Citty of Teemp pe Op peraation n Saafe and d Sob ber Asssesssmeent Prepaared by y Presented by R Chief of Policee Tom Ryff JJanuary y 2014 Page 1 of 16 TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary .................................................................................................................................. 3 Enforcement Activity........................................................................................................................... 3 Calls for Service...................................................................................................................................... 3 Crime .......................................................................................................................................................... 3 Operation Overview ................................................................................................................................. 4 Results of Safe and Sober Operations ............................................................................................... 6 Phase One (Back to School) – August 5‐9 ................................................................................... 6 Phase Two – August 15‐18 / August 22‐25 / August 29‐September 1 ......................... 6 Unlawful Gathering & Nuisance Fines ......................................................................................... 7 Cost .............................................................................................................................................................. 8 Safe and Sober Phase Two: A Closer Look at Calls for Service (CFS) and Crime ........... 8 Calls for Service...................................................................................................................................... 8 ASU Fraternity Houses and Loud Parties ................................................................................. 10 Crime ........................................................................................................................................................ 11 Rape ...................................................................................................................................................... 12 Aggravated Assault ........................................................................................................................ 13 Robbery .............................................................................................................................................. 14 Conclusion .................................................................................................................................................. 15 Appendix A – Loud Party Statistics .................................................................................................. 16 Page 2 of 16 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In response to a recent loud party and neighborhood disorder analysis, the Tempe Police Department carried out Operation Safe and Sober over four consecutive weeks from August 5th through September 1st. The intent was to reduce loud party calls for service and to prevent Rape, Robbery, and Aggravated Assault through education and enforcement. This assessment reports on data collected during the months of August and September in an attempt to measure the effects of this initiative. Highlights of this assessment are provided below. Enforcement Activity    5,171 contacts/vehicle stops 1,331 total arrests 309 DUI arrests   2,747 citations Issuance of 525 Minors in Possession/Consumption cases Calls for Service   Tempe experienced a 10.4% reduction in loud party calls during the study period, with a 17.2% reduction for the month of August alone. In October‐2013, 211 fewer loud party calls occurred when compared to the typical October over the previous four years. o The Loud Party Corridor—an area just east of ASU campus—experienced 38 fewer (‐14.2%) loud party calls compared to the same time period in 2012. This reduction accounted for 52% of the City’s total reduction in loud party calls. o This past Fall 2013 semester loud parties continued to occur near fraternities, albeit less pronounced. Crime     Citywide Part I crime increased by 2% (1346 to 1370) during the study period. Violent crime— Rape, Robbery and Aggravated Assault—was reduced by 10% (141 to 124) when compared to 2012. o In the corridor alone, Part I crime went down 8%. o The majority of that reduction can be attributed to violent crime (‐28%). o This decrease is a result of robberies being curtailed 76% (17 to 4) in the targeted area of the operation. Street‐Jump Robberies went from 30 to 15 in the City and from 10 to 2 in the corridor. This type of robbery targets individuals in a public place (i.e., street, alley, light rail platform, bus stop), and it was a point of emphasis for this operation. Unfortunately, this initiative did not impact Sexual or Aggravated Assaults. The Department will continue to monitor loud party calls and crime, and assess the extent to which operations like Safe and Sober have a sustained impact. It appears that addressing the loud party issue will require a sustained ongoing effort by the Department in the months and years to come. Page 3 of 16 OPERATION OVERVIEW An in‐depth analysis was conducted in the summer of 2013 to assess the impact of loud party calls for service on the residents of Tempe. Findings