OFR-15-04 ADEQ 2015 5-Year Network Assessment This document is the ADEQ 2015 5-year Network Assessment. Included is an executive summary which reports the findings of this assessment, a Ranking Analysis of current ADEQ monitors, and a Spatial Raster Analysis which shows areas of Arizona which potentially could be monitored to protect human health and the environment. ADEQ 5-Year Network Assessment for the Year 2015, Page 1 Table of Contents ADEQ 2015 5-Year Network Assessment.................................................................................................... 1 Table of Contents .......................................................................................................................................... 2 List of Tables ................................................................................................................................................ 3 Table of Figures ............................................................................................................................................ 4 5-Year Network Assessment......................................................................................................................... 5 Purpose and Objective ...................................................................................................................... 5 Executive Summary .......................................................................................................................... 8 Section I: Ranking Analysis........................................................................................................................ 10 Measured Concentrations ................................................................................................................ 12 Deviation from the NAAQS ........................................................................................................... 14 Area Served ..................................................................................................................................... 16 Population Served ........................................................................................................................... 21 Correlation Between Monitors ........................................................................................................ 25 Length of Record ............................................................................................................................ 27 Required Monitor ............................................................................................................................ 29 Distance from Phoenix .................................................................................................................... 31 Parameters Monitored ..................................................................................................................... 33 Final Rankings ................................................................................................................................ 35 Section II: Spatial Raster Analysis.............................................................................................................. 40 Hospitalization Density ................................................................................................................... 41 Sensitive Age Density ..................................................................................................................... 43 Total Population .............................................................................................................................. 45 Point Sources .................................................................................................................................. 47 Traffic Count ................................................................................................................................... 55 Distance Between Monitors ............................................................................................................ 59 Predicted Values ............................................................................................................................. 67 Final Weighted Overlay .................................................................................................................. 72 Section III: Final Conclusions and Recommendations ............................................................................... 80 Final Conclusions and Recommendations by Pollutant Network ................................................... 80 Appendix A – Definitions and Abbreviations............................................................................................. 84 Appendix B – References ........................................................................................................................... 86 ADEQ 5-Year Network Assessment for the Year 2015, Page 2 List of Tables Table 1: Table 2: Table 3: Table 4: Table 5: Table 6: Table 7: Table 8: Table 9: Table 10: Table 11: Table 12: Table 13: Table 14: Table 15: Table 16: Table 17: Table 18: Table 19: Table 20: Table 21: Table 22: Table 23: Table 24: Table 25: Table 26: Table 27: Table 28: Table 29: Table 30: Table 31: Table 32: Table 33: Table 34: Table 35: Table 36: Table 37: Table 38: Table 39: Table 40: Table 41: Table 42: Table 43: Table 44: Ranking Analysis Indicators ................................................................................................... 10 SO2 Instruments by Highest Design Value ............................................................................. 12 O3 Instruments by Highest Design Value ............................................................................... 12 PM10 Instruments by Highest Design Value ........................................................................... 13 PM2.5 Instruments by Highest Design Value........................................................................... 13 SO2 Instruments by Absolute Deviation from the NAAQS .................................................... 14 O3 Instruments by Absolute Deviation from the NAAQS ...................................................... 14 PM10 Instruments by Absolute Deviation from the NAAQS .................................................. 15 PM2.5 Instruments by Absolute Deviation from the NAAQS ................................................. 15 SO2 Instruments by Area Served............................................................................................. 17 O3 Instruments by Area Served ............................................................................................... 18 PM10 Instruments by Area Served ........................................................................................... 19 PM2.5 Instruments by Area Served .......................................................................................... 20 EPA Monitoring Spatial Scales............................................................................................... 21 SO2 Instruments by Population Served ................................................................................... 22 O3 Instruments by Population Served ..................................................................................... 22 PM10 Instruments by Population Served ................................................................................. 22 PM2.5 Instruments by Population Served ................................................................................ 23 SO2 Instruments by Correlation Between Monitors ................................................................ 25 O3 Instruments by Correlation Between Monitors .................................................................. 25 PM10 Instruments by Correlation Between Monitors .............................................................. 26 PM2.5 Instruments by Correlation Between Monitors ............................................................. 26 SO2 Instruments by Length of Record .................................................................................... 27 O3 Instruments by Length of Record ...................................................................................... 27 PM10 Instruments by Length of Record .................................................................................. 28 PM2.5 Instruments by Length of Record .................................................................................. 28 SO2 Instruments by Required Monitor .................................................................................... 29 O3 Instruments by Required Monitor ...................................................................................... 29 PM10 Instruments by Required Monitor .................................................................................. 30 PM2.5 Instruments by Required Monitor ................................................................................. 30 SO2 Instruments by Distance from Phoenix............................................................................ 31 O3 Instruments by Distance from Phoenix .............................................................................. 31 PM10 Instruments by Distance from Phoenix .......................................................................... 32 PM2.5 Instruments by Distance from Phoenix ......................................................................... 32 SO2 Instruments by Parameters Monitored ............................................................................. 33 O3 Instruments by Parameters Monitored ............................................................................... 33 PM10 Instruments by Parameters Monitored ........................................................................... 34 PM2.5 Instruments by Parameters Monitored .......................................................................... 34 Ranking Analysis Pollutant Results from the Survey ............................................................. 35 Weighted SO2 Instrument Results. Unweighted Results in Parentheses................................ 36 Weighted O3 Instrument Results. Unweighted Results in Parentheses .................................. 37 Weighted PM10 Instrument Results. Unweighted Results in Parentheses.............................. 38 Weighted PM2.5 Instrument Results. Unweighted Results in Parentheses ............................. 39 Raster Analysis Indicators ...................................................................................................... 40 ADEQ 5-Year Network Assessment for the Year 2015, Page 3 Table 45: Table 46: Table 47: Table 48: Point Source Minimum Tonnage Threshold ........................................................................... 47 Traffic Count Buffer Sizes ...................................................................................................... 55 Distance Between Monitors Concentric Ring Sizes ............................................................... 59 Spatial Raster Analysis Survey Results .................................................................................. 72 Table of Figures Figure 1: Figure 2: Figure 3: Figure 4: Figure 5: Figure 6: Figure 7: Figure 8: Figure 9: Figure 10: Figure 11: Figure 12: Figure 13: Figure 14: Figure 15: Figure 16: Figure 17: Figure 18: Figure 19: Figure 20: Figure 21: Figure 22: Figure 23: Figure 24: Figure 25: Figure 26: Figure 27: Figure 28: Figure 29: Figure 30: Figure 31: Figure 32: Figure 33: Figure 34: Figure 35: Figure 36: Figure 37: ADEQ’s 2013 Monitoring Sites ................................................................................................ 7 SO2 Thiessen Polygons ........................................................................................................... 17 O3 Thiessen Polygons ............................................................................................................. 18 PM10 Thiessen Polygons ......................................................................................................... 19 PM2.5 Thiessen Polygons......................................................................................................... 20 Population Served by Site ....................................................................................................... 24 Hospitalization Density Map .................................................................................................. 42 Sensitive Age Density Map..................................................................................................... 44 Total Population Map.............................................................................................................. 46 SO2 Point Sources Map ........................................................................................................... 48 O3 Point Sources Map ............................................................................................................. 49 PM10 Point Sources Map ......................................................................................................... 50 PM2.5 Point Sources Map......................................................................................................... 51 CO Point Sources Map ............................................................................................................ 52 NO2 Point Sources Map........................................................................................................... 53 Pb Point Sources Map ............................................................................................................. 54 Traffic Count Map ................................................................................................................... 56 Phoenix Traffic Count Map ..................................................................................................... 57 Tucson Traffic Count Map ...................................................................................................... 58 SO2 Distance Between Monitors Map ..................................................................................... 60 O3 Distance Between Monitors Map ....................................................................................... 61 PM10 Distance Between Monitors Map ................................................................................... 62 PM2.5 Distance Between Monitors Map .................................................................................. 63 CO Distance Between Monitors Map...................................................................................... 64 NO2 Distance Between Monitors Map .................................................................................... 65 Pb Distance Between Monitors Map ....................................................................................... 66 SO2 Predicted Values Map ...................................................................................................... 