2006 Arizona Youth Survey Apache County REPORT PROVIDED BY: Arizona Criminal Justice Commission 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Shining Light on Arizona Youth THIS REPORT IS PROVIDED BY THE Arizona Criminal Justice Commission IN PARTNERSHIP WITH: Administrative Office of the Courts Arizona Department of Education Arizona Department of Health Services Arizona Department of Juvenile Corrections Arizona Juvenile Justice Commission Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Arizona State University Governor’s Division for Substance Abuse Policy Governor’s Office for Children, Youth, and Families 2 Introduction 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Summary for CONTENTS: the gender and ethnicity categories will often be less than the total number of students. Introduction: • Demographics • Risk & Protective Framework Apache County This report summarizes some of the county-specific findings from the 2006 Arizona Youth Survey administered to 8th, 10th and 12th grade students during the spring of 2006. The survey was designed to assess school safety, adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention Tools for Assessment and Planning How to Read the Charts Data Charts: • Risk & Protective Factor Profiles • Substance Use & Antisocial Behavior • School Safety All schools in Arizona are invited to participate in the survey, and recruitment efforts were successful in obtaining participation by schools in all of the 15 counties. Careful planning and uniform administration of the survey have resulted in survey data that are valid and representative of the students in grades 8, 10, and 12 in Arizona. Risk and Protective Factor Definitions Data Tables Contacts for Prevention Table 1 contains the characteristics of the students who completed the survey in Apache County and the State. Because not all students answer all of the questions, the number of students in Table 1. Characteristics of Participants Student Totals County 2002 Total Students Grade 8 10 12 Gender Male Female Ethnicity African American American Indian Asian Hispanic Pacific Islander White Other County 2004 County 2006 Number Percent Number Percent Number 412 100 689 100 146 35.4 309 81 19.7 215 185 44.9 219 186 Percent State 2006 Number Percent 871 100 60401 100 44.8 357 41.0 26872 44.5 31.2 283 32.5 19581 32.4 165 23.9 231 26.5 13948 23.1 54.1 327 48.2 424 49.4 28381 48.2 45.9 351 51.8 435 50.6 30505 51.8 1 0.3 0 0.0 6 0.7 2592 4.4 241 60.6 650 96.4 695 82.3 3394 5.8 0.1 1341 2.3 3.2 21376 36.5 3 0.8 0 0.0 1 45 11.3 4 0.6 27 0 0.0 1 108 27.1 20 3.0 96 n/a n/a n/a n/a 18 * * 457 0.8 11.4 26761 0.1 45.7 2.1 * Pacific Islander was grouped with Asian in 2002 3 2696 4.6 Many states and local agencies have adopted the Risk and Protective Factor Model to guide their prevention efforts. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention is based on the simple premise that to prevent a problem from happening, we need to identify the factors that increase the risk of that problem developing and then find ways to reduce the risks. Just as medical researchers have found risk factors for heart disease such as diets high in fat, lack of exercise, and smoking; a team of researchers at the University of Washington have defined a set of risk factors for youth problem behaviors. Risk factors are characteristics of school, community, and family environments, as well as characteristics of students and their peer groups that are known to predict increased likelihood of drug use, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violent behavior among youth. Protective factors exert a positive influence or buffer against the negative influence of risk, thus reducing the likelihood that adolescents will engage in problem behaviors. Dr. J. David Hawkins, Dr. Richard F. Catalano, and their colleagues at the University of Washington, Social Development Research Group have investigated the relationship between risk and protective factors and youth problem behavior. For example, they have found that children who live in families with high levels of conflict are more likely to become involved in problem behaviors such as delinquency and drug use than children who live in families with low levels of family conflict. 2006 Prevention Needs Assessment Risk and Protective Factors The chart at the right shows the links between the 19 risk factors and the five problem behaviors. The check marks have been placed in the chart to indicate where at least two well designed, published research studies have shown a link between the risk factor and the problem behavior. 9 9 Community laws and norms favorable toward drug use, firearms and crime 9 9 9 Transitions and mobility 9 9 Low neighborhood attachment and community disorganization 9 9 Extreme economic and social deprivation 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Academic failure in elementary school 9 9 9 9 9 Lack of commitment to school 9 9 9 9 9 Early and persistent antisocial behavior 9 9 9 9 9 Alienation and rebelliousness 9 9 Friends who engage in the problem behavior 9 9 Gang involvement 9 9 Favorable attitudes toward the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Early initiation of the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Constitutional factors 9 9 Violence 9 School Drop-Out Availability of drugs and firearms RISK FACTORS Teen Pregnancy Delinquency Risk- and protective-focused drug abuse prevention is also based on the work of Hawkins, Catalano, and their team of researchers at the University of Washington in Seattle. Beginning in the early 1980s the group researched adolescent problem behaviors and identified risk factors for adolescent drug abuse. Not surprisingly, they found that a relationship exists between adolescent drug abuse, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violence, and were able to identify risk factors for these problems. PROBLEM BEHAVIORS Substance Abuse Research on risk and protective factors has important implications for prevention efforts. The premise of this approach is that in order to promote positive youth development and prevent problem behaviors, it is necessary to address those factors that can lead to the problem. By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, specific risk factors that are elevated and widespread can be identified and targeted by preventive interventions that also promote related protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as an elevated risk factor in a community, then mentoring and tutoring interventions can be provided that will improve academic performance, thus reducing the level of the risk factors and decreasing the likelihood of problem behavior. Community 9 Media portrayals of violence 9 9 Family Family history of the problem behavior Family management problems Family conflict Favorable parental attitudes and involvement in the problem behavior 9 School Individual/Peer 4 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 The Arizona Youth Survey as a Tool for Building a Strategic Prevention Framework The Prevention Needs Assessment Survey is an important part of the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) Strategic Prevention Framework Process. CSAP created this 5-step model to guide states and communities through the process of creating planned, data-driven, effective, and sustainable prevention programming. The information presented in this section is taken from CSAP’s Strategic Prevention Framework State Incentive Grant description. Step 1: Profile Population Needs, Resources, and Readiness to Address the Problems and Gaps in Service Delivery • • Community Needs Assessment: The results of this survey (presented in this Profile Report and in results reported at the State level) will identify needs for prevention. States should consider administering a survey to assess adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior, and many of the risk and protective factors that predict adolescent problem behaviors. While planning prevention services, communities are urged to collect and use multiple data sources, including archival and social indicators, assessment of existing resources, key informant interviews, as well as survey data. Community Resource Assessment: It is likely that existing agencies and programs are already addressing some of the prioritized risk and protective factors. It is important to identify the assets and resources already available in the community and the gaps in services and capacity. Community Readiness Assessment: It is very important for states and communities to have the commitment and support of their members and ample resources to implement effective prevention efforts. Therefore, the readiness and capacity of communities and resources to act should also be assessed. Step 2: Mobilize and/or Build Capacity to Address Needs: Engagement of key stakeholders at the state and community levels is critical to plan and implement successful prevention activities that will be sustained over time. Some of the key tasks to mobilize the state and communities are to work with leaders and stakeholders to build coalitions, provide training, leverage resources, and help sustain prevention activities. Step 3: Develop a Comprehensive Strategic Plan: States and communities should develop a strategic plan that articulates not only a vision for the prevention activities, but also strategies for organizing and implementing prevention efforts. The strategic plan should be based on documented needs, build on identified resources/strengths, set measurable objectives, and identify how progress will be monitored. Plans should be adjusted with ongoing needs assessment and monitoring activities. The issue of sustainability should be kept in mind throughout each step of planning and implementation. Step 4: Implement Evidence-based Prevention Programs and Infrastructure Development Activities: By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, prevention programs can be implemented that will reduce the elevated risk factors and increase the protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as a prioritized risk factor in a community, then mentoring, tutoring, and increased opportunities and rewards for classroom participation can be provided to improve academic performance. After completing Steps 1, 2, and 3, communities will be able to choose prevention programs that fit the Strategic Framework of the community, match the population served, and are scientifically proven to work. The Western Center for the Application of Prevention Technology website (www.westcapt.org) contains a search engine for identifying Best Practice Programs. Step 5: Monitor Process, Evaluate Effectiveness, Sustain Effective Programs/Activities, and Improve or Replace Those That Fail: Finally, ongoing monitoring and evaluation are essential to determine if the outcomes desired are achieved and to assess program effectiveness, assess service delivery quality, identify successes, encourage needed improvement, and promote sustainability of effective policies, programs, and practices. 5 Tools for Assessment and Planning School and Community Improvement Using Survey Data Why the Arizona Youth Survey? Data from the Arizona Youth Survey can be used to help school and community planners assess current conditions and prioritize areas of greatest need. Each risk and protective factor can be linked to specific types of interventions that have been shown to be effective in either reducing risk(s) or enhancing protection(s). The steps outlined here will help your county and community make key decisions regarding allocation of resources, how and when to address specific needs, and which strategies are most effective and known to produce results. What are the numbers telling you? Review the charts and data tables presented in this report. Using the table below, note your findings as you discuss the following questions. • Which 3-5 risk factors appear to be higher than you would want? • Which 3-5 protective factors appear to be lower than you would want? • Which levels of 30-day drug use are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which substances are your students using the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable usage levels? • Which levels of antisocial behaviors are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which behaviors are your students exhibiting the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable behavior levels? How to decide if a rate is “unacceptable.” • • • Use these data for planning. • • • MEASURE Look across the charts – which items stand out as either much higher or much lower than the other? Compare your data with statewide, and national data – differences of 5% between local and other data are probably significant. Determine the standards and values held within your community – For example: Is it acceptable in your community for a percentage of high school students to drink alcohol regularly as long as that percentage is lower than the overall state rate? Substance use and antisocial behavior data – raise awareness about the problems and promote dialogue. Risk and protective factor data – identify exactly where the community needs to take action. Promising approaches – talk with resources listed on the last page of this report for ideas about programs that have proven effective in addressing the risk factors that are high in your community, and improving the protective factors that are low. Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate #1 #2 #3 #4 Risk Factors Protective Factors Substance Use Antisocial Behaviors 6 Practical Implications of the AYS No Child Left Behind The Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities section of the No Child Left Behind Act (NCLB) requires that schools and communities use six Principles of Effectiveness to guide their decisions and spending on federally funded prevention and intervention programs. First introduced in 1998 by the Department of Education, the Principles of Effectiveness outline a data-driven process for ensuring that prevention programs achieve the desired results. The Principles of Effectiveness stipulate that local prevention programs and activities must: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. be based on a needs assessment using objective data regarding the incidence of drug use and violence, target specific performance objectives, be based on scientific research and be proven to reduce violence or drug use, be based on the analysis of predictor variables such as risk and protective factors, include meaningful and on-going parental input in program implementation, and have periodic evaluations of established performance measures. The results of the Arizona Youth Survey presented in this report can help schools and communities comply with the NCLB Act. The Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior charts provide information related to Principle 1 above. The Risk and Protective Factor charts provide information related to Principle 4. Overall, using the Risk and Protective factors planning framework helps schools meet all of the Principles of Effectiveness, and thereby assists schools in complying with the NCLB Act. How to Read the Charts: Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts There are four types of charts presented in this report: 1) substance use and antisocial behavior charts, 2) risk factor charts, 3) protective factor charts, and 4) school safety charts. All the charts show the results of the AYS, and the actual percentages from the charts are presented in Tables 3 through 10. • 30-day use is a measure of the percentage of students who used the substance at least once in the 30 days prior to taking the survey and is a more sensitive indicator of the level of current use of the substance. • Binge drinking and a Pack or more of cigarettes per day are measures of heavy use of alcohol and tobacco. Binge drinking is defined as having five or more drinks in a row during the two weeks prior to taking the survey. • Antisocial behavior (ASB) is a measure of the percentage of students who report any involvement with the eight antisocial behaviors listed in the charts in the past year. In the charts, antisocial behavior will often be abbreviated as ASB. • Dots are used on the charts to show the overall average of all of the youth in each grade who participated in the survey for each behavior. More information about the dots is contained on the following page. Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts This report contains information about alcohol, tobacco and other drug use (referred to as ATOD use throughout this report) and other problem behaviors of students. The bars on each chart represent the percentage of students in that grade who reported the behavior. The four sections in the charts represent different types of problem behaviors. The definitions of each of the types of behavior are provided below. • Ever-used is a measure of the percentage of students who tried the particular substance at least once in their lifetime and is used to show the percentage of students who have had experience with a particular substance. 7 How to Read the Charts: Risk and Protective Factor and School Safety Charts Risk and Protective Factor Charts There are three components of the risk and protective factor charts that are key to understanding the information that the charts contain: 1) the cutpoints for the risk and protective factor scales, 2) the dots that indicate the state values, and 3) the dashed lines that indicate a more “national” value. the progress of prevention programs over time. For example, if the percentage of youth at risk for family conflict in a community prior to implementing a community-wide family/parenting program was 60% and then decreased to 45% one year after the program was implemented, the program would be viewed as helping to reduce family conflict. Dots Cut-Points Before the percentage of youth at risk on a given scale could be calculated, a scale value or cut-point needed to be determined that would separate the atrisk group from the not-at-risk group. The Prevention Needs Assessment (PNA) survey was designed to assess adolescent substance use, antisocial behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Arizona Youth Survey, and surveys designed for other states and areas, follow the PNA format and have the same goal of gathering information on the prevention needs of students, schools, communities, and states. Since PNA surveys have been given to over 200,000 youth nationwide, it was possible to select two groups of youth, one that was more at risk for problem behaviors and another group that was less at risk. A cut-point score was then determined for each risk and protective factor scale that best divided the youth from the two groups into their appropriate group, more at-risk or less at-risk. The criteria for selecting the more at-risk and the less atrisk groups included academic grades (the more atrisk group received “D” and “F” grades, the less atrisk group received “A” and “B” grades), ATOD use (the more at-risk group had more regular use, the less at-risk group had no drug use and use of alcohol or tobacco on only a few occasions), and antisocial behavior (the more at-risk group had two or more serious delinquent acts in the past year, the less atrisk group had no serious delinquent acts). The cut-points that were determined by analyzing the results of the more at-risk and less at-risk groups will remain constant and will be used to produce the profiles for future surveys. Since the cut-points for each scale will remain fixed, the percentage of youth above the cut-point on a scale (at-risk) will provide a method for evaluating The dots on the charts represent the percentage of all of the youth surveyed from Arizona who reported ‘elevated risk’ or ‘elevated protection’. The comparison to the state-wide sample provides additional information for your community in determining the relative importance of each risk or protective factor level. Scanning across the charts, you can easily determine which factors are most (or least) prevalent for your community. This is the first step in identifying the levels of risk and protection that are operating in your community and which factors your community may choose to address. Dashed Line Levels of risk and protection in your community also can be compared to a more national sample. The dashed line on each risk and protective factor chart represents the percentage of youth at risk or with protection for the seven state sample upon which the cut-points were developed. The seven states included in the norm group were Colorado, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Oregon, Utah, and Washington. All the states have a mix of urban and rural students. Again, brief definitions of the risk and protective factors are provided following the profile charts. For more information about risk and protective factors, please refer to the resources listed on the last page of this report under Contacts for Prevention. School Safety Charts The school safety profile charts contain the percentages of students who felt unsafe at school or on the way to school, were threatened or injured with a weapon at school, were in a physical fight at school, or carried a weapon to school. The complete questions and values for each response option can be seen in Table 10. 8 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Apache County Student Survey, Grade 8 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 9 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Apache County Student Survey, Grade 8 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 10 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Apache County Student Survey, Grade 10 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 11 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Apache County Student Survey, Grade 10 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 12 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Apache County Student Survey, Grade 12 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 13 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Apache County Student Survey, Grade 12 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 14 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Apache County Student Survey, Grade 8 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 15 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Apache County Student Survey, Grade 10 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 16 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Apache County Student Survey, Grade 12 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 17 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Apache County Student Survey, Grade 8 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 18 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Apache County Student Survey, Grade 10 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 19 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Apache County Student Survey, Grade 12 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 20 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions Community Domain Risk Factors Community and Personal Transitions & Mobility Neighborhoods with high rates of residential mobility have been shown to have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling, while children who experience frequent residential moves and stressful life transitions have been shown to have higher risk for school failure, delinquency, and drug use. Community Disorganization Research has shown that neighborhoods with high population density, lack of natural surveillance of public places, physical deterioration, and high rates of adult crime also have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling. Low Neighborhood Attachment A low level of bonding to the neighborhood is related to higher levels of juvenile crime and drug selling. Laws and Norms Favorable Toward Drug Use Research has shown that legal restrictions on alcohol and tobacco use, such as raising the legal drinking age, restricting smoking in public places, and increased taxation have been followed by decreases in consumption. Moreover, national surveys of high school seniors have shown that shifts in normative attitudes toward drug use have preceded changes in prevalence of use. Perceived Availability of Drugs and Handguns The availability of cigarettes, alcohol, marijuana, and other illegal drugs has been related to the use of these substances by adolescents. The availability of handguns is also related to a higher risk of crime and substance use by adolescents. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When opportunities are available in a community for positive participation, children are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement Rewards for positive participation in activities helps children bond to the community, thus lowering their risk for substance use. Family Domain Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Risk Factors When children are raised in a family with a history of problem behaviors (e.g., violence or ATOD use), the children are more likely to engage in these behaviors. Children raised in families high in conflict, whether or not the child is directly involved in the conflict, appear at risk for both delinquency and drug use. Parental Attitudes Favorable In families where parents use illegal drugs, are heavy users of alcohol, or are tolerant of children’s use, Toward Antisocial Behavior & children are more likely to become drug abusers during adolescence. The risk is further increased if parents involve children in their own drug (or alcohol) using behavior, for example, asking the child to Drugs light the parent’s cigarette or get the parent a beer from the refrigerator. Poor Family Management Parents’ use of inconsistent and/or unusually harsh or severe punishment with their children places them at higher risk for substance use and other problem behaviors. Also, parents’ failure to provide clear expectations and to monitor their children’s behavior makes it more likely that they will engage in drug abuse whether or not there are family drug problems. Protective Factors Family Attachment Young people who feel that they are a valued part of their family are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Opportunities for Positive Involvement Young people who are exposed to more opportunities to participate meaningfully in the responsibilities and activities of the family are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When parents, siblings, and other family members praise, encourage, and attend to things done well by their child, children are less likely to engage in substance use and problem behaviors. School Domain Risk Factors Academic Failure Beginning in the late elementary grades (grades 4-6) academic failure increases the risk of both drug abuse and delinquency. It appears that the experience of failure itself, for whatever reasons, increases the risk of problem behaviors. 21 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions (Continued) Low Commitment to School Surveys of high school seniors have shown that the use of hallucinogens, cocaine, heroin, stimulants, and sedatives or non-medically prescribed tranquilizers is significantly lower among students who expect to attend college than among those who do not. Factors such as liking school, spending time on homework, and perceiving the coursework as relevant are also negatively related to drug use. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When young people are given more opportunities to participate meaningfully in important activities at school, they are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When young people are recognized and rewarded for their contributions at school, they are less likely to be involved in substance use and other problem behaviors. Peer-Individual Risk Factors Early Initiation of Antisocial Behavior and Drug Use Early onset of drug use predicts misuse of drugs. The earlier the onset of any drug use, the greater the involvement in other drug use and the greater frequency of use. Onset of drug use prior to the age of 15 is a consistent predictor of drug abuse, and a later age of onset of drug use has been shown to predict lower drug involvement and a greater probability of discontinuation of use. During the elementary school years, most children express anti-drug, anti-crime, and pro-social attitudes Attitudes Favorable Toward Antisocial Behavior and Drug and have difficulty imagining why people use drugs or engage in antisocial behaviors. However, in middle school, as more youth are exposed to others who use drugs and engage in antisocial behavior, Use their attitudes often shift toward greater acceptance of these behaviors. Youth who express positive attitudes toward drug use and antisocial behavior are more likely to engage in a variety of problem behaviors, including drug use. Friends' Use of Drugs Young people who associate with peers who engage in alcohol or substance abuse are much more likely to engage in the same behavior. Peer drug use has consistently been found to be among the strongest predictors of substance use among youth. Even when young people come from well-managed families and do not experience other risk factors, spending time with friends who use drugs greatly increases the risk of that problem developing. Interaction with Antisocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in problem behaviors are at higher risk for engaging in antisocial behavior themselves. Perceived Risk of Drug Use Young people who do not perceive drug use to be risky are far more likely to engage in drug use. Rewards for Antisocial Behavior Young people who receive rewards for their antisocial behavior are at higher risk for engaging further in antisocial behavior and substance use. Rebelliousness Young people who do not feel part of society, are not bound by rules, don’t believe in trying to be successful or responsible, or who take an active rebellious stance toward society, are at higher risk of abusing drugs. In addition, high tolerance for deviance, a strong need for independence and normlessness have all been linked with drug use. Intention to Use ATODs Many prevention programs focus on reducing the intention of participants to use ATODs later in life. Reduction of intention to use ATODs often follows successful prevention interventions. Depressive Symptoms Young people who are depressed are overrepresented in the criminal justice system and are more likely to use drugs. Survey research and other studies have shown a link between depression and other youth problem behaviors. Gang Involvement Youth who belong to gangs are more at risk for antisocial behavior and drug use. Protective Factors Religiosity Young people who regularly attend religious services are less likely to engage in problem behaviors. Social Skills Young people who are socially competent and engage in positive interpersonal relations with their peers are less likely to use drugs and engage in other problem behaviors. Belief in the Moral Order Young people who have a belief in what is “right” or “wrong” are less likely to use drugs. Prosocial Involvement Participation in positive school and community activities helps provide protection for youth. Prosocial Norms Young people who view working hard in school and the community are less likely to engage in problem behavior. Involvement with Prosocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in prosocial behavior are more protected from engaging in antisocial behavior and substance use. 22 Table 3. Number of Students Who Completed the Survey Grade 8 Total Students County County County 2002 2004 2006 146 309 357 Grade 10 State 2006 26872 County County County 2002 2004 2006 81 215 283 Table 4. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During Their Lifetime Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 45.8 42.5 40.8 50.4 58.0 70.8 57.3 52.8 57.9 57.3 30.8 47.5 73.1 61.0 25.4 34.6 24.6 8.0 9.9 40.1 36.9 50.0 42.1 38.6 18.3 29.6 63.3 47.7 16.2 13.5 13.0 15.2 13.6 9.5 11.6 4.9 4.3 2.9 2.1 4.9 7.1 3.6 4.8 6.9 4.2 3.6 5.0 15.0 7.6 5.6 n/a n/a n/a 1.2 n/a n/a n/a n/a 4.5 2.6 n/a n/a 8.0 n/a 7.3 n/a n/a n/a 8.5 n/a n/a n/a 3.1 3.4 n/a n/a 6.1 4.8 2.0 2.8 1.4 3.8 3.4 4.5 2.8 n/a n/a n/a 0.0 n/a n/a n/a 11.1 9.6 10.0 n/a 12.7 8.7 5.6 4.0 3.2 1.9 3.7 6.6 3.3 n/a n/a 2.8 1.6 n/a n/a 0.8 n/a n/a 9.0 9.8 n/a n/a 10.8 54.8 49.3 48.9 36.2 37.0 66.7 57.0 Table 5. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During the Past 30 Days* Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 2002 Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 19.7 15.7 14.4 20.5 5.3 3.1 3.8 0.8 n/a n/a n/a 3.9 1.6 n/a 4.7 n/a n/a 24.6 2004 18.8 20.4 16.1 19.5 4.0 2.7 2.7 n/a n/a 2.3 n/a 0.7 n/a 5.0 1.7 n/a n/a 24.3 2006 17.9 23.4 10.3 18.9 4.5 1.5 1.8 n/a 2.2 n/a 1.9 1.6 n/a 5.6 2.2 0.6 3.7 30.1 2006 24.1 10.5 2.7 8.5 6.2 1.0 1.7 n/a 1.0 n/a 1.5 0.7 n/a 4.5 0.8 0.8 4.5 19.7 2002 2004 29.6 12.3 3.7 12.3 2.5 1.2 0.0 1.2 n/a n/a n/a 2.5 0.0 n/a 1.2 n/a n/a 16.0 38.5 34.6 14.2 29.0 3.3 3.8 3.8 n/a n/a 3.8 n/a 0.5 n/a 6.6 3.3 n/a n/a 34.1 2006 30.7 27.2 17.1 23.5 2.3 2.4 3.7 n/a 2.9 n/a 4.5 1.6 n/a 7.0 1.6 0.8 5.3 32.7 Grade 12 State 2006 19581 County County County 2002 2004 2006 185 165 231 State 2006 13948 Grade 12 State 2006 67.6 43.8 11.8 34.0 11.9 4.1 7.6 n/a 5.0 n/a 7.1 2.1 n/a 14.3 3.4 2.0 16.0 47.0 County County County 2002 2004 2006 73.0 69.7 40.8 60.5 11.5 5.4 9.8 8.7 n/a n/a n/a 1.6 1.6 n/a 7.1 n/a n/a 62.2 75.9 79.1 35.8 70.0 7.3 10.4 21.0 n/a n/a 14.6 n/a 4.9 n/a 10.3 6.9 n/a n/a 70.6 71.3 69.6 37.4 57.2 13.6 8.2 20.8 n/a 16.1 n/a 8.8 3.3 n/a 14.5 5.6 1.8 14.5 63.4 State 2006 74.5 50.0 15.6 42.6 9.8 5.6 11.6 n/a 6.6 n/a 8.5 2.8 n/a 17.4 4.4 2.2 20.0 52.8 Grade 12 State 2006 39.2 17.1 4.0 15.7 3.1 1.7 2.9 n/a 1.7 n/a 2.9 0.7 n/a 6.6 1.0 1.0 7.3 25.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 43.8 30.0 21.5 26.8 2.4 1.2 4.2 0.6 n/a n/a n/a 0.0 0.6 n/a 3.0 n/a n/a 29.5 47.2 42.6 11.7 28.2 0.0 7.5 5.5 n/a n/a 6.7 n/a 0.6 n/a 5.5 1.2 n/a n/a 36.4 43.2 34.2 12.9 28.3 2.8 0.5 5.5 n/a 2.8 n/a 2.3 0.0 n/a 5.9 0.9 1.4 6.9 36.2 State 2006 47.0 21.8 5.4 18.1 1.7 1.7 3.3 n/a 1.4 n/a 2.6 0.8 n/a 7.1 0.9 1.0 8.1 26.6 n/a - Indicates a question that was not asked in the 2002, 2004, or 2006 Arizona Youth Surveys. ATOD questions have differed slightly over the years. The differences are as follows. On how many occasions (if any) have you: 1 used methamphetamines (meth, crystal, crank)? [2002] used methamphetamines (meth, speed, crank, or crystal meth)? [2006] 2 3 used stimulants (amphetamines, meth, crystal, crank) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004] used stimulants, other than methamphetamines (such as amphetamines, Ritalin or Dexedrine) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2006] 4 5 used quaaludes, barbiturates or tranquilizers? [2002] used sedatives (tranquilizers, such as Valium or Xanax, barbiturates or sleeping pills) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004, 2006] 6 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. Note: 2006 'Any Drug' use does not include reported use of steroids or prescription drugs in order to make the 2006 results comparable to previous surveys. Further, the 2002 lifetime use data presented here is derived from a question asking students to report how old they were when they first used each substance. The 2002 lifetime use value reflects those students who indicated any age of first use. 23 Table 6. Percentage of Students With Heavy Use of Alcohol and Cigarettes Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 Binge Drinking 12.1 14.8 13.0 13.4 14.8 24.8 18.9 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day 0.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 3.7 0.5 2.4 Table 7. Percentage of Students With Antisocial Behavior in the Past Year Grade 8 Grade 10 Behavior County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 Suspended from School 20.6 22.8 27.3 Drunk or High at School 22.5 25.0 27.9 Sold Illegal Drugs 6.4 7.8 5.4 Stolen a Vehicle 1.4 4.2 6.0 Been Arrested 7.1 10.5 10.6 Attacked to Harm 11.3 20.7 18.1 Carried a Handgun 4.9 7.9 8.6 Handgun to School 2.1 1.3 1.2 Table 8. Percentage of Students Reporting Protection Grade 8 Protective Factor Community Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Family Domain Family Attachment Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement School Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Peer-Individual Domain Religiosity Social Skills Belief in the Moral Order Interaction with Prosocial Peers Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 19.8 13.0 4.9 4.6 8.3 17.9 7.6 1.6 2002 12.5 18.8 6.2 2.5 7.5 12.7 2.5 2.5 2004 23.7 38.4 12.4 4.7 15.7 18.0 10.5 1.4 2006 23.6 32.2 15.6 7.4 11.1 18.1 10.6 3.8 Grade 12 State 2006 22.4 2.4 County County County 2002 2004 2006 29.2 2.4 County County County 2002 2004 2006 31.5 3.1 28.2 3.9 Grade 12 State 2006 15.5 21.1 9.1 4.7 9.3 16.5 7.5 1.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 12.3 30.2 7.3 1.7 13.6 9.0 10.1 1.1 Grade 10 State 2006 33.3 3.1 State 2006 10.4 37.9 13.7 3.7 11.9 19.6 11.6 4.9 21.3 38.2 16.0 4.5 14.5 22.3 11.8 3.2 State 2006 9.4 21.4 9.8 3.1 7.8 13.2 7.0 1.4 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 30.4 42.1 32.3 39.0 24.0 34.2 38.2 30.4 53.2 53.8 23.2 50.0 26.0 52.2 37.1 36.3 42.9 64.7 26.1 53.2 26.1 45.3 37.6 35.2 47.4 62.9 74.2 48.2 60.2 65.3 44.3 57.2 62.9 48.7 57.4 60.6 48.1 61.3 61.0 43.8 60.2 62.1 44.2 52.5 60.4 44.1 53.0 54.9 60.6 59.9 62.3 56.5 53.9 55.6 57.6 55.4 60.9 57.1 55.9 56.9 53.1 55.9 65.7 52.1 54.5 51.7 59.1 50.7 55.0 53.8 59.5 57.1 50.2 57.7 62.9 62.3 65.8 55.4 45.1 42.1 55.0 45.5 65.2 48.0 * 63.3 60.8 * * * 25.7 58.3 58.9 44.0 43.8 64.2 29.6 57.2 56.4 41.6 41.1 61.2 46.2 58.3 54.3 46.1 37.7 58.8 * 59.5 66.7 * * * 24.6 51.9 61.2 43.1 30.0 61.5 36.1 52.4 76.1 52.6 32.1 63.9 44.3 52.4 62.6 49.6 39.3 61.1 * 73.0 50.0 * * * 63.8 57.9 49.4 40.3 25.6 47.5 64.1 61.5 53.2 44.7 28.1 51.1 70.7 66.0 51.2 48.1 39.1 53.4 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 24 Table 9. Percentage of Students Reporting Risk Grade 8 Risk Factor Community Domain Low Neighborhood Attachment Community Disorganization Transitions & Mobility Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Perceived Availability of Drugs Perceived Availability of Handguns Family Domain Poor Family Management Family Conflict Family History of Antisocial Behavior Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use School Domain Academic Failure Low Commitment to School Peer-Individual Domain Rebelliousness Early Initiation of ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Perceived Risk of Drug Use Interaction with Antisocial Peers Friend's Use of Drugs Rewards for ASB Depressive Symptoms Intention to Use Drugs Gang Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 41.3 48.7 35.4 35.7 24.8 22.6 45.9 55.7 39.2 40.6 31.2 26.1 45.5 62.3 40.6 42.1 30.9 26.8 40.7 48.2 53.7 37.8 38.1 37.0 38.5 34.6 29.1 15.2 50.6 38.0 45.4 67.3 49.5 48.0 35.0 25.0 44.0 60.6 40.0 44.7 37.9 23.8 46.9 57.6 60.4 42.5 48.8 27.6 46.1 46.4 31.1 24.4 41.6 31.9 63.1 69.4 40.1 34.4 42.8 24.8 60.0 71.0 50.7 30.7 39.2 33.2 49.8 52.3 54.9 34.6 51.3 34.1 44.8 39.0 56.9 46.8 18.2 50.4 46.4 60.6 37.7 18.1 51.3 43.3 57.5 42.5 20.9 47.9 52.2 42.7 48.5 29.1 28.2 29.5 39.2 34.2 21.5 41.4 33.2 68.3 51.2 34.3 38.8 30.9 52.8 41.7 31.0 45.0 42.2 43.2 50.0 41.1 35.7 30.4 44.0 40.4 27.7 36.5 32.3 63.2 44.6 31.0 45.4 34.4 51.4 51.5 33.3 44.8 38.3 38.6 45.9 40.1 70.8 31.2 56.0 26.6 62.3 30.9 48.6 41.1 44.9 33.8 57.0 25.9 58.0 28.9 51.6 40.1 54.8 20.8 60.1 32.9 55.3 29.7 44.1 43.0 41.4 33.3 49.6 40.7 32.4 60.2 59.7 50.7 42.6 57.4 * 28.9 33.8 47.7 51.5 42.3 33.6 56.4 65.9 58.5 50.2 54.8 36.3 38.6 39.1 46.8 51.0 43.4 35.9 52.6 70.0 55.3 49.9 53.6 37.6 40.4 43.8 40.2 35.2 46.2 32.4 45.4 58.4 41.3 48.7 45.7 36.5 26.3 43.8 36.2 28.4 40.7 21.0 27.5 40.7 34.6 13.9 40.7 * 11.1 36.2 54.3 62.1 56.7 39.4 34.9 70.6 59.0 47.5 61.2 46.4 38.7 37.0 51.2 49.8 48.7 38.9 32.4 65.9 45.7 39.7 45.8 37.3 28.8 47.5 42.4 36.6 49.7 36.6 39.2 58.1 43.2 45.0 45.5 44.9 23.9 45.1 44.3 42.2 41.3 29.3 29.1 57.3 43.2 35.8 48.0 * 15.6 35.6 45.7 55.8 53.3 36.0 37.7 65.2 57.8 51.6 53.7 40.2 36.1 45.6 54.5 50.2 55.9 36.4 36.4 65.4 46.9 52.0 47.5 36.4 31.7 44.3 38.8 34.1 45.6 34.6 40.5 52.0 35.9 53.8 38.6 29.9 16.3 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 25 Table 10. Percentage of Students Reporting School Safety Issues Grade 8 Question Response County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 0 days During the past 30 days, on how 1 day many days did you carry a weapon 2-3 days such as a gun, knife, or club on 4-5 days school property? (q43) 6 or more days 91.4 2.9 2.1 0.0 3.6 90.7 3.3 2.7 0.3 3.0 93.4 3.5 1.7 0.3 1.2 93.1 3.1 1.6 0.6 1.6 96.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 2.5 90.0 1.9 2.4 0.5 5.2 90.2 2.6 1.9 1.5 3.8 92.7 2.4 1.5 0.7 2.7 90.8 1.1 2.2 0.5 5.4 93.8 1.2 1.9 0.6 2.5 91.2 3.5 1.8 1.3 2.2 94.0 1.4 0.9 0.6 3.0 During the past 30 days, on how many days did you not go to school because you felt you would be unsafe at school or on your way to or from school? (q41) 0 days 1 day 2-3 days 4-5 days 6 or more days 91.5 5.7 1.4 0.7 0.7 81.8 9.2 5.0 1.0 3.0 85.8 6.9 3.5 1.4 2.3 89.3 6.0 2.8 0.7 1.2 97.5 1.2 0.0 1.2 0.0 86.5 7.2 3.8 0.5 1.9 91.4 3.7 3.4 0.0 1.5 92.2 4.1 2.1 0.5 1.1 97.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.1 85.7 8.7 2.5 1.2 1.9 94.2 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.9 95.0 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times has someone threatened or injured you with a weapon such as a gun, knife, or club on school property? (q39) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 88.8 6.3 4.2 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 81.0 9.8 5.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.0 86.2 6.3 4.0 1.4 0.9 0.0 0.6 0.6 84.5 7.7 4.2 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.2 91.4 2.5 3.7 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 84.4 6.6 6.1 0.9 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.5 86.9 6.4 4.5 1.1 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.7 86.1 6.7 3.9 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.3 95.7 1.6 0.5 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 88.9 4.9 3.7 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 87.1 6.2 4.9 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.9 90.5 4.4 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times were you in a physical fight on school property? (q40) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 63.2 18.1 14.6 2.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.7 67.4 14.1 12.2 3.9 0.7 0.0 0.0 1.6 68.5 16.8 8.1 2.6 1.2 0.0 0.6 2.3 75.4 13.1 7.1 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.0 86.4 8.6 2.5 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 70.2 14.9 8.2 3.4 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.5 79.6 10.0 6.3 1.9 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.4 84.3 8.9 4.4 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 93.0 3.8 1.6 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 84.6 8.6 2.5 1.9 1.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 85.0 8.4 3.5 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 91.1 5.5 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 Apache County 26 Contacts For Prevention Regional Prevention Contacts Arizona Department of Health Services Division of Behavioral Health Services Lisa Shumaker 602-364-4594 www.azdhs.gov/bhs/index.htm Cochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, and Santa Cruz Counties Bill Burnett Community Partnership of Southern Arizona (CPSA) 520-618-8807 Arizona Prevention Resource Center 1-800-432-2772 www.azprevention.org Gila, La Paz, Pinal, and Yuma Counties Linda Weinberg Cenpatico Behavioral Health of Arizona 480-231-7504 Center for Violence Prevention and Community Safety Steve Ballance/Charles Katz 602-543-6174/602-543-6618 steve.ballance@asu.edu/charles.katz@asu.edu Apache, Coconino, Mohave, Navajo, and Yavapai Counties Petrice Post Northern Arizona Regional Behavioral Health Authority (NARBHA) 928-214-2177 Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) http://prevention.samhsa.gov Maricopa County Juan Aristizabal ValueOptions 602-9145844 Governor’s Office of Children, Youth, and Families 602-542-4043 http://www.governor.state.az.us/cyf/index.html Gila River Tribe Marnie McNicholas 602-528-7106 Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities U.S. Department of Education www.ed.gov/offices/OESE/SDFS Pasqua Yaqui Tribe Jill Fabian 520-879-6067 Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Paula Burns 602-266-8299 ext. 351 www.problemgambling.az.gov Navajo Nation Maxine Nakai 928-871-7946 Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMSHA) www.samhsa.gov Colorado River Indian Tribes Iris Leivas 928-669-6577 Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention http://ojjdp.ncjrs.org/ Other State and National Contacts: Western Regional Center for the Application of Prevention Technologies (CAPT) www.westcapt.org Arizona Criminal Justice Commission Michelle Neitch/ Phillip Stevenson 602-364-1173/602-364-1157 www.azcjc.gov Bach Harrison, L.L.C. R. Steven Harrison, Ph.D. 801-359-2064 www.bach-harrison.com Arizona Department of Education Student Services Division www.ade.az.gov 27 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Cochise County REPORT PROVIDED BY: Arizona Criminal Justice Commission 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Shining Light on Arizona Youth THIS REPORT IS PROVIDED BY THE Arizona Criminal Justice Commission IN PARTNERSHIP WITH: Administrative Office of the Courts Arizona Department of Education Arizona Department of Health Services Arizona Department of Juvenile Corrections Arizona Juvenile Justice Commission Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Arizona State University Governor’s Division for Substance Abuse Policy Governor’s Office for Children, Youth, and Families 2 Introduction 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Summary for CONTENTS: the gender and ethnicity categories will often be less than the total number of students. Introduction: • Demographics • Risk & Protective Framework Cochise County This report summarizes some of the county-specific findings from the 2006 Arizona Youth Survey administered to 8th, 10th and 12th grade students during the spring of 2006. The survey was designed to assess school safety, adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention Tools for Assessment and Planning How to Read the Charts Data Charts: • Risk & Protective Factor Profiles • Substance Use & Antisocial Behavior • School Safety All schools in Arizona are invited to participate in the survey, and recruitment efforts were successful in obtaining participation by schools in all of the 15 counties. Careful planning and uniform administration of the survey have resulted in survey data that are valid and representative of the students in grades 8, 10, and 12 in Arizona. Risk and Protective Factor Definitions Data Tables Contacts for Prevention Table 1 contains the characteristics of the students who completed the survey in Cochise County and the State. Because not all students answer all of the questions, the number of students in Table 1. Characteristics of Participants Student Totals County 2002 Total Students Grade 8 10 12 Gender Male Female Ethnicity African American American Indian Asian Hispanic Pacific Islander White Other County 2004 County 2006 Number Percent Number Percent Number 760 100 1746 100 540 71.1 733 129 17.0 562 91 12.0 339 396 State 2006 Number Percent 1576 100 60401 100 42.0 837 53.1 26872 44.5 32.2 549 34.8 19581 32.4 451 25.8 190 12.1 13948 23.1 46.1 788 45.8 712 46.2 28381 48.2 53.9 933 54.2 829 53.8 30505 51.8 13 1.8 76 4.7 68 4.5 2592 4.4 10 1.4 28 1.7 30 2.0 3394 5.8 13 1.8 45 2.8 44 2.9 1341 2.3 460 64.3 773 47.9 564 37.0 21376 36.5 24 1.5 25 219 * 30.6 * 668 41.4 717 n/a n/a n/a n/a 78 Percent 457 0.8 47.0 26761 1.6 45.7 5.1 * Pacific Islander was grouped with Asian in 2002 3 2696 4.6 Many states and local agencies have adopted the Risk and Protective Factor Model to guide their prevention efforts. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention is based on the simple premise that to prevent a problem from happening, we need to identify the factors that increase the risk of that problem developing and then find ways to reduce the risks. Just as medical researchers have found risk factors for heart disease such as diets high in fat, lack of exercise, and smoking; a team of researchers at the University of Washington have defined a set of risk factors for youth problem behaviors. Risk factors are characteristics of school, community, and family environments, as well as characteristics of students and their peer groups that are known to predict increased likelihood of drug use, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violent behavior among youth. Protective factors exert a positive influence or buffer against the negative influence of risk, thus reducing the likelihood that adolescents will engage in problem behaviors. Dr. J. David Hawkins, Dr. Richard F. Catalano, and their colleagues at the University of Washington, Social Development Research Group have investigated the relationship between risk and protective factors and youth problem behavior. For example, they have found that children who live in families with high levels of conflict are more likely to become involved in problem behaviors such as delinquency and drug use than children who live in families with low levels of family conflict. 2006 Prevention Needs Assessment Risk and Protective Factors The chart at the right shows the links between the 19 risk factors and the five problem behaviors. The check marks have been placed in the chart to indicate where at least two well designed, published research studies have shown a link between the risk factor and the problem behavior. 9 9 Community laws and norms favorable toward drug use, firearms and crime 9 9 9 Transitions and mobility 9 9 Low neighborhood attachment and community disorganization 9 9 Extreme economic and social deprivation 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Academic failure in elementary school 9 9 9 9 9 Lack of commitment to school 9 9 9 9 9 Early and persistent antisocial behavior 9 9 9 9 9 Alienation and rebelliousness 9 9 Friends who engage in the problem behavior 9 9 Gang involvement 9 9 Favorable attitudes toward the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Early initiation of the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Constitutional factors 9 9 Violence 9 School Drop-Out Availability of drugs and firearms RISK FACTORS Teen Pregnancy Delinquency Risk- and protective-focused drug abuse prevention is also based on the work of Hawkins, Catalano, and their team of researchers at the University of Washington in Seattle. Beginning in the early 1980s the group researched adolescent problem behaviors and identified risk factors for adolescent drug abuse. Not surprisingly, they found that a relationship exists between adolescent drug abuse, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violence, and were able to identify risk factors for these problems. PROBLEM BEHAVIORS Substance Abuse Research on risk and protective factors has important implications for prevention efforts. The premise of this approach is that in order to promote positive youth development and prevent problem behaviors, it is necessary to address those factors that can lead to the problem. By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, specific risk factors that are elevated and widespread can be identified and targeted by preventive interventions that also promote related protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as an elevated risk factor in a community, then mentoring and tutoring interventions can be provided that will improve academic performance, thus reducing the level of the risk factors and decreasing the likelihood of problem behavior. Community 9 Media portrayals of violence 9 9 Family Family history of the problem behavior Family management problems Family conflict Favorable parental attitudes and involvement in the problem behavior 9 School Individual/Peer 4 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 The Arizona Youth Survey as a Tool for Building a Strategic Prevention Framework The Prevention Needs Assessment Survey is an important part of the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) Strategic Prevention Framework Process. CSAP created this 5-step model to guide states and communities through the process of creating planned, data-driven, effective, and sustainable prevention programming. The information presented in this section is taken from CSAP’s Strategic Prevention Framework State Incentive Grant description. Step 1: Profile Population Needs, Resources, and Readiness to Address the Problems and Gaps in Service Delivery • • Community Needs Assessment: The results of this survey (presented in this Profile Report and in results reported at the State level) will identify needs for prevention. States should consider administering a survey to assess adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior, and many of the risk and protective factors that predict adolescent problem behaviors. While planning prevention services, communities are urged to collect and use multiple data sources, including archival and social indicators, assessment of existing resources, key informant interviews, as well as survey data. Community Resource Assessment: It is likely that existing agencies and programs are already addressing some of the prioritized risk and protective factors. It is important to identify the assets and resources already available in the community and the gaps in services and capacity. Community Readiness Assessment: It is very important for states and communities to have the commitment and support of their members and ample resources to implement effective prevention efforts. Therefore, the readiness and capacity of communities and resources to act should also be assessed. Step 2: Mobilize and/or Build Capacity to Address Needs: Engagement of key stakeholders at the state and community levels is critical to plan and implement successful prevention activities that will be sustained over time. Some of the key tasks to mobilize the state and communities are to work with leaders and stakeholders to build coalitions, provide training, leverage resources, and help sustain prevention activities. Step 3: Develop a Comprehensive Strategic Plan: States and communities should develop a strategic plan that articulates not only a vision for the prevention activities, but also strategies for organizing and implementing prevention efforts. The strategic plan should be based on documented needs, build on identified resources/strengths, set measurable objectives, and identify how progress will be monitored. Plans should be adjusted with ongoing needs assessment and monitoring activities. The issue of sustainability should be kept in mind throughout each step of planning and implementation. Step 4: Implement Evidence-based Prevention Programs and Infrastructure Development Activities: By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, prevention programs can be implemented that will reduce the elevated risk factors and increase the protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as a prioritized risk factor in a community, then mentoring, tutoring, and increased opportunities and rewards for classroom participation can be provided to improve academic performance. After completing Steps 1, 2, and 3, communities will be able to choose prevention programs that fit the Strategic Framework of the community, match the population served, and are scientifically proven to work. The Western Center for the Application of Prevention Technology website (www.westcapt.org) contains a search engine for identifying Best Practice Programs. Step 5: Monitor Process, Evaluate Effectiveness, Sustain Effective Programs/Activities, and Improve or Replace Those That Fail: Finally, ongoing monitoring and evaluation are essential to determine if the outcomes desired are achieved and to assess program effectiveness, assess service delivery quality, identify successes, encourage needed improvement, and promote sustainability of effective policies, programs, and practices. 5 Tools for Assessment and Planning School and Community Improvement Using Survey Data Why the Arizona Youth Survey? Data from the Arizona Youth Survey can be used to help school and community planners assess current conditions and prioritize areas of greatest need. Each risk and protective factor can be linked to specific types of interventions that have been shown to be effective in either reducing risk(s) or enhancing protection(s). The steps outlined here will help your county and community make key decisions regarding allocation of resources, how and when to address specific needs, and which strategies are most effective and known to produce results. What are the numbers telling you? Review the charts and data tables presented in this report. Using the table below, note your findings as you discuss the following questions. • Which 3-5 risk factors appear to be higher than you would want? • Which 3-5 protective factors appear to be lower than you would want? • Which levels of 30-day drug use are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which substances are your students using the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable usage levels? • Which levels of antisocial behaviors are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which behaviors are your students exhibiting the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable behavior levels? How to decide if a rate is “unacceptable.” • • • Use these data for planning. • • • MEASURE Look across the charts – which items stand out as either much higher or much lower than the other? Compare your data with statewide, and national data – differences of 5% between local and other data are probably significant. Determine the standards and values held within your community – For example: Is it acceptable in your community for a percentage of high school students to drink alcohol regularly as long as that percentage is lower than the overall state rate? Substance use and antisocial behavior data – raise awareness about the problems and promote dialogue. Risk and protective factor data – identify exactly where the community needs to take action. Promising approaches – talk with resources listed on the last page of this report for ideas about programs that have proven effective in addressing the risk factors that are high in your community, and improving the protective factors that are low. Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate #1 #2 #3 #4 Risk Factors Protective Factors Substance Use Antisocial Behaviors 6 Practical Implications of the AYS No Child Left Behind The Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities section of the No Child Left Behind Act (NCLB) requires that schools and communities use six Principles of Effectiveness to guide their decisions and spending on federally funded prevention and intervention programs. First introduced in 1998 by the Department of Education, the Principles of Effectiveness outline a data-driven process for ensuring that prevention programs achieve the desired results. The Principles of Effectiveness stipulate that local prevention programs and activities must: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. be based on a needs assessment using objective data regarding the incidence of drug use and violence, target specific performance objectives, be based on scientific research and be proven to reduce violence or drug use, be based on the analysis of predictor variables such as risk and protective factors, include meaningful and on-going parental input in program implementation, and have periodic evaluations of established performance measures. The results of the Arizona Youth Survey presented in this report can help schools and communities comply with the NCLB Act. The Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior charts provide information related to Principle 1 above. The Risk and Protective Factor charts provide information related to Principle 4. Overall, using the Risk and Protective factors planning framework helps schools meet all of the Principles of Effectiveness, and thereby assists schools in complying with the NCLB Act. How to Read the Charts: Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts There are four types of charts presented in this report: 1) substance use and antisocial behavior charts, 2) risk factor charts, 3) protective factor charts, and 4) school safety charts. All the charts show the results of the AYS, and the actual percentages from the charts are presented in Tables 3 through 10. • 30-day use is a measure of the percentage of students who used the substance at least once in the 30 days prior to taking the survey and is a more sensitive indicator of the level of current use of the substance. • Binge drinking and a Pack or more of cigarettes per day are measures of heavy use of alcohol and tobacco. Binge drinking is defined as having five or more drinks in a row during the two weeks prior to taking the survey. • Antisocial behavior (ASB) is a measure of the percentage of students who report any involvement with the eight antisocial behaviors listed in the charts in the past year. In the charts, antisocial behavior will often be abbreviated as ASB. • Dots are used on the charts to show the overall average of all of the youth in each grade who participated in the survey for each behavior. More information about the dots is contained on the following page. Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts This report contains information about alcohol, tobacco and other drug use (referred to as ATOD use throughout this report) and other problem behaviors of students. The bars on each chart represent the percentage of students in that grade who reported the behavior. The four sections in the charts represent different types of problem behaviors. The definitions of each of the types of behavior are provided below. • Ever-used is a measure of the percentage of students who tried the particular substance at least once in their lifetime and is used to show the percentage of students who have had experience with a particular substance. 7 How to Read the Charts: Risk and Protective Factor and School Safety Charts Risk and Protective Factor Charts There are three components of the risk and protective factor charts that are key to understanding the information that the charts contain: 1) the cutpoints for the risk and protective factor scales, 2) the dots that indicate the state values, and 3) the dashed lines that indicate a more “national” value. the progress of prevention programs over time. For example, if the percentage of youth at risk for family conflict in a community prior to implementing a community-wide family/parenting program was 60% and then decreased to 45% one year after the program was implemented, the program would be viewed as helping to reduce family conflict. Dots Cut-Points Before the percentage of youth at risk on a given scale could be calculated, a scale value or cut-point needed to be determined that would separate the atrisk group from the not-at-risk group. The Prevention Needs Assessment (PNA) survey was designed to assess adolescent substance use, antisocial behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Arizona Youth Survey, and surveys designed for other states and areas, follow the PNA format and have the same goal of gathering information on the prevention needs of students, schools, communities, and states. Since PNA surveys have been given to over 200,000 youth nationwide, it was possible to select two groups of youth, one that was more at risk for problem behaviors and another group that was less at risk. A cut-point score was then determined for each risk and protective factor scale that best divided the youth from the two groups into their appropriate group, more at-risk or less at-risk. The criteria for selecting the more at-risk and the less atrisk groups included academic grades (the more atrisk group received “D” and “F” grades, the less atrisk group received “A” and “B” grades), ATOD use (the more at-risk group had more regular use, the less at-risk group had no drug use and use of alcohol or tobacco on only a few occasions), and antisocial behavior (the more at-risk group had two or more serious delinquent acts in the past year, the less atrisk group had no serious delinquent acts). The cut-points that were determined by analyzing the results of the more at-risk and less at-risk groups will remain constant and will be used to produce the profiles for future surveys. Since the cut-points for each scale will remain fixed, the percentage of youth above the cut-point on a scale (at-risk) will provide a method for evaluating The dots on the charts represent the percentage of all of the youth surveyed from Arizona who reported ‘elevated risk’ or ‘elevated protection’. The comparison to the state-wide sample provides additional information for your community in determining the relative importance of each risk or protective factor level. Scanning across the charts, you can easily determine which factors are most (or least) prevalent for your community. This is the first step in identifying the levels of risk and protection that are operating in your community and which factors your community may choose to address. Dashed Line Levels of risk and protection in your community also can be compared to a more national sample. The dashed line on each risk and protective factor chart represents the percentage of youth at risk or with protection for the seven state sample upon which the cut-points were developed. The seven states included in the norm group were Colorado, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Oregon, Utah, and Washington. All the states have a mix of urban and rural students. Again, brief definitions of the risk and protective factors are provided following the profile charts. For more information about risk and protective factors, please refer to the resources listed on the last page of this report under Contacts for Prevention. School Safety Charts The school safety profile charts contain the percentages of students who felt unsafe at school or on the way to school, were threatened or injured with a weapon at school, were in a physical fight at school, or carried a weapon to school. The complete questions and values for each response option can be seen in Table 10. 8 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Cochise County Student Survey, Grade 8 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 9 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Cochise County Student Survey, Grade 8 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 10 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Cochise County Student Survey, Grade 10 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 11 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Cochise County Student Survey, Grade 10 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 12 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Cochise County Student Survey, Grade 12 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 13 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Cochise County Student Survey, Grade 12 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 14 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Cochise County Student Survey, Grade 8 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 15 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Cochise County Student Survey, Grade 10 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 16 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Cochise County Student Survey, Grade 12 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 17 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Cochise County Student Survey, Grade 8 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 18 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Cochise County Student Survey, Grade 10 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 19 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Cochise County Student Survey, Grade 12 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 20 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions Community Domain Risk Factors Community and Personal Transitions & Mobility Neighborhoods with high rates of residential mobility have been shown to have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling, while children who experience frequent residential moves and stressful life transitions have been shown to have higher risk for school failure, delinquency, and drug use. Community Disorganization Research has shown that neighborhoods with high population density, lack of natural surveillance of public places, physical deterioration, and high rates of adult crime also have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling. Low Neighborhood Attachment A low level of bonding to the neighborhood is related to higher levels of juvenile crime and drug selling. Laws and Norms Favorable Toward Drug Use Research has shown that legal restrictions on alcohol and tobacco use, such as raising the legal drinking age, restricting smoking in public places, and increased taxation have been followed by decreases in consumption. Moreover, national surveys of high school seniors have shown that shifts in normative attitudes toward drug use have preceded changes in prevalence of use. Perceived Availability of Drugs and Handguns The availability of cigarettes, alcohol, marijuana, and other illegal drugs has been related to the use of these substances by adolescents. The availability of handguns is also related to a higher risk of crime and substance use by adolescents. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When opportunities are available in a community for positive participation, children are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement Rewards for positive participation in activities helps children bond to the community, thus lowering their risk for substance use. Family Domain Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Risk Factors When children are raised in a family with a history of problem behaviors (e.g., violence or ATOD use), the children are more likely to engage in these behaviors. Children raised in families high in conflict, whether or not the child is directly involved in the conflict, appear at risk for both delinquency and drug use. Parental Attitudes Favorable In families where parents use illegal drugs, are heavy users of alcohol, or are tolerant of children’s use, Toward Antisocial Behavior & children are more likely to become drug abusers during adolescence. The risk is further increased if parents involve children in their own drug (or alcohol) using behavior, for example, asking the child to Drugs light the parent’s cigarette or get the parent a beer from the refrigerator. Poor Family Management Parents’ use of inconsistent and/or unusually harsh or severe punishment with their children places them at higher risk for substance use and other problem behaviors. Also, parents’ failure to provide clear expectations and to monitor their children’s behavior makes it more likely that they will engage in drug abuse whether or not there are family drug problems. Protective Factors Family Attachment Young people who feel that they are a valued part of their family are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Opportunities for Positive Involvement Young people who are exposed to more opportunities to participate meaningfully in the responsibilities and activities of the family are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When parents, siblings, and other family members praise, encourage, and attend to things done well by their child, children are less likely to engage in substance use and problem behaviors. School Domain Risk Factors Academic Failure Beginning in the late elementary grades (grades 4-6) academic failure increases the risk of both drug abuse and delinquency. It appears that the experience of failure itself, for whatever reasons, increases the risk of problem behaviors. 21 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions (Continued) Low Commitment to School Surveys of high school seniors have shown that the use of hallucinogens, cocaine, heroin, stimulants, and sedatives or non-medically prescribed tranquilizers is significantly lower among students who expect to attend college than among those who do not. Factors such as liking school, spending time on homework, and perceiving the coursework as relevant are also negatively related to drug use. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When young people are given more opportunities to participate meaningfully in important activities at school, they are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When young people are recognized and rewarded for their contributions at school, they are less likely to be involved in substance use and other problem behaviors. Peer-Individual Risk Factors Early Initiation of Antisocial Behavior and Drug Use Early onset of drug use predicts misuse of drugs. The earlier the onset of any drug use, the greater the involvement in other drug use and the greater frequency of use. Onset of drug use prior to the age of 15 is a consistent predictor of drug abuse, and a later age of onset of drug use has been shown to predict lower drug involvement and a greater probability of discontinuation of use. During the elementary school years, most children express anti-drug, anti-crime, and pro-social attitudes Attitudes Favorable Toward Antisocial Behavior and Drug and have difficulty imagining why people use drugs or engage in antisocial behaviors. However, in middle school, as more youth are exposed to others who use drugs and engage in antisocial behavior, Use their attitudes often shift toward greater acceptance of these behaviors. Youth who express positive attitudes toward drug use and antisocial behavior are more likely to engage in a variety of problem behaviors, including drug use. Friends' Use of Drugs Young people who associate with peers who engage in alcohol or substance abuse are much more likely to engage in the same behavior. Peer drug use has consistently been found to be among the strongest predictors of substance use among youth. Even when young people come from well-managed families and do not experience other risk factors, spending time with friends who use drugs greatly increases the risk of that problem developing. Interaction with Antisocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in problem behaviors are at higher risk for engaging in antisocial behavior themselves. Perceived Risk of Drug Use Young people who do not perceive drug use to be risky are far more likely to engage in drug use. Rewards for Antisocial Behavior Young people who receive rewards for their antisocial behavior are at higher risk for engaging further in antisocial behavior and substance use. Rebelliousness Young people who do not feel part of society, are not bound by rules, don’t believe in trying to be successful or responsible, or who take an active rebellious stance toward society, are at higher risk of abusing drugs. In addition, high tolerance for deviance, a strong need for independence and normlessness have all been linked with drug use. Intention to Use ATODs Many prevention programs focus on reducing the intention of participants to use ATODs later in life. Reduction of intention to use ATODs often follows successful prevention interventions. Depressive Symptoms Young people who are depressed are overrepresented in the criminal justice system and are more likely to use drugs. Survey research and other studies have shown a link between depression and other youth problem behaviors. Gang Involvement Youth who belong to gangs are more at risk for antisocial behavior and drug use. Protective Factors Religiosity Young people who regularly attend religious services are less likely to engage in problem behaviors. Social Skills Young people who are socially competent and engage in positive interpersonal relations with their peers are less likely to use drugs and engage in other problem behaviors. Belief in the Moral Order Young people who have a belief in what is “right” or “wrong” are less likely to use drugs. Prosocial Involvement Participation in positive school and community activities helps provide protection for youth. Prosocial Norms Young people who view working hard in school and the community are less likely to engage in problem behavior. Involvement with Prosocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in prosocial behavior are more protected from engaging in antisocial behavior and substance use. 22 Table 3. Number of Students Who Completed the Survey Grade 8 Total Students County County County 2002 2004 2006 540 733 837 Grade 10 State 2006 26872 County County County 2002 2004 2006 129 562 549 Table 4. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During Their Lifetime Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 59.8 62.9 48.2 50.4 71.8 70.4 73.6 39.9 44.5 33.8 30.8 49.2 46.3 48.7 8.5 10.1 10.3 8.0 21.9 11.4 14.7 23.7 22.9 16.1 18.3 34.4 33.9 31.2 13.5 20.9 16.5 15.2 10.2 9.9 18.6 2.3 3.4 1.8 2.1 5.5 4.8 5.5 5.0 7.4 4.1 3.6 7.9 8.1 10.3 3.1 n/a n/a n/a 7.8 n/a n/a n/a n/a 1.6 2.6 n/a n/a 8.5 n/a 4.9 n/a n/a n/a 7.4 n/a n/a n/a 3.1 3.4 n/a n/a 9.0 1.3 2.8 0.8 1.4 1.6 1.7 2.6 1.9 n/a n/a n/a 5.5 n/a n/a n/a 15.4 9.9 10.0 n/a 17.5 18.4 4.7 4.5 1.3 1.9 8.7 5.1 3.9 n/a n/a 1.8 1.6 n/a n/a 3.9 n/a n/a 10.3 9.8 n/a n/a 22.3 29.8 41.4 36.5 36.2 40.3 44.7 50.9 Table 5. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During the Past 30 Days* Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 2002 Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 39.4 8.6 5.1 11.2 6.5 2.2 3.0 1.4 n/a n/a n/a 0.6 1.2 n/a 3.2 n/a n/a 17.7 2004 31.4 14.9 2.5 11.2 9.1 2.3 4.2 n/a n/a 2.5 n/a 1.0 n/a 8.0 1.6 n/a n/a 22.7 2006 21.0 10.2 2.5 5.1 6.0 1.0 1.1 n/a 0.6 n/a 1.0 0.1 n/a 4.1 0.3 0.7 4.9 16.2 2006 24.1 10.5 2.7 8.5 6.2 1.0 1.7 n/a 1.0 n/a 1.5 0.7 n/a 4.5 0.8 0.8 4.5 19.7 2002 2004 49.2 13.0 9.0 11.6 0.8 0.8 1.7 1.7 n/a n/a n/a 0.0 3.3 n/a 4.1 n/a n/a 14.0 41.7 14.6 4.3 12.5 2.9 1.5 3.7 n/a n/a 3.3 n/a 0.6 n/a 8.2 1.1 n/a n/a 22.2 2006 39.7 19.7 3.7 12.6 4.9 1.9 4.9 n/a 3.3 n/a 2.8 0.7 n/a 10.1 1.3 1.7 11.1 27.3 Grade 12 State 2006 19581 County County County 2002 2004 2006 91 451 190 State 2006 13948 Grade 12 State 2006 67.6 43.8 11.8 34.0 11.9 4.1 7.6 n/a 5.0 n/a 7.1 2.1 n/a 14.3 3.4 2.0 16.0 47.0 County County County 2002 2004 2006 84.1 57.3 27.8 43.3 14.4 5.6 17.8 7.8 n/a n/a n/a 1.1 1.1 n/a 8.9 n/a n/a 42.9 80.0 50.1 16.2 39.1 9.9 4.5 11.3 n/a n/a 5.9 n/a 1.6 n/a 14.3 5.2 n/a n/a 45.0 72.4 46.2 23.7 33.1 11.2 7.2 12.3 n/a 6.5 n/a 7.1 2.3 n/a 16.7 4.1 3.4 18.4 44.5 State 2006 74.5 50.0 15.6 42.6 9.8 5.6 11.6 n/a 6.6 n/a 8.5 2.8 n/a 17.4 4.4 2.2 20.0 52.8 Grade 12 State 2006 39.2 17.1 4.0 15.7 3.1 1.7 2.9 n/a 1.7 n/a 2.9 0.7 n/a 6.6 1.0 1.0 7.3 25.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 57.3 13.5 7.9 20.2 3.4 1.1 2.2 2.2 n/a n/a n/a 0.0 0.0 n/a 2.2 n/a n/a 23.6 52.3 23.3 4.1 11.5 1.6 1.4 4.1 n/a n/a 2.7 n/a 0.5 n/a 5.2 1.4 n/a n/a 17.9 42.9 23.4 7.7 12.8 4.0 4.5 5.6 n/a 1.7 n/a 1.8 1.2 n/a 5.8 1.2 1.7 8.1 23.1 State 2006 47.0 21.8 5.4 18.1 1.7 1.7 3.3 n/a 1.4 n/a 2.6 0.8 n/a 7.1 0.9 1.0 8.1 26.6 n/a - Indicates a question that was not asked in the 2002, 2004, or 2006 Arizona Youth Surveys. ATOD questions have differed slightly over the years. The differences are as follows. On how many occasions (if any) have you: 1 used methamphetamines (meth, crystal, crank)? [2002] used methamphetamines (meth, speed, crank, or crystal meth)? [2006] 2 3 used stimulants (amphetamines, meth, crystal, crank) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004] used stimulants, other than methamphetamines (such as amphetamines, Ritalin or Dexedrine) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2006] 4 5 used quaaludes, barbiturates or tranquilizers? [2002] used sedatives (tranquilizers, such as Valium or Xanax, barbiturates or sleeping pills) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004, 2006] 6 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. Note: 2006 'Any Drug' use does not include reported use of steroids or prescription drugs in order to make the 2006 results comparable to previous surveys. Further, the 2002 lifetime use data presented here is derived from a question asking students to report how old they were when they first used each substance. The 2002 lifetime use value reflects those students who indicated any age of first use. 23 Table 6. Percentage of Students With Heavy Use of Alcohol and Cigarettes Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 Binge Drinking 16.8 20.7 10.4 13.4 24.8 25.8 19.1 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.0 2.4 1.8 3.6 Table 7. Percentage of Students With Antisocial Behavior in the Past Year Grade 8 Grade 10 Behavior County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 Suspended from School 14.0 15.5 18.4 Drunk or High at School 12.4 14.1 9.8 Sold Illegal Drugs 7.2 7.2 3.4 Stolen a Vehicle 4.6 6.6 3.4 Been Arrested 8.4 10.4 7.8 Attacked to Harm 11.5 19.8 16.8 Carried a Handgun 7.8 7.5 6.0 Handgun to School 1.7 2.0 0.9 Table 8. Percentage of Students Reporting Protection Grade 8 Protective Factor Community Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Family Domain Family Attachment Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement School Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Peer-Individual Domain Religiosity Social Skills Belief in the Moral Order Interaction with Prosocial Peers Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 19.8 13.0 4.9 4.6 8.3 17.9 7.6 1.6 2002 11.2 16.3 4.9 1.6 7.3 11.4 4.8 0.0 2004 10.2 22.4 7.8 3.6 8.2 21.5 5.8 1.4 2006 15.1 22.2 9.4 4.8 7.8 21.5 9.7 0.8 Grade 12 State 2006 22.4 2.4 County County County 2002 2004 2006 27.0 4.5 County County County 2002 2004 2006 23.2 3.9 28.2 3.9 Grade 12 State 2006 15.5 21.1 9.1 4.7 9.3 16.5 7.5 1.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 7.9 14.6 10.1 3.4 5.6 6.7 9.0 1.1 Grade 10 State 2006 34.4 3.2 State 2006 9.1 19.7 6.7 2.9 8.9 13.3 6.2 1.3 10.0 20.8 10.1 2.8 8.4 17.3 8.8 0.6 State 2006 9.4 21.4 9.8 3.1 7.8 13.2 7.0 1.4 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 35.6 35.0 45.1 31.8 42.6 31.2 38.2 30.4 40.9 48.2 41.4 37.0 42.0 32.5 37.1 36.3 44.8 53.3 43.9 34.0 39.4 48.8 37.6 35.2 47.0 55.9 55.3 49.1 60.1 59.9 50.7 60.5 59.1 48.7 57.4 60.6 46.8 60.7 50.5 47.9 53.7 53.9 41.0 47.9 52.8 44.1 53.0 54.9 60.2 58.0 60.2 58.0 54.2 54.1 60.7 57.7 54.5 57.1 55.9 56.9 58.6 55.0 61.3 51.3 53.9 43.5 59.1 50.7 54.3 71.1 54.4 53.9 55.4 56.8 62.9 62.3 54.9 36.7 56.5 40.6 65.8 59.8 65.2 48.0 * 53.7 48.2 * * * 50.9 53.5 50.8 46.9 44.7 64.4 53.5 62.8 58.0 50.6 37.7 63.5 46.2 58.3 54.3 46.1 37.7 58.8 * 54.1 59.7 * * * 49.5 48.7 62.5 50.1 41.0 62.3 45.0 51.5 59.4 52.7 43.7 58.6 44.3 52.4 62.6 49.6 39.3 61.1 * 68.9 43.3 * * * 77.6 61.5 47.0 51.3 37.9 53.5 77.2 69.0 57.5 59.9 37.8 58.1 70.7 66.0 51.2 48.1 39.1 53.4 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 24 Table 9. Percentage of Students Reporting Risk Grade 8 Risk Factor Community Domain Low Neighborhood Attachment Community Disorganization Transitions & Mobility Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Perceived Availability of Drugs Perceived Availability of Handguns Family Domain Poor Family Management Family Conflict Family History of Antisocial Behavior Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use School Domain Academic Failure Low Commitment to School Peer-Individual Domain Rebelliousness Early Initiation of ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Perceived Risk of Drug Use Interaction with Antisocial Peers Friend's Use of Drugs Rewards for ASB Depressive Symptoms Intention to Use Drugs Gang Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 39.9 52.7 37.9 42.4 38.5 43.7 45.7 48.7 50.3 45.2 45.7 40.3 41.9 44.0 53.8 35.5 39.1 37.5 40.7 48.2 53.7 37.8 38.1 37.0 51.3 60.9 35.7 33.9 47.9 31.9 57.6 58.1 60.4 47.9 60.2 33.5 54.2 57.7 60.8 43.5 50.9 31.4 46.9 57.6 60.4 42.5 48.8 27.6 60.7 58.9 43.3 36.0 55.6 41.6 52.6 56.4 52.0 34.7 56.2 34.6 60.7 64.1 47.7 43.5 51.1 41.5 49.8 52.3 54.9 34.6 51.3 34.1 54.1 45.0 44.1 42.1 29.1 48.6 58.8 54.3 49.1 30.9 46.3 49.7 44.6 48.6 28.1 47.9 52.2 42.7 48.5 29.1 35.4 35.7 29.5 39.8 38.9 45.5 45.9 43.6 49.6 42.2 45.7 45.0 39.7 53.4 46.4 45.0 42.2 43.2 50.0 41.1 40.4 34.4 41.1 53.3 53.3 42.2 38.3 37.8 46.7 38.5 36.7 37.2 39.8 48.4 41.1 44.8 38.3 38.6 45.9 40.1 54.5 34.7 49.3 36.4 54.9 40.4 48.6 41.1 57.6 39.5 52.1 45.1 52.0 49.5 51.6 40.1 58.9 44.0 40.6 48.6 44.1 35.4 44.1 43.0 43.4 30.9 39.1 45.2 34.8 52.1 49.6 42.0 31.8 52.2 * 27.5 42.2 38.3 48.0 49.2 36.0 50.8 61.2 51.4 53.2 57.0 41.4 26.7 41.9 36.4 35.3 42.1 29.4 42.6 54.1 41.1 45.3 52.1 33.4 24.9 43.8 40.2 35.2 46.2 32.4 45.4 58.4 41.3 48.7 45.7 36.5 26.3 48.0 32.3 31.2 49.2 40.6 40.8 44.9 34.1 21.6 59.2 * 21.0 43.9 45.2 38.8 52.4 40.0 44.4 65.0 49.0 44.4 51.9 47.7 26.6 53.6 45.8 37.5 57.5 39.1 41.7 60.7 41.7 45.3 50.9 47.1 24.6 47.5 42.4 36.6 49.7 36.6 39.2 58.1 43.2 45.0 45.5 44.9 23.9 44.4 27.8 38.2 51.1 38.9 34.1 54.5 34.1 34.8 49.4 * 6.7 36.2 37.5 35.7 46.0 34.0 42.0 52.6 33.6 56.5 44.2 29.3 16.7 41.9 43.0 33.0 39.8 28.1 38.5 57.8 34.2 48.9 42.4 27.8 16.7 44.3 38.8 34.1 45.6 34.6 40.5 52.0 35.9 53.8 38.6 29.9 16.3 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 25 Table 10. Percentage of Students Reporting School Safety Issues Grade 8 Question Response County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 0 days During the past 30 days, on how 1 day many days did you carry a weapon 2-3 days such as a gun, knife, or club on 4-5 days school property? (q43) 6 or more days 94.1 2.3 1.1 0.6 1.9 91.9 3.2 2.1 0.6 2.2 93.7 2.5 1.6 1.0 1.1 93.1 3.1 1.6 0.6 1.6 83.7 1.6 3.1 2.3 9.3 92.9 1.8 1.8 0.9 2.5 88.6 2.8 1.8 1.4 5.5 92.7 2.4 1.5 0.7 2.7 85.6 1.1 1.1 0.0 12.2 93.1 1.1 0.4 0.0 5.4 88.9 2.6 0.5 0.5 7.4 94.0 1.4 0.9 0.6 3.0 During the past 30 days, on how many days did you not go to school because you felt you would be unsafe at school or on your way to or from school? (q41) 0 days 1 day 2-3 days 4-5 days 6 or more days 93.6 3.6 1.9 0.9 0.0 87.9 6.0 3.6 0.8 1.7 88.4 6.8 3.2 0.6 0.9 89.3 6.0 2.8 0.7 1.2 95.3 3.1 0.0 0.8 0.8 90.8 5.1 2.2 0.7 1.3 93.1 3.3 2.2 0.6 0.8 92.2 4.1 2.1 0.5 1.1 96.7 1.1 1.1 0.0 1.1 92.4 3.4 2.2 0.9 1.1 96.3 2.7 0.5 0.5 0.0 95.0 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times has someone threatened or injured you with a weapon such as a gun, knife, or club on school property? (q39) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 89.4 4.1 3.7 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.7 85.8 7.8 4.2 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.4 84.7 9.2 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.5 84.5 7.7 4.2 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.2 92.2 4.7 0.8 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.6 81.7 8.0 6.0 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.8 87.2 5.4 4.6 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.4 86.1 6.7 3.9 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.3 95.6 2.2 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 88.2 5.6 2.9 1.