indicated that approximately 33% of loud party calls in 2012 occurred within what was referred to as the “Loud Party Corridor.”1 Additionally, loud party calls were found to be correlated not only with other nuisance calls, but also with violent crime. The resulting report2 was published and provided to City Council in August 2013 and an operational plan, “Safe and Sober,” was developed to address calls for service and crime in the corridor in conjunction with regular back to school initiatives. The Safe and Sober Operation was carried out during August and September 2013 over four (4) consecutive weeks from August 5th through September 1st. Several tactics remained in place through September 15th. This assessment recap focuses on data collected during the months of August and September in an attempt to measure the ongoing effect of this initiative. The first phase, Back‐to‐School—which occurred during August 5‐9—focused on driving and pedestrian safety around elementary and middle schools within the city, with a goal of enforcing traffic and pedestrian violations near Tempe schools. The second phase of the initiative targeted weekend loud party, neighborhood disorder, and quality of life concerns, with a goal of reducing associated calls and select violent crime. Funding was obtained primarily through grants awarded by the Governor’s Office of Highway Safety (GOHS). The following figure shows the long term Loud Party trends in the City of Tempe. The efforts of the Tempe Police Department over the past year have significantly impacted the number of loud party calls for service in comparison to the previous five‐year pattern. Most noteworthy is the fact that loud party calls, on average, have been reduced by 100 per month from the previous years. In October‐2013, the citizens of Tempe experienced over 200 fewer loud party calls than they typically did during the previous four years. As that number diminishes in November, it appears that addressing the loud party issue will require a sustained ongoing effort by the Department in the months and years to come. 1 2 The area bound by University Dr to Broadway Rd and Rural Rd to Price Rd. “City of Tempe Loud Party and Neighborhood Disorder Report,” August 2013 Page 4 of 16 Page 5 of 16 RESULTS OF SAFE AND SOBER OPERATIONS Phase One (Back to School) – August 5‐9 Because pedestrian and driver awareness is low at the start of a school year, phase one was implemented to remind drivers in neighborhoods and around schools to be aware that school is back in session and the safety of our children is paramount. Focus included:  Speed enforcement  School zone enforcement  Child safety seat enforcement (CAPP)  Seatbelt enforcement  Pedestrian violations  Impaired driving due to DUI and drug impairment (illicit and medical)  Parking violations  Any criminal activity encountered during officer contacts Enforcement activity resulted in:  506 speeding citations  711 other traffic/pedestrian violations Phase Two – August 15‐18 / August 22‐25 / August 29‐September 1 Because quality of life in Tempe is impacted by crimes related to underage drinking and associated disorder calls, focus in the second phase was placed on the nights heavily inundated with loud party calls, i.e. Thursday, Friday, and Saturday nights. This phase also incorporated educating the community about the risks associated with hosting and attending loud parties. The primary concern was alcohol and drug‐ related incidents that perpetuate around large party events and the subsequent crime and victimization that can result from poor judgment due to alcohol and drug consumption ‐ specifically Rape, Street Robberies, and Aggravated Assault. Focus included:  Loud party calls  DUI arrests  Liquor violations  Outstanding warrant  Other associated quality of life calls Enforcement activity resulted in:  5,171 contacts/vehicle stops  309 DUI arrests  Issuance of 525 Minors in Possession/Consumption cases  2,747 citations  1,331 total arrests Page 6 of 16 Unlawful Gathering & Nuisance Fines The City passed a new ordinance this past year to address shortcomings in the Police Department’s ability to serve notice of loud parties and increased the penalties to provide an adequate deterrent to loud parties. These new tools were put into effect during Operation Safe and Sober. Unlawful gatherings are social host events where individuals over 21 years of age are providing alcohol to individuals who are under the age of 21. The first offense allows for a diversion program in lieu of a $250 fine. All other subsequent violations are a $250 fine. Nuisance incidents are events where individuals are disturbed by noise, illegal parking or loud parties. There are no age restrictions on a nuisance violation and any host, resident, party goer or other participant can be assessed a fee. The first offense fee is $250; the second, $1,000; and the third, $1,500—as it applies to subsequent notices. The new ordinance allows the police to post the citation at the residence rather than to a person. Aggravating circumstances include Minors in Possession, Minors in Consumption, and where weapons or drugs are present. Table 1 offers some preliminary figures that benchmark the extent to which this new ordinance was put to use. Table 1: Loud Party Ordinance Notices Unlawful Gathering/Social Host Notices Issued August 16 September 8 Amount Billed $4,000.00 $2,000.00 Nuisance/Loud Party3 Total Notices Issued Amount Billed August September 70 