68 O3 Predicted Values Map ........................................................................................................ 69 PM10 Predicted Values Map .................................................................................................... 70 PM2.5 Predicted Values Map.................................................................................................... 71 SO2 Weighted Spatial Overlay ................................................................................................ 73 O3 Weighted Spatial Overlay .................................................................................................. 74 PM10 Weighted Spatial Overlay .............................................................................................. 75 PM2.5 Weighted Spatial Overlay.............................................................................................. 76 CO Weighted Spatial Overlay ................................................................................................. 77 NO2 Weighted Spatial Overlay ............................................................................................... 78 Pb Weighted Spatial Overlay .................................................................................................. 79 ADEQ 5-Year Network Assessment for the Year 2015, Page 4 5-Year Network Assessment Purpose and Objective The purpose and objectives of this assessment is to determine if the Arizona Department of Environmental Quality’s (ADEQ) ambient air monitoring network meets its monitoring goals and objectives set forth by ADEQ to protect and enhance public health and the environment in Arizona. In supporting these goals, an analysis of ADEQ’s air monitoring network is provided for ADEQ’s air quality professionals for the purpose of determining the adequacy of the network. 40 CFR Part 58.10(d) states the specific requirements for this assessment: The state, or where applicable local, agency shall perform and submit to the EPA Regional Administrator an assessment of the air quality surveillance system every 5 years to determine, at a minimum, if the network meets the monitoring objectives defined in appendix D to this part, whether new sites are needed, whether existing sites are no longer needed and can be terminated, and whether new technologies are appropriate for incorporation into the ambient air monitoring network. The network assessment must consider the ability of existing and proposed sites to support air quality characterization for areas with relatively high populations of susceptible individuals (e.g., children with asthma), and, for any sites that are being proposed for discontinuance, the effect on data users other than the agency itself, such as nearby states and tribes or health effects studies. The state, or where applicable local, agency must submit a copy of this 5-year assessment, along with a revised annual network plan, to the Regional Administrator. In order to achieve the above objectives, the analysis consists of the following:     Executive Summary – A summary of the recommendations and conclusions made by the Air Quality Division. Section I – An instrument-to-instrument Ranking Analysis which determines the comparative importance of each instrument using a variety of indicators. These indictors cover demographic, geographic, economic and regulatory perspectives that are important to air monitoring. The individual instruments in the monitoring network are separated by pollutant and ranked. The ranking is then used for the determination of final recommendations. The purpose of the Ranking Analysis is to determine the adequacy of ADEQ’s current monitoring network and any recommended network modifications. Section II – A Spatial Analysis using a series of raster-based maps representing a variety of indicators. These indicators cover demographic, geographic, and source pollution perspectives that are important to air monitoring. Raster maps are a GIS tool that quantifies areas in Arizona for their importance to air monitoring. The spatial analysis is separated by pollutant and then used for the determination of final recommendations. The purpose of the Spatial Analysis is to determine potential locations or areas where new monitors could be deployed and to identify any areas of over representation. Section III – Recommendations and final conclusions using both the Ranking and Spatial analyses to determine: if the current network meets monitoring objectives, whether new sites are needed, whether existing sites are no longer needed, where areas with relatively high populations of sensitive individuals are located, and whether new technologies are appropriate for incorporating into the existing network. ADEQ 5-Year Network Assessment for the Year 2015, Page 5 The assessment addresses only the criteria pollutants monitored by ADEQ. The criteria pollutants include carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ozone (O3), sulfur dioxide (SO2), particulate matter (both PM10 and PM2.5), and lead (Pb). The assessment uses instrument and site data from the years 2009-2013, as these data are the most current certified five-years of data at the time of the creation of this assessment. All data used are publically available and were taken from EPA’s Air Quality System (AQS), the United States Census Bureau, ADEQ’s permitted emission sources, Arizona Department of Transportation, and the Arizona Department of Health Services. The recommendations stated in this assessment are used to plan for changes in the air monitoring network for the subsequent five years and to be included in the 2016 Annual Network Plan. The recommendations, conclusions, and rankings in this assessment include only sites and areas operated by ADEQ. The final conclusions and recommendations were determined by ADEQ’s Air Quality management. Information included in this report may be helpful to other agencies and organizations in evaluating their monitoring activities. ADEQ 5-Year Network Assessment for the Year 2015, Page 6 Figure 1: ADEQ’s 2013 Monitoring Sites This Map shows all of ADEQ’s monitoring sites in Arizona. This can be used for reference when referring to sites in subsequent sections. State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Page 7 Executive Summary The purpose of this executive summary is to provide a summary of this analysis and the final recommendations and conclusions. The purpose of this analysis to determine the adequacy of ADEQ’s air monitoring network. This is done using two types of analysis: a Ranking Analysis determines which instruments are of greatest and least impact to protecting and enhancing public health and the environment in Arizona; a Spatial Analysis determines which areas of Arizona are being under or over represented by air monitoring. Recommendations for the removal/addition of instruments are determined using both analyses and the full recommendations and conclusions are found in Section II (A) of this document. The conclusions and recommendations were made by ADEQ’s Air Quality management. All results and findings are listed below. 1. Ranking Analysis Results: The ranking scale starts at one, being the highest ranking instrument and therefore the most important to monitoring. SO2 Network Results Site Name Miami Ridgeline Miami Jones Ranch Miami Townsite Hayden Old Jail Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Ranking 4 5 6 1 3 2 O3 Network Results Site Name Flagstaff Middle School Tonto National Mon. Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Queen Valley Prescott College AQD Yuma Supersite PM10 Network Results Ranking 6 5 4 2 3 7 1 Site Name Paul Spur Chemical Lime Plant Douglas Payson Hayden Old Jail Miami Golf Course Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Bullhead City Ajo Rillito Nogales Post Office (Continuous) Nogales Post Office (Filter) Yuma Supersite Ranking 11 5 10 6 12 2 3 9 4 8 7 PM2.5 Network Results Site Name Ranking Douglas Alamo Lake JLG Supersite (Continuous) JLG Supersite (Filter) Nogales Post Office (Continuous) Nogales Post Office (Primary Filter) Nogales Post Office (Secondary Filter) Yuma Supersite 7 1 4 2 6 3 8 5 13 1 2. Ranking Analysis Recommendations:  Removal of the PM10 (POC 1 Filter) and PM2.5 (POC 2 Secondary Filter) instruments at Nogales Post Office. o These instruments are not required and are lowest ranked. A request for their removal should be made in the 2015 Annual Network Plan. These instrument were required before 2013 because they were either the primary or the State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 8 required collocated instruments. When the continuous PM instruments were placed, these instruments became redundant but were not removed at the time. 3. Ranking Analysis Conclusions   Consolidation of the Miami SO2 Network o The three instruments in the Miami SO2 Network are highly correlated and are the three lowest ranked monitors. This indicates that consolidation can be done to better effectively represent the Miami SO 2 non-attainment area without the loss of quality. Special consideration must be taken to follow all requirements under the State Implementation Plan (SIP). Consolation of the Miami SO2 network is subject to requirements in the SO2 nonattainment SIP and any removal or relocation should be made according network modification requirements in 40 CFR Part 58.14. Due to the placement of the Miami Jones Ranch and Miami Townsite locations in 2013, at least three years of data are required in order to be considered for relocation. Thus any modifications to the can be done at earliest in 2016. The JLG Supersite and Yuma Supersite special consideration o These monitoring sites are identified as of particular important to the ADEQ’s air monitoring network. Both of these sites are consistently ranked high compared to the other sites. Yuma Supersite is important as a border transport site and representative of a large MSA. JLG supersite is important due to it long trend and research objectives for the Phoenix area. Any modernization of instrumentation or techniques should be made at these sites first. 4. Spatial Analysis Results See Section II (H) page 72 for the final map results. 5. Spatial Analysis Recommendations    Exploratory PM10 monitoring in the Quartzite, Kingman, and Benson/Willcox areas o This monitoring should be conducted to determine if permanent monitoring should be done for these areas and populations. Low cost sensors and alternative monitoring techniques are recommended to quickly and easily determine ambient concentrations. Exploratory PM2.5 monitoring in the Bullhead City and Benson/Willcox areas o This monitoring should be conducted to determine if permanent monitoring should be done for these areas and populations. Low cost sensors and alternative monitoring techniques are recommended to quickly and easily determine ambient concentrations. Exploratory O3 monitoring in the Kingman, Payson, and Bullhead City areas o This monitoring should be conducted to determine if permanent monitoring should be done for these areas and populations. Low cost sensors and alternative monitoring techniques are recommended to quickly and easily determine ambient concentrations. 6. Spatial Analysis Conclusions   It was determined that ADEQ’s monitoring network is generally satisfactory for Arizona. The minimum monitoring requirements set forth in 40 CFR Part 58 appendix D are being met by ADEQ and monitoring represents all major pollutant and population centers. It was determined that no areas in Arizona were being over represented by ADEQ’s monitoring networks. No removals or relocations of instrument are recommended based on this analysis. State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 9 Section I: Ranking Analysis A Ranking Analysis provides an instrument-to-instrument comparison for ADEQ’s criteria networks. The purpose of the Ranking Analysis is to determine which instruments are most crucial to air monitoring and which can be removed or relocated. The analysis uses indicators to rank instruments for their importance to air monitoring. The indicators serve as a way to quantify different aspects important to monitoring and public health. This is done by assigning a value, known as the Indicator Value, to the individual instruments. The Indicator Values are on a scale from 0-10, with 0 the lowest valued and 10 the highest. The indicators cover regulatory, demographic, geographic, and economic topics. Focusing on one indicator does not give the full picture or status of ADEQ’s monitoring network. Therefore, the Ranking Analysis combines all of the indicators in the Section J: Final Rankings page 35 to give a comprehensive and robust ranking of ADEQ’s monitoring network. Chosen indicators represent a variety of pertinent areas to look at the worth of instruments; e.g. cost-effectiveness, measured concentrations, spatial effectiveness, correlation, and population served. Nine indicators are used in the Ranking Analysis: Table 1: Ranking Analysis Indicators Indicator Description Indicator Type Assigns an indicator value to instruments based on their measured concentrations, with the highest ranking having the highest concentrations. This indicator uses Measured Concentration average design values from the years 2009-2013. It is considered more important to Deviation from the NAAQS Area Served Population Served Monitor to Monitor Correlation Length of Record Required Monitor Distance from Phoenix Parameters Monitored have instruments that measure the highest concentrations. Assigns an indicator value to instruments using the absolute deviance from the NAAQS. Places importance on monitors that are closest to the standard. Instruments that are close to the standard can more easily change attainment status and are thus considered of more important for NAAQS compliance. This indicator uses average design values from the years 2009-2013. Assigns an indicator value based on an instrument’s area of influence. The area of influence is calculated using Theissen polygons. Theissen polygons are polygons surrounding instruments which shown the relative area of representation based on the straight line distance to other instruments. It is considered more important to have instruments that represent large areas. A large area of influence results in a high indicator value. Assigns an indicator valued based on the number of people that an instrument serves. Using the stated spatial scale of each monitor to determine each monitor’s area of representation, population data are laid over the area to determine the represented population. It is considered more important to have instruments that represent the highest population. High population served results in a high indicator value. Using the monthly averages from 2009-2013, each instrument is correlated using Pearson’s R2 correlation coefficient. The maximum correlation to another instrument is used to assign an indicator value. It is considered more important to have instruments that are unique in