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.1 86.7 6.9 3.7 1.1 0.0 1.1 0.5 0.0 90.5 4.4 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times were you in a physical fight on school property? (q40) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 79.7 9.7 6.3 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.7 68.8 15.6 10.6 2.5 0.4 0.6 0.1 1.5 73.8 14.4 6.6 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 75.4 13.1 7.1 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.0 79.8 10.9 7.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 80.7 8.9 6.5 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.0 1.3 82.0 10.9 4.9 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.4 84.3 8.9 4.4 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 90.1 6.6 2.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 88.4 6.7 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.4 86.2 8.0 4.8 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 91.1 5.5 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 Cochise County 26 Contacts For Prevention Regional Prevention Contacts Arizona Department of Health Services Division of Behavioral Health Services Lisa Shumaker 602-364-4594 www.azdhs.gov/bhs/index.htm Cochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, and Santa Cruz Counties Bill Burnett Community Partnership of Southern Arizona (CPSA) 520-618-8807 Arizona Prevention Resource Center 1-800-432-2772 www.azprevention.org Gila, La Paz, Pinal, and Yuma Counties Linda Weinberg Cenpatico Behavioral Health of Arizona 480-231-7504 Center for Violence Prevention and Community Safety Steve Ballance/Charles Katz 602-543-6174/602-543-6618 steve.ballance@asu.edu/charles.katz@asu.edu Apache, Coconino, Mohave, Navajo, and Yavapai Counties Petrice Post Northern Arizona Regional Behavioral Health Authority (NARBHA) 928-214-2177 Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) http://prevention.samhsa.gov Maricopa County Juan Aristizabal ValueOptions 602-9145844 Governor’s Office of Children, Youth, and Families 602-542-4043 http://www.governor.state.az.us/cyf/index.html Gila River Tribe Marnie McNicholas 602-528-7106 Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities U.S. Department of Education www.ed.gov/offices/OESE/SDFS Pasqua Yaqui Tribe Jill Fabian 520-879-6067 Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Paula Burns 602-266-8299 ext. 351 www.problemgambling.az.gov Navajo Nation Maxine Nakai 928-871-7946 Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMSHA) www.samhsa.gov Colorado River Indian Tribes Iris Leivas 928-669-6577 Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention http://ojjdp.ncjrs.org/ Other State and National Contacts: Western Regional Center for the Application of Prevention Technologies (CAPT) www.westcapt.org Arizona Criminal Justice Commission Michelle Neitch/ Phillip Stevenson 602-364-1173/602-364-1157 www.azcjc.gov Bach Harrison, L.L.C. R. Steven Harrison, Ph.D. 801-359-2064 www.bach-harrison.com Arizona Department of Education Student Services Division www.ade.az.gov 27 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Coconino County REPORT PROVIDED BY: Arizona Criminal Justice Commission 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Shining Light on Arizona Youth THIS REPORT IS PROVIDED BY THE Arizona Criminal Justice Commission IN PARTNERSHIP WITH: Administrative Office of the Courts Arizona Department of Education Arizona Department of Health Services Arizona Department of Juvenile Corrections Arizona Juvenile Justice Commission Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Arizona State University Governor’s Division for Substance Abuse Policy Governor’s Office for Children, Youth, and Families 2 Introduction 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Summary for CONTENTS: the gender and ethnicity categories will often be less than the total number of students. Introduction: • Demographics • Risk & Protective Framework Coconino County This report summarizes some of the county-specific findings from the 2006 Arizona Youth Survey administered to 8th, 10th and 12th grade students during the spring of 2006. The survey was designed to assess school safety, adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention Tools for Assessment and Planning How to Read the Charts Data Charts: • Risk & Protective Factor Profiles • Substance Use & Antisocial Behavior • School Safety All schools in Arizona are invited to participate in the survey, and recruitment efforts were successful in obtaining participation by schools in all of the 15 counties. Careful planning and uniform administration of the survey have resulted in survey data that are valid and representative of the students in grades 8, 10, and 12 in Arizona. Risk and Protective Factor Definitions Data Tables Contacts for Prevention Table 1 contains the characteristics of the students who completed the survey in Coconino County and the State. Because not all students answer all of the questions, the number of students in Table 1. Characteristics of Participants Student Totals County 2002 Total Students Grade 8 10 12 Gender Male Female Ethnicity African American American Indian Asian Hispanic Pacific Islander White Other County 2004 County 2006 Number Percent Number Percent Number 1601 100 1225 100 412 25.7 200 717 44.8 595 472 29.5 815 759 Percent State 2006 Number Percent 1107 100 60401 100 16.3 470 42.5 26872 44.5 48.6 337 30.4 19581 32.4 430 35.1 300 27.1 13948 23.1 51.8 635 52.3 545 50.0 28381 48.2 48.2 579 47.7 545 50.0 30505 51.8 25 1.6 15 1.3 20 1.9 2592 4.4 694 45.4 414 35.9 415 38.6 3394 5.8 0.3 1341 2.3 16.7 21376 36.5 20 1.3 10 0.9 3 126 8.2 124 10.8 180 3 0.3 2 665 * 43.5 * 586 50.9 415 n/a n/a n/a n/a 41 457 0.8 38.6 26761 0.2 45.7 3.8 * Pacific Islander was grouped with Asian in 2002 3 2696 4.6 Many states and local agencies have adopted the Risk and Protective Factor Model to guide their prevention efforts. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention is based on the simple premise that to prevent a problem from happening, we need to identify the factors that increase the risk of that problem developing and then find ways to reduce the risks. Just as medical researchers have found risk factors for heart disease such as diets high in fat, lack of exercise, and smoking; a team of researchers at the University of Washington have defined a set of risk factors for youth problem behaviors. Risk factors are characteristics of school, community, and family environments, as well as characteristics of students and their peer groups that are known to predict increased likelihood of drug use, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violent behavior among youth. Protective factors exert a positive influence or buffer against the negative influence of risk, thus reducing the likelihood that adolescents will engage in problem behaviors. Dr. J. David Hawkins, Dr. Richard F. Catalano, and their colleagues at the University of Washington, Social Development Research Group have investigated the relationship between risk and protective factors and youth problem behavior. For example, they have found that children who live in families with high levels of conflict are more likely to become involved in problem behaviors such as delinquency and drug use than children who live in families with low levels of family conflict. 2006 Prevention Needs Assessment Risk and Protective Factors The chart at the right shows the links between the 19 risk factors and the five problem behaviors. The check marks have been placed in the chart to indicate where at least two well designed, published research studies have shown a link between the risk factor and the problem behavior. 9 9 Community laws and norms favorable toward drug use, firearms and crime 9 9 9 Transitions and mobility 9 9 Low neighborhood attachment and community disorganization 9 9 Extreme economic and social deprivation 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Academic failure in elementary school 9 9 9 9 9 Lack of commitment to school 9 9 9 9 9 Early and persistent antisocial behavior 9 9 9 9 9 Alienation and rebelliousness 9 9 Friends who engage in the problem behavior 9 9 Gang involvement 9 9 Favorable attitudes toward the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Early initiation of the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Constitutional factors 9 9 Violence 9 School Drop-Out Availability of drugs and firearms RISK FACTORS Teen Pregnancy Delinquency Risk- and protective-focused drug abuse prevention is also based on the work of Hawkins, Catalano, and their team of researchers at the University of Washington in Seattle. Beginning in the early 1980s the group researched adolescent problem behaviors and identified risk factors for adolescent drug abuse. Not surprisingly, they found that a relationship exists between adolescent drug abuse, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violence, and were able to identify risk factors for these problems. PROBLEM BEHAVIORS Substance Abuse Research on risk and protective factors has important implications for prevention efforts. The premise of this approach is that in order to promote positive youth development and prevent problem behaviors, it is necessary to address those factors that can lead to the problem. By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, specific risk factors that are elevated and widespread can be identified and targeted by preventive interventions that also promote related protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as an elevated risk factor in a community, then mentoring and tutoring interventions can be provided that will improve academic performance, thus reducing the level of the risk factors and decreasing the likelihood of problem behavior. Community 9 Media portrayals of violence 9 9 Family Family history of the problem behavior Family management problems Family conflict Favorable parental attitudes and involvement in the problem behavior 9 School Individual/Peer 4 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 The Arizona Youth Survey as a Tool for Building a Strategic Prevention Framework The Prevention Needs Assessment Survey is an important part of the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) Strategic Prevention Framework Process. CSAP created this 5-step model to guide states and communities through the process of creating planned, data-driven, effective, and sustainable prevention programming. The information presented in this section is taken from CSAP’s Strategic Prevention Framework State Incentive Grant description. Step 1: Profile Population Needs, Resources, and Readiness to Address the Problems and Gaps in Service Delivery • • Community Needs Assessment: The results of this survey (presented in this Profile Report and in results reported at the State level) will identify needs for prevention. States should consider administering a survey to assess adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior, and many of the risk and protective factors that predict adolescent problem behaviors. While planning prevention services, communities are urged to collect and use multiple data sources, including archival and social indicators, assessment of existing resources, key informant interviews, as well as survey data. Community Resource Assessment: It is likely that existing agencies and programs are already addressing some of the prioritized risk and protective factors. It is important to identify the assets and resources already available in the community and the gaps in services and capacity. Community Readiness Assessment: It is very important for states and communities to have the commitment and support of their members and ample resources to implement effective prevention efforts. Therefore, the readiness and capacity of communities and resources to act should also be assessed. Step 2: Mobilize and/or Build Capacity to Address Needs: Engagement of key stakeholders at the state and community levels is critical to plan and implement successful prevention activities that will be sustained over time. Some of the key tasks to mobilize the state and communities are to work with leaders and stakeholders to build coalitions, provide training, leverage resources, and help sustain prevention activities. Step 3: Develop a Comprehensive Strategic Plan: States and communities should develop a strategic plan that articulates not only a vision for the prevention activities, but also strategies for organizing and implementing prevention efforts. The strategic plan should be based on documented needs, build on identified resources/strengths, set measurable objectives, and identify how progress will be monitored. Plans should be adjusted with ongoing needs assessment and monitoring activities. The issue of sustainability should be kept in mind throughout each step of planning and implementation. Step 4: Implement Evidence-based Prevention Programs and Infrastructure Development Activities: By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, prevention programs can be implemented that will reduce the elevated risk factors and increase the protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as a prioritized risk factor in a community, then mentoring, tutoring, and increased opportunities and rewards for classroom participation can be provided to improve academic performance. After completing Steps 1, 2, and 3, communities will be able to choose prevention programs that fit the Strategic Framework of the community, match the population served, and are scientifically proven to work. The Western Center for the Application of Prevention Technology website (www.westcapt.org) contains a search engine for identifying Best Practice Programs. Step 5: Monitor Process, Evaluate Effectiveness, Sustain Effective Programs/Activities, and Improve or Replace Those That Fail: Finally, ongoing monitoring and evaluation are essential to determine if the outcomes desired are achieved and to assess program effectiveness, assess service delivery quality, identify successes, encourage needed improvement, and promote sustainability of effective policies, programs, and practices. 5 Tools for Assessment and Planning School and Community Improvement Using Survey Data Why the Arizona Youth Survey? Data from the Arizona Youth Survey can be used to help school and community planners assess current conditions and prioritize areas of greatest need. Each risk and protective factor can be linked to specific types of interventions that have been shown to be effective in either reducing risk(s) or enhancing protection(s). The steps outlined here will help your county and community make key decisions regarding allocation of resources, how and when to address specific needs, and which strategies are most effective and known to produce results. What are the numbers telling you? Review the charts and data tables presented in this report. Using the table below, note your findings as you discuss the following questions. • Which 3-5 risk factors appear to be higher than you would want? • Which 3-5 protective factors appear to be lower than you would want? • Which levels of 30-day drug use are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which substances are your students using the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable usage levels? • Which levels of antisocial behaviors are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which behaviors are your students exhibiting the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable behavior levels? How to decide if a rate is “unacceptable.” • • • Use these data for planning. • • • MEASURE Look across the charts – which items stand out as either much higher or much lower than the other? Compare your data with statewide, and national data – differences of 5% between local and other data are probably significant. Determine the standards and values held within your community – For example: Is it acceptable in your community for a percentage of high school students to drink alcohol regularly as long as that percentage is lower than the overall state rate? Substance use and antisocial behavior data – raise awareness about the problems and promote dialogue. Risk and protective factor data – identify exactly where the community needs to take action. Promising approaches – talk with resources listed on the last page of this report for ideas about programs that have proven effective in addressing the risk factors that are high in your community, and improving the protective factors that are low. Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate #1 #2 #3 #4 Risk Factors Protective Factors Substance Use Antisocial Behaviors 6 Practical Implications of the AYS No Child Left Behind The Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities section of the No Child Left Behind Act (NCLB) requires that schools and communities use six Principles of Effectiveness to guide their decisions and spending on federally funded prevention and intervention programs. First introduced in 1998 by the Department of Education, the Principles of Effectiveness outline a data-driven process for ensuring that prevention programs achieve the desired results. The Principles of Effectiveness stipulate that local prevention programs and activities must: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. be based on a needs assessment using objective data regarding the incidence of drug use and violence, target specific performance objectives, be based on scientific research and be proven to reduce violence or drug use, be based on the analysis of predictor variables such as risk and protective factors, include meaningful and on-going parental input in program implementation, and have periodic evaluations of established performance measures. The results of the Arizona Youth Survey presented in this report can help schools and communities comply with the NCLB Act. The Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior charts provide information related to Principle 1 above. The Risk and Protective Factor charts provide information related to Principle 4. Overall, using the Risk and Protective factors planning framework helps schools meet all of the Principles of Effectiveness, and thereby assists schools in complying with the NCLB Act. How to Read the Charts: Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts There are four types of charts presented in this report: 1) substance use and antisocial behavior charts, 2) risk factor charts, 3) protective factor charts, and 4) school safety charts. All the charts show the results of the AYS, and the actual percentages from the charts are presented in Tables 3 through 10. • 30-day use is a measure of the percentage of students who used the substance at least once in the 30 days prior to taking the survey and is a more sensitive indicator of the level of current use of the substance. • Binge drinking and a Pack or more of cigarettes per day are measures of heavy use of alcohol and tobacco. Binge drinking is defined as having five or more drinks in a row during the two weeks prior to taking the survey. • Antisocial behavior (ASB) is a measure of the percentage of students who report any involvement with the eight antisocial behaviors listed in the charts in the past year. In the charts, antisocial behavior will often be abbreviated as ASB. • Dots are used on the charts to show the overall average of all of the youth in each grade who participated in the survey for each behavior. More information about the dots is contained on the following page. Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts This report contains information about alcohol, tobacco and other drug use (referred to as ATOD use throughout this report) and other problem behaviors of students. The bars on each chart represent the percentage of students in that grade who reported the behavior. The four sections in the charts represent different types of problem behaviors. The definitions of each of the types of behavior are provided below. • Ever-used is a measure of the percentage of students who tried the particular substance at least once in their lifetime and is used to show the percentage of students who have had experience with a particular substance. 7 How to Read the Charts: Risk and Protective Factor and School Safety Charts Risk and Protective Factor Charts There are three components of the risk and protective factor charts that are key to understanding the information that the charts contain: 1) the cutpoints for the risk and protective factor scales, 2) the dots that indicate the state values, and 3) the dashed lines that indicate a more “national” value. the progress of prevention programs over time. For example, if the percentage of youth at risk for family conflict in a community prior to implementing a community-wide family/parenting program was 60% and then decreased to 45% one year after the program was implemented, the program would be viewed as helping to reduce family conflict. Dots Cut-Points Before the percentage of youth at risk on a given scale could be calculated, a scale value or cut-point needed to be determined that would separate the atrisk group from the not-at-risk group. The Prevention Needs Assessment (PNA) survey was designed to assess adolescent substance use, antisocial behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Arizona Youth Survey, and surveys designed for other states and areas, follow the PNA format and have the same goal of gathering information on the prevention needs of students, schools, communities, and states. Since PNA surveys have been given to over 200,000 youth nationwide, it was possible to select two groups of youth, one that was more at risk for problem behaviors and another group that was less at risk. A cut-point score was then determined for each risk and protective factor scale that best divided the youth from the two groups into their appropriate group, more at-risk or less at-risk. The criteria for selecting the more at-risk and the less atrisk groups included academic grades (the more atrisk group received “D” and “F” grades, the less atrisk group received “A” and “B” grades), ATOD use (the more at-risk group had more regular use, the less at-risk group had no drug use and use of alcohol or tobacco on only a few occasions), and antisocial behavior (the more at-risk group had two or more serious delinquent acts in the past year, the less atrisk group had no serious delinquent acts). The cut-points that were determined by analyzing the results of the more at-risk and less at-risk groups will remain constant and will be used to produce the profiles for future surveys. Since the cut-points for each scale will remain fixed, the percentage of youth above the cut-point on a scale (at-risk) will provide a method for evaluating The dots on the charts represent the percentage of all of the youth surveyed from Arizona who reported ‘elevated risk’ or ‘elevated protection’. The comparison to the state-wide sample provides additional information for your community in determining the relative importance of each risk or protective factor level. Scanning across the charts, you can easily determine which factors are most (or least) prevalent for your community. This is the first step in identifying the levels of risk and protection that are operating in your community and which factors your community may choose to address. Dashed Line Levels of risk and protection in your community also can be compared to a more national sample. The dashed line on each risk and protective factor chart represents the percentage of youth at risk or with protection for the seven state sample upon which the cut-points were developed. The seven states included in the norm group were Colorado, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Oregon, Utah, and Washington. All the states have a mix of urban and rural students. Again, brief definitions of the risk and protective factors are provided following the profile charts. For more information about risk and protective factors, please refer to the resources listed on the last page of this report under Contacts for Prevention. School Safety Charts The school safety profile charts contain the percentages of students who felt unsafe at school or on the way to school, were threatened or injured with a weapon at school, were in a physical fight at school, or carried a weapon to school. The complete questions and values for each response option can be seen in Table 10. 8 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Coconino County Student Survey, Grade 8 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 9 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Coconino County Student Survey, Grade 8 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 10 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Coconino County Student Survey, Grade 10 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 11 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Coconino County Student Survey, Grade 10 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 12 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Coconino County Student Survey, Grade 12 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 13 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Coconino County Student Survey, Grade 12 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 14 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Coconino County Student Survey, Grade 8 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 15 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Coconino County Student Survey, Grade 10 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 16 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Coconino County Student Survey, Grade 12 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 17 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Coconino County Student Survey, Grade 8 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 18 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Coconino County Student Survey, Grade 10 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 19 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Coconino County Student Survey, Grade 12 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 20 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions Community Domain Risk Factors Community and Personal Transitions & Mobility Neighborhoods with high rates of residential mobility have been shown to have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling, while children who experience frequent residential moves and stressful life transitions have been shown to have higher risk for school failure, delinquency, and drug use. Community Disorganization Research has shown that neighborhoods with high population density, lack of natural surveillance of public places, physical deterioration, and high rates of adult crime also have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling. Low Neighborhood Attachment A low level of bonding to the neighborhood is related to higher levels of juvenile crime and drug selling. Laws and Norms Favorable Toward Drug Use Research has shown that legal restrictions on alcohol and tobacco use, such as raising the legal drinking age, restricting smoking in public places, and increased taxation have been followed by decreases in consumption. Moreover, national surveys of high school seniors have shown that shifts in normative attitudes toward drug use have preceded changes in prevalence of use. Perceived Availability of Drugs and Handguns The availability of cigarettes, alcohol, marijuana, and other illegal drugs has been related to the use of these substances by adolescents. The availability of handguns is also related to a higher risk of crime and substance use by adolescents. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When opportunities are available in a community for positive participation, children are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement Rewards for positive participation in activities helps children bond to the community, thus lowering their risk for substance use. Family Domain Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Risk Factors When children are raised in a family with a history of problem behaviors (e.g., violence or ATOD use), the children are more likely to engage in these behaviors. Children raised in families high in conflict, whether or not the child is directly involved in the conflict, appear at risk for both delinquency and drug use. Parental Attitudes Favorable In families where parents use illegal drugs, are heavy users of alcohol, or are tolerant of children’s use, Toward Antisocial Behavior & children are more likely to become drug abusers during adolescence. The risk is further increased if parents involve children in their own drug (or alcohol) using behavior, for example, asking the child to Drugs light the parent’s cigarette or get the parent a beer from the refrigerator. Poor Family Management Parents’ use of inconsistent and/or unusually harsh or severe punishment with their children places them at higher risk for substance use and other problem behaviors. Also, parents’ failure to provide clear expectations and to monitor their children’s behavior makes it more likely that they will engage in drug abuse whether or not there are family drug problems. Protective Factors Family Attachment Young people who feel that they are a valued part of their family are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Opportunities for Positive Involvement Young people who are exposed to more opportunities to participate meaningfully in the responsibilities and activities of the family are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When parents, siblings, and other family members praise, encourage, and attend to things done well by their child, children are less likely to engage in substance use and problem behaviors. School Domain Risk Factors Academic Failure Beginning in the late elementary grades (grades 4-6) academic failure increases the risk of both drug abuse and delinquency. It appears that the experience of failure itself, for whatever reasons, increases the risk of problem behaviors. 21 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions (Continued) Low Commitment to School Surveys of high school seniors have shown that the use of hallucinogens, cocaine, heroin, stimulants, and sedatives or non-medically prescribed tranquilizers is significantly lower among students who expect to attend college than among those who do not. Factors such as liking school, spending time on homework, and perceiving the coursework as relevant are also negatively related to drug use. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When young people are given more opportunities to participate meaningfully in important activities at school, they are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When young people are recognized and rewarded for their contributions at school, they are less likely to be involved in substance use and other problem behaviors. Peer-Individual Risk Factors Early Initiation of Antisocial Behavior and Drug Use Early onset of drug use predicts misuse of drugs. The earlier the onset of any drug use, the greater the involvement in other drug use and the greater frequency of use. Onset of drug use prior to the age of 15 is a consistent predictor of drug abuse, and a later age of onset of drug use has been shown to predict lower drug involvement and a greater probability of discontinuation of use. During the elementary school years, most children express anti-drug, anti-crime, and pro-social attitudes Attitudes Favorable Toward Antisocial Behavior and Drug and have difficulty imagining why people use drugs or engage in antisocial behaviors. However, in middle school, as more youth are exposed to others who use drugs and engage in antisocial behavior, Use their attitudes often shift toward greater acceptance of these behaviors. Youth who express positive attitudes toward drug use and antisocial behavior are more likely to engage in a variety of problem behaviors, including drug use. Friends' Use of Drugs Young people who associate with peers who engage in alcohol or substance abuse are much more likely to engage in the same behavior. Peer drug use has consistently been found to be among the strongest predictors of substance use among youth. Even when young people come from well-managed families and do not experience other risk factors, spending time with friends who use drugs greatly increases the risk of that problem developing. Interaction with Antisocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in problem behaviors are at higher risk for engaging in antisocial behavior themselves. Perceived Risk of Drug Use Young people who do not perceive drug use to be risky are far more likely to engage in drug use. Rewards for Antisocial Behavior Young people who receive rewards for their antisocial behavior are at higher risk for engaging further in antisocial behavior and substance use. Rebelliousness Young people who do not feel part of society, are not bound by rules, don’t believe in trying to be successful or responsible, or who take an active rebellious stance toward society, are at higher risk of abusing drugs. In addition, high tolerance for deviance, a strong need for independence and normlessness have all been linked with drug use. Intention to Use ATODs Many prevention programs focus on reducing the intention of participants to use ATODs later in life. Reduction of intention to use ATODs often follows successful prevention interventions. Depressive Symptoms Young people who are depressed are overrepresented in the criminal justice system and are more likely to use drugs. Survey research and other studies have shown a link between depression and other youth problem behaviors. Gang Involvement Youth who belong to gangs are more at risk for antisocial behavior and drug use. Protective Factors Religiosity Young people who regularly attend religious services are less likely to engage in problem behaviors. Social Skills Young people who are socially competent and engage in positive interpersonal relations with their peers are less likely to use drugs and engage in other problem behaviors. Belief in the Moral Order Young people who have a belief in what is “right” or “wrong” are less likely to use drugs. Prosocial Involvement Participation in positive school and community activities helps provide protection for youth. Prosocial Norms Young people who view working hard in school and the community are less likely to engage in problem behavior. Involvement with Prosocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in prosocial behavior are more protected from engaging in antisocial behavior and substance use. 22 Table 3. Number of Students Who Completed the Survey Grade 8 Total Students County County County 2002 2004 2006 412 200 470 Grade 10 State 2006 26872 County County County 2002 2004 2006 717 595 337 Table 4. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During Their Lifetime Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 50.6 46.5 50.9 50.4 71.2 69.4 71.4 54.6 51.0 41.7 30.8 55.5 53.3 59.9 18.2 19.6 12.8 8.0 18.6 17.9 20.4 37.4 37.6 28.1 18.3 44.7 43.6 44.0 13.0 11.1 17.6 15.2 12.8 12.6 12.3 2.7 5.5 3.1 2.1 8.4 5.0 3.7 8.3 7.1 4.3 3.6 8.9 6.3 7.0 4.5 n/a n/a n/a 6.4 n/a n/a n/a n/a 3.4 2.6 n/a n/a 8.3 n/a 6.1 n/a n/a n/a 6.5 n/a n/a n/a 4.9 3.4 n/a n/a 2.7 3.2 0.5 2.0 1.4 3.3 3.2 1.0 1.5 n/a n/a n/a 3.6 n/a n/a n/a 10.1 8.8 10.0 n/a 19.2 10.2 4.3 2.1 2.0 1.9 8.3 5.8 6.0 n/a n/a 1.7 1.6 n/a n/a 1.4 n/a n/a 10.0 9.8 n/a n/a 9.8 41.7 46.1 42.4 36.2 48.3 52.6 59.9 Table 5. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During the Past 30 Days* Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 2002 Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 29.2 15.1 9.9 21.4 5.2 2.1 4.9 1.0 n/a n/a n/a 2.1 0.8 n/a 2.9 n/a n/a 26.4 2004 24.5 23.5 8.0 23.2 3.0 2.5 1.5 n/a n/a 2.0 n/a 0.0 n/a 3.6 1.0 n/a n/a 27.1 2006 26.7 14.9 3.9 13.5 5.9 1.4 1.9 n/a 1.0 n/a 2.6 0.8 n/a 4.9 0.7 0.5 5.6 24.3 2006 24.1 10.5 2.7 8.5 6.2 1.0 1.7 n/a 1.0 n/a 1.5 0.7 n/a 4.5 0.8 0.8 4.5 19.7 2002 2004 43.8 19.0 8.9 24.3 3.5 4.3 3.6 2.7 n/a n/a n/a 1.7 2.0 n/a 4.2 n/a n/a 27.7 43.2 23.3 4.8 19.9 2.7 2.2 2.6 n/a n/a 2.2 n/a 0.9 n/a 10.6 0.7 n/a n/a 28.1 2006 37.9 23.5 6.0 19.0 3.3 1.0 2.4 n/a 1.4 n/a 0.7 0.7 n/a 2.1 1.4 0.7 2.7 28.7 Grade 12 State 2006 19581 County County County 2002 2004 2006 472 430 300 State 2006 13948 Grade 12 State 2006 67.6 43.8 11.8 34.0 11.9 4.1 7.6 n/a 5.0 n/a 7.1 2.1 n/a 14.3 3.4 2.0 16.0 47.0 County County County 2002 2004 2006 80.2 67.2 25.6 57.4 15.6 12.6 11.9 8.6 n/a n/a n/a 3.0 5.4 n/a 9.6 n/a n/a 58.1 76.3 58.6 19.1 49.6 10.1 10.2 11.8 n/a n/a 11.5 n/a 3.8 n/a 23.2 8.7 n/a n/a 56.7 79.9 70.2 26.6 57.9 11.4 4.7 12.5 n/a 9.4 n/a 7.7 1.8 n/a 18.1 5.2 0.8 17.0 65.6 State 2006 74.5 50.0 15.6 42.6 9.8 5.6 11.6 n/a 6.6 n/a 8.5 2.8 n/a 17.4 4.4 2.2 20.0 52.8 Grade 12 State 2006 39.2 17.1 4.0 15.7 3.1 1.7 2.9 n/a 1.7 n/a 2.9 0.7 n/a 6.6 1.0 1.0 7.3 25.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 53.8 27.1 10.9 26.4 2.6 3.9 3.7 2.0 n/a n/a n/a 0.9 1.6 n/a 3.3 n/a n/a 29.3 47.3 28.3 5.2 19.3 0.9 2.8 4.3 n/a n/a 4.2 n/a 1.0 n/a 10.8 0.7 n/a n/a 28.2 48.1 26.7 8.5 21.6 1.1 1.5 1.5 n/a 1.1 n/a 3.3 0.7 n/a 8.5 0.7 0.0 9.4 29.2 State 2006 47.0 21.8 5.4 18.1 1.7 1.7 3.3 n/a 1.4 n/a 2.6 0.8 n/a 7.1 0.9 1.0 8.1 26.6 n/a - Indicates a question that was not asked in the 2002, 2004, or 2006 Arizona Youth Surveys. ATOD questions have differed slightly over the years. The differences are as follows. On how many occasions (if any) have you: 1 used methamphetamines (meth, crystal, crank)? [2002] used methamphetamines (meth, speed, crank, or crystal meth)? [2006] 2 3 used stimulants (amphetamines, meth, crystal, crank) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004] used stimulants, other than methamphetamines (such as amphetamines, Ritalin or Dexedrine) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2006] 4 5 used quaaludes, barbiturates or tranquilizers? [2002] used sedatives (tranquilizers, such as Valium or Xanax, barbiturates or sleeping pills) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004, 2006] 6 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. Note: 2006 'Any Drug' use does not include reported use of steroids or prescription drugs in order to make the 2006 results comparable to previous surveys. Further, the 2002 lifetime use data presented here is derived from a question asking students to report how old they were when they first used each substance. The 2002 lifetime use value reflects those students who indicated any age of first use. 23 Table 6. Percentage of Students With Heavy Use of Alcohol and Cigarettes Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 Binge Drinking 15.3 19.8 17.4 13.4 24.8 26.4 24.7 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day 2.1 0.0 0.5 1.0 3.7 2.2 2.2 Table 7. Percentage of Students With Antisocial Behavior in the Past Year Grade 8 Grade 10 Behavior County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 Suspended from School 21.0 28.6 23.1 Drunk or High at School 20.6 21.4 18.6 Sold Illegal Drugs 6.3 7.6 6.3 Stolen a Vehicle 5.5 9.5 5.5 Been Arrested 9.8 16.2 11.7 Attacked to Harm 14.4 19.6 17.8 Carried a Handgun 9.6 10.5 8.3 Handgun to School 2.5 1.5 1.9 Table 8. Percentage of Students Reporting Protection Grade 8 Protective Factor Community Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Family Domain Family Attachment Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement School Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Peer-Individual Domain Religiosity Social Skills Belief in the Moral Order Interaction with Prosocial Peers Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 19.8 13.0 4.9 4.6 8.3 17.9 7.6 1.6 2002 14.1 26.5 8.3 5.4 11.7 11.6 7.0 1.4 2004 10.5 26.3 8.9 5.6 11.0 16.8 5.8 1.5 2006 12.3 29.3 6.2 3.9 13.2 17.4 7.3 1.0 Grade 12 State 2006 22.4 2.4 County County County 2002 2004 2006 27.7 4.8 County County County 2002 2004 2006 25.0 3.5 28.2 3.9 Grade 12 State 2006 15.5 21.1 9.1 4.7 9.3 16.5 7.5 1.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 12.9 30.3 9.1 2.6 14.7 9.7 7.9 1.7 Grade 10 State 2006 32.9 5.5 State 2006 8.2 27.2 10.8 4.2 14.2 13.9 6.3 2.3 10.2 29.7 11.1 2.4 7.3 14.5 9.0 1.0 State 2006 9.4 21.4 9.8 3.1 7.8 13.2 7.0 1.4 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 32.7 35.4 33.0 32.3 40.7 28.9 38.2 30.4 42.2 42.9 40.0 37.7 29.9 38.8 37.1 36.3 37.5 39.6 40.0 33.7 36.4 31.2 37.6 35.2 56.3 63.4 62.9 43.4 55.1 54.3 53.0 58.2 65.9 48.7 57.4 60.6 51.4 57.2 59.2 46.9 54.9 58.1 44.2 53.2 57.2 44.1 53.0 54.9 60.5 56.0 59.4 59.1 58.8 62.7 60.7 57.9 66.2 57.1 55.9 56.9 55.8 49.6 54.8 46.0 67.2 57.5 59.1 50.7 54.4 60.1 62.6 66.1 61.3 66.2 62.9 62.3 65.1 51.9 58.8 51.6 65.1 49.5 65.2 48.0 * 56.2 56.3 * * * 30.8 55.1 56.1 34.7 30.3 62.4 41.9 57.3 59.5 45.5 37.1 62.4 46.2 58.3 54.3 46.1 37.7 58.8 * 52.6 61.4 * * * 43.7 50.3 65.8 51.9 49.2 62.3 41.7 47.1 67.5 46.6 39.1 64.3 44.3 52.4 62.6 49.6 39.3 61.1 * 64.3 50.9 * * * 70.6 63.2 53.2 45.5 40.2 49.5 65.7 59.1 48.2 47.3 36.8 53.1 70.7 66.0 51.2 48.1 39.1 53.4 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 24 Table 9. Percentage of Students Reporting Risk Grade 8 Risk Factor Community Domain Low Neighborhood Attachment Community Disorganization Transitions & Mobility Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Perceived Availability of Drugs Perceived Availability of Handguns Family Domain Poor Family Management Family Conflict Family History of Antisocial Behavior Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use School Domain Academic Failure Low Commitment to School Peer-Individual Domain Rebelliousness Early Initiation of ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Perceived Risk of Drug Use Interaction with Antisocial Peers Friend's Use of Drugs Rewards for ASB Depressive Symptoms Intention to Use Drugs Gang Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 42.7 42.5 39.1 34.7 38.3 34.8 44.3 59.3 47.9 41.1 41.0 41.3 38.1 44.1 50.7 37.2 42.4 39.6 40.7 48.2 53.7 37.8 38.1 37.0 41.5 48.3 46.5 36.0 48.5 24.5 48.7 52.2 54.4 45.8 51.4 31.1 51.1 64.3 51.6 41.7 49.1 27.4 46.9 57.6 60.4 42.5 48.8 27.6 51.2 43.2 45.8 32.6 53.0 36.5 49.5 49.3 55.8 41.9 52.8 33.8 60.3 59.9 51.6 39.9 54.0 32.7 49.8 52.3 54.9 34.6 51.3 34.1 42.6 38.8 48.7 43.5 21.4 55.9 51.1 66.3 42.9 25.4 48.7 44.6 46.9 53.5 33.2 47.9 52.2 42.7 48.5 29.1 44.2 32.3 46.4 45.3 39.2 41.8 35.7 51.7 47.0 42.0 45.2 35.4 54.9 46.2 39.7 45.0 42.2 43.2 50.0 41.1 43.2 25.9 43.3 41.8 36.9 42.8 32.6 48.3 44.1 41.8 42.5 33.0 47.4 46.4 40.0 44.8 38.3 38.6 45.9 40.1 56.2 35.5 71.8 40.9 52.6 39.0 48.6 41.1 51.5 45.4 52.0 39.2 57.9 40.1 51.6 40.1 51.6 38.0 46.5 46.7 51.2 38.3 44.1 43.0 36.2 35.8 45.9 43.4 35.3 52.6 53.1 48.0 38.9 54.4 * 25.4 35.0 51.5 51.6 46.0 31.5 51.3 79.7 59.4 45.6 68.4 44.6 41.2 38.0 44.4 41.3 45.7 35.3 44.5 61.9 48.8 49.2 45.1 39.2 29.5 43.8 40.2 35.2 46.2 32.4 45.4 58.4 41.3 48.7 45.7 36.5 26.3 41.5 38.4 43.1 56.2 46.3 43.6 51.8 46.4 28.7 48.9 * 15.8 36.5 41.9 44.5 53.3 43.1 41.2 56.5 47.6 41.8 48.6 47.4 22.6 47.9 46.9 49.5 55.4 42.5 37.4 63.2 51.4 43.5 47.9 47.0 29.8 47.5 42.4 36.6 49.7 36.6 39.2 58.1 43.2 45.0 45.5 44.9 23.9 41.7 41.5 48.4 52.1 43.2 43.2 59.7 48.9 38.1 44.6 * 14.2 30.4 44.5 48.5 52.7 41.9 47.3 56.1 40.6 53.8 41.6 35.0 19.8 43.4 45.8 49.7 49.1 40.0 42.0 50.2 39.8 54.9 38.8 32.9 16.8 44.3 38.8 34.1 45.6 34.6 40.5 52.0 35.9 53.8 38.6 29.9 16.3 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 25 Table 10. Percentage of Students Reporting School Safety Issues Grade 8 Question Response County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 0 days During the past 30 days, on how 1 day many days did you carry a weapon 2-3 days such as a gun, knife, or club on 4-5 days school property? (q43) 6 or more days 90.6 3.0 4.2 0.2 2.0 89.2 7.2 1.5 0.5 1.5 88.6 3.4 2.9 1.3 3.8 93.1 3.1 1.6 0.6 1.6 90.4 1.8 2.0 0.7 5.1 93.1 3.2 1.5 0.5 1.7 91.5 1.6 2.8 1.3 2.8 92.7 2.4 1.5 0.7 2.7 90.3 1.1 1.9 0.6 6.1 89.6 2.1 1.4 0.5 6.4 89.0 1.4 1.7 1.0 6.9 94.0 1.4 0.9 0.6 3.0 During the past 30 days, on how many days did you not go to school because you felt you would be unsafe at school or on your way to or from school? (q41) 0 days 1 day 2-3 days 4-5 days 6 or more days 90.9 3.9 1.7 1.5 2.0 79.6 12.2 4.6 1.5 2.0 90.7 4.7 2.2 1.1 1.3 89.3 6.0 2.8 0.7 1.2 95.7 1.4 1.3 0.3 1.4 91.0 5.1 1.2 1.4 1.4 92.2 2.8 3.1 0.3 1.6 92.2 4.1 2.1 0.5 1.1 94.7 2.8 0.8 0.2 1.5 94.3 3.1 0.7 0.9 0.9 95.2 2.8 1.0 1.0 0.0 95.0 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times has someone threatened or injured you with a weapon such as a gun, knife, or club on school property? (q39) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 87.9 5.2 4.0 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.5 80.0 8.2 7.2 2.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 82.0 8.8 3.9 3.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.5 84.5 7.7 4.2 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.2 92.0 3.2 2.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 84.3 7.6 4.4 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.2 89.4 5.0 3.4 1.2 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 86.1 6.7 3.9 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.3 93.2 2.3 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.1 88.7 5.2 3.3 0.9 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 88.9 4.2 4.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 90.5 4.4 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times were you in a physical fight on school property? (q40) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 72.7 14.4 7.5 1.7 1.7 0.7 0.0 1.2 57.6 18.2 15.7 4.0 2.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 71.5 12.8 10.4 2.0 0.4 0.9 0.4 1.5 75.4 13.1 7.1 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.0 85.7 7.3 3.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.1 79.1 12.2 4.9 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.9 80.7 10.9 5.9 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.0 0.9 84.3 8.9 4.4 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 89.1 6.4 2.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.9 86.5 6.4 3.3 1.9 0.2 0.5 0.0 1.2 88.3 6.9 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 91.1 5.5 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 Coconino County 26 Contacts For Prevention Regional Prevention Contacts Arizona Department of Health Services Division of Behavioral Health Services Lisa Shumaker 602-364-4594 www.azdhs.gov/bhs/index.htm Cochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, and Santa Cruz Counties Bill Burnett Community Partnership of Southern Arizona (CPSA) 520-618-8807 Arizona Prevention Resource Center 1-800-432-2772 www.azprevention.org Gila, La Paz, Pinal, and Yuma Counties Linda Weinberg Cenpatico Behavioral Health of Arizona 480-231-7504 Center for Violence Prevention and Community Safety Steve Ballance/Charles Katz 602-543-6174/602-543-6618 steve.ballance@asu.edu/charles.katz@asu.edu Apache, Coconino, Mohave, Navajo, and Yavapai Counties Petrice Post Northern Arizona Regional Behavioral Health Authority (NARBHA) 928-214-2177 Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) http://prevention.samhsa.gov Maricopa County Juan Aristizabal ValueOptions 602-9145844 Governor’s Office of Children, Youth, and Families 602-542-4043 http://www.governor.state.az.us/cyf/index.html Gila River Tribe Marnie McNicholas 602-528-7106 Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities U.S. Department of Education www.ed.gov/offices/OESE/SDFS Pasqua Yaqui Tribe Jill Fabian 520-879-6067 Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Paula Burns 602-266-8299 ext. 351 www.problemgambling.az.gov Navajo Nation Maxine Nakai 928-871-7946 Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMSHA) www.samhsa.gov Colorado River Indian Tribes Iris Leivas 928-669-6577 Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention http://ojjdp.ncjrs.org/ Other State and National Contacts: Western Regional Center for the Application of Prevention Technologies (CAPT) www.westcapt.org Arizona Criminal Justice Commission Michelle Neitch/ Phillip Stevenson 602-364-1173/602-364-1157 www.azcjc.gov Bach Harrison, L.L.C. R. Steven Harrison, Ph.D. 801-359-2064 www.bach-harrison.com Arizona Department of Education Student Services Division www.ade.az.gov 27 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Gila County REPORT PROVIDED BY: Arizona Criminal Justice Commission 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Shining Light on Arizona Youth THIS REPORT IS PROVIDED BY THE Arizona Criminal Justice Commission IN PARTNERSHIP WITH: Administrative Office of the Courts Arizona Department of Education Arizona Department of Health Services Arizona Department of Juvenile Corrections Arizona Juvenile Justice Commission Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Arizona State University Governor’s Division for Substance Abuse Policy Governor’s Office for Children, Youth, and Families 2 Introduction 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Summary for CONTENTS: gender and ethnicity categories will often be less than the total number of students. Introduction: • Demographics • Risk & Protective Framework Gila County This report summarizes some of the county-specific findings from the 2006 Arizona Youth Survey administered to 8th, 10th and 12th grade students during the spring of 2006. The survey was designed to assess school safety, adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention Tools for Assessment and Planning How to Read the Charts Data Charts: • Risk & Protective Factor Profiles • Substance Use & Antisocial Behavior • School Safety All schools in Arizona are invited to participate in the survey, and recruitment efforts were successful in obtaining participation by schools in all of the 15 counties. Careful planning and uniform administration of the survey have resulted in survey data that are valid and representative of the students in grades 8, 10, and 12 in Arizona. Risk and Protective Factor Definitions Data Tables Contacts for Prevention Table 1 contains the characteristics of the students who completed the survey in Gila County and the State. Because not all students answer all of the questions, the number of students in the Table 1. Characteristics of Participants Student Totals County 2002 Total Students Grade 8 10 12 Gender Male Female Ethnicity African American American Indian Asian Hispanic Pacific Islander White Other County 2004 County 2006 Number Percent Number Percent Number 541 100 832 100 148 27.4 215 252 46.6 342 141 26.1 262 271 Percent State 2006 Number Percent 831 100 60401 100 25.8 360 43.3 26872 44.5 41.1 284 34.2 19581 32.4 275 33.1 187 22.5 13948 23.1 49.2 410 50.0 393 48.4 28381 48.2 50.8 410 50.0 419 51.6 30505 51.8 5 1.0 9 1.2 4 0.5 2592 4.4 94 18.2 186 24.4 173 21.3 3394 5.8 0.6 1341 2.3 20.0 21376 36.5 7 1.4 4 0.5 5 108 20.9 172 22.6 163 6 0.8 2 303 * 58.6 * 385 50.5 428 n/a n/a n/a n/a 39 457 0.8 52.6 26761 0.2 45.7 4.8 * Pacific Islander was grouped with Asian in 2002 3 2696 4.6 Many states and local agencies have adopted the Risk and Protective Factor Model to guide their prevention efforts. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention is based on the simple premise that to prevent a problem from happening, we need to identify the factors that increase the risk of that problem developing and then find ways to reduce the risks. Just as medical researchers have found risk factors for heart disease such as diets high in fat, lack of exercise, and smoking; a team of researchers at the University of Washington have defined a set of risk factors for youth problem behaviors. Risk factors are characteristics of school, community, and family environments, as well as characteristics of students and their peer groups that are known to predict increased likelihood of drug use, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violent behavior among youth. Protective factors exert a positive influence or buffer against the negative influence of risk, thus reducing the likelihood that adolescents will engage in problem behaviors. Dr. J. David Hawkins, Dr. Richard F. Catalano, and their colleagues at the University of Washington, Social Development Research Group have investigated the relationship between risk and protective factors and youth problem behavior. For example, they have found that children who live in families with high levels of conflict are more likely to become involved in problem behaviors such as delinquency and drug use than children who live in families with low levels of family conflict. 2006 Prevention Needs Assessment Risk and Protective Factors The chart at the right shows the links between the 19 risk factors and the five problem behaviors. The check marks have been placed in the chart to indicate where at least two well designed, published research studies have shown a link between the risk factor and the problem behavior. 9 9 Community laws and norms favorable toward drug use, firearms and crime 9 9 9 Transitions and mobility 9 9 Low neighborhood attachment and community disorganization 9 9 Extreme economic and social deprivation 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Academic failure in elementary school 9 9 9 9 9 Lack of commitment to school 9 9 9 9 9 Early and persistent antisocial behavior 9 9 9 9 9 Alienation and rebelliousness 9 9 Friends who engage in the problem behavior 9 9 Gang involvement 9 9 Favorable attitudes toward the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Early initiation of the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Constitutional factors 9 9 Violence 9 School Drop-Out Availability of drugs and firearms RISK FACTORS Teen Pregnancy Delinquency Risk- and protective-focused drug abuse prevention is also based on the work of Hawkins, Catalano, and their team of researchers at the University of Washington in Seattle. Beginning in the early 1980s the group researched adolescent problem behaviors and identified risk factors for adolescent drug abuse. Not surprisingly, they found that a relationship exists between adolescent drug abuse, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violence, and were able to identify risk factors for these problems. PROBLEM BEHAVIORS Substance Abuse Research on risk and protective factors has important implications for prevention efforts. The premise of this approach is that in order to promote positive youth development and prevent problem behaviors, it is necessary to address those factors that can lead to the problem. By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, specific risk factors that are elevated and widespread can be identified and targeted by preventive interventions that also promote related protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as an elevated risk factor in a community, then mentoring and tutoring interventions can be provided that will improve academic performance, thus reducing the level of the risk factors and decreasing the likelihood of problem behavior. Community 9 Media portrayals of violence 9 9 Family Family history of the problem behavior Family management problems Family conflict Favorable parental attitudes and involvement in the problem behavior 9 School Individual/Peer 4 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 The Arizona Youth Survey as a Tool for Building a Strategic Prevention Framework The Prevention Needs Assessment Survey is an important part of the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) Strategic Prevention Framework Process. CSAP created this 5-step model to guide states and communities through the process of creating planned, data-driven, effective, and sustainable prevention programming. The information presented in this section is taken from CSAP’s Strategic Prevention Framework State Incentive Grant description. Step 1: Profile Population Needs, Resources, and Readiness to Address the Problems and Gaps in Service Delivery • • Community Needs Assessment: The results of this survey (presented in this Profile Report and in results reported at the State level) will identify needs for prevention. States should consider administering a survey to assess adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior, and many of the risk and protective factors that predict adolescent problem behaviors. While planning prevention services, communities are urged to collect and use multiple data sources, including archival and social indicators, assessment of existing resources, key informant interviews, as well as survey data. Community Resource Assessment: It is likely that existing agencies and programs are already addressing some of the prioritized risk and protective factors. It is important to identify the assets and resources already available in the community and the gaps in services and capacity. Community Readiness Assessment: It is very important for states and communities to have the commitment and support of their members and ample resources to implement effective prevention efforts. Therefore, the readiness and capacity of communities and resources to act should also be assessed. Step 2: Mobilize and/or Build Capacity to Address Needs: Engagement of key stakeholders at the state and community levels is critical to plan and implement successful prevention activities that will be sustained over time. Some of the key tasks to mobilize the state and communities are to work with leaders and stakeholders to build coalitions, provide training, leverage resources, and help sustain prevention activities. Step 3: Develop a Comprehensive Strategic Plan: States and communities should develop a strategic plan that articulates not only a vision for the prevention activities, but also strategies for organizing and implementing prevention efforts. The strategic plan should be based on documented needs, build on identified resources/strengths, set measurable objectives, and identify how progress will be monitored. Plans should be adjusted with ongoing needs assessment and monitoring activities. The issue of sustainability should be kept in mind throughout each step of planning and implementation. Step 4: Implement Evidence-based Prevention Programs and Infrastructure Development Activities: By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, prevention programs can be implemented that will reduce the elevated risk factors and increase the protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as a prioritized risk factor in a community, then mentoring, tutoring, and increased opportunities and rewards for classroom participation can be provided to improve academic performance. After completing Steps 1, 2, and 3, communities will be able to choose prevention programs that fit the Strategic Framework of the community, match the population served, and are scientifically proven to work. The Western Center for the Application of Prevention Technology website (www.westcapt.org) contains a search engine for identifying Best Practice Programs. Step 5: Monitor Process, Evaluate Effectiveness, Sustain Effective Programs/Activities, and Improve or Replace Those That Fail: Finally, ongoing monitoring and evaluation are essential to determine if the outcomes desired are achieved and to assess program effectiveness, assess service delivery quality, identify successes, encourage needed improvement, and promote sustainability of effective policies, programs, and practices. 5 Tools for Assessment and Planning School and Community Improvement Using Survey Data Why the Arizona Youth Survey? Data from the Arizona Youth Survey can be used to help school and community planners assess current conditions and prioritize areas of greatest need. Each risk and protective factor can be linked to specific types of interventions that have been shown to be effective in either reducing risk(s) or enhancing protection(s). The steps outlined here will help your county and community make key decisions regarding allocation of resources, how and when to address specific needs, and which strategies are most effective and known to produce results. What are the numbers telling you? Review the charts and data tables presented in this report. Using the table below, note your findings as you discuss the following questions. • Which 3-5 risk factors appear to be higher than you would want? • Which 3-5 protective factors appear to be lower than you would want? • Which levels of 30-day drug use are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which substances are your students using the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable usage levels? • Which levels of antisocial behaviors are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which behaviors are your students exhibiting the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable behavior levels? How to decide if a rate is “unacceptable.” • • • Use these data for planning. • • • MEASURE Look across the charts – which items stand out as either much higher or much lower than the other? Compare your data with statewide, and national data – differences of 5% between local and other data are probably significant. Determine the standards and values held within your community – For example: Is it acceptable in your community for a percentage of high school students to drink alcohol regularly as long as that percentage is lower than the overall state rate? Substance use and antisocial behavior data – raise awareness about the problems and promote dialogue. Risk and protective factor data – identify exactly where the community needs to take action. Promising approaches – talk with resources listed on the last page of this report for ideas about programs that have proven effective in addressing the risk factors that are high in your community, and improving the protective factors that are low. Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate #1 #2 #3 #4 Risk Factors Protective Factors Substance Use Antisocial Behaviors 6 Practical Implications of the AYS No Child Left Behind The Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities section of the No Child Left Behind Act (NCLB) requires that schools and communities use six Principles of Effectiveness to guide their decisions and spending on federally funded prevention and intervention programs. First introduced in 1998 by the Department of Education, the Principles of Effectiveness outline a data-driven process for ensuring that prevention programs achieve the desired results. The Principles of Effectiveness stipulate that local prevention programs and activities must: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. be based on a needs assessment using objective data regarding the incidence of drug use and violence, target specific performance objectives, be based on scientific research and be proven to reduce violence or drug use, be based on the analysis of predictor variables such as risk and protective factors, include meaningful and on-going parental input in program implementation, and have periodic evaluations of established performance measures. The results of the Arizona Youth Survey presented in this report can help schools and communities comply with the NCLB Act. The Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior charts provide information related to Principle 1 above. The Risk and Protective Factor charts provide information related to Principle 4. Overall, using the Risk and Protective factors planning framework helps schools meet all of the Principles of Effectiveness, and thereby assists schools in complying with the NCLB Act. How to Read the Charts: Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts There are four types of charts presented in this report: 1) substance use and antisocial behavior charts, 2) risk factor charts, 3) protective factor charts, and 4) school safety charts. All the charts show the results of the AYS, and the actual percentages from the charts are presented in Tables 3 through 10. • 30-day use is a measure of the percentage of students who used the substance at least once in the 30 days prior to taking the survey and is a more sensitive indicator of the level of current use of the substance. • Binge drinking and a Pack or more of cigarettes per day are measures of heavy use of alcohol and tobacco. Binge drinking is defined as having five or more drinks in a row during the two weeks prior to taking the survey. • Antisocial behavior (ASB) is a measure of the percentage of students who report any involvement with the eight antisocial behaviors listed in the charts in the past year. In the charts, antisocial behavior will often be abbreviated as ASB. • Dots are used on the charts to show the overall average of all of the youth in each grade who participated in the survey for each behavior. More information about the dots is contained on the following page. Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts This report contains information about alcohol, tobacco and other drug use (referred to as ATOD use throughout this report) and other problem behaviors of students. The bars on each chart represent the percentage of students in that grade who reported the behavior. The four sections in the charts represent different types of problem behaviors. The definitions of each of the types of behavior are provided below. • Ever-used is a measure of the percentage of students who tried the particular substance at least once in their lifetime and is used to show the percentage of students who have had experience with a particular substance. 7 How to Read the Charts: Risk and Protective Factor and School Safety Charts Risk and Protective Factor Charts There are three components of the risk and protective factor charts that are key to understanding the information that the charts contain: 1) the cutpoints for the risk and protective factor scales, 2) the dots that indicate the state values, and 3) the dashed lines that indicate a more “national” value. the progress of prevention programs over time. For example, if the percentage of youth at risk for family conflict in a community prior to implementing a community-wide family/parenting program was 60% and then decreased to 45% one year after the program was implemented, the program would be viewed as helping to reduce family conflict. Dots Cut-Points Before the percentage of youth at risk on a given scale could be calculated, a scale value or cut-point needed to be determined that would separate the atrisk group from the not-at-risk group. The Prevention Needs Assessment (PNA) survey was designed to assess adolescent substance use, antisocial behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Arizona Youth Survey, and surveys designed for other states and areas, follow the PNA format and have the same goal of gathering information on the prevention needs of students, schools, communities, and states. Since PNA surveys have been given to over 200,000 youth nationwide, it was possible to select two groups of youth, one that was more at risk for problem behaviors and another group that was less at risk. A cut-point score was then determined for each risk and protective factor scale that best divided the youth from the two groups into their appropriate group, more at-risk or less at-risk. The criteria for selecting the more at-risk and the less atrisk groups included academic grades (the more atrisk group received “D” and “F” grades, the less atrisk group received “A” and “B” grades), ATOD use (the more at-risk group had more regular use, the less at-risk group had no drug use and use of alcohol or tobacco on only a few occasions), and antisocial behavior (the more at-risk group had two or more serious delinquent acts in the past year, the less atrisk group had no serious delinquent acts). The cut-points that were determined by analyzing the results of the more at-risk and less at-risk groups will remain constant and will be used to produce the profiles for future surveys. Since the cut-points for each scale will remain fixed, the percentage of youth above the cut-point on a scale (at-risk) will provide a method for evaluating The dots on the charts represent the percentage of all of the youth surveyed from Arizona who reported ‘elevated risk’ or ‘elevated protection’. The comparison to the state-wide sample provides additional information for your community in determining the relative importance of each risk or protective factor level. Scanning across the charts, you can easily determine which factors are most (or least) prevalent for your community. This is the first step in identifying the levels of risk and protection that are operating in your community and which factors your community may choose to address. Dashed Line Levels of risk and protection in your community also can be compared to a more national sample. The dashed line on each risk and protective factor chart represents the percentage of youth at risk or with protection for the seven state sample upon which the cut-points were developed. The seven states included in the norm group were Colorado, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Oregon, Utah, and Washington. All the states have a mix of urban and rural students. Again, brief definitions of the risk and protective factors are provided following the profile charts. For more information about risk and protective factors, please refer to the resources listed on the last page of this report under Contacts for Prevention. School Safety Charts The school safety profile charts contain the percentages of students who felt unsafe at school or on the way to school, were threatened or injured with a weapon at school, were in a physical fight at school, or carried a weapon to school. The complete questions and values for each response option can be seen in Table 10. 8 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Gila County Student Survey, Grade 8 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 9 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Gila County Student Survey, Grade 8 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 10 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Gila County Student Survey, Grade 10 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 11 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Gila County Student Survey, Grade 10 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 12 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Gila County Student Survey, Grade 12 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 13 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Gila County Student Survey, Grade 12 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 14 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Gila County Student Survey, Grade 8 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 15 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Gila County Student Survey, Grade 10 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 16 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Gila County Student Survey, Grade 12 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 17 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Gila County Student Survey, Grade 8 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 18 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Gila County Student Survey, Grade 10 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 19 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Gila County Student Survey, Grade 12 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 20 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions Community Domain Risk Factors Community and Personal Transitions & Mobility Neighborhoods with high rates of residential mobility have been shown to have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling, while children who experience frequent residential moves and stressful life transitions have been shown to have higher risk for school failure, delinquency, and drug use. Community Disorganization Research has shown that neighborhoods with high population density, lack of natural surveillance of public places, physical deterioration, and high rates of adult crime also have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling. Low Neighborhood Attachment A low level of bonding to the neighborhood is related to higher levels of juvenile crime and drug selling. Laws and Norms Favorable Toward Drug Use Research has shown that legal restrictions on alcohol and tobacco use, such as raising the legal drinking age, restricting smoking in public places, and increased taxation have been followed by decreases in consumption. Moreover, national surveys of high school seniors have shown that shifts in normative attitudes toward drug use have preceded changes in prevalence of use. Perceived Availability of Drugs and Handguns The availability of cigarettes, alcohol, marijuana, and other illegal drugs has been related to the use of these substances by adolescents. The availability of handguns is also related to a higher risk of crime and substance use by adolescents. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When opportunities are available in a community for positive participation, children are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement Rewards for positive participation in activities helps children bond to the community, thus lowering their risk for substance use. Family Domain Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Risk Factors When children are raised in a family with a history of problem behaviors (e.g., violence or ATOD use), the children are more likely to engage in these behaviors. Children raised in families high in conflict, whether or not the child is directly involved in the conflict, appear at risk for both delinquency and drug use. Parental Attitudes Favorable In families where parents use illegal drugs, are heavy users of alcohol, or are tolerant of children’s use, Toward Antisocial Behavior & children are more likely to become drug abusers during adolescence. The risk is further increased if parents involve children in their own drug (or alcohol) using behavior, for example, asking the child to Drugs light the parent’s cigarette or get the parent a beer from the refrigerator. Poor Family Management Parents’ use of inconsistent and/or unusually harsh or severe punishment with their children places them at higher risk for substance use and other problem behaviors. Also, parents’ failure to provide clear expectations and to monitor their children’s behavior makes it more likely that they will engage in drug abuse whether or not there are family drug problems. Protective Factors Family Attachment Young people who feel that they are a valued part of their family are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Opportunities for Positive Involvement Young people who are exposed to more opportunities to participate meaningfully in the responsibilities and activities of the family are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When parents, siblings, and other family members praise, encourage, and attend to things done well by their child, children are less likely to engage in substance use and problem behaviors. School Domain Risk Factors Academic Failure Beginning in the late elementary grades (grades 4-6) academic failure increases the risk of both drug abuse and delinquency. It appears that the experience of failure itself, for whatever reasons, increases the risk of problem behaviors. 21 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions (Continued) Low Commitment to School Surveys of high school seniors have shown that the use of hallucinogens, cocaine, heroin, stimulants, and sedatives or non-medically prescribed tranquilizers is significantly lower among students who expect to attend college than among those who do not. Factors such as liking school, spending time on homework, and perceiving the coursework as relevant are also negatively related to drug use. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When young people are given more opportunities to participate meaningfully in important activities at school, they are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When young people are recognized and rewarded for their contributions at school, they are less likely to be involved in substance use and other problem behaviors. Peer-Individual Risk Factors Early Initiation of Antisocial Behavior and Drug Use Early onset of drug use predicts misuse of drugs. The earlier the onset of any drug use, the greater the involvement in other drug use and the greater frequency of use. Onset of drug use prior to the age of 15 is a consistent predictor of drug abuse, and a later age of onset of drug use has been shown to predict lower drug involvement and a greater probability of discontinuation of use. During the elementary school years, most children express anti-drug, anti-crime, and pro-social attitudes Attitudes Favorable Toward Antisocial Behavior and Drug and have difficulty imagining why people use drugs or engage in antisocial behaviors. However, in middle school, as more youth are exposed to others who use drugs and engage in antisocial behavior, Use their attitudes often shift toward greater acceptance of these behaviors. Youth who express positive attitudes toward drug use and antisocial behavior are more likely to engage in a variety of problem behaviors, including drug use. Friends' Use of Drugs Young people who associate with peers who engage in alcohol or substance abuse are much more likely to engage in the same behavior. Peer drug use has consistently been found to be among the strongest predictors of substance use among youth. Even when young people come from well-managed families and do not experience other risk factors, spending time with friends who use drugs greatly increases the risk of that problem developing. Interaction with Antisocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in problem behaviors are at higher risk for engaging in antisocial behavior themselves. Perceived Risk of Drug Use Young people who do not perceive drug use to be risky are far more likely to engage in drug use. Rewards for Antisocial Behavior Young people who receive rewards for their antisocial behavior are at higher risk for engaging further in antisocial behavior and substance use. Rebelliousness Young people who do not feel part of society, are not bound by rules, don’t believe in trying to be successful or responsible, or who take an active rebellious stance toward society, are at higher risk of abusing drugs. In addition, high tolerance for deviance, a strong need for independence and normlessness have all been linked with drug use. Intention to Use ATODs Many prevention programs focus on reducing the intention of participants to use ATODs later in life. Reduction of intention to use ATODs often follows successful prevention interventions. Depressive Symptoms Young people who are depressed are overrepresented in the criminal justice system and are more likely to use drugs. Survey research and other studies have shown a link between depression and other youth problem behaviors. Gang Involvement Youth who belong to gangs are more at risk for antisocial behavior and drug use. Protective Factors Religiosity Young people who regularly attend religious services are less likely to engage in problem behaviors. Social Skills Young people who are socially competent and engage in positive interpersonal relations with their peers are less likely to use drugs and engage in other problem behaviors. Belief in the Moral Order Young people who have a belief in what is “right” or “wrong” are less likely to use drugs. Prosocial Involvement Participation in positive school and community activities helps provide protection for youth. Prosocial Norms Young people who view working hard in school and the community are less likely to engage in problem behavior. Involvement with Prosocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in prosocial behavior are more protected from engaging in antisocial behavior and substance use. 22 Table 3. Number of Students Who Completed the Survey Grade 8 Total Students County County County 2002 2004 2006 148 215 360 Grade 10 State 2006 26872 County County County 2002 2004 2006 252 342 284 Table 4. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During Their Lifetime Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 66.4 53.5 63.7 50.4 79.4 68.0 70.2 54.9 42.9 44.5 30.8 61.8 44.2 48.9 21.9 9.0 23.3 8.0 21.8 20.5 26.7 52.4 33.2 27.4 18.3 47.0 33.4 40.9 6.8 10.0 17.5 15.2 14.7 9.9 15.1 3.4 3.8 2.1 2.1 5.6 5.4 4.0 11.0 4.4 3.4 3.6 8.0 6.3 6.5 4.9 n/a n/a n/a 9.3 n/a n/a n/a n/a 3.6 2.6 n/a n/a 6.4 n/a 3.8 n/a n/a n/a 5.4 n/a n/a n/a 4.9 3.4 n/a n/a 5.3 4.1 1.5 0.6 1.4 1.2 1.8 2.5 2.0 n/a n/a n/a 6.4 n/a n/a n/a 13.0 9.3 10.0 n/a 12.4 15.3 11.0 2.4 2.2 1.9 7.5 3.3 1.3 n/a n/a 1.5 1.6 n/a n/a 1.3 n/a n/a 13.7 9.8 n/a n/a 14.0 53.4 41.3 38.5 36.2 49.2 41.8 53.6 Table 5. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During the Past 30 Days* Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 2002 Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 41.6 15.9 14.0 32.0 3.2 2.4 4.0 0.8 n/a n/a n/a 4.1 0.8 n/a 6.7 n/a n/a 35.5 2004 29.2 18.4 3.3 15.3 4.8 2.9 1.9 n/a n/a 2.4 n/a 0.0 n/a 6.8 0.0 n/a n/a 23.5 2006 34.3 15.6 13.0 11.3 5.5 1.5 1.5 n/a 1.2 n/a 1.8 0.0 n/a 4.9 1.6 0.9 5.5 20.3 2006 24.1 10.5 2.7 8.5 6.2 1.0 1.7 n/a 1.0 n/a 1.5 0.7 n/a 4.5 0.8 0.8 4.5 19.7 2002 2004 50.4 20.8 7.7 25.0 4.9 1.6 1.2 3.3 n/a n/a n/a 0.4 2.5 n/a 1.7 n/a n/a 27.8 39.8 16.4 8.9 14.8 3.6 3.9 3.3 n/a n/a 3.3 n/a 1.5 n/a 6.6 2.1 n/a n/a 22.1 2006 48.1 22.6 14.7 22.8 4.8 1.6 3.3 n/a 2.9 n/a 2.5 1.7 n/a 6.9 0.4 1.3 3.8 32.4 Grade 12 State 2006 19581 County County County 2002 2004 2006 141 275 187 State 2006 13948 Grade 12 State 2006 67.6 43.8 11.8 34.0 11.9 4.1 7.6 n/a 5.0 n/a 7.1 2.1 n/a 14.3 3.4 2.0 16.0 47.0 County County County 2002 2004 2006 89.1 65.5 27.5 57.4 12.1 4.3 7.2 4.3 n/a n/a n/a 0.7 4.3 n/a 4.3 n/a n/a 60.3 87.8 62.6 31.1 57.4 9.6 6.6 12.6 n/a n/a 7.7 n/a 3.0 n/a 15.6 4.1 n/a n/a 62.4 78.2 50.3 29.1 43.2 9.2 3.5 12.6 n/a 6.8 n/a 5.3 0.6 n/a 15.4 2.9 2.4 14.5 54.8 State 2006 74.5 50.0 15.6 42.6 9.8 5.6 11.6 n/a 6.6 n/a 8.5 2.8 n/a 17.4 4.4 2.2 20.0 52.8 Grade 12 State 2006 39.2 17.1 4.0 15.7 3.1 1.7 2.9 n/a 1.7 n/a 2.9 0.7 n/a 6.6 1.0 1.0 7.3 25.