112 # of Notices Issued to Unknown RP 14 21 $17,750.00 $27,815.00 3 Some Nuisance notices have not been billed due to lack of responsible party information on the citation. This is due to refuse to answer situations in which the notice was placed on the property and not served in person. The Crime Prevention Unit is following up with apartment complexes to identify responsible parties for these notices so they can be billed accordingly. Page 7 of 16 Cost Over two thousand hours of overtime (see Table 2) were worked during the operation. Nearly 97% of the operation was paid for by grant funds awarded by the Governor’s Office of Highway Safety. The remaining amount was paid from the Police Department’s Operating Budget. Table 2: Overtime Funds Program Back‐to‐School Safe and Sober OT Hours 121.0 1,892.5 2,013.5 Total $ $ Cost 3,319.62 143,356.23 Funded by GOHS $ 3,290.71 $ 138,463.93 $ 146,675.85 $ 141,754.64 SAFE AND SOBER PHASE TWO: A CLOSER LOOK AT CALLS FOR SERVICE (CFS) AND CRIME The remainder of this report focuses on the impact of Phase Two of Safe and Sober by examining its effect on calls for service and select violent crime. Calls for Service The city experienced a 10.4% (74) reduction in loud party calls during the operation compared to the same time frame in 2012, with a 17.2% reduction for the month of August alone. One major finding was the manner in which officers proactively sought out and addressed loud parties. Four times more parties were averted by an officer before a party got out of hand and a citizen called the police for assistance. In August and September of 2013, 1 in 14 loud party calls were identified by an officer on‐view, compared to only 1 out of 60 loud party calls being proactively identified during the same 8 weeks in 2012. Appendix A offers greater detail of loud party statistics. As officers aggressively focused on loud parties within the corridor, this area experienced 38 fewer (‐14.2%) loud party calls during the operation compared to the same time period in 2012. This reduction accounted for 52% (38 of 74) of the City’s total reduction in loud party calls during this timeframe. More specifically, focusing on underage drinking and minors in possession in the most prevalent area, along with media and educational efforts, achieved double digit reductions both within the corridor and the city as a whole. The following Loud Party CFS maps depict the spatial distribution between 2012 and 2013 for both August and September (see Graph 1). These charts clearly show that the dispersion and extent of loud parties were diminished in 2013. Graph 1 shows that while loud parties were more broadly dispersed throughout the City in 2012, a more stark concentration around the Apache and Rural corner to Dorsey and University emerged in 2013. It would appear that the loud party issue was more acutely contained as a result of the Safe and Sober Operation. Page 8 of 16 Graph 1: Spatial Comparison of Loud Party Density – 2012 to 2013 Page 9 of 16 ASU Fraternity Houses and Loud Parties Graph 2: Loud Party Corridor and Fraternities A Frat_Houses One particular concern for the City has been the emerging pattern of loud parties in neighborhoods that are now home to ASU Fraternities. In the past, loud party calls have consistently migrated in conjunction with the re‐location of fraternity houses. The series of maps included in Graph 2 display the hotspot analysis showing the density of loud party calls overlaid with relocated fraternity housing. This past Fall 2013 semester loud parties continued to occur near fraternities, but since the Safe and Sober Operation, this overlap is less pronounced. Page 10 of 16 Crime A primary objective for the Safe and Sober Operation was to reduce Rape, Robberies, and Aggravated Assaults. The following analysis compared Part I Crime statistics4 in 2013 to the same timeframe in 2012. Table 3 shows that overall citywide Part I crime increased by 2% (1346 to 1370) during the study period. In regard to the crimes that were specifically targeted during the operation— Rape, Robbery and Aggravated Assault—the city experienced a 10% (141 to 124) reduction in violent crime in 2013 when compared to 2012. Table 3: Select Crime Comparison During the Study Period Select Violent Crime Rape Robbery Street‐jump Robbery5 Aggravated Assaults Total Select Violent Crime Citywide Part I Crime 2012 2013 Aug/Sept Aug/Sept 6 8 47 27 30 15 85 89 138 124 1,346 1,370 2012 2013 Aug/Sept Aug/Sept Rape 1 1 Robbery 17 4 Street‐jump Robbery 10 2 Aggravated Assaults 21 23 Total Select Violent Crime 39 28 Select Violent Crime In Corridor Corridor Part I Crime 277 254 % Change 33% ‐43% ‐50% 5% ‐10% 2% % Change 0% ‐76% ‐80% 10% ‐28% ‐8% More specifically in the corridor, Part I crime went down 8%. The majority of that reduction can be attributed to the reduction in violent crime (‐28%). This decrease is a result of robberies being curtailed 76% (17 to 4) in the targeted area of the operation. Street Jump robberies, a crime specifically targeted during the operation, went from 30 to 15 in the City and from 10 to 2 in the corridor when compared to the same timeframe in 2012. This analysis is based upon occurred date, not reported date. It also focuses on the number of incidents, rather than number of victims. Therefore, note that these figures do not reflect official UCR statistics, which follow different Federal guidelines. 