their measurements. Low correlation with another instrument results in a high indicator value. The indicator value is based on how long the instrument has been operating. A longer history is considered of greater importance to tracking trends and thus is more meaningful for air monitoring. Instruments with the longest record receive a higher indicator value. This is a simple yes or no indicator. If an instrument is required, it receives the highest indicator value. Using the travel distance from Phoenix, instruments are assigned an indicator value from closest to furthest. It is considered more economical to operate instruments that are closest to ADEQ’s center of operation. The closest monitoring receives the highest indicator value. Using the number of individual instruments at a given site, an indicator value is assigned. It is considered more economical to operate instruments at the same site as other instruments. Instrument located at sites with the most number of instruments results in high indicator value. State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 10 Measured Value Measured Value Spatial Population Measured Value Historic Regulatory Cost Analysis Cost Analysis Each indicator uses publically available data and produces an indicator value that is unique to the different instruments. As shown, the indicators represent a wide range of air monitoring considerations, but it is not assumed that each indicator is as important a consideration as another. For this reason, the indicators values are weighed according to their importance. In order to establish weights for the indicators, a survey was conducted and given to air quality professionals at ADEQ. The survey asked the participants to place a value of the indicators. By doing this, some indicators are more heavily weighed than others. The results of the survey were placed on the Indicator Values and a new Weighted Indicator Value was produced. Using the Weighted Indicator Values, the monitoring networks are ranked by averaging the all the values and the highest average value being the most important instrument in the network. The results for the Ranking Analysis are found in Section I (J) page 35. The Final Conclusions and Recommendations (Section III page 80) then uses these rankings to determine the adequacy of ADEQ’s current monitoring network in Arizona. NOTE: Due to the small number of monitors in ADEQ’s Pb, CO, and NO2 networks, they are not analyzed in the Ranking Analysis. ADEQ only operates three Pb sites, one CO site, and two NO2 sites. These networks will be analyzed in Section II page 40. The remaining pollutant networks (SO2, O3, PM10, and PM2.5) are included in the Ranking Analysis. State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 11 Measured Concentrations This indicator assesses monitors based on the concentrations that are measured. The highest valued instrument has the highest average design value over the past five years. Instruments are given an indicator value on a 0-10 scale, with the monitor that has the lowest average design value receiving a value of 0, and the highest receiving a value of 10. Design values were taken from EPA’s AQS database for the years 2009-2013 and were averaged. It is assumed that instruments that measure higher concentrations are more important for the NAAQS, permitted sources, and regulatory compliance because these instruments already have or have the potential to exceed the standard. This indicator does not take into account monitors being used for reasons other than NAAQS compliance. Background, informational, and research oriented monitors provide valuable data to be used for trends and new source permit analysis and may not have high design values. NOTE: PM10 values used in this indicator are the not the design values. The design value for PM10 is the number of exceedances over a three-year period. This results in a design value that does not represent actual ambient concentrations. Therefore, the highest annual PM10 value for each year is used in place of the design value for this and subsequent indicators. 1. Results Results for the Measured Concentrations indicator are given by pollutant. The highest 2009-2013 average is assigned an indicator value of 10 and the lowest a 0. All instruments are assigned a value relative to these highest and lowest values. Table 2: SO 2 Instruments by Highest Design Value AQS ID Site Name Design Value (99th Percentile of 1-hour Maximum Concentration, Averaged over 3 years in ppb) Average 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Indicator Value 2009-2013 Miami Ridgeline 113 123 96 102 117 110.2 04-007-0009 3.84 Miami Jones Ranch N/A N/A N/A N/A 148 148 04-007-0011 5.24 Miami Townsite N/A N/A N/A N/A 117 117 04-007-0012 4.09 Hayden Old Jail 274 314 189 353 256 277.2 04-007-1001 10.00 Alamo Lake N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 04-012-8000 N/A* JLG Supersite 7 6 5 6.1 5.5 5.92 04-013-9997 0.00 *Alamo Lake began operation in 2014 and has not operated long enough to have a valid DV Table 3: O 3 Instruments by Highest Design Value AQS ID Site Name 04-005-1008 04-007-0010 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 04-021-8001 04-025-8033 04-027-8011 Flagstaff Middle School Tonto National Monument Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Queen Valley Prescott College AQD Yuma Supersite Design Value (Annual 4th-highest daily Maximum 8-hour Concentration, Averaged over 3 years in ppb) Average Indicator Value 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 66 68 68 72 69 68.6 1.52 72 70 76 78 72 73.6 6.96 69 73 70 71 76 72 72 78 78 75 76 78 71 79 76 71.6 76.4 74.2 4.78 10.00 7.61 62 67 70 72 65 67.2 0.00 68 76 76 80 73 74.6 8.04 2009-2013 State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 12 Table 4: PM 1 0 Instruments by Highest Design Value AQS ID Site Name Design Value (Highest Annual Value in μg/m3) Average 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Indicator Value 2009-2013 Paul Spur Chemical 49 46 85 194 165 107.8 04-003-0011 Lime Plant 97 83 138 71 251 128.0 04-003-1005 Douglas Red Cross Payson 40 42 39 44 58 44.6 04-007-0008 Hayden Old Jail 225 135 210 250 407 245.4 04-007-1001 N/A 52 129 90.5 04-007-8000 Miami Golf Course N/A N/A Alamo Lake N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 04-012-8000 JLG Supersite 146 74 150 120 262 149.8 04-013-9997 Bullhead City 98 33 132 185 208 131.2 04-015-1003 Ajo 153 77 213 138 299 176.0 04-019-0001 Rillito 106 235 242 239 421 248.6 04-019-0020 Nogales Post Office 238 191 161 169 272 206.2 04-023-0004 (Continuous) Nogales Post Office 123 96 126 102 89 107.2 04-023-0004 (Filter) Yuma Supersite 306 124 225 274 640 313.8 04-027-8011 *Alamo Lake began operation in 2013 and has not operated long enough to have a valid DV Table 5: 2.35 3.10 0.00 7.46 1.71 N/A* 3.91 3.22 4.88 7.58 6.00 2.33 10.00 PM 2 . 5 Instruments by Highest Design Value AQS ID Site Name Design Value (98th Percentile of Annual Values, Averaged over 3 years in μg/m3) Average 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Indicator Value 2009-2013 Douglas Red Cross 13.5 13.5 13.0 12.1 12.2 12.86 0.00 Alamo Lake N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A* JLG Supersite 24.0 15.9 26.4 19.0 21.6 21.38 04-013-9997 5.51 (Continuous) JLG Supersite 24.0 15.9 23.0 27.0 23.5 22.68 04-013-9997 6.35 (Filter) Nogales Post Office 29.7 31.6 27.2 25.9 27.2 28.32 04-023-0004 10.00 (Continuous) Nogales Post Office (Primary 29.7 31.6 27.2 25.9 25.5 27.98 04-023-0004 9.78 Filter) Nogales Post Office (Secondary 29.2 32.5 26.2 15.7 18.2 24.36 04-023-0004 7.44 Filter) Yuma Supersite 15.4 13.5 15.6 15.8 17 15.46 04-027-8011 1.68 *Alamo Lake began operation in 2013 and has not operated long enough to have a valid DV 04-003-1005 04-012-8000 State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 13 Deviation from the NAAQS This indicator assesses monitors based on the absolute deviation of measured concentrations from the NAAQS. The most important instrument in each network has the lowest deviation from the NAAQS using the average design value over the past five years. Each pollutant network is assessed on a 0-10 scale, with the instrument that is furthest from the standard receiving a value of 0, and the closest receiving a value of 10. Design values were taken from EPA’s AQS database for the years 2009-2013 and averaged to obtain the final value. It is assumed that monitors with measured concentrations that are closest to the NAAQS are most important to determine NAAQS compliance and have greater regulatory significance. The reasoning for this indicator is to identify monitors that could most easily be pushed into either attainment or nonattainment status. As with the measured concentration indicator, this indicator does not take into account monitors being used for reasons other than NAAQS compliance. Background, informational, and research oriented monitors provide valuable data to be used for trends and new source permit analysis and may not have high design values. 1. Results Results for the Deviation from the NAAQS indicator are given by pollutant. The minimum deviation from the NAAQS using the 2009-2013 average is assigned an indicator value of 10 and the maximum a 0. All instruments are assigned a value relative to these highest and lowest values. Table 6: SO 2 Instruments by Absolute Deviation from the NAAQS Design Value (99th Percentile of 1-hour Max Concentration, Averaged over 3 years in ppb) AQS ID Site Name Abs. Dev. 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 from 75 ppb Miami Ridgeline 113 123 96 102 117 110.2 35.2 04-007-0009 Miami Jones Ranch N/A N/A N/A N/A 148 148.0 73.0 04-007-0011 Miami Townsite N/A N/A N/A N/A 117 117.0 42.0 04-007-0012 Hayden Old Jail 274 314 189 353 256 277.2 202.2 04-007-1001 Alamo Lake N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 04-012-8000 JLG Supersite 7 6 5 6.1 5.5 5.92 69.08 04-013-9997 *Alamo Lake began operation in 2014 and has not operated long enough to have a valid DV Table 7: Average 20092013 Indicator Value 10.00 7.74 9.59 0.00 N/A* 7.97 O 3 Instruments by Absolute Deviation from the NAAQS Design Value (Annual 4th-highest daily maximum 8hour concentration, Averaged over 3 years in ppb) AQS ID Site Name 04-005-1008 04-007-0010 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 04-021-8001 04-025-8033 04-027-8011 Flagstaff Middle School Tonto National Monument Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Queen Valley Prescott College AQD Yuma Supersite Abs. Dev. from 75 ppb Indicator Value 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Average 20092013 66 68 68 72 69 68.6 6.4 1.89 72 70 76 78 72 73.6 1.4 8.65 69 73 70 62 68 71 76 72 67 76 72 78 78 70 76 75 76 78 72 80 71 79 76 65 73 71.6 76.4 74.2 67.2 74.6 3.4 1.4 0.8 7.8 0.4 5.95 8.65 9.46 0.00 10.00 State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 14 Table 8: PM 1 0 Instruments by Absolute Deviation from the NAAQS Highest Annual Value in μg/m3 AQS ID Site Name 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Average 20092013 Abs. Dev. from 150 μg/m3 Paul Spur Chemical 49 46 85 194 165 107.8 42.2 Lime Plant Douglas Red Cross 97 83 138 71 251 128.0 22 04-003-1005 Payson 40 42 39 44 58 44.6 105.4 04-007-0008 Hayden Old Jail 225 135 210 250 407 245.4 95.4 04-007-1001 Miami Golf Course N/A N/A N/A 52 129 90.5 59.5 04-007-8000 Alamo Lake N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 04-012-8000 JLG Supersite 146 74 150 120 262 149.8 0.2 04-013-9997 Bullhead City 98 33 132 185 208 131.2 18.8 04-015-1003 Ajo 153 77 213 138 299 176.0 26 04-019-0001 Rillito 106 235 242 239 421 248.6 98.6 04-019-0020 Nogales Post Office 238 191 161 169 272 206.2 56.2 04-023-0004 (Continuous) Nogales Post Office 123 96 126 102 89 107.2 42.8 04-023-0004 (Filter) Yuma Supersite 306 124 225 274 640 313.8 163.8 04-027-8011 *Alamo Lake began operation in 2013 and has not operated long enough to have a valid DV 04-003-0011 Table 9: Indicator Value 7.43 8.67 3.57 4.18 6.38 N/A* 10.00 8.86 8.42 3.99 6.58 7.40 0.00 PM 2 . 5 Instruments by Absolute Deviation from the NAAQS Design Value (98th Percentile of Annual Values, Averaged over 3 years in μg/m3) AQS ID Site Name 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Average 20092013 Abs. Dev. from 35 μg/m3 22.14 N/A Douglas Red Cross 13.5 13.5 13.0 12.1 12.2 12.86 Alamo Lake N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A JLG Supersite 24.0 15.9 26.4 19.0 21.6 21.38 13.62 04-013-9997 (Continuous) 24.0 15.9 23.0 27.0 23.5 22.68 6.68 04-013-9997 JLG Supersite (Filter) Nogales Post Office 29.7 31.6 27.2 25.9 27.2 28.32 19.54 04-023-0004 (Continuous) Nogales Post Office 29.7 31.6 27.2 25.9 25.5 27.98 7.02 04-023-0004 (Primary Filter) Nogales Post Office 29.2 32.5 26.2 15.7 18.2 24.36 10.64 04-023-0004 (Secondary Filter) Yuma Supersite 15.4 13.5 15.6 15.8 17 15.46 12.32 04-027-8011 *Alamo Lake began operation in 2013 and has not operated long enough to have a valid DV 04-003-1005 04-012-8000 State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 15 Indicator Value 0.00 N/A* 5.51 6.35 10.00 9.78 7.44 1.68 Area Served This indicator assesses monitors based on the area of influence. All instruments in Arizona, including all state, local, and tribal monitors are used to show the instrument’s area of representation. Theissen polygons are polygons that surround an instrument used to show its area of representation. These are drawn by locating the midway point between monitors and creating multisided polygons surrounding each monitor. The area in square-miles of each polygon is used to assess instruments on a 0-10 scale, with the monitor that has the largest area receiving a value of 10 and the smallest receiving a value of 0. Monitor location data were taken from EPA’s AQS database. It is assumed that monitors that cover the largest areas are of higher significance to air monitoring in Arizona because it represents the largest unique geographic area and are sampling a unique parcel of air. Instruments that are close together generally measure the same concentration, therefore it would be advantageous to operate an instrument that covers the largest area. Instruments on the edge of urban areas or background type monitors typically have a larger area of influence. This indicator has disadvantages in that each pollutant cannot be represented over a very large area because of meteorology or topographic changes. Some polygons are so large that it shows a monitor having a representation of half the state. The monitors in these very large areas would not actually be representative of ambient concentrations in the entire area; therefore, this indicator is purely spatial in nature. State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 16 1. Results Results for the Area Served indicator are given by pollutant. The maximum area served is assigned an indicator value of 10 and the minimum a 0. All instruments are assigned a value relative to these highest and lowest values. Table 10: SO 2 Instruments by Area Served AQS ID Site Name 04-007-0009 04-007-0011 04-007-0012 04-007-1001 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 Miami Ridgeline Miami Jones Ranch Miami Townsite Hayden Old Jail Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Area Served (sqmi) Indicator Value 30484 323 4321 8770 52064 10483 5.85 0.00 0.78 1.64 10.00 1.97 Figure 2: SO2 Thiessen Polygons State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 17 Table 11: O 3 Instruments by Area Served AQS ID Site Name 04-005-1008 04-007-0010 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 04-021-8001 04-025-8033 04-027-8011 Flagstaff Middle School Tonto National Monument Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Queen Valley Prescott College AQD Yuma Supersite Area Served (sqmi) Indicator Value 8046 4.32 5578 2.99 18609 19 1583 10.00 0.00 0.84 5224 2.80 15384 8.27 Figure 3: O3 Thiessen Polygons State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 18 Table 12: PM 1 0 Instruments by Area Served AQS ID Site Name 04-003-0011 04-003-1005 04-007-0008 04-007-1001 04-007-8000 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 04-015-1003 04-019-0001 04-019-0020 04-023-0004 04-023-0004 04-027-8011 Paul Spur Chemical Lime Plant Douglas Red Cross Payson Hayden Old Jail Miami Golf Course Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Bullhead City Ajo Rillito Nogales Post Office (Continuous) Nogales Post Office (Filter) Yuma Supersite Area Served (sqmi) Indicator Value 2468 2.07 3748 4419 885 1650 7886 17 8963 10819 290 3.15 3.72 0.73 1.38 6.64 0.00 7.55 9.12 0.23 2126 1.78 2126 1.78 11860 10.00 Figure 4: PM10 Thiessen Polygons State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 19 Table 13: PM 2 . 