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 59.3 25.0 12.9 22.3 1.4 2.9 1.4 1.4 n/a n/a n/a 0.7 3.6 n/a 1.4 n/a n/a 23.4 58.5 23.8 12.9 19.6 1.5 2.6 3.7 n/a n/a 4.1 n/a 0.7 n/a 8.2 1.5 n/a n/a 25.6 42.1 20.1 7.3 16.4 2.9 0.6 2.3 n/a 2.3 n/a 1.2 0.0 n/a 8.8 0.0 0.6 7.6 23.9 State 2006 47.0 21.8 5.4 18.1 1.7 1.7 3.3 n/a 1.4 n/a 2.6 0.8 n/a 7.1 0.9 1.0 8.1 26.6 n/a - Indicates a question that was not asked in the 2002, 2004, or 2006 Arizona Youth Surveys. ATOD questions have differed slightly over the years. The differences are as follows. On how many occasions (if any) have you: 1 used methamphetamines (meth, crystal, crank)? [2002] used methamphetamines (meth, speed, crank, or crystal meth)? [2006] 2 3 used stimulants (amphetamines, meth, crystal, crank) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004] used stimulants, other than methamphetamines (such as amphetamines, Ritalin or Dexedrine) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2006] 4 5 used quaaludes, barbiturates or tranquilizers? [2002] used sedatives (tranquilizers, such as Valium or Xanax, barbiturates or sleeping pills) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004, 2006] 6 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. Note: 2006 'Any Drug' use does not include reported use of steroids or prescription drugs in order to make the 2006 results comparable to previous surveys. Further, the 2002 lifetime use data presented here is derived from a question asking students to report how old they were when they first used each substance. The 2002 lifetime use value reflects those students who indicated any age of first use. 23 Table 6. Percentage of Students With Heavy Use of Alcohol and Cigarettes Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 Binge Drinking 22.4 23.9 19.3 13.4 24.9 25.4 31.9 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day 1.6 1.5 3.2 1.0 3.3 3.6 3.8 Table 7. Percentage of Students With Antisocial Behavior in the Past Year Grade 8 Grade 10 Behavior County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 Suspended from School 30.7 28.0 28.6 Drunk or High at School 29.2 19.4 20.6 Sold Illegal Drugs 15.8 8.0 5.0 Stolen a Vehicle 4.3 6.1 4.1 Been Arrested 17.3 14.5 10.1 Attacked to Harm 22.1 18.2 20.8 Carried a Handgun 9.3 7.0 7.5 Handgun to School 4.3 2.3 1.2 Table 8. Percentage of Students Reporting Protection Grade 8 Protective Factor Community Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Family Domain Family Attachment Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement School Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Peer-Individual Domain Religiosity Social Skills Belief in the Moral Order Interaction with Prosocial Peers Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 19.8 13.0 4.9 4.6 8.3 17.9 7.6 1.6 2002 8.4 25.3 10.0 5.2 11.7 14.3 5.6 0.8 2004 16.9 17.9 7.5 4.7 13.2 19.0 8.6 2.4 2006 20.5 30.1 10.0 7.7 11.9 17.6 10.5 2.7 Grade 12 State 2006 22.4 2.4 County County County 2002 2004 2006 33.8 2.1 County County County 2002 2004 2006 23.6 1.7 28.2 3.9 Grade 12 State 2006 15.5 21.1 9.1 4.7 9.3 16.5 7.5 1.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 4.3 15.9 5.1 2.9 5.8 10.9 2.2 1.4 Grade 10 State 2006 41.4 4.5 State 2006 9.1 24.5 10.6 1.8 8.6 16.8 6.2 1.8 9.6 20.1 6.3 4.6 7.5 14.7 8.9 2.3 State 2006 9.4 21.4 9.8 3.1 7.8 13.2 7.0 1.4 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 42.6 28.8 32.4 30.7 38.4 35.4 38.2 30.4 40.7 36.2 45.5 42.5 38.7 40.2 37.1 36.3 47.4 42.3 39.6 38.2 39.5 44.0 37.6 35.2 46.8 42.0 54.0 46.6 50.8 59.6 42.3 54.1 58.6 48.7 57.4 60.6 48.8 60.0 56.5 50.9 60.9 60.1 42.5 46.1 53.2 44.1 53.0 54.9 64.0 58.4 57.3 63.3 57.1 61.0 57.4 54.2 63.4 57.1 55.9 56.9 58.2 35.4 57.8 49.5 59.4 54.5 59.1 50.7 51.6 48.6 63.7 67.0 56.4 55.8 62.9 62.3 63.6 41.1 61.7 46.2 65.4 50.3 65.2 48.0 * 37.0 44.0 * * * 37.5 47.6 48.3 43.3 31.6 58.3 54.1 53.5 51.6 46.0 39.4 59.8 46.2 58.3 54.3 46.1 37.7 58.8 * 47.8 63.1 * * * 50.3 53.1 69.0 56.0 45.2 63.3 44.0 50.0 52.9 47.3 36.5 60.5 44.3 52.4 62.6 49.6 39.3 61.1 * 61.4 41.4 * * * 73.4 57.2 52.7 45.4 32.1 47.2 72.2 73.2 56.0 55.5 38.5 53.2 70.7 66.0 51.2 48.1 39.1 53.4 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 24 Table 9. Percentage of Students Reporting Risk Grade 8 Risk Factor Community Domain Low Neighborhood Attachment Community Disorganization Transitions & Mobility Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Perceived Availability of Drugs Perceived Availability of Handguns Family Domain Poor Family Management Family Conflict Family History of Antisocial Behavior Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use School Domain Academic Failure Low Commitment to School Peer-Individual Domain Rebelliousness Early Initiation of ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Perceived Risk of Drug Use Interaction with Antisocial Peers Friend's Use of Drugs Rewards for ASB Depressive Symptoms Intention to Use Drugs Gang Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 37.2 64.9 39.4 52.1 50.8 44.1 45.5 70.0 45.3 51.2 47.5 38.5 45.8 56.7 58.3 48.2 43.1 48.4 40.7 48.2 53.7 37.8 38.1 37.0 50.8 42.0 48.7 39.4 56.7 38.1 50.2 60.4 48.0 48.3 47.9 38.5 53.7 66.4 51.0 57.5 54.7 33.9 46.9 57.6 60.4 42.5 48.8 27.6 53.3 44.9 51.5 29.7 57.7 50.4 56.7 56.6 58.6 44.5 58.3 52.1 55.4 61.8 51.8 40.0 49.4 44.4 49.8 52.3 54.9 34.6 51.3 34.1 59.3 62.3 73.6 57.4 27.3 55.4 49.7 67.0 46.7 30.0 52.8 57.4 57.5 53.3 34.7 47.9 52.2 42.7 48.5 29.1 42.5 35.8 51.7 49.7 48.0 38.8 41.7 51.4 44.1 39.9 51.9 43.9 57.8 52.0 47.8 45.0 42.2 43.2 50.0 41.1 40.4 28.9 35.2 52.7 41.8 43.2 38.2 50.4 46.4 49.8 43.6 40.7 43.9 38.5 37.5 44.8 38.3 38.6 45.9 40.1 66.4 47.9 62.0 40.2 54.7 43.8 48.6 41.1 52.0 51.6 58.9 39.8 60.8 48.6 51.6 40.1 42.5 49.3 45.8 55.5 39.8 41.0 44.1 43.0 52.7 45.8 56.9 43.4 48.3 54.6 66.7 62.1 40.0 65.6 * 37.1 35.0 45.3 49.5 52.3 39.6 58.8 68.0 62.7 53.4 55.6 54.3 29.3 37.9 47.9 50.0 44.8 37.5 50.2 67.3 59.2 55.0 52.4 42.0 26.9 43.8 40.2 35.2 46.2 32.4 45.4 58.4 41.3 48.7 45.7 36.5 26.3 43.4 36.5 48.2 56.2 43.4 41.1 48.0 44.8 31.2 47.6 * 9.2 37.7 43.0 36.2 42.1 34.9 30.7 58.7 40.1 38.6 48.0 43.5 23.2 52.2 53.1 44.3 57.6 42.1 45.0 65.6 50.5 51.1 56.2 53.2 26.3 47.5 42.4 36.6 49.7 36.6 39.2 58.1 43.2 45.0 45.5 44.9 23.9 41.4 36.4 41.7 51.1 45.3 47.9 49.3 39.6 36.7 48.2 * 9.4 32.8 42.3 49.1 47.4 32.6 40.9 58.8 44.0 55.6 45.4 30.6 18.0 43.2 43.2 32.6 31.8 27.0 36.2 53.8 25.8 55.4 46.5 28.9 20.2 44.3 38.8 34.1 45.6 34.6 40.5 52.0 35.9 53.8 38.6 29.9 16.3 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 25 Table 10. Percentage of Students Reporting School Safety Issues Grade 8 Question Response County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 0 days During the past 30 days, on how 1 day many days did you carry a weapon 2-3 days such as a gun, knife, or club on 4-5 days school property? (q43) 6 or more days 85.8 2.0 4.7 1.4 6.1 91.9 3.8 1.0 0.0 3.3 90.2 5.2 2.3 0.6 1.7 93.1 3.1 1.6 0.6 1.6 88.4 1.2 0.8 0.8 8.8 89.4 3.2 0.9 1.2 5.3 85.7 3.0 2.3 1.1 7.9 92.7 2.4 1.5 0.7 2.7 93.4 0.7 1.5 0.0 4.4 90.4 1.8 0.7 1.1 5.9 90.0 1.1 0.6 2.8 5.6 94.0 1.4 0.9 0.6 3.0 During the past 30 days, on how many days did you not go to school because you felt you would be unsafe at school or on your way to or from school? (q41) 0 days 1 day 2-3 days 4-5 days 6 or more days 87.7 3.4 2.1 1.4 5.5 83.9 7.1 4.3 1.9 2.8 88.0 7.2 3.7 0.0 1.1 89.3 6.0 2.8 0.7 1.2 95.6 1.6 1.2 0.4 1.2 88.7 3.0 3.6 2.1 2.7 91.4 3.7 3.0 0.0 1.9 92.2 4.1 2.1 0.5 1.1 97.2 1.4 0.7 0.0 0.7 91.2 4.0 2.2 1.1 1.5 93.3 3.4 2.2 1.1 0.0 95.0 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times has someone threatened or injured you with a weapon such as a gun, knife, or club on school property? (q39) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 86.5 5.4 0.7 2.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 4.7 85.2 8.6 1.4 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.9 80.6 10.0 4.8 2.0 0.3 1.1 0.0 1.1 84.5 7.7 4.2 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.2 91.2 3.6 2.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.2 86.3 5.7 3.6 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.8 85.1 6.3 3.7 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.1 86.1 6.7 3.9 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.3 96.4 2.9 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 89.7 4.0 3.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.1 92.1 3.4 2.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.6 90.5 4.4 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times were you in a physical fight on school property? (q40) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 66.9 17.6 8.8 2.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 3.4 73.3 15.2 8.1 1.4 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 68.6 16.3 10.9 2.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 1.1 75.4 13.1 7.1 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.0 82.1 12.7 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 81.1 11.2 3.8 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 82.5 9.3 6.0 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.4 1.1 84.3 8.9 4.4 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 92.9 4.3 2.1 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 86.8 8.8 3.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 86.0 10.1 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 91.1 5.5 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 Gila County 26 Contacts For Prevention Regional Prevention Contacts Arizona Department of Health Services Division of Behavioral Health Services Lisa Shumaker 602-364-4594 www.azdhs.gov/bhs/index.htm Cochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, and Santa Cruz Counties Bill Burnett Community Partnership of Southern Arizona (CPSA) 520-618-8807 Arizona Prevention Resource Center 1-800-432-2772 www.azprevention.org Gila, La Paz, Pinal, and Yuma Counties Linda Weinberg Cenpatico Behavioral Health of Arizona 480-231-7504 Center for Violence Prevention and Community Safety Steve Ballance/Charles Katz 602-543-6174/602-543-6618 steve.ballance@asu.edu/charles.katz@asu.edu Apache, Coconino, Mohave, Navajo, and Yavapai Counties Petrice Post Northern Arizona Regional Behavioral Health Authority (NARBHA) 928-214-2177 Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) http://prevention.samhsa.gov Maricopa County Juan Aristizabal ValueOptions 602-9145844 Governor’s Office of Children, Youth, and Families 602-542-4043 http://www.governor.state.az.us/cyf/index.html Gila River Tribe Marnie McNicholas 602-528-7106 Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities U.S. Department of Education www.ed.gov/offices/OESE/SDFS Pasqua Yaqui Tribe Jill Fabian 520-879-6067 Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Paula Burns 602-266-8299 ext. 351 www.problemgambling.az.gov Navajo Nation Maxine Nakai 928-871-7946 Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMSHA) www.samhsa.gov Colorado River Indian Tribes Iris Leivas 928-669-6577 Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention http://ojjdp.ncjrs.org/ Other State and National Contacts: Western Regional Center for the Application of Prevention Technologies (CAPT) www.westcapt.org Arizona Criminal Justice Commission Michelle Neitch/ Phillip Stevenson 602-364-1173/602-364-1157 www.azcjc.gov Bach Harrison, L.L.C. R. Steven Harrison, Ph.D. 801-359-2064 www.bach-harrison.com Arizona Department of Education Student Services Division www.ade.az.gov 27 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Graham County REPORT PROVIDED BY: Arizona Criminal Justice Commission 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Shining Light on Arizona Youth THIS REPORT IS PROVIDED BY THE Arizona Criminal Justice Commission IN PARTNERSHIP WITH: Administrative Office of the Courts Arizona Department of Education Arizona Department of Health Services Arizona Department of Juvenile Corrections Arizona Juvenile Justice Commission Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Arizona State University Governor’s Division for Substance Abuse Policy Governor’s Office for Children, Youth, and Families 2 Introduction 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Summary for CONTENTS: the gender and ethnicity categories will often be less than the total number of students. Introduction: • Demographics • Risk & Protective Framework Graham County This report summarizes some of the county-specific findings from the 2006 Arizona Youth Survey administered to 8th, 10th and 12th grade students during the spring of 2006. The survey was designed to assess school safety, adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention Tools for Assessment and Planning How to Read the Charts Data Charts: • Risk & Protective Factor Profiles • Substance Use & Antisocial Behavior • School Safety All schools in Arizona are invited to participate in the survey, and recruitment efforts were successful in obtaining participation by schools in all of the 15 counties. Careful planning and uniform administration of the survey have resulted in survey data that are valid and representative of the students in grades 8, 10, and 12 in Arizona. Risk and Protective Factor Definitions Data Tables Contacts for Prevention Table 1 contains the characteristics of the students who completed the survey in Graham County and the State. Because not all students answer all of the questions, the number of students in Table 1. Characteristics of Participants Student Totals County 2002 Total Students Grade 8 10 12 Gender Male Female Ethnicity African American American Indian Asian Hispanic Pacific Islander White Other County 2004 County 2006 Number Percent Number Percent Number 560 100 500 100 211 37.7 169 206 36.8 212 143 25.5 250 296 State 2006 Number Percent 885 100 60401 100 33.8 307 34.7 26872 44.5 42.4 283 32.0 19581 32.4 119 23.8 295 33.3 13948 23.1 45.8 223 45.1 417 47.8 28381 48.2 54.2 271 54.9 455 52.2 30505 51.8 11 2.1 10 2.1 11 1.3 2592 4.4 6 1.1 52 11.1 54 6.3 3394 5.8 9 1.7 5 1.1 3 0.3 1341 2.3 205 38.7 173 37.0 260 30.3 21376 36.5 3 0.6 3 299 * 56.4 * 224 48.0 491 n/a n/a n/a n/a 36 Percent 457 0.8 57.2 26761 0.3 45.7 4.2 * Pacific Islander was grouped with Asian in 2002 3 2696 4.6 Many states and local agencies have adopted the Risk and Protective Factor Model to guide their prevention efforts. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention is based on the simple premise that to prevent a problem from happening, we need to identify the factors that increase the risk of that problem developing and then find ways to reduce the risks. Just as medical researchers have found risk factors for heart disease such as diets high in fat, lack of exercise, and smoking; a team of researchers at the University of Washington have defined a set of risk factors for youth problem behaviors. Risk factors are characteristics of school, community, and family environments, as well as characteristics of students and their peer groups that are known to predict increased likelihood of drug use, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violent behavior among youth. Protective factors exert a positive influence or buffer against the negative influence of risk, thus reducing the likelihood that adolescents will engage in problem behaviors. Dr. J. David Hawkins, Dr. Richard F. Catalano, and their colleagues at the University of Washington, Social Development Research Group have investigated the relationship between risk and protective factors and youth problem behavior. For example, they have found that children who live in families with high levels of conflict are more likely to become involved in problem behaviors such as delinquency and drug use than children who live in families with low levels of family conflict. 2006 Prevention Needs Assessment Risk and Protective Factors The chart at the right shows the links between the 19 risk factors and the five problem behaviors. The check marks have been placed in the chart to indicate where at least two well designed, published research studies have shown a link between the risk factor and the problem behavior. 9 9 Community laws and norms favorable toward drug use, firearms and crime 9 9 9 Transitions and mobility 9 9 Low neighborhood attachment and community disorganization 9 9 Extreme economic and social deprivation 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Academic failure in elementary school 9 9 9 9 9 Lack of commitment to school 9 9 9 9 9 Early and persistent antisocial behavior 9 9 9 9 9 Alienation and rebelliousness 9 9 Friends who engage in the problem behavior 9 9 Gang involvement 9 9 Favorable attitudes toward the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Early initiation of the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Constitutional factors 9 9 Violence 9 School Drop-Out Availability of drugs and firearms RISK FACTORS Teen Pregnancy Delinquency Risk- and protective-focused drug abuse prevention is also based on the work of Hawkins, Catalano, and their team of researchers at the University of Washington in Seattle. Beginning in the early 1980s the group researched adolescent problem behaviors and identified risk factors for adolescent drug abuse. Not surprisingly, they found that a relationship exists between adolescent drug abuse, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violence, and were able to identify risk factors for these problems. PROBLEM BEHAVIORS Substance Abuse Research on risk and protective factors has important implications for prevention efforts. The premise of this approach is that in order to promote positive youth development and prevent problem behaviors, it is necessary to address those factors that can lead to the problem. By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, specific risk factors that are elevated and widespread can be identified and targeted by preventive interventions that also promote related protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as an elevated risk factor in a community, then mentoring and tutoring interventions can be provided that will improve academic performance, thus reducing the level of the risk factors and decreasing the likelihood of problem behavior. Community 9 Media portrayals of violence 9 9 Family Family history of the problem behavior Family management problems Family conflict Favorable parental attitudes and involvement in the problem behavior 9 School Individual/Peer 4 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 The Arizona Youth Survey as a Tool for Building a Strategic Prevention Framework The Prevention Needs Assessment Survey is an important part of the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) Strategic Prevention Framework Process. CSAP created this 5-step model to guide states and communities through the process of creating planned, data-driven, effective, and sustainable prevention programming. The information presented in this section is taken from CSAP’s Strategic Prevention Framework State Incentive Grant description. Step 1: Profile Population Needs, Resources, and Readiness to Address the Problems and Gaps in Service Delivery • • Community Needs Assessment: The results of this survey (presented in this Profile Report and in results reported at the State level) will identify needs for prevention. States should consider administering a survey to assess adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior, and many of the risk and protective factors that predict adolescent problem behaviors. While planning prevention services, communities are urged to collect and use multiple data sources, including archival and social indicators, assessment of existing resources, key informant interviews, as well as survey data. Community Resource Assessment: It is likely that existing agencies and programs are already addressing some of the prioritized risk and protective factors. It is important to identify the assets and resources already available in the community and the gaps in services and capacity. Community Readiness Assessment: It is very important for states and communities to have the commitment and support of their members and ample resources to implement effective prevention efforts. Therefore, the readiness and capacity of communities and resources to act should also be assessed. Step 2: Mobilize and/or Build Capacity to Address Needs: Engagement of key stakeholders at the state and community levels is critical to plan and implement successful prevention activities that will be sustained over time. Some of the key tasks to mobilize the state and communities are to work with leaders and stakeholders to build coalitions, provide training, leverage resources, and help sustain prevention activities. Step 3: Develop a Comprehensive Strategic Plan: States and communities should develop a strategic plan that articulates not only a vision for the prevention activities, but also strategies for organizing and implementing prevention efforts. The strategic plan should be based on documented needs, build on identified resources/strengths, set measurable objectives, and identify how progress will be monitored. Plans should be adjusted with ongoing needs assessment and monitoring activities. The issue of sustainability should be kept in mind throughout each step of planning and implementation. Step 4: Implement Evidence-based Prevention Programs and Infrastructure Development Activities: By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, prevention programs can be implemented that will reduce the elevated risk factors and increase the protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as a prioritized risk factor in a community, then mentoring, tutoring, and increased opportunities and rewards for classroom participation can be provided to improve academic performance. After completing Steps 1, 2, and 3, communities will be able to choose prevention programs that fit the Strategic Framework of the community, match the population served, and are scientifically proven to work. The Western Center for the Application of Prevention Technology website (www.westcapt.org) contains a search engine for identifying Best Practice Programs. Step 5: Monitor Process, Evaluate Effectiveness, Sustain Effective Programs/Activities, and Improve or Replace Those That Fail: Finally, ongoing monitoring and evaluation are essential to determine if the outcomes desired are achieved and to assess program effectiveness, assess service delivery quality, identify successes, encourage needed improvement, and promote sustainability of effective policies, programs, and practices. 5 Tools for Assessment and Planning School and Community Improvement Using Survey Data Why the Arizona Youth Survey? Data from the Arizona Youth Survey can be used to help school and community planners assess current conditions and prioritize areas of greatest need. Each risk and protective factor can be linked to specific types of interventions that have been shown to be effective in either reducing risk(s) or enhancing protection(s). The steps outlined here will help your county and community make key decisions regarding allocation of resources, how and when to address specific needs, and which strategies are most effective and known to produce results. What are the numbers telling you? Review the charts and data tables presented in this report. Using the table below, note your findings as you discuss the following questions. • Which 3-5 risk factors appear to be higher than you would want? • Which 3-5 protective factors appear to be lower than you would want? • Which levels of 30-day drug use are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which substances are your students using the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable usage levels? • Which levels of antisocial behaviors are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which behaviors are your students exhibiting the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable behavior levels? How to decide if a rate is “unacceptable.” • • • Use these data for planning. • • • MEASURE Look across the charts – which items stand out as either much higher or much lower than the other? Compare your data with statewide, and national data – differences of 5% between local and other data are probably significant. Determine the standards and values held within your community – For example: Is it acceptable in your community for a percentage of high school students to drink alcohol regularly as long as that percentage is lower than the overall state rate? Substance use and antisocial behavior data – raise awareness about the problems and promote dialogue. Risk and protective factor data – identify exactly where the community needs to take action. Promising approaches – talk with resources listed on the last page of this report for ideas about programs that have proven effective in addressing the risk factors that are high in your community, and improving the protective factors that are low. Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate #1 #2 #3 #4 Risk Factors Protective Factors Substance Use Antisocial Behaviors 6 Practical Implications of the AYS No Child Left Behind The Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities section of the No Child Left Behind Act (NCLB) requires that schools and communities use six Principles of Effectiveness to guide their decisions and spending on federally funded prevention and intervention programs. First introduced in 1998 by the Department of Education, the Principles of Effectiveness outline a data-driven process for ensuring that prevention programs achieve the desired results. The Principles of Effectiveness stipulate that local prevention programs and activities must: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. be based on a needs assessment using objective data regarding the incidence of drug use and violence, target specific performance objectives, be based on scientific research and be proven to reduce violence or drug use, be based on the analysis of predictor variables such as risk and protective factors, include meaningful and on-going parental input in program implementation, and have periodic evaluations of established performance measures. The results of the Arizona Youth Survey presented in this report can help schools and communities comply with the NCLB Act. The Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior charts provide information related to Principle 1 above. The Risk and Protective Factor charts provide information related to Principle 4. Overall, using the Risk and Protective factors planning framework helps schools meet all of the Principles of Effectiveness, and thereby assists schools in complying with the NCLB Act. How to Read the Charts: Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts There are four types of charts presented in this report: 1) substance use and antisocial behavior charts, 2) risk factor charts, 3) protective factor charts, and 4) school safety charts. All the charts show the results of the AYS, and the actual percentages from the charts are presented in Tables 3 through 10. • 30-day use is a measure of the percentage of students who used the substance at least once in the 30 days prior to taking the survey and is a more sensitive indicator of the level of current use of the substance. • Binge drinking and a Pack or more of cigarettes per day are measures of heavy use of alcohol and tobacco. Binge drinking is defined as having five or more drinks in a row during the two weeks prior to taking the survey. • Antisocial behavior (ASB) is a measure of the percentage of students who report any involvement with the eight antisocial behaviors listed in the charts in the past year. In the charts, antisocial behavior will often be abbreviated as ASB. • Dots are used on the charts to show the overall average of all of the youth in each grade who participated in the survey for each behavior. More information about the dots is contained on the following page. Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts This report contains information about alcohol, tobacco and other drug use (referred to as ATOD use throughout this report) and other problem behaviors of students. The bars on each chart represent the percentage of students in that grade who reported the behavior. The four sections in the charts represent different types of problem behaviors. The definitions of each of the types of behavior are provided below. • Ever-used is a measure of the percentage of students who tried the particular substance at least once in their lifetime and is used to show the percentage of students who have had experience with a particular substance. 7 How to Read the Charts: Risk and Protective Factor and School Safety Charts Risk and Protective Factor Charts There are three components of the risk and protective factor charts that are key to understanding the information that the charts contain: 1) the cutpoints for the risk and protective factor scales, 2) the dots that indicate the state values, and 3) the dashed lines that indicate a more “national” value. the progress of prevention programs over time. For example, if the percentage of youth at risk for family conflict in a community prior to implementing a community-wide family/parenting program was 60% and then decreased to 45% one year after the program was implemented, the program would be viewed as helping to reduce family conflict. Dots Cut-Points Before the percentage of youth at risk on a given scale could be calculated, a scale value or cut-point needed to be determined that would separate the atrisk group from the not-at-risk group. The Prevention Needs Assessment (PNA) survey was designed to assess adolescent substance use, antisocial behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Arizona Youth Survey, and surveys designed for other states and areas, follow the PNA format and have the same goal of gathering information on the prevention needs of students, schools, communities, and states. Since PNA surveys have been given to over 200,000 youth nationwide, it was possible to select two groups of youth, one that was more at risk for problem behaviors and another group that was less at risk. A cut-point score was then determined for each risk and protective factor scale that best divided the youth from the two groups into their appropriate group, more at-risk or less at-risk. The criteria for selecting the more at-risk and the less atrisk groups included academic grades (the more atrisk group received “D” and “F” grades, the less atrisk group received “A” and “B” grades), ATOD use (the more at-risk group had more regular use, the less at-risk group had no drug use and use of alcohol or tobacco on only a few occasions), and antisocial behavior (the more at-risk group had two or more serious delinquent acts in the past year, the less atrisk group had no serious delinquent acts). The cut-points that were determined by analyzing the results of the more at-risk and less at-risk groups will remain constant and will be used to produce the profiles for future surveys. Since the cut-points for each scale will remain fixed, the percentage of youth above the cut-point on a scale (at-risk) will provide a method for evaluating The dots on the charts represent the percentage of all of the youth surveyed from Arizona who reported ‘elevated risk’ or ‘elevated protection’. The comparison to the state-wide sample provides additional information for your community in determining the relative importance of each risk or protective factor level. Scanning across the charts, you can easily determine which factors are most (or least) prevalent for your community. This is the first step in identifying the levels of risk and protection that are operating in your community and which factors your community may choose to address. Dashed Line Levels of risk and protection in your community also can be compared to a more national sample. The dashed line on each risk and protective factor chart represents the percentage of youth at risk or with protection for the seven state sample upon which the cut-points were developed. The seven states included in the norm group were Colorado, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Oregon, Utah, and Washington. All the states have a mix of urban and rural students. Again, brief definitions of the risk and protective factors are provided following the profile charts. For more information about risk and protective factors, please refer to the resources listed on the last page of this report under Contacts for Prevention. School Safety Charts The school safety profile charts contain the percentages of students who felt unsafe at school or on the way to school, were threatened or injured with a weapon at school, were in a physical fight at school, or carried a weapon to school. The complete questions and values for each response option can be seen in Table 10. 8 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Graham County Student Survey, Grade 8 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 9 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Graham County Student Survey, Grade 8 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 10 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Graham County Student Survey, Grade 10 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 11 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Graham County Student Survey, Grade 10 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 12 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Graham County Student Survey, Grade 12 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 13 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Graham County Student Survey, Grade 12 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 14 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Graham County Student Survey, Grade 8 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 15 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Graham County Student Survey, Grade 10 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 16 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Graham County Student Survey, Grade 12 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 17 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Graham County Student Survey, Grade 8 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 18 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Graham County Student Survey, Grade 10 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 19 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Graham County Student Survey, Grade 12 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 20 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions Community Domain Risk Factors Community and Personal Transitions & Mobility Neighborhoods with high rates of residential mobility have been shown to have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling, while children who experience frequent residential moves and stressful life transitions have been shown to have higher risk for school failure, delinquency, and drug use. Community Disorganization Research has shown that neighborhoods with high population density, lack of natural surveillance of public places, physical deterioration, and high rates of adult crime also have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling. Low Neighborhood Attachment A low level of bonding to the neighborhood is related to higher levels of juvenile crime and drug selling. Laws and Norms Favorable Toward Drug Use Research has shown that legal restrictions on alcohol and tobacco use, such as raising the legal drinking age, restricting smoking in public places, and increased taxation have been followed by decreases in consumption. Moreover, national surveys of high school seniors have shown that shifts in normative attitudes toward drug use have preceded changes in prevalence of use. Perceived Availability of Drugs and Handguns The availability of cigarettes, alcohol, marijuana, and other illegal drugs has been related to the use of these substances by adolescents. The availability of handguns is also related to a higher risk of crime and substance use by adolescents. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When opportunities are available in a community for positive participation, children are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement Rewards for positive participation in activities helps children bond to the community, thus lowering their risk for substance use. Family Domain Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Risk Factors When children are raised in a family with a history of problem behaviors (e.g., violence or ATOD use), the children are more likely to engage in these behaviors. Children raised in families high in conflict, whether or not the child is directly involved in the conflict, appear at risk for both delinquency and drug use. Parental Attitudes Favorable In families where parents use illegal drugs, are heavy users of alcohol, or are tolerant of children’s use, Toward Antisocial Behavior & children are more likely to become drug abusers during adolescence. The risk is further increased if parents involve children in their own drug (or alcohol) using behavior, for example, asking the child to Drugs light the parent’s cigarette or get the parent a beer from the refrigerator. Poor Family Management Parents’ use of inconsistent and/or unusually harsh or severe punishment with their children places them at higher risk for substance use and other problem behaviors. Also, parents’ failure to provide clear expectations and to monitor their children’s behavior makes it more likely that they will engage in drug abuse whether or not there are family drug problems. Protective Factors Family Attachment Young people who feel that they are a valued part of their family are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Opportunities for Positive Involvement Young people who are exposed to more opportunities to participate meaningfully in the responsibilities and activities of the family are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When parents, siblings, and other family members praise, encourage, and attend to things done well by their child, children are less likely to engage in substance use and problem behaviors. School Domain Risk Factors Academic Failure Beginning in the late elementary grades (grades 4-6) academic failure increases the risk of both drug abuse and delinquency. It appears that the experience of failure itself, for whatever reasons, increases the risk of problem behaviors. 21 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions (Continued) Low Commitment to School Surveys of high school seniors have shown that the use of hallucinogens, cocaine, heroin, stimulants, and sedatives or non-medically prescribed tranquilizers is significantly lower among students who expect to attend college than among those who do not. Factors such as liking school, spending time on homework, and perceiving the coursework as relevant are also negatively related to drug use. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When young people are given more opportunities to participate meaningfully in important activities at school, they are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When young people are recognized and rewarded for their contributions at school, they are less likely to be involved in substance use and other problem behaviors. Peer-Individual Risk Factors Early Initiation of Antisocial Behavior and Drug Use Early onset of drug use predicts misuse of drugs. The earlier the onset of any drug use, the greater the involvement in other drug use and the greater frequency of use. Onset of drug use prior to the age of 15 is a consistent predictor of drug abuse, and a later age of onset of drug use has been shown to predict lower drug involvement and a greater probability of discontinuation of use. During the elementary school years, most children express anti-drug, anti-crime, and pro-social attitudes Attitudes Favorable Toward Antisocial Behavior and Drug and have difficulty imagining why people use drugs or engage in antisocial behaviors. However, in middle school, as more youth are exposed to others who use drugs and engage in antisocial behavior, Use their attitudes often shift toward greater acceptance of these behaviors. Youth who express positive attitudes toward drug use and antisocial behavior are more likely to engage in a variety of problem behaviors, including drug use. Friends' Use of Drugs Young people who associate with peers who engage in alcohol or substance abuse are much more likely to engage in the same behavior. Peer drug use has consistently been found to be among the strongest predictors of substance use among youth. Even when young people come from well-managed families and do not experience other risk factors, spending time with friends who use drugs greatly increases the risk of that problem developing. Interaction with Antisocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in problem behaviors are at higher risk for engaging in antisocial behavior themselves. Perceived Risk of Drug Use Young people who do not perceive drug use to be risky are far more likely to engage in drug use. Rewards for Antisocial Behavior Young people who receive rewards for their antisocial behavior are at higher risk for engaging further in antisocial behavior and substance use. Rebelliousness Young people who do not feel part of society, are not bound by rules, don’t believe in trying to be successful or responsible, or who take an active rebellious stance toward society, are at higher risk of abusing drugs. In addition, high tolerance for deviance, a strong need for independence and normlessness have all been linked with drug use. Intention to Use ATODs Many prevention programs focus on reducing the intention of participants to use ATODs later in life. Reduction of intention to use ATODs often follows successful prevention interventions. Depressive Symptoms Young people who are depressed are overrepresented in the criminal justice system and are more likely to use drugs. Survey research and other studies have shown a link between depression and other youth problem behaviors. Gang Involvement Youth who belong to gangs are more at risk for antisocial behavior and drug use. Protective Factors Religiosity Young people who regularly attend religious services are less likely to engage in problem behaviors. Social Skills Young people who are socially competent and engage in positive interpersonal relations with their peers are less likely to use drugs and engage in other problem behaviors. Belief in the Moral Order Young people who have a belief in what is “right” or “wrong” are less likely to use drugs. Prosocial Involvement Participation in positive school and community activities helps provide protection for youth. Prosocial Norms Young people who view working hard in school and the community are less likely to engage in problem behavior. Involvement with Prosocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in prosocial behavior are more protected from engaging in antisocial behavior and substance use. 22 Table 3. Number of Students Who Completed the Survey Grade 8 Total Students County County County 2002 2004 2006 211 169 307 Grade 10 State 2006 26872 County County County 2002 2004 2006 206 212 283 Table 4. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During Their Lifetime Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 61.0 54.5 49.2 50.4 75.2 64.3 63.6 51.4 38.7 27.3 30.8 60.1 44.9 47.6 10.5 11.3 10.5 8.0 11.8 13.3 11.9 27.6 22.8 18.0 18.3 50.7 40.1 41.7 18.8 16.7 13.9 15.2 22.4 14.5 19.5 4.3 1.8 2.8 2.1 11.2 4.8 6.7 5.7 4.4 3.7 3.6 15.7 6.8 9.5 5.8 n/a n/a n/a 15.5 n/a n/a n/a n/a 4.0 2.6 n/a n/a 9.5 n/a 4.9 n/a n/a n/a 7.2 n/a n/a n/a 2.2 3.4 n/a n/a 11.3 2.4 3.1 1.8 1.4 5.9 2.9 2.1 3.3 n/a n/a n/a 7.4 n/a n/a n/a 17.8 8.9 10.0 n/a 12.4 16.3 5.3 1.3 3.0 1.9 9.9 4.4 2.5 n/a n/a 2.6 1.6 n/a n/a 2.9 n/a n/a 8.1 9.8 n/a n/a 17.5 36.5 39.9 34.2 36.2 55.3 51.2 58.7 Table 5. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During the Past 30 Days* Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 2002 Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 39.6 15.0 3.8 15.9 9.7 2.4 2.4 2.4 n/a n/a n/a 2.4 1.9 n/a 3.9 n/a n/a 23.2 2004 26.8 11.9 1.8 13.0 8.1 1.2 1.3 n/a n/a 1.9 n/a 1.3 n/a 11.1 0.6 n/a n/a 27.4 2006 25.7 9.0 3.4 8.1 4.7 1.8 2.2 n/a 1.8 n/a 1.4 0.8 n/a 4.7 1.5 1.5 4.1 18.3 2006 24.1 10.5 2.7 8.5 6.2 1.0 1.7 n/a 1.0 n/a 1.5 0.7 n/a 4.5 0.8 0.8 4.5 19.7 2002 2004 49.3 19.7 4.9 26.5 7.0 7.0 8.9 8.5 n/a n/a n/a 4.0 4.5 n/a 5.1 n/a n/a 33.5 40.5 16.7 3.8 13.9 4.8 2.4 3.3 n/a n/a 4.4 n/a 1.5 n/a 6.8 1.0 n/a n/a 27.8 2006 38.2 14.8 2.9 20.8 3.6 2.4 3.6 n/a 4.5 n/a 4.0 0.8 n/a 7.3 1.7 2.4 10.2 33.7 Grade 12 State 2006 19581 County County County 2002 2004 2006 143 119 295 State 2006 13948 Grade 12 State 2006 67.6 43.8 11.8 34.0 11.9 4.1 7.6 n/a 5.0 n/a 7.1 2.1 n/a 14.3 3.4 2.0 16.0 47.0 County County County 2002 2004 2006 68.6 60.6 16.9 43.0 13.3 5.6 13.4 11.4 n/a n/a n/a 5.6 2.8 n/a 8.5 n/a n/a 45.5 71.2 57.1 20.2 50.4 17.6 2.5 17.8 n/a n/a 10.2 n/a 5.0 n/a 22.4 2.6 n/a n/a 58.1 64.6 48.3 17.0 41.3 18.1 7.8 18.0 n/a 11.0 n/a 8.6 1.9 n/a 17.9 2.3 3.9 21.9 52.5 State 2006 74.5 50.0 15.6 42.6 9.8 5.6 11.6 n/a 6.6 n/a 8.5 2.8 n/a 17.4 4.4 2.2 20.0 52.8 Grade 12 State 2006 39.2 17.1 4.0 15.7 3.1 1.7 2.9 n/a 1.7 n/a 2.9 0.7 n/a 6.6 1.0 1.0 7.3 25.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 44.4 9.9 3.5 12.7 2.8 2.1 4.9 4.2 n/a n/a n/a 1.4 2.1 n/a 2.1 n/a n/a 15.5 44.1 25.4 10.1 21.8 0.0 1.7 5.1 n/a n/a 3.4 n/a 0.0 n/a 11.1 0.0 n/a n/a 29.6 40.2 21.3 8.9 20.1 4.1 1.9 9.4 n/a 5.1 n/a 2.6 1.6 n/a 8.5 0.4 1.9 9.8 33.1 State 2006 47.0 21.8 5.4 18.1 1.7 1.7 3.3 n/a 1.4 n/a 2.6 0.8 n/a 7.1 0.9 1.0 8.1 26.6 n/a - Indicates a question that was not asked in the 2002, 2004, or 2006 Arizona Youth Surveys. ATOD questions have differed slightly over the years. The differences are as follows. On how many occasions (if any) have you: 1 used methamphetamines (meth, crystal, crank)? [2002] used methamphetamines (meth, speed, crank, or crystal meth)? [2006] 2 3 used stimulants (amphetamines, meth, crystal, crank) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004] used stimulants, other than methamphetamines (such as amphetamines, Ritalin or Dexedrine) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2006] 4 5 used quaaludes, barbiturates or tranquilizers? [2002] used sedatives (tranquilizers, such as Valium or Xanax, barbiturates or sleeping pills) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004, 2006] 6 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. Note: 2006 'Any Drug' use does not include reported use of steroids or prescription drugs in order to make the 2006 results comparable to previous surveys. Further, the 2002 lifetime use data presented here is derived from a question asking students to report how old they were when they first used each substance. The 2002 lifetime use value reflects those students who indicated any age of first use. 23 Table 6. Percentage of Students With Heavy Use of Alcohol and Cigarettes Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 Binge Drinking 21.6 21.0 18.8 13.4 27.2 24.5 26.9 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day 1.9 1.9 1.4 1.0 3.0 2.9 2.6 Table 7. Percentage of Students With Antisocial Behavior in the Past Year Grade 8 Grade 10 Behavior County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 Suspended from School 21.3 18.8 18.6 Drunk or High at School 17.9 12.5 10.9 Sold Illegal Drugs 6.8 6.2 3.3 Stolen a Vehicle 3.4 6.2 2.5 Been Arrested 8.7 8.1 3.9 Attacked to Harm 13.6 18.9 12.2 Carried a Handgun 3.9 7.5 5.2 Handgun to School 0.5 1.3 1.1 Table 8. Percentage of Students Reporting Protection Grade 8 Protective Factor Community Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Family Domain Family Attachment Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement School Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Peer-Individual Domain Religiosity Social Skills Belief in the Moral Order Interaction with Prosocial Peers Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 19.8 13.0 4.9 4.6 8.3 17.9 7.6 1.6 2002 14.3 28.6 16.3 5.4 7.8 12.4 6.4 2.0 2004 10.0 22.7 8.1 3.3 6.7 14.7 6.2 3.8 2006 18.8 27.6 7.7 5.1 7.8 20.2 8.3 1.6 Grade 12 State 2006 22.4 2.4 County County County 2002 2004 2006 24.8 2.8 County County County 2002 2004 2006 26.6 2.1 28.2 3.9 Grade 12 State 2006 15.5 21.1 9.1 4.7 9.3 16.5 7.5 1.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 7.0 13.4 7.7 2.1 4.2 7.7 4.9 2.1 Grade 10 State 2006 33.6 1.7 State 2006 12.7 30.5 10.9 1.7 10.9 10.2 6.8 1.7 9.0 25.4 10.8 1.8 6.1 13.6 8.5 0.4 State 2006 9.4 21.4 9.8 3.1 7.8 13.2 7.0 1.4 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 51.5 35.5 50.0 31.1 63.0 38.9 38.2 30.4 39.8 39.2 54.1 42.2 53.8 48.6 37.1 36.3 57.4 50.0 44.1 48.3 61.0 48.4 37.6 35.2 53.0 59.0 60.7 45.9 53.9 53.7 55.3 64.7 71.7 48.7 57.4 60.6 44.2 50.9 55.4 54.5 64.4 60.6 41.4 56.0 52.6 44.1 53.0 54.9 64.2 60.3 62.5 54.3 59.0 55.6 60.7 56.5 60.5 57.1 55.9 56.9 60.4 48.6 64.1 47.6 72.2 62.4 59.1 50.7 61.6 57.1 63.3 61.8 60.2 65.6 62.9 62.3 69.5 50.0 65.5 48.7 66.1 53.8 65.2 48.0 * 54.9 46.4 * * * 57.3 51.2 42.3 50.6 43.2 53.4 57.7 60.3 62.7 59.5 44.1 64.7 46.2 58.3 54.3 46.1 37.7 58.8 * 51.2 49.0 * * * 53.6 53.1 60.6 52.9 40.8 61.0 54.8 51.1 56.1 55.9 43.1 58.7 44.3 52.4 62.6 49.6 39.3 61.1 * 65.5 40.1 * * * 83.2 60.5 49.6 50.9 37.3 55.7 84.8 65.9 55.9 58.1 45.3 54.5 70.7 66.0 51.2 48.1 39.1 53.4 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 24 Table 9. Percentage of Students Reporting Risk Grade 8 Risk Factor Community Domain Low Neighborhood Attachment Community Disorganization Transitions & Mobility Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Perceived Availability of Drugs Perceived Availability of Handguns Family Domain Poor Family Management Family Conflict Family History of Antisocial Behavior Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use School Domain Academic Failure Low Commitment to School Peer-Individual Domain Rebelliousness Early Initiation of ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Perceived Risk of Drug Use Interaction with Antisocial Peers Friend's Use of Drugs Rewards for ASB Depressive Symptoms Intention to Use Drugs Gang Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 37.7 38.4 38.7 44.4 55.4 59.3 48.8 47.8 50.6 46.9 53.1 55.8 33.1 38.5 42.8 31.0 33.6 47.7 40.7 48.2 53.7 37.8 38.1 37.0 47.6 44.1 40.1 52.1 67.9 36.0 46.6 61.7 46.6 45.0 49.0 35.4 43.5 56.1 47.4 47.3 50.9 36.2 46.9 57.6 60.4 42.5 48.8 27.6 39.3 37.0 33.1 19.9 53.6 39.3 55.9 62.4 53.4 39.7 59.5 35.3 42.7 54.3 48.5 27.8 52.9 39.2 49.8 52.3 54.9 34.6 51.3 34.1 52.2 54.9 52.2 47.5 28.8 50.3 55.8 60.3 53.2 28.2 40.6 46.1 43.4 46.3 28.5 47.9 52.2 42.7 48.5 29.1 41.2 41.2 57.1 46.4 36.7 38.2 40.4 51.2 47.1 36.0 46.7 42.7 49.8 52.7 40.9 45.0 42.2 43.2 50.0 41.1 35.3 28.7 25.4 41.6 30.7 40.2 47.9 55.6 45.8 36.4 38.8 37.9 44.8 41.8 30.0 44.8 38.3 38.6 45.9 40.1 46.5 49.3 57.6 54.3 46.9 36.0 48.6 41.1 46.5 45.8 49.3 39.8 51.3 42.4 51.6 40.1 44.2 38.0 45.7 34.5 40.4 38.6 44.1 43.0 51.7 40.9 49.8 39.0 42.9 44.3 57.9 48.8 52.7 53.9 * 13.5 40.0 37.7 42.7 56.2 43.7 53.4 66.2 54.8 63.4 55.1 40.4 23.6 38.7 37.3 33.9 42.6 33.6 37.2 50.5 38.4 46.2 38.9 30.8 15.3 43.8 40.2 35.2 46.2 32.4 45.4 58.4 41.3 48.7 45.7 36.5 26.3 48.5 41.0 48.5 62.0 54.4 48.3 57.3 48.5 36.8 54.2 * 9.2 42.8 31.9 41.1 42.7 34.1 36.4 57.5 41.3 37.2 52.6 40.8 25.7 52.2 46.4 40.9 47.5 47.1 37.7 55.7 42.9 51.3 46.4 39.6 17.1 47.5 42.4 36.6 49.7 36.6 39.2 58.1 43.2 45.0 45.5 44.9 23.9 37.1 36.6 38.5 43.3 32.6 39.3 51.0 31.5 36.9 35.9 * 9.2 40.7 40.3 41.2 43.7 31.1 44.9 60.0 44.3 51.3 49.6 26.3 19.5 44.2 39.6 39.2 42.3 32.1 39.3 46.8 34.2 55.1 40.3 27.7 8.9 44.3 38.8 34.1 45.6 34.6 40.5 52.0 35.9 53.8 38.6 29.9 16.3 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 25 Table 10. Percentage of Students Reporting School Safety Issues Grade 8 Question Response County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 0 days During the past 30 days, on how 1 day many days did you carry a weapon 2-3 days such as a gun, knife, or club on 4-5 days school property? (q43) 6 or more days 95.2 1.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 95.5 1.3 1.3 0.0 1.9 96.0 0.7 2.3 0.0 1.0 93.1 3.1 1.6 0.6 1.6 91.7 2.5 1.5 0.5 3.9 93.8 1.4 1.0 0.5 3.3 90.5 4.0 0.7 1.5 3.3 92.7 2.4 1.5 0.7 2.7 95.0 0.0 2.1 0.0 2.8 91.5 1.7 1.7 0.8 4.2 91.8 1.4 0.3 0.7 5.8 94.0 1.4 0.9 0.6 3.0 During the past 30 days, on how many days did you not go to school because you felt you would be unsafe at school or on your way to or from school? (q41) 0 days 1 day 2-3 days 4-5 days 6 or more days 95.3 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.9 91.2 5.0 1.9 0.0 1.9 91.4 4.3 2.0 0.7 1.7 89.3 6.0 2.8 0.7 1.2 97.1 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 93.3 3.3 1.9 0.5 1.0 91.6 2.9 2.9 1.1 1.5 92.2 4.1 2.1 0.5 1.1 99.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 95.0 0.0 2.5 1.7 0.8 94.9 3.4 0.7 0.3 0.7 95.0 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times has someone threatened or injured you with a weapon such as a gun, knife, or club on school property? (q39) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 91.9 5.2 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 93.9 2.5 1.2 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 90.1 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.0 84.5 7.7 4.2 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.2 89.8 4.4 3.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 91.5 3.3 2.8 0.5 0.0 0.9 0.5 0.5 89.8 2.9 4.4 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.7 86.1 6.7 3.9 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.3 94.3 2.8 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 89.1 3.4 2.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.0 2.5 94.1 3.5 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 90.5 4.4 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times were you in a physical fight on school property? (q40) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 81.5 12.8 4.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 83.1 11.2 1.9 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.0 0.6 80.4 11.6 4.7 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 75.4 13.1 7.1 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.0 84.9 11.2 2.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 82.1 11.8 3.8 0.9 0.0 0.9 0.5 0.0 83.3 10.5 3.6 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.4 84.3 8.9 4.4 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 92.9 5.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 96.6 1.7 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.1 5.8 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 91.1 5.5 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 Graham County 26 Contacts For Prevention Regional Prevention Contacts Arizona Department of Health Services Division of Behavioral Health Services Lisa Shumaker 602-364-4594 www.azdhs.gov/bhs/index.htm Cochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, and Santa Cruz Counties Bill Burnett Community Partnership of Southern Arizona (CPSA) 520-618-8807 Arizona Prevention Resource Center 1-800-432-2772 www.azprevention.org Gila, La Paz, Pinal, and Yuma Counties Linda Weinberg Cenpatico Behavioral Health of Arizona 480-231-7504 Center for Violence Prevention and Community Safety Steve Ballance/Charles Katz 602-543-6174/602-543-6618 steve.ballance@asu.edu/charles.katz@asu.edu Apache, Coconino, Mohave, Navajo, and Yavapai Counties Petrice Post Northern Arizona Regional Behavioral Health Authority (NARBHA) 928-214-2177 Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) http://prevention.samhsa.gov Maricopa County Juan Aristizabal ValueOptions 602-9145844 Governor’s Office of Children, Youth, and Families 602-542-4043 http://www.governor.state.az.us/cyf/index.html Gila River Tribe Marnie McNicholas 602-528-7106 Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities U.S. Department of Education www.ed.gov/offices/OESE/SDFS Pasqua Yaqui Tribe Jill Fabian 520-879-6067 Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Paula Burns 602-266-8299 ext. 351 www.problemgambling.az.gov Navajo Nation Maxine Nakai 928-871-7946 Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMSHA) www.samhsa.gov Colorado River Indian Tribes Iris Leivas 928-669-6577 Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention http://ojjdp.ncjrs.org/ Other State and National Contacts: Western Regional Center for the Application of Prevention Technologies (CAPT) www.westcapt.org Arizona Criminal Justice Commission Michelle Neitch/ Phillip Stevenson 602-364-1173/602-364-1157 www.azcjc.gov Bach Harrison, L.L.C. R. Steven Harrison, Ph.D. 801-359-2064 www.bach-harrison.com Arizona Department of Education Student Services Division www.ade.az.gov 27 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Greenlee County REPORT PROVIDED BY: Arizona Criminal Justice Commission 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Shining Light on Arizona Youth THIS REPORT IS PROVIDED BY THE Arizona Criminal Justice Commission IN PARTNERSHIP WITH: Administrative Office of the Courts Arizona Department of Education Arizona Department of Health Services Arizona Department of Juvenile Corrections Arizona Juvenile Justice Commission Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Arizona State University Governor’s Division for Substance Abuse Policy Governor’s Office for Children, Youth, and Families 2 Introduction 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Summary for CONTENTS: the gender and ethnicity categories will often be less than the total number of students. Introduction: • Demographics • Risk & Protective Framework Greenlee County This report summarizes some of the county-specific findings from the 2006 Arizona Youth Survey administered to 8th, 10th and 12th grade students during the spring of 2006. The survey was designed to assess school safety, adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention Tools for Assessment and Planning How to Read the Charts Data Charts: • Risk & Protective Factor Profiles • Substance Use & Antisocial Behavior • School Safety All schools in Arizona are invited to participate in the survey, and recruitment efforts were successful in obtaining participation by schools in all of the 15 counties. Careful planning and uniform administration of the survey have resulted in survey data that are valid and representative of the students in grades 8, 10, and 12 in Arizona. Risk and Protective Factor Definitions Data Tables Contacts for Prevention Table 1 contains the characteristics of the students who completed the survey in Greenlee County and the State. Because not all students answer all of the questions, the number of students in Table 1. Characteristics of Participants Student Totals County 2002 Total Students Grade 8 10 12 Gender Male Female Ethnicity African American American Indian Asian Hispanic Pacific Islander White Other County 2004 County 2006 Number Percent Number Percent Number 263 100 248 100 239 Percent State 2006 Number Percent 100 60401 100 84 31.9 98 39.5 85 35.6 26872 44.5 100 38.0 75 30.2 85 35.6 19581 32.4 79 30.0 75 30.2 69 28.9 13948 23.1 143 55.4 125 51.4 108 47.0 28381 48.2 115 44.6 118 48.6 122 53.0 30505 51.8 2 0.8 0 0.0 5 2.2 2592 4.4 7 2.8 7 3.0 4 1.7 3394 5.8 2 0.8 0 0.0 1 0.4 1341 2.3 110 44.2 136 58.9 108 47.0 21376 36.5 0 0.0 0 128 * 51.4 * 88 38.1 92 n/a n/a n/a n/a 20 457 0.8 40.0 26761 0.0 45.7 8.7 * Pacific Islander was grouped with Asian in 2002 3 2696 4.6 Many states and local agencies have adopted the Risk and Protective Factor Model to guide their prevention efforts. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention is based on the simple premise that to prevent a problem from happening, we need to identify the factors that increase the risk of that problem developing and then find ways to reduce the risks. Just as medical researchers have found risk factors for heart disease such as diets high in fat, lack of exercise, and smoking; a team of researchers at the University of Washington have defined a set of risk factors for youth problem behaviors. Risk factors are characteristics of school, community, and family environments, as well as characteristics of students and their peer groups that are known to predict increased likelihood of drug use, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violent behavior among youth. Protective factors exert a positive influence or buffer against the negative influence of risk, thus reducing the likelihood that adolescents will engage in problem behaviors. Dr. J. David Hawkins, Dr. Richard F. Catalano, and their colleagues at the University of Washington, Social Development Research Group have investigated the relationship between risk and protective factors and youth problem behavior. For example, they have found that children who live in families with high levels of conflict are more likely to become involved in problem behaviors such as delinquency and drug use than children who live in families with low levels of family conflict. 2006 Prevention Needs Assessment Risk and Protective Factors The chart at the right shows the links between the 19 risk factors and the five problem behaviors. The check marks have been placed in the chart to indicate where at least two well designed, published research studies have shown a link between the risk factor and the problem behavior. 9 9 Community laws and norms favorable toward drug use, firearms and crime 9 9 9 Transitions and mobility 9 9 Low neighborhood attachment and community disorganization 9 9 Extreme economic and social deprivation 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Academic failure in elementary school 9 9 9 9 9 Lack of commitment to school 9 9 9 9 9 Early and persistent antisocial behavior 9 9 9 9 9 Alienation and rebelliousness 9 9 Friends who engage in the problem behavior 9 9 Gang involvement 9 9 Favorable attitudes toward the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Early initiation of the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Constitutional factors 9 9 Violence 9 School Drop-Out Availability of drugs and firearms RISK FACTORS Teen Pregnancy Delinquency Risk- and protective-focused drug abuse prevention is also based on the work of Hawkins, Catalano, and their team of researchers at the University of Washington in Seattle. Beginning in the early 1980s the group researched adolescent problem behaviors and identified risk factors for adolescent drug abuse. Not surprisingly, they found that a relationship exists between adolescent drug abuse, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violence, and were able to identify risk factors for these problems. PROBLEM BEHAVIORS Substance Abuse Research on risk and protective factors has important implications for prevention efforts. The premise of this approach is that in order to promote positive youth development and prevent problem behaviors, it is necessary to address those factors that can lead to the problem. By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, specific risk factors that are elevated and widespread can be identified and targeted by preventive interventions that also promote related protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as an elevated risk factor in a community, then mentoring and tutoring interventions can be provided that will improve academic performance, thus reducing the level of the risk factors and decreasing the likelihood of problem behavior. Community 9 Media portrayals of violence 9 9 Family Family history of the problem behavior Family management problems Family conflict Favorable parental attitudes and involvement in the problem behavior 9 School Individual/Peer 4 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 The Arizona Youth Survey as a Tool for Building a Strategic Prevention Framework The Prevention Needs Assessment Survey is an important part of the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) Strategic Prevention Framework Process. CSAP created this 5-step model to guide states and communities through the process of creating planned, data-driven, effective, and sustainable prevention programming. The information presented in this section is taken from CSAP’s Strategic Prevention Framework State Incentive Grant description. Step 1: Profile Population Needs, Resources, and Readiness to Address the Problems and Gaps in Service Delivery • • Community Needs Assessment: The results of this survey (presented in this Profile Report and in results reported at the State level) will identify needs for prevention. States should consider administering a survey to assess adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior, and many of the risk and protective factors that predict adolescent problem behaviors. While planning prevention services, communities are urged to collect and use multiple data sources, including archival and social indicators, assessment of existing resources, key informant interviews, as well as survey data. Community Resource Assessment: It is likely that existing agencies and programs are already addressing some of the prioritized risk and protective factors. It is important to identify the assets and resources already available in the community and the gaps in services and capacity. Community Readiness Assessment: It is very important for states and communities to have the commitment and support of their members and ample resources to implement effective prevention efforts. Therefore, the readiness and capacity of communities and resources to act should also be assessed. Step 2: Mobilize and/or Build Capacity to Address Needs: Engagement of key stakeholders at the state and community levels is critical to plan and implement successful prevention activities that will be sustained over time. Some of the key tasks to mobilize the state and communities are to work with leaders and stakeholders to build coalitions, provide training, leverage resources, and help sustain prevention activities. Step 3: Develop a Comprehensive Strategic Plan: States and communities should develop a strategic plan that articulates not only a vision for the prevention activities, but also strategies for organizing and implementing prevention efforts. The strategic plan should be based on documented needs, build on identified resources/strengths, set measurable objectives, and identify how progress will be monitored. Plans should be adjusted with ongoing needs assessment and monitoring activities. The issue of sustainability should be kept in mind throughout each step of planning and implementation. Step 4: Implement Evidence-based Prevention Programs and Infrastructure Development Activities: By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, prevention programs can be implemented that will reduce the elevated risk factors and increase the protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as a prioritized risk factor in a community, then mentoring, tutoring, and increased opportunities and rewards for classroom participation can be provided to improve academic performance. After completing Steps 1, 2, and 3, communities will be able to choose prevention programs that fit the Strategic Framework of the community, match the population served, and are scientifically proven to work. The Western Center for the Application of Prevention Technology website (www.westcapt.org) contains a search engine for identifying Best Practice Programs. Step 5: Monitor Process, Evaluate Effectiveness, Sustain Effective Programs/Activities, and Improve or Replace Those That Fail: Finally, ongoing monitoring and evaluation are essential to determine if the outcomes desired are achieved and to assess program effectiveness, assess service delivery quality, identify successes, encourage needed improvement, and promote sustainability of effective policies, programs, and practices. 5 Tools for Assessment and Planning School and Community Improvement Using Survey Data Why the Arizona Youth Survey? Data from the Arizona Youth Survey can be used to help school and community planners assess current conditions and prioritize areas of greatest need. Each risk and protective factor can be linked to specific types of interventions that have been shown to be effective in either reducing risk(s) or enhancing protection(s). The steps outlined here will help your county and community make key decisions regarding allocation of resources, how and when to address specific needs, and which strategies are most effective and known to produce results. What are the numbers telling you? Review the charts and data tables presented in this report. Using the table below, note your findings as you discuss the following questions. • Which 3-5 risk factors appear to be higher than you would want? • Which 3-5 protective factors appear to be lower than you would want? • Which levels of 30-day drug use are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which substances are your students using the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable usage levels? • Which levels of antisocial behaviors are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which behaviors are your students exhibiting the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable behavior levels? How to decide if a rate is “unacceptable.” • • • Use these data for planning. • • • MEASURE Look across the charts – which items stand out as either much higher or much lower than the other? Compare your data with statewide, and national data – differences of 5% between local and other data are probably significant. Determine the standards and values held within your community – For example: Is it acceptable in your community for a percentage of high school students to drink alcohol regularly as long as that percentage is lower than the overall state rate? Substance use and antisocial behavior data – raise awareness about the problems and promote dialogue. Risk and protective factor data – identify exactly where the community needs to take action. Promising approaches – talk with resources listed on the last page of this report for ideas about programs that have proven effective in addressing the risk factors that are high in your community, and improving the protective factors that are low. Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate #1 #2 #3 #4 Risk Factors Protective Factors Substance Use Antisocial Behaviors 6 Practical Implications of the AYS No Child Left Behind The Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities section of the No Child Left Behind Act (NCLB) requires that schools and communities use six Principles of Effectiveness to guide their decisions and spending on federally funded prevention and intervention programs. First introduced in 1998 by the Department of Education, the Principles of Effectiveness outline a data-driven process for ensuring that prevention programs achieve the desired results. The Principles of Effectiveness stipulate that local prevention programs and activities must: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. be based on a needs assessment using objective data regarding the incidence of drug use and violence, target specific performance objectives, be based on scientific research and be proven to reduce violence or drug use, be based on the analysis of predictor variables such as risk and protective factors, include meaningful and on-going parental input in program implementation, and have periodic evaluations of established performance measures. The results of the Arizona Youth Survey presented in this report can help schools and communities comply with the NCLB Act. The Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior charts provide information related to Principle 1 above. The Risk and Protective Factor charts provide information related to Principle 4. Overall, using the Risk and Protective factors planning framework helps schools meet all of the Principles of Effectiveness, and thereby assists schools in complying with the NCLB Act. How to Read the Charts: Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts There are four types of charts presented in this report: 1) substance use and antisocial behavior charts, 2) risk factor charts, 3) protective factor charts, and 4) school safety charts. All the charts show the results of the AYS, and the actual percentages from the charts are presented in Tables 3 through 10. • 30-day use is a measure of the percentage of students who used the substance at least once in the 30 days prior to taking the survey and is a more sensitive indicator of the level of current use of the substance. • Binge drinking and a Pack or more of cigarettes per day are measures of heavy use of alcohol and tobacco. Binge drinking is defined as having five or more drinks in a row during the two weeks prior to taking the survey. • Antisocial behavior (ASB) is a measure of the percentage of students who report any involvement with the eight antisocial behaviors listed in the charts in the past year. In the charts, antisocial behavior will often be abbreviated as ASB. • Dots are used on the charts to show the overall average of all of the youth in each grade who participated in the survey for each behavior. More information about the dots is contained on the following page. Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts This report contains information about alcohol, tobacco and other drug use (referred to as ATOD use throughout this report) and other problem behaviors of students. The bars on each chart represent the percentage of students in that grade who reported the behavior. The four sections in the charts represent different types of problem behaviors. The definitions of each of the types of behavior are provided below. • Ever-used is a measure of the percentage of students who tried the particular substance at least once in their lifetime and is used to show the percentage of students who have had experience with a particular substance. 7 How to Read the Charts: Risk and Protective Factor and School Safety Charts Risk and Protective Factor Charts There are three components of the risk and protective factor charts that are key to understanding the information that the charts contain: 1) the cutpoints for the risk and protective factor scales, 2) the dots that indicate the state values, and 3) the dashed lines that indicate a more “national” value. the progress of prevention programs over time. For example, if the percentage of youth at risk for family conflict in a community prior to implementing a community-wide family/parenting program was 60% and then decreased to 45% one year after the program was implemented, the program would be viewed as helping to reduce family conflict. Dots Cut-Points Before the percentage of youth at risk on a given scale could be calculated, a scale value or cut-point needed to be determined that would separate the atrisk group from the not-at-risk group. The Prevention Needs Assessment (PNA) survey was designed to assess adolescent substance use, antisocial behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Arizona Youth Survey, and surveys designed for other states and areas, follow the PNA format and have the same goal of gathering information on the prevention needs of students, schools, communities, and states. Since PNA surveys have been given to over 200,000 youth nationwide, it was possible to select two groups of youth, one that was more at risk for problem behaviors and another group that was less at risk. A cut-point score was then determined for each risk and protective factor scale that best divided the youth from the two groups into their appropriate group, more at-risk or less at-risk. The criteria for selecting the more at-risk and the less atrisk groups included academic grades (the more atrisk group received “D” and “F” grades, the less atrisk group received “A” and “B” grades), ATOD use (the more at-risk group had more regular use, the less at-risk group had no drug use and use of alcohol or tobacco on only a few occasions), and antisocial behavior (the more at-risk group had two or more serious delinquent acts in the past year, the less atrisk group had no serious delinquent acts). The cut-points that were determined by analyzing the results of the more at-risk and less at-risk groups will remain constant and will be used to produce the profiles for future surveys. Since the cut-points for each scale will remain fixed, the percentage of youth above the cut-point on a scale (at-risk) will provide a method for evaluating The dots on the charts represent the percentage of all of the youth surveyed from Arizona who reported ‘elevated risk’ or ‘elevated protection’. The comparison to the state-wide sample provides additional information for your community in determining the relative importance of each risk or protective factor level. Scanning across the charts, you can easily determine which factors are most (or least) prevalent for your community. This is the first step in identifying the levels of risk and protection that are operating in your community and which factors your community may choose to address. Dashed Line Levels of risk and protection in your community also can be compared to a more national sample. The dashed line on each risk and protective factor chart represents the percentage of youth at risk or with protection for the seven state sample upon which the cut-points were developed. The seven states included in the norm group were Colorado, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Oregon, Utah, and Washington. All the states have a mix of urban and rural students. Again, brief definitions of the risk and protective factors are provided following the profile charts. For more information about risk and protective factors, please refer to the resources listed on the last page of this report under Contacts for Prevention. School Safety Charts The school safety profile charts contain the percentages of students who felt unsafe at school or on the way to school, were threatened or injured with a weapon at school, were in a physical fight at school, or carried a weapon to school. The complete questions and values for each response option can be seen in Table 10. 8 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Greenlee County Student Survey, Grade 8 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 9 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Greenlee County Student Survey, Grade 8 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 10 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Greenlee County Student Survey, Grade 10 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 11 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Greenlee County Student Survey, Grade 10 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 12 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Greenlee County Student Survey, Grade 12 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 13 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Greenlee County Student Survey, Grade 12 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 14 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Greenlee County Student Survey, Grade 8 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 15 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Greenlee County Student Survey, Grade 10 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 16 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Greenlee County Student Survey, Grade 12 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 17 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Greenlee County Student Survey, Grade 8 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 18 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Greenlee County Student Survey, Grade 10 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 19 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Greenlee County Student Survey, Grade 12 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 20 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions Community Domain Risk Factors Community and Personal Transitions & Mobility Neighborhoods with high rates of residential mobility have been shown to have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling, while children who experience frequent residential moves and stressful life transitions have been shown to have higher risk for school failure, delinquency, and drug use. Community Disorganization Research has shown that neighborhoods with high population density, lack of natural surveillance of public places, physical deterioration, and high rates of adult crime also have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling. Low Neighborhood Attachment A low level of bonding to the neighborhood is related to higher levels of juvenile crime and drug selling. Laws and Norms Favorable Toward Drug Use Research has shown that legal restrictions on alcohol and tobacco use, such as raising the legal drinking age, restricting smoking in public places, and increased taxation have been followed by decreases in consumption. Moreover, national surveys of high school seniors have shown that shifts in normative attitudes toward drug use have preceded changes in prevalence of use. Perceived Availability of Drugs and Handguns The availability of cigarettes, alcohol, marijuana, and other illegal drugs has been related to the use of these substances by adolescents. The availability of handguns is also related to a higher risk of crime and substance use by adolescents. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When opportunities are available in a community for positive participation, children are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement Rewards for positive participation in activities helps children bond to the community, thus lowering their risk for substance use. Family Domain Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Risk Factors When children are raised in a family with a history of problem behaviors (e.g., violence or ATOD use), the children are more likely to engage in these behaviors. Children raised in families high in conflict, whether or not the child is directly involved in the conflict, appear at risk for both delinquency and drug use. Parental Attitudes Favorable In families where parents use illegal drugs, are heavy users of alcohol, or are tolerant of children’s use, Toward Antisocial Behavior & children are more likely to become drug abusers during adolescence. The risk is further increased if parents involve children in their own drug (or alcohol) using behavior, for example, asking the child to Drugs light the parent’s cigarette or get the parent a beer from the refrigerator. Poor Family Management Parents’ use of inconsistent and/or unusually harsh or severe punishment with their children places them at higher risk for substance use and other problem behaviors. Also, parents’ failure to provide clear expectations and to monitor their children’s behavior makes it more likely that they will engage in drug abuse whether or not there are family drug problems. Protective Factors Family Attachment Young people who feel that they are a valued part of their family are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Opportunities for Positive Involvement Young people who are exposed to more opportunities to participate meaningfully in the responsibilities and activities of the family are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When parents, siblings, and other family members praise, encourage, and attend to things done well by their child, children are less likely to engage in substance use and problem behaviors. School Domain Risk Factors Academic Failure Beginning in the late elementary grades (grades 4-6) academic failure increases the risk of both drug abuse and delinquency. It appears that the experience of failure itself, for whatever reasons, increases the risk of problem behaviors. 21 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions (Continued) Low Commitment to School Surveys of high school seniors have shown that the use of hallucinogens, cocaine, heroin, stimulants, and sedatives or non-medically prescribed tranquilizers is significantly lower among students who expect to attend college than among those who do not. Factors such as liking school, spending time on homework, and perceiving the coursework as relevant are also negatively related to drug use. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When young people are given more opportunities to participate meaningfully in important activities at school, they are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When young people are recognized and rewarded for their contributions at school, they are less likely to be involved in substance use and other problem behaviors. Peer-Individual Risk Factors Early Initiation of Antisocial Behavior and Drug Use Early onset of drug use predicts misuse of drugs. The earlier the onset of any drug use, the greater the involvement in other drug use and the greater frequency of use. Onset of drug use prior to the age of 15 is a consistent predictor of drug abuse, and a later age of onset of drug use has been shown to predict lower drug involvement and a greater probability of discontinuation of use. During the elementary school years, most children express anti-drug, anti-crime, and pro-social attitudes Attitudes Favorable Toward Antisocial Behavior and Drug and have difficulty imagining why people use drugs or engage in antisocial behaviors. However, in middle school, as more youth are exposed to others who use drugs and engage in antisocial behavior, Use their attitudes often shift toward greater acceptance of these behaviors. Youth who express positive attitudes toward drug use and antisocial behavior are more likely to engage in a variety of problem behaviors, including drug use. Friends' Use of Drugs Young people who associate with peers who engage in alcohol or substance abuse are much more likely to engage in the same behavior. Peer drug use has consistently been found to be among the strongest predictors of substance use among youth. Even when young people come from well-managed families and do not experience other risk factors, spending time with friends who use drugs greatly increases the risk of that problem developing. Interaction with Antisocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in problem behaviors are at higher risk for engaging in antisocial behavior themselves. Perceived Risk of Drug Use Young people who do not perceive drug use to be risky are far more likely to engage in drug use. Rewards for Antisocial Behavior Young people who receive rewards for their antisocial behavior are at higher risk for engaging further in antisocial behavior and substance use. Rebelliousness Young people who do not feel part of society, are not bound by rules, don’t believe in trying to be successful or responsible, or who take an active rebellious stance toward society, are at higher risk of abusing drugs. In addition, high tolerance for deviance, a strong need for independence and normlessness have all been linked with drug use. Intention to Use ATODs Many prevention programs focus on reducing the intention of participants to use ATODs later in life. Reduction of intention to use ATODs often follows successful prevention interventions. Depressive Symptoms Young people who are depressed are overrepresented in the criminal justice system and are more likely to use drugs. Survey research and other studies have shown a link between depression and other youth problem behaviors. Gang Involvement Youth who belong to gangs are more at risk for antisocial behavior and drug use. Protective Factors Religiosity Young people who regularly attend religious services are less likely to engage in problem behaviors. Social Skills Young people who are socially competent and engage in positive interpersonal relations with their peers are less likely to use drugs and engage in other problem behaviors. Belief in the Moral Order Young people who have a belief in what is “right” or “wrong” are less likely to use drugs. Prosocial Involvement Participation in positive school and community activities helps provide protection for youth. Prosocial Norms Young people who view working hard in school and the community are less likely to engage in problem behavior. Involvement with Prosocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in prosocial behavior are more protected from engaging in antisocial behavior and substance use. 22 Table 3. Number of Students Who Completed the Survey Grade 8 Total Students Grade 10 County County County 2002 2004 2006 84 98 85 State 2006 26872 Grade 12 County County County 2002 2004 2006 100 75 85 Table 4. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During Their Lifetime Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 58.8 61.5 65.5 50.4 76.0 74.3 69.5 44.3 50.5 44.6 30.8 60.6 64.9 55.4 16.9 28.9 34.6 8.0 21.0 28.4 43.8 18.5 20.0 15.5 18.3 43.4 42.5 38.8 15.7 19.8 14.5 15.2 15.0 14.9 23.1 2.4 1.0 0.0 2.1 5.1 8.1 1.2 4.9 1.1 4.8 3.6 11.2 9.6 2.5 4.9 n/a n/a n/a 16.3 n/a n/a n/a n/a 3.9 2.6 n/a n/a 6.3 n/a 1.0 n/a n/a n/a 12.2 n/a n/a n/a 1.2 3.4 n/a n/a 3.9 1.2 1.0 1.2 1.4 4.0 1.4 0.0 2.4 n/a n/a n/a 5.2 n/a n/a n/a 7.2 14.8 10.0 n/a 21.6 13.3 1.2 1.0 2.7 1.9 7.1 5.4 1.3 n/a n/a 2.6 1.6 n/a n/a 0.0 n/a n/a 14.7 9.8 n/a n/a 20.8 25.0 35.1 36.4 36.2 48.0 52.1 52.1 Table 5. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During the Past 30 Days* Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 2002 Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 36.6 12.2 6.1 9.8 11.0 2.4 1.2 3.7 n/a n/a n/a 1.2 1.2 n/a 1.2 n/a n/a 15.9 2004 32.3 15.5 12.4 8.2 10.4 0.0 0.0 n/a n/a 0.0 n/a 0.0 n/a 3.1 1.0 n/a n/a 18.5 2006 37.6 19.3 24.1 6.0 6.1 0.0 0.0 n/a 0.0 n/a 1.2 1.3 n/a 5.1 1.4 1.3 6.5 20.6 2006 24.1 10.5 2.7 8.5 6.2 1.0 1.7 n/a 1.0 n/a 1.5 0.7 n/a 4.5 0.8 0.8 4.5 19.7 2002 2004 46.9 24.5 11.3 19.8 5.2 2.1 6.2 3.1 n/a n/a n/a 3.1 3.1 n/a 2.1 n/a n/a 27.1 39.7 34.2 13.5 15.3 4.1 4.1 2.7 n/a n/a 2.7 n/a 0.0 n/a 9.5 1.4 n/a n/a 26.8 2006 48.1 29.8 24.4 14.7 5.3 0.0 0.0 n/a 1.3 n/a 1.2 0.0 n/a 5.1 0.0 0.0 12.7 26.6 State 2006 19581 County County County 2002 2004 2006 79 75 69 State 2006 13948 Grade 12 State 2006 67.6 43.8 11.8 34.0 11.9 4.1 7.6 n/a 5.0 n/a 7.1 2.1 n/a 14.3 3.4 2.0 16.0 47.0 County County County 2002 2004 2006 78.2 66.7 31.2 46.2 15.4 6.4 17.9 17.9 n/a n/a n/a 2.6 10.3 n/a 9.1 n/a n/a 50.6 86.5 74.0 32.9 47.3 16.2 6.8 12.2 n/a n/a 20.3 n/a 1.4 n/a 28.4 1.4 n/a n/a 58.1 86.6 63.2 37.9 55.4 15.4 3.1 9.4 n/a 4.6 n/a 3.1 1.6 n/a 21.5 3.2 3.1 25.8 70.0 State 2006 74.5 50.0 15.6 42.6 9.8 5.6 11.6 n/a 6.6 n/a 8.5 2.8 n/a 17.4 4.4 2.2 20.0 52.8 Grade 12 State 2006 39.2 17.1 4.0 15.7 3.1 1.7 2.9 n/a 1.7 n/a 2.9 0.7 n/a 6.6 1.0 1.0 7.3 25.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 57.1 28.9 10.7 15.6 1.3 1.3 7.9 7.8 n/a n/a n/a 1.3 5.2 n/a 1.3 n/a n/a 20.8 48.6 37.3 12.3 18.1 1.4 2.7 5.4 n/a n/a 9.5 n/a 0.0 n/a 10.8 0.0 n/a n/a 25.0 55.4 32.8 16.4 22.7 4.7 1.5 1.6 n/a 0.0 n/a 1.5 1.6 n/a 9.2 0.0 3.1 17.2 32.2 State 2006 47.0 21.8 5.4 18.1 1.7 1.7 3.3 n/a 1.4 n/a 2.6 0.8 n/a 7.1 0.9 1.0 8.1 26.6 n/a - Indicates a question that was not asked in the 2002, 2004, or 2006 Arizona Youth Surveys. ATOD questions have differed slightly over the years. The differences are as follows. On how many occasions (if any) have you: 1 used methamphetamines (meth, crystal, crank)? [2002] used methamphetamines (meth, speed, crank, or crystal meth)? [2006] 2 3 used stimulants (amphetamines, meth, crystal, crank) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004] used stimulants, other than methamphetamines (such as amphetamines, Ritalin or Dexedrine) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2006] 4 5 used quaaludes, barbiturates or tranquilizers? [2002] used sedatives (tranquilizers, such as Valium or Xanax, barbiturates or sleeping pills) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004, 2006] 6 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. Note: 2006 'Any Drug' use does not include reported use of steroids or prescription drugs in order to make the 2006 results comparable to previous surveys. Further, the 2002 lifetime use data presented here is derived from a question asking students to report how old they were when they first used each substance. The 2002 lifetime use value reflects those students who indicated any age of first use. 23 Table 6. Percentage of Students With Heavy Use of Alcohol and Cigarettes Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 Binge Drinking 19.5 22.7 25.3 13.4 28.1 23.0 34.1 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day 1.2 2.1 2.5 1.0 7.1 9.5 3.6 Table 7. Percentage of Students With Antisocial Behavior in the Past Year Grade 8 Grade 10 Behavior County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 Suspended from School 18.1 8.2 15.3 Drunk or High at School 14.5 8.2 18.3 Sold Illegal Drugs 4.8 3.1 0.0 Stolen a Vehicle 6.0 2.0 1.2 Been Arrested 4.8 3.1 4.8 Attacked to Harm 18.1 13.3 13.1 Carried a Handgun 10.7 5.1 4.8 Handgun to School 1.2 0.0 0.0 Table 8. Percentage of Students Reporting Protection Grade 8 Protective Factor Community Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Family Domain Family Attachment Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement School Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Peer-Individual Domain Religiosity Social Skills Belief in the Moral Order Interaction with Prosocial Peers Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 19.8 13.0 4.9 4.6 8.3 17.9 7.6 1.6 2002 16.2 33.3 11.1 5.1 10.2 13.5 6.1 2.0 2004 14.9 28.8 10.8 8.1 13.5 21.6 4.1 0.0 2006 23.8 31.0 4.9 6.2 7.4 20.2 1.2 0.0 Grade 12 State 2006 22.4 2.4 County County County 2002 2004 2006 27.3 7.9 County County County 2002 2004 2006 29.9 4.5 28.2 3.9 Grade 12 State 2006 15.5 21.1 9.1 4.7 9.3 16.5 7.5 1.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 12.0 25.3 13.3 5.3 10.7 17.3 12.0 1.3 Grade 10 State 2006 33.3 10.7 State 2006 6.7 33.3 9.3 0.0 10.7 17.3 6.7 0.0 13.4 37.3 9.1 3.0 4.5 23.5 8.8 1.5 State 2006 9.4 21.4 9.8 3.1 7.8 13.2 7.0 1.4 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 53.9 44.4 62.1 51.5 58.1 43.4 38.2 30.4 50.6 43.0 43.5 49.3 52.1 54.9 37.1 36.3 48.7 47.4 39.4 35.6 55.0 45.5 37.6 35.2 62.3 59.7 68.6 57.9 73.5 72.9 49.4 53.7 54.3 48.7 57.4 60.6 57.9 45.0 57.5 43.7 50.0 62.3 43.2 62.3 60.0 44.1 53.0 54.9 54.3 56.5 56.5 59.1 54.4 55.2 56.5 49.2 59.7 57.1 55.9 56.9 72.5 60.5 73.5 73.5 77.4 60.7 59.1 50.7 52.5 63.6 63.5 70.8 67.1 71.8 62.9 62.3 70.5 48.7 62.7 52.0 77.9 50.0 65.2 48.0 * 56.8 41.5 * * * 71.1 63.3 58.2 67.3 48.0 56.7 52.4 51.2 58.8 60.7 38.6 64.6 46.2 58.3 54.3 46.1 37.7 58.8 * 44.8 48.5 * * * 44.6 40.5 53.4 56.7 45.9 50.7 53.7 44.7 55.6 57.1 53.6 62.3 44.3 52.4 62.6 49.6 39.3 61.1 * 43.4 26.0 * * * 82.4 60.8 30.1 41.3 45.3 39.2 77.9 58.2 39.7 46.3 41.8 53.0 70.7 66.0 51.2 48.1 39.1 53.4 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 24 Table 9. Percentage of Students Reporting Risk Grade 8 Risk Factor Community Domain Low Neighborhood Attachment Community Disorganization Transitions & Mobility Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Perceived Availability of Drugs Perceived Availability of Handguns Family Domain Poor Family Management Family Conflict Family History of Antisocial Behavior Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use School Domain Academic Failure Low Commitment to School Peer-Individual Domain Rebelliousness Early Initiation of ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Perceived Risk of Drug Use Interaction with Antisocial Peers Friend's Use of Drugs Rewards for ASB Depressive Symptoms Intention to Use Drugs Gang Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 45.7 50.6 30.4 37.8 36.2 58.5 28.9 45.8 44.3 37.5 47.4 48.5 36.2 56.2 36.7 37.8 47.4 52.1 40.7 48.2 53.7 37.8 38.1 37.0 48.9 70.2 38.9 51.6 69.8 44.3 47.9 71.8 40.3 49.3 59.7 31.9 37.8 69.4 42.5 48.8 61.8 32.4 46.9 57.6 60.4 42.5 48.8 27.6 51.3 59.2 39.0 36.8 61.0 55.8 62.2 68.1 37.1 37.5 57.3 39.2 57.6 80.6 33.8 48.5 49.2 27.3 49.8 52.3 54.9 34.6 51.3 34.1 43.8 58.3 42.1 57.9 34.2 33.7 49.0 56.7 43.8 30.2 44.4 52.5 55.7 55.8 48.1 47.9 52.2 42.7 48.5 29.1 56.1 41.9 63.6 65.9 40.9 34.7 43.1 54.8 51.4 48.6 37.0 38.8 50.0 55.1 53.4 45.0 42.2 43.2 50.0 41.1 43.5 39.1 47.8 58.7 43.5 47.8 36.8 54.4 63.2 57.4 44.6 37.5 36.9 56.7 49.2 44.8 38.3 38.6 45.9 40.1 48.0 40.2 47.4 33.7 54.3 43.9 48.6 41.1 50.5 54.6 54.3 45.2 44.7 39.3 51.6 40.1 37.7 56.4 48.6 54.1 29.0 46.4 44.1 43.0 37.3 43.2 45.6 43.4 36.1 42.2 48.2 47.0 39.8 45.1 * 6.0 29.9 27.8 54.2 39.8 34.7 44.9 45.9 49.5 54.7 46.9 39.2 9.4 40.0 31.7 38.8 46.2 36.2 45.1 43.5 47.1 48.8 44.2 34.5 13.6 43.8 40.2 35.2 46.2 32.4 45.4 58.4 41.3 48.7 45.7 36.5 26.3 54.5 44.4 52.5 63.6 56.0 43.8 63.3 54.1 41.2 51.0 * 10.4 50.7 52.7 56.8 52.1 42.5 47.2 73.5 59.4 47.8 52.8 56.2 23.6 42.4 43.0 53.0 58.3 48.7 41.5 60.7 44.7 43.6 40.6 46.2 15.2 47.5 42.4 36.6 49.7 36.6 39.2 58.1 43.2 45.0 45.5 44.9 23.9 59.0 48.7 44.9 67.9 55.1 50.0 72.7 39.7 46.7 46.1 * 15.8 29.3 44.0 49.3 60.0 33.3 34.2 70.7 45.3 51.4 43.8 41.1 17.6 52.9 50.0 43.3 59.7 41.5 48.5 65.7 53.7 62.1 38.1 40.9 9.1 44.3 38.8 34.1 45.6 34.6 40.5 52.0 35.9 53.8 38.6 29.9 16.3 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 25 Table 10. Percentage of Students Reporting School Safety Issues Grade 8 Question Response County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 0 days During the past 30 days, on how 1 day many days did you carry a weapon 2-3 days such as a gun, knife, or club on 4-5 days school property? (q43) 6 or more days 91.4 1.2 3.7 0.0 3.7 94.9 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 90.1 3.7 2.5 0.0 3.7 93.1 3.1 1.6 0.6 1.6 90.8 4.1 1.0 0.0 4.1 85.1 0.0 1.4 1.4 12.2 95.2 1.2 0.0 0.0 3.6 92.7 2.4 1.5 0.7 2.7 81.8 3.9 2.6 3.9 7.8 93.2 5.5 0.0 0.0 1.4 94.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 94.0 1.4 0.9 0.6 3.0 During the past 30 days, on how many days did you not go to school because you felt you would be unsafe at school or on your way to or from school? (q41) 0 days 1 day 2-3 days 4-5 days 6 or more days 92.8 4.8 2.4 0.0 0.0 92.9 6.1 1.0 0.0 0.0 94.0 2.4 2.4 1.2 0.0 89.3 6.0 2.8 0.7 1.2 96.9 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 94.6 2.7 2.7 0.0 0.0 98.8 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.2 100.0 4.1 0.0 2.1 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.1 0.0 98.6 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.0 95.5 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 95.0 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times has someone threatened or injured you with a weapon such as a gun, knife, or club on school property? (q39) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 94.0 1.2 2.4 1.2 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 89.8 5.1 3.1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 91.7 3.6 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 84.5 7.7 4.2 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.2 90.9 3.0 5.1 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 87.8 9.5 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 92.9 2.4 2.4 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 86.1 6.7 3.9 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.3 93.7 2.5 1.3 1.3 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.2 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.0 1.4 90.9 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 90.5 4.4 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times were you in a physical fight on school property? (q40) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 71.1 19.3 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 73.5 11.2 14.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 76.2 10.7 9.5 1.2 0.0 1.2 0.0 1.2 75.4 13.1 7.1 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.0 84.8 9.1 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 79.7 9.5 8.1 1.4 0.0 1.4 0.0 0.0 78.8 10.6 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 84.3 8.9 4.4 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 97.4 1.3 0.0 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.2 2.7 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 88.2 7.4 2.9 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 91.1 5.5 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 Greenlee County 26 Contacts For Prevention Regional Prevention Contacts Arizona Department of Health Services Division of Behavioral Health Services Lisa Shumaker 602-364-4594 www.azdhs.gov/bhs/index.htm Cochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, and Santa Cruz Counties Bill Burnett Community Partnership of Southern Arizona (CPSA) 520-618-8807 Arizona Prevention Resource Center 1-800-432-2772 www.azprevention.org Gila, La Paz, Pinal, and Yuma Counties Linda Weinberg Cenpatico Behavioral Health of Arizona 480-231-7504 Center for Violence Prevention and Community Safety Steve Ballance/Charles Katz 602-543-6174/602-543-6618 steve.ballance@asu.edu/charles.katz@asu.edu Apache, Coconino, Mohave, Navajo, and Yavapai Counties Petrice Post Northern Arizona Regional Behavioral Health Authority (NARBHA) 928-214-2177 Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) http://prevention.samhsa.gov Maricopa County Juan Aristizabal ValueOptions 602-9145844 Governor’s Office of Children, Youth, and Families 602-542-4043 http://www.governor.state.az.us/cyf/index.html Gila River Tribe Marnie McNicholas 602-528-7106 Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities U.S. Department of Education www.ed.gov/offices/OESE/SDFS Pasqua Yaqui Tribe Jill Fabian 520-879-6067 Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Paula Burns 602-266-8299 ext. 351 www.problemgambling.az.gov Navajo Nation Maxine Nakai 928-871-7946 Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMSHA) www.samhsa.gov Colorado River Indian Tribes Iris Leivas 928-669-6577 Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention http://ojjdp.ncjrs.org/ Other State and National Contacts: Western Regional Center for the Application of Prevention Technologies (CAPT) www.westcapt.org Arizona Criminal Justice Commission Michelle Neitch/ Phillip Stevenson 602-364-1173/602-364-1157 www.azcjc.gov Bach Harrison, L.L.C. R. Steven Harrison, Ph.D. 801-359-2064 www.bach-harrison.com Arizona Department of Education Student Services Division www.ade.az.gov 27 2006 Arizona Youth Survey La Paz County REPORT PROVIDED BY: Arizona Criminal Justice Commission 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Shining Light on Arizona Youth THIS REPORT IS PROVIDED BY THE Arizona Criminal Justice Commission IN PARTNERSHIP WITH: Administrative Office of the Courts Arizona Department of Education Arizona Department of Health Services Arizona Department of Juvenile Corrections Arizona Juvenile Justice Commission Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Arizona State University Governor’s Division for Substance Abuse Policy Governor’s Office for Children, Youth, and Families 2 Introduction 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Summary for CONTENTS: gender and ethnicity categories will often be less than the total number of students. Introduction: • Demographics • Risk & Protective Framework La Paz County This report summarizes some of the county-specific findings from the 2006 Arizona Youth Survey administered to 8th, 10th and 12th grade students during the spring of 2006. The survey was designed to assess school safety, adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention Tools for Assessment and Planning How to Read the Charts Data Charts: • Risk & Protective Factor Profiles • Substance Use & Antisocial Behavior • School Safety All schools in Arizona are invited to participate in the survey, and recruitment efforts were successful in obtaining participation by schools in all of the 15 counties. Careful planning and uniform administration of the survey have resulted in survey data that are valid and representative of the students in grades 8, 10, and 12 in Arizona. Risk and Protective Factor Definitions Data Tables Contacts for Prevention Table 1 contains the characteristics of the students who completed the survey in La Paz County and the State. Because not all students answer all of the questions, the number of students in the Table 1. Characteristics of Participants Student Totals County 2002 Total Students Grade 8 10 12 Gender Male Female Ethnicity African American American Indian Asian Hispanic Pacific Islander White Other County 2004 County 2006 Number Percent Number Percent Number 432 100 373 100 153 35.4 157 156 36.1 128 123 28.5 206 215 Percent State 2006 Number Percent 376 100 60401 100 42.1 145 38.6 26872 44.5 34.3 167 44.4 19581 32.4 88 23.6 64 17.0 13948 23.1 48.9 170 46.4 172 47.4 28381 48.2 51.1 196 53.6 191 52.6 30505 51.8 8 1.9 8 2.3 7 1.9 2592 4.4 90 21.6 63 17.9 59 16.3 3394 5.8 0.6 1341 2.3 35.9 21376 36.5 2 0.5 3 0.9 2 149 35.8 132 37.5 130 1 0.3 3 167 * 40.1 * 145 41.2 146 n/a n/a n/a n/a 15 457 0.8 40.3 26761 0.8 45.7 4.1 * Pacific Islander was grouped with Asian in 2002 3 2696 4.6 Many states and local agencies have adopted the Risk and Protective Factor Model to guide their prevention efforts. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention is based on the simple premise that to prevent a problem from happening, we need to identify the factors that increase the risk of that problem developing and then find ways to reduce the risks. Just as medical researchers have found risk factors for heart disease such as diets high in fat, lack of exercise, and smoking; a team of researchers at the University of Washington have defined a set of risk factors for youth problem behaviors. Risk factors are characteristics of school, community, and family environments, as well as characteristics of students and their peer groups that are known to predict increased likelihood of drug use, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violent behavior among youth. Protective factors exert a positive influence or buffer against the negative influence of risk, thus reducing the likelihood that adolescents will engage in problem behaviors. Dr. J. David Hawkins, Dr. Richard F. Catalano, and their colleagues at the University of Washington, Social Development Research Group have investigated the relationship between risk and protective factors and youth problem behavior. For example, they have found that children who live in families with high levels of conflict are more likely to become involved in problem behaviors such as delinquency and drug use than children who live in families with low levels of family conflict. 2006 Prevention Needs Assessment Risk and Protective Factors The chart at the right shows the links between the 19 risk factors and the five problem behaviors. The check marks have been placed in the chart to indicate where at least two well designed, published research studies have shown a link between the risk factor and the problem behavior. 9 9 Community laws and norms favorable toward drug use, firearms and crime 9 9 9 Transitions and mobility 9 9 Low neighborhood attachment and community disorganization 9 9 Extreme economic and social deprivation 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Academic failure in elementary school 9 9 9 9 9 Lack of commitment to school 9 9 9 9 9 Early and persistent antisocial behavior 9 9 9 9 9 Alienation and rebelliousness 9 9 Friends who engage in the problem behavior 9 9 Gang involvement 9 9 Favorable attitudes toward the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Early initiation of the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Constitutional factors 9 9 Violence 9 School Drop-Out Availability of drugs and firearms RISK FACTORS Teen Pregnancy Delinquency Risk- and protective-focused drug abuse prevention is also based on the work of Hawkins, Catalano, and their team of researchers at the University of Washington in Seattle. Beginning in the early 1980s the group researched adolescent problem behaviors and identified risk factors for adolescent drug abuse. Not surprisingly, they found that a relationship exists between adolescent drug abuse, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violence, and were able to identify risk factors for these problems. PROBLEM BEHAVIORS Substance Abuse Research on risk and protective factors has important implications for prevention efforts. The premise of this approach is that in order to promote positive youth development and prevent problem behaviors, it is necessary to address those factors that can lead to the problem. By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, specific risk factors that are elevated and widespread can be identified and targeted by preventive interventions that also promote related protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as an elevated risk factor in a community, then mentoring and tutoring interventions can be provided that will improve academic performance, thus reducing the level of the risk factors and decreasing the likelihood of problem behavior. Community 9 Media portrayals of violence 9 9 Family Family history of the problem behavior Family management problems Family conflict Favorable parental attitudes and involvement in the problem behavior 9 School Individual/Peer 4 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 The Arizona Youth Survey as a Tool for Building a Strategic Prevention Framework The Prevention Needs Assessment Survey is an important part of the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) Strategic Prevention Framework Process. CSAP created this 5-step model to guide states and communities through the process of creating planned, data-driven, effective, and sustainable prevention programming. The information presented in this section is taken from CSAP’s Strategic Prevention Framework State Incentive Grant description. Step 1: Profile Population Needs, Resources, and Readiness to Address the Problems and Gaps in Service Delivery • • Community Needs Assessment: The results of this survey (presented in this Profile Report and in results reported at the State level) will identify needs for prevention. States should consider administering a survey to assess adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior, and many of the risk and protective factors that predict adolescent problem behaviors. While planning prevention services, communities are urged to collect and use multiple data sources, including archival and social indicators, assessment of existing resources, key informant interviews, as well as survey data. Community Resource Assessment: It is likely that existing agencies and programs are already addressing some of the prioritized risk and protective factors. It is important to identify the assets and resources already available in the community and the gaps in services and capacity. Community Readiness Assessment: It is very important for states and communities to have the commitment and support of their members and ample resources to implement effective prevention efforts. Therefore, the readiness and capacity of communities and resources to act should also be assessed. Step 2: Mobilize and/or Build Capacity to Address Needs: Engagement of key stakeholders at the state and community levels is critical to plan and implement successful prevention activities that will be sustained over time. Some of the key tasks to mobilize the state and communities are to work with leaders and stakeholders to build coalitions, provide training, leverage resources, and help sustain prevention activities. Step 3: Develop a Comprehensive Strategic Plan: States and communities should develop a strategic plan that articulates not only a vision for the prevention activities, but also strategies for organizing and implementing prevention efforts. The strategic plan should be based on documented needs, build on identified resources/strengths, set measurable objectives, and identify how progress will be monitored. Plans should be adjusted with ongoing needs assessment and monitoring activities. The issue of sustainability should be kept in mind throughout each step of planning and implementation. Step 4: Implement Evidence-based Prevention Programs and Infrastructure Development Activities: By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, prevention programs can be implemented that will reduce the elevated risk factors and increase the protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as a prioritized risk factor in a community, then mentoring, tutoring, and increased opportunities and rewards for classroom participation can be provided to improve academic performance. After completing Steps 1, 2, and 3, communities will be able to choose prevention programs that fit the Strategic Framework of the community, match the population served, and are scientifically proven to work. The Western Center for the Application of Prevention Technology website (www.westcapt.org) contains a search engine for identifying Best Practice Programs. Step 5: Monitor Process, Evaluate Effectiveness, Sustain Effective Programs/Activities, and Improve or Replace Those That Fail: Finally, ongoing monitoring and evaluation are essential to determine if the outcomes desired are achieved and to assess program effectiveness, assess service delivery quality, identify successes, encourage needed improvement, and promote sustainability of effective policies, programs, and practices. 5 Tools for Assessment and Planning School and Community Improvement Using Survey Data Why the Arizona Youth Survey? Data from the Arizona Youth Survey can be used to help school and community planners assess current conditions and prioritize areas of greatest need. Each risk and protective factor can be linked to specific types of interventions that have been shown to be effective in either reducing risk(s) or enhancing protection(s). The steps outlined here will help your county and community make key decisions regarding allocation of resources, how and when to address specific needs, and which strategies are most effective and known to produce results. What are the numbers telling you? Review the charts and data tables presented in this report. Using the table below, note your findings as you discuss the following questions. • Which 3-5 risk factors appear to be higher than you would want? • Which 3-5 protective factors appear to be lower than you would want? • Which levels of 30-day drug use are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which substances are your students using the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable usage levels? • Which levels of antisocial behaviors are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which behaviors are your students exhibiting the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable behavior levels? How to decide if a rate is “unacceptable.” • • • Use these data for planning. • • • MEASURE Look across the charts – which items stand out as either much higher or much lower than the other? Compare your data with statewide, and national data – differences of 5% between local and other data are probably significant. Determine the standards and values held within your community – For example: Is it acceptable in your community for a percentage of high school students to drink alcohol regularly as long as that percentage is lower than the overall state rate? Substance use and antisocial behavior data – raise awareness about the problems and promote dialogue. Risk and protective factor data – identify exactly where the community needs to take action. Promising approaches – talk with resources listed on the last page of this report for ideas about programs that have proven effective in addressing the risk factors that are high in your community, and improving the protective factors that are low. Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate #1 #2 #3 #4 Risk Factors Protective Factors Substance Use Antisocial Behaviors 6 Practical Implications of the AYS No Child Left Behind The Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities section of the No Child Left Behind Act (NCLB) requires that schools and communities use six Principles of Effectiveness to guide their decisions and spending on federally funded prevention and intervention programs. First introduced in 1998 by the Department of Education, the Principles of Effectiveness outline a data-driven process for ensuring that prevention programs achieve the desired results. The Principles of Effectiveness stipulate that local prevention programs and activities must: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. be based on a needs assessment using objective data regarding the incidence of drug use and violence, target specific performance objectives, be based on scientific research and be proven to reduce violence or drug use, be based on the analysis of predictor variables such as risk and protective factors, include meaningful and on-going parental input in program implementation, and have periodic evaluations of established performance measures. The results of the Arizona Youth Survey presented in this report can help schools and communities comply with the NCLB Act. The Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior charts provide information related to Principle 1 above. The Risk and Protective Factor charts provide information related to Principle 4. Overall, using the Risk and Protective factors planning framework helps schools meet all of the Principles of Effectiveness, and thereby assists schools in complying with the NCLB Act. How to Read the Charts: Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts There are four types of charts presented in this report: 1) substance use and antisocial behavior charts, 2) risk factor charts, 3) protective factor charts, and 4) school safety charts. All the charts show the results of the AYS, and the actual percentages from the charts are presented in Tables 3 through 10. • 30-day use is a measure of the percentage of students who used the substance at least once in the 30 days prior to taking the survey and is a more sensitive indicator of the level of current use of the substance. • Binge drinking and a Pack or more of cigarettes per day are measures of heavy use of alcohol and tobacco. Binge drinking is defined as having five or more drinks in a row during the two weeks prior to taking the survey. • Antisocial behavior (ASB) is a measure of the percentage of students who report any involvement with the eight antisocial behaviors listed in the charts in the past year. In the charts, antisocial behavior will often be abbreviated as ASB. • Dots are used on the charts to show the overall average of all of the youth in each grade who participated in the survey for each behavior. More information about the dots is contained on the following page. Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts This report contains information about alcohol, tobacco and other drug use (referred to as ATOD use throughout this report) and other problem behaviors of students. The bars on each chart represent the percentage of students in that grade who reported the behavior. The four sections in the charts represent different types of problem behaviors. The definitions of each of the types of behavior are provided below. • Ever-used is a measure of the percentage of students who tried the particular substance at least once in their lifetime and is used to show the percentage of students who have had experience with a particular substance. 7 How to Read the Charts: Risk and Protective Factor and School Safety Charts Risk and Protective Factor Charts There are three components of the risk and protective factor charts that are key to understanding the information that the charts contain: 1) the cutpoints for the risk and protective factor scales, 2) the dots that indicate the state values, and 3) the dashed lines that indicate a more “national” value. the progress of prevention programs over time. For example, if the percentage of youth at risk for family conflict in a community prior to implementing a community-wide family/parenting program was 60% and then decreased to 45% one year after the program was implemented, the program would be viewed as helping to reduce family conflict. Dots Cut-Points Before the percentage of youth at risk on a given scale could be calculated, a scale value or cut-point needed to be determined that would separate the atrisk group from the not-at-risk group. The Prevention Needs Assessment (PNA) survey was designed to assess adolescent substance use, antisocial behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Arizona Youth Survey, and surveys designed for other states and areas, follow the PNA format and have the same goal of gathering information on the prevention needs of students, schools, communities, and states. Since PNA surveys have been given to over 200,000 youth nationwide, it was possible to select two groups of youth, one that was more at risk for problem behaviors and another group that was less at risk. A cut-point score was then determined for each risk and protective factor scale that best divided the youth from the two groups into their appropriate group, more at-risk or less at-risk. The criteria for selecting the more at-risk and the less atrisk groups included academic grades (the more atrisk group received “D” and “F” grades, the less atrisk group received “A” and “B” grades), ATOD use (the more at-risk group had more regular use, the less at-risk group had no drug use and use of alcohol or tobacco on only a few occasions), and antisocial behavior (the more at-risk group had two or more serious delinquent acts in the past year, the less atrisk group had no serious delinquent acts). The cut-points that were determined by analyzing the results of the more at-risk and less at-risk groups will remain constant and will be used to produce the profiles for future surveys. Since the cut-points for each scale will remain fixed, the percentage of youth above the cut-point on a scale (at-risk) will provide a method for evaluating The dots on the charts represent the percentage of all of the youth surveyed from Arizona who reported ‘elevated risk’ or ‘elevated protection’. The comparison to the state-wide sample provides additional information for your community in determining the relative importance of each risk or protective factor level. Scanning across the charts, you can easily determine which factors are most (or least) prevalent for your community. This is the first step in identifying the levels of risk and protection that are operating in your community and which factors your community may choose to address. Dashed Line Levels of risk and protection in your community also can be compared to a more national sample. The dashed line on each risk and protective factor chart represents the percentage of youth at risk or with protection for the seven state sample upon which the cut-points were developed. The seven states included in the norm group were Colorado, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Oregon, Utah, and Washington. All the states have a mix of urban and rural students. Again, brief definitions of the risk and protective factors are provided following the profile charts. For more information about risk and protective factors, please refer to the resources listed on the last page of this report under Contacts for Prevention. School Safety Charts The school safety profile charts contain the percentages of students who felt unsafe at school or on the way to school, were threatened or injured with a weapon at school, were in a physical fight at school, or carried a weapon to school. The complete questions and values for each response option can be seen in Table 10. 8 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 La Paz County Student Survey, Grade 8 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 9 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 La Paz County Student Survey, Grade 8 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 10 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 La Paz County Student Survey, Grade 10 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 11 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 La Paz County Student Survey, Grade 10 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 12 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 La Paz County Student Survey, Grade 12 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 13 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 La Paz County Student Survey, Grade 12 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 14 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 La Paz County Student Survey, Grade 8 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 15 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 La Paz County Student Survey, Grade 10 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 16 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 La Paz County Student Survey, Grade 12 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 17 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 La Paz County Student Survey, Grade 8 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 18 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 La Paz County Student Survey, Grade 10 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 19 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 La Paz County Student Survey, Grade 12 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 20 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions Community Domain Risk Factors Community and Personal Transitions & Mobility Neighborhoods with high rates of residential mobility have been shown to have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling, while children who experience frequent residential moves and stressful life transitions have been shown to have higher risk for school failure, delinquency, and drug use. Community Disorganization Research has shown that neighborhoods with high population density, lack of natural surveillance of public places, physical deterioration, and high rates of adult crime also have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling. Low Neighborhood Attachment A low level of bonding to the neighborhood is related to higher levels of juvenile crime and drug selling. Laws and Norms Favorable Toward Drug Use Research has shown that legal restrictions on alcohol and tobacco use, such as raising the legal drinking age, restricting smoking in public places, and increased taxation have been followed by decreases in consumption. Moreover, national surveys of high school seniors have shown that shifts in normative attitudes toward drug use have preceded changes in prevalence of use. Perceived Availability of Drugs and Handguns The availability of cigarettes, alcohol, marijuana, and other illegal drugs has been related to the use of these substances by adolescents. The availability of handguns is also related to a higher risk of crime and substance use by adolescents. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When opportunities are available in a community for positive participation, children are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement Rewards for positive participation in activities helps children bond to the community, thus lowering their risk for substance use. Family Domain Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Risk Factors When children are raised in a family with a history of problem behaviors (e.g., violence or ATOD use), the children are more likely to engage in these behaviors. Children raised in families high in conflict, whether or not the child is directly involved in the conflict, appear at risk for both delinquency and drug use. Parental Attitudes Favorable In families where parents use illegal drugs, are heavy users of alcohol, or are tolerant of children’s use, Toward Antisocial Behavior & children are more likely to become drug abusers during adolescence. The risk is further increased if parents involve children in their own drug (or alcohol) using behavior, for example, asking the child to Drugs light the parent’s cigarette or get the parent a beer from the refrigerator. Poor Family Management Parents’ use of inconsistent and/or unusually harsh or severe punishment with their children places them at higher risk for substance use and other problem behaviors. Also, parents’ failure to provide clear expectations and to monitor their children’s behavior makes it more likely that they will engage in drug abuse whether or not there are family drug problems. Protective Factors Family Attachment Young people who feel that they are a valued part of their family are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Opportunities for Positive Involvement Young people who are exposed to more opportunities to participate meaningfully in the responsibilities and activities of the family are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When parents, siblings, and other family members praise, encourage, and attend to things done well by their child, children are less likely to engage in substance use and problem behaviors. School Domain Risk Factors Academic Failure Beginning in the late elementary grades (grades 4-6) academic failure increases the risk of both drug abuse and delinquency. It appears that the experience of failure itself, for whatever reasons, increases the risk of problem behaviors. 21 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions (Continued) Low Commitment to School Surveys of high school seniors have shown that the use of hallucinogens, cocaine, heroin, stimulants, and sedatives or non-medically prescribed tranquilizers is significantly lower among students who expect to attend college than among those who do not. Factors such as liking school, spending time on homework, and perceiving the coursework as relevant are also negatively related to drug use. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When young people are given more opportunities to participate meaningfully in important activities at school, they are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When young people are recognized and rewarded for their contributions at school, they are less likely to be involved in substance use and other problem behaviors. Peer-Individual Risk Factors Early Initiation of Antisocial Behavior and Drug Use Early onset of drug use predicts misuse of drugs. The earlier the onset of any drug use, the greater the involvement in other drug use and the greater frequency of use. Onset of drug use prior to the age of 15 is a consistent predictor of drug abuse, and a later age of onset of drug use has been shown to predict lower drug involvement and a greater probability of discontinuation of use. During the elementary school years, most children express anti-drug, anti-crime, and pro-social attitudes Attitudes Favorable Toward Antisocial Behavior and Drug and have difficulty imagining why people use drugs or engage in antisocial behaviors. However, in middle school, as more youth are exposed to others who use drugs and engage in antisocial behavior, Use their attitudes often shift toward greater acceptance of these behaviors. Youth who express positive attitudes toward drug use and antisocial behavior are more likely to engage in a variety of problem behaviors, including drug use. Friends' Use of Drugs Young people who associate with peers who engage in alcohol or substance abuse are much more likely to engage in the same behavior. Peer drug use has consistently been found to be among the strongest predictors of substance use among youth. Even when young people come from well-managed families and do not experience other risk factors, spending time with friends who use drugs greatly increases the risk of that problem developing. Interaction with Antisocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in problem behaviors are at higher risk for engaging in antisocial behavior themselves. Perceived Risk of Drug Use Young people who do not perceive drug use to be risky are far more likely to engage in drug use. Rewards for Antisocial Behavior Young people who receive rewards for their antisocial behavior are at higher risk for engaging further in antisocial behavior and substance use. Rebelliousness Young people who do not feel part of society, are not bound by rules, don’t believe in trying to be successful or responsible, or who take an active rebellious stance toward society, are at higher risk of abusing drugs. In addition, high tolerance for deviance, a strong need for independence and normlessness have all been linked with drug use. Intention to Use ATODs Many prevention programs focus on reducing the intention of participants to use ATODs later in life. Reduction of intention to use ATODs often follows successful prevention interventions. Depressive Symptoms Young people who are depressed are overrepresented in the criminal justice system and are more likely to use drugs. Survey research and other studies have shown a link between depression and other youth problem behaviors. Gang Involvement Youth who belong to gangs are more at risk for antisocial behavior and drug use. Protective Factors Religiosity Young people who regularly attend religious services are less likely to engage in problem behaviors. Social Skills Young people who are socially competent and engage in positive interpersonal relations with their peers are less likely to use drugs and engage in other problem behaviors. Belief in the Moral Order Young people who have a belief in what is “right” or “wrong” are less likely to use drugs. Prosocial Involvement Participation in positive school and community activities helps provide protection for youth. Prosocial Norms Young people who view working hard in school and the community are less likely to engage in problem behavior. Involvement with Prosocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in prosocial behavior are more protected from engaging in antisocial behavior and substance use. 22 Table 3. Number of Students Who Completed the Survey Grade 8 Total Students County County County 2002 2004 2006 153 157 145 Grade 10 State 2006 26872 County County County 2002 2004 2006 156 128 167 Table 4. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During Their Lifetime Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 74.0 57.1 53.0 50.4 72.8 69.0 66.2 57.2 45.3 37.0 30.8 55.2 43.1 44.5 11.9 8.6 8.1 8.0 10.3 14.6 22.3 38.4 26.5 23.7 18.3 47.4 35.2 34.2 16.9 16.2 13.2 15.2 14.5 16.1 12.1 4.0 4.0 1.6 2.1 7.2 11.3 2.1 7.3 6.1 3.1 3.6 11.7 9.8 7.8 7.3 n/a n/a n/a 12.3 n/a n/a n/a n/a 6.6 2.6 n/a n/a 5.2 n/a 8.0 n/a n/a n/a 8.1 n/a n/a n/a 0.0 3.4 n/a n/a 5.7 2.0 2.0 1.7 1.4 6.4 1.6 2.9 3.3 n/a n/a n/a 3.2 n/a n/a n/a 9.3 4.2 10.0 n/a 13.0 15.6 6.7 2.7 0.0 1.9 9.0 5.6 2.1 n/a n/a 0.0 1.6 n/a n/a 2.9 n/a n/a 7.7 9.8 n/a n/a 18.6 43.8 34.0 41.5 36.2 53.2 43.2 48.8 Table 5. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During the Past 30 Days* Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 2002 Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 49.0 17.0 6.5 18.4 4.6 2.0 1.3 3.9 n/a n/a n/a 2.0 0.7 n/a 3.3 n/a n/a 21.5 2004 30.1 9.9 2.6 12.6 6.6 4.0 3.3 n/a n/a 6.7 n/a 0.7 n/a 5.2 2.0 n/a n/a 18.8 2006 28.5 8.7 1.6 14.1 6.5 0.8 1.6 n/a 4.8 n/a 0.0 1.6 n/a 1.7 0.0 0.0 2.5 22.9 2006 24.1 10.5 2.7 8.5 6.2 1.0 1.7 n/a 1.0 n/a 1.5 0.7 n/a 4.5 0.8 0.8 4.5 19.7 2002 2004 48.7 20.1 5.2 24.0 5.2 4.5 5.2 5.8 n/a n/a n/a 3.3 2.0 n/a 3.9 n/a n/a 33.1 42.7 15.6 2.5 15.3 1.6 3.3 1.6 n/a n/a 1.7 n/a 0.0 n/a 7.4 1.6 n/a n/a 22.3 2006 37.1 19.9 7.9 11.5 2.2 0.7 0.7 n/a 0.7 n/a 2.2 1.4 n/a 8.0 1.4 0.0 9.4 23.3 Grade 12 State 2006 19581 County County County 2002 2004 2006 123 88 64 State 2006 13948 Grade 12 State 2006 67.6 43.8 11.8 34.0 11.9 4.1 7.6 n/a 5.0 n/a 7.1 2.1 n/a 14.3 3.4 2.0 16.0 47.0 County County County 2002 2004 2006 86.9 65.6 15.6 62.3 13.0 9.8 16.5 21.3 n/a n/a n/a 2.4 6.5 n/a 13.8 n/a n/a 62.6 73.6 46.4 14.3 32.2 7.1 0.0 0.0 n/a n/a 3.5 n/a 0.0 n/a 11.9 2.4 n/a n/a 37.2 69.4 46.8 23.8 38.3 13.8 1.8 6.9 n/a 6.9 n/a 7.0 0.0 n/a 12.3 5.1 3.3 17.7 48.1 State 2006 74.5 50.0 15.6 42.6 9.8 5.6 11.6 n/a 6.6 n/a 8.5 2.8 n/a 17.4 4.4 2.2 20.0 52.8 Grade 12 State 2006 39.2 17.1 4.0 15.7 3.1 1.7 2.9 n/a 1.7 n/a 2.9 0.7 n/a 6.6 1.0 1.0 7.3 25.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 60.5 25.0 5.8 25.8 4.2 5.0 8.3 7.5 n/a n/a n/a 0.8 1.7 n/a 3.4 n/a n/a 31.4 37.9 16.5 6.0 6.9 1.2 0.0 0.0 n/a n/a 2.3 n/a 0.0 n/a 2.3 0.0 n/a n/a 10.7 42.6 14.3 8.1 16.7 0.0 0.0 3.4 n/a 5.2 n/a 1.9 0.0 n/a 6.8 1.8 1.6 8.3 24.5 State 2006 47.0 21.8 5.4 18.1 1.7 1.7 3.3 n/a 1.4 n/a 2.6 0.8 n/a 7.1 0.9 1.0 8.1 26.6 n/a - Indicates a question that was not asked in the 2002, 2004, or 2006 Arizona Youth Surveys. ATOD questions have differed slightly over the years. The differences are as follows. On how many occasions (if any) have you: 1 used methamphetamines (meth, crystal, crank)? [2002] used methamphetamines (meth, speed, crank, or crystal meth)? [2006] 2 3 used stimulants (amphetamines, meth, crystal, crank) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004] used stimulants, other than methamphetamines (such as amphetamines, Ritalin or Dexedrine) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2006] 4 5 used quaaludes, barbiturates or tranquilizers? [2002] used sedatives (tranquilizers, such as Valium or Xanax, barbiturates or sleeping pills) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004, 2006] 6 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. Note: 2006 'Any Drug' use does not include reported use of steroids or prescription drugs in order to make the 2006 results comparable to previous surveys. Further, the 2002 lifetime use data presented here is derived from a question asking students to report how old they were when they first used each substance. The 2002 lifetime use value reflects those students who indicated any age of first use. 23 Table 6. Percentage of Students With Heavy Use of Alcohol and Cigarettes Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 Binge Drinking 29.1 18.4 15.7 13.4 26.8 29.2 22.7 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day 2.0 2.0 0.8 1.0 6.5 1.7 2.0 Table 7. Percentage of Students With Antisocial Behavior in the Past Year Grade 8 Grade 10 Behavior County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 Suspended from School 15.7 17.2 18.1 Drunk or High at School 19.6 17.5 16.2 Sold Illegal Drugs 8.5 7.2 6.8 Stolen a Vehicle 4.6 7.1 4.4 Been Arrested 12.4 4.5 11.5 Attacked to Harm 11.8 20.0 16.0 Carried a Handgun 9.8 7.7 15.7 Handgun to School 3.3 3.9 1.5 Table 8. Percentage of Students Reporting Protection Grade 8 Protective Factor Community Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Family Domain Family Attachment Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement School Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Peer-Individual Domain Religiosity Social Skills Belief in the Moral Order Interaction with Prosocial Peers Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 19.8 13.0 4.9 4.6 8.3 17.9 7.6 1.6 2002 11.0 20.8 7.8 5.2 10.5 10.5 3.2 1.3 2004 13.7 18.5 8.1 8.0 13.7 16.0 7.2 2.4 2006 11.8 19.3 4.6 3.2 7.2 14.5 6.6 1.4 Grade 12 State 2006 22.4 2.4 County County County 2002 2004 2006 42.9 3.3 County County County 2002 2004 2006 23.7 3.2 28.2 3.9 Grade 12 State 2006 15.5 21.1 9.1 4.7 9.3 16.5 7.5 1.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 13.1 22.8 10.6 4.9 13.1 9.8 4.1 2.4 Grade 10 State 2006 21.4 4.7 State 2006 4.5 14.8 3.4 1.1 5.8 10.2 3.4 1.1 11.7 21.7 7.0 3.4 8.3 13.3 6.7 3.3 State 2006 9.4 21.4 9.8 3.1 7.8 13.2 7.0 1.4 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 50.3 43.0 43.3 40.7 43.5 31.5 38.2 30.4 32.2 43.2 48.6 42.0 43.6 43.4 37.1 36.3 36.9 47.3 31.7 44.6 44.4 40.7 37.6 35.2 52.4 50.3 56.6 44.1 60.3 59.2 45.9 56.4 65.3 48.7 57.4 60.6 40.3 48.4 45.5 43.7 55.0 59.4 45.3 51.7 53.9 44.1 53.0 54.9 52.4 50.0 38.6 56.2 51.9 44.4 57.6 59.6 58.3 57.1 55.9 56.9 54.2 53.6 65.0 56.4 60.8 57.3 59.1 50.7 54.5 54.2 56.8 61.6 58.8 66.5 62.9 62.3 65.0 57.4 60.9 55.7 51.6 63.5 65.2 48.0 * 44.7 49.7 * * * 44.2 51.3 52.9 46.0 41.6 63.8 48.6 54.9 56.8 48.9 37.6 60.1 46.2 58.3 54.3 46.1 37.7 58.8 * 50.3 63.9 * * * 30.4 43.7 63.3 43.5 36.0 55.2 35.2 50.6 66.4 47.5 40.6 67.5 44.3 52.4 62.6 49.6 39.3 61.1 * 59.5 49.6 * * * 67.4 70.9 50.0 50.0 45.5 56.3 61.3 65.6 55.0 52.4 37.7 50.8 70.7 66.0 51.2 48.1 39.1 53.4 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 24 Table 9. Percentage of Students Reporting Risk Grade 8 Risk Factor Community Domain Low Neighborhood Attachment Community Disorganization Transitions & Mobility Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Perceived Availability of Drugs Perceived Availability of Handguns Family Domain Poor Family Management Family Conflict Family History of Antisocial Behavior Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use School Domain Academic Failure Low Commitment to School Peer-Individual Domain Rebelliousness Early Initiation of ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Perceived Risk of Drug Use Interaction with Antisocial Peers Friend's Use of Drugs Rewards for ASB Depressive Symptoms Intention to Use Drugs Gang Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 40.1 57.0 37.8 47.1 52.3 41.7 46.2 51.4 48.3 47.6 46.9 50.0 41.1 54.1 51.8 35.7 33.0 38.2 40.7 48.2 53.7 37.8 38.1 37.0 50.3 62.5 41.2 48.6 53.4 26.0 43.8 70.0 47.7 49.6 52.1 42.2 48.5 70.5 50.8 53.4 43.3 28.5 46.9 57.6 60.4 42.5 48.8 27.6 50.0 58.4 50.5 34.5 50.4 27.4 61.9 67.5 36.1 36.1 41.2 28.2 61.7 70.9 57.4 60.0 49.1 40.0 49.8 52.3 54.9 34.6 51.3 34.1 52.4 51.7 62.3 53.7 38.1 46.2 48.5 59.1 41.7 25.0 42.5 53.4 56.1 45.7 29.0 47.9 52.2 42.7 48.5 29.1 47.6 37.8 52.0 49.2 42.1 44.7 39.4 55.0 52.3 48.2 44.3 40.2 44.5 52.7 44.2 45.0 42.2 43.2 50.0 41.1 40.2 33.3 51.1 42.7 46.1 35.8 45.1 48.8 39.8 31.3 41.0 48.3 44.8 56.1 57.9 44.8 38.3 38.6 45.9 40.1 57.9 34.6 48.0 34.2 57.0 42.1 48.6 41.1 65.3 40.3 56.3 42.1 56.8 36.4 51.6 40.1 65.5 40.7 47.6 37.6 40.7 38.7 44.1 43.0 45.1 37.1 55.6 48.0 47.3 47.1 61.2 62.4 47.3 60.1 * 13.9 42.4 36.4 45.8 41.3 32.3 40.0 55.0 42.0 48.0 51.3 32.7 21.9 45.4 45.5 42.3 34.9 25.8 32.5 54.2 44.4 48.6 49.2 36.7 25.0 43.8 40.2 35.2 46.2 32.4 45.4 58.4 41.3 48.7 45.7 36.5 26.3 43.9 41.3 43.1 50.6 36.8 50.3 52.6 44.2 30.9 51.6 * 15.6 35.5 41.9 44.4 46.8 31.5 39.2 61.5 46.0 36.6 49.6 44.7 28.4 46.9 42.9 40.4 48.1 37.4 39.7 60.7 41.7 35.0 46.7 45.3 16.4 47.5 42.4 36.6 49.7 36.6 39.2 58.1 43.2 45.0 45.5 44.9 23.9 46.7 39.8 47.5 47.1 34.4 43.0 57.7 37.7 40.7 45.5 * 18.0 29.4 40.9 37.5 37.5 19.3 33.3 48.3 24.1 43.7 50.6 25.6 14.1 41.9 43.3 40.3 46.6 31.0 43.1 61.9 28.6 42.9 38.7 21.9 18.3 44.3 38.8 34.1 45.6 34.6 40.5 52.0 35.9 53.8 38.6 29.9 16.3 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 25 Table 10. Percentage of Students Reporting School Safety Issues Grade 8 Question Response County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 0 days During the past 30 days, on how 1 day many days did you carry a weapon 2-3 days such as a gun, knife, or club on 4-5 days school property? (q43) 6 or more days 91.4 2.0 2.6 0.7 3.3 90.8 2.6 2.0 0.0 4.6 92.8 4.3 2.2 0.0 0.7 93.1 3.1 1.6 0.6 1.6 93.5 1.9 0.0 1.3 3.2 91.7 2.5 3.3 1.7 0.8 88.8 5.0 2.5 0.0 3.8 92.7 2.4 1.5 0.7 2.7 90.1 3.3 0.8 0.0 5.8 91.9 2.3 3.5 0.0 2.3 90.5 1.6 3.2 0.0 4.8 94.0 1.4 0.9 0.6 3.0 During the past 30 days, on how many days did you not go to school because you felt you would be unsafe at school or on your way to or from school? (q41) 0 days 1 day 2-3 days 4-5 days 6 or more days 95.4 3.3 1.3 0.0 0.0 91.5 5.2 1.3 0.7 1.3 84.9 8.6 2.2 2.9 1.4 89.3 6.0 2.8 0.7 1.2 96.2 1.9 0.6 0.0 1.3 90.2 3.3 4.1 0.8 1.6 92.5 5.0 1.9 0.6 0.0 92.2 4.1 2.1 0.5 1.1 95.1 2.4 0.8 1.6 0.0 89.5 3.5 2.3 1.2 3.5 93.8 4.7 0.0 0.0 1.6 95.0 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times has someone threatened or injured you with a weapon such as a gun, knife, or club on school property? (q39) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 89.5 5.9 0.7 1.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 2.0 87.1 3.9 4.5 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.9 80.7 12.9 4.3 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 84.5 7.7 4.2 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.2 94.2 1.3 3.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 83.3 9.5 3.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.4 84.4 8.1 1.9 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.0 2.5 86.1 6.7 3.9 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.3 95.9 2.4 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 91.8 0.0 4.7 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 90.5 3.2 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2 90.5 4.4 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times were you in a physical fight on school property? (q40) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 77.1 11.1 7.8 0.7 0.0 0.7 0.0 2.6 79.4 7.7 9.0 2.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.6 73.7 11.7 9.5 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.0 0.7 75.4 13.1 7.1 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.0 86.5 9.0 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 83.1 5.6 7.3 0.8 0.0 1.6 0.0 1.6 86.9 7.5 3.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.6 0.6 84.3 8.9 4.4 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 95.9 3.3 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 90.7 5.8 1.2 0.0 0.0 2.3 0.0 0.0 93.8 3.1 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 91.1 5.5 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 La Paz County 26 Contacts For Prevention Regional Prevention Contacts Arizona Department of Health Services Division of Behavioral Health Services Lisa Shumaker 602-364-4594 www.azdhs.gov/bhs/index.htm Cochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, and Santa Cruz Counties Bill Burnett Community Partnership of Southern Arizona (CPSA) 520-618-8807 Arizona Prevention Resource Center 1-800-432-2772 www.azprevention.org Gila, La Paz, Pinal, and Yuma Counties Linda Weinberg Cenpatico Behavioral Health of Arizona 480-231-7504 Center for Violence Prevention and Community Safety Steve Ballance/Charles Katz 602-543-6174/602-543-6618 steve.ballance@asu.edu/charles.katz@asu.edu Apache, Coconino, Mohave, Navajo, and Yavapai Counties Petrice Post Northern Arizona Regional Behavioral Health Authority (NARBHA) 928-214-2177 Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) http://prevention.samhsa.gov Maricopa County Juan Aristizabal ValueOptions 602-9145844 Governor’s Office of Children, Youth, and Families 602-542-4043 http://www.governor.state.az.us/cyf/index.html Gila River Tribe Marnie McNicholas 602-528-7106 Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities U.S. Department of Education www.ed.gov/offices/OESE/SDFS Pasqua Yaqui Tribe Jill Fabian 520-879-6067 Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Paula Burns 602-266-8299 ext. 351 www.problemgambling.az.gov Navajo Nation Maxine Nakai 928-871-7946 Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMSHA) www.samhsa.gov Colorado River Indian Tribes Iris Leivas 928-669-6577 Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention http://ojjdp.ncjrs.org/ Other State and National Contacts: Western Regional Center for the Application of Prevention Technologies (CAPT) www.westcapt.org Arizona Criminal Justice Commission Michelle Neitch/ Phillip Stevenson 602-364-1173/602-364-1157 www.azcjc.gov Bach Harrison, L.L.C. R. Steven Harrison, Ph.D. 801-359-2064 www.bach-harrison.com Arizona Department of Education Student Services Division www.ade.az.gov 27 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Maricopa County REPORT PROVIDED BY: Arizona Criminal Justice Commission 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Shining Light on Arizona Youth THIS REPORT IS PROVIDED BY THE Arizona Criminal Justice Commission IN PARTNERSHIP WITH: Administrative Office of the Courts Arizona Department of Education Arizona Department of Health Services Arizona Department of Juvenile Corrections Arizona Juvenile Justice Commission Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Arizona State University Governor’s Division for Substance Abuse Policy Governor’s Office for Children, Youth, and Families 2 Introduction 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Summary for CONTENTS: the gender and ethnicity categories will often be less than the total number of students. Introduction: • Demographics • Risk & Protective Framework Maricopa County This report summarizes some of the county-specific findings from the 2006 Arizona Youth Survey administered to 8th, 10th and 12th grade students during the spring of 2006. The survey was designed to assess school safety, adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention Tools for Assessment and Planning How to Read the Charts Data Charts: • Risk & Protective Factor Profiles • Substance Use & Antisocial Behavior • School Safety All schools in Arizona are invited to participate in the survey, and recruitment efforts were successful in obtaining participation by schools in all of the 15 counties. Careful planning and uniform administration of the survey have resulted in survey data that are valid and representative of the students in grades 8, 10, and 12 in Arizona. Risk and Protective Factor Definitions Data Tables Contacts for Prevention Table 1 contains the characteristics of the students who completed the survey in Maricopa County and the State. Because not all students answer all of the questions, the number of students in Table 1. Characteristics of Participants Student Totals County 2002 Total Students Grade 8 10 12 Gender Male Female Ethnicity African American American Indian Asian Hispanic Pacific Islander White Other Number Percent County 2004 Number Percent County 2006 Number Percent State 2006 Number Percent 3678 100 21970 100 36136 100 60401 100 1571 44.5 42.7 11337 51.6 17172 47.5 26872 854 23.2 5918 26.9 11079 30.7 19581 32.4 1253 34.1 4715 21.5 7885 21.8 13948 23.1 1814 50.7 10270 47.6 16972 48.2 28381 48.2 1766 49.3 11324 52.4 18265 51.8 30505 51.8 165 4.7 1085 5.3 1894 5.4 2592 82 2.4 466 2.3 832 2.4 3394 5.8 133 3.8 584 2.8 998 2.8 1341 2.3 789 22.6 6267 34.0 21376 36.5 * 2318 n/a * 181 30.4 11950 0.9 319 66.5 12047 58.4 17484 n/a n/a n/a 1664 0.9 4.4 457 0.8 49.8 26761 45.7 4.7 * Pacific Islander was grouped with Asian in 2002 3 2696 4.6 Many states and local agencies have adopted the Risk and Protective Factor Model to guide their prevention efforts. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention is based on the simple premise that to prevent a problem from happening, we need to identify the factors that increase the risk of that problem developing and then find ways to reduce the risks. Just as medical researchers have found risk factors for heart disease such as diets high in fat, lack of exercise, and smoking; a team of researchers at the University of Washington have defined a set of risk factors for youth problem behaviors. Risk factors are characteristics of school, community, and family environments, as well as characteristics of students and their peer groups that are known to predict increased likelihood of drug use, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violent behavior among youth. Protective factors exert a positive influence or buffer against the negative influence of risk, thus reducing the likelihood that adolescents will engage in problem behaviors. Dr. J. David Hawkins, Dr. Richard F. Catalano, and their colleagues at the University of Washington, Social Development Research Group have investigated the relationship between risk and protective factors and youth problem behavior. For example, they have found that children who live in families with high levels of conflict are more likely to become involved in problem behaviors such as delinquency and drug use than children who live in families with low levels of family conflict. 2006 Prevention Needs Assessment Risk and Protective Factors The chart at the right shows the links between the 19 risk factors and the five problem behaviors. The check marks have been placed in the chart to indicate where at least two well designed, published research studies have shown a link between the risk factor and the problem behavior. 9 9 Community laws and norms favorable toward drug use, firearms and crime 9 9 9 Transitions and mobility 9 9 Low neighborhood attachment and community disorganization 9 9 Extreme economic and social deprivation 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Academic failure in elementary school 9 9 9 9 9 Lack of commitment to school 9 9 9 9 9 Early and persistent antisocial behavior 9 9 9 9 9 Alienation and rebelliousness 9 9 Friends who engage in the problem behavior 9 9 Gang involvement 9 9 Favorable attitudes toward the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Early initiation of the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Constitutional factors 9 9 Violence 9 School Drop-Out Availability of drugs and firearms RISK FACTORS Teen Pregnancy Delinquency Risk- and protective-focused drug abuse prevention is also based on the work of Hawkins, Catalano, and their team of researchers at the University of Washington in Seattle. Beginning in the early 1980s the group researched adolescent problem behaviors and identified risk factors for adolescent drug abuse. Not surprisingly, they found that a relationship exists between adolescent drug abuse, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violence, and were able to identify risk factors for these problems. PROBLEM BEHAVIORS Substance Abuse Research on risk and protective factors has important implications for prevention efforts. The premise of this approach is that in order to promote positive youth development and prevent problem behaviors, it is necessary to address those factors that can lead to the problem. By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, specific risk factors that are elevated and widespread can be identified and targeted by preventive interventions that also promote related protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as an elevated risk factor in a community, then mentoring and tutoring interventions can be provided that will improve academic performance, thus reducing the level of the risk factors and decreasing the likelihood of problem behavior. Community 9 Media portrayals of violence 9 9 Family Family history of the problem behavior Family management problems Family conflict Favorable parental attitudes and involvement in the problem behavior 9 School Individual/Peer 4 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 The Arizona Youth Survey as a Tool for Building a Strategic Prevention Framework The Prevention Needs Assessment Survey is an important part of the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) Strategic Prevention Framework Process. CSAP created this 5-step model to guide states and communities through the process of creating planned, data-driven, effective, and sustainable prevention programming. The information presented in this section is taken from CSAP’s Strategic Prevention Framework State Incentive Grant description. Step 1: Profile Population Needs, Resources, and Readiness to Address the Problems and Gaps in Service Delivery • • Community Needs Assessment: The results of this survey (presented in this Profile Report and in results reported at the State level) will identify needs for prevention. States should consider administering a survey to assess adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior, and many of the risk and protective factors that predict adolescent problem behaviors. While planning prevention services, communities are urged to collect and use multiple data sources, including archival and social indicators, assessment of existing resources, key informant interviews, as well as survey data. Community Resource Assessment: It is likely that existing agencies and programs are already addressing some of the prioritized risk and protective factors. It is important to identify the assets and resources already available in the community and the gaps in services and capacity. Community Readiness Assessment: It is very important for states and communities to have the commitment and support of their members and ample resources to implement effective prevention efforts. Therefore, the readiness and capacity of communities and resources to act should also be assessed. Step 2: Mobilize and/or Build Capacity to Address Needs: Engagement of key stakeholders at the state and community levels is critical to plan and implement successful prevention activities that will be sustained over time. Some of the key tasks to mobilize the state and communities are to work with leaders and stakeholders to build coalitions, provide training, leverage resources, and help sustain prevention activities. Step 3: Develop a Comprehensive Strategic Plan: States and communities should develop a strategic plan that articulates not only a vision for the prevention activities, but also strategies for organizing and implementing prevention efforts. The strategic plan should be based on documented needs, build on identified resources/strengths, set measurable objectives, and identify how progress will be monitored. Plans should be adjusted with ongoing needs assessment and monitoring activities. The issue of sustainability should be kept in mind throughout each step of planning and implementation. Step 4: Implement Evidence-based Prevention Programs and Infrastructure Development Activities: By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, prevention programs can be implemented that will reduce the elevated risk factors and increase the protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as a prioritized risk factor in a community, then mentoring, tutoring, and increased opportunities and rewards for classroom participation can be provided to improve academic performance. After completing Steps 1, 2, and 3, communities will be able to choose prevention programs that fit the Strategic Framework of the community, match the population served, and are scientifically proven to work. The Western Center for the Application of Prevention Technology website (www.westcapt.org) contains a search engine for identifying Best Practice Programs. Step 5: Monitor Process, Evaluate Effectiveness, Sustain Effective Programs/Activities, and Improve or Replace Those That Fail: Finally, ongoing monitoring and evaluation are essential to determine if the outcomes desired are achieved and to assess program effectiveness, assess service delivery quality, identify successes, encourage needed improvement, and promote sustainability of effective policies, programs, and practices. 5 Tools for Assessment and Planning School and Community Improvement Using Survey Data Why the Arizona Youth Survey? Data from the Arizona Youth Survey can be used to help school and community planners assess current conditions and prioritize areas of greatest need. Each risk and protective factor can be linked to specific types of interventions that have been shown to be effective in either reducing risk(s) or enhancing protection(s). The steps outlined here will help your county and community make key decisions regarding allocation of resources, how and when to address specific needs, and which strategies are most effective and known to produce results. What are the numbers telling you? Review the charts and data tables presented in this report. Using the table below, note your findings as you discuss the following questions. • Which 3-5 risk factors appear to be higher than you would want? • Which 3-5 protective factors appear to be lower than you would want? • Which levels of 30-day drug use are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which substances are your students using the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable usage levels? • Which levels of antisocial behaviors are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which behaviors are your students exhibiting the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable behavior levels? How to decide if a rate is “unacceptable.” • • • Use these data for planning. • • • MEASURE Look across the charts – which items stand out as either much higher or much lower than the other? Compare your data with statewide, and national data – differences of 5% between local and other data are probably significant. Determine the standards and values held within your community – For example: Is it acceptable in your community for a percentage of high school students to drink alcohol regularly as long as that percentage is lower than the overall state rate? Substance use and antisocial behavior data – raise awareness about the problems and promote dialogue. Risk and protective factor data – identify exactly where the community needs to take action. Promising approaches – talk with resources listed on the last page of this report for ideas about programs that have proven effective in addressing the risk factors that are high in your community, and improving the protective factors that are low. Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate #1 #2 #3 #4 Risk Factors Protective Factors Substance Use Antisocial Behaviors 6 Practical Implications of the AYS No Child Left Behind The Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities section of the No Child Left Behind Act (NCLB) requires that schools and communities use six Principles of Effectiveness to guide their decisions and spending on federally funded prevention and intervention programs. First introduced in 1998 by the Department of Education, the Principles of Effectiveness outline a data-driven process for ensuring that prevention programs achieve the desired results. The Principles of Effectiveness stipulate that local prevention programs and activities must: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. be based on a needs assessment using objective data regarding the incidence of drug use and violence, target specific performance objectives, be based on scientific research and be proven to reduce violence or drug use, be based on the analysis of predictor variables such as risk and protective factors, include meaningful and on-going parental input in program implementation, and have periodic evaluations of established performance measures. The results of the Arizona Youth Survey presented in this report can help schools and communities comply with the NCLB Act. The Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior charts provide information related to Principle 1 above. The Risk and Protective Factor charts provide information related to Principle 4. Overall, using the Risk and Protective factors planning framework helps schools meet all of the Principles of Effectiveness, and thereby assists schools in complying with the NCLB Act. How to Read the Charts: Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts There are four types of charts presented in this report: 1) substance use and antisocial behavior charts, 2) risk factor charts, 3) protective factor charts, and 4) school safety charts. All the charts show the results of the AYS, and the actual percentages from the charts are presented in Tables 3 through 10. • 30-day use is a measure of the percentage of students who used the substance at least once in the 30 days prior to taking the survey and is a more sensitive indicator of the level of current use of the substance. • Binge drinking and a Pack or more of cigarettes per day are measures of heavy use of alcohol and tobacco. Binge drinking is defined as having five or more drinks in a row during the two weeks prior to taking the survey. • Antisocial behavior (ASB) is a measure of the percentage of students who report any involvement with the eight antisocial behaviors listed in the charts in the past year. In the charts, antisocial behavior will often be abbreviated as ASB. • Dots are used on the charts to show the overall average of all of the youth in each grade who participated in the survey for each behavior. More information about the dots is contained on the following page. Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts This report contains information about alcohol, tobacco and other drug use (referred to as ATOD use throughout this report) and other problem behaviors of students. The bars on each chart represent the percentage of students in that grade who reported the behavior. The four sections in the charts represent different types of problem behaviors. The definitions of each of the types of behavior are provided below. • Ever-used is a measure of the percentage of students who tried the particular substance at least once in their lifetime and is used to show the percentage of students who have had experience with a particular substance. 7 How to Read the Charts: Risk and Protective Factor and School Safety Charts Risk and Protective Factor Charts There are three components of the risk and protective factor charts that are key to understanding the information that the charts contain: 1) the cutpoints for the risk and protective factor scales, 2) the dots that indicate the state values, and 3) the dashed lines that indicate a more “national” value. the progress of prevention programs over time. For example, if the percentage of youth at risk for family conflict in a community prior to implementing a community-wide family/parenting program was 60% and then decreased to 45% one year after the program was implemented, the program would be viewed as helping to reduce family conflict. Dots Cut-Points Before the percentage of youth at risk on a given scale could be calculated, a scale value or cut-point needed to be determined that would separate the atrisk group from the not-at-risk group. The Prevention Needs Assessment (PNA) survey was designed to assess adolescent substance use, antisocial behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Arizona Youth Survey, and surveys designed for other states and areas, follow the PNA format and have the same goal of gathering information on the prevention needs of students, schools, communities, and states. Since PNA surveys have been given to over 200,000 youth nationwide, it was possible to select two groups of youth, one that was more at risk for problem behaviors and another group that was less at risk. A cut-point score was then determined for each risk and protective factor scale that best divided the youth from the two groups into their appropriate group, more at-risk or less at-risk. The criteria for selecting the more at-risk and the less atrisk groups included academic grades (the more atrisk group received “D” and “F” grades, the less atrisk group received “A” and “B” grades), ATOD use (the more at-risk group had more regular use, the less at-risk group had no drug use and use of alcohol or tobacco on only a few occasions), and antisocial behavior (the more at-risk group had two or more serious delinquent acts in the past year, the less atrisk group had no serious delinquent acts). The cut-points that were determined by analyzing the results of the more at-risk and less at-risk groups will remain constant and will be used to produce the profiles for future surveys. Since the cut-points for each scale will remain fixed, the percentage of youth above the cut-point on a scale (at-risk) will provide a method for evaluating The dots on the charts represent the percentage of all of the youth surveyed from Arizona who reported ‘elevated risk’ or ‘elevated protection’. The comparison to the state-wide sample provides additional information for your community in determining the relative importance of each risk or protective factor level. Scanning across the charts, you can easily determine which factors are most (or least) prevalent for your community. This is the first step in identifying the levels of risk and protection that are operating in your community and which factors your community may choose to address. Dashed Line Levels of risk and protection in your community also can be compared to a more national sample. The dashed line on each risk and protective factor chart represents the percentage of youth at risk or with protection for the seven state sample upon which the cut-points were developed. The seven states included in the norm group were Colorado, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Oregon, Utah, and Washington. All the states have a mix of urban and rural students. Again, brief definitions of the risk and protective factors are provided following the profile charts. For more information about risk and protective factors, please refer to the resources listed on the last page of this report under Contacts for Prevention. School Safety Charts The school safety profile charts contain the percentages of students who felt unsafe at school or on the way to school, were threatened or injured with a weapon at school, were in a physical fight at school, or carried a weapon to school. The complete questions and values for each response option can be seen in Table 10. 8 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Maricopa County Student Survey, Grade 8 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 9 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Maricopa County Student Survey, Grade 8 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 10 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Maricopa County Student Survey, Grade 10 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 11 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Maricopa County Student Survey, Grade 10 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 12 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Maricopa County Student Survey, Grade 12 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 13 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Maricopa County Student Survey, Grade 12 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 14 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Maricopa County Student Survey, Grade 8 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 15 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Maricopa County Student Survey, Grade 10 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 16 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Maricopa County Student Survey, Grade 12 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 17 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Maricopa County Student Survey, Grade 8 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 18 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Maricopa County Student Survey, Grade 10 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 19 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Maricopa County Student Survey, Grade 12 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 20 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions Community Domain Risk Factors Community and Personal Transitions & Mobility Neighborhoods with high rates of residential mobility have been shown to have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling, while children who experience frequent residential moves and stressful life transitions have been shown to have higher risk for school failure, delinquency, and drug use. Community Disorganization Research has shown that neighborhoods with high population density, lack of natural surveillance of public places, physical deterioration, and high rates of adult crime also have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling. Low Neighborhood Attachment A low level of bonding to the neighborhood is related to higher levels of juvenile crime and drug selling. Laws and Norms Favorable Toward Drug Use Research has shown that legal restrictions on alcohol and tobacco use, such as raising the legal drinking age, restricting smoking in public places, and increased taxation have been followed by decreases in consumption. Moreover, national surveys of high school seniors have shown that shifts in normative attitudes toward drug use have preceded changes in prevalence of use. Perceived Availability of Drugs and Handguns The availability of cigarettes, alcohol, marijuana, and other illegal drugs has been related to the use of these substances by adolescents. The availability of handguns is also related to a higher risk of crime and substance use by adolescents. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When opportunities are available in a community for positive participation, children are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement Rewards for positive participation in activities helps children bond to the community, thus lowering their risk for substance use. Family Domain Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Risk Factors When children are raised in a family with a history of problem behaviors (e.g., violence or ATOD use), the children are more likely to engage in these behaviors. Children raised in families high in conflict, whether or not the child is directly involved in the conflict, appear at risk for both delinquency and drug use. Parental Attitudes Favorable In families where parents use illegal drugs, are heavy users of alcohol, or are tolerant of children’s use, Toward Antisocial Behavior & children are more likely to become drug abusers during adolescence. The risk is further increased if parents involve children in their own drug (or alcohol) using behavior, for example, asking the child to Drugs light the parent’s cigarette or get the parent a beer from the refrigerator. Poor Family Management Parents’ use of inconsistent and/or unusually harsh or severe punishment with their children places them at higher risk for substance use and other problem behaviors. Also, parents’ failure to provide clear expectations and to monitor their children’s behavior makes it more likely that they will engage in drug abuse whether or not there are family drug problems. Protective Factors Family Attachment Young people who feel that they are a valued part of their family are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Opportunities for Positive Involvement Young people who are exposed to more opportunities to participate meaningfully in the responsibilities and activities of the family are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When parents, siblings, and other family members praise, encourage, and attend to things done well by their child, children are less likely to engage in substance use and problem behaviors. School Domain Risk Factors Academic Failure Beginning in the late elementary grades (grades 4-6) academic failure increases the risk of both drug abuse and delinquency. It appears that the experience of failure itself, for whatever reasons, increases the risk of problem behaviors. 21 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions (Continued) Low Commitment to School Surveys of high school seniors have shown that the use of hallucinogens, cocaine, heroin, stimulants, and sedatives or non-medically prescribed tranquilizers is significantly lower among students who expect to attend college than among those who do not. Factors such as liking school, spending time on homework, and perceiving the coursework as relevant are also negatively related to drug use. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When young people are given more opportunities to participate meaningfully in important activities at school, they are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When young people are recognized and rewarded for their contributions at school, they are less likely to be involved in substance use and other problem behaviors. Peer-Individual Risk Factors Early Initiation of Antisocial Behavior and Drug Use Early onset of drug use predicts misuse of drugs. The earlier the onset of any drug use, the greater the involvement in other drug use and the greater frequency of use. Onset of drug use prior to the age of 15 is a consistent predictor of drug abuse, and a later age of onset of drug use has been shown to predict lower drug involvement and a greater probability of discontinuation of use. During the elementary school years, most children express anti-drug, anti-crime, and pro-social attitudes Attitudes Favorable Toward Antisocial Behavior and Drug and have difficulty imagining why people use drugs or engage in antisocial behaviors. However, in middle school, as more youth are exposed to others who use drugs and engage in antisocial behavior, Use their attitudes often shift toward greater acceptance of these behaviors. Youth who express positive attitudes toward drug use and antisocial behavior are more likely to engage in a variety of problem behaviors, including drug use. Friends' Use of Drugs Young people who associate with peers who engage in alcohol or substance abuse are much more likely to engage in the same behavior. Peer drug use has consistently been found to be among the strongest predictors of substance use among youth. Even when young people come from well-managed families and do not experience other risk factors, spending time with friends who use drugs greatly increases the risk of that problem developing. Interaction with Antisocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in problem behaviors are at higher risk for engaging in antisocial behavior themselves. Perceived Risk of Drug Use Young people who do not perceive drug use to be risky are far more likely to engage in drug use. Rewards for Antisocial Behavior Young people who receive rewards for their antisocial behavior are at higher risk for engaging further in antisocial behavior and substance use. Rebelliousness Young people who do not feel part of society, are not bound by rules, don’t believe in trying to be successful or responsible, or who take an active rebellious stance toward society, are at higher risk of abusing drugs. In addition, high tolerance for deviance, a strong need for independence and normlessness have all been linked with drug use. Intention to Use ATODs Many prevention programs focus on reducing the intention of participants to use ATODs later in life. Reduction of intention to use ATODs often follows successful prevention interventions. Depressive Symptoms Young people who are depressed are overrepresented in the criminal justice system and are more likely to use drugs. Survey research and other studies have shown a link between depression and other youth problem behaviors. Gang Involvement Youth who belong to gangs are more at risk for antisocial behavior and drug use. Protective Factors Religiosity Young people who regularly attend religious services are less likely to engage in problem behaviors. Social Skills Young people who are socially competent and engage in positive interpersonal relations with their peers are less likely to use drugs and engage in other problem behaviors. Belief in the Moral Order Young people who have a belief in what is “right” or “wrong” are less likely to use drugs. Prosocial Involvement Participation in positive school and community activities helps provide protection for youth. Prosocial Norms Young people who view working hard in school and the community are less likely to engage in problem behavior. Involvement with Prosocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in prosocial behavior are more protected from engaging in antisocial behavior and substance use. 22 Table 3. Number of Students Who Completed the Survey Grade 8 Total Students County County County 2002 2004 2006 1571 11337 17172 Grade 10 State 2006 26872 County County County 2002 2004 2006 854 5918 11079 Table 4. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During Their Lifetime Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 55.4 50.2 49.1 50.4 71.8 68.3 64.7 38.0 29.7 28.0 30.8 47.8 41.2 39.8 5.8 5.3 6.5 8.0 9.0 8.9 9.6 23.6 18.7 16.6 18.3 41.6 34.2 31.0 12.5 12.6 14.6 15.2 10.8 10.0 10.8 2.8 2.2 1.8 2.1 9.0 5.0 3.7 4.3 3.2 3.4 3.6 8.1 6.8 6.3 2.8 n/a n/a n/a 7.1 n/a n/a n/a n/a 2.3 2.6 n/a n/a 4.1 n/a 2.9 n/a n/a n/a 6.1 n/a n/a n/a 3.2 3.4 n/a n/a 7.0 1.9 1.3 1.3 1.4 3.4 2.4 2.0 2.2 n/a n/a n/a 6.2 n/a n/a n/a 10.2 9.6 10.0 n/a 16.5 14.0 5.3 2.2 1.7 1.9 8.8 3.7 2.8 n/a n/a 1.6 1.6 n/a n/a 1.9 n/a n/a 9.4 9.8 n/a n/a 15.8 30.1 30.8 34.1 36.2 44.4 42.8 43.6 Table 5. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During the Past 30 Days* Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 2002 Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 34.7 9.6 3.5 13.7 7.0 1.5 2.5 1.1 n/a n/a n/a 1.1 1.1 n/a 3.4 n/a n/a 19.4 2004 24.5 9.3 1.7 8.7 5.3 1.3 1.5 n/a n/a 1.3 n/a 0.6 n/a 5.0 0.8 n/a n/a 16.1 2006 23.0 9.3 2.1 7.7 5.9 0.9 1.7 n/a 0.9 n/a 1.4 0.6 n/a 4.4 0.7 0.8 4.1 18.3 2006 24.1 10.5 2.7 8.5 6.2 1.0 1.7 n/a 1.0 n/a 1.5 0.7 n/a 4.5 0.8 0.8 4.5 19.7 2002 2004 48.5 18.8 4.2 22.7 3.6 3.5 4.0 3.2 n/a n/a n/a 1.7 2.9 n/a 2.4 n/a n/a 26.0 41.5 16.4 2.7 15.5 2.6 2.1 2.3 n/a n/a 2.4 n/a 0.7 n/a 8.2 0.9 n/a n/a 22.2 2006 36.4 15.2 3.2 14.3 2.8 1.6 2.2 n/a 1.3 n/a 2.9 0.6 n/a 6.3 0.8 1.0 7.1 23.2 Grade 12 State 2006 19581 County County County 2002 2004 2006 1253 4715 7885 State 2006 13948 Grade 12 State 2006 67.6 43.8 11.8 34.0 11.9 4.1 7.6 n/a 5.0 n/a 7.1 2.1 n/a 14.3 3.4 2.0 16.0 47.0 County County County 2002 2004 2006 81.3 62.1 15.4 53.5 10.3 15.2 13.8 9.5 n/a n/a n/a 4.0 9.2 n/a 15.4 n/a n/a 55.1 76.1 49.9 15.2 43.0 8.8 8.1 10.4 n/a n/a 7.4 n/a 3.4 n/a 21.9 6.0 n/a n/a 50.4 72.8 47.4 13.6 41.0 9.2 5.4 10.8 n/a 6.1 n/a 8.9 3.0 n/a 18.2 4.3 2.4 20.8 51.2 State 2006 74.5 50.0 15.6 42.6 9.8 5.6 11.6 n/a 6.6 n/a 8.5 2.8 n/a 17.4 4.4 2.2 20.0 52.8 Grade 12 State 2006 39.2 17.1 4.0 15.7 3.1 1.7 2.9 n/a 1.7 n/a 2.9 0.7 n/a 6.6 1.0 1.0 7.3 25.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 61.6 25.0 4.5 29.4 2.5 3.5 4.7 2.5 n/a n/a n/a 1.1 4.3 n/a 3.8 n/a n/a 32.1 52.1 23.0 5.1 18.5 1.4 2.1 3.3 n/a n/a 2.4 n/a 0.9 n/a 10.3 0.9 n/a n/a 25.2 46.0 21.3 4.9 18.3 1.4 1.5 2.9 n/a 1.3 n/a 2.7 0.8 n/a 7.5 0.9 1.0 8.4 26.3 State 2006 47.0 21.8 5.4 18.1 1.7 1.7 3.3 n/a 1.4 n/a 2.6 0.8 n/a 7.1 0.9 1.0 8.1 26.6 n/a - Indicates a question that was not asked in the 2002, 2004, or 2006 Arizona Youth Surveys. ATOD questions have differed slightly over the years. The differences are as follows. On how many occasions (if any) have you: 1 used methamphetamines (meth, crystal, crank)? [2002] used methamphetamines (meth, speed, crank, or crystal meth)? [2006] 2 3 used stimulants (amphetamines, meth, crystal, crank) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004] used stimulants, other than methamphetamines (such as amphetamines, Ritalin or Dexedrine) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2006] 4 5 used quaaludes, barbiturates or tranquilizers? [2002] used sedatives (tranquilizers, such as Valium or Xanax, barbiturates or sleeping pills) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004, 2006] 6 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. Note: 2006 'Any Drug' use does not include reported use of steroids or prescription drugs in order to make the 2006 results comparable to previous surveys. Further, the 2002 lifetime use data presented here is derived from a question asking students to report how old they were when they first used each substance. The 2002 lifetime use value reflects those students who indicated any age of first use. 23 Table 6. Percentage of Students With Heavy Use of Alcohol and Cigarettes Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 Binge Drinking 14.4 15.2 12.3 13.4 27.1 24.5 20.3 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day 1.3 0.7 1.0 1.0 4.3 2.6 2.0 Table 7. Percentage of Students With Antisocial Behavior in the Past Year Grade 8 Grade 10 Behavior County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 Suspended from School 17.2 17.3 19.4 Drunk or High at School 14.3 12.2 11.7 Sold Illegal Drugs 5.6 4.5 4.7 Stolen a Vehicle 3.5 4.5 4.4 Been Arrested 8.6 7.3 7.1 Attacked to Harm 12.2 17.0 17.2 Carried a Handgun 7.5 5.8 7.3 Handgun to School 1.4 1.5 1.5 Table 8. Percentage of Students Reporting Protection Grade 8 Protective Factor Community Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Family Domain Family Attachment Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement School Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Peer-Individual Domain Religiosity Social Skills Belief in the Moral Order Interaction with Prosocial Peers Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 19.8 13.0 4.9 4.6 8.3 17.9 7.6 1.6 2002 12.5 19.6 10.3 3.6 7.3 10.2 4.5 1.2 2004 10.8 18.6 8.3 3.8 7.3 15.4 5.0 1.2 2006 14.6 18.6 8.6 4.3 7.9 15.1 7.1 1.6 Grade 12 State 2006 22.4 2.4 County County County 2002 2004 2006 34.8 8.5 County County County 2002 2004 2006 26.9 4.2 28.2 3.9 Grade 12 State 2006 15.5 21.1 9.1 4.7 9.3 16.5 7.5 1.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 10.0 26.5 11.8 2.3 8.9 10.3 4.2 0.9 Grade 10 State 2006 32.4 5.2 State 2006 8.5 20.4 9.7 2.4 7.7 12.5 4.9 1.1 8.7 20.1 9.7 3.0 6.8 12.5 6.3 1.2 State 2006 9.4 21.4 9.8 3.1 7.8 13.2 7.0 1.4 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 39.6 31.8 41.5 32.3 38.2 30.5 38.2 30.4 45.6 44.2 40.3 36.4 38.2 36.3 37.1 36.3 43.2 34.3 40.1 35.6 38.5 34.8 37.6 35.2 51.6 59.0 59.9 50.6 60.1 60.8 49.7 58.1 61.1 48.7 57.4 60.6 50.2 59.3 57.4 47.7 56.9 57.0 44.8 54.1 55.4 44.1 53.0 54.9 62.4 58.1 58.6 56.9 57.2 57.2 57.6 56.4 56.5 57.1 55.9 56.9 54.6 48.7 62.4 51.6 59.9 51.1 59.1 50.7 60.9 62.9 63.3 60.5 66.9 63.7 62.9 62.3 67.2 51.2 64.4 42.7 67.5 47.6 65.2 48.0 * 60.1 51.1 * * * 47.6 60.4 53.9 47.4 39.9 58.3 46.8 59.3 54.4 46.3 37.4 57.7 46.2 58.3 54.3 46.1 37.7 58.8 * 54.6 57.5 * * * 47.8 53.3 62.6 49.9 44.8 59.3 46.1 55.0 63.5 50.9 41.0 61.4 44.3 52.4 62.6 49.6 39.3 61.1 * 62.4 44.5 * * * 72.6 65.0 50.2 48.1 42.9 49.7 70.7 67.0 51.7 48.6 40.5 53.9 70.7 66.0 51.2 48.1 39.1 53.4 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 24 Table 9. Percentage of Students Reporting Risk Grade 8 Risk Factor Community Domain Low Neighborhood Attachment Community Disorganization Transitions & Mobility Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Perceived Availability of Drugs Perceived Availability of Handguns Family Domain Poor Family Management Family Conflict Family History of Antisocial Behavior Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use School Domain Academic Failure Low Commitment to School Peer-Individual Domain Rebelliousness Early Initiation of ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Perceived Risk of Drug Use Interaction with Antisocial Peers Friend's Use of Drugs Rewards for ASB Depressive Symptoms Intention to Use Drugs Gang Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 37.9 41.5 51.2 34.6 39.8 38.7 38.5 44.6 53.2 35.4 39.1 35.1 39.2 46.3 53.0 36.5 37.6 36.0 40.7 48.2 53.7 37.8 38.1 37.0 35.5 35.6 44.9 31.9 50.1 23.2 42.7 47.7 60.6 38.7 51.5 24.4 44.0 54.4 63.0 39.3 47.2 26.2 46.9 57.6 60.4 42.5 48.8 27.6 40.4 38.0 44.8 34.5 63.4 32.5 48.3 43.9 58.4 34.4 54.4 33.1 47.8 48.1 56.5 31.6 50.2 33.1 49.8 52.3 54.9 34.6 51.3 34.1 44.9 47.4 40.1 42.9 27.0 45.6 52.3 42.2 44.2 27.3 47.2 52.0 39.4 47.9 28.3 47.9 52.2 42.7 48.5 29.1 41.8 33.9 34.5 45.0 44.1 42.6 40.9 40.8 47.2 41.9 43.1 42.1 39.8 48.4 38.9 45.0 42.2 43.2 50.0 41.1 46.4 31.2 35.1 43.8 48.0 46.3 38.6 38.8 43.5 42.6 44.8 38.3 35.4 44.9 38.6 44.8 38.3 38.6 45.9 40.1 50.9 44.1 46.2 39.4 45.8 40.6 48.6 41.1 43.2 45.8 46.3 46.9 48.5 38.3 51.6 40.1 41.2 45.8 39.9 50.1 42.4 43.7 44.1 43.0 39.5 33.4 37.9 45.7 37.6 48.5 50.1 39.5 36.3 47.9 * 19.3 36.5 36.3 34.8 44.9 32.4 47.0 55.9 41.6 48.0 50.7 37.1 22.7 43.1 39.0 32.7 46.0 31.0 44.3 56.9 39.2 48.5 43.8 35.1 24.9 43.8 40.2 35.2 46.2 32.4 45.4 58.4 41.3 48.7 45.7 36.5 26.3 39.6 29.8 38.0 55.7 48.4 45.8 48.2 46.0 37.6 40.8 * 13.8 39.4 35.8 35.0 51.4 39.3 41.2 53.0 43.6 43.2 48.7 46.8 19.9 45.9 40.0 33.1 47.4 34.4 38.8 54.9 40.3 44.5 44.1 42.3 22.0 47.5 42.4 36.6 49.7 36.6 39.2 58.1 43.2 45.0 45.5 44.9 23.9 38.3 31.7 42.4 54.4 49.8 48.1 47.1 44.6 42.7 38.1 * 9.7 36.8 36.4 35.9 46.6 38.2 45.7 48.0 37.5 53.6 40.9 31.7 16.9 43.5 36.3 32.0 45.2 34.6 40.5 50.1 35.0 53.8 36.9 29.5 15.2 44.3 38.8 34.1 45.6 34.6 40.5 52.0 35.9 53.8 38.6 29.9 16.3 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 25 Table 10. Percentage of Students Reporting School Safety Issues Grade 8 Question Response County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 0 days During the past 30 days, on how 1 day many days did you carry a weapon 2-3 days such as a gun, knife, or club on 4-5 days school property? (q43) 6 or more days 94.7 2.2 1.5 0.3 1.3 94.2 2.7 1.4 0.4 1.3 93.4 3.1 1.5 0.6 1.5 93.1 3.1 1.6 0.6 1.6 95.5 0.7 0.8 0.1 2.8 95.8 1.5 0.9 0.3 1.5 93.8 2.2 1.3 0.6 2.1 92.7 2.4 1.5 0.7 2.7 94.5 1.4 0.5 0.7 3.0 95.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 1.9 95.2 1.2 0.8 0.5 2.3 94.0 1.4 0.9 0.6 3.0 During the past 30 days, on how many days did you not go to school because you felt you would be unsafe at school or on your way to or from school? (q41) 0 days 1 day 2-3 days 4-5 days 6 or more days 95.1 3.2 1.0 0.2 0.5 89.5 5.8 2.8 0.7 1.1 90.0 5.6 2.6 0.6 1.1 89.3 6.0 2.8 0.7 1.2 98.1 0.6 0.9 0.0 0.4 93.4 3.6 1.7 0.4 0.8 92.5 3.9 2.0 0.5 1.0 92.2 4.1 2.1 0.5 1.1 97.4 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.8 95.2 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.6 95.4 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.7 95.0 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times has someone threatened or injured you with a weapon such as a gun, knife, or club on school property? (q39) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 89.8 5.3 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 84.1 8.8 3.8 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.2 85.0 7.3 4.1 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.3 1.2 84.5 7.7 4.2 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.2 91.2 4.1 3.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 87.3 6.7 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 1.1 86.5 6.4 3.9 1.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 1.1 86.1 6.7 3.9 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.3 94.3 2.7 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8 90.2 4.7 3.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 91.0 4.1 2.9 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 90.5 4.4 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times were you in a physical fight on school property? (q40) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 78.0 12.6 5.7 1.3 0.9 0.0 0.3 1.2 74.1 13.9 7.7 2.1 0.7 0.3 0.2 1.0 77.1 12.4 6.7 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.9 75.4 13.1 7.1 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.0 88.3 6.6 4.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 85.0 8.7 4.5 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 85.9 8.1 3.9 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 84.3 8.9 4.4 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 93.3 3.5 1.8 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 90.6 5.6 2.4 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 92.1 5.0 1.8 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 91.1 5.5 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 Maricopa County 26 Contacts For Prevention Regional Prevention Contacts Arizona Department of Health Services Division of Behavioral Health Services Lisa Shumaker 602-364-4594 www.azdhs.gov/bhs/index.htm Cochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, and Santa Cruz Counties Bill Burnett Community Partnership of Southern Arizona (CPSA) 520-618-8807 Arizona Prevention Resource Center 1-800-432-2772 www.azprevention.org Gila, La Paz, Pinal, and Yuma Counties Linda Weinberg Cenpatico Behavioral Health of Arizona 480-231-7504 Center for Violence Prevention and Community Safety Steve Ballance/Charles Katz 602-543-6174/602-543-6618 steve.ballance@asu.edu/charles.katz@asu.edu Apache, Coconino, Mohave, Navajo, and Yavapai Counties Petrice Post Northern Arizona Regional Behavioral Health Authority (NARBHA) 928-214-2177 Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) http://prevention.samhsa.gov Maricopa County Juan Aristizabal ValueOptions 602-9145844 Governor’s Office of Children, Youth, and Families 602-542-4043 http://www.governor.state.az.us/cyf/index.html Gila River Tribe Marnie McNicholas 602-528-7106 Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities U.S. Department of Education www.ed.gov/offices/OESE/SDFS Pasqua Yaqui Tribe Jill Fabian 520-879-6067 Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Paula Burns 602-266-8299 ext. 351 www.problemgambling.az.gov Navajo Nation Maxine Nakai 928-871-7946 Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMSHA) www.samhsa.gov Colorado River Indian Tribes Iris Leivas 928-669-6577 Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention http://ojjdp.ncjrs.org/ Other State and National Contacts: Western Regional Center for the Application of Prevention Technologies (CAPT) www.westcapt.org Arizona Criminal Justice Commission Michelle Neitch/ Phillip Stevenson 602-364-1173/602-364-1157 www.azcjc.gov Bach Harrison, L.L.C. R. Steven Harrison, Ph.D. 801-359-2064 www.bach-harrison.com Arizona Department of Education Student Services Division www.ade.az.gov 27 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Mohave County REPORT PROVIDED BY: Arizona Criminal Justice Commission 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Shining Light on Arizona Youth THIS REPORT IS PROVIDED BY THE Arizona Criminal Justice Commission IN PARTNERSHIP WITH: Administrative Office of the Courts Arizona Department of Education Arizona Department of Health Services Arizona Department of Juvenile Corrections Arizona Juvenile Justice Commission Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Arizona State University Governor’s Division for Substance Abuse Policy Governor’s Office for Children, Youth, and Families 2 Introduction 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Summary for CONTENTS: the gender and ethnicity categories will often be less than the total number of students. Introduction: • Demographics • Risk & Protective Framework Mohave County This report summarizes some of the county-specific findings from the 2006 Arizona Youth Survey administered to 8th, 10th and 12th grade students during the spring of 2006. The survey was designed to assess school safety, adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention Tools for Assessment and Planning How to Read the Charts Data Charts: • Risk & Protective Factor Profiles • Substance Use & Antisocial Behavior • School Safety All schools in Arizona are invited to participate in the survey, and recruitment efforts were successful in obtaining participation by schools in all of the 15 counties. Careful planning and uniform administration of the survey have resulted in survey data that are valid and representative of the students in grades 8, 10, and 12 in Arizona. Risk and Protective Factor Definitions Data Tables Contacts for Prevention Table 1 contains the characteristics of the students who completed the survey in Mohave County and the State. Because not all students answer all of the questions, the number of students in Table 1. Characteristics of Participants Student Totals County 2002 Total Students Grade 8 10 12 Gender Male Female Ethnicity African American American Indian Asian Hispanic Pacific Islander White Other County 2004 County 2006 Number Percent Number Percent Number 570 100 1558 100 125 21.9 567 261 45.8 608 184 32.3 289 271 State 2006 Number Percent 1877 100 60401 100 36.4 459 24.5 26872 44.5 39.0 835 44.5 19581 32.4 383 24.6 583 31.1 13948 23.1 51.6 723 46.9 894 48.9 28381 48.2 48.4 817 53.1 934 51.1 30505 51.8 7 1.3 23 1.6 24 1.3 2592 4.4 6 1.1 19 1.3 44 2.4 3394 5.8 9 1.7 11 0.8 13 0.7 1341 2.3 116 21.3 345 23.5 343 18.8 21376 36.5 13 0.9 10 406 * 74.6 * 1055 72.0 1288 n/a n/a n/a n/a 99 Percent 457 0.8 70.7 26761 0.5 45.7 5.4 * Pacific Islander was grouped with Asian in 2002 3 2696 4.6 Many states and local agencies have adopted the Risk and Protective Factor Model to guide their prevention efforts. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention is based on the simple premise that to prevent a problem from happening, we need to identify the factors that increase the risk of that problem developing and then find ways to reduce the risks. Just as medical researchers have found risk factors for heart disease such as diets high in fat, lack of exercise, and smoking; a team of researchers at the University of Washington have defined a set of risk factors for youth problem behaviors. Risk factors are characteristics of school, community, and family environments, as well as characteristics of students and their peer groups that are known to predict increased likelihood of drug use, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violent behavior among youth. Protective factors exert a positive influence or buffer against the negative influence of risk, thus reducing the likelihood that adolescents will engage in problem behaviors. Dr. J. David Hawkins, Dr. Richard F. Catalano, and their colleagues at the University of Washington, Social Development Research Group have investigated the relationship between risk and protective factors and youth problem behavior. For example, they have found that children who live in families with high levels of conflict are more likely to become involved in problem behaviors such as delinquency and drug use than children who live in families with low levels of family conflict. 2006 Prevention Needs Assessment Risk and Protective Factors The chart at the right shows the links between the 19 risk factors and the five problem behaviors. The check marks have been placed in the chart to indicate where at least two well designed, published research studies have shown a link between the risk factor and the problem behavior. 9 9 Community laws and norms favorable toward drug use, firearms and crime 9 9 9 Transitions and mobility 9 9 Low neighborhood attachment and community disorganization 9 9 Extreme economic and social deprivation 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Academic failure in elementary school 9 9 9 9 9 Lack of commitment to school 9 9 9 9 9 Early and persistent antisocial behavior 9 9 9 9 9 Alienation and rebelliousness 9 9 Friends who engage in the problem behavior 9 9 Gang involvement 9 9 Favorable attitudes toward the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Early initiation of the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Constitutional factors 9 9 Violence 9 School Drop-Out Availability of drugs and firearms RISK FACTORS Teen Pregnancy Delinquency Risk- and protective-focused drug abuse prevention is also based on the work of Hawkins, Catalano, and their team of researchers at the University of Washington in Seattle. Beginning in the early 1980s the group researched adolescent problem behaviors and identified risk factors for adolescent drug abuse. Not surprisingly, they found that a relationship exists between adolescent drug abuse, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violence, and were able to identify risk factors for these problems. PROBLEM BEHAVIORS Substance Abuse Research on risk and protective factors has important implications for prevention efforts. The premise of this approach is that in order to promote positive youth development and prevent problem behaviors, it is necessary to address those factors that can lead to the problem. By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, specific risk factors that are elevated and widespread can be identified and targeted by preventive interventions that also promote related protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as an elevated risk factor in a community, then mentoring and tutoring interventions can be provided that will improve academic performance, thus reducing the level of the risk factors and decreasing the likelihood of problem behavior. Community 9 Media portrayals of violence 9 9 Family Family history of the problem behavior Family management problems Family conflict Favorable parental attitudes and involvement in the problem behavior 9 School Individual/Peer 4 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 The Arizona Youth Survey as a Tool for Building a Strategic Prevention Framework The Prevention Needs Assessment Survey is an important part of the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) Strategic Prevention Framework Process. CSAP created this 5-step model to guide states and communities through the process of creating planned, data-driven, effective, and sustainable prevention programming. The information presented in this section is taken from CSAP’s Strategic Prevention Framework State Incentive Grant description. Step 1: Profile Population Needs, Resources, and Readiness to Address the Problems and Gaps in Service Delivery • • Community Needs Assessment: The results of this survey (presented in this Profile Report and in results reported at the State level) will identify needs for prevention. States should consider administering a survey to assess adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior, and many of the risk and protective factors that predict adolescent problem behaviors. While planning prevention services, communities are urged to collect and use multiple data sources, including archival and social indicators, assessment of existing resources, key informant interviews, as well as survey data. Community Resource Assessment: It is likely that existing agencies and programs are already addressing some of the prioritized risk and protective factors. It is important to identify the assets and resources already available in the community and the gaps in services and capacity. Community Readiness Assessment: It is very important for states and communities to have the commitment and support of their members and ample resources to implement effective prevention efforts. Therefore, the readiness and capacity of communities and resources to act should also be assessed. Step 2: Mobilize and/or Build Capacity to Address Needs: Engagement of key stakeholders at the state and community levels is critical to plan and implement successful prevention activities that will be sustained over time. Some of the key tasks to mobilize the state and communities are to work with leaders and stakeholders to build coalitions, provide training, leverage resources, and help sustain prevention activities. Step 3: Develop a Comprehensive Strategic Plan: States and communities should develop a strategic plan that articulates not only a vision for the prevention activities, but also strategies for organizing and implementing prevention efforts. The strategic plan should be based on documented needs, build on identified resources/strengths, set measurable objectives, and identify how progress will be monitored. Plans should be adjusted with ongoing needs assessment and monitoring activities. The issue of sustainability should be kept in mind throughout each step of planning and implementation. Step 4: Implement Evidence-based Prevention Programs and Infrastructure Development Activities: By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, prevention programs can be implemented that will reduce the elevated risk factors and increase the protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as a prioritized risk factor in a community, then mentoring, tutoring, and increased opportunities and rewards for classroom participation can be provided to improve academic performance. After completing Steps 1, 2, and 3, communities will be able to choose prevention programs that fit the Strategic Framework of the community, match the population served, and are scientifically proven to work. The Western Center for the Application of Prevention Technology website (www.westcapt.org) contains a search engine for identifying Best Practice Programs. Step 5: Monitor Process, Evaluate Effectiveness, Sustain Effective Programs/Activities, and Improve or Replace Those That Fail: Finally, ongoing monitoring and evaluation are essential to determine if the outcomes desired are achieved and to assess program effectiveness, assess service delivery quality, identify successes, encourage needed improvement, and promote sustainability of effective policies, programs, and practices. 5 Tools for Assessment and Planning School and Community Improvement Using Survey Data Why the Arizona Youth Survey? Data from the Arizona Youth Survey can be used to help school and community planners assess current conditions and prioritize areas of greatest need. Each risk and protective factor can be linked to specific types of interventions that have been shown to be effective in either reducing risk(s) or enhancing protection(s). The steps outlined here will help your county and community make key decisions regarding allocation of resources, how and when to address specific needs, and which strategies are most effective and known to produce results. What are the numbers telling you? Review the charts and data tables presented in this report. Using the table below, note your findings as you discuss the following questions. • Which 3-5 risk factors appear to be higher than you would want? • Which 3-5 protective factors appear to be lower than you would want? • Which levels of 30-day drug use are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which substances are your students using the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable usage levels? • Which levels of antisocial behaviors are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which behaviors are your students exhibiting the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable behavior levels? How to decide if a rate is “unacceptable.” • • • Use these data for planning. • • • MEASURE Look across the charts – which items stand out as either much higher or much lower than the other? Compare your data with statewide, and national data – differences of 5% between local and other data are probably significant. Determine the standards and values held within your community – For example: Is it acceptable in your community for a percentage of high school students to drink alcohol regularly as long as that percentage is lower than the overall state rate? Substance use and antisocial behavior data – raise awareness about the problems and promote dialogue. Risk and protective factor data – identify exactly where the community needs to take action. Promising approaches – talk with resources listed on the last page of this report for ideas about programs that have proven effective in addressing the risk factors that are high in your community, and improving the protective factors that are low. Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate #1 #2 #3 #4 Risk Factors Protective Factors Substance Use Antisocial Behaviors 6 Practical Implications of the AYS No Child Left Behind The Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities section of the No Child Left Behind Act (NCLB) requires that schools and communities use six Principles of Effectiveness to guide their decisions and spending on federally funded prevention and intervention programs. First introduced in 1998 by the Department of Education, the Principles of Effectiveness outline a data-driven process for ensuring that prevention programs achieve the desired results. The Principles of Effectiveness stipulate that local prevention programs and activities must: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. be based on a needs assessment using objective data regarding the incidence of drug use and violence, target specific performance objectives, be based on scientific research and be proven to reduce violence or drug use, be based on the analysis of predictor variables such as risk and protective factors, include meaningful and on-going parental input in program implementation, and have periodic evaluations of established performance measures. The results of the Arizona Youth Survey presented in this report can help schools and communities comply with the NCLB Act. The Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior charts provide information related to Principle 1 above. The Risk and Protective Factor charts provide information related to Principle 4. Overall, using the Risk and Protective factors planning framework helps schools meet all of the Principles of Effectiveness, and thereby assists schools in complying with the NCLB Act. How to Read the Charts: Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts There are four types of charts presented in this report: 1) substance use and antisocial behavior charts, 2) risk factor charts, 3) protective factor charts, and 4) school safety charts. All the charts show the results of the AYS, and the actual percentages from the charts are presented in Tables 3 through 10. • 30-day use is a measure of the percentage of students who used the substance at least once in the 30 days prior to taking the survey and is a more sensitive indicator of the level of current use of the substance. • Binge drinking and a Pack or more of cigarettes per day are measures of heavy use of alcohol and tobacco. Binge drinking is defined as having five or more drinks in a row during the two weeks prior to taking the survey. • Antisocial behavior (ASB) is a measure of the percentage of students who report any involvement with the eight antisocial behaviors listed in the charts in the past year. In the charts, antisocial behavior will often be abbreviated as ASB. • Dots are used on the charts to show the overall average of all of the youth in each grade who participated in the survey for each behavior. More information about the dots is contained on the following page. Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts This report contains information about alcohol, tobacco and other drug use (referred to as ATOD use throughout this report) and other problem behaviors of students. The bars on each chart represent the percentage of students in that grade who reported the behavior. The four sections in the charts represent different types of problem behaviors. The definitions of each of the types of behavior are provided below. • Ever-used is a measure of the percentage of students who tried the particular substance at least once in their lifetime and is used to show the percentage of students who have had experience with a particular substance. 7 How to Read the Charts: Risk and Protective Factor and School Safety Charts Risk and Protective Factor Charts There are three components of the risk and protective factor charts that are key to understanding the information that the charts contain: 1) the cutpoints for the risk and protective factor scales, 2) the dots that indicate the state values, and 3) the dashed lines that indicate a more “national” value. the progress of prevention programs over time. For example, if the percentage of youth at risk for family conflict in a community prior to implementing a community-wide family/parenting program was 60% and then decreased to 45% one year after the program was implemented, the program would be viewed as helping to reduce family conflict. Dots Cut-Points Before the percentage of youth at risk on a given scale could be calculated, a scale value or cut-point needed to be determined that would separate the atrisk group from the not-at-risk group. The Prevention Needs Assessment (PNA) survey was designed to assess adolescent substance use, antisocial behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Arizona Youth Survey, and surveys designed for other states and areas, follow the PNA format and have the same goal of gathering information on the prevention needs of students, schools, communities, and states. Since PNA surveys have been given to over 200,000 youth nationwide, it was possible to select two groups of youth, one that was more at risk for problem behaviors and another group that was less at risk. A cut-point score was then determined for each risk and protective factor scale that best divided the youth from the two groups into their appropriate group, more at-risk or less at-risk. The criteria for selecting the more at-risk and the less atrisk groups included academic grades (the more atrisk group received “D” and “F” grades, the less atrisk group received “A” and “B” grades), ATOD use (the more at-risk group had more regular use, the less at-risk group had no drug use and use of alcohol or tobacco on only a few occasions), and antisocial behavior (the more at-risk group had two or more serious delinquent acts in the past year, the less atrisk group had no serious delinquent acts). The cut-points that were determined by analyzing the results of the more at-risk and less at-risk groups will remain constant and will be used to produce the profiles for future surveys. Since the cut-points for each scale will remain fixed, the percentage of youth above the cut-point on a scale (at-risk) will provide a method for evaluating The dots on the charts represent the percentage of all of the youth surveyed from Arizona who reported ‘elevated risk’ or ‘elevated protection’. The comparison to the state-wide sample provides additional information for your community in determining the relative importance of each risk or protective factor level. Scanning across the charts, you can easily determine which factors are most (or least) prevalent for your community. This is the first step in identifying the levels of risk and protection that are operating in your community and which factors your community may choose to address. Dashed Line Levels of risk and protection in your community also can be compared to a more national sample. The dashed line on each risk and protective factor chart represents the percentage of youth at risk or with protection for the seven state sample upon which the cut-points were developed. The seven states included in the norm group were Colorado, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Oregon, Utah, and Washington. All the states have a mix of urban and rural students. Again, brief definitions of the risk and protective factors are provided following the profile charts. For more information about risk and protective factors, please refer to the resources listed on the last page of this report under Contacts for Prevention. School Safety Charts The school safety profile charts contain the percentages of students who felt unsafe at school or on the way to school, were threatened or injured with a weapon at school, were in a physical fight at school, or carried a weapon to school. The complete questions and values for each response option can be seen in Table 10. 8 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Mohave County Student Survey, Grade 8 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 9 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Mohave County Student Survey, Grade 8 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 10 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Mohave County Student Survey, Grade 10 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 11 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Mohave County Student Survey, Grade 10 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 12 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Mohave County Student Survey, Grade 12 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 13 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Mohave County Student Survey, Grade 12 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 14 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Mohave County Student Survey, Grade 8 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 15 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Mohave County Student Survey, Grade 10 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 16 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Mohave County Student Survey, Grade 12 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 17 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Mohave County Student Survey, Grade 8 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 18 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Mohave County Student Survey, Grade 10 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 19 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Mohave County Student Survey, Grade 12 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 20 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions Community Domain Risk Factors Community and Personal Transitions & Mobility Neighborhoods with high rates of residential mobility have been shown to have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling, while children who experience frequent residential moves and stressful life transitions have been shown to have higher risk for school failure, delinquency, and drug use. Community Disorganization Research has shown that neighborhoods with high population density, lack of natural surveillance of public places, physical deterioration, and high rates of adult crime also have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling. Low Neighborhood Attachment A low level of bonding to the neighborhood is related to higher levels of juvenile crime and drug selling. Laws and Norms Favorable Toward Drug Use Research has shown that legal restrictions on alcohol and tobacco use, such as raising the legal drinking age, restricting smoking in public places, and increased taxation have been followed by decreases in consumption. Moreover, national surveys of high school seniors have shown that shifts in normative attitudes toward drug use have preceded changes in prevalence of use. Perceived Availability of Drugs and Handguns The availability of cigarettes, alcohol, marijuana, and other illegal drugs has been related to the use of these substances by adolescents. The availability of handguns is also related to a higher risk of crime and substance use by adolescents. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When opportunities are available in a community for positive participation, children are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement Rewards for positive participation in activities helps children bond to the community, thus lowering their risk for substance use. Family Domain Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Risk Factors When children are raised in a family with a history of problem behaviors (e.g., violence or ATOD use), the children are more likely to engage in these behaviors. Children raised in families high in conflict, whether or not the child is directly involved in the conflict, appear at risk for both delinquency and drug use. Parental Attitudes Favorable In families where parents use illegal drugs, are heavy users of alcohol, or are tolerant of children’s use, Toward Antisocial Behavior & children are more likely to become drug abusers during adolescence. The risk is further increased if parents involve children in their own drug (or alcohol) using behavior, for example, asking the child to Drugs light the parent’s cigarette or get the parent a beer from the refrigerator. Poor Family Management Parents’ use of inconsistent and/or unusually harsh or severe punishment with their children places them at higher risk for substance use and other problem behaviors. Also, parents’ failure to provide clear expectations and to monitor their children’s behavior makes it more likely that they will engage in drug abuse whether or not there are family drug problems. Protective Factors Family Attachment Young people who feel that they are a valued part of their family are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Opportunities for Positive Involvement Young people who are exposed to more opportunities to participate meaningfully in the responsibilities and activities of the family are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When parents, siblings, and other family members praise, encourage, and attend to things done well by their child, children are less likely to engage in substance use and problem behaviors. School Domain Risk Factors Academic Failure Beginning in the late elementary grades (grades 4-6) academic failure increases the risk of both drug abuse and delinquency. It appears that the experience of failure itself, for whatever reasons, increases the risk of problem behaviors. 21 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions (Continued) Low Commitment to School Surveys of high school seniors have shown that the use of hallucinogens, cocaine, heroin, stimulants, and sedatives or non-medically prescribed tranquilizers is significantly lower among students who expect to attend college than among those who do not. Factors such as liking school, spending time on homework, and perceiving the coursework as relevant are also negatively related to drug use. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When young people are given more opportunities to participate meaningfully in important activities at school, they are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When young people are recognized and rewarded for their contributions at school, they are less likely to be involved in substance use and other problem behaviors. Peer-Individual Risk Factors Early Initiation of Antisocial Behavior and Drug Use Early onset of drug use predicts misuse of drugs. The earlier the onset of any drug use, the greater the involvement in other drug use and the greater frequency of use. Onset of drug use prior to the age of 15 is a consistent predictor of drug abuse, and a later age of onset of drug use has been shown to predict lower drug involvement and a greater probability of discontinuation of use. During the elementary school years, most children express anti-drug, anti-crime, and pro-social attitudes Attitudes Favorable Toward Antisocial Behavior and Drug and have difficulty imagining why people use drugs or engage in antisocial behaviors. However, in middle school, as more youth are exposed to others who use drugs and engage in antisocial behavior, Use their attitudes often shift toward greater acceptance of these behaviors. Youth who express positive attitudes toward drug use and antisocial behavior are more likely to engage in a variety of problem behaviors, including drug use. Friends' Use of Drugs Young people who associate with peers who engage in alcohol or substance abuse are much more likely to engage in the same behavior. Peer drug use has consistently been found to be among the strongest predictors of substance use among youth. Even when young people come from well-managed families and do not experience other risk factors, spending time with friends who use drugs greatly increases the risk of that problem developing. Interaction with Antisocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in problem behaviors are at higher risk for engaging in antisocial behavior themselves. Perceived Risk of Drug Use Young people who do not perceive drug use to be risky are far more likely to engage in drug use. Rewards for Antisocial Behavior Young people who receive rewards for their antisocial behavior are at higher risk for engaging further in antisocial behavior and substance use. Rebelliousness Young people who do not feel part of society, are not bound by rules, don’t believe in trying to be successful or responsible, or who take an active rebellious stance toward society, are at higher risk of abusing drugs. In addition, high tolerance for deviance, a strong need for independence and normlessness have all been linked with drug use. Intention to Use ATODs Many prevention programs focus on reducing the intention of participants to use ATODs later in life. Reduction of intention to use ATODs often follows successful prevention interventions. Depressive Symptoms Young people who are depressed are overrepresented in the criminal justice system and are more likely to use drugs. Survey research and other studies have shown a link between depression and other youth problem behaviors. Gang Involvement Youth who belong to gangs are more at risk for antisocial behavior and drug use. Protective Factors Religiosity Young people who regularly attend religious services are less likely to engage in problem behaviors. Social Skills Young people who are socially competent and engage in positive interpersonal relations with their peers are less likely to use drugs and engage in other problem behaviors. Belief in the Moral Order Young people who have a belief in what is “right” or “wrong” are less likely to use drugs. Prosocial Involvement Participation in positive school and community activities helps provide protection for youth. Prosocial Norms Young people who view working hard in school and the community are less likely to engage in problem behavior. Involvement with Prosocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in prosocial behavior are more protected from engaging in antisocial behavior and substance use. 22 Table 3. Number of Students Who Completed the Survey Grade 8 Total Students County County County 2002 2004 2006 125 567 459 Grade 10 State 2006 26872 County County County 2002 2004 2006 261 608 835 Table 4. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During Their Lifetime Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 54.1 55.5 64.1 50.4 79.9 77.8 75.5 38.7 32.9 36.8 30.8 57.7 48.7 47.1 2.4 6.6 5.6 8.0 9.7 10.2 11.6 22.0 23.8 23.4 18.3 50.0 42.1 40.8 8.9 12.5 16.6 15.2 13.9 12.8 13.3 1.6 1.5 2.7 2.1 8.6 6.0 6.6 3.2 2.0 3.0 3.6 9.3 6.3 8.8 1.6 n/a n/a n/a 12.5 n/a n/a n/a n/a 3.8 2.6 n/a n/a 9.7 n/a 2.6 n/a n/a n/a 6.5 n/a n/a n/a 4.4 3.4 n/a n/a 8.9 1.6 1.1 1.3 1.4 4.3 1.2 2.9 1.6 n/a n/a n/a 7.0 n/a n/a n/a 11.1 12.7 10.0 n/a 19.8 18.8 2.4 1.7 1.8 1.9 11.3 3.3 6.0 n/a n/a 1.0 1.6 n/a n/a 1.9 n/a n/a 14.5 9.8 n/a n/a 22.7 24.8 35.2 43.4 36.2 50.6 51.4 54.5 Table 5. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During the Past 30 Days* Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 2002 Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 25.6 5.8 0.8 8.3 3.3 0.8 0.8 0.0 n/a n/a n/a 0.8 0.0 n/a 1.7 n/a n/a 12.0 2004 26.6 10.4 1.8 9.9 5.2 0.9 0.4 n/a n/a 0.8 n/a 0.7 n/a 6.5 0.2 n/a n/a 17.9 2006 34.6 13.1 1.6 10.0 6.4 1.0 0.5 n/a 0.8 n/a 1.5 1.0 n/a 5.0 0.8 0.5 6.8 23.3 2006 24.1 10.5 2.7 8.5 6.2 1.0 1.7 n/a 1.0 n/a 1.5 0.7 n/a 4.5 0.8 0.8 4.5 19.7 2002 2004 52.3 19.1 3.9 27.3 3.5 2.4 2.0 3.9 n/a n/a n/a 1.6 4.0 n/a 3.2 n/a n/a 31.0 48.2 18.1 1.5 16.0 2.9 2.2 1.5 n/a n/a 3.3 n/a 0.7 n/a 10.1 0.7 n/a n/a 24.2 2006 46.2 19.9 3.1 19.1 3.3 2.3 2.7 n/a 3.6 n/a 3.7 1.0 n/a 9.8 1.4 0.8 10.5 31.0 Grade 12 State 2006 19581 County County County 2002 2004 2006 184 383 583 State 2006 13948 Grade 12 State 2006 67.6 43.8 11.8 34.0 11.9 4.1 7.6 n/a 5.0 n/a 7.1 2.1 n/a 14.3 3.4 2.0 16.0 47.0 County County County 2002 2004 2006 86.9 69.4 13.8 61.2 7.7 13.1 7.7 11.0 n/a n/a n/a 2.7 8.8 n/a 13.3 n/a n/a 62.0 85.8 56.0 14.3 49.2 13.2 8.7 14.0 n/a n/a 10.6 n/a 1.6 n/a 23.9 7.5 n/a n/a 55.9 78.3 52.3 17.2 46.1 11.2 7.0 10.4 n/a 9.2 n/a 8.1 2.6 n/a 21.1 5.7 3.2 24.4 56.8 State 2006 74.5 50.0 15.6 42.6 9.8 5.6 11.6 n/a 6.6 n/a 8.5 2.8 n/a 17.4 4.4 2.2 20.0 52.8 Grade 12 State 2006 39.2 17.1 4.0 15.7 3.1 1.7 2.9 n/a 1.7 n/a 2.9 0.7 n/a 6.6 1.0 1.0 7.3 25.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 58.8 20.9 4.4 26.2 2.2 3.3 2.2 4.9 n/a n/a n/a 1.1 4.9 n/a 4.4 n/a n/a 29.5 55.9 29.7 3.2 21.0 2.6 2.4 4.0 n/a n/a 3.2 n/a 0.8 n/a 14.4 0.8 n/a n/a 28.5 50.7 20.6 5.9 18.4 1.8 4.5 4.0 n/a 2.4 n/a 2.9 0.8 n/a 10.1 1.4 1.4 10.7 29.7 State 2006 47.0 21.8 5.4 18.1 1.7 1.7 3.3 n/a 1.4 n/a 2.6 0.8 n/a 7.1 0.9 1.0 8.1 26.6 n/a - Indicates a question that was not asked in the 2002, 2004, or 2006 Arizona Youth Surveys. ATOD questions have differed slightly over the years. The differences are as follows. On how many occasions (if any) have you: 1 used methamphetamines (meth, crystal, crank)? [2002] used methamphetamines (meth, speed, crank, or crystal meth)? [2006] 2 3 used stimulants (amphetamines, meth, crystal, crank) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004] used stimulants, other than methamphetamines (such as amphetamines, Ritalin or Dexedrine) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2006] 4 5 used quaaludes, barbiturates or tranquilizers? [2002] used sedatives (tranquilizers, such as Valium or Xanax, barbiturates or sleeping pills) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004, 2006] 6 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. Note: 2006 'Any Drug' use does not include reported use of steroids or prescription drugs in order to make the 2006 results comparable to previous surveys. Further, the 2002 lifetime use data presented here is derived from a question asking students to report how old they were when they first used each substance. The 2002 lifetime use value reflects those students who indicated any age of first use. 23 Table 6. Percentage of Students With Heavy Use of Alcohol and Cigarettes Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 Binge Drinking 7.5 17.3 21.3 13.4 28.9 27.9 28.5 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day 0.8 1.3 1.2 1.0 6.6 5.0 5.4 Table 7. Percentage of Students With Antisocial Behavior in the Past Year Grade 8 Grade 10 Behavior County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 Suspended from School 9.8 18.8 24.0 Drunk or High at School 9.1 13.0 16.0 Sold Illegal Drugs 4.1 5.6 4.2 Stolen a Vehicle 2.5 5.0 6.7 Been Arrested 5.7 10.3 11.9 Attacked to Harm 8.9 21.7 19.3 Carried a Handgun 3.3 9.7 6.3 Handgun to School 0.0 2.4 1.5 Table 8. Percentage of Students Reporting Protection Grade 8 Protective Factor Community Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Family Domain Family Attachment Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement School Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Peer-Individual Domain Religiosity Social Skills Belief in the Moral Order Interaction with Prosocial Peers Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 19.8 13.0 4.9 4.6 8.3 17.9 7.6 1.6 2002 18.4 28.0 9.8 5.1 14.8 13.0 6.6 1.6 2004 12.9 21.9 9.0 3.6 8.8 16.4 3.5 1.2 2006 17.3 23.0 9.8 4.1 10.3 19.9 5.9 1.0 Grade 12 State 2006 22.4 2.4 County County County 2002 2004 2006 35.2 8.2 County County County 2002 2004 2006 33.1 6.7 28.2 3.9 Grade 12 State 2006 15.5 21.1 9.1 4.7 9.3 16.5 7.5 1.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 14.8 28.6 12.8 3.8 10.4 12.8 8.8 1.1 Grade 10 State 2006 33.7 6.2 State 2006 10.6 23.7 13.5 3.2 12.4 14.2 5.0 1.1 11.0 22.3 10.1 3.2 8.1 12.7 7.7 1.7 State 2006 9.4 21.4 9.8 3.1 7.8 13.2 7.0 1.4 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 50.5 36.4 45.1 25.8 37.9 27.6 38.2 30.4 30.0 32.5 39.2 30.9 39.2 33.0 37.1 36.3 39.7 35.2 30.1 24.3 36.3 27.0 37.6 35.2 61.3 62.8 66.1 47.6 57.5 57.5 42.7 54.5 56.7 48.7 57.4 60.6 44.1 53.0 51.4 42.6 52.6 54.0 43.2 48.2 51.7 44.1 53.0 54.9 49.4 51.5 50.9 51.9 54.9 55.3 51.5 49.2 49.9 57.1 55.9 56.9 54.2 49.2 54.0 43.5 54.0 46.2 59.1 50.7 54.1 61.5 52.9 55.8 53.5 52.7 62.9 62.3 59.7 46.4 48.6 36.4 56.6 40.2 65.2 48.0 * 64.2 64.2 * * * 34.6 54.3 50.7 39.5 34.8 51.9 34.8 48.0 45.1 38.8 30.0 52.7 46.2 58.3 54.3 46.1 37.7 58.8 * 48.6 61.3 * * * 29.8 49.9 58.9 44.7 38.6 55.3 28.3 44.9 57.5 39.1 32.8 54.2 44.3 52.4 62.6 49.6 39.3 61.1 * 56.4 38.8 * * * 60.2 60.4 45.9 37.5 27.3 41.1 54.6 62.7 46.1 35.2 29.2 40.6 70.7 66.0 51.2 48.1 39.1 53.4 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 24 Table 9. Percentage of Students Reporting Risk Grade 8 Risk Factor Community Domain Low Neighborhood Attachment Community Disorganization Transitions & Mobility Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Perceived Availability of Drugs Perceived Availability of Handguns Family Domain Poor Family Management Family Conflict Family History of Antisocial Behavior Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use School Domain Academic Failure Low Commitment to School Peer-Individual Domain Rebelliousness Early Initiation of ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Perceived Risk of Drug Use Interaction with Antisocial Peers Friend's Use of Drugs Rewards for ASB Depressive Symptoms Intention to Use Drugs Gang Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 40.5 24.8 43.3 34.5 36.6 36.0 50.2 46.2 56.9 38.0 46.1 40.7 47.8 48.2 62.1 48.4 46.6 43.6 40.7 48.2 53.7 37.8 38.1 37.0 52.0 52.8 67.4 44.1 52.4 26.9 56.2 58.6 69.2 50.3 59.7 26.3 53.9 58.3 69.9 50.9 58.9 33.2 46.9 57.6 60.4 42.5 48.8 27.6 58.0 49.2 67.2 39.9 60.1 34.5 57.8 48.3 62.6 40.6 60.7 39.3 62.9 55.3 67.0 45.0 58.5 36.1 49.8 52.3 54.9 34.6 51.3 34.1 36.2 41.2 41.0 30.5 26.1 45.2 54.9 48.0 46.7 31.7 49.3 58.4 56.7 55.8 40.4 47.9 52.2 42.7 48.5 29.1 46.5 40.5 47.2 46.4 50.2 49.1 44.2 55.5 51.9 49.8 45.2 46.6 53.4 58.7 53.4 45.0 42.2 43.2 50.0 41.1 52.0 34.7 46.3 45.1 49.4 48.9 40.3 51.3 52.9 52.1 49.6 43.8 48.2 55.5 54.3 44.8 38.3 38.6 45.9 40.1 54.1 46.7 53.1 49.9 54.1 51.2 48.6 41.1 57.0 45.8 51.5 50.6 56.7 49.2 51.6 40.1 48.3 45.6 49.3 54.5 45.6 48.1 44.1 43.0 28.7 26.0 37.4 38.7 32.3 44.1 41.3 37.2 33.3 37.3 * 14.0 40.0 41.8 39.4 51.5 36.5 52.1 61.6 46.4 50.0 57.1 41.0 25.8 50.5 46.0 42.6 52.9 42.6 50.1 66.3 52.4 57.0 48.2 43.2 19.8 43.8 40.2 35.2 46.2 32.4 45.4 58.4 41.3 48.7 45.7 36.5 26.3 44.5 46.7 49.8 53.1 49.4 48.8 54.7 51.6 26.1 50.4 * 10.9 40.2 41.1 45.1 51.0 44.1 44.9 60.2 47.6 47.1 51.9 51.1 22.9 51.2 48.3 44.0 55.6 42.9 43.9 61.3 48.5 47.8 50.4 50.2 19.0 47.5 42.4 36.6 49.7 36.6 39.2 58.1 43.2 45.0 45.5 44.9 23.9 48.9 47.0 51.4 58.2 51.4 58.3 53.6 35.9 33.0 43.3 * 11.0 38.2 42.6 45.8 50.9 42.5 49.6 55.6 42.8 51.6 48.8 37.0 18.3 46.2 39.6 37.9 49.3 37.3 44.6 53.0 35.9 54.7 42.2 30.8 15.2 44.3 38.8 34.1 45.6 34.6 40.5 52.0 35.9 53.8 38.6 29.9 16.3 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 25 Table 10. Percentage of Students Reporting School Safety Issues Grade 8 Question Response County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 0 days During the past 30 days, on how 1 day many days did you carry a weapon 2-3 days such as a gun, knife, or club on 4-5 days school property? (q43) 6 or more days 95.9 0.0 0.8 0.8 2.5 92.4 2.5 1.8 0.7 2.5 93.4 2.3 1.6 0.7 2.1 93.1 3.1 1.6 0.6 1.6 96.2 0.8 0.4 0.0 2.7 95.7 1.2 1.3 0.2 1.7 93.7 2.0 1.0 0.2 3.1 92.7 2.4 1.5 0.7 2.7 95.6 1.1 0.0 0.0 3.3 96.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 2.1 93.5 1.7 0.7 0.4 3.7 94.0 1.4 0.9 0.6 3.0 During the past 30 days, on how many days did you not go to school because you felt you would be unsafe at school or on your way to or from school? (q41) 0 days 1 day 2-3 days 4-5 days 6 or more days 97.6 0.0 1.6 0.0 0.8 91.2 5.4 1.4 0.2 1.8 88.9 6.3 1.6 0.7 2.5 89.3 6.0 2.8 0.7 1.2 98.5 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.8 93.2 3.3 1.5 0.5 1.5 94.9 2.6 1.5 0.2 0.7 92.2 4.1 2.1 0.5 1.1 98.4 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 94.2 2.9 1.1 0.8 1.1 96.3 2.0 0.4 0.6 0.7 95.0 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times has someone threatened or injured you with a weapon such as a gun, knife, or club on school property? (q39) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 87.1 3.2 4.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 4.8 85.1 7.4 3.8 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.5 1.4 82.6 7.7 5.4 1.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 1.8 84.5 7.7 4.2 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.2 94.3 2.7 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.1 88.4 5.5 3.3 1.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 83.4 7.2 5.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.2 86.1 6.7 3.9 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.3 95.6 1.1 2.2 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 91.6 3.9 2.4 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.1 91.7 3.5 2.0 0.9 0.0 0.4 0.4 1.1 90.5 4.4 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times were you in a physical fight on school property? (q40) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 80.0 9.6 8.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 68.2 16.3 9.9 3.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.9 70.8 16.3 8.8 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.9 75.4 13.1 7.1 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.0 89.2 6.5 2.3 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.8 82.1 9.5 5.6 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 82.0 10.3 5.3 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 1.0 84.3 8.9 4.4 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 91.3 5.5 1.6 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 91.3 5.6 2.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 91.3 4.4 2.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 91.1 5.5 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 Mohave County 26 Contacts For Prevention Regional Prevention Contacts Arizona Department of Health Services Division of Behavioral Health Services Lisa Shumaker 602-364-4594 www.azdhs.gov/bhs/index.htm Cochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, and Santa Cruz Counties Bill Burnett Community Partnership of Southern Arizona (CPSA) 520-618-8807 Arizona Prevention Resource Center 1-800-432-2772 www.azprevention.org Gila, La Paz, Pinal, and Yuma Counties Linda Weinberg Cenpatico Behavioral Health of Arizona 480-231-7504 Center for Violence Prevention and Community Safety Steve Ballance/Charles Katz 602-543-6174/602-543-6618 steve.ballance@asu.edu/charles.katz@asu.edu Apache, Coconino, Mohave, Navajo, and Yavapai Counties Petrice Post Northern Arizona Regional Behavioral Health Authority (NARBHA) 928-214-2177 Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) http://prevention.samhsa.gov Maricopa County Juan Aristizabal ValueOptions 602-9145844 Governor’s Office of Children, Youth, and Families 602-542-4043 http://www.governor.state.az.us/cyf/index.html Gila River Tribe Marnie McNicholas 602-528-7106 Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities U.S. Department of Education www.ed.gov/offices/OESE/SDFS Pasqua Yaqui Tribe Jill Fabian 520-879-6067 Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Paula Burns 602-266-8299 ext. 351 www.problemgambling.az.gov Navajo Nation Maxine Nakai 928-871-7946 Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMSHA) www.samhsa.gov Colorado River Indian Tribes Iris Leivas 928-669-6577 Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention http://ojjdp.ncjrs.org/ Other State and National Contacts: Western Regional Center for the Application of Prevention Technologies (CAPT) www.westcapt.org Arizona Criminal Justice Commission Michelle Neitch/ Phillip Stevenson 602-364-1173/602-364-1157 www.azcjc.gov Bach Harrison, L.L.C. R. Steven Harrison, Ph.D. 801-359-2064 www.bach-harrison.com Arizona Department of Education Student Services Division www.ade.az.gov 27 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Navajo County REPORT PROVIDED BY: Arizona Criminal Justice Commission 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Shining Light on Arizona Youth THIS REPORT IS PROVIDED BY THE Arizona Criminal Justice Commission IN PARTNERSHIP WITH: Administrative Office of the Courts Arizona Department of Education Arizona Department of Health Services Arizona Department of Juvenile Corrections Arizona Juvenile Justice Commission Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Arizona State University Governor’s Division for Substance Abuse Policy Governor’s Office for Children, Youth, and Families 2 Introduction 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Summary for CONTENTS: gender and ethnicity categories will often be less than the total number of students. Introduction: • Demographics • Risk & Protective Framework Navajo County This report summarizes some of the county-specific findings from the 2006 Arizona Youth Survey administered to 8th, 10th and 12th grade students during the spring of 2006. The survey was designed to assess school safety, adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention Tools for Assessment and Planning How to Read the Charts Data Charts: • Risk & Protective Factor Profiles • Substance Use & Antisocial Behavior • School Safety All schools in Arizona are invited to participate in the survey, and recruitment efforts were successful in obtaining participation by schools in all of the 15 counties. Careful planning and uniform administration of the survey have resulted in survey data that are valid and representative of the students in grades 8, 10, and 12 in Arizona. Risk and Protective Factor Definitions Data Tables Contacts for Prevention Table 1 contains the characteristics of the students who completed the survey in Navajo County and the State. Because not all students answer all of the questions, the number of students in the Table 1. Characteristics of Participants Student Totals County 2002 Total Students Grade 8 10 12 Gender Male Female Ethnicity African American American Indian Asian Hispanic Pacific Islander White Other County 2004 County 2006 Number Percent Number Percent Number 1048 100 1399 100 633 60.4 449 257 24.5 512 158 15.1 505 515 Percent State 2006 Number Percent 1415 100 60401 100 32.1 558 39.4 26872 44.5 36.6 496 35.1 19581 32.4 438 31.3 361 25.5 13948 23.1 49.5 652 47.1 664 47.7 28381 48.2 50.5 732 52.9 727 52.3 30505 51.8 9 0.9 13 1.0 20 1.5 2592 4.4 424 41.8 731 54.2 607 44.0 3394 5.8 10 1.0 4 0.3 6 0.4 1341 2.3 72 7.1 96 7.1 95 6.9 21376 36.5 5 0.4 6 499 49.2 500 37.1 592 n/a n/a n/a n/a 52 * * 457 0.8 43.0 26761 0.4 45.7 3.8 * Pacific Islander was grouped with Asian in 2002 3 2696 4.6 Many states and local agencies have adopted the Risk and Protective Factor Model to guide their prevention efforts. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention is based on the simple premise that to prevent a problem from happening, we need to identify the factors that increase the risk of that problem developing and then find ways to reduce the risks. Just as medical researchers have found risk factors for heart disease such as diets high in fat, lack of exercise, and smoking; a team of researchers at the University of Washington have defined a set of risk factors for youth problem behaviors. Risk factors are characteristics of school, community, and family environments, as well as characteristics of students and their peer groups that are known to predict increased likelihood of drug use, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violent behavior among youth. Protective factors exert a positive influence or buffer against the negative influence of risk, thus reducing the likelihood that adolescents will engage in problem behaviors. Dr. J. David Hawkins, Dr. Richard F. Catalano, and their colleagues at the University of Washington, Social Development Research Group have investigated the relationship between risk and protective factors and youth problem behavior. For example, they have found that children who live in families with high levels of conflict are more likely to become involved in problem behaviors such as delinquency and drug use than children who live in families with low levels of family conflict. 2006 Prevention Needs Assessment Risk and Protective Factors The chart at the right shows the links between the 19 risk factors and the five problem behaviors. The check marks have been placed in the chart to indicate where at least two well designed, published research studies have shown a link between the risk factor and the problem behavior. 9 9 Community laws and norms favorable toward drug use, firearms and crime 9 9 9 Transitions and mobility 9 9 Low neighborhood attachment and community disorganization 9 9 Extreme economic and social deprivation 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Academic failure in elementary school 9 9 9 9 9 Lack of commitment to school 9 9 9 9 9 Early and persistent antisocial behavior 9 9 9 9 9 Alienation and rebelliousness 9 9 Friends who engage in the problem behavior 9 9 Gang involvement 9 9 Favorable attitudes toward the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Early initiation of the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Constitutional factors 9 9 Violence 9 School Drop-Out Availability of drugs and firearms RISK FACTORS Teen Pregnancy Delinquency Risk- and protective-focused drug abuse prevention is also based on the work of Hawkins, Catalano, and their team of researchers at the University of Washington in Seattle. Beginning in the early 1980s the group researched adolescent problem behaviors and identified risk factors for adolescent drug abuse. Not surprisingly, they found that a relationship exists between adolescent drug abuse, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violence, and were able to identify risk factors for these problems. PROBLEM BEHAVIORS Substance Abuse Research on risk and protective factors has important implications for prevention efforts. The premise of this approach is that in order to promote positive youth development and prevent problem behaviors, it is necessary to address those factors that can lead to the problem. By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, specific risk factors that are elevated and widespread can be identified and targeted by preventive interventions that also promote related protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as an elevated risk factor in a community, then mentoring and tutoring interventions can be provided that will improve academic performance, thus reducing the level of the risk factors and decreasing the likelihood of problem behavior. Community 9 Media portrayals of violence 9 9 Family Family history of the problem behavior Family management problems Family conflict Favorable parental attitudes and involvement in the problem behavior 9 School Individual/Peer 4 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 The Arizona Youth Survey as a Tool for Building a Strategic Prevention Framework The Prevention Needs Assessment Survey is an important part of the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) Strategic Prevention Framework Process. CSAP created this 5-step model to guide states and communities through the process of creating planned, data-driven, effective, and sustainable prevention programming. The information presented in this section is taken from CSAP’s Strategic Prevention Framework State Incentive Grant description. Step 1: Profile Population Needs, Resources, and Readiness to Address the Problems and Gaps in Service Delivery • • Community Needs Assessment: The results of this survey (presented in this Profile Report and in results reported at the State level) will identify needs for prevention. States should consider administering a survey to assess adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior, and many of the risk and protective factors that predict adolescent problem behaviors. While planning prevention services, communities are urged to collect and use multiple data sources, including archival and social indicators, assessment of existing resources, key informant interviews, as well as survey data. Community Resource Assessment: It is likely that existing agencies and programs are already addressing some of the prioritized risk and protective factors. It is important to identify the assets and resources already available in the community and the gaps in services and capacity. Community Readiness Assessment: It is very important for states and communities to have the commitment and support of their members and ample resources to implement effective prevention efforts. Therefore, the readiness and capacity of communities and resources to act should also be assessed. Step 2: Mobilize and/or Build Capacity to Address Needs: Engagement of key stakeholders at the state and community levels is critical to plan and implement successful prevention activities that will be sustained over time. Some of the key tasks to mobilize the state and communities are to work with leaders and stakeholders to build coalitions, provide training, leverage resources, and help sustain prevention activities. Step 3: Develop a Comprehensive Strategic Plan: States and communities should develop a strategic plan that articulates not only a vision for the prevention activities, but also strategies for organizing and implementing prevention efforts. The strategic plan should be based on documented needs, build on identified resources/strengths, set measurable objectives, and identify how progress will be monitored. Plans should be adjusted with ongoing needs assessment and monitoring activities. The issue of sustainability should be kept in mind throughout each step of planning and implementation. Step 4: Implement Evidence-based Prevention Programs and Infrastructure Development Activities: By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, prevention programs can be implemented that will reduce the elevated risk factors and increase the protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as a prioritized risk factor in a community, then mentoring, tutoring, and increased opportunities and rewards for classroom participation can be provided to improve academic performance. After completing Steps 1, 2, and 3, communities will be able to choose prevention programs that fit the Strategic Framework of the community, match the population served, and are scientifically proven to work. The Western Center for the Application of Prevention Technology website (www.westcapt.org) contains a search engine for identifying Best Practice Programs. Step 5: Monitor Process, Evaluate Effectiveness, Sustain Effective Programs/Activities, and Improve or Replace Those That Fail: Finally, ongoing monitoring and evaluation are essential to determine if the outcomes desired are achieved and to assess program effectiveness, assess service delivery quality, identify successes, encourage needed improvement, and promote sustainability of effective policies, programs, and practices. 5 Tools for Assessment and Planning School and Community Improvement Using Survey Data Why the Arizona Youth Survey? Data from the Arizona Youth Survey can be used to help school and community planners assess current conditions and prioritize areas of greatest need. Each risk and protective factor can be linked to specific types of interventions that have been shown to be effective in either reducing risk(s) or enhancing protection(s). The steps outlined here will help your county and community make key decisions regarding allocation of resources, how and when to address specific needs, and which strategies are most effective and known to produce results. What are the numbers telling you? Review the charts and data tables presented in this report. Using the table below, note your findings as you discuss the following questions. • Which 3-5 risk factors appear to be higher than you would want? • Which 3-5 protective factors appear to be lower than you would want? • Which levels of 30-day drug use are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which substances are your students using the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable usage levels? • Which levels of antisocial behaviors are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which behaviors are your students exhibiting the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable behavior levels? How to decide if a rate is “unacceptable.” • • • Use these data for planning. • • • MEASURE Look across the charts – which items stand out as either much higher or much lower than the other? Compare your data with statewide, and national data – differences of 5% between local and other data are probably significant. Determine the standards and values held within your community – For example: Is it acceptable in your community for a percentage of high school students to drink alcohol regularly as long as that percentage is lower than the overall state rate? Substance use and antisocial behavior data – raise awareness about the problems and promote dialogue. Risk and protective factor data – identify exactly where the community needs to take action. Promising approaches – talk with resources listed on the last page of this report for ideas about programs that have proven effective in addressing the risk factors that are high in your community, and improving the protective factors that are low. Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate #1 #2 #3 #4 Risk Factors Protective Factors Substance Use Antisocial Behaviors 6 Practical Implications of the AYS No Child Left Behind The Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities section of the No Child Left Behind Act (NCLB) requires that schools and communities use six Principles of Effectiveness to guide their decisions and spending on federally funded prevention and intervention programs. First introduced in 1998 by the Department of Education, the Principles of Effectiveness outline a data-driven process for ensuring that prevention programs achieve the desired results. The Principles of Effectiveness stipulate that local prevention programs and activities must: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. be based on a needs assessment using objective data regarding the incidence of drug use and violence, target specific performance objectives, be based on scientific research and be proven to reduce violence or drug use, be based on the analysis of predictor variables such as risk and protective factors, include meaningful and on-going parental input in program implementation, and have periodic evaluations of established performance measures. The results of the Arizona Youth Survey presented in this report can help schools and communities comply with the NCLB Act. The Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior charts provide information related to Principle 1 above. The Risk and Protective Factor charts provide information related to Principle 4. Overall, using the Risk and Protective factors planning framework helps schools meet all of the Principles of Effectiveness, and thereby assists schools in complying with the NCLB Act. How to Read the Charts: Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts There are four types of charts presented in this report: 1) substance use and antisocial behavior charts, 2) risk factor charts, 3) protective factor charts, and 4) school safety charts. All the charts show the results of the AYS, and the actual percentages from the charts are presented in Tables 3 through 10. • 30-day use is a measure of the percentage of students who used the substance at least once in the 30 days prior to taking the survey and is a more sensitive indicator of the level of current use of the substance. • Binge drinking and a Pack or more of cigarettes per day are measures of heavy use of alcohol and tobacco. Binge drinking is defined as having five or more drinks in a row during the two weeks prior to taking the survey. • Antisocial behavior (ASB) is a measure of the percentage of students who report any involvement with the eight antisocial behaviors listed in the charts in the past year. In the charts, antisocial behavior will often be abbreviated as ASB. • Dots are used on the charts to show the overall average of all of the youth in each grade who participated in the survey for each behavior. More information about the dots is contained on the following page. Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts This report contains information about alcohol, tobacco and other drug use (referred to as ATOD use throughout this report) and other problem behaviors of students. The bars on each chart represent the percentage of students in that grade who reported the behavior. The four sections in the charts represent different types of problem behaviors. The definitions of each of the types of behavior are provided below. • Ever-used is a measure of the percentage of students who tried the particular substance at least once in their lifetime and is used to show the percentage of students who have had experience with a particular substance. 