan In FY 2010 this option was eliminated PASS Retroactive Benefit Increases No retroactive increases since FY 2000 when the payment multiplier increased slightly from 2% to 2.1%. PASS SOURCE: GFOA Advisory: “Responsible Management and Design Practices for Defined Benefit Pension Plans (2010),” ASRS CAFRs, & Title 38 of the Arizona Revised Statutes Maricopa County Internal Audit 14 FY 2010 Citizens Financial Condition Report POPULATION & UNEMPLOYMENT Maricopa County’s Population is 4th Largest in Nation 12,000,000 Population Maricopa County has been ranked the fourth most populous of all 3,143 counties in the nation. 9,848,011 10,000,000 8,000,000 5,287,037 6,000,000 4,070,989 4,023,132 4,000,000 3,053,793 2,000,000 0 Los Angeles County, CA Cook County, IL Harris County, Maricopa County,San Diego County, TX AZ CA SOURCE: 2009 U.S. Census Bureau Reports (2009 is the most recent report) Maricopa County’s Population Growth is Fastest in Nation Population Growth 950,964 In addition to adding nearly 65,000 people from July 2008 to July 2009, Maricopa County gained 950,964 residents from April 2000 to July 2009, more than any other county in the nation. 670,399 580,066 527,096 343,670 Maricopa County, AZ Harris County, TX Riverside County, CA Clark County, NV Tarrant County, TX SOURCE: 2009 U.S. Census Bureau Reports Unemployment Rates Increased Unemployment Maricopa County„s unemployment rate continues to remain below national and Arizona averages. However, since 2007 the national, Arizona, and Maricopa County unemployment rates have increased significantly. In 2010, Maricopa County‟s unemployment rate was 8.6%, a significant increase over 2007‟s rate of 2.9%. 10.0% Maricopa County FY 10 Rate—8.6% 8.0% State of Arizona FY 10 Rate—9.6% United States FY 10 Rate—9.5% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 SOURCE: “Demographic & Economic Statistics” (Statistical Section, Maricopa County CAFRs) Maricopa County Internal Audit 15 FY 2010 Citizens Financial Condition Report METHODOLOGY & SOURCES Definition Financial Condition is defined as a local government‟s ability to finance services on a continuing basis. A county in good financial condition can sustain existing services to the public, withstand economic downturns, and meet the demands of changing service needs. Objective, Scope, and Methodology The objective of this report is to evaluate Maricopa County‟s financial condition using key financial indicators. Indicators were selected from authoritative sources on evaluating governmental entity financial condition, and were judged to be the most indicative of a county‟s overall financial health. Our primary information sources were the audited Comprehensive Annual Financial Reports (CAFR) issued by ten national benchmark counties and Maricopa County. Our analysis did not include the Housing Authority a component unit and the non-major governmental funds. Below are the benchmark counties that were used in this report. National Benchmarks County Population Major Metro Area  Clark 1,902,834 Las Vegas, Nevada  Harris 4,070,989 Houston, Texas  King 1,916,441 Seattle, Washington  Los Angeles 9,848,011 Los Angeles, California  Multnomah 726,855 Portland, Oregon  Orange 3,026,786 Santa Ana/Anaheim, California  Pima 1,020,200 Tucson, Arizona  Salt Lake 1,034,989 Salt Lake City, Utah  San Diego 3,053,793 San Diego, California  Santa Clara 1,784,642 San Jose, California SOURCE: 2009 U.S. Census Bureau Reports Other sources include Arizona State Retirement System (ASRS) CAFRs and actuarial reports, the U.S. Census Bureau, Governmental Accounting Standards Board, the International City/County Managers Association, Maricopa County‟s Strategic Plans (budgetary documents), ASRS investment committee documents, Arizona State Auditor General Reports, and correspondence with internal and external staff. Trend analysis is used in this report. Trend analysis involves examining historical data. Adjustments for inflation were made according to the “U.S. Consumer Price Index—All Items.” Maricopa County CAFR Maricopa County‟s 2010 CAFR and prior year CAFRs are available by visiting the Maricopa County Department of Finance website at: http://www.maricopa.gov/Finance/CAFR.aspx. Maricopa County Internal Audit 16 FY 2010 Citizens Financial Condition Report PAFR AWARD Outstanding Achievement Award The Government Finance Officers Association of the United States and Canada (GFOA) has given an Award for Outstanding Achievement in Popular Annual Financial Reporting to Maricopa County for its Popular Annual Financial Report for the fiscal year ended June, 30, 2009. The Award for Outstanding Achievement in Popular Annual Financial reporting is a prestigious national award recognizing conformance with the highest standards for preparation of state and local government popular reports. In order to receive an Award for Outstanding Achievement in Popular Annual Financial Reporting, a government unit must publish a Popular Annual Financial Report, whose contents conform to program standards of creativity, presentation, understandability, and reader appeal. An Award for Outstanding Achievement in Popular Annual Financial Reporting is valid for a period of one year only. We believe our current report continues to conform to the Popular Annual Financial reporting requirements, and we are submitting it to GFOA. Report Photos Cover: Mountain butte (top right) taken at Superstition Mountains, Lost Dutchman‟s State Park. Desert lake (bottom left) taken at Saguaro Lake. Both locations are close to the borders of Maricopa and Gila Counties. Saguaro sunset (left) taken at Superstition Mountains, Lost Dutchman‟s State Park. All landscape photos taken by Marcus Reinkensmeyer. Maricopa County Internal Audit 17 FY 2010 Citizens Financial Condition Report