5 Instruments by Area Served AQS ID Site Name 04-003-1005 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 04-013-9997 04-023-0004 04-023-0004 04-023-0004 04-027-8011 Douglas Red Cross Alamo Lake JLG Supersite (Continuous) JLG Supersite (Filter) Nogales Post Office (Continuous) Nogales Post Office (Primary Filter) Nogales Post Office (Secondary Filter) Yuma Supersite Area Served (sqmi) Indicator Value 7538 24968 3.01 10.00 30 0.00 30 0.00 4713 1.88 4713 1.88 4713 1.88 16176 6.47 Figure 5: PM2.5 Thiessen Polygons State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 20 Population Served This indicator assesses instruments by the number of people that it represents. Instruments have a stated spatial scale related to their monitoring objectives and purposes, ranging from a few meters to global. EPA’s spatial scales and distances are found in Table 14. The spatial scales of monitors are determined by ADEQ before installation and recorded in AQS and in the Network Plan. The EPA confirms the spatial scale. The spatial scale distances are effectively a radius of a circle in which the concentration readings are relatively uniform. Using the spatial scale of each monitor, population data are laid over the spatial scale areas and the number of individuals in that area are counted to determine the population served. Population data are broken up into census blocks (small areas of population data). To calculate the population in the spatial scale area, total population data were superimposed with the spatial scale circle and then calculated in ArcGIS. The population in each spatial scale circle is used to assess monitors on a 0-10 scale, with the monitor that has the greatest population receiving a value of 10 and the smallest receiving a value of 0. Population data are taken from the 2010 US Census. It is assumed that a monitor that represents the largest population is of greatest significance. There are many advantages of using the spatial scale of each monitor to calculate the population served. Monitors are specifically sited to represent the area and population directly surrounding the site. The siting takes into account pollutant sources, roadways, topography, and meteorological considerations to represent the stated spatial scale. This indicator has disadvantages in that it does not take into account the specific purpose of each monitor (background, regional, source specific). Some instruments are not population oriented thus may not represent a large number of people. This is dealt with by only ranking the neighborhood scale type of monitors in each pollutant network as the neighborhood scale is population oriented. NOTE: Since this indicator is population oriented, instruments whose purposes are not for population exposure bias the population results. ADEQ mainly monitors for population exposure using the neighborhood spatial scale. Since this scale is the predominate type for pollutant networks, the ranking values are based on these monitors. Regional scale monitors receive a ranking value of 10. Micro scale and middle scale monitors receive a ranking value of 0. Also, since JLG Supersite is located in a geographic, demographic, and urban anomaly compared to the rest of ADEQ’s monitors, it also receives a ranking value of 10. All other monitors are ranked on a 0-10 scale. Table 14: EPA Monitoring Spatial Scales Type Distance Micro <100 meters Middle 0.1-0.5 kilometers Neighborhood 0.5-4.0 kilometers Urban 4.0-50.0 kilometers Regional National and Global Description Defines the concentrations in air volumes associated with area dimensions ranging from several meters up to about 100 meters. Defines the concentration typical of areas up to several city blocks in size with dimensions ranging from about 100 meters to 0.5 kilometer. Defines concentrations within some extended area of the city that has relatively uniform land use with dimensions in the 0.5 to 4.0 kilometers range. The neighborhood and urban scales listed below have the potential to overlap in applications that concern secondarily formed or homogeneously distributed air pollutants. Defines concentrations within an area of city-like dimensions, on the order of 4 to 50 kilometers. Within a city, the geographic placement of sources may result in there being no single site that can be said to represent air quality on an urban scale. Tens to Defines usually a rural area of reasonably homogeneous geography hundreds of without large sources, and extends from tens to hundreds of kilometers. kilometers* A whole nation These measurement scales represent concentrations characterizing the or the entire nation and the globe as a whole. globe *For purposes of this report, regional scale monitors use a radius of 100km State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 21 1. Results Results for the Population Served indicator are given by pollutant. The maximum population served is assigned an indicator value of 10 and the minimum a 0. All instruments are assigned a value relative to these highest and lowest values. Removing the regional scale, middle scale, and JLG Supersite from the Indicator Value scale results in Yuma Supersite having the largest population served of 54,096 individuals. Table 15: SO 2 Instruments by Population Served AQS ID Site Name 04-007-0009 04-007-0011 04-007-0012 04-007-1001 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 Table 16: Miami Ridgeline Miami Jones Ranch Miami Townsite Hayden Old Jail Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Population Served Indicator Value Neighborhood Neighborhood Neighborhood Neighborhood Regional Neighborhood 5,495 3,797 3,791 1,060 141,708 127,039 0.84 0.52 0.51 0.00 10.00 10.00 Spatial Scale Population Served Indicator Value Neighborhood 41,273 7.58 Regional 4,450,878 10.00 Regional Neighborhood Regional 141,708 127,039 5,533,563 10.00 10.00 10.00 Neighborhood 29,765 5.41 Neighborhood 54,096 10.00 Spatial Scale Population Served Indicator Value Middle 0.6 0.00 Neighborhood Neighborhood Neighborhood Neighborhood Regional Neighborhood Neighborhood Neighborhood Middle 18,860 14,841 1,060 8,615 141,708 127,039 6,421 3,226 142 3.36 2.60 0.00 1.42 10.00 10.00 1.01 0.41 0.00 Neighborhood 15,910 2.80 Neighborhood 15,910 2.80 Neighborhood 54,096 10.00 O 3 Instruments by Population Served AQS ID Site Name 04-005-1008 04-007-0010 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 04-021-8001 04-025-8033 04-027-8011 Table 17: Spatial Scale Flagstaff Middle School Tonto National Monument Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Queen Valley Prescott College AQD Yuma Supersite PM 1 0 Instruments by Population Served AQS ID Site Name 04-003-0011 04-003-1005 04-007-0008 04-007-1001 04-007-8000 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 04-015-1003 04-019-0001 04-019-0020 04-023-0004 04-023-0004 04-027-8011 Paul Spur Chemical Lime Plant Douglas Red Cross Payson Hayden Old Jail Miami Golf Course Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Bullhead City Ajo Rillito Nogales Post Office (Continuous) Nogales Post Office (Filter) Yuma Supersite State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 22 Table 18: PM 2 . 5 Instruments by Population Served AQS ID Site Name 04-003-1005 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 04-013-9997 04-023-0004 04-023-0004 04-023-0004 04-027-8011 Douglas Red Cross Alamo Lake JLG Supersite (Continuous) JLG Supersite (Filter) Nogales Post Office (Continuous) Nogales Post Office (Primary Filter) Nogales Post Office (Secondary Filter) Yuma Supersite Spatial Scale Population Served Indicator Value Neighborhood Regional 18,860 141,708 3.36 10.00 Neighborhood 127,039 10.00 Neighborhood 127,039 10.00 Neighborhood 15,910 2.80 Neighborhood 15,910 2.80 Neighborhood 15,910 2.80 Neighborhood 54,096 10.00 State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 23 Figure 6: Population Served by Site State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 24 Correlation Between Monitors This indicator assesses instruments based on how well each monitor correlates with other monitors. The correlation used is Pearson’s R2 or coefficient of determination and it is a measure of linear correlation between two data sets, giving a value between 0.0 and 1.0. The maximum correlation for every instrument is used by this indicator to assess an instrument’s statistical uniqueness. The highest assessed instrument in each network has the lowest correlation from other instruments over the past five years (20092013). Each pollutant network is assessed on a 0-10 scale, with the monitor that correlates best receiving a value of 0, and the most unique instrument receiving a value of 10. Daily average concentration data were taken from EPA’s AQS database for the years 2009-2013 and averaged into monthly means. Monthly means were chosen to determine if sites on a large scale are similar to one other. All monitors in the pollutant networks in Arizona were used to determine correlation for each of ADEQ’s monitors. Data were used from Maricopa County Air Quality Department (MCAQD), Pinal County Air Quality Control District (PCAQD), Pima County Department of Environmental County (PDEQ), tribal monitors, and the National Park Service and taken from EPA’s AQS database. It is assumed that monitors that are most different from other monitors are most important because they may have a unique data set that is not represented elsewhere. If monitors correlate well with each other, then they may be monitoring the same pollutant sources and in the same area. This would be beneficial to determine which monitors are suitable for removal/relocation. This indicator has disadvantages in that it does not take into account the requirements for collocation of monitors. The purpose of a collocated monitor is to ensure that there is good correlation; therefore, in these circumstances it would be advantageous to have monitors that correlate well. 1. Results Results for the Correlation Between Monitors indicator are given by pollutant. The least correlated instrument is assigned an indicator value of 10 and the most a 0. All instruments are assigned a value relative to these highest and lowest values. Table 19: SO 2 Instruments by Correlation Between Monitors AQS ID Site Name Maximum Correlation Highest Correlated Instrument Indicator Value Miami Ridgeline 0.771 Miami Townsite 04-007-0009 Miami Jones Ranch 0.670 Miami Ridgeline 04-007-0011 Miami Townsite 0.771 Miami Ridgeline 04-007-0012 Hayden Old Jail 0.152 Children’s Park NCore 04-007-1001 Alamo Lake N/A N/A 04-012-8000 JLG Supersite 0.590 Miami Jones Ranch 04-013-9997 *Alamo Lake began operation in 2014 and has not operated long for the correlation Table 20: 0.00 1.62 0.00 10.00 N/A* 2.91 O 3 Instruments by Correlation Between Monitors AQS ID Site Name Maximum Correlation Highest Correlated Instrument Indicator Value Flagstaff Middle School 0.925 Prescott College AQD 04-005-1008 6.17 Tonto National Monument 0.938 Queen Valley 04-007-0010 4.81 Alamo Lake 0.932 Prescott College 04-012-8000 5.49 JLG Supersite 0.987 West Phoenix 04-013-9997 0.00 Queen Valley 0.940 Saguaro Park 04-021-8001 4.69 Prescott College AQD 0.932 Alamo Lake 04-025-8033 5.49 Yuma Supersite 0.886 Alamo Lake 04-027-8011 10.00 Note: All of the O3 monitors correlate very well with each other, all having a minimum correlation coefficient of 0.886. This indicates that O3 is a regional issue and not a microscale problem. State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 25 Table 21: PM 1 0 Instruments by Correlation Between Monitors AQS ID Site Name 04-003-0011 Paul Spur Chemical Lime Plant Maximum Correlation Highest Correlated Instrument Indicator Value 0.424 Douglas Red Cross 7.55 Paul Spur Chem Lime Plant Payson 0.277 Prince Road 04-007-0008 Hayden Old Jail 0.551 Green Valley 04-007-1001 Miami Golf Course 0.488 Hayden Old Jail 04-007-8000 Alamo Lake N/A N/A 04-012-8000 JLG Supersite 0.880 Central Phoenix 04-013-9997 Bullhead City 0.468 Durango Complex 04-015-1003 Ajo 0.516 Central Phoenix 04-019-0001 Rillito 0.519 Green Valley 04-019-0020 Nogales Post Office Nogales Post Office 0.697 04-023-0004 (Continuous) (Filter) Nogales Post Office Nogales Post Office (Filter) 0.697 04-023-0004 (Continuous) Yuma Supersite 0.423 Bullhead City 04-027-8011 *Alamo Lake began operation in 2013 and has not operated long for the correlation 04-003-1005 Table 22: Douglas Red Cross 0.424 7.56 10.00 5.45 6.50 N/A* 0.00 6.83 6.02 5.99 3.03 3.03 7.57 PM 2 . 