7 How to Read the Charts: Risk and Protective Factor and School Safety Charts Risk and Protective Factor Charts There are three components of the risk and protective factor charts that are key to understanding the information that the charts contain: 1) the cutpoints for the risk and protective factor scales, 2) the dots that indicate the state values, and 3) the dashed lines that indicate a more “national” value. the progress of prevention programs over time. For example, if the percentage of youth at risk for family conflict in a community prior to implementing a community-wide family/parenting program was 60% and then decreased to 45% one year after the program was implemented, the program would be viewed as helping to reduce family conflict. Dots Cut-Points Before the percentage of youth at risk on a given scale could be calculated, a scale value or cut-point needed to be determined that would separate the atrisk group from the not-at-risk group. The Prevention Needs Assessment (PNA) survey was designed to assess adolescent substance use, antisocial behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Arizona Youth Survey, and surveys designed for other states and areas, follow the PNA format and have the same goal of gathering information on the prevention needs of students, schools, communities, and states. Since PNA surveys have been given to over 200,000 youth nationwide, it was possible to select two groups of youth, one that was more at risk for problem behaviors and another group that was less at risk. A cut-point score was then determined for each risk and protective factor scale that best divided the youth from the two groups into their appropriate group, more at-risk or less at-risk. The criteria for selecting the more at-risk and the less atrisk groups included academic grades (the more atrisk group received “D” and “F” grades, the less atrisk group received “A” and “B” grades), ATOD use (the more at-risk group had more regular use, the less at-risk group had no drug use and use of alcohol or tobacco on only a few occasions), and antisocial behavior (the more at-risk group had two or more serious delinquent acts in the past year, the less atrisk group had no serious delinquent acts). The cut-points that were determined by analyzing the results of the more at-risk and less at-risk groups will remain constant and will be used to produce the profiles for future surveys. Since the cut-points for each scale will remain fixed, the percentage of youth above the cut-point on a scale (at-risk) will provide a method for evaluating The dots on the charts represent the percentage of all of the youth surveyed from Arizona who reported ‘elevated risk’ or ‘elevated protection’. The comparison to the state-wide sample provides additional information for your community in determining the relative importance of each risk or protective factor level. Scanning across the charts, you can easily determine which factors are most (or least) prevalent for your community. This is the first step in identifying the levels of risk and protection that are operating in your community and which factors your community may choose to address. Dashed Line Levels of risk and protection in your community also can be compared to a more national sample. The dashed line on each risk and protective factor chart represents the percentage of youth at risk or with protection for the seven state sample upon which the cut-points were developed. The seven states included in the norm group were Colorado, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Oregon, Utah, and Washington. All the states have a mix of urban and rural students. Again, brief definitions of the risk and protective factors are provided following the profile charts. For more information about risk and protective factors, please refer to the resources listed on the last page of this report under Contacts for Prevention. School Safety Charts The school safety profile charts contain the percentages of students who felt unsafe at school or on the way to school, were threatened or injured with a weapon at school, were in a physical fight at school, or carried a weapon to school. The complete questions and values for each response option can be seen in Table 10. 8 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Navajo County Student Survey, Grade 8 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 9 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Navajo County Student Survey, Grade 8 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 10 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Navajo County Student Survey, Grade 10 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 11 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Navajo County Student Survey, Grade 10 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 12 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Navajo County Student Survey, Grade 12 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 13 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Navajo County Student Survey, Grade 12 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 14 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Navajo County Student Survey, Grade 8 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 15 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Navajo County Student Survey, Grade 10 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 16 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Navajo County Student Survey, Grade 12 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 17 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Navajo County Student Survey, Grade 8 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 18 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Navajo County Student Survey, Grade 10 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 19 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Navajo County Student Survey, Grade 12 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 20 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions Community Domain Risk Factors Community and Personal Transitions & Mobility Neighborhoods with high rates of residential mobility have been shown to have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling, while children who experience frequent residential moves and stressful life transitions have been shown to have higher risk for school failure, delinquency, and drug use. Community Disorganization Research has shown that neighborhoods with high population density, lack of natural surveillance of public places, physical deterioration, and high rates of adult crime also have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling. Low Neighborhood Attachment A low level of bonding to the neighborhood is related to higher levels of juvenile crime and drug selling. Laws and Norms Favorable Toward Drug Use Research has shown that legal restrictions on alcohol and tobacco use, such as raising the legal drinking age, restricting smoking in public places, and increased taxation have been followed by decreases in consumption. Moreover, national surveys of high school seniors have shown that shifts in normative attitudes toward drug use have preceded changes in prevalence of use. Perceived Availability of Drugs and Handguns The availability of cigarettes, alcohol, marijuana, and other illegal drugs has been related to the use of these substances by adolescents. The availability of handguns is also related to a higher risk of crime and substance use by adolescents. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When opportunities are available in a community for positive participation, children are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement Rewards for positive participation in activities helps children bond to the community, thus lowering their risk for substance use. Family Domain Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Risk Factors When children are raised in a family with a history of problem behaviors (e.g., violence or ATOD use), the children are more likely to engage in these behaviors. Children raised in families high in conflict, whether or not the child is directly involved in the conflict, appear at risk for both delinquency and drug use. Parental Attitudes Favorable In families where parents use illegal drugs, are heavy users of alcohol, or are tolerant of children’s use, Toward Antisocial Behavior & children are more likely to become drug abusers during adolescence. The risk is further increased if parents involve children in their own drug (or alcohol) using behavior, for example, asking the child to Drugs light the parent’s cigarette or get the parent a beer from the refrigerator. Poor Family Management Parents’ use of inconsistent and/or unusually harsh or severe punishment with their children places them at higher risk for substance use and other problem behaviors. Also, parents’ failure to provide clear expectations and to monitor their children’s behavior makes it more likely that they will engage in drug abuse whether or not there are family drug problems. Protective Factors Family Attachment Young people who feel that they are a valued part of their family are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Opportunities for Positive Involvement Young people who are exposed to more opportunities to participate meaningfully in the responsibilities and activities of the family are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When parents, siblings, and other family members praise, encourage, and attend to things done well by their child, children are less likely to engage in substance use and problem behaviors. School Domain Risk Factors Academic Failure Beginning in the late elementary grades (grades 4-6) academic failure increases the risk of both drug abuse and delinquency. It appears that the experience of failure itself, for whatever reasons, increases the risk of problem behaviors. 21 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions (Continued) Low Commitment to School Surveys of high school seniors have shown that the use of hallucinogens, cocaine, heroin, stimulants, and sedatives or non-medically prescribed tranquilizers is significantly lower among students who expect to attend college than among those who do not. Factors such as liking school, spending time on homework, and perceiving the coursework as relevant are also negatively related to drug use. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When young people are given more opportunities to participate meaningfully in important activities at school, they are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When young people are recognized and rewarded for their contributions at school, they are less likely to be involved in substance use and other problem behaviors. Peer-Individual Risk Factors Early Initiation of Antisocial Behavior and Drug Use Early onset of drug use predicts misuse of drugs. The earlier the onset of any drug use, the greater the involvement in other drug use and the greater frequency of use. Onset of drug use prior to the age of 15 is a consistent predictor of drug abuse, and a later age of onset of drug use has been shown to predict lower drug involvement and a greater probability of discontinuation of use. During the elementary school years, most children express anti-drug, anti-crime, and pro-social attitudes Attitudes Favorable Toward Antisocial Behavior and Drug and have difficulty imagining why people use drugs or engage in antisocial behaviors. However, in middle school, as more youth are exposed to others who use drugs and engage in antisocial behavior, Use their attitudes often shift toward greater acceptance of these behaviors. Youth who express positive attitudes toward drug use and antisocial behavior are more likely to engage in a variety of problem behaviors, including drug use. Friends' Use of Drugs Young people who associate with peers who engage in alcohol or substance abuse are much more likely to engage in the same behavior. Peer drug use has consistently been found to be among the strongest predictors of substance use among youth. Even when young people come from well-managed families and do not experience other risk factors, spending time with friends who use drugs greatly increases the risk of that problem developing. Interaction with Antisocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in problem behaviors are at higher risk for engaging in antisocial behavior themselves. Perceived Risk of Drug Use Young people who do not perceive drug use to be risky are far more likely to engage in drug use. Rewards for Antisocial Behavior Young people who receive rewards for their antisocial behavior are at higher risk for engaging further in antisocial behavior and substance use. Rebelliousness Young people who do not feel part of society, are not bound by rules, don’t believe in trying to be successful or responsible, or who take an active rebellious stance toward society, are at higher risk of abusing drugs. In addition, high tolerance for deviance, a strong need for independence and normlessness have all been linked with drug use. Intention to Use ATODs Many prevention programs focus on reducing the intention of participants to use ATODs later in life. Reduction of intention to use ATODs often follows successful prevention interventions. Depressive Symptoms Young people who are depressed are overrepresented in the criminal justice system and are more likely to use drugs. Survey research and other studies have shown a link between depression and other youth problem behaviors. Gang Involvement Youth who belong to gangs are more at risk for antisocial behavior and drug use. Protective Factors Religiosity Young people who regularly attend religious services are less likely to engage in problem behaviors. Social Skills Young people who are socially competent and engage in positive interpersonal relations with their peers are less likely to use drugs and engage in other problem behaviors. Belief in the Moral Order Young people who have a belief in what is “right” or “wrong” are less likely to use drugs. Prosocial Involvement Participation in positive school and community activities helps provide protection for youth. Prosocial Norms Young people who view working hard in school and the community are less likely to engage in problem behavior. Involvement with Prosocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in prosocial behavior are more protected from engaging in antisocial behavior and substance use. 22 Table 3. Number of Students Who Completed the Survey Grade 8 Total Students County County County 2002 2004 2006 633 449 558 Grade 10 State 2006 26872 County County County 2002 2004 2006 257 512 496 Table 4. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During Their Lifetime Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 44.3 42.9 49.7 50.4 70.9 65.0 61.8 44.4 45.6 46.5 30.8 63.2 57.4 51.7 13.8 18.0 18.4 8.0 25.4 19.1 22.6 27.6 27.0 31.2 18.3 51.4 45.7 43.9 11.9 13.2 14.4 15.2 12.7 12.9 13.8 1.8 4.3 4.1 2.1 5.1 7.1 4.3 4.7 6.2 4.8 3.6 7.5 12.2 11.5 2.3 n/a n/a n/a 9.4 n/a n/a n/a n/a 5.2 2.6 n/a n/a 10.6 n/a 4.8 n/a n/a n/a 11.6 n/a n/a n/a 4.4 3.4 n/a n/a 5.0 1.9 2.8 1.1 1.4 4.7 2.6 2.0 2.3 n/a n/a n/a 3.1 n/a n/a n/a 13.7 11.5 10.0 n/a 9.6 12.9 3.5 3.5 2.8 1.9 7.1 6.6 3.4 n/a n/a 2.4 1.6 n/a n/a 1.6 n/a n/a 8.3 9.8 n/a n/a 15.2 34.1 41.0 44.7 36.2 53.7 52.4 55.2 Table 5. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During the Past 30 Days* Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 2002 Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 24.5 12.9 7.7 14.7 4.6 1.1 2.8 1.0 n/a n/a n/a 1.5 1.5 n/a 1.8 n/a n/a 20.1 2004 19.8 17.7 6.1 14.8 5.5 3.0 3.0 n/a n/a 1.8 n/a 1.1 n/a 5.5 1.4 n/a n/a 23.0 2006 26.6 20.4 5.3 17.6 5.7 1.7 2.5 n/a 2.6 n/a 1.3 0.2 n/a 5.5 1.1 0.6 3.8 28.2 2006 24.1 10.5 2.7 8.5 6.2 1.0 1.7 n/a 1.0 n/a 1.5 0.7 n/a 4.5 0.8 0.8 4.5 19.7 2002 2004 36.1 25.5 15.7 26.8 3.2 3.2 2.8 2.8 n/a n/a n/a 3.2 1.2 n/a 1.6 n/a n/a 30.6 35.1 23.8 6.4 21.7 2.4 3.8 4.4 n/a n/a 4.4 n/a 0.0 n/a 4.2 0.6 n/a n/a 28.0 2006 33.7 20.4 7.8 20.8 3.1 2.2 3.3 n/a 3.7 n/a 2.7 0.2 n/a 4.5 1.4 0.7 5.0 31.2 Grade 12 State 2006 19581 County County County 2002 2004 2006 158 438 361 State 2006 13948 Grade 12 State 2006 67.6 43.8 11.8 34.0 11.9 4.1 7.6 n/a 5.0 n/a 7.1 2.1 n/a 14.3 3.4 2.0 16.0 47.0 County County County 2002 2004 2006 67.7 62.4 22.1 49.0 13.0 8.3 10.3 12.3 n/a n/a n/a 4.5 2.6 n/a 8.4 n/a n/a 53.2 75.1 70.1 28.2 60.9 12.0 9.7 16.4 n/a n/a 14.7 n/a 1.4 n/a 15.6 4.9 n/a n/a 65.2 61.5 50.3 25.9 44.7 11.6 6.3 15.2 n/a 16.5 n/a 7.8 2.9 n/a 13.1 5.1 3.1 20.4 57.9 State 2006 74.5 50.0 15.6 42.6 9.8 5.6 11.6 n/a 6.6 n/a 8.5 2.8 n/a 17.4 4.4 2.2 20.0 52.8 Grade 12 State 2006 39.2 17.1 4.0 15.7 3.1 1.7 2.9 n/a 1.7 n/a 2.9 0.7 n/a 6.6 1.0 1.0 7.3 25.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 42.8 27.2 12.0 22.5 4.0 3.3 2.6 2.0 n/a n/a n/a 2.0 1.3 n/a 2.6 n/a n/a 26.7 40.9 29.6 7.9 24.9 1.4 2.5 3.9 n/a n/a 6.1 n/a 0.2 n/a 5.8 1.2 n/a n/a 29.4 30.4 18.3 6.5 17.1 2.1 0.3 2.1 n/a 2.5 n/a 2.1 0.0 n/a 3.8 0.0 0.3 7.6 27.8 State 2006 47.0 21.8 5.4 18.1 1.7 1.7 3.3 n/a 1.4 n/a 2.6 0.8 n/a 7.1 0.9 1.0 8.1 26.6 n/a - Indicates a question that was not asked in the 2002, 2004, or 2006 Arizona Youth Surveys. ATOD questions have differed slightly over the years. The differences are as follows. On how many occasions (if any) have you: 1 used methamphetamines (meth, crystal, crank)? [2002] used methamphetamines (meth, speed, crank, or crystal meth)? [2006] 2 3 used stimulants (amphetamines, meth, crystal, crank) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004] used stimulants, other than methamphetamines (such as amphetamines, Ritalin or Dexedrine) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2006] 4 5 used quaaludes, barbiturates or tranquilizers? [2002] used sedatives (tranquilizers, such as Valium or Xanax, barbiturates or sleeping pills) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004, 2006] 6 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. Note: 2006 'Any Drug' use does not include reported use of steroids or prescription drugs in order to make the 2006 results comparable to previous surveys. Further, the 2002 lifetime use data presented here is derived from a question asking students to report how old they were when they first used each substance. The 2002 lifetime use value reflects those students who indicated any age of first use. 23 Table 6. Percentage of Students With Heavy Use of Alcohol and Cigarettes Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 Binge Drinking 11.8 17.7 15.7 13.4 23.4 25.2 22.4 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day 2.5 0.9 1.4 1.0 2.4 0.8 2.3 Table 7. Percentage of Students With Antisocial Behavior in the Past Year Grade 8 Grade 10 Behavior County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 Suspended from School 15.3 15.4 23.5 Drunk or High at School 14.9 20.2 21.6 Sold Illegal Drugs 4.2 8.2 6.0 Stolen a Vehicle 2.9 5.0 4.6 Been Arrested 7.5 10.2 13.2 Attacked to Harm 11.0 16.1 18.8 Carried a Handgun 6.1 8.6 9.5 Handgun to School 1.4 1.6 1.4 Table 8. Percentage of Students Reporting Protection Grade 8 Protective Factor Community Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Family Domain Family Attachment Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement School Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Peer-Individual Domain Religiosity Social Skills Belief in the Moral Order Interaction with Prosocial Peers Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 19.8 13.0 4.9 4.6 8.3 17.9 7.6 1.6 2002 20.4 30.0 10.6 5.9 14.5 17.4 9.5 2.0 2004 13.8 32.3 10.9 4.9 11.3 18.7 7.9 1.0 2006 17.1 32.4 7.4 4.9 10.0 15.2 8.8 1.3 Grade 12 State 2006 22.4 2.4 County County County 2002 2004 2006 21.5 2.0 County County County 2002 2004 2006 19.4 1.7 28.2 3.9 Grade 12 State 2006 15.5 21.1 9.1 4.7 9.3 16.5 7.5 1.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 14.9 25.5 9.7 5.9 9.8 12.0 12.3 4.6 Grade 10 State 2006 26.6 4.0 State 2006 14.3 32.4 12.1 3.0 11.3 17.5 7.9 1.4 10.9 25.1 8.4 4.3 9.2 11.1 8.8 1.2 State 2006 9.4 21.4 9.8 3.1 7.8 13.2 7.0 1.4 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 46.7 37.9 45.8 42.1 42.4 40.4 38.2 30.4 37.1 45.5 37.8 52.2 40.4 48.0 37.1 36.3 40.4 52.1 40.8 55.1 45.0 57.0 37.6 35.2 57.3 62.4 63.5 54.3 60.7 66.0 47.2 60.9 65.1 48.7 57.4 60.6 44.7 51.5 52.0 47.0 53.3 57.1 46.4 50.9 60.6 44.1 53.0 54.9 62.1 54.2 51.8 62.3 57.2 63.4 63.1 60.0 62.3 57.1 55.9 56.9 64.6 58.2 61.2 51.0 64.8 56.4 59.1 50.7 47.6 50.8 61.1 55.2 63.1 66.2 62.9 62.3 53.5 41.0 61.9 45.2 65.5 51.0 65.2 48.0 * 66.5 59.2 * * * 53.0 60.0 60.0 49.4 45.4 61.8 47.7 58.6 58.8 49.6 44.3 65.2 46.2 58.3 54.3 46.1 37.7 58.8 * 49.0 59.0 * * * 49.0 49.7 65.3 50.1 42.6 60.7 56.3 58.1 68.0 59.2 38.9 60.8 44.3 52.4 62.6 49.6 39.3 61.1 * 69.1 50.0 * * * 79.2 63.7 55.4 54.3 42.0 53.5 83.9 75.6 59.7 58.6 36.6 57.3 70.7 66.0 51.2 48.1 39.1 53.4 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 24 Table 9. Percentage of Students Reporting Risk Grade 8 Risk Factor Community Domain Low Neighborhood Attachment Community Disorganization Transitions & Mobility Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Perceived Availability of Drugs Perceived Availability of Handguns Family Domain Poor Family Management Family Conflict Family History of Antisocial Behavior Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use School Domain Academic Failure Low Commitment to School Peer-Individual Domain Rebelliousness Early Initiation of ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Perceived Risk of Drug Use Interaction with Antisocial Peers Friend's Use of Drugs Rewards for ASB Depressive Symptoms Intention to Use Drugs Gang Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 42.5 36.1 39.6 30.1 34.1 41.1 41.5 44.7 44.8 33.1 39.4 33.3 36.3 48.2 50.0 38.4 36.0 33.9 40.7 48.2 53.7 37.8 38.1 37.0 49.4 52.4 47.3 42.3 32.7 35.1 52.1 63.0 48.4 49.2 49.2 31.0 46.0 60.7 47.3 51.2 48.8 32.7 46.9 57.6 60.4 42.5 48.8 27.6 49.7 51.7 54.2 28.1 38.9 34.7 52.5 57.9 45.5 39.3 49.3 35.2 53.3 55.2 44.0 30.0 44.9 44.2 49.8 52.3 54.9 34.6 51.3 34.1 40.6 38.6 44.3 36.5 20.3 43.6 48.5 53.7 39.1 18.6 45.9 47.2 51.9 48.4 29.6 47.9 52.2 42.7 48.5 29.1 43.1 40.8 47.5 42.9 37.6 42.2 39.3 57.9 47.0 34.9 39.8 36.1 53.3 46.5 32.3 45.0 42.2 43.2 50.0 41.1 41.5 29.8 39.2 37.8 34.3 35.5 34.6 53.3 41.9 33.9 37.2 35.3 45.7 39.6 26.3 44.8 38.3 38.6 45.9 40.1 52.4 38.7 53.6 37.0 52.4 38.4 48.6 41.1 51.0 40.3 57.1 37.6 48.3 34.5 51.6 40.1 54.2 33.8 47.3 33.3 45.4 36.3 44.1 43.0 32.5 28.9 37.2 40.6 29.9 42.2 49.0 40.0 32.8 52.3 * 20.2 31.8 37.4 42.4 47.6 30.9 42.8 58.6 44.7 46.5 55.3 31.6 26.1 41.4 45.6 45.0 45.1 32.9 46.1 65.1 46.4 46.7 53.0 39.9 26.5 43.8 40.2 35.2 46.2 32.4 45.4 58.4 41.3 48.7 45.7 36.5 26.3 49.6 46.7 47.2 52.4 40.9 42.5 53.9 43.0 30.9 55.1 * 30.2 42.4 41.7 48.3 52.1 39.8 37.2 63.1 51.0 38.0 56.6 48.2 31.8 40.6 44.5 42.6 49.4 31.6 34.6 59.1 46.0 41.3 46.4 38.9 21.8 47.5 42.4 36.6 49.7 36.6 39.2 58.1 43.2 45.0 45.5 44.9 23.9 45.5 46.1 38.9 47.4 30.1 36.7 50.0 32.7 24.2 45.0 * 23.9 34.5 47.4 53.2 48.0 33.1 37.8 63.3 40.4 50.9 48.2 33.2 29.3 42.2 45.3 37.7 37.1 25.7 27.7 53.0 35.8 45.4 42.1 23.5 16.7 44.3 38.8 34.1 45.6 34.6 40.5 52.0 35.9 53.8 38.6 29.9 16.3 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 25 Table 10. Percentage of Students Reporting School Safety Issues Grade 8 Question Response County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 0 days During the past 30 days, on how 1 day many days did you carry a weapon 2-3 days such as a gun, knife, or club on 4-5 days school property? (q43) 6 or more days 92.3 1.9 2.1 1.0 2.7 90.6 4.8 1.4 0.7 2.5 92.0 2.7 1.9 0.6 2.7 93.1 3.1 1.6 0.6 1.6 90.6 2.4 1.2 0.8 5.1 92.1 3.4 1.6 0.2 2.8 89.3 2.7 2.5 1.0 4.5 92.7 2.4 1.5 0.7 2.7 80.3 1.3 3.2 0.0 15.3 90.6 2.1 1.6 0.5 5.3 88.1 2.0 2.3 0.9 6.8 94.0 1.4 0.9 0.6 3.0 During the past 30 days, on how many days did you not go to school because you felt you would be unsafe at school or on your way to or from school? (q41) 0 days 1 day 2-3 days 4-5 days 6 or more days 93.7 3.0 2.4 0.3 0.6 84.6 7.3 5.0 1.1 2.0 86.7 7.1 2.7 2.1 1.3 89.3 6.0 2.8 0.7 1.2 93.7 3.1 1.2 0.8 1.2 89.7 4.8 3.0 0.8 1.8 92.6 3.7 2.7 0.0 1.0 92.2 4.1 2.1 0.5 1.1 93.6 1.3 2.5 0.0 2.5 93.3 2.8 2.5 0.7 0.7 96.9 1.4 0.8 0.0 0.8 95.0 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times has someone threatened or injured you with a weapon such as a gun, knife, or club on school property? (q39) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 90.4 4.9 2.4 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.3 83.4 7.5 5.2 1.6 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.4 85.0 7.4 4.3 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.0 84.5 7.7 4.2 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.2 85.9 8.2 3.1 1.2 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.8 89.1 4.7 3.2 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.4 86.5 7.9 2.7 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.2 86.1 6.7 3.9 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.3 93.0 3.2 1.9 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 88.8 5.3 4.1 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.2 90.8 3.3 3.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.0 1.4 90.5 4.4 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times were you in a physical fight on school property? (q40) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 76.2 13.3 6.8 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.8 69.5 16.0 9.0 2.3 0.9 0.9 0.0 1.4 70.4 13.8 9.4 2.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 1.3 75.4 13.1 7.1 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.0 84.0 9.0 4.7 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.8 82.4 9.7 5.3 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 84.6 10.1 2.9 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 84.3 8.9 4.4 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 89.1 6.4 2.6 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.6 89.2 6.4 3.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 89.4 6.2 2.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.6 91.1 5.5 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 Navajo County 26 Contacts For Prevention Regional Prevention Contacts Arizona Department of Health Services Division of Behavioral Health Services Lisa Shumaker 602-364-4594 www.azdhs.gov/bhs/index.htm Cochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, and Santa Cruz Counties Bill Burnett Community Partnership of Southern Arizona (CPSA) 520-618-8807 Arizona Prevention Resource Center 1-800-432-2772 www.azprevention.org Gila, La Paz, Pinal, and Yuma Counties Linda Weinberg Cenpatico Behavioral Health of Arizona 480-231-7504 Center for Violence Prevention and Community Safety Steve Ballance/Charles Katz 602-543-6174/602-543-6618 steve.ballance@asu.edu/charles.katz@asu.edu Apache, Coconino, Mohave, Navajo, and Yavapai Counties Petrice Post Northern Arizona Regional Behavioral Health Authority (NARBHA) 928-214-2177 Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) http://prevention.samhsa.gov Maricopa County Juan Aristizabal ValueOptions 602-9145844 Governor’s Office of Children, Youth, and Families 602-542-4043 http://www.governor.state.az.us/cyf/index.html Gila River Tribe Marnie McNicholas 602-528-7106 Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities U.S. Department of Education www.ed.gov/offices/OESE/SDFS Pasqua Yaqui Tribe Jill Fabian 520-879-6067 Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Paula Burns 602-266-8299 ext. 351 www.problemgambling.az.gov Navajo Nation Maxine Nakai 928-871-7946 Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMSHA) www.samhsa.gov Colorado River Indian Tribes Iris Leivas 928-669-6577 Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention http://ojjdp.ncjrs.org/ Other State and National Contacts: Western Regional Center for the Application of Prevention Technologies (CAPT) www.westcapt.org Arizona Criminal Justice Commission Michelle Neitch/ Phillip Stevenson 602-364-1173/602-364-1157 www.azcjc.gov Bach Harrison, L.L.C. R. Steven Harrison, Ph.D. 801-359-2064 www.bach-harrison.com Arizona Department of Education Student Services Division www.ade.az.gov 27 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Pima County REPORT PROVIDED BY: Arizona Criminal Justice Commission 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Shining Light on Arizona Youth THIS REPORT IS PROVIDED BY THE Arizona Criminal Justice Commission IN PARTNERSHIP WITH: Administrative Office of the Courts Arizona Department of Education Arizona Department of Health Services Arizona Department of Juvenile Corrections Arizona Juvenile Justice Commission Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Arizona State University Governor’s Division for Substance Abuse Policy Governor’s Office for Children, Youth, and Families 2 Introduction 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Summary for CONTENTS: gender and ethnicity categories will often be less than the total number of students. Introduction: • Demographics • Risk & Protective Framework Pima County This report summarizes some of the county-specific findings from the 2006 Arizona Youth Survey administered to 8th, 10th and 12th grade students during the spring of 2006. The survey was designed to assess school safety, adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention Tools for Assessment and Planning How to Read the Charts Data Charts: • Risk & Protective Factor Profiles • Substance Use & Antisocial Behavior • School Safety All schools in Arizona are invited to participate in the survey, and recruitment efforts were successful in obtaining participation by schools in all of the 15 counties. Careful planning and uniform administration of the survey have resulted in survey data that are valid and representative of the students in grades 8, 10, and 12 in Arizona. Risk and Protective Factor Definitions Data Tables Contacts for Prevention Table 1 contains the characteristics of the students who completed the survey in Pima County and the State. Because not all students answer all of the questions, the number of students in the Table 1. Characteristics of Participants Student Totals County 2002 Total Students Grade 8 10 12 Gender Male Female Ethnicity African American American Indian Asian Hispanic Pacific Islander White Other County 2004 County 2006 Number Percent Number Percent Number 1449 100 5430 100 260 17.9 2250 696 48.0 1797 493 34.0 666 753 State 2006 Number Percent 7600 100 60401 100 41.4 2563 33.7 26872 44.5 33.1 2686 35.3 19581 32.4 1383 25.5 2351 30.9 13948 23.1 46.9 2489 46.5 3514 47.6 28381 48.2 53.1 2864 53.5 3862 52.4 30505 51.8 44 3.2 176 3.5 337 4.6 2592 4.4 30 2.2 104 2.1 227 3.1 3394 5.8 32 2.3 114 2.3 184 2.5 1341 2.3 386 28.3 2072 41.0 3521 48.1 21376 36.5 39 0.8 51 873 * 64.0 * 2554 50.5 2696 n/a n/a n/a n/a 309 Percent 457 0.8 36.8 26761 0.7 45.7 4.2 * Pacific Islander was grouped with Asian in 2002 3 2696 4.6 Many states and local agencies have adopted the Risk and Protective Factor Model to guide their prevention efforts. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention is based on the simple premise that to prevent a problem from happening, we need to identify the factors that increase the risk of that problem developing and then find ways to reduce the risks. Just as medical researchers have found risk factors for heart disease such as diets high in fat, lack of exercise, and smoking; a team of researchers at the University of Washington have defined a set of risk factors for youth problem behaviors. Risk factors are characteristics of school, community, and family environments, as well as characteristics of students and their peer groups that are known to predict increased likelihood of drug use, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violent behavior among youth. Protective factors exert a positive influence or buffer against the negative influence of risk, thus reducing the likelihood that adolescents will engage in problem behaviors. Dr. J. David Hawkins, Dr. Richard F. Catalano, and their colleagues at the University of Washington, Social Development Research Group have investigated the relationship between risk and protective factors and youth problem behavior. For example, they have found that children who live in families with high levels of conflict are more likely to become involved in problem behaviors such as delinquency and drug use than children who live in families with low levels of family conflict. 2006 Prevention Needs Assessment Risk and Protective Factors The chart at the right shows the links between the 19 risk factors and the five problem behaviors. The check marks have been placed in the chart to indicate where at least two well designed, published research studies have shown a link between the risk factor and the problem behavior. 9 9 Community laws and norms favorable toward drug use, firearms and crime 9 9 9 Transitions and mobility 9 9 Low neighborhood attachment and community disorganization 9 9 Extreme economic and social deprivation 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Academic failure in elementary school 9 9 9 9 9 Lack of commitment to school 9 9 9 9 9 Early and persistent antisocial behavior 9 9 9 9 9 Alienation and rebelliousness 9 9 Friends who engage in the problem behavior 9 9 Gang involvement 9 9 Favorable attitudes toward the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Early initiation of the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Constitutional factors 9 9 Violence 9 School Drop-Out Availability of drugs and firearms RISK FACTORS Teen Pregnancy Delinquency Risk- and protective-focused drug abuse prevention is also based on the work of Hawkins, Catalano, and their team of researchers at the University of Washington in Seattle. Beginning in the early 1980s the group researched adolescent problem behaviors and identified risk factors for adolescent drug abuse. Not surprisingly, they found that a relationship exists between adolescent drug abuse, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violence, and were able to identify risk factors for these problems. PROBLEM BEHAVIORS Substance Abuse Research on risk and protective factors has important implications for prevention efforts. The premise of this approach is that in order to promote positive youth development and prevent problem behaviors, it is necessary to address those factors that can lead to the problem. By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, specific risk factors that are elevated and widespread can be identified and targeted by preventive interventions that also promote related protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as an elevated risk factor in a community, then mentoring and tutoring interventions can be provided that will improve academic performance, thus reducing the level of the risk factors and decreasing the likelihood of problem behavior. Community 9 Media portrayals of violence 9 9 Family Family history of the problem behavior Family management problems Family conflict Favorable parental attitudes and involvement in the problem behavior 9 School Individual/Peer 4 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 The Arizona Youth Survey as a Tool for Building a Strategic Prevention Framework The Prevention Needs Assessment Survey is an important part of the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) Strategic Prevention Framework Process. CSAP created this 5-step model to guide states and communities through the process of creating planned, data-driven, effective, and sustainable prevention programming. The information presented in this section is taken from CSAP’s Strategic Prevention Framework State Incentive Grant description. Step 1: Profile Population Needs, Resources, and Readiness to Address the Problems and Gaps in Service Delivery • • Community Needs Assessment: The results of this survey (presented in this Profile Report and in results reported at the State level) will identify needs for prevention. States should consider administering a survey to assess adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior, and many of the risk and protective factors that predict adolescent problem behaviors. While planning prevention services, communities are urged to collect and use multiple data sources, including archival and social indicators, assessment of existing resources, key informant interviews, as well as survey data. Community Resource Assessment: It is likely that existing agencies and programs are already addressing some of the prioritized risk and protective factors. It is important to identify the assets and resources already available in the community and the gaps in services and capacity. Community Readiness Assessment: It is very important for states and communities to have the commitment and support of their members and ample resources to implement effective prevention efforts. Therefore, the readiness and capacity of communities and resources to act should also be assessed. Step 2: Mobilize and/or Build Capacity to Address Needs: Engagement of key stakeholders at the state and community levels is critical to plan and implement successful prevention activities that will be sustained over time. Some of the key tasks to mobilize the state and communities are to work with leaders and stakeholders to build coalitions, provide training, leverage resources, and help sustain prevention activities. Step 3: Develop a Comprehensive Strategic Plan: States and communities should develop a strategic plan that articulates not only a vision for the prevention activities, but also strategies for organizing and implementing prevention efforts. The strategic plan should be based on documented needs, build on identified resources/strengths, set measurable objectives, and identify how progress will be monitored. Plans should be adjusted with ongoing needs assessment and monitoring activities. The issue of sustainability should be kept in mind throughout each step of planning and implementation. Step 4: Implement Evidence-based Prevention Programs and Infrastructure Development Activities: By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, prevention programs can be implemented that will reduce the elevated risk factors and increase the protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as a prioritized risk factor in a community, then mentoring, tutoring, and increased opportunities and rewards for classroom participation can be provided to improve academic performance. After completing Steps 1, 2, and 3, communities will be able to choose prevention programs that fit the Strategic Framework of the community, match the population served, and are scientifically proven to work. The Western Center for the Application of Prevention Technology website (www.westcapt.org) contains a search engine for identifying Best Practice Programs. Step 5: Monitor Process, Evaluate Effectiveness, Sustain Effective Programs/Activities, and Improve or Replace Those That Fail: Finally, ongoing monitoring and evaluation are essential to determine if the outcomes desired are achieved and to assess program effectiveness, assess service delivery quality, identify successes, encourage needed improvement, and promote sustainability of effective policies, programs, and practices. 5 Tools for Assessment and Planning School and Community Improvement Using Survey Data Why the Arizona Youth Survey? Data from the Arizona Youth Survey can be used to help school and community planners assess current conditions and prioritize areas of greatest need. Each risk and protective factor can be linked to specific types of interventions that have been shown to be effective in either reducing risk(s) or enhancing protection(s). The steps outlined here will help your county and community make key decisions regarding allocation of resources, how and when to address specific needs, and which strategies are most effective and known to produce results. What are the numbers telling you? Review the charts and data tables presented in this report. Using the table below, note your findings as you discuss the following questions. • Which 3-5 risk factors appear to be higher than you would want? • Which 3-5 protective factors appear to be lower than you would want? • Which levels of 30-day drug use are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which substances are your students using the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable usage levels? • Which levels of antisocial behaviors are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which behaviors are your students exhibiting the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable behavior levels? How to decide if a rate is “unacceptable.” • • • Use these data for planning. • • • MEASURE Look across the charts – which items stand out as either much higher or much lower than the other? Compare your data with statewide, and national data – differences of 5% between local and other data are probably significant. Determine the standards and values held within your community – For example: Is it acceptable in your community for a percentage of high school students to drink alcohol regularly as long as that percentage is lower than the overall state rate? Substance use and antisocial behavior data – raise awareness about the problems and promote dialogue. Risk and protective factor data – identify exactly where the community needs to take action. Promising approaches – talk with resources listed on the last page of this report for ideas about programs that have proven effective in addressing the risk factors that are high in your community, and improving the protective factors that are low. Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate #1 #2 #3 #4 Risk Factors Protective Factors Substance Use Antisocial Behaviors 6 Practical Implications of the AYS No Child Left Behind The Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities section of the No Child Left Behind Act (NCLB) requires that schools and communities use six Principles of Effectiveness to guide their decisions and spending on federally funded prevention and intervention programs. First introduced in 1998 by the Department of Education, the Principles of Effectiveness outline a data-driven process for ensuring that prevention programs achieve the desired results. The Principles of Effectiveness stipulate that local prevention programs and activities must: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. be based on a needs assessment using objective data regarding the incidence of drug use and violence, target specific performance objectives, be based on scientific research and be proven to reduce violence or drug use, be based on the analysis of predictor variables such as risk and protective factors, include meaningful and on-going parental input in program implementation, and have periodic evaluations of established performance measures. The results of the Arizona Youth Survey presented in this report can help schools and communities comply with the NCLB Act. The Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior charts provide information related to Principle 1 above. The Risk and Protective Factor charts provide information related to Principle 4. Overall, using the Risk and Protective factors planning framework helps schools meet all of the Principles of Effectiveness, and thereby assists schools in complying with the NCLB Act. How to Read the Charts: Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts There are four types of charts presented in this report: 1) substance use and antisocial behavior charts, 2) risk factor charts, 3) protective factor charts, and 4) school safety charts. All the charts show the results of the AYS, and the actual percentages from the charts are presented in Tables 3 through 10. • 30-day use is a measure of the percentage of students who used the substance at least once in the 30 days prior to taking the survey and is a more sensitive indicator of the level of current use of the substance. • Binge drinking and a Pack or more of cigarettes per day are measures of heavy use of alcohol and tobacco. Binge drinking is defined as having five or more drinks in a row during the two weeks prior to taking the survey. • Antisocial behavior (ASB) is a measure of the percentage of students who report any involvement with the eight antisocial behaviors listed in the charts in the past year. In the charts, antisocial behavior will often be abbreviated as ASB. • Dots are used on the charts to show the overall average of all of the youth in each grade who participated in the survey for each behavior. More information about the dots is contained on the following page. Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts This report contains information about alcohol, tobacco and other drug use (referred to as ATOD use throughout this report) and other problem behaviors of students. The bars on each chart represent the percentage of students in that grade who reported the behavior. The four sections in the charts represent different types of problem behaviors. The definitions of each of the types of behavior are provided below. • Ever-used is a measure of the percentage of students who tried the particular substance at least once in their lifetime and is used to show the percentage of students who have had experience with a particular substance. 7 How to Read the Charts: Risk and Protective Factor and School Safety Charts Risk and Protective Factor Charts There are three components of the risk and protective factor charts that are key to understanding the information that the charts contain: 1) the cutpoints for the risk and protective factor scales, 2) the dots that indicate the state values, and 3) the dashed lines that indicate a more “national” value. the progress of prevention programs over time. For example, if the percentage of youth at risk for family conflict in a community prior to implementing a community-wide family/parenting program was 60% and then decreased to 45% one year after the program was implemented, the program would be viewed as helping to reduce family conflict. Dots Cut-Points Before the percentage of youth at risk on a given scale could be calculated, a scale value or cut-point needed to be determined that would separate the atrisk group from the not-at-risk group. The Prevention Needs Assessment (PNA) survey was designed to assess adolescent substance use, antisocial behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Arizona Youth Survey, and surveys designed for other states and areas, follow the PNA format and have the same goal of gathering information on the prevention needs of students, schools, communities, and states. Since PNA surveys have been given to over 200,000 youth nationwide, it was possible to select two groups of youth, one that was more at risk for problem behaviors and another group that was less at risk. A cut-point score was then determined for each risk and protective factor scale that best divided the youth from the two groups into their appropriate group, more at-risk or less at-risk. The criteria for selecting the more at-risk and the less atrisk groups included academic grades (the more atrisk group received “D” and “F” grades, the less atrisk group received “A” and “B” grades), ATOD use (the more at-risk group had more regular use, the less at-risk group had no drug use and use of alcohol or tobacco on only a few occasions), and antisocial behavior (the more at-risk group had two or more serious delinquent acts in the past year, the less atrisk group had no serious delinquent acts). The cut-points that were determined by analyzing the results of the more at-risk and less at-risk groups will remain constant and will be used to produce the profiles for future surveys. Since the cut-points for each scale will remain fixed, the percentage of youth above the cut-point on a scale (at-risk) will provide a method for evaluating The dots on the charts represent the percentage of all of the youth surveyed from Arizona who reported ‘elevated risk’ or ‘elevated protection’. The comparison to the state-wide sample provides additional information for your community in determining the relative importance of each risk or protective factor level. Scanning across the charts, you can easily determine which factors are most (or least) prevalent for your community. This is the first step in identifying the levels of risk and protection that are operating in your community and which factors your community may choose to address. Dashed Line Levels of risk and protection in your community also can be compared to a more national sample. The dashed line on each risk and protective factor chart represents the percentage of youth at risk or with protection for the seven state sample upon which the cut-points were developed. The seven states included in the norm group were Colorado, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Oregon, Utah, and Washington. All the states have a mix of urban and rural students. Again, brief definitions of the risk and protective factors are provided following the profile charts. For more information about risk and protective factors, please refer to the resources listed on the last page of this report under Contacts for Prevention. School Safety Charts The school safety profile charts contain the percentages of students who felt unsafe at school or on the way to school, were threatened or injured with a weapon at school, were in a physical fight at school, or carried a weapon to school. The complete questions and values for each response option can be seen in Table 10. 8 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Pima County Student Survey, Grade 8 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 9 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Pima County Student Survey, Grade 8 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 10 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Pima County Student Survey, Grade 10 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 11 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Pima County Student Survey, Grade 10 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 12 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Pima County Student Survey, Grade 12 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 13 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Pima County Student Survey, Grade 12 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 14 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Pima County Student Survey, Grade 8 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 15 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Pima County Student Survey, Grade 10 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 16 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Pima County Student Survey, Grade 12 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 17 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Pima County Student Survey, Grade 8 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 18 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Pima County Student Survey, Grade 10 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 19 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Pima County Student Survey, Grade 12 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 20 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions Community Domain Risk Factors Community and Personal Transitions & Mobility Neighborhoods with high rates of residential mobility have been shown to have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling, while children who experience frequent residential moves and stressful life transitions have been shown to have higher risk for school failure, delinquency, and drug use. Community Disorganization Research has shown that neighborhoods with high population density, lack of natural surveillance of public places, physical deterioration, and high rates of adult crime also have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling. Low Neighborhood Attachment A low level of bonding to the neighborhood is related to higher levels of juvenile crime and drug selling. Laws and Norms Favorable Toward Drug Use Research has shown that legal restrictions on alcohol and tobacco use, such as raising the legal drinking age, restricting smoking in public places, and increased taxation have been followed by decreases in consumption. Moreover, national surveys of high school seniors have shown that shifts in normative attitudes toward drug use have preceded changes in prevalence of use. Perceived Availability of Drugs and Handguns The availability of cigarettes, alcohol, marijuana, and other illegal drugs has been related to the use of these substances by adolescents. The availability of handguns is also related to a higher risk of crime and substance use by adolescents. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When opportunities are available in a community for positive participation, children are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement Rewards for positive participation in activities helps children bond to the community, thus lowering their risk for substance use. Family Domain Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Risk Factors When children are raised in a family with a history of problem behaviors (e.g., violence or ATOD use), the children are more likely to engage in these behaviors. Children raised in families high in conflict, whether or not the child is directly involved in the conflict, appear at risk for both delinquency and drug use. Parental Attitudes Favorable In families where parents use illegal drugs, are heavy users of alcohol, or are tolerant of children’s use, Toward Antisocial Behavior & children are more likely to become drug abusers during adolescence. The risk is further increased if parents involve children in their own drug (or alcohol) using behavior, for example, asking the child to Drugs light the parent’s cigarette or get the parent a beer from the refrigerator. Poor Family Management Parents’ use of inconsistent and/or unusually harsh or severe punishment with their children places them at higher risk for substance use and other problem behaviors. Also, parents’ failure to provide clear expectations and to monitor their children’s behavior makes it more likely that they will engage in drug abuse whether or not there are family drug problems. Protective Factors Family Attachment Young people who feel that they are a valued part of their family are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Opportunities for Positive Involvement Young people who are exposed to more opportunities to participate meaningfully in the responsibilities and activities of the family are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When parents, siblings, and other family members praise, encourage, and attend to things done well by their child, children are less likely to engage in substance use and problem behaviors. School Domain Risk Factors Academic Failure Beginning in the late elementary grades (grades 4-6) academic failure increases the risk of both drug abuse and delinquency. It appears that the experience of failure itself, for whatever reasons, increases the risk of problem behaviors. 21 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions (Continued) Low Commitment to School Surveys of high school seniors have shown that the use of hallucinogens, cocaine, heroin, stimulants, and sedatives or non-medically prescribed tranquilizers is significantly lower among students who expect to attend college than among those who do not. Factors such as liking school, spending time on homework, and perceiving the coursework as relevant are also negatively related to drug use. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When young people are given more opportunities to participate meaningfully in important activities at school, they are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When young people are recognized and rewarded for their contributions at school, they are less likely to be involved in substance use and other problem behaviors. Peer-Individual Risk Factors Early Initiation of Antisocial Behavior and Drug Use Early onset of drug use predicts misuse of drugs. The earlier the onset of any drug use, the greater the involvement in other drug use and the greater frequency of use. Onset of drug use prior to the age of 15 is a consistent predictor of drug abuse, and a later age of onset of drug use has been shown to predict lower drug involvement and a greater probability of discontinuation of use. During the elementary school years, most children express anti-drug, anti-crime, and pro-social attitudes Attitudes Favorable Toward Antisocial Behavior and Drug and have difficulty imagining why people use drugs or engage in antisocial behaviors. However, in middle school, as more youth are exposed to others who use drugs and engage in antisocial behavior, Use their attitudes often shift toward greater acceptance of these behaviors. Youth who express positive attitudes toward drug use and antisocial behavior are more likely to engage in a variety of problem behaviors, including drug use. Friends' Use of Drugs Young people who associate with peers who engage in alcohol or substance abuse are much more likely to engage in the same behavior. Peer drug use has consistently been found to be among the strongest predictors of substance use among youth. Even when young people come from well-managed families and do not experience other risk factors, spending time with friends who use drugs greatly increases the risk of that problem developing. Interaction with Antisocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in problem behaviors are at higher risk for engaging in antisocial behavior themselves. Perceived Risk of Drug Use Young people who do not perceive drug use to be risky are far more likely to engage in drug use. Rewards for Antisocial Behavior Young people who receive rewards for their antisocial behavior are at higher risk for engaging further in antisocial behavior and substance use. Rebelliousness Young people who do not feel part of society, are not bound by rules, don’t believe in trying to be successful or responsible, or who take an active rebellious stance toward society, are at higher risk of abusing drugs. In addition, high tolerance for deviance, a strong need for independence and normlessness have all been linked with drug use. Intention to Use ATODs Many prevention programs focus on reducing the intention of participants to use ATODs later in life. Reduction of intention to use ATODs often follows successful prevention interventions. Depressive Symptoms Young people who are depressed are overrepresented in the criminal justice system and are more likely to use drugs. Survey research and other studies have shown a link between depression and other youth problem behaviors. Gang Involvement Youth who belong to gangs are more at risk for antisocial behavior and drug use. Protective Factors Religiosity Young people who regularly attend religious services are less likely to engage in problem behaviors. Social Skills Young people who are socially competent and engage in positive interpersonal relations with their peers are less likely to use drugs and engage in other problem behaviors. Belief in the Moral Order Young people who have a belief in what is “right” or “wrong” are less likely to use drugs. Prosocial Involvement Participation in positive school and community activities helps provide protection for youth. Prosocial Norms Young people who view working hard in school and the community are less likely to engage in problem behavior. Involvement with Prosocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in prosocial behavior are more protected from engaging in antisocial behavior and substance use. 22 Table 3. Number of Students Who Completed the Survey Grade 8 Total Students County County County 2002 2004 2006 260 2250 2563 Grade 10 State 2006 26872 County County County 2002 2004 2006 696 1797 2686 Table 4. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During Their Lifetime Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 69.7 55.4 50.7 50.4 72.8 68.8 73.0 40.9 35.5 32.1 30.8 48.4 40.7 45.6 6.7 6.0 7.2 8.0 10.9 6.1 8.1 37.3 22.9 21.7 18.3 44.0 36.3 39.8 10.3 16.8 17.1 15.2 8.6 10.1 12.3 1.6 2.2 2.6 2.1 11.2 4.3 5.0 5.5 3.6 4.2 3.6 9.9 8.5 10.7 3.6 n/a n/a n/a 7.0 n/a n/a n/a n/a 2.0 2.6 n/a n/a 3.9 n/a 2.9 n/a n/a n/a 5.8 n/a n/a n/a 4.4 3.4 n/a n/a 8.6 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.4 4.4 2.7 2.4 1.2 n/a n/a n/a 6.2 n/a n/a n/a 13.1 10.3 10.0 n/a 17.8 15.8 7.5 2.9 3.0 1.9 8.2 4.7 4.7 n/a n/a 1.7 1.6 n/a n/a 2.0 n/a n/a 10.3 9.8 n/a n/a 17.8 43.5 36.8 40.7 36.2 45.5 45.9 52.0 Table 5. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During the Past 30 Days* Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 2002 Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 41.6 8.4 3.8 18.9 5.9 0.8 3.0 0.9 n/a n/a n/a 1.3 0.0 n/a 5.2 n/a n/a 24.4 2004 27.7 9.9 1.8 11.2 7.5 1.3 1.4 n/a n/a 1.4 n/a 0.5 n/a 7.0 0.8 n/a n/a 21.2 2006 24.2 11.5 2.3 10.6 7.5 1.3 1.9 n/a 0.6 n/a 1.8 1.0 n/a 4.4 1.2 0.8 5.4 22.8 2006 24.1 10.5 2.7 8.5 6.2 1.0 1.7 n/a 1.0 n/a 1.5 0.7 n/a 4.5 0.8 0.8 4.5 19.7 2002 2004 49.6 17.0 4.2 24.1 2.8 3.8 3.6 2.8 n/a n/a n/a 1.6 2.3 n/a 2.8 n/a n/a 27.1 38.0 13.8 2.1 16.4 3.1 2.2 3.6 n/a n/a 2.7 n/a 0.9 n/a 8.4 1.1 n/a n/a 24.4 2006 43.3 16.4 2.2 18.1 3.4 1.9 4.3 n/a 1.2 n/a 3.6 1.0 n/a 7.2 1.4 1.1 8.2 28.7 Grade 12 State 2006 19581 County County County 2002 2004 2006 493 1383 2351 State 2006 13948 Grade 12 State 2006 67.6 43.8 11.8 34.0 11.9 4.1 7.6 n/a 5.0 n/a 7.1 2.1 n/a 14.3 3.4 2.0 16.0 47.0 County County County 2002 2004 2006 81.9 58.9 16.4 50.6 9.4 13.5 13.9 8.2 n/a n/a n/a 4.7 8.4 n/a 9.2 n/a n/a 53.1 77.0 49.1 12.4 45.6 5.9 7.2 10.1 n/a n/a 6.0 n/a 2.9 n/a 17.9 5.3 n/a n/a 52.2 78.5 49.3 11.9 44.9 9.2 6.1 11.6 n/a 4.8 n/a 9.0 3.1 n/a 16.8 5.1 1.5 19.6 54.8 State 2006 74.5 50.0 15.6 42.6 9.8 5.6 11.6 n/a 6.6 n/a 8.5 2.8 n/a 17.4 4.4 2.2 20.0 52.8 Grade 12 State 2006 39.2 17.1 4.0 15.7 3.1 1.7 2.9 n/a 1.7 n/a 2.9 0.7 n/a 6.6 1.0 1.0 7.3 25.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 58.8 27.1 7.2 23.8 1.8 3.7 5.1 1.8 n/a n/a n/a 1.9 3.5 n/a 2.7 n/a n/a 29.1 48.4 18.3 3.6 17.9 1.3 1.5 3.5 n/a n/a 2.4 n/a 0.5 n/a 7.0 0.9 n/a n/a 23.7 49.8 20.5 3.7 18.7 2.0 2.0 3.7 n/a 0.8 n/a 2.2 1.0 n/a 6.1 1.3 0.8 7.4 26.5 State 2006 47.0 21.8 5.4 18.1 1.7 1.7 3.3 n/a 1.4 n/a 2.6 0.8 n/a 7.1 0.9 1.0 8.1 26.6 n/a - Indicates a question that was not asked in the 2002, 2004, or 2006 Arizona Youth Surveys. ATOD questions have differed slightly over the years. The differences are as follows. On how many occasions (if any) have you: 1 used methamphetamines (meth, crystal, crank)? [2002] used methamphetamines (meth, speed, crank, or crystal meth)? [2006] 2 3 used stimulants (amphetamines, meth, crystal, crank) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004] used stimulants, other than methamphetamines (such as amphetamines, Ritalin or Dexedrine) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2006] 4 5 used quaaludes, barbiturates or tranquilizers? [2002] used sedatives (tranquilizers, such as Valium or Xanax, barbiturates or sleeping pills) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004, 2006] 6 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. Note: 2006 'Any Drug' use does not include reported use of steroids or prescription drugs in order to make the 2006 results comparable to previous surveys. Further, the 2002 lifetime use data presented here is derived from a question asking students to report how old they were when they first used each substance. The 2002 lifetime use value reflects those students who indicated any age of first use. 23 Table 6. Percentage of Students With Heavy Use of Alcohol and Cigarettes Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 Binge Drinking 16.0 16.6 14.0 13.4 25.0 22.5 22.1 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day 0.8 0.8 0.6 1.0 3.0 1.4 2.1 Table 7. Percentage of Students With Antisocial Behavior in the Past Year Grade 8 Grade 10 Behavior County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 Suspended from School 27.9 17.5 19.8 Drunk or High at School 22.8 14.6 15.0 Sold Illegal Drugs 6.4 6.5 7.0 Stolen a Vehicle 3.6 5.1 6.1 Been Arrested 9.6 10.4 12.4 Attacked to Harm 14.6 20.1 19.9 Carried a Handgun 7.2 7.7 9.0 Handgun to School 2.0 1.2 2.9 Table 8. Percentage of Students Reporting Protection Grade 8 Protective Factor Community Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Family Domain Family Attachment Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement School Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Peer-Individual Domain Religiosity Social Skills Belief in the Moral Order Interaction with Prosocial Peers Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 19.8 13.0 4.9 4.6 8.3 17.9 7.6 1.6 2002 11.1 23.0 13.2 3.9 8.9 11.5 4.8 0.7 2004 12.0 20.4 10.1 4.4 9.7 15.3 6.3 2.0 2006 13.8 23.2 11.2 4.8 11.8 18.4 8.4 2.0 Grade 12 State 2006 22.4 2.4 County County County 2002 2004 2006 30.7 5.4 County County County 2002 2004 2006 30.0 3.4 28.2 3.9 Grade 12 State 2006 15.5 21.1 9.1 4.7 9.3 16.5 7.5 1.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 6.2 23.9 10.5 1.9 9.4 10.8 5.3 1.2 Grade 10 State 2006 29.4 3.2 State 2006 8.3 20.9 9.4 2.3 9.0 12.6 5.0 1.0 8.9 21.1 9.6 3.1 9.8 12.8 7.2 1.7 State 2006 9.4 21.4 9.8 3.1 7.8 13.2 7.0 1.4 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 36.4 24.1 36.5 28.8 31.5 27.7 38.2 30.4 37.1 36.1 36.8 33.3 30.5 31.5 37.1 36.3 40.5 32.7 36.0 30.2 31.9 30.0 37.6 35.2 51.0 55.1 53.1 51.2 60.2 63.0 46.6 55.8 59.1 48.7 57.4 60.6 47.7 54.2 55.6 47.1 55.9 57.0 43.3 52.7 55.5 44.1 53.0 54.9 55.7 48.2 49.4 56.7 55.5 55.4 54.4 54.9 56.2 57.1 55.9 56.9 59.4 51.0 62.3 54.0 56.8 48.4 59.1 50.7 55.3 58.3 65.6 64.4 61.3 59.8 62.9 62.3 54.9 44.3 62.5 44.8 64.1 47.0 65.2 48.0 * 55.1 38.6 * * * 44.6 58.2 52.9 44.0 39.1 58.8 42.0 56.3 53.9 40.5 36.6 59.9 46.2 58.3 54.3 46.1 37.7 58.8 * 52.8 62.0 * * * 44.8 53.0 64.0 51.3 45.9 61.9 40.6 50.8 61.4 47.7 40.8 62.2 44.3 52.4 62.6 49.6 39.3 61.1 * 59.6 43.4 * * * 70.3 66.2 51.3 48.9 45.6 55.3 69.2 64.9 48.6 45.8 39.4 54.5 70.7 66.0 51.2 48.1 39.1 53.4 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 24 Table 9. Percentage of Students Reporting Risk Grade 8 Risk Factor Community Domain Low Neighborhood Attachment Community Disorganization Transitions & Mobility Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Perceived Availability of Drugs Perceived Availability of Handguns Family Domain Poor Family Management Family Conflict Family History of Antisocial Behavior Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use School Domain Academic Failure Low Commitment to School Peer-Individual Domain Rebelliousness Early Initiation of ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Perceived Risk of Drug Use Interaction with Antisocial Peers Friend's Use of Drugs Rewards for ASB Depressive Symptoms Intention to Use Drugs Gang Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 36.3 56.5 49.3 36.3 42.9 35.7 41.4 50.4 52.6 42.6 44.6 41.0 46.1 56.1 52.9 43.9 39.0 37.8 40.7 48.2 53.7 37.8 38.1 37.0 43.6 44.1 51.4 44.9 53.4 27.7 46.4 58.5 53.1 45.4 51.9 27.5 49.8 61.8 55.8 45.3 50.9 27.9 46.9 57.6 60.4 42.5 48.8 27.6 48.6 34.0 46.9 30.8 63.9 31.0 51.1 52.5 53.2 39.0 55.9 33.9 49.1 56.9 51.9 37.3 53.6 33.6 49.8 52.3 54.9 34.6 51.3 34.1 44.9 67.3 51.0 38.8 28.6 45.2 53.1 49.1 48.5 29.6 51.6 52.2 47.2 48.7 28.2 47.9 52.2 42.7 48.5 29.1 40.7 36.6 43.2 45.5 50.2 44.1 42.6 44.5 48.0 41.5 49.6 44.5 46.2 52.1 43.2 45.0 42.2 43.2 50.0 41.1 53.2 35.0 35.8 40.3 43.9 46.9 38.9 41.0 43.0 43.5 46.9 38.6 39.6 47.5 42.9 44.8 38.3 38.6 45.9 40.1 62.4 39.8 54.8 41.1 55.1 44.1 48.6 41.1 51.7 48.3 49.4 43.6 55.7 44.6 51.6 40.1 45.2 52.8 46.7 48.7 45.2 48.1 44.1 43.0 49.2 45.3 50.0 49.8 40.3 50.9 65.6 50.0 49.8 48.8 * 32.1 39.6 42.2 41.0 48.2 37.3 52.7 60.9 48.4 54.0 53.3 42.7 28.8 46.6 43.7 38.4 49.0 37.2 51.2 62.7 42.9 50.9 47.9 40.3 30.8 43.8 40.2 35.2 46.2 32.4 45.4 58.4 41.3 48.7 45.7 36.5 26.3 40.8 33.8 40.0 53.7 48.9 51.1 50.6 44.8 33.2 46.4 * 10.4 39.2 40.9 35.2 49.9 38.3 40.2 56.6 40.6 42.6 48.5 46.3 19.3 50.7 43.9 39.8 52.5 37.4 39.7 61.6 47.7 47.7 45.0 49.0 25.7 47.5 42.4 36.6 49.7 36.6 39.2 58.1 43.2 45.0 45.5 44.9 23.9 38.0 35.0 40.5 60.9 50.8 57.3 49.8 42.7 40.6 40.4 * 11.5 34.8 39.7 37.6 44.9 35.8 45.5 51.7 36.9 52.3 42.4 30.1 17.1 45.8 41.8 33.3 47.2 35.0 42.3 54.7 37.3 55.4 39.2 30.2 17.0 44.3 38.8 34.1 45.6 34.6 40.5 52.0 35.9 53.8 38.6 29.9 16.3 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 25 Table 10. Percentage of Students Reporting School Safety Issues Grade 8 Question Response County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 0 days During the past 30 days, on how 1 day many days did you carry a weapon 2-3 days such as a gun, knife, or club on 4-5 days school property? (q43) 6 or more days 94.6 2.3 0.0 1.2 1.9 93.8 3.1 1.8 0.3 1.1 92.3 3.5 1.9 0.7 1.6 93.1 3.1 1.6 0.6 1.6 93.8 1.2 1.7 0.6 2.7 94.1 1.9 1.2 0.4 2.4 92.2 2.7 1.6 0.5 3.0 92.7 2.4 1.5 0.7 2.7 93.0 1.0 1.0 0.2 4.7 95.3 1.4 0.6 0.3 2.5 94.3 1.6 0.9 0.5 2.6 94.0 1.4 0.9 0.6 3.0 During the past 30 days, on how many days did you not go to school because you felt you would be unsafe at school or on your way to or from school? (q41) 0 days 1 day 2-3 days 4-5 days 6 or more days 93.4 3.9 1.2 0.4 1.2 87.9 6.7 3.4 0.7 1.3 86.8 7.3 3.0 1.2 1.8 89.3 6.0 2.8 0.7 1.2 97.3 2.0 0.4 0.0 0.3 93.5 2.8 1.6 1.0 1.2 90.9 5.0 2.2 0.6 1.3 92.2 4.1 2.1 0.5 1.1 98.4 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 95.1 2.8 1.4 0.3 0.4 94.1 3.1 1.5 0.4 0.8 95.0 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times has someone threatened or injured you with a weapon such as a gun, knife, or club on school property? (q39) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 89.1 7.0 2.3 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 82.0 9.6 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.6 83.5 8.3 4.4 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 1.3 84.5 7.7 4.2 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.2 90.8 3.7 3.0 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 1.2 87.0 7.4 3.0 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.8 84.7 8.0 3.7 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.5 86.1 6.7 3.9 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.3 93.1 2.4 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2 90.9 4.6 2.3 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.6 88.9 5.2 3.7 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.6 90.5 4.4 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times were you in a physical fight on school property? (q40) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 74.6 14.6 8.1 1.5 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.8 68.8 15.2 10.2 2.7 0.6 0.7 0.3 1.5 73.4 14.2 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 1.1 75.4 13.1 7.1 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.0 87.6 8.4 2.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 84.4 8.8 3.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.0 84.7 9.0 4.0 1.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 84.3 8.9 4.4 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 94.5 2.6 1.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 92.2 4.3 2.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 91.1 5.6 2.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 91.1 5.5 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 Pima County 26 Contacts For Prevention Regional Prevention Contacts Arizona Department of Health Services Division of Behavioral Health Services Lisa Shumaker 602-364-4594 www.azdhs.gov/bhs/index.htm Cochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, and Santa Cruz Counties Bill Burnett Community Partnership of Southern Arizona (CPSA) 520-618-8807 Arizona Prevention Resource Center 1-800-432-2772 www.azprevention.org Gila, La Paz, Pinal, and Yuma Counties Linda Weinberg Cenpatico Behavioral Health of Arizona 480-231-7504 Center for Violence Prevention and Community Safety Steve Ballance/Charles Katz 602-543-6174/602-543-6618 steve.ballance@asu.edu/charles.katz@asu.edu Apache, Coconino, Mohave, Navajo, and Yavapai Counties Petrice Post Northern Arizona Regional Behavioral Health Authority (NARBHA) 928-214-2177 Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) http://prevention.samhsa.gov Maricopa County Juan Aristizabal ValueOptions 602-9145844 Governor’s Office of Children, Youth, and Families 602-542-4043 http://www.governor.state.az.us/cyf/index.html Gila River Tribe Marnie McNicholas 602-528-7106 Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities U.S. Department of Education www.ed.gov/offices/OESE/SDFS Pasqua Yaqui Tribe Jill Fabian 520-879-6067 Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Paula Burns 602-266-8299 ext. 351 www.problemgambling.az.gov Navajo Nation Maxine Nakai 928-871-7946 Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMSHA) www.samhsa.gov Colorado River Indian Tribes Iris Leivas 928-669-6577 Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention http://ojjdp.ncjrs.org/ Other State and National Contacts: Western Regional Center for the Application of Prevention Technologies (CAPT) www.westcapt.org Arizona Criminal Justice Commission Michelle Neitch/ Phillip Stevenson 602-364-1173/602-364-1157 www.azcjc.gov Bach Harrison, L.L.C. R. Steven Harrison, Ph.D. 801-359-2064 www.bach-harrison.com Arizona Department of Education Student Services Division www.ade.az.gov 27 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Pinal County REPORT PROVIDED BY: Arizona Criminal Justice Commission 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Shining Light on Arizona Youth THIS REPORT IS PROVIDED BY THE Arizona Criminal Justice Commission IN PARTNERSHIP WITH: Administrative Office of the Courts Arizona Department of Education Arizona Department of Health Services Arizona Department of Juvenile Corrections Arizona Juvenile Justice Commission Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Arizona State University Governor’s Division for Substance Abuse Policy Governor’s Office for Children, Youth, and Families 2 Introduction 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Summary for CONTENTS: gender and ethnicity categories will often be less than the total number of students. Introduction: • Demographics • Risk & Protective Framework Pinal County This report summarizes some of the county-specific findings from the 2006 Arizona Youth Survey administered to 8th, 10th and 12th grade students during the spring of 2006. The survey was designed to assess school safety, adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention Tools for Assessment and Planning How to Read the Charts Data Charts: • Risk & Protective Factor Profiles • Substance Use & Antisocial Behavior • School Safety All schools in Arizona are invited to participate in the survey, and recruitment efforts were successful in obtaining participation by schools in all of the 15 counties. Careful planning and uniform administration of the survey have resulted in survey data that are valid and representative of the students in grades 8, 10, and 12 in Arizona. Risk and Protective Factor Definitions Data Tables Contacts for Prevention Table 1 contains the characteristics of the students who completed the survey in Pinal County and the State. Because not all students answer all of the questions, the number of students in the Table 1. Characteristics of Participants Student Totals County 2002 Total Students Grade 8 10 12 Gender Male Female Ethnicity African American American Indian Asian Hispanic Pacific Islander White Other County 2004 County 2006 Percent Number Percent Number Number 1347 100 1616 100 Percent 1848 100 60401 100 735 54.6 574 449 33.3 650 35.5 1079 58.4 26872 44.5 40.2 481 26.0 19581 163 12.1 32.4 392 24.3 288 15.6 13948 23.1 617 685 47.4 703 44.0 862 48.1 28381 48.2 52.6 894 56.0 931 51.9 30505 51.8 34 2.7 65 4.3 111 6.2 2592 4.4 83 6.5 152 10.1 157 8.8 3394 5.8 1.5 1341 2.3 38.3 21376 36.5 14 1.1 13 0.9 27 402 31.7 580 38.6 682 6 0.4 6 737 * 58.0 * 687 45.7 697 n/a n/a n/a n/a 100 Percent State 2006 Number 457 0.8 39.2 26761 0.3 45.7 5.6 * Pacific Islander was grouped with Asian in 2002 3 2696 4.6 Many states and local agencies have adopted the Risk and Protective Factor Model to guide their prevention efforts. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention is based on the simple premise that to prevent a problem from happening, we need to identify the factors that increase the risk of that problem developing and then find ways to reduce the risks. Just as medical researchers have found risk factors for heart disease such as diets high in fat, lack of exercise, and smoking; a team of researchers at the University of Washington have defined a set of risk factors for youth problem behaviors. Risk factors are characteristics of school, community, and family environments, as well as characteristics of students and their peer groups that are known to predict increased likelihood of drug use, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violent behavior among youth. Protective factors exert a positive influence or buffer against the negative influence of risk, thus reducing the likelihood that adolescents will engage in problem behaviors. Dr. J. David Hawkins, Dr. Richard F. Catalano, and their colleagues at the University of Washington, Social Development Research Group have investigated the relationship between risk and protective factors and youth problem behavior. For example, they have found that children who live in families with high levels of conflict are more likely to become involved in problem behaviors such as delinquency and drug use than children who live in families with low levels of family conflict. 2006 Prevention Needs Assessment Risk and Protective Factors The chart at the right shows the links between the 19 risk factors and the five problem behaviors. The check marks have been placed in the chart to indicate where at least two well designed, published research studies have shown a link between the risk factor and the problem behavior. 9 9 Community laws and norms favorable toward drug use, firearms and crime 9 9 9 Transitions and mobility 9 9 Low neighborhood attachment and community disorganization 9 9 Extreme economic and social deprivation 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Academic failure in elementary school 9 9 9 9 9 Lack of commitment to school 9 9 9 9 9 Early and persistent antisocial behavior 9 9 9 9 9 Alienation and rebelliousness 9 9 Friends who engage in the problem behavior 9 9 Gang involvement 9 9 Favorable attitudes toward the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Early initiation of the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Constitutional factors 9 9 Violence 9 School Drop-Out Availability of drugs and firearms RISK FACTORS Teen Pregnancy Delinquency Risk- and protective-focused drug abuse prevention is also based on the work of Hawkins, Catalano, and their team of researchers at the University of Washington in Seattle. Beginning in the early 1980s the group researched adolescent problem behaviors and identified risk factors for adolescent drug abuse. Not surprisingly, they found that a relationship exists between adolescent drug abuse, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violence, and were able to identify risk factors for these problems. PROBLEM BEHAVIORS Substance Abuse Research on risk and protective factors has important implications for prevention efforts. The premise of this approach is that in order to promote positive youth development and prevent problem behaviors, it is necessary to address those factors that can lead to the problem. By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, specific risk factors that are elevated and widespread can be identified and targeted by preventive interventions that also promote related protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as an elevated risk factor in a community, then mentoring and tutoring interventions can be provided that will improve academic performance, thus reducing the level of the risk factors and decreasing the likelihood of problem behavior. Community 9 Media portrayals of violence 9 9 Family Family history of the problem behavior Family management problems Family conflict Favorable parental attitudes and involvement in the problem behavior 9 School Individual/Peer 4 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 The Arizona Youth Survey as a Tool for Building a Strategic Prevention Framework The Prevention Needs Assessment Survey is an important part of the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) Strategic Prevention Framework Process. CSAP created this 5-step model to guide states and communities through the process of creating planned, data-driven, effective, and sustainable prevention programming. The information presented in this section is taken from CSAP’s Strategic Prevention Framework State Incentive Grant description. Step 1: Profile Population Needs, Resources, and Readiness to Address the Problems and Gaps in Service Delivery • • Community Needs Assessment: The results of this survey (presented in this Profile Report and in results reported at the State level) will identify needs for prevention. States should consider administering a survey to assess adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior, and many of the risk and protective factors that predict adolescent problem behaviors. While planning prevention services, communities are urged to collect and use multiple data sources, including archival and social indicators, assessment of existing resources, key informant interviews, as well as survey data. Community Resource Assessment: It is likely that existing agencies and programs are already addressing some of the prioritized risk and protective factors. It is important to identify the assets and resources already available in the community and the gaps in services and capacity. Community Readiness Assessment: It is very important for states and communities to have the commitment and support of their members and ample resources to implement effective prevention efforts. Therefore, the readiness and capacity of communities and resources to act should also be assessed. Step 2: Mobilize and/or Build Capacity to Address Needs: Engagement of key stakeholders at the state and community levels is critical to plan and implement successful prevention activities that will be sustained over time. Some of the key tasks to mobilize the state and communities are to work with leaders and stakeholders to build coalitions, provide training, leverage resources, and help sustain prevention activities. Step 3: Develop a Comprehensive Strategic Plan: States and communities should develop a strategic plan that articulates not only a vision for the prevention activities, but also strategies for organizing and implementing prevention efforts. The strategic plan should be based on documented needs, build on identified resources/strengths, set measurable objectives, and identify how progress will be monitored. Plans should be adjusted with ongoing needs assessment and monitoring activities. The issue of sustainability should be kept in mind throughout each step of planning and implementation. Step 4: Implement Evidence-based Prevention Programs and Infrastructure Development Activities: By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, prevention programs can be implemented that will reduce the elevated risk factors and increase the protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as a prioritized risk factor in a community, then mentoring, tutoring, and increased opportunities and rewards for classroom participation can be provided to improve academic performance. After completing Steps 1, 2, and 3, communities will be able to choose prevention programs that fit the Strategic Framework of the community, match the population served, and are scientifically proven to work. The Western Center for the Application of Prevention Technology website (www.westcapt.org) contains a search engine for identifying Best Practice Programs. Step 5: Monitor Process, Evaluate Effectiveness, Sustain Effective Programs/Activities, and Improve or Replace Those That Fail: Finally, ongoing monitoring and evaluation are essential to determine if the outcomes desired are achieved and to assess program effectiveness, assess service delivery quality, identify successes, encourage needed improvement, and promote sustainability of effective policies, programs, and practices. 5 Tools for Assessment and Planning School and Community Improvement Using Survey Data Why the Arizona Youth Survey? Data from the Arizona Youth Survey can be used to help school and community planners assess current conditions and prioritize areas of greatest need. Each risk and protective factor can be linked to specific types of interventions that have been shown to be effective in either reducing risk(s) or enhancing protection(s). The steps outlined here will help your county and community make key decisions regarding allocation of resources, how and when to address specific needs, and which strategies are most effective and known to produce results. What are the numbers telling you? Review the charts and data tables presented in this report. Using the table below, note your findings as you discuss the following questions. • Which 3-5 risk factors appear to be higher than you would want? • Which 3-5 protective factors appear to be lower than you would want? • Which levels of 30-day drug use are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which substances are your students using the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable usage levels? • Which levels of antisocial behaviors are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which behaviors are your students exhibiting the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable behavior levels? How to decide if a rate is “unacceptable.” • • • Use these data for planning. • • • MEASURE Look across the charts – which items stand out as either much higher or much lower than the other? Compare your data with statewide, and national data – differences of 5% between local and other data are probably significant. Determine the standards and values held within your community – For example: Is it acceptable in your community for a percentage of high school students to drink alcohol regularly as long as that percentage is lower than the overall state rate? Substance use and antisocial behavior data – raise awareness about the problems and promote dialogue. Risk and protective factor data – identify exactly where the community needs to take action. Promising approaches – talk with resources listed on the last page of this report for ideas about programs that have proven effective in addressing the risk factors that are high in your community, and improving the protective factors that are low. Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate #1 #2 #3 #4 Risk Factors Protective Factors Substance Use Antisocial Behaviors 6 Practical Implications of the AYS No Child Left Behind The Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities section of the No Child Left Behind Act (NCLB) requires that schools and communities use six Principles of Effectiveness to guide their decisions and spending on federally funded prevention and intervention programs. First introduced in 1998 by the Department of Education, the Principles of Effectiveness outline a data-driven process for ensuring that prevention programs achieve the desired results. The Principles of Effectiveness stipulate that local prevention programs and activities must: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. be based on a needs assessment using objective data regarding the incidence of drug use and violence, target specific performance objectives, be based on scientific research and be proven to reduce violence or drug use, be based on the analysis of predictor variables such as risk and protective factors, include meaningful and on-going parental input in program implementation, and have periodic evaluations of established performance measures. The results of the Arizona Youth Survey presented in this report can help schools and communities comply with the NCLB Act. The Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior charts provide information related to Principle 1 above. The Risk and Protective Factor charts provide information related to Principle 4. Overall, using the Risk and Protective factors planning framework helps schools meet all of the Principles of Effectiveness, and thereby assists schools in complying with the NCLB Act. How to Read the Charts: Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts There are four types of charts presented in this report: 1) substance use and antisocial behavior charts, 2) risk factor charts, 3) protective factor charts, and 4) school safety charts. All the charts show the results of the AYS, and the actual percentages from the charts are presented in Tables 3 through 10. • 30-day use is a measure of the percentage of students who used the substance at least once in the 30 days prior to taking the survey and is a more sensitive indicator of the level of current use of the substance. • Binge drinking and a Pack or more of cigarettes per day are measures of heavy use of alcohol and tobacco. Binge drinking is defined as having five or more drinks in a row during the two weeks prior to taking the survey. • Antisocial behavior (ASB) is a measure of the percentage of students who report any involvement with the eight antisocial behaviors listed in the charts in the past year. In the charts, antisocial behavior will often be abbreviated as ASB. • Dots are used on the charts to show the overall average of all of the youth in each grade who participated in the survey for each behavior. More information about the dots is contained on the following page. Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts This report contains information about alcohol, tobacco and other drug use (referred to as ATOD use throughout this report) and other problem behaviors of students. The bars on each chart represent the percentage of students in that grade who reported the behavior. The four sections in the charts represent different types of problem behaviors. The definitions of each of the types of behavior are provided below. • Ever-used is a measure of the percentage of students who tried the particular substance at least once in their lifetime and is used to show the percentage of students who have had experience with a particular substance. 7 How to Read the Charts: Risk and Protective Factor and School Safety Charts Risk and Protective Factor Charts There are three components of the risk and protective factor charts that are key to understanding the information that the charts contain: 1) the cutpoints for the risk and protective factor scales, 2) the dots that indicate the state values, and 3) the dashed lines that indicate a more “national” value. the progress of prevention programs over time. For example, if the percentage of youth at risk for family conflict in a community prior to implementing a community-wide family/parenting program was 60% and then decreased to 45% one year after the program was implemented, the program would be viewed as helping to reduce family conflict. Dots Cut-Points Before the percentage of youth at risk on a given scale could be calculated, a scale value or cut-point needed to be determined that would separate the atrisk group from the not-at-risk group. The Prevention Needs Assessment (PNA) survey was designed to assess adolescent substance use, antisocial behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Arizona Youth Survey, and surveys designed for other states and areas, follow the PNA format and have the same goal of gathering information on the prevention needs of students, schools, communities, and states. Since PNA surveys have been given to over 200,000 youth nationwide, it was possible to select two groups of youth, one that was more at risk for problem behaviors and another group that was less at risk. A cut-point score was then determined for each risk and protective factor scale that best divided the youth from the two groups into their appropriate group, more at-risk or less at-risk. The criteria for selecting the more at-risk and the less atrisk groups included academic grades (the more atrisk group received “D” and “F” grades, the less atrisk group received “A” and “B” grades), ATOD use (the more at-risk group had more regular use, the less at-risk group had no drug use and use of alcohol or tobacco on only a few occasions), and antisocial behavior (the more at-risk group had two or more serious delinquent acts in the past year, the less atrisk group had no serious delinquent acts). The cut-points that were determined by analyzing the results of the more at-risk and less at-risk groups will remain constant and will be used to produce the profiles for future surveys. Since the cut-points for each scale will remain fixed, the percentage of youth above the cut-point on a scale (at-risk) will provide a method for evaluating The dots on the charts represent the percentage of all of the youth surveyed from Arizona who reported ‘elevated risk’ or ‘elevated protection’. The comparison to the state-wide sample provides additional information for your community in determining the relative importance of each risk or protective factor level. Scanning across the charts, you can easily determine which factors are most (or least) prevalent for your community. This is the first step in identifying the levels of risk and protection that are operating in your community and which factors your community may choose to address. Dashed Line Levels of risk and protection in your community also can be compared to a more national sample. The dashed line on each risk and protective factor chart represents the percentage of youth at risk or with protection for the seven state sample upon which the cut-points were developed. The seven states included in the norm group were Colorado, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Oregon, Utah, and Washington. All the states have a mix of urban and rural students. Again, brief definitions of the risk and protective factors are provided following the profile charts. For more information about risk and protective factors, please refer to the resources listed on the last page of this report under Contacts for Prevention. School Safety Charts The school safety profile charts contain the percentages of students who felt unsafe at school or on the way to school, were threatened or injured with a weapon at school, were in a physical fight at school, or carried a weapon to school. The complete questions and values for each response option can be seen in Table 10. 8 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Pinal County Student Survey, Grade 8 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 9 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Pinal County Student Survey, Grade 8 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 10 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Pinal County Student Survey, Grade 10 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 11 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Pinal County Student Survey, Grade 10 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 12 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Pinal County Student Survey, Grade 12 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 13 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Pinal County Student Survey, Grade 12 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 14 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Pinal County Student Survey, Grade 8 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 15 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Pinal County Student Survey, Grade 10 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 16 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Pinal County Student Survey, Grade 12 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 17 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Pinal County Student Survey, Grade 8 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 18 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Pinal County Student Survey, Grade 10 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 19 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Pinal County Student Survey, Grade 12 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 20 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions Community Domain Risk Factors Community and Personal Transitions & Mobility Neighborhoods with high rates of residential mobility have been shown to have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling, while children who experience frequent residential moves and stressful life transitions have been shown to have higher risk for school failure, delinquency, and drug use. Community Disorganization Research has shown that neighborhoods with high population density, lack of natural surveillance of public places, physical deterioration, and high rates of adult crime also have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling. Low Neighborhood Attachment A low level of bonding to the neighborhood is related to higher levels of juvenile crime and drug selling. Laws and Norms Favorable Toward Drug Use Research has shown that legal restrictions on alcohol and tobacco use, such as raising the legal drinking age, restricting smoking in public places, and increased taxation have been followed by decreases in consumption. Moreover, national surveys of high school seniors have shown that shifts in normative attitudes toward drug use have preceded changes in prevalence of use. Perceived Availability of Drugs and Handguns The availability of cigarettes, alcohol, marijuana, and other illegal drugs has been related to the use of these substances by adolescents. The availability of handguns is also related to a higher risk of crime and substance use by adolescents. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When opportunities are available in a community for positive participation, children are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement Rewards for positive participation in activities helps children bond to the community, thus lowering their risk for substance use. Family Domain Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Risk Factors When children are raised in a family with a history of problem behaviors (e.g., violence or ATOD use), the children are more likely to engage in these behaviors. Children raised in families high in conflict, whether or not the child is directly involved in the conflict, appear at risk for both delinquency and drug use. Parental Attitudes Favorable In families where parents use illegal drugs, are heavy users of alcohol, or are tolerant of children’s use, Toward Antisocial Behavior & children are more likely to become drug abusers during adolescence. The risk is further increased if parents involve children in their own drug (or alcohol) using behavior, for example, asking the child to Drugs light the parent’s cigarette or get the parent a beer from the refrigerator. Poor Family Management Parents’ use of inconsistent and/or unusually harsh or severe punishment with their children places them at higher risk for substance use and other problem behaviors. Also, parents’ failure to provide clear expectations and to monitor their children’s behavior makes it more likely that they will engage in drug abuse whether or not there are family drug problems. Protective Factors Family Attachment Young people who feel that they are a valued part of their family are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Opportunities for Positive Involvement Young people who are exposed to more opportunities to participate meaningfully in the responsibilities and activities of the family are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When parents, siblings, and other family members praise, encourage, and attend to things done well by their child, children are less likely to engage in substance use and problem behaviors. School Domain Risk Factors Academic Failure Beginning in the late elementary grades (grades 4-6) academic failure increases the risk of both drug abuse and delinquency. It appears that the experience of failure itself, for whatever reasons, increases the risk of problem behaviors. 21 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions (Continued) Low Commitment to School Surveys of high school seniors have shown that the use of hallucinogens, cocaine, heroin, stimulants, and sedatives or non-medically prescribed tranquilizers is significantly lower among students who expect to attend college than among those who do not. Factors such as liking school, spending time on homework, and perceiving the coursework as relevant are also negatively related to drug use. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When young people are given more opportunities to participate meaningfully in important activities at school, they are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When young people are recognized and rewarded for their contributions at school, they are less likely to be involved in substance use and other problem behaviors. Peer-Individual Risk Factors Early Initiation of Antisocial Behavior and Drug Use Early onset of drug use predicts misuse of drugs. The earlier the onset of any drug use, the greater the involvement in other drug use and the greater frequency of use. Onset of drug use prior to the age of 15 is a consistent predictor of drug abuse, and a later age of onset of drug use has been shown to predict lower drug involvement and a greater probability of discontinuation of use. During the elementary school years, most children express anti-drug, anti-crime, and pro-social attitudes Attitudes Favorable Toward Antisocial Behavior and Drug and have difficulty imagining why people use drugs or engage in antisocial behaviors. However, in middle school, as more youth are exposed to others who use drugs and engage in antisocial behavior, Use their attitudes often shift toward greater acceptance of these behaviors. Youth who express positive attitudes toward drug use and antisocial behavior are more likely to engage in a variety of problem behaviors, including drug use. Friends' Use of Drugs Young people who associate with peers who engage in alcohol or substance abuse are much more likely to engage in the same behavior. Peer drug use has consistently been found to be among the strongest predictors of substance use among youth. Even when young people come from well-managed families and do not experience other risk factors, spending time with friends who use drugs greatly increases the risk of that problem developing. Interaction with Antisocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in problem behaviors are at higher risk for engaging in antisocial behavior themselves. Perceived Risk of Drug Use Young people who do not perceive drug use to be risky are far more likely to engage in drug use. Rewards for Antisocial Behavior Young people who receive rewards for their antisocial behavior are at higher risk for engaging further in antisocial behavior and substance use. Rebelliousness Young people who do not feel part of society, are not bound by rules, don’t believe in trying to be successful or responsible, or who take an active rebellious stance toward society, are at higher risk of abusing drugs. In addition, high tolerance for deviance, a strong need for independence and normlessness have all been linked with drug use. Intention to Use ATODs Many prevention programs focus on reducing the intention of participants to use ATODs later in life. Reduction of intention to use ATODs often follows successful prevention interventions. Depressive Symptoms Young people who are depressed are overrepresented in the criminal justice system and are more likely to use drugs. Survey research and other studies have shown a link between depression and other youth problem behaviors. Gang Involvement Youth who belong to gangs are more at risk for antisocial behavior and drug use. Protective Factors Religiosity Young people who regularly attend religious services are less likely to engage in problem behaviors. Social Skills Young people who are socially competent and engage in positive interpersonal relations with their peers are less likely to use drugs and engage in other problem behaviors. Belief in the Moral Order Young people who have a belief in what is “right” or “wrong” are less likely to use drugs. Prosocial Involvement Participation in positive school and community activities helps provide protection for youth. Prosocial Norms Young people who view working hard in school and the community are less likely to engage in problem behavior. Involvement with Prosocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in prosocial behavior are more protected from engaging in antisocial behavior and substance use. 22 Table 3. Number of Students Who Completed the Survey Grade 8 Total Students County County County 2002 2004 2006 735 574 1079 Grade 10 State 2006 26872 County County County 2002 2004 2006 449 650 481 Table 4. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During Their Lifetime Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 62.3 58.4 57.9 50.4 79.5 70.4 72.8 48.4 43.2 38.7 30.8 60.0 51.8 56.5 8.2 10.9 10.5 8.0 14.3 10.5 14.8 30.6 29.0 23.0 18.3 53.7 45.4 47.2 14.8 18.3 19.4 15.2 13.5 16.0 16.8 3.1 5.1 3.1 2.1 8.7 7.1 5.8 5.4 7.7 4.1 3.6 9.9 11.0 12.7 4.2 n/a n/a n/a 11.5 n/a n/a n/a n/a 3.8 2.6 n/a n/a 11.3 n/a 7.7 n/a n/a n/a 8.6 n/a n/a n/a 3.3 3.4 n/a n/a 9.8 3.2 2.4 2.6 1.4 4.5 3.2 1.2 2.9 n/a n/a n/a 5.0 n/a n/a n/a 12.7 10.9 10.0 n/a 16.5 15.6 5.3 3.3 2.5 1.9 13.1 5.0 5.2 n/a n/a 1.7 1.6 n/a n/a 2.2 n/a n/a 11.3 9.8 n/a n/a 16.4 37.7 42.2 44.0 36.2 57.2 52.0 59.0 Table 5. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During the Past 30 Days* Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 2002 Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 42.4 11.8 5.5 16.3 6.7 2.2 3.5 1.7 n/a n/a n/a 2.1 1.8 n/a 3.3 n/a n/a 23.3 2004 29.4 15.6 3.1 15.6 7.1 4.9 2.7 n/a n/a 5.1 n/a 0.9 n/a 5.8 1.3 n/a n/a 23.9 2006 30.3 14.6 3.5 13.6 8.9 1.3 1.7 n/a 1.1 n/a 1.7 0.8 n/a 5.2 1.0 0.8 5.2 28.1 2006 24.1 10.5 2.7 8.5 6.2 1.0 1.7 n/a 1.0 n/a 1.5 0.7 n/a 4.5 0.8 0.8 4.5 19.7 2002 2004 51.5 20.8 7.1 26.6 4.8 4.1 5.0 5.7 n/a n/a n/a 1.6 2.3 n/a 4.8 n/a n/a 32.2 43.1 20.8 3.3 20.7 4.5 4.0 4.2 n/a n/a 3.8 n/a 1.1 n/a 9.1 1.6 n/a n/a 26.4 2006 44.1 18.6 5.0 23.5 3.8 2.6 6.0 n/a 4.6 n/a 3.7 0.5 n/a 7.4 1.2 0.5 8.4 34.8 Grade 12 State 2006 19581 County County County 2002 2004 2006 163 392 288 State 2006 13948 Grade 12 State 2006 67.6 43.8 11.8 34.0 11.9 4.1 7.6 n/a 5.0 n/a 7.1 2.1 n/a 14.3 3.4 2.0 16.0 47.0 County County County 2002 2004 2006 83.8 69.8 16.0 56.2 15.4 14.1 20.8 15.5 n/a n/a n/a 5.6 4.3 n/a 8.1 n/a n/a 60.1 77.6 56.8 16.1 50.8 12.1 7.0 12.5 n/a n/a 11.3 n/a 4.2 n/a 16.4 6.6 n/a n/a 56.1 78.8 60.1 16.7 56.0 15.2 7.3 17.6 n/a 12.8 n/a 11.9 3.5 n/a 19.0 6.2 2.0 22.4 64.5 State 2006 74.5 50.0 15.6 42.6 9.8 5.6 11.6 n/a 6.6 n/a 8.5 2.8 n/a 17.4 4.4 2.2 20.0 52.8 Grade 12 State 2006 39.2 17.1 4.0 15.7 3.1 1.7 2.9 n/a 1.7 n/a 2.9 0.7 n/a 6.6 1.0 1.0 7.3 25.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 55.6 23.9 5.0 29.3 2.5 3.8 7.0 4.4 n/a n/a n/a 3.2 1.3 n/a 2.5 n/a n/a 35.5 46.9 23.5 5.3 20.7 1.3 2.9 3.2 n/a n/a 4.7 n/a 0.8 n/a 8.8 1.3 n/a n/a 27.0 51.1 23.1 5.9 19.6 1.5 4.3 4.7 n/a 1.6 n/a 2.7 0.4 n/a 8.5 0.8 1.2 9.0 29.3 State 2006 47.0 21.8 5.4 18.1 1.7 1.7 3.3 n/a 1.4 n/a 2.6 0.8 n/a 7.1 0.9 1.0 8.1 26.6 n/a - Indicates a question that was not asked in the 2002, 2004, or 2006 Arizona Youth Surveys. ATOD questions have differed slightly over the years. The differences are as follows. On how many occasions (if any) have you: 1 used methamphetamines (meth, crystal, crank)? [2002] used methamphetamines (meth, speed, crank, or crystal meth)? [2006] 2 3 used stimulants (amphetamines, meth, crystal, crank) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004] used stimulants, other than methamphetamines (such as amphetamines, Ritalin or Dexedrine) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2006] 4 5 used quaaludes, barbiturates or tranquilizers? [2002] used sedatives (tranquilizers, such as Valium or Xanax, barbiturates or sleeping pills) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004, 2006] 6 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. Note: 2006 'Any Drug' use does not include reported use of steroids or prescription drugs in order to make the 2006 results comparable to previous surveys. Further, the 2002 lifetime use data presented here is derived from a question asking students to report how old they were when they first used each substance. The 2002 lifetime use value reflects those students who indicated any age of first use. 23 Table 6. Percentage of Students With Heavy Use of Alcohol and Cigarettes Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 Binge Drinking 17.9 18.6 16.9 13.4 29.5 27.1 24.8 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day 1.9 1.5 1.4 1.0 6.4 4.6 3.6 Table 7. Percentage of Students With Antisocial Behavior in the Past Year Grade 8 Grade 10 Behavior County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 Suspended from School 20.4 23.1 24.3 Drunk or High at School 18.2 19.5 19.4 Sold Illegal Drugs 5.6 4.6 6.1 Stolen a Vehicle 5.5 6.7 4.2 Been Arrested 11.1 15.3 11.9 Attacked to Harm 13.4 22.2 22.4 Carried a Handgun 6.2 6.7 9.1 Handgun to School 1.1 2.0 1.6 Table 8. Percentage of Students Reporting Protection Grade 8 Protective Factor Community Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Family Domain Family Attachment Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement School Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Peer-Individual Domain Religiosity Social Skills Belief in the Moral Order Interaction with Prosocial Peers Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 19.8 13.0 4.9 4.6 8.3 17.9 7.6 1.6 2002 18.7 30.5 12.1 6.8 11.5 15.9 8.4 2.0 2004 18.0 25.4 12.6 6.8 10.8 22.5 8.0 2.5 2006 30.1 33.5 12.2 9.9 15.7 23.7 8.9 2.2 Grade 12 State 2006 22.4 2.4 County County County 2002 2004 2006 34.6 11.3 County County County 2002 2004 2006 30.2 4.1 28.2 3.9 Grade 12 State 2006 15.5 21.1 9.1 4.7 9.3 16.5 7.5 1.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 14.4 24.4 11.8 5.7 14.4 15.2 10.1 2.5 Grade 10 State 2006 27.9 5.6 State 2006 10.8 23.7 9.5 4.1 9.7 16.2 6.7 2.3 19.5 32.1 14.4 7.1 14.2 20.8 9.9 3.0 State 2006 9.4 21.4 9.8 3.1 7.8 13.2 7.0 1.4 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 33.4 31.6 38.9 31.0 31.4 26.8 38.2 30.4 33.6 38.2 31.8 36.2 24.6 39.3 37.1 36.3 19.6 33.3 31.3 34.7 21.9 32.8 37.6 35.2 44.2 51.2 54.5 43.9 54.1 52.5 44.1 50.8 55.1 48.7 57.4 60.6 40.3 51.2 48.6 43.6 52.4 55.2 33.8 44.0 44.6 44.1 53.0 54.9 48.7 47.1 42.1 54.2 54.2 52.7 52.2 49.4 50.4 57.1 55.9 56.9 57.4 48.7 59.2 53.4 58.0 50.4 59.1 50.7 45.6 49.5 54.4 51.5 52.8 58.8 62.9 62.3 50.0 46.9 53.5 41.3 53.7 42.9 65.2 48.0 * 55.1 49.2 * * * 42.8 50.1 47.2 42.8 35.8 57.3 42.0 50.3 50.2 47.3 40.6 59.3 46.2 58.3 54.3 46.1 37.7 58.8 * 41.6 49.5 * * * 42.2 49.4 58.8 45.2 38.5 55.5 38.5 39.1 57.0 41.2 31.1 58.5 44.3 52.4 62.6 49.6 39.3 61.1 * 52.8 40.0 * * * 73.6 60.8 49.2 48.6 32.9 49.5 68.4 54.3 45.7 39.4 28.7 51.1 70.7 66.0 51.2 48.1 39.1 53.4 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 24 Table 9. Percentage of Students Reporting Risk Grade 8 Risk Factor Community Domain Low Neighborhood Attachment Community Disorganization Transitions & Mobility Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Perceived Availability of Drugs Perceived Availability of Handguns Family Domain Poor Family Management Family Conflict Family History of Antisocial Behavior Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use School Domain Academic Failure Low Commitment to School Peer-Individual Domain Rebelliousness Early Initiation of ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Perceived Risk of Drug Use Interaction with Antisocial Peers Friend's Use of Drugs Rewards for ASB Depressive Symptoms Intention to Use Drugs Gang Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 41.8 53.3 50.7 43.5 41.8 39.1 45.8 58.6 60.8 46.8 43.6 39.1 44.5 56.1 65.5 44.4 42.8 40.4 40.7 48.2 53.7 37.8 38.1 37.0 52.2 62.0 56.4 54.0 57.0 37.4 52.7 67.8 59.9 52.4 55.7 31.3 56.7 70.3 70.6 55.0 54.2 29.6 46.9 57.6 60.4 42.5 48.8 27.6 61.5 65.2 50.3 51.6 65.0 44.9 59.5 69.5 56.9 48.9 59.4 41.3 60.6 70.2 67.7 51.2 60.9 44.5 49.8 52.3 54.9 34.6 51.3 34.1 53.6 48.2 50.5 46.5 32.8 51.5 56.4 59.0 46.7 32.4 50.3 53.6 49.5 45.9 33.5 47.9 52.2 42.7 48.5 29.1 52.8 39.0 54.3 48.6 48.1 46.4 43.1 54.1 46.8 39.9 53.6 47.1 59.9 55.0 42.1 45.0 42.2 43.2 50.0 41.1 52.3 36.2 52.5 52.9 46.8 43.1 38.4 49.1 40.9 42.0 48.3 41.3 55.0 51.0 45.2 44.8 38.3 38.6 45.9 40.1 54.1 42.2 59.9 44.3 53.3 44.5 48.6 41.1 57.0 49.4 52.3 42.1 59.1 45.3 51.6 40.1 55.8 44.7 41.4 45.0 48.5 44.0 44.1 43.0 43.4 39.2 46.8 48.2 41.4 55.7 59.1 50.0 41.2 55.4 * 27.6 40.2 47.5 51.0 50.3 40.3 56.8 69.6 56.2 55.3 56.2 46.9 34.2 48.0 48.6 43.8 49.8 37.3 52.2 65.8 50.2 51.3 51.9 44.5 29.7 43.8 40.2 35.2 46.2 32.4 45.4 58.4 41.3 48.7 45.7 36.5 26.3 49.8 45.4 53.6 57.2 54.0 54.0 62.0 55.4 32.2 51.7 * 21.0 42.0 47.0 45.6 51.4 40.8 44.5 63.0 50.3 43.5 52.2 48.6 30.9 54.5 59.8 49.4 54.5 44.4 47.4 73.4 51.2 50.3 51.2 53.2 37.6 47.5 42.4 36.6 49.7 36.6 39.2 58.1 43.2 45.0 45.5 44.9 23.9 46.9 48.1 51.2 51.2 45.1 53.2 64.2 44.7 37.1 53.1 * 22.4 39.9 41.8 47.6 40.1 32.1 40.5 60.3 39.2 47.4 45.5 34.4 30.1 44.4 53.3 46.2 47.6 38.7 47.1 65.3 44.8 52.9 44.5 37.0 22.9 44.3 38.8 34.1 45.6 34.6 40.5 52.0 35.9 53.8 38.6 29.9 16.3 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 25 Table 10. Percentage of Students Reporting School Safety Issues Grade 8 Question Response County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 0 days During the past 30 days, on how 1 day many days did you carry a weapon 2-3 days such as a gun, knife, or club on 4-5 days school property? (q43) 6 or more days 93.7 3.4 1.1 0.4 1.4 93.8 2.1 1.2 1.4 1.4 92.7 3.6 1.7 0.8 1.3 93.1 3.1 1.6 0.6 1.6 88.4 4.2 2.0 0.7 4.7 93.1 2.4 1.9 0.6 2.0 90.9 2.0 2.7 0.7 3.8 92.7 2.4 1.5 0.7 2.7 90.7 1.9 0.6 0.0 6.8 95.0 1.6 1.0 0.5 1.8 93.0 0.7 0.7 1.1 4.4 94.0 1.4 0.9 0.6 3.0 During the past 30 days, on how many days did you not go to school because you felt you would be unsafe at school or on your way to or from school? (q41) 0 days 1 day 2-3 days 4-5 days 6 or more days 95.3 2.5 1.5 0.4 0.3 88.3 5.9 3.4 0.5 2.0 87.0 7.1 3.8 0.8 1.4 89.3 6.0 2.8 0.7 1.2 97.1 1.3 0.9 0.0 0.7 89.0 5.8 2.4 0.9 1.9 91.7 3.1 2.8 1.1 1.3 92.2 4.1 2.1 0.5 1.1 95.7 1.2 0.6 1.2 1.2 93.3 2.8 2.3 0.8 0.8 93.8 4.4 1.1 0.0 0.7 95.0 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times has someone threatened or injured you with a weapon such as a gun, knife, or club on school property? (q39) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 84.8 7.7 4.2 1.2 0.4 0.7 0.0 1.0 80.8 9.1 6.1 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.0 80.3 9.2 5.6 1.9 0.4 0.7 0.4 1.5 84.5 7.7 4.2 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.2 89.3 2.7 3.3 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.4 2.2 83.8 7.3 4.7 1.2 1.2 0.2 0.2 1.4 81.6 9.3 4.1 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.0 2.6 86.1 6.7 3.9 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.3 87.7 4.3 3.7 1.8 0.0 1.2 0.0 1.2 87.8 5.7 4.7 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.8 89.2 5.8 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.7 0.0 1.1 90.5 4.4 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times were you in a physical fight on school property? (q40) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 75.9 13.1 7.8 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.8 68.8 16.4 9.5 1.8 0.7 1.1 0.4 1.4 72.2 14.4 7.9 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.5 1.5 75.4 13.1 7.1 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.0 82.1 9.8 6.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.4 80.1 10.0 6.7 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.9 76.7 12.4 7.2 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.4 84.3 8.9 4.4 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 90.2 6.7 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 89.4 5.9 3.6 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 86.5 6.9 4.7 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.0 1.1 91.1 5.5 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 Pinal County 26 Contacts For Prevention Regional Prevention Contacts Arizona Department of Health Services Division of Behavioral Health Services Lisa Shumaker 602-364-4594 www.azdhs.gov/bhs/index.htm Cochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, and Santa Cruz Counties Bill Burnett Community Partnership of Southern Arizona (CPSA) 520-618-8807 Arizona Prevention Resource Center 1-800-432-2772 www.azprevention.org Gila, La Paz, Pinal, and Yuma Counties Linda Weinberg Cenpatico Behavioral Health of Arizona 480-231-7504 Center for Violence Prevention and Community Safety Steve Ballance/Charles Katz 602-543-6174/602-543-6618 steve.ballance@asu.edu/charles.katz@asu.edu Apache, Coconino, Mohave, Navajo, and Yavapai Counties Petrice Post Northern Arizona Regional Behavioral Health Authority (NARBHA) 928-214-2177 Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) http://prevention.samhsa.gov Maricopa County Juan Aristizabal ValueOptions 602-9145844 Governor’s Office of Children, Youth, and Families 602-542-4043 http://www.governor.state.az.us/cyf/index.html Gila River Tribe Marnie McNicholas 602-528-7106 Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities U.S. Department of Education www.ed.gov/offices/OESE/SDFS Pasqua Yaqui Tribe Jill Fabian 520-879-6067 Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Paula Burns 602-266-8299 ext. 351 www.problemgambling.az.gov Navajo Nation Maxine Nakai 928-871-7946 Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMSHA) www.samhsa.gov Colorado River Indian Tribes Iris Leivas 928-669-6577 Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention http://ojjdp.ncjrs.org/ Other State and National Contacts: Western Regional Center for the Application of Prevention Technologies (CAPT) www.westcapt.org Arizona Criminal Justice Commission Michelle Neitch/ Phillip Stevenson 602-364-1173/602-364-1157 www.azcjc.gov Bach Harrison, L.L.C. R. Steven Harrison, Ph.D. 801-359-2064 www.bach-harrison.com Arizona Department of Education Student Services Division www.ade.az.gov 27 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Santa Cruz County REPORT PROVIDED BY: Arizona Criminal Justice Commission 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Shining Light on Arizona Youth THIS REPORT IS PROVIDED BY THE Arizona Criminal Justice Commission IN PARTNERSHIP WITH: Administrative Office of the Courts Arizona Department of Education Arizona Department of Health Services Arizona Department of Juvenile Corrections Arizona Juvenile Justice Commission Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Arizona State University Governor’s Division for Substance Abuse Policy Governor’s Office for Children, Youth, and Families 2 Introduction 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Summary for CONTENTS: the gender and ethnicity categories will often be less than the total number of students. Introduction: • Demographics • Risk & Protective Framework Santa Cruz County This report summarizes some of the county-specific findings from the 2006 Arizona Youth Survey administered to 8th, 10th and 12th grade students during the spring of 2006. The survey was designed to assess school safety, adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention Tools for Assessment and Planning How to Read the Charts Data Charts: • Risk & Protective Factor Profiles • Substance Use & Antisocial Behavior • School Safety All schools in Arizona are invited to participate in the survey, and recruitment efforts were successful in obtaining participation by schools in all of the 15 counties. Careful planning and uniform administration of the survey have resulted in survey data that are valid and representative of the students in grades 8, 10, and 12 in Arizona. Risk and Protective Factor Definitions Data Tables Contacts for Prevention Table 1 contains the characteristics of the students who completed the survey in Santa Cruz County and the State. Because not all students answer all of the questions, the number of students in Table 1. Characteristics of Participants Student Totals County 2002 Total Students Grade 8 10 12 Gender Male Female Ethnicity African American American Indian Asian Hispanic Pacific Islander White Other County 2004 County 2006 Number Percent Number Percent Number 409 100 1328 100 161 39.4 509 142 34.7 444 106 25.9 196 198 State 2006 Number Percent 1355 100 60401 100 38.3 341 25.2 26872 44.5 33.4 553 40.8 19581 32.4 375 28.2 461 34.0 13948 23.1 49.7 675 51.3 638 47.8 28381 48.2 50.3 641 48.7 697 52.2 30505 51.8 2 0.5 6 0.5 6 0.5 2592 4.4 2 0.5 5 0.4 8 0.6 3394 5.8 2 0.5 2 0.2 8 0.6 1341 2.3 360 91.6 1211 93.7 1230 92.6 21376 36.5 * * Percent 4 0.3 2 457 0.8 27 6.9 64 5.0 53 0.2 4.0 26761 45.7 n/a n/a n/a n/a 21 1.6 * Pacific Islander was grouped with Asian in 2002 3 2696 4.6 Many states and local agencies have adopted the Risk and Protective Factor Model to guide their prevention efforts. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention is based on the simple premise that to prevent a problem from happening, we need to identify the factors that increase the risk of that problem developing and then find ways to reduce the risks. Just as medical researchers have found risk factors for heart disease such as diets high in fat, lack of exercise, and smoking; a team of researchers at the University of Washington have defined a set of risk factors for youth problem behaviors. Risk factors are characteristics of school, community, and family environments, as well as characteristics of students and their peer groups that are known to predict increased likelihood of drug use, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violent behavior among youth. Protective factors exert a positive influence or buffer against the negative influence of risk, thus reducing the likelihood that adolescents will engage in problem behaviors. Dr. J. David Hawkins, Dr. Richard F. Catalano, and their colleagues at the University of Washington, Social Development Research Group have investigated the relationship between risk and protective factors and youth problem behavior. For example, they have found that children who live in families with high levels of conflict are more likely to become involved in problem behaviors such as delinquency and drug use than children who live in families with low levels of family conflict. 2006 Prevention Needs Assessment Risk and Protective Factors The chart at the right shows the links between the 19 risk factors and the five problem behaviors. The check marks have been placed in the chart to indicate where at least two well designed, published research studies have shown a link between the risk factor and the problem behavior. 9 9 Community laws and norms favorable toward drug use, firearms and crime 9 9 9 Transitions and mobility 9 9 Low neighborhood attachment and community disorganization 9 9 Extreme economic and social deprivation 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Academic failure in elementary school 9 9 9 9 9 Lack of commitment to school 9 9 9 9 9 Early and persistent antisocial behavior 9 9 9 9 9 Alienation and rebelliousness 9 9 Friends who engage in the problem behavior 9 9 Gang involvement 9 9 Favorable attitudes toward the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Early initiation of the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Constitutional factors 9 9 Violence 9 School Drop-Out Availability of drugs and firearms RISK FACTORS Teen Pregnancy Delinquency Risk- and protective-focused drug abuse prevention is also based on the work of Hawkins, Catalano, and their team of researchers at the University of Washington in Seattle. Beginning in the early 1980s the group researched adolescent problem behaviors and identified risk factors for adolescent drug abuse. Not surprisingly, they found that a relationship exists between adolescent drug abuse, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violence, and were able to identify risk factors for these problems. PROBLEM BEHAVIORS Substance Abuse Research on risk and protective factors has important implications for prevention efforts. The premise of this approach is that in order to promote positive youth development and prevent problem behaviors, it is necessary to address those factors that can lead to the problem. By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, specific risk factors that are elevated and widespread can be identified and targeted by preventive interventions that also promote related protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as an elevated risk factor in a community, then mentoring and tutoring interventions can be provided that will improve academic performance, thus reducing the level of the risk factors and decreasing the likelihood of problem behavior. Community 9 Media portrayals of violence 9 9 Family Family history of the problem behavior Family management problems Family conflict Favorable parental attitudes and involvement in the problem behavior 9 School Individual/Peer 4 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 The Arizona Youth Survey as a Tool for Building a Strategic Prevention Framework The Prevention Needs Assessment Survey is an important part of the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) Strategic Prevention Framework Process. CSAP created this 5-step model to guide states and communities through the process of creating planned, data-driven, effective, and sustainable prevention programming. The information presented in this section is taken from CSAP’s Strategic Prevention Framework State Incentive Grant description. Step 1: Profile Population Needs, Resources, and Readiness to Address the Problems and Gaps in Service Delivery • • Community Needs Assessment: The results of this survey (presented in this Profile Report and in results reported at the State level) will identify needs for prevention. States should consider administering a survey to assess adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior, and many of the risk and protective factors that predict adolescent problem behaviors. While planning prevention services, communities are urged to collect and use multiple data sources, including archival and social indicators, assessment of existing resources, key informant interviews, as well as survey data. Community Resource Assessment: It is likely that existing agencies and programs are already addressing some of the prioritized risk and protective factors. It is important to identify the assets and resources already available in the community and the gaps in services and capacity. Community Readiness Assessment: It is very important for states and communities to have the commitment and support of their members and ample resources to implement effective prevention efforts. Therefore, the readiness and capacity of communities and resources to act should also be assessed. Step 2: Mobilize and/or Build Capacity to Address Needs: Engagement of key stakeholders at the state and community levels is critical to plan and implement successful prevention activities that will be sustained over time. Some of the key tasks to mobilize the state and communities are to work with leaders and stakeholders to build coalitions, provide training, leverage resources, and help sustain prevention activities. Step 3: Develop a Comprehensive Strategic Plan: States and communities should develop a strategic plan that articulates not only a vision for the prevention activities, but also strategies for organizing and implementing prevention efforts. The strategic plan should be based on documented needs, build on identified resources/strengths, set measurable objectives, and identify how progress will be monitored. Plans should be adjusted with ongoing needs assessment and monitoring activities. The issue of sustainability should be kept in mind throughout each step of planning and implementation. Step 4: Implement Evidence-based Prevention Programs and Infrastructure Development Activities: By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, prevention programs can be implemented that will reduce the elevated risk factors and increase the protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as a prioritized risk factor in a community, then mentoring, tutoring, and increased opportunities and rewards for classroom participation can be provided to improve academic performance. After completing Steps 1, 2, and 3, communities will be able to choose prevention programs that fit the Strategic Framework of the community, match the population served, and are scientifically proven to work. The Western Center for the Application of Prevention Technology website (www.westcapt.org) contains a search engine for identifying Best Practice Programs. Step 5: Monitor Process, Evaluate Effectiveness, Sustain Effective Programs/Activities, and Improve or Replace Those That Fail: Finally, ongoing monitoring and evaluation are essential to determine if the outcomes desired are achieved and to assess program effectiveness, assess service delivery quality, identify successes, encourage needed improvement, and promote sustainability of effective policies, programs, and practices. 5 Tools for Assessment and Planning School and Community Improvement Using Survey Data Why the Arizona Youth Survey? Data from the Arizona Youth Survey can be used to help school and community planners assess current conditions and prioritize areas of greatest need. Each risk and protective factor can be linked to specific types of interventions that have been shown to be effective in either reducing risk(s) or enhancing protection(s). The steps outlined here will help your county and community make key decisions regarding allocation of resources, how and when to address specific needs, and which strategies are most effective and known to produce results. What are the numbers telling you? Review the charts and data tables presented in this report. Using the table below, note your findings as you discuss the following questions. • Which 3-5 risk factors appear to be higher than you would want? • Which 3-5 protective factors appear to be lower than you would want? • Which levels of 30-day drug use are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which substances are your students using the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable usage levels? • Which levels of antisocial behaviors are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which behaviors are your students exhibiting the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable behavior levels? How to decide if a rate is “unacceptable.” • • • Use these data for planning. • • • MEASURE Look across the charts – which items stand out as either much higher or much lower than the other? Compare your data with statewide, and national data – differences of 5% between local and other data are probably significant. Determine the standards and values held within your community – For example: Is it acceptable in your community for a percentage of high school students to drink alcohol regularly as long as that percentage is lower than the overall state rate? Substance use and antisocial behavior data – raise awareness about the problems and promote dialogue. Risk and protective factor data – identify exactly where the community needs to take action. Promising approaches – talk with resources listed on the last page of this report for ideas about programs that have proven effective in addressing the risk factors that are high in your community, and improving the protective factors that are low. Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate #1 #2 #3 #4 Risk Factors Protective Factors Substance Use Antisocial Behaviors 6 Practical Implications of the AYS No Child Left Behind The Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities section of the No Child Left Behind Act (NCLB) requires that schools and communities use six Principles of Effectiveness to guide their decisions and spending on federally funded prevention and intervention programs. First introduced in 1998 by the Department of Education, the Principles of Effectiveness outline a data-driven process for ensuring that prevention programs achieve the desired results. The Principles of Effectiveness stipulate that local prevention programs and activities must: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. be based on a needs assessment using objective data regarding the incidence of drug use and violence, target specific performance objectives, be based on scientific research and be proven to reduce violence or drug use, be based on the analysis of predictor variables such as risk and protective factors, include meaningful and on-going parental input in program implementation, and have periodic evaluations of established performance measures. The results of the Arizona Youth Survey presented in this report can help schools and communities comply with the NCLB Act. The Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior charts provide information related to Principle 1 above. The Risk and Protective Factor charts provide information related to Principle 4. Overall, using the Risk and Protective factors planning framework helps schools meet all of the Principles of Effectiveness, and thereby assists schools in complying with the NCLB Act. How to Read the Charts: Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts There are four types of charts presented in this report: 1) substance use and antisocial behavior charts, 2) risk factor charts, 3) protective factor charts, and 4) school safety charts. All the charts show the results of the AYS, and the actual percentages from the charts are presented in Tables 3 through 10. • 30-day use is a measure of the percentage of students who used the substance at least once in the 30 days prior to taking the survey and is a more sensitive indicator of the level of current use of the substance. • Binge drinking and a Pack or more of cigarettes per day are measures of heavy use of alcohol and tobacco. Binge drinking is defined as having five or more drinks in a row during the two weeks prior to taking the survey. • Antisocial behavior (ASB) is a measure of the percentage of students who report any involvement with the eight antisocial behaviors listed in the charts in the past year. In the charts, antisocial behavior will often be abbreviated as ASB. • Dots are used on the charts to show the overall average of all of the youth in each grade who participated in the survey for each behavior. More information about the dots is contained on the following page. Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts This report contains information about alcohol, tobacco and other drug use (referred to as ATOD use throughout this report) and other problem behaviors of students. The bars on each chart represent the percentage of students in that grade who reported the behavior. The four sections in the charts represent different types of problem behaviors. The definitions of each of the types of behavior are provided below. • Ever-used is a measure of the percentage of students who tried the particular substance at least once in their lifetime and is used to show the percentage of students who have had experience with a particular substance. 7 How to Read the Charts: Risk and Protective Factor and School Safety Charts Risk and Protective Factor Charts There are three components of the risk and protective factor charts that are key to understanding the information that the charts contain: 1) the cutpoints for the risk and protective factor scales, 2) the dots that indicate the state values, and 3) the dashed lines that indicate a more “national” value. the progress of prevention programs over time. For example, if the percentage of youth at risk for family conflict in a community prior to implementing a community-wide family/parenting program was 60% and then decreased to 45% one year after the program was implemented, the program would be viewed as helping to reduce family conflict. Dots Cut-Points Before the percentage of youth at risk on a given scale could be calculated, a scale value or cut-point needed to be determined that would separate the atrisk group from the not-at-risk group. The Prevention Needs Assessment (PNA) survey was designed to assess adolescent substance use, antisocial behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Arizona Youth Survey, and surveys designed for other states and areas, follow the PNA format and have the same goal of gathering information on the prevention needs of students, schools, communities, and states. Since PNA surveys have been given to over 200,000 youth nationwide, it was possible to select two groups of youth, one that was more at risk for problem behaviors and another group that was less at risk. A cut-point score was then determined for each risk and protective factor scale that best divided the youth from the two groups into their appropriate group, more at-risk or less at-risk. The criteria for selecting the more at-risk and the less atrisk groups included academic grades (the more atrisk group received “D” and “F” grades, the less atrisk group received “A” and “B” grades), ATOD use (the more at-risk group had more regular use, the less at-risk group had no drug use and use of alcohol or tobacco on only a few occasions), and antisocial behavior (the more at-risk group had two or more serious delinquent acts in the past year, the less atrisk group had no serious delinquent acts). The cut-points that were determined by analyzing the results of the more at-risk and less at-risk groups will remain constant and will be used to produce the profiles for future surveys. Since the cut-points for each scale will remain fixed, the percentage of youth above the cut-point on a scale (at-risk) will provide a method for evaluating The dots on the charts represent the percentage of all of the youth surveyed from Arizona who reported ‘elevated risk’ or ‘elevated protection’. The comparison to the state-wide sample provides additional information for your community in determining the relative importance of each risk or protective factor level. Scanning across the charts, you can easily determine which factors are most (or least) prevalent for your community. This is the first step in identifying the levels of risk and protection that are operating in your community and which factors your community may choose to address. Dashed Line Levels of risk and protection in your community also can be compared to a more national sample. The dashed line on each risk and protective factor chart represents the percentage of youth at risk or with protection for the seven state sample upon which the cut-points were developed. The seven states included in the norm group were Colorado, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Oregon, Utah, and Washington. All the states have a mix of urban and rural students. Again, brief definitions of the risk and protective factors are provided following the profile charts. For more information about risk and protective factors, please refer to the resources listed on the last page of this report under Contacts for Prevention. School Safety Charts The school safety profile charts contain the percentages of students who felt unsafe at school or on the way to school, were threatened or injured with a weapon at school, were in a physical fight at school, or carried a weapon to school. The complete questions and values for each response option can be seen in Table 10. 8 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Santa Cruz County Student Survey, Grade 8 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 9 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Santa Cruz County Student Survey, Grade 8 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 10 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Santa Cruz County Student Survey, Grade 10 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 11 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Santa Cruz County Student Survey, Grade 10 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 12 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Santa Cruz County Student Survey, Grade 12 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 13 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Santa Cruz County Student Survey, Grade 12 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 14 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Santa Cruz County Student Survey, Grade 8 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 15 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Santa Cruz County Student Survey, Grade 10 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 16 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Santa Cruz County Student Survey, Grade 12 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 17 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Santa Cruz County Student Survey, Grade 8 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 18 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Santa Cruz County Student Survey, Grade 10 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 19 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Santa Cruz County Student Survey, Grade 12 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 20 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions Community Domain Risk Factors Community and Personal Transitions & Mobility Neighborhoods with high rates of residential mobility have been shown to have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling, while children who experience frequent residential moves and stressful life transitions have been shown to have higher risk for school failure, delinquency, and drug use. Community Disorganization Research has shown that neighborhoods with high population density, lack of natural surveillance of public places, physical deterioration, and high rates of adult crime also have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling. Low Neighborhood Attachment A low level of bonding to the neighborhood is related to higher levels of juvenile crime and drug selling. Laws and Norms Favorable Toward Drug Use Research has shown that legal restrictions on alcohol and tobacco use, such as raising the legal drinking age, restricting smoking in public places, and increased taxation have been followed by decreases in consumption. Moreover, national surveys of high school seniors have shown that shifts in normative attitudes toward drug use have preceded changes in prevalence of use. Perceived Availability of Drugs and Handguns The availability of cigarettes, alcohol, marijuana, and other illegal drugs has been related to the use of these substances by adolescents. The availability of handguns is also related to a higher risk of crime and substance use by adolescents. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When opportunities are available in a community for positive participation, children are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement Rewards for positive participation in activities helps children bond to the community, thus lowering their risk for substance use. Family Domain Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Risk Factors When children are raised in a family with a history of problem behaviors (e.g., violence or ATOD use), the children are more likely to engage in these behaviors. Children raised in families high in conflict, whether or not the child is directly involved in the conflict, appear at risk for both delinquency and drug use. Parental Attitudes Favorable In families where parents use illegal drugs, are heavy users of alcohol, or are tolerant of children’s use, Toward Antisocial Behavior & children are more likely to become drug abusers during adolescence. The risk is further increased if parents involve children in their own drug (or alcohol) using behavior, for example, asking the child to Drugs light the parent’s cigarette or get the parent a beer from the refrigerator. Poor Family Management Parents’ use of inconsistent and/or unusually harsh or severe punishment with their children places them at higher risk for substance use and other problem behaviors. Also, parents’ failure to provide clear expectations and to monitor their children’s behavior makes it more likely that they will engage in drug abuse whether or not there are family drug problems. Protective Factors Family Attachment Young people who feel that they are a valued part of their family are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Opportunities for Positive Involvement Young people who are exposed to more opportunities to participate meaningfully in the responsibilities and activities of the family are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When parents, siblings, and other family members praise, encourage, and attend to things done well by their child, children are less likely to engage in substance use and problem behaviors. School Domain Risk Factors Academic Failure Beginning in the late elementary grades (grades 4-6) academic failure increases the risk of both drug abuse and delinquency. It appears that the experience of failure itself, for whatever reasons, increases the risk of problem behaviors. 21 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions (Continued) Low Commitment to School Surveys of high school seniors have shown that the use of hallucinogens, cocaine, heroin, stimulants, and sedatives or non-medically prescribed tranquilizers is significantly lower among students who expect to attend college than among those who do not. Factors such as liking school, spending time on homework, and perceiving the coursework as relevant are also negatively related to drug use. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When young people are given more opportunities to participate meaningfully in important activities at school, they are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When young people are recognized and rewarded for their contributions at school, they are less likely to be involved in substance use and other problem behaviors. Peer-Individual Risk Factors Early Initiation of Antisocial Behavior and Drug Use Early onset of drug use predicts misuse of drugs. The earlier the onset of any drug use, the greater the involvement in other drug use and the greater frequency of use. Onset of drug use prior to the age of 15 is a consistent predictor of drug abuse, and a later age of onset of drug use has been shown to predict lower drug involvement and a greater probability of discontinuation of use. During the elementary school years, most children express anti-drug, anti-crime, and pro-social attitudes Attitudes Favorable Toward Antisocial Behavior and Drug and have difficulty imagining why people use drugs or engage in antisocial behaviors. However, in middle school, as more youth are exposed to others who use drugs and engage in antisocial behavior, Use their attitudes often shift toward greater acceptance of these behaviors. Youth who express positive attitudes toward drug use and antisocial behavior are more likely to engage in a variety of problem behaviors, including drug use. Friends' Use of Drugs Young people who associate with peers who engage in alcohol or substance abuse are much more likely to engage in the same behavior. Peer drug use has consistently been found to be among the strongest predictors of substance use among youth. Even when young people come from well-managed families and do not experience other risk factors, spending time with friends who use drugs greatly increases the risk of that problem developing. Interaction with Antisocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in problem behaviors are at higher risk for engaging in antisocial behavior themselves. Perceived Risk of Drug Use Young people who do not perceive drug use to be risky are far more likely to engage in drug use. Rewards for Antisocial Behavior Young people who receive rewards for their antisocial behavior are at higher risk for engaging further in antisocial behavior and substance use. Rebelliousness Young people who do not feel part of society, are not bound by rules, don’t believe in trying to be successful or responsible, or who take an active rebellious stance toward society, are at higher risk of abusing drugs. In addition, high tolerance for deviance, a strong need for independence and normlessness have all been linked with drug use. Intention to Use ATODs Many prevention programs focus on reducing the intention of participants to use ATODs later in life. Reduction of intention to use ATODs often follows successful prevention interventions. Depressive Symptoms Young people who are depressed are overrepresented in the criminal justice system and are more likely to use drugs. Survey research and other studies have shown a link between depression and other youth problem behaviors. Gang Involvement Youth who belong to gangs are more at risk for antisocial behavior and drug use. Protective Factors Religiosity Young people who regularly attend religious services are less likely to engage in problem behaviors. Social Skills Young people who are socially competent and engage in positive interpersonal relations with their peers are less likely to use drugs and engage in other problem behaviors. Belief in the Moral Order Young people who have a belief in what is “right” or “wrong” are less likely to use drugs. Prosocial Involvement Participation in positive school and community activities helps provide protection for youth. Prosocial Norms Young people who view working hard in school and the community are less likely to engage in problem behavior. Involvement with Prosocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in prosocial behavior are more protected from engaging in antisocial behavior and substance use. 22 Table 3. Number of Students Who Completed the Survey Grade 8 Total Students County County County 2002 2004 2006 161 509 341 Grade 10 State 2006 26872 County County County 2002 2004 2006 142 444 553 Table 4. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During Their Lifetime Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 51.0 59.2 53.3 50.4 81.3 80.2 78.6 34.0 36.6 34.1 30.8 61.9 62.3 55.7 4.4 8.0 9.9 8.0 8.5 14.3 12.5 8.9 12.5 11.7 18.3 25.2 30.7 24.4 10.1 14.7 16.5 15.2 11.3 13.1 12.8 1.9 2.4 1.3 2.1 1.4 5.7 3.6 1.9 3.9 4.2 3.6 7.2 10.5 10.2 3.8 n/a n/a n/a 2.8 n/a n/a n/a n/a 1.6 2.6 n/a n/a 3.1 n/a 3.9 n/a n/a n/a 6.4 n/a n/a n/a 3.8 3.4 n/a n/a 4.1 1.3 1.0 1.3 1.4 2.8 1.4 1.9 5.1 n/a n/a n/a 3.6 n/a n/a n/a 11.9 10.4 10.0 n/a 14.5 11.3 2.0 2.1 1.0 1.9 4.3 5.1 4.3 n/a n/a 1.9 1.6 n/a n/a 2.6 n/a n/a 7.3 9.8 n/a n/a 9.9 18.0 30.5 33.7 36.2 30.3 42.5 41.9 Table 5. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During the Past 30 Days* Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 2002 Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 33.6 12.9 4.3 5.7 5.8 2.9 2.2 2.9 n/a n/a n/a 1.4 2.9 n/a 1.5 n/a n/a 11.8 2004 25.4 14.1 2.5 5.6 5.5 1.6 1.8 n/a n/a 2.5 n/a 0.6 n/a 7.3 1.2 n/a n/a 17.4 2006 28.0 9.1 5.3 6.4 7.7 1.6 1.6 n/a 1.3 n/a 1.6 1.0 n/a 5.7 0.7 1.6 4.8 21.0 2006 24.1 10.5 2.7 8.5 6.2 1.0 1.7 n/a 1.0 n/a 1.5 0.7 n/a 4.5 0.8 0.8 4.5 19.7 2002 2004 51.5 16.3 5.9 11.9 5.2 0.7 2.3 0.7 n/a n/a n/a 2.2 3.0 n/a 2.2 n/a n/a 17.3 50.9 30.6 4.5 11.3 4.5 2.3 5.9 n/a n/a 2.1 n/a 0.7 n/a 7.3 0.9 n/a n/a 20.5 2006 49.7 26.1 5.1 10.8 4.3 2.7 5.9 n/a 0.8 n/a 2.5 1.4 n/a 7.3 1.6 1.2 5.4 24.8 Grade 12 State 2006 19581 County County County 2002 2004 2006 106 375 461 State 2006 13948 Grade 12 State 2006 67.6 43.8 11.8 34.0 11.9 4.1 7.6 n/a 5.0 n/a 7.1 2.1 n/a 14.3 3.4 2.0 16.0 47.0 County County County 2002 2004 2006 84.8 69.2 8.6 47.6 3.8 12.3 24.8 6.7 n/a n/a n/a 1.9 5.7 n/a 8.5 n/a n/a 50.9 87.6 68.3 13.4 34.8 6.2 3.3 13.6 n/a n/a 3.0 n/a 1.9 n/a 15.2 4.9 n/a n/a 42.4 85.1 63.5 15.0 31.7 8.1 3.4 14.7 n/a 2.3 n/a 4.3 1.4 n/a 11.2 3.0 0.7 9.8 40.1 State 2006 74.5 50.0 15.6 42.6 9.8 5.6 11.6 n/a 6.6 n/a 8.5 2.8 n/a 17.4 4.4 2.2 20.0 52.8 Grade 12 State 2006 39.2 17.1 4.0 15.7 3.1 1.7 2.9 n/a 1.7 n/a 2.9 0.7 n/a 6.6 1.0 1.0 7.3 25.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 63.3 23.5 4.1 22.4 1.0 2.0 9.2 2.0 n/a n/a n/a 1.0 1.0 n/a 3.1 n/a n/a 24.5 60.5 35.5 6.3 13.4 1.9 3.0 7.4 n/a n/a 2.2 n/a 0.8 n/a 8.4 1.9 n/a n/a 20.8 61.2 31.2 4.4 12.1 1.6 1.1 5.6 n/a 1.4 n/a 1.4 0.0 n/a 4.5 0.7 0.2 3.6 21.0 State 2006 47.0 21.8 5.4 18.1 1.7 1.7 3.3 n/a 1.4 n/a 2.6 0.8 n/a 7.1 0.9 1.0 8.1 26.6 n/a - Indicates a question that was not asked in the 2002, 2004, or 2006 Arizona Youth Surveys. ATOD questions have differed slightly over the years. The differences are as follows. On how many occasions (if any) have you: 1 used methamphetamines (meth, crystal, crank)? [2002] used methamphetamines (meth, speed, crank, or crystal meth)? [2006] 2 3 used stimulants (amphetamines, meth, crystal, crank) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004] used stimulants, other than methamphetamines (such as amphetamines, Ritalin or Dexedrine) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2006] 4 5 used quaaludes, barbiturates or tranquilizers? [2002] used sedatives (tranquilizers, such as Valium or Xanax, barbiturates or sleeping pills) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004, 2006] 6 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. Note: 2006 'Any Drug' use does not include reported use of steroids or prescription drugs in order to make the 2006 results comparable to previous surveys. Further, the 2002 lifetime use data presented here is derived from a question asking students to report how old they were when they first used each substance. The 2002 lifetime use value reflects those students who indicated any age of first use. 23 Table 6. Percentage of Students With Heavy Use of Alcohol and Cigarettes Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 Binge Drinking 15.9 17.7 22.7 13.4 29.6 34.6 30.9 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day 1.4 0.9 1.3 1.0 1.5 2.8 3.1 Table 7. Percentage of Students With Antisocial Behavior in the Past Year Grade 8 Grade 10 Behavior County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 Suspended from School 17.2 23.9 22.3 Drunk or High at School 3.8 11.9 11.1 Sold Illegal Drugs 1.9 5.1 4.7 Stolen a Vehicle 3.8 6.3 6.8 Been Arrested 5.1 9.2 10.0 Attacked to Harm 7.7 16.4 20.0 Carried a Handgun 5.1 7.8 8.0 Handgun to School 1.3 1.8 2.0 Table 8. Percentage of Students Reporting Protection Grade 8 Protective Factor Community Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Family Domain Family Attachment Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement School Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Peer-Individual Domain Religiosity Social Skills Belief in the Moral Order Interaction with Prosocial Peers Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 19.8 13.0 4.9 4.6 8.3 17.9 7.6 1.6 2002 9.6 12.5 7.3 3.7 5.2 11.9 7.3 4.4 2004 14.4 17.7 8.2 4.3 8.9 14.4 7.8 1.1 2006 14.6 15.5 7.2 5.7 9.9 13.5 6.7 1.7 Grade 12 State 2006 22.4 2.4 County County County 2002 2004 2006 36.7 1.0 County County County 2002 2004 2006 40.9 3.3 28.2 3.9 Grade 12 State 2006 15.5 21.1 9.1 4.7 9.3 16.5 7.5 1.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 13.0 19.0 12.0 1.0 11.0 9.0 6.0 0.0 Grade 10 State 2006 43.6 2.8 State 2006 15.3 19.5 7.3 1.6 9.9 12.1 4.0 0.8 6.6 18.4 6.1 2.1 7.2 11.9 5.3 1.6 State 2006 9.4 21.4 9.8 3.1 7.8 13.2 7.0 1.4 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 42.1 40.8 40.0 29.2 46.5 30.8 38.2 30.4 32.3 32.8 32.8 36.8 42.9 34.6 37.1 36.3 34.4 45.8 40.8 36.1 40.3 35.3 37.6 35.2 50.0 57.6 58.5 49.3 61.1 58.3 48.9 58.0 61.0 48.7 57.4 60.6 51.6 64.6 57.7 50.9 57.1 61.5 46.2 54.5 54.7 44.1 53.0 54.9 63.5 59.4 59.4 62.9 70.8 64.3 62.7 63.0 64.6 57.1 55.9 56.9 55.7 61.4 55.9 53.0 50.9 48.1 59.1 50.7 49.6 46.8 55.7 60.1 60.3 61.8 62.9 62.3 65.1 51.9 60.4 44.0 65.0 51.3 65.2 48.0 * 65.1 53.2 * * * 54.9 60.2 49.5 51.4 37.2 63.7 58.2 63.1 53.3 51.4 33.7 59.6 46.2 58.3 54.3 46.1 37.7 58.8 * 49.6 53.6 * * * 52.4 48.9 61.3 50.7 35.6 62.0 52.3 49.8 62.6 49.9 33.4 58.2 44.3 52.4 62.6 49.6 39.3 61.1 * 68.7 47.1 * * * 84.9 65.8 52.7 54.9 36.5 56.9 83.2 65.2 53.8 57.3 40.0 53.3 70.7 66.0 51.2 48.1 39.1 53.4 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 24 Table 9. Percentage of Students Reporting Risk Grade 8 Risk Factor Community Domain Low Neighborhood Attachment Community Disorganization Transitions & Mobility Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Perceived Availability of Drugs Perceived Availability of Handguns Family Domain Poor Family Management Family Conflict Family History of Antisocial Behavior Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use School Domain Academic Failure Low Commitment to School Peer-Individual Domain Rebelliousness Early Initiation of ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Perceived Risk of Drug Use Interaction with Antisocial Peers Friend's Use of Drugs Rewards for ASB Depressive Symptoms Intention to Use Drugs Gang Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 36.4 36.7 31.7 30.8 20.7 25.7 43.2 47.2 46.5 39.3 39.1 34.7 43.8 51.8 47.1 37.9 35.3 32.8 40.7 48.2 53.7 37.8 38.1 37.0 50.4 50.8 34.1 39.8 47.3 25.4 47.4 54.8 48.3 44.8 56.7 22.1 43.7 56.4 49.8 42.7 49.0 20.2 46.9 57.6 60.4 42.5 48.8 27.6 41.7 33.3 43.8 32.0 53.1 21.9 46.2 49.4 43.9 35.1 60.5 29.9 42.0 51.6 42.1 40.4 54.6 22.9 49.8 52.3 54.9 34.6 51.3 34.1 40.7 43.2 29.8 30.6 19.0 49.1 54.2 44.8 50.0 27.6 50.7 49.3 39.5 45.7 27.8 47.9 52.2 42.7 48.5 29.1 41.2 31.1 36.2 50.4 45.7 38.9 34.6 47.2 47.5 41.9 45.1 39.0 38.8 52.1 47.6 45.0 42.2 43.2 50.0 41.1 38.5 30.2 37.5 43.8 43.2 34.8 37.7 41.6 45.6 44.9 36.7 34.0 33.4 44.4 45.2 44.8 38.3 38.6 45.9 40.1 47.3 23.9 56.4 33.6 54.4 30.9 48.6 41.1 63.0 38.6 60.4 32.7 56.7 32.1 51.6 40.1 51.5 23.8 57.5 37.1 50.4 29.4 44.1 43.0 34.8 25.9 28.9 31.2 29.9 42.8 40.9 24.2 30.5 49.7 * 18.5 46.4 40.0 38.0 46.5 34.3 42.9 67.9 42.9 47.0 56.2 42.5 36.1 42.8 42.5 36.4 42.9 30.4 45.0 58.0 43.5 44.7 54.2 39.6 38.1 43.8 40.2 35.2 46.2 32.4 45.4 58.4 41.3 48.7 45.7 36.5 26.3 52.5 26.4 35.3 57.9 43.2 41.7 52.5 40.7 25.0 52.2 * 22.6 36.1 35.9 38.0 55.1 43.5 39.5 62.9 51.9 41.4 57.5 49.4 34.1 49.7 38.0 38.5 50.6 42.0 30.4 56.8 46.4 46.7 46.1 52.7 32.4 47.5 42.4 36.6 49.7 36.6 39.2 58.1 43.2 45.0 45.5 44.9 23.9 32.7 40.4 40.0 50.9 41.5 36.7 62.9 48.6 27.3 41.4 * 13.9 35.4 40.9 34.1 48.5 34.0 35.1 59.5 41.8 56.4 45.4 29.6 17.1 45.5 33.5 34.4 44.3 38.3 34.8 46.7 37.5 58.1 41.5 32.7 15.3 44.3 38.8 34.1 45.6 34.6 40.5 52.0 35.9 53.8 38.6 29.9 16.3 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 25 Table 10. Percentage of Students Reporting School Safety Issues Grade 8 Question Response County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 0 days During the past 30 days, on how 1 day many days did you carry a weapon 2-3 days such as a gun, knife, or club on 4-5 days school property? (q43) 6 or more days 96.2 1.3 1.3 0.0 1.3 92.2 3.6 1.6 0.8 1.8 91.6 3.0 1.8 1.5 2.1 93.1 3.1 1.6 0.6 1.6 95.0 2.1 2.1 0.7 0.0 92.5 1.8 2.5 0.9 2.3 93.4 2.4 1.3 0.4 2.6 92.7 2.4 1.5 0.7 2.7 98.1 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.8 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.8 94.5 1.8 1.8 0.7 1.3 94.0 1.4 0.9 0.6 3.0 During the past 30 days, on how many days did you not go to school because you felt you would be unsafe at school or on your way to or from school? (q41) 0 days 1 day 2-3 days 4-5 days 6 or more days 92.9 5.1 1.9 0.0 0.0 85.0 8.6 3.6 1.4 1.4 84.9 6.6 4.2 0.9 3.3 89.3 6.0 2.8 0.7 1.2 95.0 3.5 1.4 0.0 0.0 88.9 5.7 3.2 0.5 1.8 88.2 5.9 3.5 0.7 1.7 92.2 4.1 2.1 0.5 1.1 97.1 0.0 2.9 0.0 0.0 94.9 2.2 1.3 0.8 0.8 94.5 2.6 1.3 0.7 0.9 95.0 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times has someone threatened or injured you with a weapon such as a gun, knife, or club on school property? (q39) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 92.5 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 80.5 11.8 3.8 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 82.7 7.0 4.0 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.3 3.3 84.5 7.7 4.2 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.2 87.9 7.1 3.5 0.7 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 84.6 6.6 5.7 1.4 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.9 87.5 6.1 4.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 86.1 6.7 3.9 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.3 94.3 0.0 2.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.0 89.0 7.5 2.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 91.9 4.0 2.9 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.2 90.5 4.4 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times were you in a physical fight on school property? (q40) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 80.4 12.0 5.7 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 65.1 18.0 9.4 4.2 1.0 0.6 0.6 1.0 62.0 20.1 9.3 4.2 0.6 1.5 0.3 2.1 75.4 13.1 7.1 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.0 84.4 10.6 2.1 1.4 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.7 77.7 12.6 7.7 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 75.6 11.6 8.6 2.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.1 84.3 8.9 4.4 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 90.6 4.7 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 86.4 9.3 2.1 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.8 0.5 88.1 7.3 2.9 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 91.1 5.5 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 Santa Cruz County 26 Contacts For Prevention Regional Prevention Contacts Arizona Department of Health Services Division of Behavioral Health Services Lisa Shumaker 602-364-4594 www.azdhs.gov/bhs/index.htm Cochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, and Santa Cruz Counties Bill Burnett Community Partnership of Southern Arizona (CPSA) 520-618-8807 Arizona Prevention Resource Center 1-800-432-2772 www.azprevention.org Gila, La Paz, Pinal, and Yuma Counties Linda Weinberg Cenpatico Behavioral Health of Arizona 480-231-7504 Center for Violence Prevention and Community Safety Steve Ballance/Charles Katz 602-543-6174/602-543-6618 steve.ballance@asu.edu/charles.katz@asu.edu Apache, Coconino, Mohave, Navajo, and Yavapai Counties Petrice Post Northern Arizona Regional Behavioral Health Authority (NARBHA) 928-214-2177 Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) http://prevention.samhsa.gov Maricopa County Juan Aristizabal ValueOptions 602-9145844 Governor’s Office of Children, Youth, and Families 602-542-4043 http://www.governor.state.az.us/cyf/index.html Gila River Tribe Marnie McNicholas 602-528-7106 Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities U.S. Department of Education www.ed.gov/offices/OESE/SDFS Pasqua Yaqui Tribe Jill Fabian 520-879-6067 Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Paula Burns 602-266-8299 ext. 351 www.problemgambling.az.gov Navajo Nation Maxine Nakai 928-871-7946 Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMSHA) www.samhsa.gov Colorado River Indian Tribes Iris Leivas 928-669-6577 Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention http://ojjdp.ncjrs.org/ Other State and National Contacts: Western Regional Center for the Application of Prevention Technologies (CAPT) www.westcapt.org Arizona Criminal Justice Commission Michelle Neitch/ Phillip Stevenson 602-364-1173/602-364-1157 www.azcjc.gov Bach Harrison, L.L.C. R. Steven Harrison, Ph.D. 801-359-2064 www.bach-harrison.com Arizona Department of Education Student Services Division www.ade.az.gov 27 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Yavapai County REPORT PROVIDED BY: Arizona Criminal Justice Commission 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Shining Light on Arizona Youth THIS REPORT IS PROVIDED BY THE Arizona Criminal Justice Commission IN PARTNERSHIP WITH: Administrative Office of the Courts Arizona Department of Education Arizona Department of Health Services Arizona Department of Juvenile Corrections Arizona Juvenile Justice Commission Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Arizona State University Governor’s Division for Substance Abuse Policy Governor’s Office for Children, Youth, and Families 2 Introduction 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Summary for CONTENTS: the gender and ethnicity categories will often be less than the total number of students. Introduction: • Demographics • Risk & Protective Framework Yavapai County This report summarizes some of the county-specific findings from the 2006 Arizona Youth Survey administered to 8th, 10th and 12th grade students during the spring of 2006. The survey was designed to assess school safety, adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention Tools for Assessment and Planning How to Read the Charts Data Charts: • Risk & Protective Factor Profiles • Substance Use & Antisocial Behavior • School Safety All schools in Arizona are invited to participate in the survey, and recruitment efforts were successful in obtaining participation by schools in all of the 15 counties. Careful planning and uniform administration of the survey have resulted in survey data that are valid and representative of the students in grades 8, 10, and 12 in Arizona. Risk and Protective Factor Definitions Data Tables Contacts for Prevention Table 1 contains the characteristics of the students who completed the survey in Yavapai County and the State. Because not all students answer all of the questions, the number of students in Table 1. Characteristics of Participants Student Totals County 2002 Total Students Grade 8 10 12 Gender Male Female Ethnicity African American American Indian Asian Hispanic Pacific Islander White Other County 2004 County 2006 Percent Number Percent Number Number 589 100 746 100 Percent 1656 100 60401 100 328 55.7 467 164 27.8 146 62.6 621 37.5 26872 44.5 19.6 650 39.3 19581 97 16.5 32.4 133 17.8 385 23.2 13948 23.1 264 308 46.2 364 49.6 791 49.4 28381 48.2 53.8 370 50.4 810 50.6 30505 51.8 10 1.8 4 0.6 21 1.3 2592 4.4 28 5.1 39 5.5 60 3.7 3394 5.8 1.5 1341 2.3 19.3 21376 36.5 7 1.3 3 0.4 25 60 10.8 95 13.5 311 2 0.3 13 449 81.0 560 79.7 1112 n/a n/a n/a n/a 72 * * Percent State 2006 Number 457 0.8 68.9 26761 0.8 45.7 4.5 * Pacific Islander was grouped with Asian in 2002 3 2696 4.6 Many states and local agencies have adopted the Risk and Protective Factor Model to guide their prevention efforts. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention is based on the simple premise that to prevent a problem from happening, we need to identify the factors that increase the risk of that problem developing and then find ways to reduce the risks. Just as medical researchers have found risk factors for heart disease such as diets high in fat, lack of exercise, and smoking; a team of researchers at the University of Washington have defined a set of risk factors for youth problem behaviors. Risk factors are characteristics of school, community, and family environments, as well as characteristics of students and their peer groups that are known to predict increased likelihood of drug use, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violent behavior among youth. Protective factors exert a positive influence or buffer against the negative influence of risk, thus reducing the likelihood that adolescents will engage in problem behaviors. Dr. J. David Hawkins, Dr. Richard F. Catalano, and their colleagues at the University of Washington, Social Development Research Group have investigated the relationship between risk and protective factors and youth problem behavior. For example, they have found that children who live in families with high levels of conflict are more likely to become involved in problem behaviors such as delinquency and drug use than children who live in families with low levels of family conflict. 2006 Prevention Needs Assessment Risk and Protective Factors The chart at the right shows the links between the 19 risk factors and the five problem behaviors. The check marks have been placed in the chart to indicate where at least two well designed, published research studies have shown a link between the risk factor and the problem behavior. 9 9 Community laws and norms favorable toward drug use, firearms and crime 9 9 9 Transitions and mobility 9 9 Low neighborhood attachment and community disorganization 9 9 Extreme economic and social deprivation 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Academic failure in elementary school 9 9 9 9 9 Lack of commitment to school 9 9 9 9 9 Early and persistent antisocial behavior 9 9 9 9 9 Alienation and rebelliousness 9 9 Friends who engage in the problem behavior 9 9 Gang involvement 9 9 Favorable attitudes toward the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Early initiation of the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Constitutional factors 9 9 Violence 9 School Drop-Out Availability of drugs and firearms RISK FACTORS Teen Pregnancy Delinquency Risk- and protective-focused drug abuse prevention is also based on the work of Hawkins, Catalano, and their team of researchers at the University of Washington in Seattle. Beginning in the early 1980s the group researched adolescent problem behaviors and identified risk factors for adolescent drug abuse. Not surprisingly, they found that a relationship exists between adolescent drug abuse, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violence, and were able to identify risk factors for these problems. PROBLEM BEHAVIORS Substance Abuse Research on risk and protective factors has important implications for prevention efforts. The premise of this approach is that in order to promote positive youth development and prevent problem behaviors, it is necessary to address those factors that can lead to the problem. By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, specific risk factors that are elevated and widespread can be identified and targeted by preventive interventions that also promote related protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as an elevated risk factor in a community, then mentoring and tutoring interventions can be provided that will improve academic performance, thus reducing the level of the risk factors and decreasing the likelihood of problem behavior. Community 9 Media portrayals of violence 9 9 Family Family history of the problem behavior Family management problems Family conflict Favorable parental attitudes and involvement in the problem behavior 9 School Individual/Peer 4 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 The Arizona Youth Survey as a Tool for Building a Strategic Prevention Framework The Prevention Needs Assessment Survey is an important part of the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) Strategic Prevention Framework Process. CSAP created this 5-step model to guide states and communities through the process of creating planned, data-driven, effective, and sustainable prevention programming. The information presented in this section is taken from CSAP’s Strategic Prevention Framework State Incentive Grant description. Step 1: Profile Population Needs, Resources, and Readiness to Address the Problems and Gaps in Service Delivery • • Community Needs Assessment: The results of this survey (presented in this Profile Report and in results reported at the State level) will identify needs for prevention. States should consider administering a survey to assess adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior, and many of the risk and protective factors that predict adolescent problem behaviors. While planning prevention services, communities are urged to collect and use multiple data sources, including archival and social indicators, assessment of existing resources, key informant interviews, as well as survey data. Community Resource Assessment: It is likely that existing agencies and programs are already addressing some of the prioritized risk and protective factors. It is important to identify the assets and resources already available in the community and the gaps in services and capacity. Community Readiness Assessment: It is very important for states and communities to have the commitment and support of their members and ample resources to implement effective prevention efforts. Therefore, the readiness and capacity of communities and resources to act should also be assessed. Step 2: Mobilize and/or Build Capacity to Address Needs: Engagement of key stakeholders at the state and community levels is critical to plan and implement successful prevention activities that will be sustained over time. Some of the key tasks to mobilize the state and communities are to work with leaders and stakeholders to build coalitions, provide training, leverage resources, and help sustain prevention activities. Step 3: Develop a Comprehensive Strategic Plan: States and communities should develop a strategic plan that articulates not only a vision for the prevention activities, but also strategies for organizing and implementing prevention efforts. The strategic plan should be based on documented needs, build on identified resources/strengths, set measurable objectives, and identify how progress will be monitored. Plans should be adjusted with ongoing needs assessment and monitoring activities. The issue of sustainability should be kept in mind throughout each step of planning and implementation. Step 4: Implement Evidence-based Prevention Programs and Infrastructure Development Activities: By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, prevention programs can be implemented that will reduce the elevated risk factors and increase the protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as a prioritized risk factor in a community, then mentoring, tutoring, and increased opportunities and rewards for classroom participation can be provided to improve academic performance. After completing Steps 1, 2, and 3, communities will be able to choose prevention programs that fit the Strategic Framework of the community, match the population served, and are scientifically proven to work. The Western Center for the Application of Prevention Technology website (www.westcapt.org) contains a search engine for identifying Best Practice Programs. Step 5: Monitor Process, Evaluate Effectiveness, Sustain Effective Programs/Activities, and Improve or Replace Those That Fail: Finally, ongoing monitoring and evaluation are essential to determine if the outcomes desired are achieved and to assess program effectiveness, assess service delivery quality, identify successes, encourage needed improvement, and promote sustainability of effective policies, programs, and practices. 