5 Street Jump Robbery target individuals in a public place (i.e., street, alley, light rail platform, bus stop) versus commercial robberies which target banks, convenient or liquor stores and the like. 4 Page 11 of 16 Rape There was an increase of two Rape incidents (6 to 8) during the study period. Further spatial analysis demonstrated that Rape incidents tend to occur in the northern part of Tempe, albeit not completely (see Graph 3 below). Without controlling for other factors, it does not appear that the operation had a direct impact on occurrences of Rape. Graph 3: Sexual Assault Comparison Page 12 of 16 Aggravated Assault Aggravated Assault incidents increased by 5% (85 to 89) from August/September 2013 when compared to the same months in 2012. This analysis also examined Aggravated Assault cases which occurred at a residence as opposed to a public place, and those involving domestic violence. Aggravated Assault incidents taking place in a residence increased by only 2% from 2012 to 2013 during the targeted months; and virtually made up the same percentage of all Aggravated Assaults (50% of 2013 incidents and 49% of 2012 incidents). The percentage of Aggravated Assault incidents involving domestic violence remained relatively the same as well, at 40% in 2013 compared to 41% in 2012 within the study period (a 2% reduction). The geographic distribution of Aggravated Assaults appears to be randomly dispersed throughout the city during August/September in both years, implying the operation had little to no effect on Aggravated Assaults. Graph 4 shows this random dispersion of Aggravated Assaults for the study period during both years. Graph 4: Aggravated Assault Comparison Page 13 of 16 Robbery In contrast, the City of Tempe experienced a 43% decrease in Robberies (47 to 27) in the 2013 months compared to those in 2012. More specifically, there was a 50% reduction in Street‐Jump Robberies (30 to 15)—a crime targeted for reduction during the operation. The Robbery Comparison map (Graph 5) depicts the operation’s greatest impact spatially, where the city experienced a significant drop in Robbery in the north. In 2012, 75% of all Robberies occurred north of Broadway Road (35 out of 47), with a concentration in the downtown area and within the Loud Party Corridor. In 2013, the number of Robberies north of Broadway Road dropped to 12 (a 66% reduction); with only two occurring in the downtown and four in the corridor. This indicates a stark shift both in the number and the location of Robberies as a result of the Safe and Sober Operation. Graph 5: Robbery Comparison Page 14 of 16 CONCLUSION In conclusion, while it is very difficult to ascertain the absolute impact of an operation such as Safe and Sober, the Tempe Police Department can celebrate the overall reduction in loud party calls and the substantial reduction in Robberies during the initiative. Citywide loud party calls were reduced by 10.4% compared to the prior year. Further, there appears to be a lasting effect as October 2013 data shows 211 (‐31.8%) fewer loud party calls than the previous four year average for that month. In addition, robbery numbers were significantly reduced and dispersed compared to 2012. Unfortunately, it does not appear that an operation addressing loud parties—as well as alcohol and drug consumption—reduces Sexual or Aggravated Assaults, at least in the short term. Other innovative approaches must be tested and assessed in the future to determine more effective strategies for those behaviors. The Department will continue to monitor loud party calls for service and crime (i.e., rape, robbery and aggravated assault) and assess the extent to which operations like Safe and Sober have a sustained impact. Page 15 of 16 Appendix A – LOUD PARTY STATISTICS Week by Week Breakdown with Self‐Initiated Calls for Service Comparison of Loud Party Calls in AUG & SEP between 2012 and 2013 Metric TOTAL 2012 TOTAL 2013 ‐10.4 % Change 714 640 AUG'12 AUG'13 ‐17.2 % Change 338 280 376 360 SEP'12 SEP'13 ‐4.3 % Change AUG'12 AUG'13 66 50 Week1 Week1 ‐24.2 % Change Self‐Init 0 0 in 66 Self‐Init 2 1 in 25 Ratio of Self‐Init LP CFS to Citizen Generated N‐S 35 31 53% N‐S 27 23 54% % of LP Calls in the North District 81 63 Week2 Week2 ‐22.2 % Change Self‐Init 6 1 in 14 Self‐Init 1 1 in 63 Ratio of Self‐Init LP CFS to Citizen Generated N‐S 40 41 49% N‐S 40 23 63% % of LP Calls in the North District 117 99 Week3 Week3 ‐15.4 % Change Self‐Init 1 1 in 117 Self‐Init 6 1 in 17 Ratio of Self‐Init LP CFS to Citizen Generated N‐S 64 53 55% N‐S 63 36 64% % of LP Calls in the North District 74 68 Week4 Week4 ‐8.1 % Change Self‐Init 0 0 in 74 Self‐Init 8 1 in 11 Ratio of Self‐Init LP CFS to Citizen Generated N‐S 45 29 61% N‐S 43 43 63% % of LP Calls in the North District SEP'12 SEP'13 107 75 Week1 Week1 ‐29.9 % Change Self‐Init 1 1 in 107 Self‐Init 7 1 in 11 Ratio of Self‐Init LP CFS to Citizen Generated N‐S 64 43 60% N‐S 49 26 65% % of LP Calls in the North District 95 86 Week2 Week2 ‐9.5 % Change Ratio of Self‐Init LP CFS to Citizen Generated Self‐Init 2 1 in 48 Self‐Init 9 1 in 10 N‐S 44 51 46% N‐S 59 27 69% % of LP Calls in the North District 88 81 Week3 Week3 ‐8.0 % Change Self‐Init 1 1 in 88 Self‐Init 5 1 in 16 Ratio of Self‐Init LP CFS to Citizen Generated N‐S 51 37 58% N‐S 60 21 74% % of LP Calls in the North District 86 118 Week4 Week4 37.2 % Change Self‐Init 7 1 in 17 Ratio of Self‐Init LP CFS to Citizen Generated Self‐Init 1 1 in 86 N‐S 46 40 53% N‐S 80 38 68% % of LP Calls in the North District Page 16 of 16