5 Instruments by Correlation Between Monitors AQS ID Site Name 0.208 N/A Highest Correlated Instrument Yuma Supersite N/A Nogales Post Office 0.840 04-013-9997 JLG Supersite (Continuous) (Continuous) JLG Supersite (Filter) 0.839 West Phoenix 04-013-9997 Nogales Post Office Nogales Post Office 0.945 04-023-0004 (Continuous) (Primary Filter) Nogales Post Office Nogales Post Office 0.964 04-023-0004 (Primary Filter) (Secondary Filter) Nogales Post Office Nogales Post Office 0.964 04-023-0004 (Secondary Filter) (Primary Filter) Yuma Supersite 0.303 Cowtown 04-027-8011 *Alamo Lake began operation in 2013 and has not operated long for the correlation 04-003-1005 04-012-8000 Douglas Red Cross Alamo Lake Maximum Correlation Indicator Value 10 N/A* State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 26 1.63 1.65 0.25 0.00 0.00 8.74 Length of Record The length of record indicator values instruments based on their length of record. Greater length of record provides valuable trends data that new monitors do not have. It is assumed that monitors with the longest record are most valuable, and are ranked the highest in each network. The number of monitoring years for this ranking are taken from the number of continuous years of operation for every instrument. If there is a collocated monitor at a site, then the separate monitors have different time periods in order to more accurately rank them against each other. Pollutant networks are assessed on a 0-10 scale, with the monitor that has the shortest record receiving a value of 0, and the longest receiving a value of 10. It is assumed that a monitor has greater regulatory and research significance if it has been operating in the same location for a longer period of time and therefore long term trends can be produced with greater confidence. Having a long trend record helps support achievement of the standard in nonattainment areas and also aids in air quality related research by providing a larger and more accurate dataset. This indicator has disadvantages in that it tracks the trends of individual monitors when sites are collocated rather than the primary instrument. For example in Nogales, the primary PM2.5 instrument has recently been upgraded, but the secondary instrument has been in operation for many more years. This indicator values the instrument that has been in operation for longer. Also, due to constant advances in technology, it is more advantageous to have a newer instrument rather than older ones. Newer monitors can also give continuous data on an hourly or even minute basis as opposed to a daily basis. These newer monitors have a shorter time period and thus are ranked lower. 1. Results Results for the Length of Record indicator are given by pollutant. The longest record instrument is assigned an indicator value of 10 and the shortest a 0. All instruments are assigned a value relative to these highest and lowest values. Table 23: SO 2 Instruments by Length of Record AQS ID Site Name 04-007-0009 04-007-0011 04-007-0012 04-007-1001 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 Table 24: Miami Ridgeline Miami Jones Ranch Miami Townsite Hayden Old Jail Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Length of Record (Years) Indicator Value 20 2 2 40 1 10 5.00 0.50 0.50 10 0.25 2.50 Length of Record (Years) Indicator Value 7 3.18 13 5.91 10 22 17 4.55 10 7.73 7 3.18 7 3.18 O 3 Instruments by Length of Record AQS ID Site Name 04-005-1008 04-007-0010 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 04-021-8001 04-025-8033 04-027-8011 Flagstaff Middle School Tonto National Monument Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Queen Valley Prescott College AQD Yuma Supersite State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 27 Table 25: PM 1 0 Instruments by Length of Record AQS ID Site Name 04-003-0011 04-003-1005 04-007-0008 04-007-1001 04-007-8000 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 04-015-1003 04-019-0001 04-019-0020 04-023-0004 04-023-0004 04-027-8011 Table 26: Length of Record (Years) Indicator Value 24 7.06 17 24 34 3 2 22 18 24 30 5.00 7.06 10.00 0.88 0.59 6.47 5.29 7.06 8.82 12 3.53 28 8.24 6 1.76 Length of Record (Years) Indicator Value 15 2 9.38 1.25 4 2.50 16 10.00 2 1.25 16 10.00 16 10.00 5 3.13 Paul Spur Chemical Lime Plant Douglas Red Cross Payson Hayden Old Jail Miami Golf Course Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Bullhead City Ajo Rillito Nogales Post Office (Continuous) Nogales Post Office (Filter) Yuma Supersite PM 2 . 5 Instruments by Length of Record AQS ID Site Name 04-003-1005 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 04-013-9997 04-023-0004 04-023-0004 04-023-0004 04-027-8011 Douglas Red Cross Alamo Lake JLG Supersite (Continuous) JLG Supersite (Filter) Nogales Post Office (Continuous) Nogales Post Office (Primary Filter) Nogales Post Office (Secondary Filter) Yuma Supersite State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 28 Required Monitor The required monitor indicator is a regulatory type indicator and is a simple yes or no. Regulations in 40 CFR Part 58 Appendix D contain minimum monitoring requirements per Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA). Some pollutant networks require minimum monitoring based on populations, pollutant concentrations, or source emissions. Any additionally required instrument are subject to the EPA regional administrator and therefore the number of required instruments in an area may be more or less than what is stated in the CFR. If a monitor is required under minimum monitoring requirements in the CFR or by the regional administrator, it receives the highest value of 10; if it is not required, it receives a value of 0. It is assumed that it is more important to have a monitor that is required by EPA. The minimum requirements for monitoring were created to set the standard needed for monitoring for any given situation. This indicator has disadvantages in that it does not take into account the full breadth of monitoring needed to fully characterize a unique area’s ambient air quality. 1. Results Results for the Required Monitor indicator are given by pollutant. The required monitors are assigned an indicator value of 10 and the non-required a 0. Table 27: SO 2 Instruments by Required Monitor AQS ID Site Name 04-007-0009 04-007-0011 04-007-0012 04-007-1001 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 Table 28: Miami Ridgeline Miami Jones Ranch Miami Townsite Hayden Old Jail Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Required Monitor? Indicator Value Yes 10 Yes 10 Yes 10 Yes 10 No Yes 0 10 Required Monitor? Indicator Value Yes 10 Yes 10 Yes Yes Yes 10 10 10 Yes 10 Yes 10 O 3 Instruments by Required Monitor AQS ID Site Name 04-005-1008 04-007-0010 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 04-021-8001 04-025-8033 04-027-8011 Flagstaff Middle School Tonto National Monument Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Queen Valley Prescott College AQD Yuma Supersite State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 29 Table 29: PM 1 0 Instruments by Required Monitor AQS ID Site Name 04-003-0011 04-003-1005 04-007-0008 04-007-1001 04-007-8000 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 04-015-1003 04-019-0001 04-019-0020 04-023-0004 04-023-0004 04-027-8011 Table 30: Required Monitor? Indicator Value Yes 10 Yes 10 Yes 10 Yes 10 Yes 10 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 10 10 10 10 10 Yes 10 No 0 Yes 10 Paul Spur Chemical Lime Plant Douglas Red Cross Payson Hayden Old Jail Miami Golf Course Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Bullhead City Ajo Rillito Nogales Post Office (Continuous) Nogales Post Office (Filter) Yuma Supersite PM 2 . 5 Instruments by Required Monitor AQS ID Site Name 04-003-1005 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 04-013-9997 04-023-0004 04-023-0004 04-023-0004 04-027-8011 Douglas Red Cross Alamo Lake JLG Supersite (Continuous) JLG Supersite (Filter) Nogales Post Office (Continuous) Nogales Post Office (Primary Filter) Nogales Post Office (Secondary Filter) Yuma Supersite Required Monitor? Indicator Value Yes 10 Yes 10 Yes 10 Yes 10 Yes 10 Yes 10 No 0 Yes 10 State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 30 Distance from Phoenix The distance from Phoenix indicator is a cost based indicator which uses the road distance between the ADEQ’s Phoenix main office and each site location. All instruments in ADEQ’s pollutant networks are assessed against each other on a scale of 0-10, with the monitor furthest away from Phoenix receiving a value of 0, and the closest a value of 10. It is assumed that it is more economically viable to operate sites that are closer to the Phoenix main office because air monitoring operations are based in Phoenix. As part of the data quality management, required quality control checks on instruments are made frequently on monitors. Travel to the sites is a required component of operations, and all travel costs (vehicle mileage, fuel, staff time) are the consideration for this indicator. This indicator has disadvantages in that it does not take into account the need and desire of ADEQ to enhance the public health in all of Arizona. It can be interpreted as favoring those that live in the greater Phoenix metropolitan area, but this indicator is purely economic in nature and ADEQ does not support favoring any population over another. This indicator also does not take into account the possibility of combining trips when maintaining and performing quality control checks at each site. 1. Results Results for the Distance from Phoenix indicator are given by pollutant. The minimum distance from ADEQ is assigned an indicator value of 10 and the maximum a 0. All instruments are assigned a value relative to these highest and lowest values. Table 31: SO 2 Instruments by Distance from Phoenix AQS ID Site Name 04-007-0009 04-007-0011 04-007-0012 04-007-1001 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 Table 32: Miami Ridgeline Miami Jones Ranch Miami Townsite Hayden Old Jail Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Distance in Miles Indicator Value 82 6.73 82 6.73 82 95 134 5 6.73 6.22 4.66 9.80 O 3 Instruments by Distance from Phoenix AQS ID Site Name 04-005-1008 04-007-0010 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 04-021-8001 04-025-8033 04-027-8011 Flagstaff Middle School Tonto National Monument Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Queen Valley Prescott College AQD Yuma Supersite Distance in Miles Indicator Value 152 3.94 109 5.66 134 5 56 4.66 9.80 7.77 99 6.06 184 2.67 State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 31 Table 33: PM 1 0 Instruments by Distance from Phoenix AQS ID Site Name 04-003-0011 04-003-1005 04-007-0008 04-007-1001 04-007-8000 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 04-015-1003 04-019-0001 04-019-0020 04-023-0004 04-023-0004 04-027-8011 Table 34: Paul Spur Chemical Lime Plant Douglas Red Cross Payson Hayden Old Jail Miami Golf Course Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Bullhead City Ajo Rillito Nogales Post Office (Continuous) Nogales Post Office (Filter) Yuma Supersite Distance in Miles Indicator Value 234 0.68 234 0.68 89 95 6.45 6.22 82 6.73 134 5 251 111 97 4.66 9.80 0.00 5.58 6.14 179 2.87 179 2.87 184 2.67 PM 2 . 5 Instruments by Distance from Phoenix AQS ID Site Name 04-003-1005 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 04-013-9997 04-023-0004 04-023-0004 04-023-0004 04-027-8011 Douglas Red Cross Alamo Lake JLG Supersite (Continuous) JLG Supersite (Filter) Nogales Post Office (Continuous) Nogales Post Office (Primary Filter) Nogales Post Office (Secondary Filter) Yuma Supersite Distance in Miles Indicator Value 234 134 0.68 4.66 5 9.80 5 9.80 179 2.87 179 2.87 179 2.87 184 2.67 State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 32 Parameters Monitored The number of parameters monitored indicator is a cost based indicator that uses data from the Air Monitoring Network Plan, which contains the number of parameters at each site. A parameter is defined as a physical piece of equipment which gives a unique set of measured data. This is different than counting the number criteria pollutant instruments as a site has other noncriteria parameters such as shelter temperature or wind speed. The site having the most parameters monitored receives a value of 10, and the least a value of 0. It is assumed that it is more economically viable to operate sites with more monitored parameters. It is more economical to operate because utilizing existing infrastructure, consolidating site trips, and combining utilities are all ways to have a more cost-effective monitoring network. This indicator has disadvantages in that it does not take into account the need for optimizing a network based on unique sources and populations. If a new monitor were placed at a site solely because that site has many parameters, it may not be in the correct location to accurately represent the purpose of the monitor. If the purpose of an instrument is to monitor a specific source or population, then it would better to place the monitor on its own. NOTE: Since JLG supersite has more than twice the number of parameters as any other site and would unfairly bias the rankings, only the seven criteria pollutants are counted at that site. By counting only the criteria parameters, it still is the highest valued site with 8 parameters. 1. Results Results for the Parameters Monitored indicator are given by pollutant. The maximum number of instruments at a site is assigned an indicator value of 10 and the minimum a 0. All instruments are assigned a value relative to these highest and lowest values. Table 35: SO 2 Instruments by Parameters Monitored AQS ID Site Name 04-007-0009 04-007-0011 04-007-0012 04-007-1001 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 Table 36: Total Parameters Monitored Indicator Value 1 1.25 1 1.25 1 4 7 8 1.25 5.00 8.75 10.00 Total Parameters Monitored Indicator Value 2 2.50 2 2.50 7 8 6 8.75 10.00 7.50 2 2.50 5 6.25 Miami Ridgeline Miami Jones Ranch Miami Townsite Hayden Old Jail Alamo Lake JLG Supersite O 3 Instruments by Parameters Monitored AQS ID Site Name 04-005-1008 04-007-0010 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 04-021-8001 04-025-8033 04-027-8011 Flagstaff Middle School Tonto National Monument Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Queen Valley Prescott College AQD Yuma Supersite State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 33 Table 37: PM 1 0 Instruments by Parameters Monitored AQS ID Site Name 04-003-0011 04-003-1005 04-007-0008 04-007-1001 04-007-8000 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 04-015-1003 04-019-0001 04-019-0020 04-023-0004 04-023-0004 04-027-8011 Table 38: Paul Spur Chemical Lime Plant Douglas Red Cross Payson Hayden Old Jail Miami Golf Course Alamo Lake JLG Supersite Bullhead City Ajo Rillito Nogales Post Office (Continuous) Nogales Post Office (Filter) Yuma Supersite Total Parameters Monitored Indicator Value 3 3.75 5 6.25 4 4 5.00 5.00 4 5.00 7 8 1 3 3 8.75 10.00 1.25 3.75 3.75 7 8.75 7 8.75 5 6.25 PM 2 . 