5 Tools for Assessment and Planning School and Community Improvement Using Survey Data Why the Arizona Youth Survey? Data from the Arizona Youth Survey can be used to help school and community planners assess current conditions and prioritize areas of greatest need. Each risk and protective factor can be linked to specific types of interventions that have been shown to be effective in either reducing risk(s) or enhancing protection(s). The steps outlined here will help your county and community make key decisions regarding allocation of resources, how and when to address specific needs, and which strategies are most effective and known to produce results. What are the numbers telling you? Review the charts and data tables presented in this report. Using the table below, note your findings as you discuss the following questions. • Which 3-5 risk factors appear to be higher than you would want? • Which 3-5 protective factors appear to be lower than you would want? • Which levels of 30-day drug use are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which substances are your students using the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable usage levels? • Which levels of antisocial behaviors are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which behaviors are your students exhibiting the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable behavior levels? How to decide if a rate is “unacceptable.” • • • Use these data for planning. • • • MEASURE Look across the charts – which items stand out as either much higher or much lower than the other? Compare your data with statewide, and national data – differences of 5% between local and other data are probably significant. Determine the standards and values held within your community – For example: Is it acceptable in your community for a percentage of high school students to drink alcohol regularly as long as that percentage is lower than the overall state rate? Substance use and antisocial behavior data – raise awareness about the problems and promote dialogue. Risk and protective factor data – identify exactly where the community needs to take action. Promising approaches – talk with resources listed on the last page of this report for ideas about programs that have proven effective in addressing the risk factors that are high in your community, and improving the protective factors that are low. Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate #1 #2 #3 #4 Risk Factors Protective Factors Substance Use Antisocial Behaviors 6 Practical Implications of the AYS No Child Left Behind The Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities section of the No Child Left Behind Act (NCLB) requires that schools and communities use six Principles of Effectiveness to guide their decisions and spending on federally funded prevention and intervention programs. First introduced in 1998 by the Department of Education, the Principles of Effectiveness outline a data-driven process for ensuring that prevention programs achieve the desired results. The Principles of Effectiveness stipulate that local prevention programs and activities must: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. be based on a needs assessment using objective data regarding the incidence of drug use and violence, target specific performance objectives, be based on scientific research and be proven to reduce violence or drug use, be based on the analysis of predictor variables such as risk and protective factors, include meaningful and on-going parental input in program implementation, and have periodic evaluations of established performance measures. The results of the Arizona Youth Survey presented in this report can help schools and communities comply with the NCLB Act. The Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior charts provide information related to Principle 1 above. The Risk and Protective Factor charts provide information related to Principle 4. Overall, using the Risk and Protective factors planning framework helps schools meet all of the Principles of Effectiveness, and thereby assists schools in complying with the NCLB Act. How to Read the Charts: Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts There are four types of charts presented in this report: 1) substance use and antisocial behavior charts, 2) risk factor charts, 3) protective factor charts, and 4) school safety charts. All the charts show the results of the AYS, and the actual percentages from the charts are presented in Tables 3 through 10. • 30-day use is a measure of the percentage of students who used the substance at least once in the 30 days prior to taking the survey and is a more sensitive indicator of the level of current use of the substance. • Binge drinking and a Pack or more of cigarettes per day are measures of heavy use of alcohol and tobacco. Binge drinking is defined as having five or more drinks in a row during the two weeks prior to taking the survey. • Antisocial behavior (ASB) is a measure of the percentage of students who report any involvement with the eight antisocial behaviors listed in the charts in the past year. In the charts, antisocial behavior will often be abbreviated as ASB. • Dots are used on the charts to show the overall average of all of the youth in each grade who participated in the survey for each behavior. More information about the dots is contained on the following page. Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts This report contains information about alcohol, tobacco and other drug use (referred to as ATOD use throughout this report) and other problem behaviors of students. The bars on each chart represent the percentage of students in that grade who reported the behavior. The four sections in the charts represent different types of problem behaviors. The definitions of each of the types of behavior are provided below. • Ever-used is a measure of the percentage of students who tried the particular substance at least once in their lifetime and is used to show the percentage of students who have had experience with a particular substance. 7 How to Read the Charts: Risk and Protective Factor and School Safety Charts Risk and Protective Factor Charts There are three components of the risk and protective factor charts that are key to understanding the information that the charts contain: 1) the cutpoints for the risk and protective factor scales, 2) the dots that indicate the state values, and 3) the dashed lines that indicate a more “national” value. the progress of prevention programs over time. For example, if the percentage of youth at risk for family conflict in a community prior to implementing a community-wide family/parenting program was 60% and then decreased to 45% one year after the program was implemented, the program would be viewed as helping to reduce family conflict. Dots Cut-Points Before the percentage of youth at risk on a given scale could be calculated, a scale value or cut-point needed to be determined that would separate the atrisk group from the not-at-risk group. The Prevention Needs Assessment (PNA) survey was designed to assess adolescent substance use, antisocial behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Arizona Youth Survey, and surveys designed for other states and areas, follow the PNA format and have the same goal of gathering information on the prevention needs of students, schools, communities, and states. Since PNA surveys have been given to over 200,000 youth nationwide, it was possible to select two groups of youth, one that was more at risk for problem behaviors and another group that was less at risk. A cut-point score was then determined for each risk and protective factor scale that best divided the youth from the two groups into their appropriate group, more at-risk or less at-risk. The criteria for selecting the more at-risk and the less atrisk groups included academic grades (the more atrisk group received “D” and “F” grades, the less atrisk group received “A” and “B” grades), ATOD use (the more at-risk group had more regular use, the less at-risk group had no drug use and use of alcohol or tobacco on only a few occasions), and antisocial behavior (the more at-risk group had two or more serious delinquent acts in the past year, the less atrisk group had no serious delinquent acts). The cut-points that were determined by analyzing the results of the more at-risk and less at-risk groups will remain constant and will be used to produce the profiles for future surveys. Since the cut-points for each scale will remain fixed, the percentage of youth above the cut-point on a scale (at-risk) will provide a method for evaluating The dots on the charts represent the percentage of all of the youth surveyed from Arizona who reported ‘elevated risk’ or ‘elevated protection’. The comparison to the state-wide sample provides additional information for your community in determining the relative importance of each risk or protective factor level. Scanning across the charts, you can easily determine which factors are most (or least) prevalent for your community. This is the first step in identifying the levels of risk and protection that are operating in your community and which factors your community may choose to address. Dashed Line Levels of risk and protection in your community also can be compared to a more national sample. The dashed line on each risk and protective factor chart represents the percentage of youth at risk or with protection for the seven state sample upon which the cut-points were developed. The seven states included in the norm group were Colorado, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Oregon, Utah, and Washington. All the states have a mix of urban and rural students. Again, brief definitions of the risk and protective factors are provided following the profile charts. For more information about risk and protective factors, please refer to the resources listed on the last page of this report under Contacts for Prevention. School Safety Charts The school safety profile charts contain the percentages of students who felt unsafe at school or on the way to school, were threatened or injured with a weapon at school, were in a physical fight at school, or carried a weapon to school. The complete questions and values for each response option can be seen in Table 10. 8 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Yavapai County Student Survey, Grade 8 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 9 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Yavapai County Student Survey, Grade 8 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 10 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Yavapai County Student Survey, Grade 10 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 11 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Yavapai County Student Survey, Grade 10 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 12 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Yavapai County Student Survey, Grade 12 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 13 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Yavapai County Student Survey, Grade 12 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 14 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Yavapai County Student Survey, Grade 8 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 15 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Yavapai County Student Survey, Grade 10 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 16 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Yavapai County Student Survey, Grade 12 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 17 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Yavapai County Student Survey, Grade 8 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 18 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Yavapai County Student Survey, Grade 10 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 19 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Yavapai County Student Survey, Grade 12 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 20 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions Community Domain Risk Factors Community and Personal Transitions & Mobility Neighborhoods with high rates of residential mobility have been shown to have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling, while children who experience frequent residential moves and stressful life transitions have been shown to have higher risk for school failure, delinquency, and drug use. Community Disorganization Research has shown that neighborhoods with high population density, lack of natural surveillance of public places, physical deterioration, and high rates of adult crime also have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling. Low Neighborhood Attachment A low level of bonding to the neighborhood is related to higher levels of juvenile crime and drug selling. Laws and Norms Favorable Toward Drug Use Research has shown that legal restrictions on alcohol and tobacco use, such as raising the legal drinking age, restricting smoking in public places, and increased taxation have been followed by decreases in consumption. Moreover, national surveys of high school seniors have shown that shifts in normative attitudes toward drug use have preceded changes in prevalence of use. Perceived Availability of Drugs and Handguns The availability of cigarettes, alcohol, marijuana, and other illegal drugs has been related to the use of these substances by adolescents. The availability of handguns is also related to a higher risk of crime and substance use by adolescents. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When opportunities are available in a community for positive participation, children are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement Rewards for positive participation in activities helps children bond to the community, thus lowering their risk for substance use. Family Domain Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Risk Factors When children are raised in a family with a history of problem behaviors (e.g., violence or ATOD use), the children are more likely to engage in these behaviors. Children raised in families high in conflict, whether or not the child is directly involved in the conflict, appear at risk for both delinquency and drug use. Parental Attitudes Favorable In families where parents use illegal drugs, are heavy users of alcohol, or are tolerant of children’s use, Toward Antisocial Behavior & children are more likely to become drug abusers during adolescence. The risk is further increased if parents involve children in their own drug (or alcohol) using behavior, for example, asking the child to Drugs light the parent’s cigarette or get the parent a beer from the refrigerator. Poor Family Management Parents’ use of inconsistent and/or unusually harsh or severe punishment with their children places them at higher risk for substance use and other problem behaviors. Also, parents’ failure to provide clear expectations and to monitor their children’s behavior makes it more likely that they will engage in drug abuse whether or not there are family drug problems. Protective Factors Family Attachment Young people who feel that they are a valued part of their family are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Opportunities for Positive Involvement Young people who are exposed to more opportunities to participate meaningfully in the responsibilities and activities of the family are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When parents, siblings, and other family members praise, encourage, and attend to things done well by their child, children are less likely to engage in substance use and problem behaviors. School Domain Risk Factors Academic Failure Beginning in the late elementary grades (grades 4-6) academic failure increases the risk of both drug abuse and delinquency. It appears that the experience of failure itself, for whatever reasons, increases the risk of problem behaviors. 21 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions (Continued) Low Commitment to School Surveys of high school seniors have shown that the use of hallucinogens, cocaine, heroin, stimulants, and sedatives or non-medically prescribed tranquilizers is significantly lower among students who expect to attend college than among those who do not. Factors such as liking school, spending time on homework, and perceiving the coursework as relevant are also negatively related to drug use. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When young people are given more opportunities to participate meaningfully in important activities at school, they are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When young people are recognized and rewarded for their contributions at school, they are less likely to be involved in substance use and other problem behaviors. Peer-Individual Risk Factors Early Initiation of Antisocial Behavior and Drug Use Early onset of drug use predicts misuse of drugs. The earlier the onset of any drug use, the greater the involvement in other drug use and the greater frequency of use. Onset of drug use prior to the age of 15 is a consistent predictor of drug abuse, and a later age of onset of drug use has been shown to predict lower drug involvement and a greater probability of discontinuation of use. During the elementary school years, most children express anti-drug, anti-crime, and pro-social attitudes Attitudes Favorable Toward Antisocial Behavior and Drug and have difficulty imagining why people use drugs or engage in antisocial behaviors. However, in middle school, as more youth are exposed to others who use drugs and engage in antisocial behavior, Use their attitudes often shift toward greater acceptance of these behaviors. Youth who express positive attitudes toward drug use and antisocial behavior are more likely to engage in a variety of problem behaviors, including drug use. Friends' Use of Drugs Young people who associate with peers who engage in alcohol or substance abuse are much more likely to engage in the same behavior. Peer drug use has consistently been found to be among the strongest predictors of substance use among youth. Even when young people come from well-managed families and do not experience other risk factors, spending time with friends who use drugs greatly increases the risk of that problem developing. Interaction with Antisocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in problem behaviors are at higher risk for engaging in antisocial behavior themselves. Perceived Risk of Drug Use Young people who do not perceive drug use to be risky are far more likely to engage in drug use. Rewards for Antisocial Behavior Young people who receive rewards for their antisocial behavior are at higher risk for engaging further in antisocial behavior and substance use. Rebelliousness Young people who do not feel part of society, are not bound by rules, don’t believe in trying to be successful or responsible, or who take an active rebellious stance toward society, are at higher risk of abusing drugs. In addition, high tolerance for deviance, a strong need for independence and normlessness have all been linked with drug use. Intention to Use ATODs Many prevention programs focus on reducing the intention of participants to use ATODs later in life. Reduction of intention to use ATODs often follows successful prevention interventions. Depressive Symptoms Young people who are depressed are overrepresented in the criminal justice system and are more likely to use drugs. Survey research and other studies have shown a link between depression and other youth problem behaviors. Gang Involvement Youth who belong to gangs are more at risk for antisocial behavior and drug use. Protective Factors Religiosity Young people who regularly attend religious services are less likely to engage in problem behaviors. Social Skills Young people who are socially competent and engage in positive interpersonal relations with their peers are less likely to use drugs and engage in other problem behaviors. Belief in the Moral Order Young people who have a belief in what is “right” or “wrong” are less likely to use drugs. Prosocial Involvement Participation in positive school and community activities helps provide protection for youth. Prosocial Norms Young people who view working hard in school and the community are less likely to engage in problem behavior. Involvement with Prosocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in prosocial behavior are more protected from engaging in antisocial behavior and substance use. 22 Table 3. Number of Students Who Completed the Survey Grade 8 Total Students County County County 2002 2004 2006 328 467 621 Grade 10 State 2006 26872 County County County 2002 2004 2006 164 146 650 Table 4. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During Their Lifetime Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 63.9 57.5 51.8 50.4 76.8 77.2 77.7 45.5 36.5 28.7 30.8 54.4 61.5 46.9 9.5 10.9 8.8 8.0 11.1 21.1 22.8 26.8 20.2 15.4 18.3 45.0 43.0 38.3 14.5 13.8 14.6 15.2 10.4 13.6 13.3 5.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 9.3 6.5 4.5 5.5 2.0 3.7 3.6 13.5 12.0 7.0 4.9 n/a n/a n/a 9.3 n/a n/a n/a n/a 2.7 2.6 n/a n/a 3.7 n/a 3.3 n/a n/a n/a 11.3 n/a n/a n/a 4.4 3.4 n/a n/a 6.4 2.1 1.3 1.5 1.4 3.7 3.6 2.1 1.9 n/a n/a n/a 4.3 n/a n/a n/a 10.7 11.5 10.0 n/a 24.3 17.6 5.0 1.1 2.1 1.9 10.6 3.6 2.6 n/a n/a 1.3 1.6 n/a n/a 3.5 n/a n/a 12.2 9.8 n/a n/a 17.4 37.8 31.7 37.3 36.2 48.8 54.3 53.8 Table 5. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During the Past 30 Days* Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 2002 Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 37.5 13.6 5.7 15.9 6.0 3.8 3.5 2.5 n/a n/a n/a 1.6 1.3 n/a 3.5 n/a n/a 21.8 2004 26.8 9.3 2.6 6.1 6.6 0.9 0.2 n/a n/a 1.1 n/a 0.7 n/a 4.4 0.4 n/a n/a 15.6 2006 24.2 9.4 2.9 7.0 6.1 0.6 1.1 n/a 0.8 n/a 1.1 0.8 n/a 5.0 0.4 0.4 5.5 18.6 2006 24.1 10.5 2.7 8.5 6.2 1.0 1.7 n/a 1.0 n/a 1.5 0.7 n/a 4.5 0.8 0.8 4.5 19.7 2002 2004 54.3 19.6 4.6 24.5 4.0 4.7 6.6 3.3 n/a n/a n/a 2.0 2.7 n/a 6.1 n/a n/a 30.6 49.0 23.0 4.9 19.1 5.6 2.9 4.3 n/a n/a 5.0 n/a 0.7 n/a 13.7 0.7 n/a n/a 31.1 2006 49.0 19.8 8.5 18.0 4.8 1.5 2.0 n/a 2.0 n/a 2.4 1.1 n/a 7.9 1.7 1.7 8.0 31.3 Grade 12 State 2006 19581 County County County 2002 2004 2006 97 133 385 State 2006 13948 Grade 12 State 2006 67.6 43.8 11.8 34.0 11.9 4.1 7.6 n/a 5.0 n/a 7.1 2.1 n/a 14.3 3.4 2.0 16.0 47.0 County County County 2002 2004 2006 83.9 64.6 20.8 50.5 15.6 6.2 13.5 9.5 n/a n/a n/a 2.1 2.1 n/a 14.7 n/a n/a 54.6 77.3 69.7 22.7 51.1 17.8 10.9 16.9 n/a n/a 18.2 n/a 3.8 n/a 24.6 9.8 n/a n/a 58.9 80.6 55.8 28.1 47.9 12.4 6.4 6.8 n/a 6.1 n/a 6.8 1.9 n/a 16.0 4.1 4.0 22.0 58.7 State 2006 74.5 50.0 15.6 42.6 9.8 5.6 11.6 n/a 6.6 n/a 8.5 2.8 n/a 17.4 4.4 2.2 20.0 52.8 Grade 12 State 2006 39.2 17.1 4.0 15.7 3.1 1.7 2.9 n/a 1.7 n/a 2.9 0.7 n/a 6.6 1.0 1.0 7.3 25.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 57.8 21.4 7.1 27.7 0.0 1.2 3.6 1.2 n/a n/a n/a 2.5 2.4 n/a 2.4 n/a n/a 29.6 49.6 38.5 6.8 17.7 0.8 2.3 4.6 n/a n/a 4.6 n/a 0.8 n/a 10.8 0.8 n/a n/a 24.8 55.0 24.4 10.1 17.0 1.2 2.0 1.5 n/a 0.9 n/a 3.6 0.0 n/a 5.8 0.9 2.1 7.7 27.1 State 2006 47.0 21.8 5.4 18.1 1.7 1.7 3.3 n/a 1.4 n/a 2.6 0.8 n/a 7.1 0.9 1.0 8.1 26.6 n/a - Indicates a question that was not asked in the 2002, 2004, or 2006 Arizona Youth Surveys. ATOD questions have differed slightly over the years. The differences are as follows. On how many occasions (if any) have you: 1 used methamphetamines (meth, crystal, crank)? [2002] used methamphetamines (meth, speed, crank, or crystal meth)? [2006] 2 3 used stimulants (amphetamines, meth, crystal, crank) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004] used stimulants, other than methamphetamines (such as amphetamines, Ritalin or Dexedrine) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2006] 4 5 used quaaludes, barbiturates or tranquilizers? [2002] used sedatives (tranquilizers, such as Valium or Xanax, barbiturates or sleeping pills) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004, 2006] 6 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. Note: 2006 'Any Drug' use does not include reported use of steroids or prescription drugs in order to make the 2006 results comparable to previous surveys. Further, the 2002 lifetime use data presented here is derived from a question asking students to report how old they were when they first used each substance. The 2002 lifetime use value reflects those students who indicated any age of first use. 23 Table 6. Percentage of Students With Heavy Use of Alcohol and Cigarettes Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 Binge Drinking 17.7 13.0 11.9 13.4 34.6 29.7 31.2 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day 1.6 0.9 1.6 1.0 5.9 8.1 3.1 Table 7. Percentage of Students With Antisocial Behavior in the Past Year Grade 8 Grade 10 Behavior County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 Suspended from School 16.9 15.3 17.6 Drunk or High at School 14.5 11.2 11.3 Sold Illegal Drugs 6.2 2.2 3.3 Stolen a Vehicle 5.6 3.7 3.8 Been Arrested 11.7 9.1 7.8 Attacked to Harm 14.3 15.2 17.1 Carried a Handgun 7.7 8.2 7.8 Handgun to School 1.8 0.4 0.9 Table 8. Percentage of Students Reporting Protection Grade 8 Protective Factor Community Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Family Domain Family Attachment Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement School Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Peer-Individual Domain Religiosity Social Skills Belief in the Moral Order Interaction with Prosocial Peers Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 19.8 13.0 4.9 4.6 8.3 17.9 7.6 1.6 2002 17.2 18.5 9.6 3.2 11.5 11.7 6.5 1.9 2004 23.4 23.1 10.5 6.9 14.7 22.1 11.2 2.2 2006 15.2 27.7 9.9 6.0 10.9 17.8 8.4 1.5 Grade 12 State 2006 22.4 2.4 County County County 2002 2004 2006 31.3 3.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 34.5 5.9 28.2 3.9 Grade 12 State 2006 15.5 21.1 9.1 4.7 9.3 16.5 7.5 1.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 12.2 23.3 12.4 2.2 11.1 12.4 6.7 0.0 Grade 10 State 2006 30.8 15.5 State 2006 7.6 18.6 9.2 3.8 12.2 12.4 9.2 0.8 8.8 25.4 12.5 3.6 7.9 13.1 8.3 2.5 State 2006 9.4 21.4 9.8 3.1 7.8 13.2 7.0 1.4 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 49.5 35.0 47.0 32.6 43.8 31.0 38.2 30.4 50.0 44.1 32.8 34.9 40.1 34.6 37.1 36.3 54.5 47.5 41.3 39.2 39.1 39.8 37.6 35.2 49.8 52.2 60.0 55.2 64.5 67.1 53.7 60.4 64.1 48.7 57.4 60.6 50.8 57.4 58.5 39.3 49.1 50.4 46.4 55.0 56.7 44.1 53.0 54.9 68.4 62.8 65.8 54.3 52.1 49.1 60.1 56.0 57.7 57.1 55.9 56.9 58.4 49.5 67.8 62.5 55.7 50.5 59.1 50.7 48.4 61.1 53.1 61.5 56.1 64.4 62.9 62.3 67.7 62.4 53.8 53.4 59.0 51.6 65.2 48.0 * 58.0 54.9 * * * 46.7 59.3 63.4 45.2 45.6 64.6 48.3 61.0 55.5 50.9 46.6 62.1 46.2 58.3 54.3 46.1 37.7 58.8 * 49.3 57.9 * * * 29.3 43.7 45.4 43.8 41.7 58.0 41.1 43.6 58.0 47.2 38.8 60.2 44.3 52.4 62.6 49.6 39.3 61.1 * 62.5 39.1 * * * 64.6 61.5 48.8 36.2 35.4 42.6 69.3 61.5 47.4 45.0 44.3 46.4 70.7 66.0 51.2 48.1 39.1 53.4 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 24 Table 9. Percentage of Students Reporting Risk Grade 8 Risk Factor Community Domain Low Neighborhood Attachment Community Disorganization Transitions & Mobility Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Perceived Availability of Drugs Perceived Availability of Handguns Family Domain Poor Family Management Family Conflict Family History of Antisocial Behavior Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use School Domain Academic Failure Low Commitment to School Peer-Individual Domain Rebelliousness Early Initiation of ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Perceived Risk of Drug Use Interaction with Antisocial Peers Friend's Use of Drugs Rewards for ASB Depressive Symptoms Intention to Use Drugs Gang Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 42.2 34.6 50.3 42.4 41.1 46.4 46.6 42.5 57.7 40.0 42.7 50.2 46.3 42.9 57.0 37.1 42.7 45.3 40.7 48.2 53.7 37.8 38.1 37.0 46.8 45.8 51.8 45.4 56.9 27.8 66.7 58.1 71.0 62.8 57.8 44.4 54.9 59.3 63.9 49.5 54.6 32.6 46.9 57.6 60.4 42.5 48.8 27.6 50.6 44.3 54.4 38.5 66.7 44.3 54.8 58.4 64.8 49.2 56.6 51.6 57.7 51.2 56.4 43.9 54.7 39.9 49.8 52.3 54.9 34.6 51.3 34.1 46.0 53.7 48.1 46.7 33.4 40.1 47.3 50.5 50.7 32.1 43.7 53.9 45.3 57.4 36.8 47.9 52.2 42.7 48.5 29.1 36.8 33.1 50.7 42.6 47.5 49.6 43.9 66.7 58.2 52.1 49.0 41.4 48.4 56.1 51.9 45.0 42.2 43.2 50.0 41.1 38.8 31.2 41.8 53.2 54.4 45.8 47.9 57.5 52.4 56.5 52.9 40.0 45.8 49.0 46.1 44.8 38.3 38.6 45.9 40.1 52.1 50.0 56.1 44.5 47.4 50.1 48.6 41.1 55.7 57.1 62.0 51.4 55.5 50.0 51.6 40.1 41.1 50.0 40.6 47.7 44.4 44.7 44.1 43.0 38.7 33.2 44.5 47.5 39.6 46.2 50.3 41.7 38.8 53.5 * 17.1 32.5 39.0 43.8 44.8 31.7 51.0 56.5 46.1 47.5 49.3 37.1 13.9 46.1 38.7 34.2 44.7 31.5 40.3 54.4 37.3 41.8 48.1 35.8 15.6 43.8 40.2 35.2 46.2 32.4 45.4 58.4 41.3 48.7 45.7 36.5 26.3 48.4 33.1 50.3 55.3 54.0 43.0 54.3 52.5 32.9 49.0 * 14.4 46.0 52.4 50.7 54.5 48.3 48.9 68.1 47.6 43.7 54.3 58.5 24.8 49.8 45.5 42.0 58.7 45.0 46.7 66.6 50.1 46.1 47.0 54.5 20.7 47.5 42.4 36.6 49.7 36.6 39.2 58.1 43.2 45.0 45.5 44.9 23.9 34.0 38.3 45.3 53.8 46.7 57.6 50.0 42.6 50.0 30.2 * 8.7 35.4 55.0 54.2 45.0 39.8 55.4 60.8 42.0 44.5 52.0 36.2 23.4 49.5 37.5 38.4 51.4 37.7 45.5 54.2 38.7 55.3 40.1 32.3 18.9 44.3 38.8 34.1 45.6 34.6 40.5 52.0 35.9 53.8 38.6 29.9 16.3 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 25 Table 10. Percentage of Students Reporting School Safety Issues Grade 8 Question Response County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 0 days During the past 30 days, on how 1 day many days did you carry a weapon 2-3 days such as a gun, knife, or club on 4-5 days school property? (q43) 6 or more days 92.5 2.2 0.9 0.3 4.0 93.9 2.8 1.3 1.1 0.9 93.6 3.7 0.5 0.5 1.7 93.1 3.1 1.6 0.6 1.6 89.5 1.2 3.1 1.2 4.9 91.0 2.1 0.7 1.4 4.9 87.8 3.6 2.5 1.3 4.7 92.7 2.4 1.5 0.7 2.7 88.4 2.1 2.1 1.1 6.3 94.5 1.6 0.0 1.6 2.3 89.4 2.2 0.8 0.5 7.0 94.0 1.4 0.9 0.6 3.0 During the past 30 days, on how many days did you not go to school because you felt you would be unsafe at school or on your way to or from school? (q41) 0 days 1 day 2-3 days 4-5 days 6 or more days 96.0 2.5 0.9 0.0 0.6 92.0 2.4 4.3 0.2 1.1 91.4 4.6 2.5 0.7 0.8 89.3 6.0 2.8 0.7 1.2 99.4 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 91.0 5.5 2.1 0.7 0.7 92.9 5.5 1.0 0.2 0.5 92.2 4.1 2.1 0.5 1.1 97.9 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.9 0.8 2.3 0.0 0.0 94.6 2.2 1.6 0.5 1.1 95.0 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times has someone threatened or injured you with a weapon such as a gun, knife, or club on school property? (q39) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 90.7 4.0 3.7 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.0 87.7 5.8 3.9 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.1 85.6 7.3 4.9 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.7 84.5 7.7 4.2 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.2 94.4 2.5 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 86.1 6.9 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1 84.7 6.7 3.8 0.8 1.3 0.5 0.2 2.1 86.1 6.7 3.9 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.3 93.8 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1 93.1 3.8 2.3 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 88.9 6.2 2.4 0.5 0.3 0.8 0.0 0.8 90.5 4.4 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times were you in a physical fight on school property? (q40) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 72.2 13.9 9.6 2.8 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.9 76.3 12.4 6.7 2.2 0.7 0.9 0.0 0.9 72.4 15.8 7.7 2.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 1.0 75.4 13.1 7.1 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.0 85.3 10.4 1.8 0.6 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 75.7 13.2 7.6 1.4 0.0 1.4 0.0 0.7 81.5 11.1 4.7 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.8 84.3 8.9 4.4 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 86.6 8.2 4.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 92.2 5.4 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 89.5 5.9 2.7 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.5 91.1 5.5 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 Yavapai County 26 Contacts For Prevention Regional Prevention Contacts Arizona Department of Health Services Division of Behavioral Health Services Lisa Shumaker 602-364-4594 www.azdhs.gov/bhs/index.htm Cochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, and Santa Cruz Counties Bill Burnett Community Partnership of Southern Arizona (CPSA) 520-618-8807 Arizona Prevention Resource Center 1-800-432-2772 www.azprevention.org Gila, La Paz, Pinal, and Yuma Counties Linda Weinberg Cenpatico Behavioral Health of Arizona 480-231-7504 Center for Violence Prevention and Community Safety Steve Ballance/Charles Katz 602-543-6174/602-543-6618 steve.ballance@asu.edu/charles.katz@asu.edu Apache, Coconino, Mohave, Navajo, and Yavapai Counties Petrice Post Northern Arizona Regional Behavioral Health Authority (NARBHA) 928-214-2177 Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) http://prevention.samhsa.gov Maricopa County Juan Aristizabal ValueOptions 602-9145844 Governor’s Office of Children, Youth, and Families 602-542-4043 http://www.governor.state.az.us/cyf/index.html Gila River Tribe Marnie McNicholas 602-528-7106 Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities U.S. Department of Education www.ed.gov/offices/OESE/SDFS Pasqua Yaqui Tribe Jill Fabian 520-879-6067 Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Paula Burns 602-266-8299 ext. 351 www.problemgambling.az.gov Navajo Nation Maxine Nakai 928-871-7946 Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMSHA) www.samhsa.gov Colorado River Indian Tribes Iris Leivas 928-669-6577 Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention http://ojjdp.ncjrs.org/ Other State and National Contacts: Western Regional Center for the Application of Prevention Technologies (CAPT) www.westcapt.org Arizona Criminal Justice Commission Michelle Neitch/ Phillip Stevenson 602-364-1173/602-364-1157 www.azcjc.gov Bach Harrison, L.L.C. R. Steven Harrison, Ph.D. 801-359-2064 www.bach-harrison.com Arizona Department of Education Student Services Division www.ade.az.gov 27 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Yuma County REPORT PROVIDED BY: Arizona Criminal Justice Commission 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Shining Light on Arizona Youth THIS REPORT IS PROVIDED BY THE Arizona Criminal Justice Commission IN PARTNERSHIP WITH: Administrative Office of the Courts Arizona Department of Education Arizona Department of Health Services Arizona Department of Juvenile Corrections Arizona Juvenile Justice Commission Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Arizona State University Governor’s Division for Substance Abuse Policy Governor’s Office for Children, Youth, and Families 2 Introduction 2006 Arizona Youth Survey Summary for CONTENTS: gender and ethnicity categories will often be less than the total number of students. Introduction: • Demographics • Risk & Protective Framework Yuma County This report summarizes some of the county-specific findings from the 2006 Arizona Youth Survey administered to 8th, 10th and 12th grade students during the spring of 2006. The survey was designed to assess school safety, adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention Tools for Assessment and Planning How to Read the Charts Data Charts: • Risk & Protective Factor Profiles • Substance Use & Antisocial Behavior • School Safety All schools in Arizona are invited to participate in the survey, and recruitment efforts were successful in obtaining participation by schools in all of the 15 counties. Careful planning and uniform administration of the survey have resulted in survey data that are valid and representative of the students in grades 8, 10, and 12 in Arizona. Risk and Protective Factor Definitions Data Tables Contacts for Prevention Table 1 contains the characteristics of the students who completed the survey in Yuma County and the State. Because not all students answer all of the questions, the number of students in the Table 1. Characteristics of Participants Student Totals County 2002 Total Students Grade 8 10 12 Gender Male Female Ethnicity African American American Indian Asian Hispanic Pacific Islander White Other County 2004 County 2006 Number Percent Number Percent Number 1771 100 1300 100 2629 Percent State 2006 Number Percent 100 60401 100 213 12.0 778 59.8 1518 57.7 26872 44.5 1008 56.9 354 27.2 813 30.9 19581 32.4 550 31.1 168 12.9 298 11.3 13948 23.1 816 47.6 618 48.3 1275 49.8 28381 48.2 898 52.4 661 51.7 1283 50.2 30505 51.8 36 2.1 13 1.1 58 2.3 2592 4.4 13 0.8 22 1.8 29 1.2 3394 5.8 36 2.1 14 1.2 21 0.8 1341 2.3 1128 66.4 1004 82.5 1812 71.9 21376 36.5 2 0.2 14 487 * 28.6 * 162 13.3 454 n/a n/a n/a n/a 132 457 0.8 18.0 26761 0.6 45.7 5.2 * Pacific Islander was grouped with Asian in 2002 3 2696 4.6 Many states and local agencies have adopted the Risk and Protective Factor Model to guide their prevention efforts. The Risk and Protective Factor Model of Prevention is based on the simple premise that to prevent a problem from happening, we need to identify the factors that increase the risk of that problem developing and then find ways to reduce the risks. Just as medical researchers have found risk factors for heart disease such as diets high in fat, lack of exercise, and smoking; a team of researchers at the University of Washington have defined a set of risk factors for youth problem behaviors. Risk factors are characteristics of school, community, and family environments, as well as characteristics of students and their peer groups that are known to predict increased likelihood of drug use, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violent behavior among youth. Protective factors exert a positive influence or buffer against the negative influence of risk, thus reducing the likelihood that adolescents will engage in problem behaviors. Dr. J. David Hawkins, Dr. Richard F. Catalano, and their colleagues at the University of Washington, Social Development Research Group have investigated the relationship between risk and protective factors and youth problem behavior. For example, they have found that children who live in families with high levels of conflict are more likely to become involved in problem behaviors such as delinquency and drug use than children who live in families with low levels of family conflict. 2006 Prevention Needs Assessment Risk and Protective Factors The chart at the right shows the links between the 19 risk factors and the five problem behaviors. The check marks have been placed in the chart to indicate where at least two well designed, published research studies have shown a link between the risk factor and the problem behavior. 9 9 Community laws and norms favorable toward drug use, firearms and crime 9 9 9 Transitions and mobility 9 9 Low neighborhood attachment and community disorganization 9 9 Extreme economic and social deprivation 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Academic failure in elementary school 9 9 9 9 9 Lack of commitment to school 9 9 9 9 9 Early and persistent antisocial behavior 9 9 9 9 9 Alienation and rebelliousness 9 9 Friends who engage in the problem behavior 9 9 Gang involvement 9 9 Favorable attitudes toward the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Early initiation of the problem behavior 9 9 9 9 Constitutional factors 9 9 Violence 9 School Drop-Out Availability of drugs and firearms RISK FACTORS Teen Pregnancy Delinquency Risk- and protective-focused drug abuse prevention is also based on the work of Hawkins, Catalano, and their team of researchers at the University of Washington in Seattle. Beginning in the early 1980s the group researched adolescent problem behaviors and identified risk factors for adolescent drug abuse. Not surprisingly, they found that a relationship exists between adolescent drug abuse, delinquency, school dropout, teen pregnancy, and violence, and were able to identify risk factors for these problems. PROBLEM BEHAVIORS Substance Abuse Research on risk and protective factors has important implications for prevention efforts. The premise of this approach is that in order to promote positive youth development and prevent problem behaviors, it is necessary to address those factors that can lead to the problem. By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, specific risk factors that are elevated and widespread can be identified and targeted by preventive interventions that also promote related protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as an elevated risk factor in a community, then mentoring and tutoring interventions can be provided that will improve academic performance, thus reducing the level of the risk factors and decreasing the likelihood of problem behavior. Community 9 Media portrayals of violence 9 9 Family Family history of the problem behavior Family management problems Family conflict Favorable parental attitudes and involvement in the problem behavior 9 School Individual/Peer 4 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 The Arizona Youth Survey as a Tool for Building a Strategic Prevention Framework The Prevention Needs Assessment Survey is an important part of the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) Strategic Prevention Framework Process. CSAP created this 5-step model to guide states and communities through the process of creating planned, data-driven, effective, and sustainable prevention programming. The information presented in this section is taken from CSAP’s Strategic Prevention Framework State Incentive Grant description. Step 1: Profile Population Needs, Resources, and Readiness to Address the Problems and Gaps in Service Delivery • • Community Needs Assessment: The results of this survey (presented in this Profile Report and in results reported at the State level) will identify needs for prevention. States should consider administering a survey to assess adolescent substance use, anti-social behavior, and many of the risk and protective factors that predict adolescent problem behaviors. While planning prevention services, communities are urged to collect and use multiple data sources, including archival and social indicators, assessment of existing resources, key informant interviews, as well as survey data. Community Resource Assessment: It is likely that existing agencies and programs are already addressing some of the prioritized risk and protective factors. It is important to identify the assets and resources already available in the community and the gaps in services and capacity. Community Readiness Assessment: It is very important for states and communities to have the commitment and support of their members and ample resources to implement effective prevention efforts. Therefore, the readiness and capacity of communities and resources to act should also be assessed. Step 2: Mobilize and/or Build Capacity to Address Needs: Engagement of key stakeholders at the state and community levels is critical to plan and implement successful prevention activities that will be sustained over time. Some of the key tasks to mobilize the state and communities are to work with leaders and stakeholders to build coalitions, provide training, leverage resources, and help sustain prevention activities. Step 3: Develop a Comprehensive Strategic Plan: States and communities should develop a strategic plan that articulates not only a vision for the prevention activities, but also strategies for organizing and implementing prevention efforts. The strategic plan should be based on documented needs, build on identified resources/strengths, set measurable objectives, and identify how progress will be monitored. Plans should be adjusted with ongoing needs assessment and monitoring activities. The issue of sustainability should be kept in mind throughout each step of planning and implementation. Step 4: Implement Evidence-based Prevention Programs and Infrastructure Development Activities: By measuring risk and protective factors in a population, prevention programs can be implemented that will reduce the elevated risk factors and increase the protective factors. For example, if academic failure is identified as a prioritized risk factor in a community, then mentoring, tutoring, and increased opportunities and rewards for classroom participation can be provided to improve academic performance. After completing Steps 1, 2, and 3, communities will be able to choose prevention programs that fit the Strategic Framework of the community, match the population served, and are scientifically proven to work. The Western Center for the Application of Prevention Technology website (www.westcapt.org) contains a search engine for identifying Best Practice Programs. Step 5: Monitor Process, Evaluate Effectiveness, Sustain Effective Programs/Activities, and Improve or Replace Those That Fail: Finally, ongoing monitoring and evaluation are essential to determine if the outcomes desired are achieved and to assess program effectiveness, assess service delivery quality, identify successes, encourage needed improvement, and promote sustainability of effective policies, programs, and practices. 5 Tools for Assessment and Planning School and Community Improvement Using Survey Data Why the Arizona Youth Survey? Data from the Arizona Youth Survey can be used to help school and community planners assess current conditions and prioritize areas of greatest need. Each risk and protective factor can be linked to specific types of interventions that have been shown to be effective in either reducing risk(s) or enhancing protection(s). The steps outlined here will help your county and community make key decisions regarding allocation of resources, how and when to address specific needs, and which strategies are most effective and known to produce results. What are the numbers telling you? Review the charts and data tables presented in this report. Using the table below, note your findings as you discuss the following questions. • Which 3-5 risk factors appear to be higher than you would want? • Which 3-5 protective factors appear to be lower than you would want? • Which levels of 30-day drug use are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which substances are your students using the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable usage levels? • Which levels of antisocial behaviors are increasing and/or unacceptably high? • Which behaviors are your students exhibiting the most? • At which grades do you see unacceptable behavior levels? How to decide if a rate is “unacceptable.” • • • Use these data for planning. • • • MEASURE Look across the charts – which items stand out as either much higher or much lower than the other? Compare your data with statewide, and national data – differences of 5% between local and other data are probably significant. Determine the standards and values held within your community – For example: Is it acceptable in your community for a percentage of high school students to drink alcohol regularly as long as that percentage is lower than the overall state rate? Substance use and antisocial behavior data – raise awareness about the problems and promote dialogue. Risk and protective factor data – identify exactly where the community needs to take action. Promising approaches – talk with resources listed on the last page of this report for ideas about programs that have proven effective in addressing the risk factors that are high in your community, and improving the protective factors that are low. Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate Unacceptable Rate #1 #2 #3 #4 Risk Factors Protective Factors Substance Use Antisocial Behaviors 6 Practical Implications of the AYS No Child Left Behind The Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities section of the No Child Left Behind Act (NCLB) requires that schools and communities use six Principles of Effectiveness to guide their decisions and spending on federally funded prevention and intervention programs. First introduced in 1998 by the Department of Education, the Principles of Effectiveness outline a data-driven process for ensuring that prevention programs achieve the desired results. The Principles of Effectiveness stipulate that local prevention programs and activities must: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. be based on a needs assessment using objective data regarding the incidence of drug use and violence, target specific performance objectives, be based on scientific research and be proven to reduce violence or drug use, be based on the analysis of predictor variables such as risk and protective factors, include meaningful and on-going parental input in program implementation, and have periodic evaluations of established performance measures. The results of the Arizona Youth Survey presented in this report can help schools and communities comply with the NCLB Act. The Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior charts provide information related to Principle 1 above. The Risk and Protective Factor charts provide information related to Principle 4. Overall, using the Risk and Protective factors planning framework helps schools meet all of the Principles of Effectiveness, and thereby assists schools in complying with the NCLB Act. How to Read the Charts: Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts There are four types of charts presented in this report: 1) substance use and antisocial behavior charts, 2) risk factor charts, 3) protective factor charts, and 4) school safety charts. All the charts show the results of the AYS, and the actual percentages from the charts are presented in Tables 3 through 10. • 30-day use is a measure of the percentage of students who used the substance at least once in the 30 days prior to taking the survey and is a more sensitive indicator of the level of current use of the substance. • Binge drinking and a Pack or more of cigarettes per day are measures of heavy use of alcohol and tobacco. Binge drinking is defined as having five or more drinks in a row during the two weeks prior to taking the survey. • Antisocial behavior (ASB) is a measure of the percentage of students who report any involvement with the eight antisocial behaviors listed in the charts in the past year. In the charts, antisocial behavior will often be abbreviated as ASB. • Dots are used on the charts to show the overall average of all of the youth in each grade who participated in the survey for each behavior. More information about the dots is contained on the following page. Substance Use and Antisocial Behavior Charts This report contains information about alcohol, tobacco and other drug use (referred to as ATOD use throughout this report) and other problem behaviors of students. The bars on each chart represent the percentage of students in that grade who reported the behavior. The four sections in the charts represent different types of problem behaviors. The definitions of each of the types of behavior are provided below. • Ever-used is a measure of the percentage of students who tried the particular substance at least once in their lifetime and is used to show the percentage of students who have had experience with a particular substance. 7 How to Read the Charts: Risk and Protective Factor and School Safety Charts Risk and Protective Factor Charts There are three components of the risk and protective factor charts that are key to understanding the information that the charts contain: 1) the cutpoints for the risk and protective factor scales, 2) the dots that indicate the state values, and 3) the dashed lines that indicate a more “national” value. the progress of prevention programs over time. For example, if the percentage of youth at risk for family conflict in a community prior to implementing a community-wide family/parenting program was 60% and then decreased to 45% one year after the program was implemented, the program would be viewed as helping to reduce family conflict. Dots Cut-Points Before the percentage of youth at risk on a given scale could be calculated, a scale value or cut-point needed to be determined that would separate the atrisk group from the not-at-risk group. The Prevention Needs Assessment (PNA) survey was designed to assess adolescent substance use, antisocial behavior and the risk and protective factors that predict these adolescent problem behaviors. The Arizona Youth Survey, and surveys designed for other states and areas, follow the PNA format and have the same goal of gathering information on the prevention needs of students, schools, communities, and states. Since PNA surveys have been given to over 200,000 youth nationwide, it was possible to select two groups of youth, one that was more at risk for problem behaviors and another group that was less at risk. A cut-point score was then determined for each risk and protective factor scale that best divided the youth from the two groups into their appropriate group, more at-risk or less at-risk. The criteria for selecting the more at-risk and the less atrisk groups included academic grades (the more atrisk group received “D” and “F” grades, the less atrisk group received “A” and “B” grades), ATOD use (the more at-risk group had more regular use, the less at-risk group had no drug use and use of alcohol or tobacco on only a few occasions), and antisocial behavior (the more at-risk group had two or more serious delinquent acts in the past year, the less atrisk group had no serious delinquent acts). The cut-points that were determined by analyzing the results of the more at-risk and less at-risk groups will remain constant and will be used to produce the profiles for future surveys. Since the cut-points for each scale will remain fixed, the percentage of youth above the cut-point on a scale (at-risk) will provide a method for evaluating The dots on the charts represent the percentage of all of the youth surveyed from Arizona who reported ‘elevated risk’ or ‘elevated protection’. The comparison to the state-wide sample provides additional information for your community in determining the relative importance of each risk or protective factor level. Scanning across the charts, you can easily determine which factors are most (or least) prevalent for your community. This is the first step in identifying the levels of risk and protection that are operating in your community and which factors your community may choose to address. Dashed Line Levels of risk and protection in your community also can be compared to a more national sample. The dashed line on each risk and protective factor chart represents the percentage of youth at risk or with protection for the seven state sample upon which the cut-points were developed. The seven states included in the norm group were Colorado, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Oregon, Utah, and Washington. All the states have a mix of urban and rural students. Again, brief definitions of the risk and protective factors are provided following the profile charts. For more information about risk and protective factors, please refer to the resources listed on the last page of this report under Contacts for Prevention. School Safety Charts The school safety profile charts contain the percentages of students who felt unsafe at school or on the way to school, were threatened or injured with a weapon at school, were in a physical fight at school, or carried a weapon to school. The complete questions and values for each response option can be seen in Table 10. 8 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Yuma County Student Survey, Grade 8 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 9 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Yuma County Student Survey, Grade 8 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 10 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Yuma County Student Survey, Grade 10 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 11 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Yuma County Student Survey, Grade 10 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 12 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 70 60 50 40 30 Percentage of Youth at Risk Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection RISK PROFILE 2006 Yuma County Student Survey, Grade 12 Gang Involvement Intention to Use Drugs Depressive Symptoms Rewards for ASB Friend's Use of Drugs Interaction with Antisocial Peers Perceived Risk of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Early Initiation of ASB 13 Rebelliousness Low Commitment to School Academic Failure Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Poor Family Management Perceived Availability of Handguns Perceived Availability of Drugs Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Transitions & Mobility Community Disorganization Low Neighborhood Attachment *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 100 90 80 20 10 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Percentage of Youth with Protective Factor Risk and Protective Factor Profiles Elevated Risk and Protection PROTECTIVE PROFILE 2006 Yuma County Student Survey, Grade 12 100 Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Prosocial Involvement Interaction with Prosocial Peers Belief in the Moral Order Social Skills 14 Religiosity Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Family Attachment Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement *Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 7 State 2006 State 2006 County 2006 County 2004 County 2002 Peer / Individual School Family Community 0 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Yuma County Student Survey, Grade 8 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 15 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Yuma County Student Survey, Grade 10 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 16 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 ATOD Use and Antisocial Behavior ATOD USE AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR 2006 Yuma County Student Survey, Grade 12 Ever Used 30 Day Use* Heavy Use Antisocial Behavior Past Year 100 90 Percentages (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 State 2006 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. ** Not available, scale not included in 2002 or 2004 surveys Due to the change in definitions between administrations in the sedatives, stimulants, and methamphetamine use categories, comparisons cannot be made across the 3 years. For the percentages of use of these drugs please refer to Tables 4 and 5. For an explanation of the differences in definitions, please refer to the footnotes at the bottom of Table 5. 17 Handgun to School Carried a Handgun Attacked to Harm Been Arrested Stolen a Vehicle Sold Illegal Drugs Drunk or High at School Suspended from School 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day County 2006 Binge Drinking Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine County 2004 Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol Prescription Drugs** Steroids** Ecstasy Heroin Cocaine Hallucinogens Inhalants Marijuana Chewing Tobacco Cigarettes Alcohol County 2002 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Yuma County Student Survey, Grade 8 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 18 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Yuma County Student Survey, Grade 10 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 19 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 School Safety Profile SCHOOL SAFETY PROFILE 2006 Yuma County Student Survey, Grade 12 50 Percent of Students with Safety Concerns 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 20 In a Physical Fight on School Property County 2004 Threatened or Injured on School Property Carried a Weapon on School Property Felt Unsafe at School County 2002 County 2006 State 2006 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions Community Domain Risk Factors Community and Personal Transitions & Mobility Neighborhoods with high rates of residential mobility have been shown to have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling, while children who experience frequent residential moves and stressful life transitions have been shown to have higher risk for school failure, delinquency, and drug use. Community Disorganization Research has shown that neighborhoods with high population density, lack of natural surveillance of public places, physical deterioration, and high rates of adult crime also have higher rates of juvenile crime and drug selling. Low Neighborhood Attachment A low level of bonding to the neighborhood is related to higher levels of juvenile crime and drug selling. Laws and Norms Favorable Toward Drug Use Research has shown that legal restrictions on alcohol and tobacco use, such as raising the legal drinking age, restricting smoking in public places, and increased taxation have been followed by decreases in consumption. Moreover, national surveys of high school seniors have shown that shifts in normative attitudes toward drug use have preceded changes in prevalence of use. Perceived Availability of Drugs and Handguns The availability of cigarettes, alcohol, marijuana, and other illegal drugs has been related to the use of these substances by adolescents. The availability of handguns is also related to a higher risk of crime and substance use by adolescents. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When opportunities are available in a community for positive participation, children are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement Rewards for positive participation in activities helps children bond to the community, thus lowering their risk for substance use. Family Domain Family History of Antisocial Behavior Family Conflict Risk Factors When children are raised in a family with a history of problem behaviors (e.g., violence or ATOD use), the children are more likely to engage in these behaviors. Children raised in families high in conflict, whether or not the child is directly involved in the conflict, appear at risk for both delinquency and drug use. Parental Attitudes Favorable In families where parents use illegal drugs, are heavy users of alcohol, or are tolerant of children’s use, Toward Antisocial Behavior & children are more likely to become drug abusers during adolescence. The risk is further increased if parents involve children in their own drug (or alcohol) using behavior, for example, asking the child to Drugs light the parent’s cigarette or get the parent a beer from the refrigerator. Poor Family Management Parents’ use of inconsistent and/or unusually harsh or severe punishment with their children places them at higher risk for substance use and other problem behaviors. Also, parents’ failure to provide clear expectations and to monitor their children’s behavior makes it more likely that they will engage in drug abuse whether or not there are family drug problems. Protective Factors Family Attachment Young people who feel that they are a valued part of their family are less likely to engage in substance use and other problem behaviors. Opportunities for Positive Involvement Young people who are exposed to more opportunities to participate meaningfully in the responsibilities and activities of the family are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When parents, siblings, and other family members praise, encourage, and attend to things done well by their child, children are less likely to engage in substance use and problem behaviors. School Domain Risk Factors Academic Failure Beginning in the late elementary grades (grades 4-6) academic failure increases the risk of both drug abuse and delinquency. It appears that the experience of failure itself, for whatever reasons, increases the risk of problem behaviors. 21 Table 2. Risk and Protective Factor Scale Definitions (Continued) Low Commitment to School Surveys of high school seniors have shown that the use of hallucinogens, cocaine, heroin, stimulants, and sedatives or non-medically prescribed tranquilizers is significantly lower among students who expect to attend college than among those who do not. Factors such as liking school, spending time on homework, and perceiving the coursework as relevant are also negatively related to drug use. Protective Factors Opportunities for Positive Involvement When young people are given more opportunities to participate meaningfully in important activities at school, they are less likely to engage in drug use and other problem behaviors. Rewards for Positive Involvement When young people are recognized and rewarded for their contributions at school, they are less likely to be involved in substance use and other problem behaviors. Peer-Individual Risk Factors Early Initiation of Antisocial Behavior and Drug Use Early onset of drug use predicts misuse of drugs. The earlier the onset of any drug use, the greater the involvement in other drug use and the greater frequency of use. Onset of drug use prior to the age of 15 is a consistent predictor of drug abuse, and a later age of onset of drug use has been shown to predict lower drug involvement and a greater probability of discontinuation of use. During the elementary school years, most children express anti-drug, anti-crime, and pro-social attitudes Attitudes Favorable Toward Antisocial Behavior and Drug and have difficulty imagining why people use drugs or engage in antisocial behaviors. However, in middle school, as more youth are exposed to others who use drugs and engage in antisocial behavior, Use their attitudes often shift toward greater acceptance of these behaviors. Youth who express positive attitudes toward drug use and antisocial behavior are more likely to engage in a variety of problem behaviors, including drug use. Friends' Use of Drugs Young people who associate with peers who engage in alcohol or substance abuse are much more likely to engage in the same behavior. Peer drug use has consistently been found to be among the strongest predictors of substance use among youth. Even when young people come from well-managed families and do not experience other risk factors, spending time with friends who use drugs greatly increases the risk of that problem developing. Interaction with Antisocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in problem behaviors are at higher risk for engaging in antisocial behavior themselves. Perceived Risk of Drug Use Young people who do not perceive drug use to be risky are far more likely to engage in drug use. Rewards for Antisocial Behavior Young people who receive rewards for their antisocial behavior are at higher risk for engaging further in antisocial behavior and substance use. Rebelliousness Young people who do not feel part of society, are not bound by rules, don’t believe in trying to be successful or responsible, or who take an active rebellious stance toward society, are at higher risk of abusing drugs. In addition, high tolerance for deviance, a strong need for independence and normlessness have all been linked with drug use. Intention to Use ATODs Many prevention programs focus on reducing the intention of participants to use ATODs later in life. Reduction of intention to use ATODs often follows successful prevention interventions. Depressive Symptoms Young people who are depressed are overrepresented in the criminal justice system and are more likely to use drugs. Survey research and other studies have shown a link between depression and other youth problem behaviors. Gang Involvement Youth who belong to gangs are more at risk for antisocial behavior and drug use. Protective Factors Religiosity Young people who regularly attend religious services are less likely to engage in problem behaviors. Social Skills Young people who are socially competent and engage in positive interpersonal relations with their peers are less likely to use drugs and engage in other problem behaviors. Belief in the Moral Order Young people who have a belief in what is “right” or “wrong” are less likely to use drugs. Prosocial Involvement Participation in positive school and community activities helps provide protection for youth. Prosocial Norms Young people who view working hard in school and the community are less likely to engage in problem behavior. Involvement with Prosocial Peers Young people who associate with peers who engage in prosocial behavior are more protected from engaging in antisocial behavior and substance use. 22 Table 3. Number of Students Who Completed the Survey Grade 8 Total Students County County County 2002 2004 2006 213 778 1518 Grade 10 State 2006 26872 County County County 2002 2004 2006 1008 354 813 Table 4. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During Their Lifetime Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 57.7 47.8 52.9 50.4 75.6 62.9 66.0 31.9 31.3 31.8 30.8 52.6 37.6 46.4 3.8 7.0 7.6 8.0 11.1 8.3 9.6 12.7 11.1 16.1 18.3 34.2 19.7 25.8 12.8 12.5 14.8 15.2 10.6 5.4 9.2 0.0 2.6 2.0 2.1 3.6 3.4 2.9 1.4 2.7 4.3 3.6 5.9 4.8 5.9 1.4 n/a n/a n/a 5.5 n/a n/a n/a n/a 3.3 2.6 n/a n/a 6.1 n/a 2.8 n/a n/a n/a 6.0 n/a n/a n/a 3.0 3.4 n/a n/a 4.6 0.9 1.2 1.7 1.4 2.7 1.7 2.0 1.4 n/a n/a n/a 3.5 n/a n/a n/a 8.7 11.9 10.0 n/a 15.9 9.0 2.4 1.5 2.0 1.9 6.8 3.4 2.5 n/a n/a 1.2 1.6 n/a n/a 1.3 n/a n/a 10.2 9.8 n/a n/a 9.4 22.5 26.2 35.8 36.2 38.5 34.4 36.4 Table 5. Percentage of Students Who Used ATODs During the Past 30 Days* Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 2002 Alcohol Cigarettes Chewing Tobacco Marijuana Inhalants Hallucinogens Cocaine Methamphetamines [2002]1 2 Methamphetamines [2006] 3 Stimulants [2004] 4 Stimulants [2006] Heroin 5 Sedatives [2002] 6 Sedatives [2004, 2006] Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Drugs Any Drug 32.7 5.2 2.4 5.8 6.7 0.0 1.0 0.5 n/a n/a n/a 0.0 0.0 n/a 0.5 n/a n/a 12.9 2004 22.5 10.9 2.9 5.3 5.5 1.2 1.4 n/a n/a 1.1 n/a 0.7 n/a 4.3 0.4 n/a n/a 14.3 2006 24.5 9.9 2.7 5.5 7.0 0.9 1.1 n/a 1.0 n/a 1.6 0.5 n/a 5.0 0.5 0.5 4.5 18.1 2006 24.1 10.5 2.7 8.5 6.2 1.0 1.7 n/a 1.0 n/a 1.5 0.7 n/a 4.5 0.8 0.8 4.5 19.7 2002 2004 50.1 14.2 5.4 16.7 3.3 1.7 2.8 2.3 n/a n/a n/a 1.6 1.5 n/a 3.5 n/a n/a 21.0 32.1 12.0 2.9 10.0 1.7 1.4 2.6 n/a n/a 2.6 n/a 0.9 n/a 6.8 1.7 n/a n/a 17.7 2006 41.5 20.7 3.2 11.4 2.4 0.7 2.8 n/a 1.7 n/a 1.6 0.3 n/a 4.8 0.4 0.9 4.2 19.2 Grade 12 State 2006 19581 County County County 2002 2004 2006 550 168 298 State 2006 13948 Grade 12 State 2006 67.6 43.8 11.8 34.0 11.9 4.1 7.6 n/a 5.0 n/a 7.1 2.1 n/a 14.3 3.4 2.0 16.0 47.0 County County County 2002 2004 2006 84.7 67.1 15.4 41.6 6.8 5.0 6.8 8.5 n/a n/a n/a 2.4 3.3 n/a 7.5 n/a n/a 44.9 89.7 74.1 17.7 48.8 7.3 8.6 14.5 n/a n/a 12.1 n/a 2.4 n/a 13.3 5.5 n/a n/a 54.9 71.9 45.2 11.8 32.5 6.9 3.4 10.8 n/a 6.6 n/a 5.8 0.8 n/a 12.4 2.0 0.4 13.3 46.0 State 2006 74.5 50.0 15.6 42.6 9.8 5.6 11.6 n/a 6.6 n/a 8.5 2.8 n/a 17.4 4.4 2.2 20.0 52.8 Grade 12 State 2006 39.2 17.1 4.0 15.7 3.1 1.7 2.9 n/a 1.7 n/a 2.9 0.7 n/a 6.6 1.0 1.0 7.3 25.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 56.7 19.2 7.3 15.9 0.4 1.7 1.7 2.2 n/a n/a n/a 0.9 1.1 n/a 3.6 n/a n/a 18.1 61.0 29.4 4.9 19.0 1.2 4.2 3.6 n/a n/a 4.2 n/a 0.6 n/a 5.5 0.6 n/a n/a 23.8 43.1 19.8 4.6 9.4 1.9 1.5 3.4 n/a 2.3 n/a 2.7 0.4 n/a 4.6 0.0 0.4 4.0 18.5 State 2006 47.0 21.8 5.4 18.1 1.7 1.7 3.3 n/a 1.4 n/a 2.6 0.8 n/a 7.1 0.9 1.0 8.1 26.6 n/a - Indicates a question that was not asked in the 2002, 2004, or 2006 Arizona Youth Surveys. ATOD questions have differed slightly over the years. The differences are as follows. On how many occasions (if any) have you: 1 used methamphetamines (meth, crystal, crank)? [2002] used methamphetamines (meth, speed, crank, or crystal meth)? [2006] 2 3 used stimulants (amphetamines, meth, crystal, crank) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004] used stimulants, other than methamphetamines (such as amphetamines, Ritalin or Dexedrine) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2006] 4 5 used quaaludes, barbiturates or tranquilizers? [2002] used sedatives (tranquilizers, such as Valium or Xanax, barbiturates or sleeping pills) without a doctor telling you to take them? [2004, 2006] 6 *30 day use may appear higher than lifetime use due to missing student responses to the lifetime use question. Note: 2006 'Any Drug' use does not include reported use of steroids or prescription drugs in order to make the 2006 results comparable to previous surveys. Further, the 2002 lifetime use data presented here is derived from a question asking students to report how old they were when they first used each substance. The 2002 lifetime use value reflects those students who indicated any age of first use. 23 Table 6. Percentage of Students With Heavy Use of Alcohol and Cigarettes Grade 8 Grade 10 Drug Used County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2004 2006 Binge Drinking 7.1 14.1 13.1 13.4 27.1 22.1 26.6 1/2 Pack of Cigarettes/Day 0.0 1.0 0.6 1.0 1.8 1.2 1.6 Table 7. Percentage of Students With Antisocial Behavior in the Past Year Grade 8 Grade 10 Behavior County County County State County County County 2002 2004 2006 Suspended from School 10.4 11.9 15.5 Drunk or High at School 5.2 7.6 10.7 Sold Illegal Drugs 2.4 2.8 3.9 Stolen a Vehicle 1.9 4.6 5.0 Been Arrested 5.7 11.6 9.2 Attacked to Harm 9.6 15.9 18.9 Carried a Handgun 2.4 6.3 8.4 Handgun to School 0.0 1.5 1.3 Table 8. Percentage of Students Reporting Protection Grade 8 Protective Factor Community Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Family Domain Family Attachment Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement School Domain Opportunity for Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement Peer-Individual Domain Religiosity Social Skills Belief in the Moral Order Interaction with Prosocial Peers Prosocial Involvement Rewards for Prosocial Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 2006 19.8 13.0 4.9 4.6 8.3 17.9 7.6 1.6 2002 11.9 17.3 7.2 4.2 8.6 12.4 6.3 2.4 2004 14.8 12.7 6.6 6.3 16.6 17.2 8.3 2.6 2006 17.9 17.6 8.0 3.9 11.8 16.9 8.3 1.8 Grade 12 State 2006 22.4 2.4 County County County 2002 2004 2006 32.1 3.7 County County County 2002 2004 2006 30.7 2.3 28.2 3.9 Grade 12 State 2006 15.5 21.1 9.1 4.7 9.3 16.5 7.5 1.6 County County County 2002 2004 2006 8.1 15.4 6.1 2.2 7.5 7.6 4.1 0.4 Grade 10 State 2006 43.2 5.6 State 2006 16.7 27.4 15.1 4.8 15.2 13.1 7.1 2.4 12.4 14.1 8.6 2.8 9.4 15.7 8.1 1.4 State 2006 9.4 21.4 9.8 3.1 7.8 13.2 7.0 1.4 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 55.7 31.0 39.9 31.8 42.0 27.6 38.2 30.4 40.4 40.1 43.7 43.4 34.0 34.1 37.1 36.3 45.6 40.0 35.4 37.5 35.5 37.2 37.6 35.2 49.5 59.9 60.4 43.3 55.2 52.3 43.5 53.1 55.3 48.7 57.4 60.6 40.6 51.0 48.1 44.7 52.4 51.5 41.6 51.9 48.2 44.1 53.0 54.9 55.1 56.0 50.1 48.6 47.3 44.2 48.1 51.7 48.9 57.1 55.9 56.9 66.2 57.3 58.5 55.6 53.6 48.2 59.1 50.7 51.2 61.1 64.8 78.6 51.1 63.6 62.9 62.3 52.4 50.2 47.3 58.9 53.9 53.8 65.2 48.0 * 64.1 54.9 * * * 54.2 62.9 53.7 46.0 38.2 64.3 45.4 56.6 52.7 45.8 35.9 60.7 46.2 58.3 54.3 46.1 37.7 58.8 * 52.2 59.7 * * * 42.2 63.2 67.9 49.1 28.6 69.8 42.9 49.4 63.8 44.6 23.6 63.8 44.3 52.4 62.6 49.6 39.3 61.1 * 69.5 50.8 * * * 76.1 53.9 47.9 35.8 22.6 47.6 70.9 66.4 53.3 43.5 27.7 59.8 70.7 66.0 51.2 48.1 39.1 53.4 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 24 Table 9. Percentage of Students Reporting Risk Grade 8 Risk Factor Community Domain Low Neighborhood Attachment Community Disorganization Transitions & Mobility Laws & Norms Favor Drug Use Perceived Availability of Drugs Perceived Availability of Handguns Family Domain Poor Family Management Family Conflict Family History of Antisocial Behavior Parent Attitudes Favorable to ASB Parent Attitudes Favor Drug Use School Domain Academic Failure Low Commitment to School Peer-Individual Domain Rebelliousness Early Initiation of ASB Early Initiation of Drug Use Attitudes Favorable to ASB Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use Perceived Risk of Drug Use Interaction with Antisocial Peers Friend's Use of Drugs Rewards for ASB Depressive Symptoms Intention to Use Drugs Gang Involvement County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 45.5 35.1 48.0 22.2 39.3 37.8 43.7 57.0 52.9 28.9 35.9 33.9 42.2 52.3 60.6 34.4 34.6 37.3 40.7 48.2 53.7 37.8 38.1 37.0 45.9 51.3 48.0 36.1 48.7 27.5 47.0 60.8 57.7 30.8 44.1 23.9 54.1 69.5 60.6 37.7 43.8 29.4 46.9 57.6 60.4 42.5 48.8 27.6 49.7 49.3 51.1 31.9 49.0 30.2 56.2 65.1 66.7 40.3 56.9 33.3 45.3 55.9 60.8 28.5 44.5 34.3 49.8 52.3 54.9 34.6 51.3 34.1 37.2 40.1 35.4 44.9 23.2 55.3 52.0 43.0 44.4 24.3 49.5 59.0 46.2 50.1 28.1 47.9 52.2 42.7 48.5 29.1 46.3 40.0 41.9 40.9 35.9 47.5 37.4 40.3 45.2 34.8 51.0 38.5 36.9 47.2 39.2 45.0 42.2 43.2 50.0 41.1 44.4 34.0 35.0 40.0 39.4 53.4 34.5 52.4 54.4 49.0 46.6 40.5 42.3 39.9 36.0 44.8 38.3 38.6 45.9 40.1 52.4 39.3 55.3 30.2 52.8 39.6 48.6 41.1 59.0 37.5 49.0 25.4 59.0 34.7 51.6 40.1 54.2 38.3 62.2 46.4 54.7 29.7 44.1 43.0 42.7 29.1 28.6 46.0 25.8 37.4 40.1 39.0 32.2 55.3 * 16.5 38.0 33.5 32.7 44.8 28.3 45.9 53.2 35.2 41.0 59.0 37.5 34.4 47.9 36.5 37.2 46.6 33.2 46.8 59.6 42.6 48.5 48.3 37.4 34.7 43.8 40.2 35.2 46.2 32.4 45.4 58.4 41.3 48.7 45.7 36.5 26.3 46.4 34.6 37.1 52.9 42.8 41.0 55.3 41.1 29.6 57.9 * 25.0 35.2 34.6 26.6 46.4 26.9 33.5 58.7 32.1 27.2 59.5 35.2 33.7 48.3 39.7 33.2 46.2 34.9 37.2 62.0 43.0 37.0 47.0 46.5 39.1 47.5 42.4 36.6 49.7 36.6 39.2 58.1 43.2 45.0 45.5 44.9 23.9 41.1 30.9 36.9 44.5 36.2 37.9 53.6 37.5 32.0 49.5 * 18.1 37.5 51.2 50.3 47.3 40.7 47.0 70.4 48.1 40.2 55.4 40.0 32.3 44.7 37.3 29.8 41.1 27.9 37.8 53.9 28.6 41.2 41.6 25.6 25.5 44.3 38.8 34.1 45.6 34.6 40.5 52.0 35.9 53.8 38.6 29.9 16.3 * Not available, scale not included in 2002 survey 25 Table 10. Percentage of Students Reporting School Safety Issues Grade 8 Question Response County County County 2002 2004 2006 Grade 12 Grade 10 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 County County County 2002 2004 2006 State 2006 0 days During the past 30 days, on how 1 day many days did you carry a weapon 2-3 days such as a gun, knife, or club on 4-5 days school property? (q43) 6 or more days 97.6 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.0 95.3 2.5 0.7 0.3 1.3 93.0 3.0 1.3 0.4 2.4 93.1 3.1 1.6 0.6 1.6 93.1 2.0 1.8 0.4 2.7 94.3 1.7 1.7 0.6 1.7 92.8 3.3 1.3 0.8 1.8 92.7 2.4 1.5 0.7 2.7 94.7 0.7 0.9 0.2 3.5 93.9 1.8 0.6 1.8 1.8 93.6 1.1 0.4 0.7 4.3 94.0 1.4 0.9 0.6 3.0 During the past 30 days, on how many days did you not go to school because you felt you would be unsafe at school or on your way to or from school? (q41) 0 days 1 day 2-3 days 4-5 days 6 or more days 98.1 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 86.9 6.6 4.4 0.8 1.3 88.6 6.3 3.2 0.4 1.4 89.3 6.0 2.8 0.7 1.2 96.4 1.9 0.9 0.0 0.8 88.9 7.7 2.6 0.0 0.9 90.2 5.5 2.0 0.7 1.7 92.2 4.1 2.1 0.5 1.1 96.2 2.5 0.5 0.2 0.5 90.9 1.8 3.0 3.6 0.6 90.5 6.0 2.5 0.4 0.7 95.0 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times has someone threatened or injured you with a weapon such as a gun, knife, or club on school property? (q39) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 94.8 1.4 3.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.3 9.1 3.6 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.8 83.3 9.4 4.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 1.2 84.5 7.7 4.2 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.2 90.2 4.3 3.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 82.3 7.7 3.7 2.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 2.6 86.2 6.9 3.0 1.7 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.9 86.1 6.7 3.9 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.3 92.7 3.6 2.4 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 84.9 7.8 4.8 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.6 0.6 90.0 4.5 2.8 1.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 90.5 4.4 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 During the past 12 months, how many times were you in a physical fight on school property? (q40) 0 times 1 time 2-3 times 4-5 times 6-7 times 8-9 times 10-11 times 12 or more times 88.2 9.0 2.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 72.5 13.7 8.5 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.9 74.7 12.3 7.7 3.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.0 75.4 13.1 7.1 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.0 86.0 7.0 5.0 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.4 77.2 12.8 6.0 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 81.7 9.4 5.2 2.0 0.1 0.7 0.0 0.9 84.3 8.9 4.4 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 92.0 3.8 3.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 84.8 6.7 5.5 2.4 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 91.2 5.6 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.4 91.1 5.5 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 Yuma County 26 Contacts For Prevention Regional Prevention Contacts Arizona Department of Health Services Division of Behavioral Health Services Lisa Shumaker 602-364-4594 www.azdhs.gov/bhs/index.htm Cochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, and Santa Cruz Counties Bill Burnett Community Partnership of Southern Arizona (CPSA) 520-618-8807 Arizona Prevention Resource Center 1-800-432-2772 www.azprevention.org Gila, La Paz, Pinal, and Yuma Counties Linda Weinberg Cenpatico Behavioral Health of Arizona 480-231-7504 Center for Violence Prevention and Community Safety Steve Ballance/Charles Katz 602-543-6174/602-543-6618 steve.ballance@asu.edu/charles.katz@asu.edu Apache, Coconino, Mohave, Navajo, and Yavapai Counties Petrice Post Northern Arizona Regional Behavioral Health Authority (NARBHA) 928-214-2177 Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) http://prevention.samhsa.gov Maricopa County Juan Aristizabal ValueOptions 602-9145844 Governor’s Office of Children, Youth, and Families 602-542-4043 http://www.governor.state.az.us/cyf/index.html Gila River Tribe Marnie McNicholas 602-528-7106 Safe and Drug Free Schools and Communities U.S. Department of Education www.ed.gov/offices/OESE/SDFS Pasqua Yaqui Tribe Jill Fabian 520-879-6067 Arizona Department of Gaming's Office of Problem Gambling Paula Burns 602-266-8299 ext. 351 www.problemgambling.az.gov Navajo Nation Maxine Nakai 928-871-7946 Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMSHA) www.samhsa.gov Colorado River Indian Tribes Iris Leivas 928-669-6577 Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention http://ojjdp.ncjrs.org/ Other State and National Contacts: Western Regional Center for the Application of Prevention Technologies (CAPT) www.westcapt.org Arizona Criminal Justice Commission Michelle Neitch/ Phillip Stevenson 602-364-1173/602-364-1157 www.azcjc.gov Bach Harrison, L.L.C. R. Steven Harrison, Ph.D. 801-359-2064 www.bach-harrison.com Arizona Department of Education Student Services Division www.ade.az.gov 27