5 Instruments by Parameters Monitored AQS ID Site Name 04-003-1005 04-012-8000 04-013-9997 04-013-9997 04-023-0004 04-023-0004 04-023-0004 04-027-8011 Douglas Red Cross Alamo Lake JLG Supersite (Continuous) JLG Supersite (Filter) Nogales Post Office (Continuous) Nogales Post Office (Primary Filter) Nogales Post Office (Secondary Filter) Yuma Supersite Total Parameters Monitored Indicator Value 5 6.25 7 8.75 8 10.00 8 10.00 7 8.75 7 8.75 7 8.75 5 6.25 State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 34 Final Rankings The final rankings combines all the indicators in the Ranking Analysis and ranks the instruments by averaging the indicator values. The highest indicator value average is the highest ranked instrument in the network and is therefore the most meaningful and important. The lowest ranked instrument could be considered for relocation or removal if possible. Recommendations for possible relocation, removal, or addition of monitors are in Section III page 80 of this assessment. Indicator values from each of the previous indicator sections are then individually weighted and averaged to get a final ranking. Results are shown both weighted and un-weighted. Weighing the indicators is necessary because it is not assumed that all the indicators have the same importance to the public welfare, regulatory actions, and to ambient air monitoring in Arizona. For example, the measured concentration indicator is considered to be of higher importance and has more meaning than the Distance from Phoenix indicator. Both indicators are considerations when running an air monitoring network, but operating an instrument that has higher concentrations is of higher significance than how far that instrument is from Phoenix. Weights were derived from a survey given to ADEQ’s Air Quality Division staff and others in Arizona’s air monitoring community. The survey was conducted by asking each individual to rate the significance of each indicator listed in Section I page 10. A total of 35 surveys were collected from ADEQ staff, project leaders, and management. Surveys were then averaged to determine a final weight for each indicator. The survey asked participants to rate the indicators on a scale from 0-200%. If an indicator had regular importance, it was given a 100% rating. Indicators with lower importance were rated lower than 100% and higher importance were rated higher than 100%. The survey results were averaged and the resultant percentage was multiplied to the indicator values. The results from the survey are found in Table 39. The weighted indicator values were then averaged by instrument for the Final Rankings. Table 39: Ranking Analysis Pollutant Results from the Survey Indicator O3 SO2 PM10 PM2.5 Measured Concentration Deviation from the NAAQS Area Served Population Served Monitor to Monitor Correlation Length of Record Required Monitor Distance from Phoenix Parameters Monitored 190% 170% 190% 180% 150% 120% 140% 140% 140% 170% 90% 130% 120% 170% 110% 160% 130% 120% 140% 130% 110% 150% 60% 100% 100% 140% 50% 100% 120% 150% 60% 110% 110% 150% 60% 110% State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 35 1. Results The ranking results for the four pollutant networks are shown hereafter. The unweighted and weighted ranking results are shown to compare the difference before the weighting and after the weighting. The highest indicator average is the highest ranked monitor and is the most important and meaningful to air monitoring. a. SO2 Results Table 40: Measured Concentration Deviation from the NAAQS Area Served Population Served Correlation Between Monitors Length of Record Required Monitor Distance from Phoenix Parameters Monitored Average Rank 6.53 (3.84) 12 (10) 5.27 (5.85) 1.09 (0.84) 0 (0) 5 (5) 14 (10) 3.37 (6.73) 1.25 (1.25) 5.39 4 8.91 (5.24) 9.29 (7.74) 0 (0) 0.68 (0.52) 1.94 (1.62) 0.5 (0.5) 14 (10) 3.37 (6.73) 1.25 (1.25) 4.44 5 6.95 (4.09) 11.51 (9.59) 0.7 (0.78) 0.68 (0.52) 0 (0) 0.5 (0.5) 14 (10) 3.37 (6.73) 1.25 (1.25) 4.33 6 Hayden Old Jail 17 (10) 0 (0) 1.48 (1.64) 0 (0) 12 (10) 10 (10) 14 (10) 3.11 (6.22) 5 (5) 6.95 1 Alamo Lake N/A* N/A* 9 (10) 13 (10) N/A* 0.25 (0.25) 0 (0) 2.33 (4.66) 8.75 (8.75) 5.56 3 2.5 (2.5) 14 (10) 4.9 (9.8) 10 (10) 6.58 2 AQS ID Site Name 040070009 040070011 040070012 040071001 040128000 040139997 Weighted SO 2 Instrument Results. Unweighted Results in Parentheses Miami Ridgeline Miami Jones Ranch Miami Townsite JLG 9.56 1.77 0 (0) 13 (10) 3.5 (2.91) Supersite (7.97) (1.97) *Alamo Lake began operation in 2014 and has not operated long for the Ranking Values State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 36 b. O3 Results Table 41: AQS ID Site Name 040051008 040070010 040128000 040139997 040218001 040258033 040278011 Weighted O 3 Instrument Results. Unweighted Results in Parentheses Measured Concentration Deviation from the NAAQS Area Served Population Served Correlation Between Monitors Length of Record Required Monitor Distance from Phoenix Parameters Monitored Average Rank Flagstaff Middle School Tonto National Mon. Alamo Lake 2.89 (1.52) 2.84 (1.89) 6.05 (4.32) 12.89 (7.58) 8.02 (6.17) 3.5 (3.18) 15 (10) 2.36 (3.94) 2.5 (2.5) 6.23 6 13.22 (6.96) 12.97 (8.65) 4.19 (2.99) 17 (10) 6.25 (4.81) 6.5 (5.91) 15 (10) 3.4 (5.66) 2.5 (2.5) 9.00 5 9.08 (4.78) 8.92 (5.95) 14 (10) 17 (10) 7.14 (5.49) 5.01 (4.55) 15 (10) 2.8 (4.66) 8.75 (8.75) 9.74 4 JLG Supersite 19 (10) 12.97 (8.65) 0 (0) 17 (10) 0 (0) 11 (10) 15 (10) 5.88 (9.8) 10 (10) 10.09 2 14.46 (7.61) 14.19 (9.46) 1.18 (0.84) 17 (10) 6.1 (4.69) 8.5 (7.73) 15 (10) 4.66 (7.77) 7.5 (7.5) 9.84 3 0 (0) 0 (0) 3.92 (2.8) 9.2 (5.41) 7.14 (5.49) 3.5 (3.18) 15 (10) 3.64 (6.06) 2.5 (2.5) 4.99 7 15.28 (8.04) 15 (10) 11.58 (8.27) 17 (10) 13 (10) 3.5 (3.18) 15 (10) 1.6 (2.67) 6.25 (6.25) 10.91 1 Queen Valley Prescott College AQD Yuma Supersite State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 37 c. PM10 Results Table 42: Weighted PM 1 0 Instrument Results. Unweighted Results in Parentheses Measured Concentration Deviation from the NAAQS Area Served Population Served Correlation Between Monitors Length of Record Required Monitor Distance from Phoenix Parameters Monitored Average Rank Paul Spur Chem Lime 4.47 (2.35) 10.4 (7.43) 2.48 (2.07) 0 (0) 10.57 (7.55) 8.47 (7.06) 15 (10) 0.41 (0.68) 4.13 (3.75) 6.21 11 Douglas 5.89 (3.1) 12.14 (8.67) 3.78 (3.15) 5.71 (3.36) 10.58 (7.56) 6 (5) 15 (10) 0.41 (0.68) 6.88 (6.25) 7.38 5 Payson 0 (0) 5 (3.57) 4.46 (3.72) 4.42 (2.6) 14 (10) 8.47 (7.06) 15 (10) 3.87 (6.45) 5.5 (5) 6.75 10 Hayden Old Jail 14.17 (7.46) 5.85 (4.18) 0.88 (0.73) 0 (0) 7.63 (5.45) 12 (10) 15 (10) 3.73 (6.22) 5.5 (5) 7.20 6 Miami Golf Course 3.25 (1.71) 8.93 (6.38) 1.65 (1.38) 2.41 (1.42) 9.09 (6.5) 1.06 (0.88) 15 (10) 4.04 (6.73) 5.5 (5) 5.66 12 Alamo Lake N/A* N/A* 7.97 (6.64) 17 (10) N/A* 0.71 (0.59) 15 (10) 2.8 (4.66) 9.63 (8.75) 8.85 2 JLG Supersite 7.43 (3.91) 14 (10) 0 (0) 17 (10) 0 (0) 7.76 (6.47) 15 (10) 5.88 (9.8) 11 (10) 8.67 3 Bullhead City 6.12 (3.22) 12.4 (8.86) 9.06 (7.55) 1.72 (1.01) 6.32 (4.52) 6.35 (5.29) 15 (10) 0 (0) 1.38 (1.25) 6.84 9 Ajo 9.27 (4.88) 11.79 (8.42) 10.95 (9.12) 0.7 (0.41) 8.43 (6.02) 8.47 (7.06) 15 (10) 3.35 (5.58) 4.13 (3.75) 8.01 4 Rillito 14.4 (7.58) 5.59 (3.99) 0.28 (0.23) 0 (0) 8.38 (5.99) 10.58 (8.82) 15 (10) 3.68 (6.14) 4.13 (3.75) 6.89 8 4.24 (3.53) 15 (10) 1.72 (2.87) 9.63 (8.75) 6.93 7 9.89 (8.24) 0 (0) 1.72 (2.87) 9.63 (8.75) 5.24 13 2.11 (1.76) 15 (10) 1.6 (2.67) 6.88 (6.25) 9.35 1 AQS ID Site Name 040030011 040031005 040070008 040071001 040078000 040128000 040139997 04015100 040190001 040190020 Nogales Post 9.21 2.14 Office 11.4 (6) 4.76 (2.8) 4.25 (3.03) (6.58) (1.78) (Continuous) Nogales Post 0410.36 2.14 023Office 4.43 (2.33) 4.76 (2.8) 4.25 (3.03) (7.4) (1.78) 0004 (Filter) 04Yuma 02719 (10) 0 (0) 12 (10) 17 (10) 10.6 (7.57) Supersite 8011 *Alamo Lake began operation in 2014 and has not operated long for the Ranking Values 040230004 State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 38 d. PM2.5 Results Table 43: Weighted PM 2 . 5 Instrument Results. Unweighted Results in Parentheses Measured Concentration Deviation from the NAAQS Area Served Population Served Correlation Between Monitors Length of Record Required Monitor Distance from Phoenix Parameters Monitored Average Rank Douglas 0 (0) 0 (0) 3.31 (3.01) 5.38 (3.36) 13 (10) 10.32 (9.38) 15 (10) 0.41 (0.68) 6.88 (6.25) 6.03 7 Alamo Lake N/A* N/A* 16 (10) N/A* 1.38 (1.25) 15 (10) 2.8 (4.66) 9.63 (8.75) 9.30 1 2.75 (2.5) 15 (10) 5.88 (9.8) 11 (10) 7.82 4 11 (10) 15 (10) 5.88 (9.8) 11 (10) 9.04 2 1.38 (1.25) 15 (10) 1.72 (2.87) 9.63 (8.75) 7.40 6 11 (10) 15 (10) 1.72 (2.87) 9.63 (8.75) 8.35 3 11 (10) 0 (0) 1.72 (2.87) 9.63 (8.75) 5.86 8 3.44 (3.13) 15 (10) 1.6 (2.67) 6.88 (6.25) 7.42 5 AQS ID Site Name 040031005 040128000 11 (10) JLG 0 (0) 7.71 Supersite 9.92 (5.51) 16 (10) 2.12 (1.63) (5.51) (Continuous) JLG 0 (0) 048.89 013Supersite 11.43 (6.35) 16 (10) 2.15 (1.65) (6.35) 9997 (Filter) Nogales Post 2.07 04023Office 18 (10) 14 (10) (1.88) 4.48 (2.8) 0.32 (0.25) 0004 (Continuous) Nogales Post 04Office 13.69 2.07 02317.6 (9.78) 4.48 (2.8) 0 (0) (Primary (9.78) (1.88) 0004 Filter) Nogales Post 2.07 04Office 10.42 (1.88) 02313.39 (7.44) 4.48 (2.8) 0 (0) (Secondary (7.44) 0004 Filter) 047.12 Yuma 2.35 11.36 0273.02 (1.68) 16 (10) (6.47) Supersite (1.68) (8.74) 8011 *Alamo Lake began operation in 2014 and has not operated long for the Ranking Values 040139997 State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015, Appendix H Page 39 Section II: Spatial Raster Analysis In order to determine if ADEQ’s existing ambient monitoring network adequately represents Arizona’s unique air quality, a spatial analysis is conducted using a variety of indicators shown in Table 49. The indicators are mapped to visually show places in Arizona where monitoring could be beneficial for the welfare of Arizona’s population and to show the adequacy of ADEQ’s ambient monitoring network. The seven indicators have three general classifications: demographic, source (point and mobile), and spatially oriented variables. A map is produced showing areas of higher interest based on the indicator’s data and is then partitioned into 10 equal parts on a scale of 0-10. The indicator maps are converted into a GIS raster image. A raster image is a type of GIS map used to combine multiple maps together and assigns numerical values of every part of Arizona. By placing a numerical value to the maps, areas can be quantifiably valued. The seven raster images per pollutant are then weighed because it is not assumed that each indicator is as important to ambient air monitoring. The weighted raster images are layered and combined to show the final weighted spatial overlay map for all of Arizona which shows areas in Arizona that are important to the development of a monitoring network. Chosen indicators represent a variety of aspects that are important to developing a robust air monitoring network. The following seven indicators are used in the raster analysis: Table 44: Indicator Hospitalization Density Sensitive Age Density Total Population Point Sources Traffic Count Distance between Monitors Predicted Values Raster Analysis Indicators Description Using the primary care areas in Arizona, this indicator ranks the areas based on the percent morbidity of air pollution related health effects per area population. The highest valued areas have the highest percentage of hospitalizations. Using the 2010 Census blocks, this indicator ranks the areas based on the percentage of sensitive individuals based on their age. Age sensitive individuals are children and the elderly, therefore the highest valued areas have the highest percentage of children 0-14 and the elderly >65. Using the 2010 Census blocks, this indicator ranks the areas based on the number of individuals per square mile. The highest valued areas have the highest number of individuals per square mile. This indicator ranks areas that contain permitted and recorded sources. The highest valued areas contain the greatest amount of emissions. This indicator ranks sections of roadway which have the highest daily traffic count. The highest valued areas have the highest traffic count. This indicator ranks the straight line distance between monitors. The areas that have the furthest distance from other monitors are valued highest. Using a Kriging interpolation map using 2009-2013 average design values, this indicator ranks areas that are based on the predicted values. A Kriging interpolation map is a simple prediction model that projects air concentrations based on actual measurement. The areas that have the highest predicted values are valued highest. Indicator Type Demographic Demographic Demographic Source Source Spatial Spatial State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 40 Hospitalization Density This indicator values areas based on morbidity (chronic or acute poor health) hospitalization records for Adult Asthma, Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD), and Congestive Heart Failure (CHF). The average of number of Adult Asthma, COPD and CHF hospitalizations per 100,000 people per primary care area are used to show areas that have a greater percentage of individuals potentially affected by air pollution (see Figure 6). This indicator provides a method of accounting for environmental justice issues by identifying those that are particularly sensitive to air quality issues. It is assumed that areas with higher hospitalizations are of greater importance, therefore are assigned higher scores. This indicator does not assume that the hospitalizations are a direct result of poor air quality in the area, only that individuals with the previously mentioned conditions can be sensitive to poor air quality. This indicator has disadvantages in that hospitalizations records do not show where the individuals work or live, only where they went to the hospital. The entire distribution of hospitalizations is divided into ten parts and assigned a score of 0-10, with 10 being the highest partition. Hospitalization data is from the Arizona Department of Health Services (AZDHS) where it is listed by primary care area, and is publically available on the AZDHS website: http://www.azdhs.gov/phs/phstats/profiles/. State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 41 1. Results Figure 7: Hospitalization Density Map The highest percentage of hospitalizations per 100,000 people is shown in red areas. State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 42 Sensitive Age Density This indicator uses the 2010 Census data to account for another population of sensitive individuals. This indicator values areas on the percentage of individuals in the age categories of 0-14 and >65. The sensitive age density of each census block group (sensitive individuals per area) is calculated. Census blocks groups are geographical areas that have between 600-3,000 individuals. Higher density areas receive higher scores. This indicator provides a method of accounting for environmental justice issues. It is assumed that areas with the highest percentage of children and the elderly are most affected by air quality issues. This indicator does not assume that all individuals in the 0-14 and >65 age groups are sensitive to poor air quality, only that these age groups are considered to be sensitive for the assessment. This indicator has disadvantages in that it does not take into account where people go to school or work, only where they live. The entire distribution of sensitive individuals is divided into ten parts and assigned a score of 0-10, with 10 being the highest partition. Population details by census block group are publically available data from the US 2010 Census. State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 43 1. Results Figure 8: Sensitive Age Density Map The highest Sensitive Age Density is shown in red areas. State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 44 Total Population This indicator values areas by the number of people per census block. Census blocks are the smallest geographical areas used by the U.S. Census Bureau and have anywhere from zero to several hundred individuals. A spatial output map is created showing the total populations in Arizona. The entire distribution is divided into ten parts and assigned a score of 0-10, with 10 being the highest partition. Higher populations per block group are assigned higher scores since it is assumed that it is more desirable to have a monitor representing the greatest number of people. This indicator has disadvantages in that census blocks generally have the same number of individuals, therefore each one may not differ drastically from another. This would then not correctly show areas of high concentrations of individuals. Population density (population divided by area) was also considered to be used for this indicator, as it gives a better representation of the urban areas but produces inaccuracies and over represented densities in the rural areas. Total population was chosen over population density because it gives a better representation of the rural areas and an acceptable representation of the urban areas of Arizona. Another disadvantage is that census block groups can include both an urban population and surrounding non-populated areas. This results in a block that seems to show a large number of people over a big area, where the actual population is concentrated in one spot. The resultant total population map (Figure 9) shows an accurate representation of populations in all of Arizona. Population details by census block are publically available data from the US 2010 Census. State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 45 1. Results Figure 9: Total Population Map The highest total population is shown in red areas. State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 46 Point Sources This indicator values areas on the actual tons of emissions from permitted sources per year. A map is created of major point emission sources by pollutant. “Major sources” is defined as a source that emits a minimum tonnage threshold and collectively they represent over the 90% of total source emissions. Minimum tonnage thresholds are listed in Table 50. A three mile radius buffer is then placed on each emission source and the actual emissions in tons are assigned to that buffer. Overlapping buffers are summed together to show the total emissions for an area. It is assumed that the areas directly surrounding stationary sources represented by the buffer are of greater significance to air monitoring than other areas that do not have source emissions. A buffer radius of three miles is chosen to represent all of the sources spatially. This indicator has disadvantages in that it does not take into account the different spatial impact of smaller or larger sources. Larger sources tend to impact a greater area than smaller sources and would therefore require a different size buffer. Also, this indicator does not take into account the different spatial impact of different pollutants. Some pollutants affect larger areas than others due to their reactivity in the atmosphere. Meteorology and topography also play a large factor in the spatial and concentration gradient impact of point sources. Due to these factors and others, it becomes very difficult to accurately show the exact spatial impact of every separate source. Therefore, a general impact buffer of a three mile radius is used for all pollutant sources and represents the average spatial impact for all pollutants. When reclassifying the raster, the entire distribution of emissions is divided into ten equal parts and assigned a score of 0‐10, with 10 being the highest partition. Source emissions data are taken from ADEQ’s Air Quality permitted sources emission inventories and the National Emissions Inventory maintained by the EPA. Emissions data by source were averaged for the years 2009-2013. This eliminates anomalies in any particular year. Since O3 is not directly emitted, volatile organic compounds (VOC) were used to represent the source emissions as an O3 precursor. Table 45: Point Source Minimum Tonnage Threshold Pollutant Minimum Tonnage Threshold SO2 VOC PM10 PM2.5 CO NO2 Pb 1.0 tons 10.0 tons 10.0 tons 5.0 tons 100.0 tons 10.0 tons 0.1 tons State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 47 1. Results The highest sources emissions are shown as red dots. Figure 10: SO2 Point Sources Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 48 Figure 11: O3 Point Sources Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 49 Figure 12: PM10 Point Sources Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 50 Figure 13: PM2.5 Point Sources Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 51 Figure 14: CO Point Sources Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 52 Figure 15: NO2 Point Sources Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 53 Figure 16: Pb Point Sources Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 54 Traffic Count This indictor values road sections by daily traffic count. Road sections have a buffer with an associated traffic count. The buffer size is dependent on the actual traffic count, with higher traffic counts receiving a larger size buffer and being ranked the highest. Buffer sizes are taken from air monitoring siting criteria in 40 CFR Part 58 Appendix E Table E-1 which states the minimum distance sites must be away from the roadway centerline in order to be outside the area of influence of roadways and shown in Table 51. Differences to the buffer size were made due to limitations in GIS software to be able to visually show an area of representation. It is assumed that the areas directly surrounding roadways are of higher significance to air monitoring than areas not close to roadways. Mobile source emissions play a major part in ambient air quality. This indicator has disadvantages in that it does not show every roadway in Arizona, only those counted by the Arizona Department of Transportation’s (ADOT). It also does not show off -highway vehicle emissions including construction sites, rail traffic, and recreational vehicles. The entire distribution of traffic counts is divided into ten parts and assigned a score of 0-10, with 10 being the highest partition. Data and locations were taken from ADOT 2013 daily traffic counts and used to create a raster map of roadway sections. Table 46: Traffic Count Buffer Sizes Traffic Count in Thousands Miles from Roadway Centerline 0.025* <15 0.025** 15-20 0.025 20-40 0.040 40-70 0.075 70-110 0.175 >110 *Changed from 0.009 miles in order to be able to visually show an area of representation on a Raster Map **Changed from 0.016 miles in order to be able to visually show an area of representation on a Raster Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 55 1. Results The highest traffic counts are shown as red section lines. Figure 17: Traffic Count Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 56 Figure 18: Phoenix Traffic Count Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 57 Figure 19: Tucson Traffic Count Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 58 Distance Between Monitors This indicator values areas based on the how far in distance instruments are from existing monitoring instruments. This is achieved by calculating the straight‐line distance away from an existing monitoring site. In practice this indicator creates concentric rings around each monitoring site at pre‐defined distances. The scored value increases the farther away from existing monitoring sites to show that it is more desirable to place a monitor further from another monitor. Overlapping concentric rings use the shortest distance value to adjust for nearby instruments. The locations of all state, local, and tribal monitors in Arizona are used. The assumption is that it is more desirable to have a new monitoring site farther away from an existing site to represent a different population and measure a unique air parcel. Concentric ring sizes are defined by pollutant in Table 52 and are taken from the Section I (E): Correlation Between Monitors (page 25) data set. By using the correlation values, it was determined the maximum distance of correlation. Monitors that do not correlate with each other are further in distance. This distance of correlation (influence) is the maximum distance set between monitors, with ten concentric rings leading up to that maximum. Each pollutant’s distance of influence is dependent on its reactivity and longevity in the atmosphere. This indicator has disadvantages in that it does not take into account pollutant sources or meteorological and geographic differences in Arizona. The entire distribution of distances is divided into ten parts and assigned a score of 0-10, with 10 being the highest partition. This highest partition includes any area beyond the maximum concentric ring to extend the coverage to all of Arizona. Monitor locations were taken from EPA’s AQS web application database. The AMP500 Extract Site/Monitor Data report was run for all monitors in Arizona, including state, local, and tribal monitors. Only monitors that were in operation during the 2009-2013 time period were used. Table 47: Distance Between Monitors Concentric Ring Sizes Pollutant Concentric Ring Size 6 mile rings up to 60 miles SO2 6 mile rings up to 60 miles O3 3 mile rings up to 30 miles PM10 3 mile rings up to 30 miles PM2.5 3 mile rings up to 30 miles CO 12 mile rings up to 120 miles NO2 2 mile rings up to 20 miles Pb State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 59 1. Results The areas furthest away from monitors are shown as red areas. Figure 20: SO2 Distance Between Monitors Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 60 Figure 21: O3 Distance Between Monitors Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 61 Figure 22: PM10 Distance Between Monitors Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 62 Figure 23: PM2.5 Distance Between Monitors Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 63 Figure 24: CO Distance Between Monitors Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 64 Figure 25: NO2 Distance Between Monitors Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 65 Figure 26: Pb Distance Between Monitors Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 66 Predicted Values This indicator is a prediction model that uses a Kriging interpolation tool in ArcGIS to show predicted pollutant values. The Kriging interpolation uses average ambient concentrations but does not use topography, geographic, demographic, or meteorology in its prediction. The model uses average concentrations to estimate concentrations for all of Arizona. Predicted values are shown using 2009-2013 average design values by pollutant. This shows areas of higher and lower predicted concentration on a gradient similar to a topographic map. The Predicted Values indicator scores areas higher that have greater predicted concentrations. It is assumed that areas with the highest predicted design values are most important to monitoring in Arizona. This indicator has disadvantages in that the predicted values have error in areas that are far from instruments. The interpolation of ambient concentrations in areas far away from recorded concentrations is not predicted well, therefore, this error should be taken into account when interpreting this indicator. The prediction Kriging interpolation was chosen over a Kriging error values option because the previous indicator (Section F: Distance Between Monitors page 59) closely represents standard error around the state. It is important to include a predicted value model in this analysis to estimate concentration levels around Arizona and therefore the Kriging interpolation ArcsGIS tool was used to create this unique dataset. The entire distribution of values is divided in ten parts and assigned a score of 0-10, with 10 being the highest partition and highest predicted value. Data were taken from the EPA’s AQS web application database. The AMP480 Design Value Report was run for all monitors in Arizona, including state, local, and tribal monitors. Only monitors that were in operation during the 2009-2013 time period were used. Additional instruments outside of Arizona were used to lower the amount of error in the prediction models. The instruments outside of Arizona that were used are: Chamizal C41 in El Paso, TX, Del Norte High School in Albuquerque, NM, Denver Animal Shelter in Denver, CO, Hawthorne Elementary School in Salt Lake City, UT, Jerome Mack in Las Vegas, NV, Riverside – Rubidoux in Riverside, CA, and El Cajon in El Cajon, CA. NOTE: Due to the low number of monitors in the CO, NO2, and Pb networks, the Predicted Values indicator will not be used for the final spatial overlay map. State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 67 1. Results The highest predicted values are shown as red areas. Figure 27: SO2 Predicted Values Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 68 Figure 28: O3 Predicted Values Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 69 Figure 29: PM10 Predicted Values Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 70 Figure 30: PM2.5 Predicted Values Map State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 71 Final Weighted Overlay The seven indicators in Section II (A-G) are combined together to form a single pollutant map that shows the final results of the Spatial Raster Analysis. The final map is called a weighted overlay and is produced to identify areas in Arizona that are of the highest importance to ambient air monitoring. This final map will be used for suggestions to possible relocations, removals, or additional monitors. See Section III page 80 for the final conclusions and recommendations of the Spatial Raster Analysis. Before the creation of the final overlay map, the indicators were weighted according to their value to air monitoring in Arizona. Weights were derived from a survey given to ADEQ’s Air Quality Division staff and others in Arizona’s air monitoring community. The survey was conducted by asking each individual to rate the importance of each indicator listed in Section II page 40. In total 32 surveys were collected and averaged to determine a final rating weight for each indicator. That information was then applied to each ranking value in order to determine the final monitor rankings. It is not assumed that each indicator carries the same significance to the public welfare, regulatory actions, and to ambient air monitoring in Arizona. One indicator might be of greater significance than another, therefore the indicators needed to be ranked. Results were averaged from the survey and adjusted to a 0-1 scale listed in Table 48. They were adjusted to 0-1 because the weighted overlay tool in in ArcGIS requires the total weigh to be 1.0. All of the areas on the indicator maps were multiplied by the survey results to apply the weighting. Table 48: Indicator Spatial Raster Analysis Survey Results SO2 O3 PM10 PM2.5 CO NO2 Pb Hospitalization 0.14 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.13 0.14 0.14 Density Sensitive Age 0.15 0.17 0.16 0.17 0.15 0.15 0.18 Density Population 0.15 0.18 0.16 0.16 0.21 0.20 0.18 Density 0.20 0.08 0.14 0.13 0.16 0.17 0.25 Point Sources 0.09 0.15 0.12 0.13 0.23 0.23 0.11 Traffic Count Distance Between 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.14 Monitors 0.15 0.16 0.15 0.15 *N/A *N/A *N/A Predicted Values *The Predicted Values indicator is not used for CO, NO2, and Pb because there is insufficient monitoring data for these networks State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 72 1. Weighted Overlay The areas that are most important to new monitoring are shown in red. Figure 31: SO2 Weighted Spatial Overlay State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 73 Figure 32: O3 Weighted Spatial Overlay State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 74 Figure 33: PM10 Weighted Spatial Overlay State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 75 Figure 34: PM2.5 Weighted Spatial Overlay State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 76 Figure 35: CO Weighted Spatial Overlay State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 77 Figure 36: NO2 Weighted Spatial Overlay State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 78 Figure 37: Pb Weighted Spatial Overlay State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 79 Section III: Final Conclusions and Recommendations Final Conclusions and Recommendations by Pollutant Network The final conclusion and recommendations were made by ADEQ’s Air Quality management from both the Ranking Analysis and the Spatial Raster Analysis. These recommendations are only made from this 5Year Network assessment and are intended to improve the quality and adequacy of ADEQ’s air monitoring network. These conclusions and recommendations are made for the next five years and plans to modify the air monitoring network will be made in the 2016 Annual Network Plan. 1. General conclusions from the Ranking Analysis Two sites stand out as particularly significant for ADEQ’s networks based on the Monitor Ranking Analysis. The Yuma Supersite and JLG Supersite monitors are consistently ranked high across all pollutant networks as important to air monitoring. Specific attention to their operation should be in place to not lose important ambient air data at these sites. Technology and supporting equipment upgrades should be made to these sites first as modernizing and upgrading improved data security, quality, and quantity. Data from Yuma Supersite are particularity important to support regulatory actions for this area and for border air quality research. The JLG Supersite is specifically important to the trends analysis and air quality research for the Phoenix area. 2. SO2 a. Ranking analysis Currently, all monitors are required in the area and as such no recommendations are made at this time. However, the Ranking Analysis indicates that there can be some optimization of the Miami, AZ monitoring network. With the Miami Townsite monitor ranking the lowest, it indicates that this monitor could be resited to better represent a more unique area or be removed. However, both the Miami Townsite monitor and the Miami Jones Ranch monitor do not have long records and need to be in operation longer to make a recommendation. Future statistical analysis will be need to be done to remove or relocate any of the Miami area SO2 monitors. Modifying networks is subject to regulatory and regional approval. Options for modifying a network are found in 40 CFR Part 58.14. The Alamo Lake monitor is not required and is designated as a Special Purpose Monitor. Removal of the monitor is required before two full years of operation. It also does not have a long record and data are not available for the Measured Concentrations, Deviation from the NAAQS, and Correlation Between Monitors indicators. Rankings are still made using the other indicators and this qualification should be accounted for when looking at the final rankings. b. Spatial Raster Analysis No recommendations are made based on the Spatial Raster Analysis. The final weighted overlay map did not produce particular areas of interest sufficient to make any recommendations for the addition of new instrumentation. Specific point sources targeted by the upcoming SO2 requirements rule were identified, State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 80 but no recommendations for monitoring are made from this analysis. Areas of over representation were not found and the current SO2 network was deemed satisfactory to represent SO2 air pollution in Arizona. 3. O3 a. Ranking Analysis Currently all O3 monitors are required and no recommendations are made based on the Ranking Analysis. All of ADEQ’s O3 monitors are considered important to O3 monitoring. b. Spatial Raster Analysis Recommendations for improving the O3 monitoring network involve additions to the current network. It was not determined that any monitors should be closed based on this analysis because ADEQ’s monitors are not over representing any areas in Arizona. The areas of interest to O3 are the Kingman, Payson, and Bullhead City areas. These areas were ranked highest and had the largest areas of high ranking. No monitoring in these areas has occurred in the past and thus would be beneficial to do exploratory monitoring to see if these areas are truly places that should be monitored continuously. This exploratory monitoring would benefit from using temporary and low cost monitoring sensors rather than traditional monitoring. Traditional monitoring capital and running costs are high and a significant amount of resource allocation would be needed. Low cost sensor technology and alternative monitoring techniques are recommended to use for this exploratory monitoring. The monitoring would be for public health and information purposes during the exploratory phase, not for regulatory comparisons. 4. PM10 a. Ranking Analysis Currently, twelve of the thirteen PM10 monitors are required monitors and no recommendations for those twelve monitors are made. The Nogales Post Office (Primary PM10 Filter) instrument is not required and should be removed to optimize the PM10 network. It is also the lowest ranked monitor in the Ranking Analysis. The removal of this instrument will not cause data loss since it is a collocated instrument and only runs 1-in-6 days. The continuous instrument will remain and provide higher resolution data. A request for removal should be made in the 2015 Annual Network Plan. The Alamo Lake monitor does not have a long record and data are not available for the Measured Concentrations, Deviation from the NAAQS, and Correlation Between Monitors indicators. Therefore excluding these Indicator Values produces a high rank which can be misleading. Alamo Lake was not excluded from this analysis resulting in Alamo Lake being the highest ranked monitor. This would likely change if these indicators were included. b. Spatial Raster Analysis Recommendations for improving the PM10 monitoring network involve additions to the current network. It was not determined that any monitors should be closed based on this analysis due to being over representative. The areas of interest identified to PM10 monitoring are the Quartzite, Kingman, and Benson/Willcox areas. These areas were ranked highest and had the largest areas of high ranking. No monitoring in these areas has occurred in the past and thus would be beneficial to do exploratory monitoring to see if these areas are truly places that should be monitored continuously. This exploratory monitoring would benefit from using temporary and low cost monitoring sensors rather than traditional monitoring. State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 81 Traditional monitoring capital and running costs are high and a significant amount of resource allocation would be needed. Low cost sensor technology and alternative monitoring techniques are recommended to use for this exploratory monitoring. The monitoring would be for public health and information purposes during the exploratory phase, not for regulatory comparisons. 5. PM2.5 a. Ranking Analysis Currently seven of the eight PM2.5 monitors are required and no recommendations for those seven monitors are made. The Nogales Post Office (Secondary PM2.5 Filter) instrument is not required and should be removed to optimize the PM2.5 network. It is also the lowest ranked monitor in the Ranking Analysis. The removal of this instrument will not cause data loss since it is a collocated instrument and only runs 1-in -6 days. Both the Nogales Post Office (Continuous) and the Nogales Post Office (Primary Filter) instruments will remain and provide the same level of data confidence. A request for removal should be made in the 2015 Annual Network Plan. The Alamo Lake monitor does not have a long record and data are not available for the Measured Concentrations, Deviation from the NAAQS, and Correlation Between Monitors indicators. Therefore excluding these Indicator Values produces a high rank which can be misleading. Alamo Lake was not excluded from this analysis resulting in Alamo Lake being the highest ranked monitor. This would likely change if these indicators were included. b. Spatial Raster Analysis Recommendations for improving the PM2.5 monitoring network involve additions to the current network. It was not determined that any monitors should be closed based on this analysis because there was over representation of ADEQ’s PM2.5 network. The areas of interest to PM2.5 are the Bullhead City and Benson/Willcox areas. These areas were ranked highest and had the largest areas of high ranking. No monitoring in these areas has occurred in the past and thus would be beneficial to do exploratory monitoring to see if these areas are truly places that should be monitored continuously. This exploratory monitoring would benefit from using temporary and low cost monitoring sensors rather than traditional monitoring. Traditional monitoring capital and running costs are high and a significant amount of resource allocation would be needed. Low cost sensor technology and alternative monitoring techniques are recommended to use for this exploratory monitoring. The monitoring would be for public health and information purposes during the exploratory phase, not for regulatory comparisons. The northeastern part of Arizona (Showlow, Snowflake, St. Johns) also shows a large area of interest for PM2.5. Currently, an EBAM Network of informational monitors exists and was not included in this analysis. If these monitors were included, this area would not be of interest to monitoring. This EBAM Network is non-regulatory and is used for public health and information purposes. 6. CO a. Spatial Raster Analysis No areas were identified as areas of interest and no recommendations are made based on the Spatial Raster Analysis. The CO network is currently meeting all minimum monitoring requirements. A background State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 82 SPM at Alamo Lake is planned for operation for modeling and permitting purposes, not for regulatory comparisons. 7. NO2 a. Spatial Raster Analysis No areas were identified as areas of interest and no recommendations are made based on the Spatial Raster Analysis. The NO2 network is current meeting all minimum monitoring requirements and no plans are being made for the operation of additional monitors. 8. Pb a. Spatial Raster Analysis No areas were identified as areas of interest and no recommendations are made based on the Spatial Raster Analysis. The Pb network is currently meeting all minimum monitoring requirements. An additional monitor is being planned for the Hayden area to ensure that the maximum concentration area is being measured. State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 83 Appendix A – Definitions and Abbreviations AAS Air Assessment Section AADT Annual Average Daily Traffic ADEQ Arizona Department of Environmental Quality ADOT Arizona Department of Transportation AMU Air Monitoring Unit ArcMap GIS Analysis Software ASARCO American Smelting and Refining Company, LLC AQS Air Quality System (EPA database) AZDHS Arizona Department of Health Services CAA Clean Air Act CBSA Core Based Statistical Area CFR Code of Federal Regulations CO Carbon Monoxide CSN Chemical Speciation Network DM&QA Data Management & Quality Assurance Unit EPA Environmental Protection Agency FEM Federal Equivalent Method FMMI Freeport McMoRan Copper and Gold Inc. FRM Federal Reference Method GIS Geographic Information System IMPROVE Interagency Monitoring of PROtected Visual Environments MCAQD Maricopa County Air Quality Department MET Meteorological Measurements (wind, temperature, relative humidity) MSA Metropolitan Statistical Area μg/m3 Micrograms per Cubic Meter NAAQS National Ambient Air Quality Standard State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 84 NCore National Core multipollutant monitoring stations NM National Monument NO2 Nitrogen Dioxide NOx Nitrogen oxides NOy Reactive Nitrogen Oxides NPS National Park Service O3 Ozone PAMS Photochemical Assessment Monitoring Station Pb Lead PCAQCD Pinal County Air Quality Control District PDEQ Pima County Department of Environmental Quality PM Particulate Matter PM10 Particulate Matter ≤ 10 microns PMcoarse Coarse Particulate Matter between 2.5 to 10 micrometers aerodynamic diameter, may also be denoted as PM10-2.5 PM2.5 Particulate Matter ≤ 2.5 microns POC Parameter Occurrence Code ppb Parts Per Billion ppm Parts Per Million PQAO Primary Quality Assurance Organization SIP State Implementation Plan SLAMS State and Local Air Monitoring Stations SO2 Sulfur Dioxide SPM Special Purpose Monitor State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 85 Appendix B – References American FactFinder. (n.d.). Retrieved May 20, 2015, from http://factfinder.census.gov/faces/nav/jsf/pages/index.xhtml AQS Web Application Warning, TTN AIRS AQS, US EPA. (n.d.). Retrieved May 20, 2015, from http://www.epa.gov/ttn/airs/airsaqs/aqsweb/aqswebwarning.htm Arizona Department of Environmental Quality. (2014). [Excel spreadsheet]. (Available via Public Records request) Data and Analysis. (n.d.). Retrieved May 20, 2015, from http://www.azdot.gov/planning/DataandAnalysis/average-annual-daily-traffic Emission Inventories. (n.d.). Retrieved May 20, 2015, from http://www.epa.gov/ttn/chief/eiinformation.html Google Maps. (n.d.). Retrieved May 20, 2015, from https://www.google.com/maps Monitoring Network. (n.d.). Retrieved May 20, 2015, from https://www.maricopa.gov/aq/divisions/monitoring/network.aspx Network Design Criteria for Ambient Air Quality Monitoring, 40 C.F.R. Part 58 App D (2015) Probe and Monitoring Path Siting Criteria for Ambient Air Quality Monitoring, 40 C.F.R. Part 58 App E (2015) System modification, 40 C.F.R. Part 58.14 (2015) State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan for the Year 2015 Appendix A Page 86